Next Week's Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy:

לפני 3 ימים

1. Market Core Logic Analysis
News (Negative): Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, Chairman Powell's comments were hawkish (no rush to ease policy and warning of inflation), cooling market expectations for aggressive rate cuts in the future. This move triggered a rebound in the US dollar and a rise in US Treasury yields, directly pressuring dollar-denominated gold, causing prices to surge (reaching a record high) before retreating.

Technical Analysis (Bull-Bear Game): The daily chart showed two consecutive declines, the first time since the rally from 3311, indicating weakening short-term bullish momentum and a technical correction. However, the price remains above key trend support at 3615, indicating that the broader bullish trend has not been broken. The current decline should be viewed as a "high-level oscillation correction within the bullish trend."

2. Key Price Level Analysis
Upward Pressure:
Primary resistance: 3672-3675 (a high tested multiple times this week). This is the key dividing line between strength and weakness at the beginning of next week. If the rebound fails to break through this area, it indicates that bearish pressure remains and the market will fluctuate weakly.
Core resistance: 3707 (historical high). This is the strongest bastion for bulls to conquer. Until it effectively breaks through and holds, gold will struggle to gain new upside potential.

Downward Support:
Short-term support: 3643-3633. This is the first line of defense after the opening of next Monday. If it breaks below, it will retest this week's low.
Core Support: 3628 (this week's low) and 3615 (a key trend point). 3615 is the lifeline that determines the future market direction. If the price breaks below this level, it means that the current correction will deepen, potentially targeting the 3600 or even 3580 areas. If it can hold, the bullish trend will be secure.

3. Next Week's Trading Strategy and Layout
Key Strategy: Invest in dips on pullbacks to key support levels, and supplement with high-shorts on rebounds to strong resistance levels. Specific Operational Plan:
Low-to-Long Opportunities (Primary Strategy):
Ideal Entry Area: 3633-3643 (test long positions with a small position), or when the price falls back to 3628-3615 (focus on long positions).
Stop-Loss: Below 3610 (A break below the 3615 trend line invalidates the strategy and requires decisive exit).
Targets: First target 3660-3670, second target 3680-3690, ultimate target 3707.
Position Management: This strategy is a swing-trend strategy, aiming for profits from the continuation of the trend after a correction, requiring patience.

High-Level Short-Selling Opportunities (Secondary Strategy):
Ideal Entry Area: The first rebound of the price to the 3670-3675 resistance zone, if a clear resistance signal (such as a bearish candlestick pattern) appears.
Stop-Loss: Above 3680.
Target: 3650-3640 (short-term profit taking). Strategy: This is a short-term counter-trend strategy designed to capture profits during periods of volatility. Enter and exit quickly, and avoid lingering.

4. Market Forecast and Timing
Early Week: Focus on the opening price. If it opens below 3650, it will likely test the 3643-3633 support area, or even retest the 3628 low. Opportunities for dips and long positions can be sought after a pullback.

Mid-Week: Observe price reaction to support levels. If it stabilizes and rebounds, successfully breaking through the 3672-3675 resistance zone, the short-term weakness will reverse, and prices are expected to launch another push towards the 3700 level.

Weekend and Market Outlook: The correction may continue until the end of September. Closely monitor the defense of the key support level of 3615. As long as it remains above, the market correction is expected to end in early October, ushering in a new uptrend.

Summary and Risk Management Tips
Trend and Rhythm: Understand the relationship between long-term bullishness and short-term corrections. Don't assume that the trend is reversing because of a short-term decline, and don't ignore the strength of the adjustment. In terms of operation, we should follow the general trend (upward trend), but we need to grasp the rhythm of small cycles (small cycle fluctuations).

לפני 6 שעות

עסקה פעילה

Latest Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Core Trend Analysis
Main Trend: Strong bullish. Prices have hit new all-time highs, and the daily chart is firmly above the short-term moving average, indicating a strong overall market.
Current Status: Beware of short-term pullbacks. The H4 Bollinger Bands have not yet opened, raising doubts about the potential for a direct, strong upward move. Be wary of a market shift from a "unilateral uptrend" to a "volatile uptrend."

2. Basic Trading Strategies
Main Strategy: Buy on pullbacks. Avoid chasing highs; patiently wait for prices to fall back to key support levels before placing long positions.
Auxiliary strategy: short selling on rebound. Positions near key resistance levels can be used with a small position to try to capitalize on pullbacks. This is a short-term, counter-trend trade requiring quick entry and exit.

III. Key Price Levels at a Glance
Upper Resistance:
Short-Term Strong Resistance: 3740-3750
Next Target Resistance: 3780

Lower Support:
First Support Zone: 3705-3695 (Important Intraday Support)
Core Support Zone: 3685-3675 (Ideal Buy-Long Zone)
Strong Support Level: 3650

IV. Specific Trading Plan
Buy-Long (Primary Strategy): Entry Zone: 3705-3695; Targets: 3720, 3740; Stop-Loss: Below 3685; Intraday support; Try a small position.

Sell-Short (Secondary Strategy): Entry Zone: 3740-3750; Targets: 3720, 3705; Stop-Loss: Above 3755. Short-term sell with a small position, maintain a strict stop-loss, and take advantage of technical pullbacks.

V. Market Development and Risk Management Tips
Unilateral Upward Signals: If the price breaks through 3750 and the upper Bollinger Band (H4) opens, the upside target could reach 3780 or higher.

Signal of a volatile uptrend: If the price encounters resistance between 3740-3750 and then falls back to support between 3675-3705 and rises again, the market may enter a volatile uptrend pattern of "two steps forward, one step back."

Risk Control:
Absolutely avoid chasing rising prices and selling falling prices, especially near historical highs.
Stop-loss orders must be set and strictly enforced for all trades.

לפני 4 שעות

עסקה סגורה: היעד הושג

September 23rd Gold Trading Strategy:

1. Core Driver: Internal Divergence in Federal Reserve Policy
The market is caught in a tug-of-war between differing views among Federal Reserve officials, which forms the core context for gold's fluctuations:

Risk 1 (Dovish): Board Member Milan advocates for a deeper rate cut to support the economy, and traders are betting on another 50 basis point rate cut this year. This expectation is bullish for gold.

Risk 2 (Hawky): Official Mousallem expressed skepticism about further rate cuts, emphasizing that inflation remains above target and that policy complacency must be avoided. If this view prevails, it will be bearish for gold.

2. Technical Analysis: The bullish trend is solid, exhibiting slow growth characteristics.
Trend Prediction: Strong bullish. The price has hit a new record high after a correction, indicating a continuation of the upward trend.

Current Pattern: After last Friday's large bullish breakout, the market has been trading sideways at a high level, representing a healthy "slow rise" pattern, accumulating momentum for further gains. Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $3735-$3750
Support: $3708-$3685

III. Today's Trading Strategy
Primary Strategy: Buy on dips
Entry Zone: $3708-$3700
Target Price: $3730-$3740
Stop-Loss: Below $3690

Secondary Strategy: Short on rallies (cautious with a small position)
Strategy: If the price first touches the strong resistance area above $3745-$3750 and shows clear signs of a pullback, consider a small, short-term short position with a stop-loss at $3755.
Note: This is a counter-trend trade with a high risk. Enter and exit quickly and maintain a strict stop-loss.

IV. Summary and Risk Warning
Overall, gold bulls are in the driver's seat, driven by the dual support of expectations for a Fed rate cut and technical breakthroughs. The primary trading strategy should be to buy on dips in line with the trend.