JICPT

Gold rebounded from weekly structure with daily supply ahead

JICPT מעודכן   
FX:XAUUSD   זהב / דולר אמריקאי
Obviously, the weekly structure worked very well and we can see price rebounded yesterday leaving no pullback entry opportunity on smaller timeframes, say 60m.

In my opinion, it is just a rebound, and gold is likely to meet strong selling pressure around 1744-1757 where it's confluence with MAs, daily downtrend line and weekly flip zone.

My trade plan is as below:

1. bullish long setup: pull-back long around key zones, e.g. 1705-1707, however, the key zones change dynamically. We ride on the short-term long momentum wave until it hit key trouble zones(1744-1757)

2. bearish short setup: if price moves up with no pullback, we look for bearish short setup around key trouble zones(1744-1757)

My mid-term view is bearish for gold unless it goes sideways for 20-30 days. Because that will make my three MAs assemble and create possible long opportunities on daily.
הערה:
The below chart is 1H. The momentum is pretty strong to the upside. will see if trouble zone holds.
הערה:
Price got response to the trouble zone, but I need it to close below the trouble zone with bearish patterns. I'm still waiting.
הערה:
Now, the 60m structure has been terminated. I got bearish sign.
הערה:
It's not a 1 to 3 trade. Daily zone is about to be conquered. Price is likely to test the 1764 inside the weekly zone that we need to pay attention to.
הערה:
Fake breakout with key zone on 60m hold. It's same low and what I'm expecting is lower low. Price may bounce back from the level. Short setup is way above the current price.
הערה:
lower low created, more room to the downside.
הערה:
Okie. Market changes fast. Now the downtrend line as well as the key structure marked in yellow color both were violated. I set alert around 1750 to check if the zone drawn will work.

plan your trade and trade your plan
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