### Key Observations: 1. **Resistance Zone**: - Price is approaching a strong resistance zone around 2,720–2,740, as indicated by the shaded area. - Previous interactions with this level suggest potential rejection, making it a critical zone for monitoring price action.
2. **Target Levels**: - **1st Target**: 2,680 – a minor support level where price might pause or bounce if rejection occurs. - **2nd Target**: 2,640 – a key mid-level support area aligned with historical price structure. - **3rd Target**: 2,623 – a stronger support zone near the previous low, offering a potential bounce zone.
3. **Risk-Reward Setup**: - A clear risk zone (stop-loss) is placed above the resistance zone (around 2,759), indicating a bearish outlook. - The trade setup assumes a rejection from the resistance area, with the first target likely to hit before deeper retracements.
4. **Market Context**: - Recent bullish momentum may face exhaustion as it approaches resistance, especially if accompanied by reduced volume. - The "Change of Character" (ChoCh) annotations suggest a possible shift in momentum around the resistance zone.
### Potential Trade Scenarios: 1. **Bearish Rejection**: - Look for bearish confirmation signals (e.g., bearish engulfing candles, rejection wicks) around the 2,720–2,740 zone. - Short entry: Near 2,720–2,730. - Targets: 2,680, 2,640, and 2,623, in that order.
2. **Bullish Breakout**: - If the price breaks above 2,740 with strong momentum, invalidate the bearish scenario. - Look for a retest of the 2,740 level as new support for long positions. - Target: 2,770–2,800.
### Additional Notes: - **Divergences**: Check for any bearish divergences in RSI or MACD to confirm weakness near the resistance zone. - **Economic Events**: Be cautious of news or data releases that may increase volatility in gold.
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