from fundamental: 1. FED raising Interest rate for the 3rd time, its 90% 75bps , and it will pressure the risk asset such as gold and bitcoin. 2. FED Jeremy Powel and his team pretty consistance and commited to bring down inflation and catch up short term interest rates especially to the core PCE inflation number that still slightly above 5 percent 3.FED commit not slowing the pace until "something Break", it means they will bring recession to make inflation down there will more jobless, more slow Economy growth which give big damage to stock market and any other risk asset. 4.Geopolitical Tension is not end and seems it will be take a long time (for this moment), specially After Saudi willing to join BRICS and dont want to help US to boost the OIl production and make a price cap for cheap oil.
from technical: 1. the candle 4 hours fail to break the past resistance 2. there is high volume for 1680 to break. 3. the fundamental is not good for gold to break this time, we have seen 1st and 2nd reaction after FED release their 75bps hike.
When FED to pivot: the chance is only when something breaks, and the inflation rate is going back down. maybe there is 2% gap between Interest rates number and inflation rate number.
the price will be very fluctuative / volatile , you should watch your risk management, dont risk more than 1%, there is chance to high then drop please watch 1728 level, and for me i can see the bottom is around 1532 -1564 .
(please dont risk more than 0.5% in this trade) watch your risk management. Good Luck.
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Please using good money management. dont take any emotional trade.
Note: Dont risk more than 0.2% on trending market Dont risk more than 1% on ranging market
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