Today on the daily chart we had a nothing day.
As the doji shows direction is not decided yet... As I said on the hourly chart post gold's intermediate decline is starting
uneasily...
Bulls are still hoping buying every dip , posting into my posts, trying to convince me that I'm in the wrong direction.
Shorts are nervous. Taking profit after every 5$ decline... :)
WE finished the day at the level which could be a just pullback ( a testback of the breakout ).
Timewise the case is that we started the decline but it's not enough to know we have to stay in position also.
So the next 1.5 months plan is unchanged. We are heading down to the 200 EMA in 2 steps.
But it seems to me there is one more test tomorrow at the NFP data...
We have too many shorts and maybe not enough bulls yet... So tomorrow I'm waiting for a
2015-10-28 candlestick . It's a sweeper candlestick.
First it pulls in the longs and stops out the shorts as the price almost running to new highs. But not touching the smartmoney brothers on the top where deline started. Shaky handed shorts stopping out, dumb money bulls jumping on board.
And then comes the reversal. Stopped out shorts are left behind. Bulls are on board but wrong direction. And in 2-3 days - by next Tuesday- we are down to 1235$.
So we have to get prepared for this scenario as gold pops to 1300, even 1310 is not out of the table (but I don't really think we take out the evening star's top)
The other scenario that we are just rolling over with a solid decline . But that would be too easy...
As the doji shows direction is not decided yet... As I said on the hourly chart post gold's intermediate decline is starting
uneasily...
Bulls are still hoping buying every dip , posting into my posts, trying to convince me that I'm in the wrong direction.
Shorts are nervous. Taking profit after every 5$ decline... :)
WE finished the day at the level which could be a just pullback ( a testback of the breakout ).
Timewise the case is that we started the decline but it's not enough to know we have to stay in position also.
So the next 1.5 months plan is unchanged. We are heading down to the 200 EMA in 2 steps.
But it seems to me there is one more test tomorrow at the NFP data...
We have too many shorts and maybe not enough bulls yet... So tomorrow I'm waiting for a
2015-10-28 candlestick . It's a sweeper candlestick.
First it pulls in the longs and stops out the shorts as the price almost running to new highs. But not touching the smartmoney brothers on the top where deline started. Shaky handed shorts stopping out, dumb money bulls jumping on board.
And then comes the reversal. Stopped out shorts are left behind. Bulls are on board but wrong direction. And in 2-3 days - by next Tuesday- we are down to 1235$.
So we have to get prepared for this scenario as gold pops to 1300, even 1310 is not out of the table (but I don't really think we take out the evening star's top)
The other scenario that we are just rolling over with a solid decline . But that would be too easy...
הערה:
Selling 50 XAUUSD in the metal trade at 1291.31
הערה:
Retail traders are taking up smartmoney's gold positions.
הערה:
SMartmoney selling dumb money buying. Watch dollar !
XAUUSD is turning down soon.
XAUUSD is turning down soon.
הערה:
411,545 commercial short contracts and Blees rating 0 .
It's the 6th week that blees is at 0...
Who knows what does it mean not long on the gold market.
Evreybody and his dog with his grandpa is short in gold at the commercials.
I haven't seen this number for 6 years.
As soon as stocks start to rally ( I think we had a reversal today) with the surging dollar gold will suffer a hell of a decline.
It's the 6th week that blees is at 0...
Who knows what does it mean not long on the gold market.
Evreybody and his dog with his grandpa is short in gold at the commercials.
I haven't seen this number for 6 years.
As soon as stocks start to rally ( I think we had a reversal today) with the surging dollar gold will suffer a hell of a decline.
הערה:
6 years ago gold dropped 150 dollars in 2 weeks with these numbers.
הערה:
In the back is the dollar index. The buck was coming out of the lows...
A decline from 1225 to 1075$ .
A decline from 1225 to 1075$ .
Nothing is happening...