ckim802

Fractals Fractals Everywhere

לונג
ckim802 מעודכן   
KRAKEN:BTCUSD   ביטקוין
Going up (almost fully completed formations)
1st green line = 1st inverse head and shoulders completion
2nd green line = 2nd formation
3rd = Whoohoo 14k

Going down (only half completed formations)
1st = completion of head of head and shoulders, retest would bring to completion
2nd = completion of head, retest...
3rd = pack it up, we're going down to 6k
הערה:
First green line has been breached. We're probably going to go sideways for a bit in that wedge. But, I wouldn't count out Bitcoin breaching the second green line much sooner. Last year's bull run has provided significantly greater access to cryptos, bitcoin especially. Those people might have called it a day with the crash, but their desire to make a buck never went away, nor their access to exchanges. The lack of credit card access in fiat exchanges will reign back what would have otherwise been a firestorm. Which, when you think about it, seems to have been a bit planned out...
הערה:
A note on the evening star, should some version of it appear. The formation isn't simply one candlestick but a viewing of 3, in their totality. The second candlestick 'star' is only such if the third red candlestick over encompasses the first green candlestick, as in it comes below it.
הערה:
Oh man, this is just awesome, we've breached the 2nd green line. And the candlesticks themselves are a big bull sign, when the closing of one candle stick is at or higher than the opening of the second one.
הערה:
reverse that
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when opening of second candlestick is at or higher than the closing of the first.
הערה:
We have lift off to the solid green line. I think it will go about 100$ above before coming back to retest.
הערה:
Ummmm.... my algorithm is telling me to sell... 89.91% of trades are profitable, at least on paper, so take that as you will....
העסקה בוטלה באופן ידני:
I've closed all positions, just in case.
הערה:
Re-entered, bulls are clawing back.
הערה:

Just to give an idea of how things might play out. XMR completed the inverse head and shoulders already.
הערה:
where the yellow dotted lines intersect.
הערה:

A view from the 4 hour - for an easier perspective. We're just on a red dotted line escalator to the green line.
העסקה בוטלה באופן ידני:

In my opinion, there is no longer a direct route to the dark green line. I've included 2 possible scenarios in this 4-hour view. Green is optimistic (~2-4AM EST), Yellow is more realistic (Monday). Below the yellow, it's time to enter short positions if you're able.
הערה:

Alternative to the alternative
הערה:
I made a quick buck on my short and am back in. I'm just going to ride out the rest. After bitcoin has it's breakout above the thick green line, I'm moving on to the alts, as they will start taking turns doing the same. But here's a little gift for whoever's been reading my posts.

My bitcoin roadmap for the rest of 2018:

הערה:
PSA:

Bear flag developing on the 15min
Evening star developing on the 4hr

Developing, not completed.
הערה:
The would-be evening star has developed into a bullish hammer on the 4hr.
הערה:
Morning star developing on the 15min. The third candle only has to come up to above half the length of the first one.

Developing not completed.
הערה:
The wait is excruciating... should the red line be breached, the second red line offers a third chance to break 1500, and a shot at the solid green line by Monday.
הערה:
Eta for solid green line is between 3-7am EST. Then pretty clear shot up to 12800. After that a minor correction then 14k. If I turn out to be right, follow me por favor :)
הערה:

4hr view
הערה:
Price is about to collide with the second dotted line of my original chart. If it does not bounce back, I will close the position and take the loss.
הערה:
$11075 - $11100 is the final line in the sand
הערה:
It's starting back up, however, it has not actually hit the dotted red line. I expect the price to almost touch it, if not slightly pierce the line, then re-test it a short-time later, before completing the bounce.
הערה:
The touch should be somewhere around 1400.
הערה:
argh, 11400
הערה:
A bit of a juncture on the 5 min chart, move past the green line completes inverse head and shoulders, movement below the red line completes head and shoulders...


הערה:
the chart on the right
הערה:
below the yellow line, not red
הערה:

We have lift off. As I'm writing this, the first dotted blue line is about to be breached. The second should be easy peasy. But we can possibly re-test the dotted green line several times before breaking through it.
הערה:
I think it will hit at or about the intersection between the red dotted line and the solid green line, then pull back. This is because we still have really low volume, and the bulls haven't shown force-en-mass. A pullback to the dotted green line or the red dotted line we just tested is possible. Although a straight run through is possible as well. My money is on a retesting of the dotted red line, before bouncing back.
הערה:
unless we get slapped back by the dotted green line, which appears to be happening. But it would still be the same trajectory. If we bounce off the dotted green line now, the retest of the dotted red line is going to be a time to watch the price closely as it provides the bears another opportunity. Should we be on the way to test the dotted red line a third time, I will manually close positions and sit it out until the solid green line has been breached. Price will drop like a rock if the dotted red line is breached.
הערה:
last two comments pertain to the 15min view of the initial chart. The 4hr view has lines of a different fractal pattern, but you can see that you could basically overlay on top of each other and get the same results.
הערה:

So I cleaned up some of the lines on my bitcoin roadmap chart and there is a clear point of intersection between the resistance lines and the dotted green line... obviously, there's two interpretations of this if the timing works out as shown. 1st Bitcoin breaks free of its chains... or 2nd the resistance lines join forces to become even stronger. I'm really scared that it will be the latter, so I will be preparing as we get closer to that point (again, if the timing works out that way), as if the second interpretation will take place.
הערה:
We're about to break through the dotted green line by the looks of my 15min chart. Bull Flag appearing.
הערה:
As you can see on the initial 15min chart, this is our third time testing the line (while coming up). Third times the charm :)
הערה:

A pole for a bull flag has formed on the 1hr. The pendant should be created right inside the triangle wedge formed by the two blue lines.
הערה:
הערה:
not to state the obvious, but basically, every single crypto is forming or has formed some sort of bull flag...
הערה:
fractal head and shoulders formations have broken down at the 5min scale. No way to get a proper neckline to form. On the 15min scale, we are almost at the point of completing the first head and shoulders bear formation.
הערה:
For the inverse head and shoulders formation to complete instead, we cannot go below 11380 AND we would have to see a climb up to 11600 in the next hour or two.
הערה:
I'll add a note that might not be well received here. I noticed that the head and shoulders fractal formations basically broke down at some point after 9pm last night. It made for an easy night of sleep. We are starting to see the same phenomenon in reverse... It may be difficult to cross the finishline.
הערה:
For those of you following the Bitcoin 2018 roadmap chart. 11600 is just one point in the second dotted blue line that we have to cross to reach the solid green line.
הערה:
We're finishing this thing off right now. It will be very swift.
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הערה:
Am I good or what :)
הערה:
We're about to break through the dotted green line in the initial chart so I'm going to say this chart is now closed and that it was accurate. Thanks for following along. I'll be moving on the "Oh Bitcoin, you @#$%..." chart for the climb up to 13.5k.
הערה:
Looking at this chart in retrospect, I should have seen the dip coming... oops

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