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RedK EVEREX - Effort Versus Results Explorer
מעודכן
RedK EVEREX is an experimental indicator that explores "Volume Price Analysis" basic concepts and Wyckoff law "Effort versus Result" - by inspecting the relative volume (effort) and the associated (relative) price action (result) for each bar - showing the analysis as an easy to read "stacked bands" visual. From that analysis, we calculate a "Relative Rate of Flow" - an easy to use +100/-100 oscilator that can be used to trigger a signal when a bullish or bearish mode is detected for a certain user-selected length of bars.
Basic Concepts of VPA
-------------------------------
(The topics of VPA & Wyckoff Effort vs Results law are too comprehensive to cover here - So here's just a very basic summary - please review these topics in detail in various sources available here in TradingView or on the web)
* Volume Price Analysis (VPA) is the examination of the number of shares or contracts of a security that have been traded in a given period, and the associated price movement. By analyzing trends in volume in conjunction with price movements, traders can determine the significance of changes in price and what may unfold in the near future.
* Oftentimes, high volumes of trading can infer a lot about investors’ outlook on a market or security. A significant price increase along with a significant volume increase, for example, could be a credible sign of a continued bullish trend or a bullish reversal. Adversely, a significant price decrease with a significant volume increase can point to a continued bearish trend or a bearish trend reversal.
* Incorporating volume into a trading decision can help an investor to have a more balanced view of all the broad market factors that could be influencing a security’s price, which helps an investor to make a more informed decision.
* Wyckoff's law "Effort versus results" dictates that large effort is expected to be accompanied with big results - which means that we should expect to see a big price move (result) associated with a large relative volume (effort) for a certain trading period (bar).
* The way traders use this concept in chart analysis is to mainly look for imbalances or invalidation. for example, when we observe a large relative volume that is associated with very limited price change - that should trigger an early flag/warning sign that the current price trend is facing challenges and may be an early sign of "reversal" - this applies in both bearish and bullish conditions. on the other hand, when price starts to trend in a certain direction and that's associated with increasing volume, that can act as kind of validation, or a confirmation that the market supports that move.
How does EVEREX work
---------------------------------
* EVEREX inspects each bar and calculates a relative value for volume (effort) and "strength of price movement" (result) compared to a specified lookback period. The results are then visualized as stacked bands - the lower band represents the relative volume, the upper band represents the relative price strength - with clear color coding for easier analysis.
* The scale of the band is initially set to 100 (each band can occupy up to 50) - and that can be changed in the settings to 200 or 400 - mainly to allow a "zoom in" on the bands.
* Reading the resulting stacked bands makes it easier to see "balanced" volume/price action (where both bands are either equally strong, or equally weak), or when there's imbalance between volume and price (for example, a compression bar will show with high volume band and very small/tiny price action band) - another favorite pattern in VPA is the "Ease of Move", which will show as a relatively small volume band associated with a large "price action band" (either bullish or bearish) .. and so on.
* a bit of a techie piece: why the use of a custom "Normalize()" function to calculate "relative" values in EVEREX?
When we evaluate a certain value against an average (for example, volume) we need a mechanism to deal with "super high" values that largely exceed that average - I also needed a mechanism that mimics how a trader looks at a volume bar and decides that this volume value is super low, low, average, above average, high or super high -- the issue with using a stoch() function, which is the usual technique for comparing a data point against a lookback average, is that this function will produce a "zero" for low values, and cause a large distortion of the next few "ratios" when super large values occur in the data series - i researched multiple techniques here and decided to use the custom Normalize() function - and what i found is, as long as we're applying the same formula consistently to the data series, since it's all relative to itself, we can confidently use the result. Please feel free to play around with this part further if you like - the code is commented for those who would like to research this further.
* Overall, the hope is to make the bar-by-bar analysis easier and faster for traders who apply VPA concepts in their trading
What is RROF?
--------------------------
* Once we have the values of relative volume and relative price strength, it's easy from there to combine these values into a moving index that can be used to track overall strength and detect reversals in market direction - if you think about it this a very similar concept to a volume-weighted RSI. I call that index the "Relative Rate of Flow" - or RROF (cause we're not using the direct volume and price values in the calculation, but rather relative values that we calculated with the proprietary "Normalize" function in the script.
* You can show RROF as a single or double-period - and you can customize it in terms of smoothing, and signal line - and also utilize the basic alerts to get notified when a change in strength from one side to the other (bullish vs bearish) is detected
* In the chart above, you can see how the RROF was able to detect change in market condition from Bearsh to Bullish - then from Bullish to Bearish for TSLA with good accuracy.
Other Usage Options in EVEREX
------------------------------------
* I wrote EVEREX with a lot of flexibility and utilization in mind, while focusing on a clean and easy to use visual - EVEREX should work with any time frame and any instrument - in instruments with no volume data, only price data will be used.
* You can completely hide the "EVEREX bands" and use EVEREX as a single or dual period strength indicator (by exposing the Bias/Sentiment plot which is hidden by default) -
here's how this setup would look like - in this mode, you will basically be using EVEREX the same way you're using a volume-weighted RSI
* or you can hide the bias/sentiment, and expose the Bulls & Bears plots (using the indicator's "Style" tab), and trade it like a Bull/Bear Pressure Index like this
* you can choose Moving Average type for most plot elements in EVEREX, including how to deal with the Lookback averaging
* you can set EVEREX to a different time frame than the chart
* did i mention basic alerts in this v1.0 ?? There's room to add more VPA-specific alerts in future version (for example, when Ease-of-Move or Compression bars are detected...etc) - let me know if the comments what you want to see
Final Thoughts
--------------------
* EVEREX can be used for bar-by-bar VPA analysis - There are so much literature out there about VPA and it's highly recommended that traders read more about what VPA is and how it works - as it adds an interesting (and critical) dimension to technical analysis and will improve decision making
* RROF is a "strength indicator" - it does not track price values (levels) or momentum - as you will see when you use it, the price can be moving up, while the RROF signal line starts moving down, reflecting decreasing strength (or otherwise, increasing bear strength) - So if you incorporate EVEREX in your trading you will need to use it alongside other momentum and price value indicators (like MACD, MA's, Trend Channels, Support & Resistance Lines, Fib / Donchian..etc) - to use for trade confirmation
Basic Concepts of VPA
-------------------------------
(The topics of VPA & Wyckoff Effort vs Results law are too comprehensive to cover here - So here's just a very basic summary - please review these topics in detail in various sources available here in TradingView or on the web)
* Volume Price Analysis (VPA) is the examination of the number of shares or contracts of a security that have been traded in a given period, and the associated price movement. By analyzing trends in volume in conjunction with price movements, traders can determine the significance of changes in price and what may unfold in the near future.
* Oftentimes, high volumes of trading can infer a lot about investors’ outlook on a market or security. A significant price increase along with a significant volume increase, for example, could be a credible sign of a continued bullish trend or a bullish reversal. Adversely, a significant price decrease with a significant volume increase can point to a continued bearish trend or a bearish trend reversal.
* Incorporating volume into a trading decision can help an investor to have a more balanced view of all the broad market factors that could be influencing a security’s price, which helps an investor to make a more informed decision.
* Wyckoff's law "Effort versus results" dictates that large effort is expected to be accompanied with big results - which means that we should expect to see a big price move (result) associated with a large relative volume (effort) for a certain trading period (bar).
* The way traders use this concept in chart analysis is to mainly look for imbalances or invalidation. for example, when we observe a large relative volume that is associated with very limited price change - that should trigger an early flag/warning sign that the current price trend is facing challenges and may be an early sign of "reversal" - this applies in both bearish and bullish conditions. on the other hand, when price starts to trend in a certain direction and that's associated with increasing volume, that can act as kind of validation, or a confirmation that the market supports that move.
How does EVEREX work
---------------------------------
* EVEREX inspects each bar and calculates a relative value for volume (effort) and "strength of price movement" (result) compared to a specified lookback period. The results are then visualized as stacked bands - the lower band represents the relative volume, the upper band represents the relative price strength - with clear color coding for easier analysis.
* The scale of the band is initially set to 100 (each band can occupy up to 50) - and that can be changed in the settings to 200 or 400 - mainly to allow a "zoom in" on the bands.
* Reading the resulting stacked bands makes it easier to see "balanced" volume/price action (where both bands are either equally strong, or equally weak), or when there's imbalance between volume and price (for example, a compression bar will show with high volume band and very small/tiny price action band) - another favorite pattern in VPA is the "Ease of Move", which will show as a relatively small volume band associated with a large "price action band" (either bullish or bearish) .. and so on.
* a bit of a techie piece: why the use of a custom "Normalize()" function to calculate "relative" values in EVEREX?
When we evaluate a certain value against an average (for example, volume) we need a mechanism to deal with "super high" values that largely exceed that average - I also needed a mechanism that mimics how a trader looks at a volume bar and decides that this volume value is super low, low, average, above average, high or super high -- the issue with using a stoch() function, which is the usual technique for comparing a data point against a lookback average, is that this function will produce a "zero" for low values, and cause a large distortion of the next few "ratios" when super large values occur in the data series - i researched multiple techniques here and decided to use the custom Normalize() function - and what i found is, as long as we're applying the same formula consistently to the data series, since it's all relative to itself, we can confidently use the result. Please feel free to play around with this part further if you like - the code is commented for those who would like to research this further.
* Overall, the hope is to make the bar-by-bar analysis easier and faster for traders who apply VPA concepts in their trading
What is RROF?
--------------------------
* Once we have the values of relative volume and relative price strength, it's easy from there to combine these values into a moving index that can be used to track overall strength and detect reversals in market direction - if you think about it this a very similar concept to a volume-weighted RSI. I call that index the "Relative Rate of Flow" - or RROF (cause we're not using the direct volume and price values in the calculation, but rather relative values that we calculated with the proprietary "Normalize" function in the script.
* You can show RROF as a single or double-period - and you can customize it in terms of smoothing, and signal line - and also utilize the basic alerts to get notified when a change in strength from one side to the other (bullish vs bearish) is detected
* In the chart above, you can see how the RROF was able to detect change in market condition from Bearsh to Bullish - then from Bullish to Bearish for TSLA with good accuracy.
Other Usage Options in EVEREX
------------------------------------
* I wrote EVEREX with a lot of flexibility and utilization in mind, while focusing on a clean and easy to use visual - EVEREX should work with any time frame and any instrument - in instruments with no volume data, only price data will be used.
* You can completely hide the "EVEREX bands" and use EVEREX as a single or dual period strength indicator (by exposing the Bias/Sentiment plot which is hidden by default) -
here's how this setup would look like - in this mode, you will basically be using EVEREX the same way you're using a volume-weighted RSI
* or you can hide the bias/sentiment, and expose the Bulls & Bears plots (using the indicator's "Style" tab), and trade it like a Bull/Bear Pressure Index like this
* you can choose Moving Average type for most plot elements in EVEREX, including how to deal with the Lookback averaging
* you can set EVEREX to a different time frame than the chart
* did i mention basic alerts in this v1.0 ?? There's room to add more VPA-specific alerts in future version (for example, when Ease-of-Move or Compression bars are detected...etc) - let me know if the comments what you want to see
Final Thoughts
--------------------
* EVEREX can be used for bar-by-bar VPA analysis - There are so much literature out there about VPA and it's highly recommended that traders read more about what VPA is and how it works - as it adds an interesting (and critical) dimension to technical analysis and will improve decision making
* RROF is a "strength indicator" - it does not track price values (levels) or momentum - as you will see when you use it, the price can be moving up, while the RROF signal line starts moving down, reflecting decreasing strength (or otherwise, increasing bear strength) - So if you incorporate EVEREX in your trading you will need to use it alongside other momentum and price value indicators (like MACD, MA's, Trend Channels, Support & Resistance Lines, Fib / Donchian..etc) - to use for trade confirmation
הערות שחרור
RedK EVEREX Adds couple of quick visual additions==============================================
* The ability to choose if the stacked EVEREX Bands are visualized "joint" or "separated" (at the bands scale mid-level marker line). The "separate" option may be easier for some folks - the default is "Joint"
* Print the values of Normalized Volume and Normalized Price (will only show on the Status Line and the Data Window) - These values are independent from the band scale and stacking options
here's how the visualization options look like side-by-side. the chart on the right has EVEREX set to separate bands and the band scale set to 200 for comparison
הערות שחרור
RedK EVEREX v2.0 adds "EVEREX Markers" and provides markers for the 2 most famous VPA patterns - and they can be hidden from settings* Ease of Move (EoM): shows as Green/Red triangles (up or down based on detected direction)
* Compression / Squat (also called Churn bar): Can be shown either as circles or cross signs - Also Green/Red based on detected direction
- The threshold values (of the ratio Normalized Rel Price Strength : Normalized Rel Volume) where these patterns are triggered are really discretionary and can be changed within the code. Please see the code comments for more details
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