OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
EMA 9/21 with Target Price [SS]
מעודכן
Hey everyone,
Coming back with my EMA 9/21 indicator.
My original one was removed a long time ago because I didn't really realize that there were already plenty of similar indicators (my bad!) but this one is my unique, Steversteves edition haha.
About the Indicator:
Essentially, it just combines the 2 only EMA's I ever really use (the 9 and 21) with an ATR based analysis to calculate the average range a ticker undergoes after an EMA 9 / 21 Cross-over and Cross-under.
You can see the major example being in the chart above. I use this for dramatic effect as SPY just happened to have topped at the second expected bull target on the daily. But obviously the intention for this indicator is to be used on the smaller timeframes. Let's take a look at some examples with various tickers.
TSLA:
So let's just use the previous day as example (which was Friday). If we look to the chart below:
TSLA did an EMA 9/21 crossover (bullish) in premarket. This put the immediate TP at 234.59. If we play out the chart:
We shot right to it at open.
We then did a cross under with a TP of 225.93, but that was not realized as the sentiment was too bullish. We then cross back over to the upside, putthing next TP at 238.88 which was realized:
NVDA:
On Friday, NVDA was a bit of a mess, lots of whipsaw off open. But once we finally had a cross under with 3 consecutive closes below the EMA9/21 on the 5 minute chart, it solidified the likelihood of a short:
And this was the result:
We came down to the first target, held it actually as support before finally crossing back over, setting the next TP at 475.05. We got 3 consecutive closes above the EMA 9/21, so let's see what happened:
Nothing really, we closed before we got there, but we did make progress towards it.
And last but not least SPY:
We opened the day with a bullish crossover and 3 consecutive closes above the EMA9/21, making our TP 441.38 (chart above). Let's see what happened:
We came just shy of it after the fed release volatility slammed it down, where we got a crossunder (bearish) to a TP of 436.21:
This ended up playing out, we did get a bullish crossover later in the day and so let's see what happened then:
So those are the real examples, most recent examples of trading using this. They are not all perfect, which is intentional because you need to use a bit of your own analysis, of course, when you are using this type of strategy or indicator. The EMA 9/21 is not sufficient generally on its own, but it is very helpful to gauge the immediate PA and whether the expected move aligns with your overall thesis on the day in terms of realistic target prices.
Customizability:
In terms of the customizability, this is a very basic indicator aside from the assessment of ranges. So there really is not a lot to customize.
You can toggle off and on the labels if you do not want them, you can also adjust the lookback length for the ATR assessment. The lookback length is defaulted to 500, I do really highly suggest you leave it at 500 because this has worked well for me and in back-testing, it has performed above my own expectations.
But, that said, you can take this and back-test as you wish with whatever parameters you feel are most appropriate. I haven't back-tested this on every stock known to man, my go to's are SPY, QQQ, sometimes MSFT and so it works well on those. But perhaps some others will have differing results.
Final Thoughts:
That is the indicator in a nutshell! It is really self explanatory and its likely a strategy most of you already know. This just helps to add realistic price targets and context to those cross-overs and cross-unders.
It also works fine on larger timeframes. We can see it on the 1 hour with MSFT:
On the 2 hour hour with QQQ:
And I am sure you can find other examples!
That's it everyone, safe trades!
Coming back with my EMA 9/21 indicator.
My original one was removed a long time ago because I didn't really realize that there were already plenty of similar indicators (my bad!) but this one is my unique, Steversteves edition haha.
About the Indicator:
Essentially, it just combines the 2 only EMA's I ever really use (the 9 and 21) with an ATR based analysis to calculate the average range a ticker undergoes after an EMA 9 / 21 Cross-over and Cross-under.
You can see the major example being in the chart above. I use this for dramatic effect as SPY just happened to have topped at the second expected bull target on the daily. But obviously the intention for this indicator is to be used on the smaller timeframes. Let's take a look at some examples with various tickers.
TSLA:
So let's just use the previous day as example (which was Friday). If we look to the chart below:
TSLA did an EMA 9/21 crossover (bullish) in premarket. This put the immediate TP at 234.59. If we play out the chart:
We shot right to it at open.
We then did a cross under with a TP of 225.93, but that was not realized as the sentiment was too bullish. We then cross back over to the upside, putthing next TP at 238.88 which was realized:
NVDA:
On Friday, NVDA was a bit of a mess, lots of whipsaw off open. But once we finally had a cross under with 3 consecutive closes below the EMA9/21 on the 5 minute chart, it solidified the likelihood of a short:
And this was the result:
We came down to the first target, held it actually as support before finally crossing back over, setting the next TP at 475.05. We got 3 consecutive closes above the EMA 9/21, so let's see what happened:
Nothing really, we closed before we got there, but we did make progress towards it.
And last but not least SPY:
We opened the day with a bullish crossover and 3 consecutive closes above the EMA9/21, making our TP 441.38 (chart above). Let's see what happened:
We came just shy of it after the fed release volatility slammed it down, where we got a crossunder (bearish) to a TP of 436.21:
This ended up playing out, we did get a bullish crossover later in the day and so let's see what happened then:
So those are the real examples, most recent examples of trading using this. They are not all perfect, which is intentional because you need to use a bit of your own analysis, of course, when you are using this type of strategy or indicator. The EMA 9/21 is not sufficient generally on its own, but it is very helpful to gauge the immediate PA and whether the expected move aligns with your overall thesis on the day in terms of realistic target prices.
Customizability:
In terms of the customizability, this is a very basic indicator aside from the assessment of ranges. So there really is not a lot to customize.
You can toggle off and on the labels if you do not want them, you can also adjust the lookback length for the ATR assessment. The lookback length is defaulted to 500, I do really highly suggest you leave it at 500 because this has worked well for me and in back-testing, it has performed above my own expectations.
But, that said, you can take this and back-test as you wish with whatever parameters you feel are most appropriate. I haven't back-tested this on every stock known to man, my go to's are SPY, QQQ, sometimes MSFT and so it works well on those. But perhaps some others will have differing results.
Final Thoughts:
That is the indicator in a nutshell! It is really self explanatory and its likely a strategy most of you already know. This just helps to add realistic price targets and context to those cross-overs and cross-unders.
It also works fine on larger timeframes. We can see it on the 1 hour with MSFT:
On the 2 hour hour with QQQ:
And I am sure you can find other examples!
That's it everyone, safe trades!
הערות שחרור
Ooops,I quickly added condition alerts for bullish and bearish cross because I know people are going to ask for this.
Leave your comments and suggestions below as well!
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