VWAP Trendfollow Strategy [wbburgin]This is an experimental strategy that enters long when the instrument crosses over the upper standard deviation band of a VWAP and enters short when the instrument crosses below the bottom standard deviation band of the VWAP. I have added a trend filter as well, which stops entries that are opposite to the current trend of the VWAP. The trend filter will reduce total false breakouts, thus improving the % profitable while maintaining the overall returns of the strategy. Because this is a trend-following breakout strategy, the % profitable will typically be low but the average % return will be higher. As a rule, be sure to look at the average winning trade % compared to the average losing trade %, and compare that to the % profitable to judge the effectiveness of a strategy. Factor in fees and slippage as well.
This strategy appears to work better with the lower timeframes, and I was impressed with its results. It also appears to work on a wide range of asset classes. There isn't a stop loss or take profit built-in (other than the reversal signals, which close the current trade), so I would encourage you to expand on the strategy based on your own trading parameters.
You can toggle off the bar colors and the trend filter if you so desire.
Future updates to this script (or ideas of improving on it) might include a take profit level set at one standard deviation past the current level and a stop loss level set at one standard deviation closer to the vwap from the current level - or applying a multiple to the two based off of your reward/risk ratio.
About the strategy results below: this is with commissions of 0.5 % per trade.
Cryptomarket
Cobra's CryptoMarket VisualizerCobra's Crypto Market Screener is designed to provide a comprehensive overview of the top 40 marketcap cryptocurrencies in a table\heatmap format. This indicator incorporates essential metrics such as Beta, Alpha, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Omega Ratio, Z-Score, and Average Daily Range (ADR). The table utilizes cell coloring resembling a heatmap, allowing for quick visual analysis and comparison of multiple cryptocurrencies.
The indicator also includes a shortened explanation tooltip of each metric when hovering over it's respected cell. I shall elaborate on each here for anyone interested.
Metric Descriptions:
1. Beta: measures the sensitivity of an asset's returns to the overall market returns. It indicates how much the asset's price is likely to move in relation to a benchmark index. A beta of 1 suggests the asset moves in line with the market, while a beta greater than 1 implies the asset is more volatile, and a beta less than 1 suggests lower volatility.
2. Alpha: is a measure of the excess return generated by an investment compared to its expected return, given its risk (as indicated by its beta). It assesses the performance of an investment after adjusting for market risk. Positive alpha indicates outperformance, while negative alpha suggests underperformance.
3. Sharpe Ratio: measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment or portfolio. It evaluates the excess return earned per unit of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, as it reflects a higher return for each unit of volatility or risk.
4. Sortino Ratio: is a risk-adjusted measure similar to the Sharpe ratio but focuses only on downside risk. It considers the excess return per unit of downside volatility. The Sortino ratio emphasizes the risk associated with below-target returns and is particularly useful for assessing investments with asymmetric risk profiles.
5. Omega Ratio: measures the ratio of the cumulative average positive returns to the cumulative average negative returns. It assesses the reward-to-risk ratio by considering both upside and downside performance. A higher Omega ratio indicates a higher reward relative to the risk taken.
6. Z-Score: is a statistical measure that represents the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean of a dataset. In finance, the Z-score is commonly used to assess the financial health or risk of a company. It quantifies the distance of a company's financial ratios from the average and provides insight into its relative position.
7. Average Daily Range: ADR represents the average range of price movement of an asset during a trading day. It measures the average difference between the high and low prices over a specific period. Traders use ADR to gauge the potential price range within which an asset might fluctuate during a typical trading session.
Utility:
Comprehensive Overview: The indicator allows for monitoring up to 40 cryptocurrencies simultaneously, providing a consolidated view of essential metrics in a single table.
Efficient Comparison: The heatmap-like coloring of the cells enables easy visual comparison of different cryptocurrencies, helping identify relative strengths and weaknesses.
Risk Assessment: Metrics such as Beta, Alpha, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio offer insights into the risk associated with each cryptocurrency, aiding risk assessment and portfolio management decisions.
Performance Evaluation: The Alpha, Sharpe Ratio, and Sortino Ratio provide measures of a cryptocurrency's performance adjusted for risk. This helps assess investment performance over time and across different assets.
Market Analysis: By considering the Z-Score and Average Daily Range (ADR), traders can evaluate the financial health and potential price volatility of cryptocurrencies, aiding in trade selection and risk management.
Features:
Reference period optimization, alpha and ADR in particular
Source calculation
Table sizing and positioning options to fit the user's screen size.
Tooltips
Important Notes -
1. The Sharpe, Sortino and Omega ratios cell coloring threshold might be subjective, I did the best I can to gauge the median value of each to provide more accurate coloring sentiment, it may change in the future.
The median values are : Sharpe -1, Sortino - 1.5, Omega - 20.
2. Limitations - Some cryptos have a Z-Score value of NaN due to their short lifetime, I tried to overcome this issue as with the rest of the metrics as best I can. Moreover, it limits the time horizon for replay mode to somewhere around Q3 of 2021 and that's with using the split option of the top half, to remain with the older cryptos.
3. For the beginner Pine enthusiasts, I recommend scimming through the script as it serves as a prime example of using key features, to name a few : Arrays, User Defined Functions, User Defined Types, For loops, Switches and Tables.
4. Beta and Alpha's benchmark instrument is BTC, due to cryptos volatility I saw no reason to use SPY or any other asset for that matter.
Crypto Trend IndicatorThe Crypto Trend Indicator is a trend-following indicator specifically designed to identify bullish and bearish trends in the price of Bitcoin, and other cryptocurrencies. This indicator doesn't provide explicit instructions on when to buy or sell, but rather offers an understanding of whether the trend is bullish or bearish. It's important to note that this indicator is only useful for trend trading.
The band is a visual representation of the 30-day and 60-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When the 30-day EMA is above the 60-day EMA, the trend is bullish and the band is green. When the 30-day EMA is below the 60-day EMA, the trend is bearish and the band is red. When the 30-day EMA starts to converge with the 60-day EMA, the trend is neutral and the band is grey.
The line is a visual representation of the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) in the daily timeframe. "Bull" and "Bear" signals are generated when the 20-day EMA is either above or below the 20-week SMA, in conjunction with a bullish or bearish trend. When the band is green and the 20-day EMA is above the 20-week SMA, a “Bull” signal emerges. When the band is red and the 20-day EMA is below the 20-week SMA, a “Bear” signal emerges. The 20-week SMA can potentially also function as a leading indicator, as substantial price deviations from the SMA typically indicate an overextended market.
While this indicator has traditionally identified bullish and bearish trends in various cryptocurrency assets, past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, it is advisable to supplement this indicator with other technical tools. For instance, range-bound indicators can greatly improve the decision-making process when planning for entries and exits points.
Rainbow Drift BetaRainbow Drift Beta is an indicator that detects the triggers of long and short positions at any TF.
It's based on two different type of approaches to the EMAs periods:
- Classic EMAs periods: 10 and 50
- Cycle EMAs perdios: 16, 64 and 256
The 256 period EMA (Annual Cycle) detects the trend: if the EMA 64 (Three-Weekly Cycle) is above, it shows an uptrend; while the EMA 64 is below, it means that the price action is in downtrend.
10 and 16 periods EMAs are working together as well as the 50 and the 64. The first couple reacts faster than the second one and as soon as the 10 is above the 16, the band shows the first attempt of the price action to go in the uptrend direction. The same concept is applied to the second couple (50, 64): when EMA 50 > EMA 64 it's a confirmation of the faster EMAs long direction. Viceverca happens for the downtrend but with the same concept.
As the EMA periods taken in consideration are quite often a sensitive level of reaction of the price, the indicator detects when there is trigger of a long or a short set up and plots a label on the chart. It's possibile to set up an alert as well.
Quite important, the indicator is looking for sideways patterns as the breakout of them shows a clear direction of the price.
Moreover, in order to privide the first and the best entry possibile, the indicator has a function that is triggering only one time as the trend reverted: for example, a long entry on the EMA 10-16 happens only one time since they crossover the EMA 64.
As included in the name, this is a beta version and new improvements will be added in the near future like suggested price entry, SL and TP, and the focus of the development is to avoid as much as possibile the false triggers.
Of course the best way to improve the code is to receive the users' feedbacks, so please feel free to post your comments and questions.
Crypto Correlation MatrixA crypto correlation matrix or table is a tool that displays the correlation between different cryptocurrencies and other financial assets. The matrix provides an overview of the degree to which various cryptocurrencies move in tandem or independently of each other. Each cell represents the correlation between the row and column assets respectively.
The correlation matrix can be useful for traders and investors in several ways:
First, it allows them to identify trends and patterns in the behavior of different cryptocurrencies. By looking at the correlations between different assets, traders can gain insight into the intra-relationships of the crypto market and make more informed trading decisions. For example, if two cryptocurrencies have a high positive correlation, meaning that they tend to move in the same direction, a trader may want to diversify their portfolio by choosing to invest in only one of the two assets.
Additionally, the correlation matrix can help traders and investors to manage risk. By analyzing the correlations between different assets, traders can identify opportunities to hedge their positions or limit their exposure to particular risks. For example, if a trader holds a portfolio of cryptocurrencies that are highly correlated with each other, they may be at greater risk of losses if the market moves against them. By diversifying their portfolio with assets that are less correlated with each other, they can reduce their overall risk.
Some of the unique properties for this specific script are the correlation strength levels in conjunction with the color gradient of cells, intended for clearer readability.
Features:
Supports up to 64 different crypto assets.
Dark/Light mode.
Correlation strength levels and cell coloring.
Adjustable positioning on the chart.
Alerts at the close of a bar. (Daily timeframe or higher recommended)
Grid Spot Trading Algorithm V2 - The Quant ScienceGrid Spot Trading Algorithm V2 is the last grid trading algorithm made by our developer team.
Grid Spot Trading Algorithm V2 is a fixed 10-level grid trading algorithm. The grid is divided into an accumulation area (red) and a selling area (green).
In the accumulation area, the algorithm will place new buy orders, selling the long positions on the top of the grid.
BUYING AND SELLING LOGIC
The algorithm places up to 5 limit orders on the accumulation section of the grid, each time the price cross through the middle grid. Each single order uses 20% of the equity.
Positions are closed at the top of the grid by default, with the algorithm closing all orders at the first sell level. The exit level can be adjusted using the user interface, from the first level up to the fifth level above.
CONFIGURING THE ALGORITHM
1) Add it to the chart: Add the script to the current chart that you want to analyze.
2) Select the top of the grid: Confirm a price level with the mouse on which to fix the top of the grid.
3) Select the bottom of the grid: Confirm a price level with the mouse on which to fix the bottom of the grid.
4) Wait for the automatic creation of the grid.
USING THE ALGORITHM
Once the grid configuration process is completed, the algorithm will generate automatic backtesting.
You can add a stop loss that destroys the grid by setting the destruction price and activating the feature from the user interface. When the stop loss is activated, you can view it on the chart.
USDT Inflow TrackerUSDT INFLOW TRACKER
What does this script do? It looks for important inflow from USDT and write it below or above your chart.
Does it matter? Yes because Tether with planned USDT inflow highly manipulate the crypto market.
With this simple script you can study what and when something strange is going to happen on your favourite token.
HOW IT WORKS?
Pretty simple. It just continuosly check USDT (and USDC) Market Cap and verify if the last candle is way higher than last one. If it was way higher than expected it plot a green square and write a note with the total Inflow of USDT in the crypto market (not specifcially for your token)
Now you can see when an important inflow is done and start to plan your entry and exit strategy in the crypto market.
AUTOSET
With Autoset you can rely on standard values
5min TF : Inflow greater than of 15 mln (in 1 candle)
30min TF : Inflow greater than of 150 mln (in 1 candle)
60min TF : Inflow greater than of 300 mln (in 1 candle)
1Day TF : Inflow greater than of 900 mln (in 1 candle)
So you can check your favourite coin in no time looking for a good trading position
MANUAL SETTINGS
Otherwise you can set directly your Inflow to track based on your needs.
In the example below I've set to check everytime an Inflow of 25mln USDT or greater was done.
As you can see it highly influence the relative token.
Crypto Uptrend Script + Pullback//Volume CandlesDescription: his is an adaption of my Pullback candle - This works on all timeframes and Markets (Forex//Stocks//)
Crypto Uptrend Script with Pullback Candle allows traders to get into a trend when the price is at end of a pullback and entering a balance phase in the market (works on all markets). The use of Moving averages to help identify a Trends and the use of Key levels to help traders be aware of where strong areas are in the market.
This script can work really well in Crypto Bull Runs when used on HTF and with confluences
The script has key support and resistance zones which are made up of quarterly data. Price reacts to these areas but patience is required as price will take time to come into these areas
I have updated the Pullback Candle with the use of Volume to filter out the weak Pullback Candles -
There are new candles to the script.
The First candle is the Bullish Volume Candle - This candle is set to a multiplier of 2x with a crossover of 50/100 on Volume - this then will paint a purple candle.
Uses of the Bullish Volume Candle:
Breakthrough of key areas // special chart patterns
Rejection of key areas
End of a impulse wave (Profit Takers)
The second candle is a Hammer - I prefer using the Hammers on Higher Timeframes however they do work on all timeframes. .
The third candle is a Exhaustion of impulse downward move.
Uses of this candle - can denote a new trend but has to be with confluence to a demand area // support area or with any use of technical analysis - using this alone is not advised
The fourth candle is a indecision candle in the shape of a Doji - this candle can help identify if the trend is in a continuation or a reversal
This script can work really well in Crypto Bull Runs
Disclaimer: There will be Pullbacks with High Volume (Breakouts) and not go the way as intended but this script is to allow traders to get into trends at good price levels. The script can paint signals in areas where price is too expensive so please do your own due diligence on the markets as this script is to help get into good areas of price
Please leave a thumbs up if you like this script and message me for information on how to use the script.
MVRV Z Score and MVRV Free Float Z-ScoreIMPORTANT: This script needs as much historic data as possible. Please run it on INDEX:BTCUSD , BNC:BLX or another chart of sufficient length.
MVRV
The MVRV (Market Value to Realised Value Ratio) simply divides bitcoins market cap by bitcoins realized market cap. This was previously impossible on Tradingview but has now been made possible thanks to Coinmetrics providing us with the realized market cap data.
In the free float version, the free float market cap is used instead of the regular market cap.
Z-Score
The MVRV Z-score divides the difference between Market cap and realized market cap by the historic standard deviation of the market cap.
Historically, this has been insanely accurate at detecting bitcoin tops and bottoms:
A Z-Score above 7 means bitcoin is vastly overpriced and at a local top.
A Z-Score below 0.1 means bitcoin is underpriced and at a local bottom.
In the free float version, the free float market cap is used instead of the regular market cap.
The Z-Score, also known as the standard score is hugely popular in a wide range of mathematical and statistical fields and is usually used to measure the number of standard deviations by which the value of a raw score is above or below the mean value of what is being observed or measured.
Credits
MVRV Z Score initially created by aweandwonder
MVRV initially created by Murad Mahmudov and David Puell
Auto anchored VWAP Highest/Lowest Last 'n' bars The VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) indicator is used to calculate the average price weighted by volume. This indicator is designed to automatically draw VWAPs from the highest and lowest points of the last 'n' bars.
It utilizes arrays to calculate the values of VWAP and plot it on the chart on the last historical bar. This version was coded to get a similar version to the official "VWAP Auto anchored" with the highest/lowest selected settings.
To use VWAP, traders can look for price movements relative to the VWAP line to identify potential support or resistance levels. It can also be used in conjunction with other technical indicators to develop trading strategies.
Crypto McClellan Oscillator (SLN Fix)This is an adaption of the Mcclellan Oscillator for crypto. Instead of tracking the S&P500 it tracks a selection of cryptos to make sure the indicator follows this sector instead.
Full credit goes to the creator of this indicator: Fadior. It has since been fixed by SLN.
The following description explains the standard McClellan Oscillator. Full credit to Investopedia , my fav source of financial explanations.
The same principles applies to its use in the crypto sector, but please be cautious of the last point, the limitations. Since crypto is more volatile, that could amplify choppy behavior.
This is not financial advice, please be extremely cautious. This indicator is only suitable as a confirmation signal and needs support of other signals to be profitable.
This indicator usually produces the best signals on slightly above daily time frame. I personally like 2 or 3 day, but you have to find the settings suitable for your trading style.
What Is the McClellan Oscillator?
The McClellan Oscillator is a market breadth indicator that is based on the difference between the number of advancing and declining issues on a stock exchange, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ.
The indicator is used to show strong shifts in sentiment in the indexes, called breadth thrusts. It also helps in analyzing the strength of an index trend via divergence or confirmation.
The McClellan Oscillator formula can be applied to any stock exchange or group of stocks.
A reading above zero helps confirm a rise in the index, while readings below zero confirm a decline in the index.
When the index is rising but the oscillator is falling, that warns that the index could start declining too. When the index is falling and the oscillator is rising, that indicates the index could start rising soon. This is called divergence.
A significant change, such as moving 100 points or more, from a negative reading to a positive reading is called a breadth thrust. It may indicate a strong reversal from downtrend to uptrend is underway on the stock exchange.
How to Calculate the McClellan Oscillator
To get the calculation started, track Advances - Declines on a stock exchange for 19 and 39 days. Calculate a simple average for these, not exponential moving average (EMA).
Use these simple values as the Prior Day EMA values in the 19- and 39-day EMA formulas.
Calculate the 19- and 39-day EMAs.
Calculate the McClellan Oscillator value.
Now that the value has been calculated, on the next calculation use this value for the Prior Day EMA. Start calculating EMAs for the formula instead of simple averages.
If using the adjusted formula, the steps are the same, except use ANA instead of using Advances - Declines.
What Does the McClellan Oscillator Tell You?
The McClellan Oscillator is an indicator based on market breadth which technical analysts can use in conjunction with other technical tools to determine the overall state of the stock market and assess the strength of its current trend.
Since the indicator is based on all the stocks in an exchange, it is compared to the price movements of indexes that reflect that exchange, or compared to major indexes such as the S&P 500.
Positive and negative values indicate whether more stocks, on average, are advancing or declining. The indicator is positive when the 19-day EMA is above the 39-day EMA, and negative when the 19-day EMA is below the 39-day EMA.
A positive and rising indicator suggests that stocks on the exchange are being accumulated. A negative and falling indicator signals that stocks are being sold. Typically such action confirms the current trend in the index.
Crossovers from positive to negative, or vice versa, may signal the trend has changed in the index or exchange being tracked. When the indicator makes a large move, typically of 100 points or more, from negative to positive territory, that is called a breadth thrust.
It means a large number of stocks moved up after a bearish move. Since the stock market tends to rise over time, this a positive signal and may indicate that a bottom in the index is in and prices are heading higher overall.
When index prices and the indicator are moving in different directions, then the current index trend may lack strength. Bullish divergence occurs when the oscillator is rising while the index is falling. This indicates the index could head higher soon since more stocks are starting to advance.
Bearish divergence is when the index is rising and the indicator is falling. This means fewer stocks are keeping the advance going and prices may start to head lower.
Limitations of Using the McClellan Oscillator
The indicator tends to produce lots of signals. Breadth thrusts, divergence, and crossovers all occur with some frequency, but not all these signals will result in the price/index moving in the expected direction.
The indicator is prone to producing false signals and therefore should be used in conjunction with price action analysis and other technical indicators.
The indicator can also be quite choppy, moving between positive and negative territory rapidly. Such action indicates a choppy market, but this isn't evident until the indicator has made this whipsaw move a few times.
Good luck and a big thanks to Fadior!