Strategy Myth-Busting #11 - TrendMagic+SqzMom+CDV - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 11th one is an automated version of the "Magic Trading Strategy : Most Profitable Indicator : 1 Minute Scalping Strategy Crypto" strategy from "Fx MENTOR US" who doesn't make any official claims but given the indicators he was using, it looked like on the surface that this might actually work. The strategy author uses this on the 1 minute and 3 minute timeframes on mostly FOREX and Heiken Ashi candles but as the title of his strategy indicates is designed for Crypto. So who knows..
To backtest this accurately and get a better picture we resolved the Heiken Ashi bars to standard candlesticks . Even so, I was unable to sustain any consistency in my results on either the 1 or 3 min time frames and both FOREX and Crypto. 10000% Busted.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Trend Magic by KivancOzbilgic
Squeeze Momentum by LazyBear
Cumulative Delta Volume by LonesomeTheBlue
Trend Magic consists of two main indicators to validate momentum and volatility. It uses an ATR like a trailing Stop to determine the overarching momentum and CCI as a means to validate volatility. Together these are used as the primary indicator in this strategy. When the CCI is above 0 this is confirmation of a volatility event is occurring with affirmation based upon current momentum (ATR).
The CCI volatility indicator gets confirmation by the the Cumulative Delta Volume indicator which calculates the difference between buying and selling pressure. Volume Delta is calculated by taking the difference of the volume that traded at the offer price and the volume that traded at the bid price. The more volume that is traded at the bid price, the more likely there is momentum in the market.
And lastly the Squeeze Momentum indicator which uses a combination of Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels and Momentum are used to again confirm momentum and volatility. During periods of low volatility, Bollinger bands narrow and trade inside Keltner channels. They can only contract so much before it can’t contain the energy it’s been building. When the Bollinger bands come back out, it explodes higher. When we see the histogram bar exploding into green above 0 that is a clear confirmation of increased momentum and volatile. The opposite (red) below 0 is true when there are low periods. This indicator is used as a means to really determine when there is premium selling plays going on leading to big directional movements again confirming the positive or negative momentum and volatility direction.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Trading Rules
1 - 3 min candles
FOREX or Crypto
Stop loss at swing high/low | 1.5 risk/ratio
Long Condition
Trend Magic line is Blue ( CCI is above 0) and above the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is green/lime
Cumulative Delta Volume line is green
Short Condition
Trend Magic line is Red ( CCI is below 0) and below the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is red/maroon
Cumulative Delta Volume line is peach
מדד ווליום מצטבר CVI (CVI)
Realtime Cumulative DeltaThis is a Real time volume Delta indicator which has to run real time on the chart to capture observation.
Start it when the session starts and log the data and observe. It plots histograms as well as candlesticks of the the cumulative volume delta, from the style switch whichever you want.
It is done based on real time tick and not based on candlesticks, so the accuracy of volume delta is more. Uptick volumes are added as buy and downtick volumes as sell which is the actual way of calculating CVD
Apply the CVD concepts for trading results.
Cumulative DeltaThis scripts calculates the cumulative volume delta within the current day.
Options allow you to change the display type of this data (3 different configurations are given in the chart above)
The following options are available:
Colors selection
Reset cumulative delta everyday (can be disable to keep a continuous calculation of the delta over days)
Show histogram (used to display the delta as a positive/negative histogram)
Show daily High/Low levels (draw highest and lowest delta levels within the day)
Show candles (display the cumulative delta as candles)
Show Moving average (display a moving average which is reseted everyday at the same time as the cumulative delta itself)
Moving average length
This script will be updated if I feel the need to improve things or to add new features
Baller DCA StudyFinds bottoms using CVI. Green arrow is the signal. Used for a DCA strategy in conjunction with MMLC
Baekdoo golden diamond signalHi forks,
I'm trader Baekdoosan who trading Equity from South Korea. This Baekdoo golden Diamond signal indicate good buying position to trade.
Here's the ideas
1. Soaring volume happen with big white candle.
a. Soaring volume can be measured for highest volume in certain period of time (default value is for 1 year). (blue area)
b. Soaring volume can also be measured by 10% of certain period of time(default value is for 1 year)'s cumulative volume . (green area) => you can adjust this ratio input. the higher value is the more likely to trail of whale
2. Drops under 5 days lowest price without volume . (red area) => I put half of average volume as default but you may can adjust it (the lower value is the more likely to soar again)
3. cross over 5 days highest price after 1, 2 conditions => Golden Diamond
underneath of this idea is, big chunk of the money comes and correction is on going but major whale's amount hold tight.
you can modify input values based on your investigation. It works well on day chart as well as minute chart. for the area with breaks plots are to checking the 1,2 conditions. so for final indicator will only be shown from this indicator but you can select plots if you think that is useful.
hope this will help your trading on equity as well as crypto. I didn't try it on futures . Best of luck all of you. Gazua~!
Baekdoo Golden Diamond signalHi forks,
I'm trader Baekdoosan who trading Equity from South Korea. This Baekdoo golden Diamond signal indicate good buying position to trade.
Here's the ideas
1. Soaring volume happen with big white candle.
a. Soaring volume can be measured for highest volume in certain period of time (default value is for 1 year). (blue area)
b. Soaring volume can also be measured by 10% of certain period of time(default value is for 1 year)'s cumulative volume. (green area) => you can adjust this ratio input. the higher value is the more likely to trail of whale
2. Drops under 5 days lowest price without volume. (red area) => I put half of average volume as default but you may can adjust it (the lower value is the more likely to soar again)
3. cross over 5 days highest price after 1, 2 conditions => Golden Diamond
underneath of this idea is, big chunk of the money comes and correction is on going but major whale's amount hold tight.
you can modify input values based on your investigation. It works well on day chart as well as minute chart. for the area with breaks plots are to checking the 1,2 conditions. so for final indicator will only be shown from this indicator but you can select plots if you think that is useful.
hope this will help your trading on equity as well as crypto. I didn't try it on futures . Best of luck all of you. Gazua~!
Market Breadth Indicator (percentage of US stocks above * SMA)This script is a revised version of jchang274's Multi-Sub script.
Add more feature from the original jchang274 script.
1.Compare 4 US STOCK INDEX ( Dowjones 30/NASDAQ100/RUSSELL2000/S&P500 ) in the same index of percentage of stocks above 20 /50/100/200 days simple moving average.
2. Use 4 index of percentage of stocks above 20 /50/100/200 days simple moving average,compare the same stock index ( Dowjones 30/NASDAQ100/RUSSELL2000/S&P500 )
How it begin?
Traders and investors use market breadth in order to assess the index’s overall health. Market breadth can be a reliable, if not an accurate, indicator of an upcoming price rise in the index. Similarly, it can also provide early warning signs for a future price decline.
What is it？
Market breadth indicators analyze the number of stocks advancing relative to those that are declining in a given index or on a stock exchange.
Market breadth refers to how many stocks are participating in a given move in an index or on a stock exchange. An index may be rising yet more than half the stocks in the index are falling because a small number of stocks have such large gains that they drag the whole index higher.
How it works?
Market breadth studies attempt to uncover strength or weakness in the movements of an index that are not visible simply by looking at a chart of the index.
U.S. Stocks & Options CVI to Bitcoin Correlation [NeoButane]Conceptual indicator based on trying to find an inverse correlation between bitcoin and traditional markets due to bitcoin's usefulness as a hedge against economic downturns.
How to use this script: you look at it and see if there is a correlation or not between bitcoin/Ethereum price and either U.S. stock CVi, buy volume, sell volume, calls, puts, or the call/put ratio.
