Pulse DPO: Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms█ OVERVIEW
Pulse DPO is an oscillator designed to highlight Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms .
It works on any market driven by cycles. It operates by removing the short-term noise from the price action and focuses on the market's cyclical nature.
This indicator uses a Normalized version of the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) on a 0-100 scale, making it easier to identify major tops and bottoms.
Credit: The DPO was first developed by William Blau in 1991.
█ HOW TO READ IT
Pulse DPO oscillates in the range between 0 and 100. A value in the upper section signals an OverBought (OB) condition, while a value in the lower section signals an OverSold (OS) condition.
Generally, the triggering of OB and OS conditions don't necessarily translate into swing tops and bottoms, but rather suggest caution on approaching a market that might be overextended.
Nevertheless, this indicator has been customized to trigger the signal only during remarkable top and bottom events.
I suggest using it on the Daily Time Frame , but you're free to experiment with this indicator on other time frames.
The indicator has Built-in Alerts to signal the crossing of the Thresholds. Please don't act on an isolated signal, but rather integrate it to work in conjunction with the indicators present in your Trading Plan.
█ OB SIGNAL ON: ENTERING OVERBOUGHT CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Above the Top Threshold it Triggers ON the OB signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to OB color.
When Pulse DPO enters the OB Zone, please beware! In this Area the Major Players usually become Active Sellers to the Public. While the OB signal is On, it might be wise to Consider Selling a portion or the whole Long Position.
Please note that even though this indicator aims to focus on major tops and bottoms, a strong trending market might trigger the OB signal and stay with it for a long time. That's especially true on young markets and on bubble-mode markets.
█ OB SIGNAL OFF: EXITING OVERBOUGHT CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Below the Top Threshold it Triggers OFF the OB signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to its normal color.
When Pulse DPO exits the OB Zone, please beware because a Major Top might just have occurred. In this Area the Major Players usually become Aggressive Sellers. They might wind up any remaining Long Positions and Open new Short Positions.
This might be a good area to Open Shorts or to Close/Reverse any remaining Long Position. Whatever you choose to do, it's usually best to act quickly because the market is prone to enter into panic mode.
█ OS SIGNAL ON: ENTERING OVERSOLD CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Below the Bottom Threshold it Triggers ON the OS signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to OS color.
When Pulse DPO enters the OS Zone, please beware because in this Area the Major Players usually become Active Buyers accumulating Long Positions from the desperate Public.
While the OS signal is On, it might be wise to Consider becoming a Buyer or to implement a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy to build a Long Position towards the next Cycle. In contrast to the tops, the OS state usually takes longer to resolve a major bottom.
█ OS SIGNAL OFF: EXITING OVERSOLD CONDITION
When Pulse DPO crosses Above the Bottom Threshold it Triggers OFF the OS signal. At this point the oscillator line shifts to its normal color.
When Pulse DPO exits the OS Zone, please beware because a Major Bottom might already be in place. In this Area the Major Players become Aggresive Buyers. They might wind up any remaining Short Positions and Open new Long Positions.
This might be a good area to Open Longs or to Close/Reverse any remaining Short Positions.
█ WHY WOULD YOU BE INTERESTED IN THIS INDICATOR?
This indicator is built over a solid foundation capable of signaling Major Cycle Tops and Bottoms across many markets. Let's see some examples:
Early Bitcoin Years: From 0 to 1242
This chart is in logarithmic mode in order to properly display various exponential cycles. Pulse DPO is properly signaling the major early highs from 9-Jun-2011 at 31.50, to the next one on 9-Apr-2013 at 240 and the epic top from 29-Nov-2013 at 1242.
Due to the massive price movements, the OB condition stays pinned during most of the exponential price action. But as you can see, the OB condition quickly vanishes once the Cycle Top has been reached. As the market matures, the OB condition becomes more exceptional and triggers much closer from the Cycle Top.
With regards to Cycle Bottoms, the early bottom of 2 after having peaked at 31.50 doesn’t get captured by the indicator. That is the only cycle bottom that escapes the Pulse DPO when the bottom threshold is set at a value of 5. In that event, the oscillator low reached 6.95.
Bitcoin Adoption Spreading: From 257 to 73k
This chart is in logarithmic mode in order to properly display various exponential cycles. Pulse DPO is properly signaling all the major highs from 17-Dec-2017 at 19k, to the next one on 14-Apr-2021 at 64k and the most recent top from 9-Nov-2021 at 68k.
During the massive run of 2017, the OB condition still stayed triggered for a few weeks on each swing top. But on the next cycles it started to signal only for a few days before each swing top actually happened. The OB condition during the last cycle top triggered only for 3 days. Therefore the signal grows in focus as the market matures.
At the time of publishing this indicator, Bitcoin printed a new All Time High (ATH) on 13-Mar-2024 at 73k. That run didn’t trigger the OB condition. Therefore, if the indicator is correct the Bitcoin market still has some way to grow during the next months.
With regards to Cycle Bottoms, the bottom of 3k after having peaked at19k got captured within the wide OS zone. The bottom of 15k after having peaked at 68k got captured too within the OS accumulation area.
Gold
Pulse DPO behaves surprisingly well on a long standing market such as Gold. Moving back to the 197x years it’s been signaling most Cycle Tops and Bottoms with precision. During the last cycle, it shows topping at 2k and bottoming at 1.6k.
The current price action is signaling OB condition in the range of 2.5k to 2.7k. Looking at past cycles, it tends to trigger on and off at multiple swing tops until reaching the final cycle top. Therefore this might indicate the first wave within a potential gold run.
Oil
On the Oil market, we can see that most of the cycle tops and bottoms since the 80s got signaled. The only exception being the low from 2020 which didn’t trigger.
EURUSD
On Forex markets the Pulse DPO also behaves as expected. Looking back at EURUSD we can see the marketing triggering OB and OS conditions during major cycle tops and bottoms from recent times until the 80s.
S&P 500
On the S&P 500 the Pulse DPO catched the lows from 2016 and 2020. Looking at present price action, the recent ATH didn’t trigger the OB condition. Therefore, the indicator is allowing room for another leg up during the next months.
Amazon
On the Amazon chart the Pulse DPO is mirroring pretty accurately the major swings. Scrolling back to the early 2000s, this chart resembles early exponential swings in the crypto space.
Tesla
Moving onto a younger tech stock, Pulse DPO captures pretty accurately the major tops and bottoms. The chart is shown in logarithmic scale to better display the magnitude of the moves.
█ SETTINGS
This indicator is ideal for identifying major market turning points while filtering out short-term noise. You are free to adjust the parameters to align with your preferred trading style.
Parameters : This section allows you to customize any of the Parameters that shape the Oscillator.
Oscillator Length: Defines the period for calculating the Oscillator.
Offset: Shifts the oscillator calculation by a certain number of periods, which is typically half the Oscillator Length.
Lookback Period: Specifies how many bars to look back to find tops and bottoms for normalization.
Smoothing Length: Determines the length of the moving average used to smooth the oscillator.
Thresholds : This section allows you to customize the Thresholds that trigger the OB and OS conditions.
Top: Defines the value of the Top Threshold.
Bottom: Defines the value of the Bottom Threshold.
אוסליטור מחיר Detrended (DPO)
Cycle Oscillator V2 [OmegaTools]Introducing the "Cycle Oscillator" by OmegaTools, an innovative addition to your TradingView analysis toolkit. This script is designed to offer a unique approach to understanding market cycles without the need for volume data, making it versatile across various market conditions and asset classes.
Key Features:
- Cycle Length Customization: Tailor the cycle length from 10 to 200 bars to fit the specific rhythm of the market you're analyzing, ensuring relevance and precision.
- Smoothness Adjustment: Fine-tune the oscillator's smoothness to capture the essence of market movements with options ranging from 1 to 20.
- Aesthetic Flexibility: Choose your preferred colors for the oscillator's upward and downward movements, personalizing your chart to your liking.
- Historical Mode: Toggle the historical mode to either focus on real-time analysis or review past cycle data for backtesting and study.
- Candle Color Modes: Enhance your visual analysis with optional candle coloring based on trend, signals, or extensions, providing immediate insight into market conditions.
Usage Guide:
1. Setting Up: Easily adjust the cycle length and smoothness to match the market's current volatility and your trading style.
2. Understanding Market Cycles: The oscillator plots the average deviation from three distinct moving averages, offering a clear view of potential market turns or continuations.
3. Identifying Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Utilize the upper and lower bounds to recognize extreme market conditions, guiding your entry and exit decisions.
4. Visual Enhancements: Customize the visual aspects, including colors and candle coloring, to make your analysis both effective and aesthetically pleasing.
5. Anticipating Market Movements: The script provides forward-looking lines to suggest potential future highs or lows, aiding in predictive analysis.
Designed with both novice and experienced traders in mind, the "Cycle Oscillator" is a testament to OmegaTools' commitment to providing high-quality, innovative trading tools. Whether you're looking to refine your trading strategy or seeking new analytical perspectives, this script offers a comprehensive solution to navigating the ebbs and flows of the financial markets.
Join the community of traders enhancing their TradingView experience with the "Cycle Oscillator" by OmegaTools. Start exploring deeper market insights and unlock new trading opportunities today.
Detrended Price Rate of ChangeThe Detrended Price Rate of Change is an oscillator developed to help traders identify potential conditions of overbought and oversold markets.
The formula of the oscillator includes both the Detrended price formula, useful to spot divergences, and the Rate of change simplified formula, which helps in identifying overextended markets and gives useful information on price momentum.
Strategy Myth-Busting #23 - 2xEMA+DPO- [MYN]#23 on the Myth-Busting bench, we are automating the "Best Funded Account Trading Strategy (Pass EVERY Challenge!)" strategy from "Trade with Pat" who claims this strategy will pass every trading challenge out there.
This strategy uses 3 open source indicators. 2 EMA's. The first one (Slow) is set to a length of 40 and a fast EMA which is set to 12. This strategy uses the crossover of the fast( 12) EMA over the Slow EMA ( 40 ) as the primary means to enter a long position. The opposite when the fast EMA crosses under the slow EMA as a means to indicate a short position. This strategy uses the DPO (Detrended Price Oscillaor) from the Uptrend Price DPO indicator in the same way we would traditionally use a stochastic or moving average convergence/divergence indicator like the MACD . Basically, the DPO helps evaluate and estimate the length of the price cycle from peak to peek or through to trough and in this strategy confirms entry of a long / short condition complimenting the EMA crossover/crossunders.
And as always, If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
This strategy uses a combination of 2 open-source public indicators:
EMA x2 ( 40 and 12)
Untrend Price DPO indicator by jTradeuh
Trading Rules
1 or 4 hour candles
Stop loss at previous highest-high (Short) and lowest-low (Long).
Take Profit 2 - 2.5 the risk
Strategy Template includes open source code from the following:
Performance Summary Dashboard by @VertMT
Time Of Day Window by @ddctv
Monthly Table Performance Dashboard by @QuantNomad
Zero Lag Detrended Price Oscillator (ZL DPO)This indicator attempts to create a zero lag Detrended price oscillator using 2 different scripts. I actually really like the results so far. I hope you all find it useful too.
Green>Red = long
Red>Green = short
The lines on the example chart are some of the signals that the indicator gave on default settings.
The greens are wins, reds are outright losses, and blues are "scratch" trades(signal for other side before hitting stop loss).
All of the signals tested were using NNFX money management to see if they are wins or losses(1.5x atr for SL and 1 Atr for TP).
Supertrend + RSI Strategy [Alose]This strategy combines the best of both indicators (Supertrend & RSI).
As we know, Supertrend is excellent at finding changes in the market trend and thus finding the best entries, however in my opinion it has a great weakness and it is that it does not know how to find the best exit point.
For this reason I decided to combine it with the RSI that we know usually knows the highest and lowest rebound points of the price, thus managing to find the best exit point for the strategy.
The best thing about combining these 2 indicators is that our trades will obtain better profits in less time.
LONG ENTRY
When SuperTrend changes its direction and it is less than 0.
LONG EXIT
There are two ways to close the trade:
When RSI is overbought, you can choose the "Overbought Level " inside the strategy settings (Default: 72).
When SuperTrend changes its direction and it is grater than 0.
SHORT ENTRY (You can enable short entries in strategy settings)
When SuperTrend changes its direction and it is grater than 0.
LONG EXIT
There are two ways to close the trade:
When RSI is oversold, you can choose the "Oversold Level " inside the strategy settings (Default: 28).
When SuperTrend changes its direction and it is less than 0.
MTF DPO-RSI IndicatorThis indicator uses the principle of taking the RSI of DPO readings across multiple time frames in order to provide trade signals and an overarching view of market conditions to the trader. My hope with creating this indicator was to present more divergence based signals than your typical indicator, while still keeping those signals at a high quality.
In the settings menu, you may specify:
Indicator Timeframe - the chart resolution that is used to calculate values.
Source DPO Length - the number of bars used to calculate the Detrended Price Oscillator value. The DPO value is the source for the RSI calculations.
DPO Hull Smoothing - how much smoothing is applied to the DPO . Smoothing is accomplished by taking a Hull Moving Average of the closing price, and using this to calculate the DPO value.
RSI Length - the number of bars used to calculate the RSI of the DPO value.
Time Multipliers 1 through 6 - use this to define what resolution each plot will represent. A value of 1 will represent the current Indicator Timeframe. A value of 3 will represent 3 times the current Indicator Timeframe, etc.
Show Plot 1 through 6 - toggles the display of plots.
How I trade with this indicator:
A value of under 30 represents an over sold state for that particular plot. A value of over 70 represents an overbought state for that plot.
Identify divergences on a lower timeframe plot which are apparent in overbought or oversold conditions, and confirm the signal with an overbought or oversold condition, or a divergence on a higher timeframe plot. Divergences which begin in oversold or overbought territory and end inside the 30-70 range tend to be more reliable signals, in my experience. Like all indicators, this is best when used in conjunction with other indicators. Trend indicators, such as double EMA's and Supertrend are my favorite pairing, and a stochastic RSI is a good tool to have as well.
This is my first published indicator! If you find unique ways to use it, drop me a message. I'd love to know what you find. :)
Buy/Sell RatingIdentifies prices above and below input percentile thresholds over the input length of time. Use to identify buy/sell opportunities relative to recent pricing. Also provides percent of price distance from moving average over the same length.
Detrended Rhythm Oscillator (DRO)How to detect the current "market beat" or market cycle?
A common way to capture the current dominant cycle length is to detrend the price and look for common rhythms in the detrended series. A common approach is to use a Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO). This is done in order to identify and isolate short-term cycles.
A basic DPO description can be found here:
www.tradingview.com
Improvements to the standard DPO
The main purpose of the standard DPO is to analyze historical data in order to observe cycle's in a market's movement. DPO can give the technical analyst a better sense of a cycle's typical high/low range as well as its duration. However, you need to manually try to "see" tops and bottoms on the detrended price and measure manually the distance from low-low or high-high in order to derive a possible cycle length.
Therefore, I added the following improvements:
1) Using a DPO to detrend the price
2) Indicate the turns of the detrended price with a ZigZag lines to better see the tops/bottoms
3) Detrend the ZigZag to remove price amplitude between turns to even better see the cyclic turns ("rhythm")
4) Measure the distance from last detrended zigzag pivot (high-high / low-low) and plot the distance in bars above/below the turn
Now, you can clearly see the rhythm of the dataset indicated by the Detrended Rhythm Oscillator including the exact length between the turns. This makes the procedure to "spot" turns and "measure" distance more simple for the trader.
How to use this information
The purpose is to check if there is a common rhythm or beat in the underlying dataset. To check that, look for recurring pattern in the numbers. E.g. if you often see the same measured distance, you can conclude that there is a major dominant cycle in this market. Also watch for harmonic relations between the numbers. So in the example above you see the highlighted cluster of detected length of around 40,80 and 120. There three numbers all have a harmonic relation to 40.
Once you have this cyclic information, you can use this number to optimize or tune technical indicators based on the current dominant cycle length. E.g. set the length parameter of a technical indicator to the detected harmonic length with the DRO indicator.
Example Use-Case
You can use this information to set the input for the following free public open-source script:
Disclaimer
This is not meant to be a technical indicator on its own and the derived cyclic length should not be used to forecast the next turn per se. The indicator should give you an indication of the current market beat or dominant beats which can be use to further optimize other oscillator or trading related settings.
Options & settings
The indicator allows to plot different versions. It allows to plot the original DPO, the DRO with ZigZag lines, the DRO with detrended ZigZag lines and length labels on/off. You can turn on or off these version in the indicator settings. So you can tweak it visually to your own needs.
FUERSTUses Normalized Price Oscillator and Stochastics and combines them as an ADX weighted measure.
During low trend intensity Stochastics gets higher weighted than Price Oscillator, and vice-versa in times of high trend-intensity.
Combo Backtest 123 Reversal & DiNapoli Detrended Oscillator This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The
Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies.
The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow Oscillator is lower than 50.
The strategy sells at market, if close price is lower than the previous close price
during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Fast Oscillator is higher than 50.
Second strategy
DiNapoli Detrended Oscillator Strategy
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Detrended Price Oscillator with projected SMAHaven't seen any DPO scripts like this one...
Dpo is generaly use to find cycles in the market rather than prices trends.
As you can see a centralized Dpo is ploted with barsback *actual is shown behing actual price timeline.
Using timeline diferences between the two last highest or the two last lowest histogram bands can give you an aproximation of those market cycles.
Dpo SMA's trends can also be use to compare actual price timeline direction in 3 ways...
#-1: Is the actual price (candles) trend is against or with the dpo SMA's (convergence;divergence) ?
#-2: Is the actual price trend is condensed or dispersed ( criticals values)?
#-3: Does the dpo SMA's are near or far from the dpo cycle bottoms or cycle tops ?
Make sure to know that this indicator isn't a trading reccomandation and may not be suited for your trading style as well that it can be badly interpreted. USE WITH CAUTIONS !
//----Coder----//
R.V.
//----Thanx----//
M waves Mk3 'Magical M's v1
V2
V3
So I forgot this existed so here is the Opened sourced code (pm me for older sorce code there are 600+ Saves)(pm me for other scrips course code too lazy to republish everything)
Changes: Simplified and annotated code/upgraded to v4 format
as always adjust before using
i use this indicator combined with the other frequency one to help me identify time and direction of next move.
Pair with rsi
Pair with detrended tsi (have unpublished script might share later)
‘Redraw’ safe
Slightly detrented(adjustable) to avoid traps
quick how to use:
Meant as and adjustable indicator to “tune" to personal risk/reward preference
Green means buy red means sell
arrow indicators for long term sell and buy
Highly customizable (candles too)
Check out my profile for previous versions they are less customizable but also easier to get started with
similar to rsi you want to buy/sell when the indicator turns green/red and lines are as pinched as posible (the lines that are being filled).
keep an eye on the other line that moves around ;) if its not matching the other 2 moving averages and the main color indicator chances are its a trap(works both ways)
use the candles to help you keep your eye on the indicator when scalping (look at the original post for some color ideas)
Zero-Lag Smoothed CycleOld indicator ! But its a simple trick to have a zero-lag smoothing effect, i think i did it because the smoothing was kinda asymmetrical with the detrended line. So even if the result appear quite good take into account that the detrended line isn't always correlated with the price.
Ehlers Triple Delay-Line DetrenderThis indicator was originally developed by John F. Ehlers (Stocks & Commodities , V.18:7 (July, 2000): "Optimal Detrending").
Mr. Ehlers applied the ideas of the radar systems for the financial time series detrending.
Mr. Ehlers constructed the Triple Delay-Line Canceller first, then smoothed it with the Modified Optimum Elliptic Filter with minimal lag. The smoothed detrended signal is smoothed again with the Modified Optimum Elliptic Filter to obtain signal line.
As result, the crossings of the two indicator lines catch every major cyclic move and the detrender itself can be used as the first step in more sophisticated analyses.
Detrended Price Oscillator Strategy Backtest The Detrend Price Osc indicator is similar to a moving average,
in that it filters out trends in prices to more easily identify
cycles. The indicator is an attempt to define cycles in a trend
by drawing a moving average as a horizontal straight line and
placing prices along the line according to their relation to a
moving average. It provides a means of identifying underlying
cycles not apparent when the moving average is viewed within a
price chart. Cycles of a longer duration than the Length (number
of bars used to calculate the Detrend Price Osc) are effectively
filtered or removed by the oscillator.
You can change long to short in the Input Settings
Please, use it only for learning or paper trading. Do not for real trading.
D_DSP (Detrended Synthetic Price) Strategy Detrended Synthetic Price is a function that is in phase with the
dominant cycle of real price data. This DSP is computed by subtracting
a half-cycle exponential moving average (EMA) from the quarter cycle
exponential moving average.
See "MESA and Trading Market Cycles" by John Ehlers pages 64 - 70.
D_DSP (Detrended Synthetic Price ) Detrended Synthetic Price is a function that is in phase with the
dominant cycle of real price data. This DSP is computed by subtracting
a half-cycle exponential moving average (EMA) from the quarter cycle
exponential moving average.
See "MESA and Trading Market Cycles" by John Ehlers pages 64 - 70.
Detrended Price OscillatorHi
Let me introduce my Detrended Price Oscillator script.
The Detrend Price Osc indicator is similar to a moving average,
in that it filters out trends in prices to more easily identify
cycles. The indicator is an attempt to define cycles in a trend
by drawing a moving average as a horizontal straight line and
placing prices along the line according to their relation to a
moving average. It provides a means of identifying underlying
cycles not apparent when the moving average is viewed within a
price chart. Cycles of a longer duration than the Length (number
of bars used to calculate the Detrend Price Osc) are effectively
filtered or removed by the oscillator.
