Fourier Transformed & Kalman Filtered EMA Crossover [Mattes]The Fourier Transformed & Kalman Filtered EMA Crossover (FTKF EMAC) is a trend-following indicator that leverages Fourier Transform approximation, Kalman Filtration, and two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) of different lengths to provide accurate and smooth market trend signals. By combining these three components, it captures the underlying market cycles, reduces noise, and produces actionable insights, making it suitable for detecting both emerging trends and confirming existing ones.
TECHNICALITIES:
>>> The Fourier Transform approximation is designed to identify dominant cyclical patterns in price action by focusing on key frequencies, while filtering out noise and less significant movements. It emphasizes the most meaningful price cycles, enabling the indicator to isolate important trends while ignoring minor fluctuations. This cyclical awareness adds an extra layer of depth to trend detection, allowing the EMAs to work with a cleaner and more reliable data set.
>>> The Kalman Filter adds dynamic noise reduction, adjusting its predictions of future price trends based on past and current data. As new price data comes in, the filter recalibrates itself to ensure that the price action remains smooth and devoid of erratic movements. This real-time adjustment is key to minimizing lag while avoiding false signals, which ensures that the EMAs react to more accurate and stable market data. The Kalman Filter’s ability to smooth price data without losing sensitivity to trend changes complements the Fourier approximation, ensuring a high level of precision in volatile and stable market environments.
>>> The EMA Crossover involves using two EMAs: a shorter EMA that reacts quickly to price movements and a longer EMA that responds more slowly. The shorter EMA is responsible for capturing immediate market shifts, detecting potential bullish or bearish trends. The longer EMA smooths out price fluctuations and provides trend confirmation, working with the shorter EMA to ensure the signals are reliable. When the shorter EMA crosses above the longer EMA, it indicates a bullish trend, likewise when it goes below the longer EMA, it signals a bearish trend. This setup provides a clear way to track market direction, with color-coded signals (green for bullish, red for bearish) for visual clarity. The flexibility of adjusting the EMA periods allows traders to fine-tune the indicator to their preferred timeframe and strategy, making it adaptable to different market conditions.
|-> A key technical aspect is that the first EMA should always be shorter than the second one. If the first EMA is longer than the second, the tool’s effectiveness is compromised because the faster EMA is designed to signal long conditions, while the longer one is made for signaling a bearish trend. Reversing their roles would lead to delayed or confused signals, reducing the indicator’s ability to detect trend shifts early and making it less efficient in volatile markets. This is the only key weakness of the indicator, failure to submit to this rule will result in confusion.
>>> These components work together like a clock to create a comprehensive and effective trend-following system. The Fourier approximation highlights key cyclical movements, the Kalman Filter refines these movements by removing noise, and the EMAs interpret the filtered data to generate actionable trend signals. Each component enhances the next, ensuring that the final output is both responsive and reliable, with minimal false signals or lag. creating an indicator using widespread concepts which haven't been combined before.
Summary
This indicator combines Fourier Transform approximation, Kalman Filtration, and two EMAs of different lengths to deliver accurate and timely trend-following signals. The Fourier approximation identifies dominant market cycles, while the Kalman Filter dynamically removes noise and refines the price data in real time. The two EMAs then use this filtered data to generate buy and sell signals based on their crossovers. The shorter EMA reacts quickly to price changes, while the longer EMA provides smoother trend confirmation. The components work in synergy to capture trends with minimal false signals or lag, ensuring traders can act promptly on market shifts. Customizable EMA periods make the tool adaptable to different market conditions, enhancing its versatility for various trading strategies.
To use the indicator, traders should adjust the EMA lengths based on their timeframe and strategy, ensuring that the shorter EMA remains shorter than the longer EMA to preserve the tool’s responsiveness. The color-coded signals offer visual clarity, making it easy to identify potential entry and exit points. This confluence of Fourier, Kalman, and EMA methodologies provides a smooth, highly effective trend-following tool that excels in both trending and ranging markets.
ממוצע נע גמיש של קאופמן.(KAMA)
Adaptive MA Scalping StrategyAdaptive MA Scalping Strategy
The Adaptive MA Scalping Strategy is an innovative trading approach that merges the strengths of the Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram. This combination results in a momentum-adaptive moving average that dynamically adjusts to market conditions, providing traders with timely and reliable signals.
How It Works
Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA): Unlike traditional moving averages, KAMA adjusts its sensitivity based on market volatility. It becomes more responsive during trending markets and less sensitive during periods of consolidation, effectively filtering out market noise.
MACD Histogram Integration: The strategy incorporates the MACD histogram, a momentum indicator that measures the difference between a fast and a slow exponential moving average (EMA). By adding the MACD histogram values to the KAMA, the strategy creates a new line—the momentum-adaptive moving average (MOMA)—which captures both trend direction and momentum.
Signal Generation:
Long Entry: The strategy enters a long position when the closing price crosses above the MOMA. This indicates a potential upward momentum shift.
Exit Position: The position is closed when the closing price crosses below the MOMA, signaling a potential decline in momentum.
Cloud Calculation Detail
The MOMA is calculated by adding the MACD histogram value to the KAMA of the price. This addition effectively adjusts the KAMA based on the momentum indicated by the MACD histogram. When momentum is strong, the MACD histogram will have higher values, causing the MOMA to adjust accordingly and provide earlier entry or exit signals.
Performance on Stocks
This strategy has demonstrated excellent performance on stocks when applied to the 1-hour timeframe. Its adaptive nature allows it to respond swiftly to market changes, capturing profitable trends while minimizing the impact of false signals caused by market noise. The combination of KAMA's adaptability and MACD's momentum detection makes it particularly effective in volatile market conditions commonly seen in stock trading.
Key Parameters
KAMA Length (malen): Determines the sensitivity of the KAMA. A length of 100 is used to balance responsiveness with noise reduction.
MACD Fast Length (fast): Sets the period for the fast EMA in the MACD calculation. A value of 24 helps in capturing short-term momentum changes.
MACD Slow Length (slow): Sets the period for the slow EMA in the MACD calculation. A value of 52 smooths out longer-term trends.
MACD Signal Length (signal): Determines the period for the signal line in the MACD calculation. An 18-period signal line is used for timely crossovers.
Advantages of the Strategy
Adaptive to Market Conditions: By adjusting to both volatility and momentum, the strategy remains effective across different market phases.
Enhanced Signal Accuracy: The fusion of KAMA and MACD reduces false signals, improving the accuracy of trade entries and exits.
Simplicity in Execution: With straightforward entry and exit rules based on price crossovers, the strategy is user-friendly for traders at all experience levels
KAMA Cloud STIndicator:
Description:
The KAMA Cloud indicator is a sophisticated trading tool designed to provide traders with insights into market trends and their intensity. This indicator is built on the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA), which dynamically adjusts its sensitivity to filter out market noise and respond to significant price movements. The KAMA Cloud leverages multiple KAMAs to gauge trend direction and strength, offering a visual representation that is easy to interpret.
How It Works:
The KAMA Cloud uses twenty different KAMA calculations, each set to a distinct lookback period ranging from 5 to 100. These KAMAs are calculated using the average of the open, high, low, and close prices (OHLC4), ensuring a balanced view of price action. The relative positioning of these KAMAs helps determine the direction of the market trend and its momentum.
By measuring the cumulative relative distance between these KAMAs, the indicator effectively assesses the overall trend strength, akin to how the Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility. This cumulative measure helps in identifying the trend’s robustness and potential sustainability.
The visualization component of the KAMA Cloud is particularly insightful. It plots a 'cloud' formed between the base KAMA (set at a 100-period lookback) and an adjusted KAMA that incorporates the cumulative relative distance scaled up. This cloud changes color based on the trend direction — green for upward trends and red for downward trends, providing a clear, visual representation of market conditions.
How the Strategy Works:
The KAMA Cloud ST strategy employs multiple KAMA calculations with varying lengths to capture the nuances of market trends. It measures the relative distances between these KAMAs to determine the trend's direction and strength, much like the original indicator. The strategy enhances decision-making by plotting a 'cloud' formed between the base KAMA (set to a 100-period lookback) and an adjusted KAMA that scales according to the cumulative relative distance of all KAMAs.
Key Components of the Strategy:
Multiple KAMA Layers: The strategy calculates KAMAs for periods ranging from 5 to 100 to analyze short to long-term market trends.
Dynamic Cloud: The cloud visually represents the trend’s strength and direction, updating in real-time as the market evolves.
Signal Generation: Trade signals are generated based on the orientation of the cloud relative to a smoothed version of the upper KAMA boundary. Long positions are initiated when the market trend is upward, and the current cloud value is above its smoothed average. Conversely, positions are closed when the trend reverses, indicated by the cloud falling below the smoothed average.
Suggested Usage:
Market: Stocks, not cryptocurrency
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Indicator:
KAMA CloudDescription:
The KAMA Cloud indicator is a sophisticated trading tool designed to provide traders with insights into market trends and their intensity. This indicator is built on the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA), which dynamically adjusts its sensitivity to filter out market noise and respond to significant price movements. The KAMA Cloud leverages multiple KAMAs to gauge trend direction and strength, offering a visual representation that is easy to interpret.
How It Works:
The KAMA Cloud uses twenty different KAMA calculations, each set to a distinct lookback period ranging from 5 to 100. These KAMAs are calculated using the average of the open, high, low, and close prices (OHLC4), ensuring a balanced view of price action. The relative positioning of these KAMAs helps determine the direction of the market trend and its momentum.
By measuring the cumulative relative distance between these KAMAs, the indicator effectively assesses the overall trend strength, akin to how the Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility. This cumulative measure helps in identifying the trend’s robustness and potential sustainability.
The visualization component of the KAMA Cloud is particularly insightful. It plots a 'cloud' formed between the base KAMA (set at a 100-period lookback) and an adjusted KAMA that incorporates the cumulative relative distance scaled up. This cloud changes color based on the trend direction — green for upward trends and red for downward trends, providing a clear, visual representation of market conditions.
Benefits:
Dynamic Sensitivity: By adapting to the market's volatility, KAMA provides more reliable signals than traditional moving averages.
Trend Clarity: The color-coded cloud visually enhances the perception of the trend’s direction and strength, making it easier for traders to decide on their trading strategy.
Versatility: Suitable for various asset classes, including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies, across different timeframes.
Decision Support: Helps traders understand not just the direction but the strength of trends, aiding in more informed decision-making regarding entries, exits, and risk management.
Usage:
The KAMA Cloud is ideal for traders who need a robust trend-following tool that adjusts according to market dynamics. It can be used as a standalone indicator or in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to enhance trading strategies. Look for the cloud’s color shifts as potential signals for trend reversals or continuations, and consider the cloud’s thickness as an indication of trend strength.
Whether you are a day trader, swing trader, or long-term investor, the KAMA Cloud offers a unique approach to understanding market trends, helping you navigate the complexities of various market conditions with confidence.
No Lag SupertrendNo Lag Supertrend indicator improves upon the original supertrend by incorporating calculation methods that enhance responsiveness and accuracy. Traditional supertrend indicators often suffer from lag, which can delay signals and affect trading decisions. No Lag Supertrend addresses this issue through the use of KAMA (Kaufman’s Adaptive Moving Average) and Hull ATR (Average True Range) calculations.
Goals of No Lag Supertrend:
- Lag reduction: one of the main issues with traditional supertrend indicators is their lag, which can result in delayed entry and exit signals. By integrating KAMA and Hull ATR, the no lag supertrend minimizes this delay, providing more timely signals.
- Market Noise Filtering: The combined use of KAMA and Hull ATR effectively filters out market noise, ensuring that signals are based on significant price movements rather than minor fluctuations.
- Consistency Across Different Market Conditions: The adaptive nature of KAMA and the smooth responsiveness of Hull ATR ensure that the No Lag Supertrend performs consistently across various market conditions, from trending to volatile markets.
Credits: This code is based on the TradingView supertrend but improved the ATR calculations.
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy [TradeDots]"The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy" is a trend-following system that leverages the adaptive qualities of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA). This strategy is distinguished by its ability to adjust dynamically to market volatility, enhancing trading accuracy by minimizing the effects of false and delayed signals often associated with the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy is centered around use of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) indicator, which refines the principles of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a superior smoothing technique.
KAMA distinguishes itself by its responsiveness to changes in market prices through an "Efficiency Ratio (ER)." This ratio is computed by dividing the recent absolute net price change by the cumulative sum of the absolute price changes over a specified period. The resulting ER value ranges between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates high market noise and 1 reflects stronger market momentum.
Using ER, we could get the smoothing constant (SC) for the moving average derived using the following formula:
fastest = 2/(fastma_length + 1)
slowest = 2/(slowma_length + 1)
SC = math.pow((ER * (fastest-slowest) + slowest), 2)
The KAMA line is then calculated by applying the SC to the difference between the current price and the previous KAMA.
APPLICATION
For entering long positions, this strategy initializes when there is a sequence of 10 consecutive rising KAMA lines. Conversely, a sequence of 10 consecutive falling KAMA lines triggers sell orders for long positions. The same logic applies inversely for short positions.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Adaptive Fisher [BackQuant]Adaptive Fisher
What is it at its core:
Custom Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average Smoothed Price Data, Fisher Transformation.
Why did we choose to make an Adaptive Fisher ?
The Adaptive Fisher Transformation Indicator is an advanced technical tool designed to signal potential turning points in market prices by transforming asset price data into a nearly Gaussian normal distribution. This transformation, initially conceptualized by John F. Ehlers, aims to make extreme price behavior, which could indicate potential market reversals, more identifiable. Unlike the standard distribution of asset prices, the Gaussian normal distribution provides a clearer framework for identifying price extremes and trends.
With that being considered there are key things to take into consideration:
As the transformation seeks to normalize price data, it's crucial to remember that asset prices inherently do not follow a normal distribution. Thus, traders should use this tool in conjunction with other analyses to confirm potential trading signals. The effectiveness can vary across different assets and market conditions, underscoring the importance of customization and adaptation to specific trading strategies. As the same for all tools, all must be backtested. Past performance is not a guarantee for future results.
Now for the Key Features
Normalization of Prices: The Adaptive Fisher Transformation normalizes price data, enhancing the visibility of turning points. This normalization is critical for identifying moments when the price movement is statistically significant, thereby aiding in decision-making.
Adaptivity through Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA): Unlike traditional indicators, this version employs KAMA to dynamically adjust to market volatility. By doing so, it smoothens the price data more effectively, providing signals that are more responsive to current market conditions.
Divergence Detection: It includes the capability to detect divergences between the indicator and price movement, a powerful signal of potential trend reversals. Traders can specify the length over which divergences are calculated, allowing for customization based on their trading strategy.
Visual Enhancements: The indicator features color gradients to delineate strength levels and extreme values, improving readability and the quick assessment of market conditions.
Customizable Smoothing Mechanism: To accommodate different assets and timeframes, the indicator includes an option to select from various moving averages for smoothing, with an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) recommended for its effectiveness.
Application and Interpretation:
Traders can utilise this tool to identify potential reversal points by looking for extreme values in the transformed price data. Changes in the direction of the indicator can also signal shifts in market trends.
The inclusion of a normalized Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides additional confluence, aiding traders in recognizing overbought and oversold conditions through color-coded background hues in the chart.
Alert conditions are programmed for various scenarios, including trend shifts, Fisher Transform crossings over the midline, and both regular and hidden divergences, enabling traders to react promptly to potential market movements.
Empirical Soundness
Mathematical Foundation in Gaussian Distribution: At its core, the Fisher Transformation's application to financial markets is based on transforming prices to conform more closely to a Gaussian normal distribution, which is a fundamental concept in statistics. This transformation aims to make the identification of price extremes more reliable. Empirical studies have shown that while raw financial data may not follow a normal distribution, the application of transformations can facilitate the identification of critical turning points in market data (Ehlers, John F., "Cybernetic Analysis for Stocks and Futures", Wiley & Sons, 2004).
Adaptivity through KAMA: The use of Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average introduces a dynamic element to the indicator, allowing it to adjust to market volatility automatically. This adaptivity is particularly relevant in today's financial markets, where volatility patterns can shift rapidly due to economic news, geopolitical events, and changes in market sentiment. The empirical strength of KAMA lies in its foundational logic, designed to account for market noise and smoothing price data more effectively than traditional moving averages (Kaufman, Perry J., "Trading Systems and Methods", Wiley & Sons, 2013).
Innovative Divergence Detection Mechanism: Divergence detection adds an empirical layer to the Adaptive Fisher Transformation by highlighting discrepancies between price action and the indicator's performance. This feature is grounded in the principle that divergences can often precede reversals, providing early warning signs of potential shifts in market direction. The ability to customize the calculation length for divergences enables the indicator to be fine-tuned to the characteristics of specific assets or market conditions, enhancing its practical application.
User Inputs Explained:
Calculation Source (price): This input determines the base price used for calculations, typically the closing price (close). Traders can adjust this to open, high, low, or another average, tailoring the indicator to focus on specific aspects of price action.
Fisher Lookback (ftPeriod): Defines the period over which the Fisher Transform is calculated. A shorter period makes the indicator more sensitive to price movements, while a longer period smoothens the output, reducing sensitivity.
Make Fisher Adaptive (adapt): A boolean input that enables the adaptation feature of the Fisher Transform using KAMA. When set to true, it dynamically adjusts the Fisher Transform according to market volatility, enhancing its responsiveness to recent price changes.
Adaptive Period (length), Fast Length (fast), Slow Length (slow): These inputs configure the KAMA calculation, affecting its sensitivity to price movements. The length determines the lookback period for volatility calculation, while fast and slow set the speed of adjustment to market conditions.
Smooth Fisher (smooth): Allows for additional smoothing of the Fisher Transform output to reduce noise. This is particularly useful in highly volatile markets or when the indicator is too reactive to price changes.
Smoothing Type (modeSwitch) and Smooth Period (smoothlen): Determine the method and period for smoothing. Options include various moving averages (EMA, SMA, etc.), providing flexibility in how the smoothing is applied.
Show Fisher, Show Fisher Moving Average, Moving Average Period (malen): These inputs control the visibility of the Fisher Transform and its moving average on the chart, as well as the period of the moving average. This helps in identifying trends and the direction of the market.
Show Detected Trend Shifts (trendshift): Enables the highlighting of moments when the indicator suggests a potential shift in market trend, providing early signals for traders.
Show Fisher Strength levels (showextreme): Displays predefined levels indicating extreme values of the Fisher Transform, which could suggest overbought or oversold conditions.
Show Confluence RSI (showrsi), RSI Period (rsiPeriod): These inputs add a normalized Relative Strength Index to the chart for additional analysis, offering a secondary measure of market conditions.
Show Overbought and Oversold Signals: When enabled, the background color changes to highlight overbought or oversold conditions based on the RSI, aiding in visual identification of potential trading opportunities.
Use Case of Midline Crossover Fisher:
Midline Crossover Fisher: The Fisher Transform's midline crossover is a critical signal for traders. A crossover above the midline indicates a bullish market sentiment, suggesting that it might be a good time to consider entering a long position. Conversely, a crossover below the midline suggests bearish sentiment, potentially signaling an opportunity to go short. This is based on the principle that the Fisher Transform makes turning points more evident, and crossing the midline reflects a change in momentum.
Overbought and Oversold Hues:
RSI Overbought and Oversold Background Color: The background color feature for RSI OB (overbought) and OS (oversold) conditions enhances visual cues for market extremes. When the RSI exceeds upper thresholds (Above 70), indicating overbought conditions, the background will turn to warn traders of potential price reversals. Similarly, when the RSI falls below lower thresholds (Below 30), suggesting oversold conditions, green can highlight potential opportunities for buying.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
This is using the Midline Crossover:
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
TASC 2024.01 Gap Momentum System█ OVERVIEW
TASC's January 2024 edition of Traders' Tips features an article titled “Gap Momentum” by Perry J. Kaufman. The article discusses how a trader might create a momentum strategy based on opening gap data. This script implements the Gap Momentum system presented therein.
█ CONCEPTS
In the article, Perry J. Kaufman introduces Gap Momentum as a cumulative series constructed in the same way as On-Balance Volume (OBV) , but using gap openings (today’s open minus yesterday’s close).
To smoothen the resulting time series (i.e., obtain the " signal line "), the author applies a simple moving average . Subsequently, he proposes the following two trading rules for a long-only trading system:
• Enter a long position when the signal line is moving higher.
• Exit when the signal line is moving lower.
█ CALCULATIONS
The calculation of Gap Momentum involves the following steps:
1. Calculate the ratio of the sum of positive gaps over the past N days to the sum of negative gaps (absolute values) over the same time period.
2. Add the resulting gap ratio to the cumulative time series. This time series is the Gap Momentum.
3. Keep moving forward, as in an N-day moving average.
Kaufman Efficiency Ratio (KER)The Kaufman Efficiency Ratio (also known as the Efficiency Ratio or ER) is a technical indicator used in technical analysis to measure the efficiency of a financial instrument's price movement. It was developed by Perry J. Kaufman and is designed to help traders and analysts identify the trendiness or choppiness of a market.
The Kaufman Efficiency Ratio is calculated using the following formula:
ER = (Change in Price over N periods) / (Sum of the absolute price changes over N periods)
Here's how the formula works:
"Change in Price over N periods" is the net price change over a specified number of periods (usually days or bars). It's calculated by subtracting the closing price of N periods ago from the current closing price.
"Sum of the absolute price changes over N periods" is the sum of the absolute values of price changes (i.e., ignoring the direction) over the same N periods.
The resulting Efficiency Ratio (ER) value will fall within the range of 0 to 1, with 1 indicating a perfectly trending market and 0 indicating a perfectly choppy or range-bound market. In other words, the closer the ER is to 1, the stronger and more efficient the trend is perceived to be.
Volume-Weighted Kaufman's Adaptive Moving AverageThe Volume-Weighted Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (VW-KAMA) is a technical indicator that combines the Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) and the Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) to create a more responsive and adaptable moving average.
Advantages:
Volume-Weighted: It takes into account the volume of trades, giving more weight to periods with higher trading volume, which can help filter out periods of low activity.
Adaptive: The indicator adjusts its smoothing constant based on market conditions, becoming more sensitive in trending markets and less sensitive in choppy or sideways markets.
Versatility: VW-KAMA can be used for various purposes, including trend identification, trend following, and determining potential reversal points and act as dynamic support and resistance level.
twisted SMA strategy [4h] Hello
I would like to introduce a very simple strategy that uses a combination of 3 simple moving averages ( SMA 4 , SMA 9 , SMA 18 )
this is a classic combination showing the most probable trend directions
Crosses were marked on the basis of the color of the candles (bulish cross - blue / bearish cross - maroon)
ma 100 was used to determine the main trend, which is one of the most popular 4-hour candles
We define main trend while price crosses SMA100 ( for bullish trend I use green candle color )
The long position strategy was created in combination of 3 moving averages with Kaufman's adaptive moving average by alexgrover
The strategy is very accurate and is easy to use indicators
the strategy uses only Buy (Long) signals in a combination of crossovers of the SMA 4, SMA 9, SMA 18 and the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average.
As a signal to close a long position, only the opposite signal of the intersection of 3 different moving averages is used
the current strategy is recommended for higher time zones (4h +) due to the strength of the closing candles, which translates into signal strength
works fascinatingly well for long-term bullish market assets (for example 4h Apple, Tesla charts)
Enjoy and trade safe ;)
Seer's HutThis is a strategy based on Exponential Moving Averages or Volume Weighted Moving Averages against Adaptive fib resistance / support level and profit percentage which can be definetly defined by user and targeting small profits(profits will be raised by leverages).
In this strategy, there are predefined values which are collected one by one with statistical background and backtests. This gives an advantage to see which ratios are working better for each symbol. Also this statistics are re-evaluated monthly and if there is a need they are going to be changed with the help of libraries. Also IT IS RECOMMENDED TO USE IN DAILY INTERVAL GRAPHICS!!!!
When we deep dive to strategy, it is based on profit percentages. it is similar to the MOST system. MOST only changes the way with default value of %2. But this hardcoded strategy is not working well with each Symbol.
So this is the point where DC and ADR Statistics are involved.
For Ex. while BTC is suits well with %2, it does not do wonders for RSR or RUNE which is 4-5% for each.
There is 3 options for setting the statistical usage of this indicator.
1. Auto calculated based on 1000 days of ADR and DC
imgur.com
2. Using Library where statistical values are stored.
imgur.com
3. User-defined values used. Yeah you read it right. Fully on-demand changes are supported. Which gives freedom to users for setup their own Adaptive FIB and Profit Percentages.
imgur.com
Based on this 3 options, TP and SL points are calculated on bar closures. Strategy Orders are also shown / raised with the closures.
Ok, system calculates these values but how to read / use them. what is this strategy based on ?
This strategy is mostly looking for minimizing the LOSS in case of any stop. So because of this, in each TP, system gives order signal to close half of the remaining open position.
There are 7 type of orders
OL : Open Long (Close Short and Open Long if in position)
CL 50 : Close Long - %50 of Open Position
CL 100 : Close Long - Close all position
OS : Open Short (Close Long and Open Short if in position)
CL 50 : Close Short - %50 of Open Position
CL 100 : Close Short - Close all position
TP5 : Highest TP reached. Close all position.
Script checks cross of EMA / VWMA and adFib to decide open a position. In reversal / crosses, adFib line had been set to defined Fib. Percentage (FP) level.
For creating the TP points, Profit Percentage (PP) parameter had been used which I briefly introduce at the beginning with the options.
One important topic about this strategy, it is not stacking / pyramiding the positions. Which means, it always calculate one way position. For example we are in the long position after OL signal.
We reached TP values and take profits. Later on due to FP crossing EMA, OS order signal given. This means you have to close all long position and open short position.
But beware. These calculated points are based on given values or calculated regarding to average ADR / DC ratings. For supporting strategy, several methods also had been included in the options.
imgur.com
These are:
1. MA plotting (Optional 4 EMA, 1WMA) - checking for Golden and Death Cross
2. Bollinger Bands (Length 25 and Multiplier 2.5 set as default. Used in correlation with TEMA)
3. Kama 2 / Kama 5 - Crossing speaks of Trend way
4. TEMA (TEMA 50, VWMA 25 calculations and plotting. Used for TEMA 50 / VWMA 25 / SMA 25 cross checks for weakening or strengthening trend analysis)
5. ATR plotting
6. Chandelier Exit plotting (Widely used for calculating Stop levels in market)
7. PSAR (Widely used for indicating trend reversal)
Also for the ease of use, if the users does not want to plot any values on the graph and just want to see the values there is couple of tables also included.
1. EMA info
2. KAMA info
3. Order info
4. TP/SL info
imgur.com
Some important notes:
1. To minimize the stop just after the order opening candle in volatile grounds, system prevents to raise new order signals if there is a signal already raised in last 4 candle.
2. if system reach and give close order in one of the TP points (For Ex TP1.), then index goes down and goes up again same TP (above TP1 in scenario) after 4 candle, system gives a close order signal again in the same TP.
3. There is a Profit Factor value had been shown at Order Info table. This information shows how profitable is the setup regarding to given FP and PP values.
In general market conditions, A Profit Factor above 1.50 is considered good enough and above 2.0 it is considered ideal. A strategy with profit factor less than 1.20 suggests too bigger a risk taken for making money.
In some cases automatic ADR and DC calculations are not good enough. so if you want to find a good Profit Factor value, you can change the system automatic calculation to manual value entering and you can see the results directly with in this field.
kama
█ Description
An adaptive indicator could be defined as market conditions following indicator, in summary, the parameter of the indicator would be adjusted to fit its optimum value to the current price action. KAMA, Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average, an adaptive trendline indicator developed by Perry J. Kaufman, with the notion of using the fastest trend possible based on the smallest calculation period for the existing market conditions, by applying an exponential smoothing formula to vary the speed of the trend (changing smoothing constant each period), as cited from Trading Systems and Methods p.g. 780 (Perry J. Kaufman). In this indicator, the proposed notion is on the Efficiency Ratio within the computation of KAMA, which will use a Dominant Cycle instead, an adaptive filter developed by John F. Ehlers, on determining the n periods, aiming to achieve an optimum lookback period, with respect to the original Efficiency Ratio calculation period of less than 14, and 8 to 10 is preferable.
█ Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average
kama_ = kama + smoothing_constant * (price - kama )
where:
price = current price (source)
smoothing_constant = (efficiency_ratio * (fastest - slowest) + slowest)^2
fastest = 2/(fastest length + 1)
slowest = 2/(slowest length + 1)
efficiency_ratio = price - price /sum(abs(src - src , int(dominant_cycle))
█ Feature
The indicator will have a specified default parameter of: length = 14; fast_length = 2; slow_length = 30; hp_period = 48; source = ohlc4
KAMA trendline i.e. output value if price above the trendline and trendline indicates with green color, consider to buy/long position
while, if the price is below the trendline and the trendline indicates red color, consider to sell/short position
Hysteresis Band
Bar Color
other example
GKD-C Adaptive Parabolic SAR [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope GKD-C Adaptive Parabolic SAR is a Confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
What is Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System"?
The Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System is a trading system built on the philosophy of the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) algorithmic trading.
What is the NNFX algorithmic trading strategy?
The NNFX (No-Nonsense Forex) trading system is a comprehensive approach to Forex trading that is designed to simplify the process and remove the confusion and complexity that often surrounds trading. The system was developed by a Forex trader who goes by the pseudonym "VP" and has gained a significant following in the Forex community.
The NNFX trading system is based on a set of rules and guidelines that help traders make objective and informed decisions. These rules cover all aspects of trading, including market analysis, trade entry, stop loss placement, and trade management.
Here are the main components of the NNFX trading system:
1. Trading Philosophy: The NNFX trading system is based on the idea that successful trading requires a comprehensive understanding of the market, objective analysis, and strict risk management. The system aims to remove subjective elements from trading and focuses on objective rules and guidelines.
2. Technical Analysis: The NNFX trading system relies heavily on technical analysis and uses a range of indicators to identify high-probability trading opportunities. The system uses a combination of trend-following and mean-reverting strategies to identify trades.
3. Market Structure: The NNFX trading system emphasizes the importance of understanding the market structure, including price action, support and resistance levels, and market cycles. The system uses a range of tools to identify the market structure, including trend lines, channels, and moving averages.
4. Trade Entry: The NNFX trading system has strict rules for trade entry. The system uses a combination of technical indicators to identify high-probability trades, and traders must meet specific criteria to enter a trade.
5. Stop Loss Placement: The NNFX trading system places a significant emphasis on risk management and requires traders to place a stop loss order on every trade. The system uses a combination of technical analysis and market structure to determine the appropriate stop loss level.
6. Trade Management: The NNFX trading system has specific rules for managing open trades. The system aims to minimize risk and maximize profit by using a combination of trailing stops, take profit levels, and position sizing.
Overall, the NNFX trading system is designed to be a straightforward and easy-to-follow approach to Forex trading that can be applied by traders of all skill levels.
Core components of an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
What is Volatility in the NNFX trading system?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, ATR (Average True Range) is typically used to measure the volatility of an asset. It is used as a part of the system to help determine the appropriate stop loss and take profit levels for a trade. ATR is calculated by taking the average of the true range values over a specified period.
True range is calculated as the maximum of the following values:
-Current high minus the current low
-Absolute value of the current high minus the previous close
-Absolute value of the current low minus the previous close
ATR is a dynamic indicator that changes with changes in volatility. As volatility increases, the value of ATR increases, and as volatility decreases, the value of ATR decreases. By using ATR in NNFX system, traders can adjust their stop loss and take profit levels according to the volatility of the asset being traded. This helps to ensure that the trade is given enough room to move, while also minimizing potential losses.
Other types of volatility include True Range Double (TRD), Close-to-Close, and Garman-Klass
What is a Baseline indicator?
The baseline is essentially a moving average, and is used to determine the overall direction of the market.
The baseline in the NNFX system is used to filter out trades that are not in line with the long-term trend of the market. The baseline is plotted on the chart along with other indicators, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR).
Trades are only taken when the price is in the same direction as the baseline. For example, if the baseline is sloping upwards, only long trades are taken, and if the baseline is sloping downwards, only short trades are taken. This approach helps to ensure that trades are in line with the overall trend of the market, and reduces the risk of entering trades that are likely to fail.
By using a baseline in the NNFX system, traders can have a clear reference point for determining the overall trend of the market, and can make more informed trading decisions. The baseline helps to filter out noise and false signals, and ensures that trades are taken in the direction of the long-term trend.
What is a Confirmation indicator?
Confirmation indicators are technical indicators that are used to confirm the signals generated by primary indicators. Primary indicators are the core indicators used in the NNFX system, such as the Average True Range (ATR), the Moving Average (MA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI).
The purpose of the confirmation indicators is to reduce false signals and improve the accuracy of the trading system. They are designed to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators by providing additional information about the strength and direction of the trend.
Some examples of confirmation indicators that may be used in the NNFX system include the Bollinger Bands, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), and the Stochastic Oscillator. These indicators can provide information about the volatility, momentum, and trend strength of the market, and can be used to confirm the signals generated by the primary indicators.
In the NNFX system, confirmation indicators are used in combination with primary indicators and other filters to create a trading system that is robust and reliable. By using multiple indicators to confirm trading signals, the system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the trades.
What is a Continuation indicator?
In the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) trading system, a continuation indicator is a technical indicator that is used to confirm a current trend and predict that the trend is likely to continue in the same direction. A continuation indicator is typically used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as a baseline indicator, to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
What is a Volatility/Volume indicator?
Volume indicators, such as the On Balance Volume (OBV), the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), or the Volume Price Trend (VPT), are used to measure the amount of buying and selling activity in a market. They are based on the trading volume of the market, and can provide information about the strength of the trend. In the NNFX system, volume indicators are used to confirm trading signals generated by the Moving Average and the Relative Strength Index. Volatility indicators include Average Direction Index, Waddah Attar, and Volatility Ratio. In the NNFX trading system, volatility is a proxy for volume and vice versa.
By using volume indicators as confirmation tools, the NNFX trading system aims to reduce the risk of false signals and improve the overall profitability of trades. These indicators can provide additional information about the market that is not captured by the primary indicators, and can help traders to make more informed trading decisions. In addition, volume indicators can be used to identify potential changes in market trends and to confirm the strength of price movements.
What is an Exit indicator?
The exit indicator is used in conjunction with other indicators in the system, such as the Moving Average (MA), the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and the Average True Range (ATR), to provide a comprehensive trading strategy.
The exit indicator in the NNFX system can be any technical indicator that is deemed effective at identifying optimal exit points. Examples of exit indicators that are commonly used include the Parabolic SAR, the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the Chandelier Exit.
The purpose of the exit indicator is to identify when a trend is likely to reverse or when the market conditions have changed, signaling the need to exit a trade. By using an exit indicator, traders can manage their risk and prevent significant losses.
In the NNFX system, the exit indicator is used in conjunction with a stop loss and a take profit order to maximize profits and minimize losses. The stop loss order is used to limit the amount of loss that can be incurred if the trade goes against the trader, while the take profit order is used to lock in profits when the trade is moving in the trader's favor.
Overall, the use of an exit indicator in the NNFX trading system is an important component of a comprehensive trading strategy. It allows traders to manage their risk effectively and improve the profitability of their trades by exiting at the right time.
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v1.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data between modules. Data is passed between each module as described below:
GKD-B => GKD-V => GKD-C(1) => GKD-C(2) => GKD-C(Continuation) => GKD-E => GKD-BT
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Strategy with 1-3 take profits, trailing stop loss, multiple types of PnL volatility, and 2 backtesting styles
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Jurik DMX
Confirmation 1: GKD-V Adaptive Parabolic SAR as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: Fisher Transform
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD protocol chain.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
█ GKD-V Adaptive Parabolic SAR
The Parabolic SAR indicator typically uses a fixed acceleration factor and step to calculate its values, which can result in false signals or inefficient performance in certain market conditions. The Adaptive Parabolic SAR attempts to address this issue by dynamically adjusting its acceleration factor and step based on the current market volatility and price movement.
The Adaptive Parabolic SAR uses an algorithm that is designed to adjust the acceleration factor and step in real-time based on the recent price action. This allows the indicator to be more responsive to changes in the market, while still maintaining its ability to provide reliable signals.
The indicator works by plotting a series of dots above or below the price bars, depending on the direction of the trend. When the dots are below the price bars, it indicates a bullish trend, and when the dots are above the price bars, it indicates a bearish trend. The dots also move closer to the price bars as the trend becomes stronger, and further away as the trend weakens.
Traders can use the Adaptive Parabolic SAR as a tool to identify potential trend reversals or to confirm the current trend. It is often used in conjunction with other technical indicators and price action analysis to develop trading strategies.
The Kaufman adaptivity uses efficiency ratio to adapt PSAR while the Ehlers adaptivity uses raw Momentum.
Requirements
Inputs
Confirmation 1 and Solo Confirmation: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Outputs
Confirmation 2 and Solo Confirmation Complex: GKD-E Exit indicator
Confirmation 1: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Continuation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Solo Confirmation Simple: GKD-BT Backtest strategy
Additional features will be added in future releases.
GKD-C KAMA w/ Jurik Fractal Dimension [Loxx]Giga Kaleidoscope KAMA w/ Jurik Fractal Dimension is a Confirmation module included in Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System".
█ Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System
What is Loxx's "Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System"?
The Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System is a trading system built on the philosophy of the NNFX (No Nonsense Forex) algorithmic trading.
What is an NNFX algorithmic trading strategy?
The NNFX algorithm is built on the principles of trend, momentum, and volatility. There are six core components in the NNFX trading algorithm:
1. Volatility - price volatility; e.g., Average True Range, True Range Double, Close-to-Close, etc.
2. Baseline - a moving average to identify price trend
3. Confirmation 1 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
4. Confirmation 2 - a technical indicator used to identify trends
5. Continuation - a technical indicator used to identify trends
6. Volatility/Volume - a technical indicator used to identify volatility/volume breakouts/breakdown
7. Exit - a technical indicator used to determine when a trend is exhausted
How does Loxx's GKD (Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System) implement the NNFX algorithm outlined above?
Loxx's GKD v1.0 system has five types of modules (indicators/strategies). These modules are:
1. GKD-BT - Backtesting module (Volatility, Number 1 in the NNFX algorithm)
2. GKD-B - Baseline module (Baseline and Volatility/Volume, Numbers 1 and 2 in the NNFX algorithm)
3. GKD-C - Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation module (Confirmation 1/2 and Continuation, Numbers 3, 4, and 5 in the NNFX algorithm)
4. GKD-V - Volatility/Volume module (Confirmation 1/2, Number 6 in the NNFX algorithm)
5. GKD-E - Exit module (Exit, Number 7 in the NNFX algorithm)
(additional module types will added in future releases)
Each module interacts with every module by passing data between modules. Data is passed between each module as described below:
GKD-B => GKD-V => GKD-C(1) => GKD-C(2) => GKD-C(Continuation) => GKD-E => GKD-BT
That is, the Baseline indicator passes its data to Volatility/Volume. The Volatility/Volume indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 1 indicator. The Confirmation 1 indicator passes its values to the Confirmation 2 indicator. The Confirmation 2 indicator passes its values to the Continuation indicator. The Continuation indicator passes its values to the Exit indicator, and finally, the Exit indicator passes its values to the Backtest strategy.
This chaining of indicators requires that each module conform to Loxx's GKD protocol, therefore allowing for the testing of every possible combination of technical indicators that make up the six components of the NNFX algorithm.
What does the application of the GKD trading system look like?
Example trading system:
Backtest: Strategy with 1-3 take profits, trailing stop loss, multiple types of PnL volatility, and 2 backtesting styles
Baseline: Hull Moving Average
Volatility/Volume: Volatility Ratio as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 1: KAMA w/ Jurik Fractal Dimension as shown on the chart above
Confirmation 2: Williams Percent Range
Continuation: Fisher Transform
Exit: Rex Oscillator
Each GKD indicator is denoted with a module identifier of either: GKD-BT, GKD-B, GKD-C, GKD-V, or GKD-E. This allows traders to understand to which module each indicator belongs and where each indicator fits into the GKD protocol chain.
Giga Kaleidoscope Modularized Trading System Signals (based on the NNFX algorithm)
Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 Signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Continuation Entry
1. Standard Entry, Baseline Entry, or Pullback; entry triggered previously
2. GKD-B Baseline hasn't crossed since entry signal trigger
3. GKD-C Confirmation Continuation Indicator signals
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
5. GKD-B Baseline agrees
6. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
1-Candle Rule Standard Entry
1. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume agrees
1-Candle Rule Baseline Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
4. GKD-C Confirmation 1 signal was less than 7 candles prior
Next Candle:
1. Price retraced (Long: close < close or Short: close > close )
2. GKD-B Baseline agrees
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
PullBack Entry
1. GKD-B Baseline signal
2. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
3. Price is beyond 1.0x Volatility of Baseline
Next Candle:
1. Price is within a range of 0.2x Volatility and 1.0x Volatility of the Goldie Locks Mean
3. GKD-C Confirmation 1 agrees
4. GKD-C Confirmation 2 agrees
5. GKD-V Volatility/Volume Agrees
█ KAMA w/ Jurik Fractal Dimension
What is KAMA w/ Jurik Fractal Dimension?
KAMA (Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average) with Jurik Fractal Dimension is a technical analysis indicator that combines the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) with the Jurik Fractal Dimension indicator.
The KAMA is a type of moving average that is designed to adapt to changes in market volatility and trend. It is calculated by adjusting the smoothing period of an exponential moving average based on the volatility of the asset being analyzed. This makes the KAMA more responsive to changes in price than traditional moving averages, while still providing a stable trend line that reduces lag.
The Jurik Fractal Dimension indicator is a measure of the "fractality" of price movements. It is based on the idea that market prices are fractal in nature, meaning that they exhibit self-similar patterns across different time frames. The Jurik Fractal Dimension indicator measures the degree of fractality in price movements, with higher values indicating more complex and unpredictable price patterns.
By combining the KAMA with the Jurik Fractal Dimension indicator, traders can generate more accurate buy and sell signals. The KAMA helps to identify trends, while the Jurik Fractal Dimension indicator helps to filter out false signals by identifying whether price movements are trending or non-trending. This can help traders to avoid entering trades during periods of low volatility or when markets are trading sideways.
Overall, KAMA with Jurik Fractal Dimension is a sophisticated technical analysis tool that can help traders to identify trends and make more informed trading decisions. However, it is important to note that no indicator is foolproof and traders should always use multiple tools and strategies to confirm their trading decisions.
Requirements
Inputs
Confirmation 1 and Solo Confirmation: GKD-V Volatility / Volume indicator
Confirmation 2: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Outputs
Confirmation 2 and Solo Confirmation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Confirmation 1: GKD-C Confirmation indicator
Continuation: GKD-E Exit indicator
Additional features will be added in future releases.
Cong Adaptive Moving AverageDr. Scott Cong's new adaptation of an adaptive moving average (AMA), featured in TASC March 2023.
It adjusts its parameters automatically according to the volatility of market, tracking price closely in trending movement, staying flat in congestion areas.
Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average, first described in his 1995 book Smarter Trading, is a great example of how an AMA can self-adjust to adapt to changing environments. This indicator presents a new scheme for an adaptive moving average that is responsive, smooth, and robust.
Another New Adaptive Moving Average [CC]The New Adaptive Moving Average was created by Scott Cong (Stocks and Commodities Mar 2023) and this is a companion indicator to my previous script . This indicator still works off of the same concept as before with effort vs results but this indicator takes a slightly different approach and instead defines results as the absolute difference between the closing price and a closing price x bars ago. As you can see in my chart example, this indicator works great to stay with the current trend and provides either a stop loss or take profit target depending on which direction you are going in. As always, I use darker colors to show stronger signals and lighter colors to show normal signals. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicator scripts you would like to see me publish!
A New Adaptive Moving Average [CC]The New Adaptive Moving Average was created by Scott Cong (Stocks and Commodities Mar 2023) and his idea was to focus on the Adaptive Moving Average created by Perry Kaufman and to try to improve it by introducing a concept of effort vs results. In this case the effort would be the total range of the underlying price action since each bar is essentially a war of the bulls vs the bears. The result would be the total range of the close so we are looking for the highest close and lowest close in that same time period. This gives us an alpha that we can use to plug into the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average algorithm which gives us a brand new indicator that can hug the price just enough to allow us to ride the stock up or down. I have color coded it to be darker colors when it is a strong signal and lighter colors when it is a normal signal. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
VHF Adaptive Linear Regression KAMAIntroduction
Heyo, in this indicator I decided to add VHF adaptivness, linear regression and smoothing to a KAMA in order to squeeze all out of it.
KAMA:
Developed by Perry Kaufman, Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) is a moving average designed to account for market noise or volatility. KAMA will closely follow prices when the price swings are relatively small and the noise is low. KAMA will adjust when the price swings widen and follow prices from a greater distance. This trend-following indicator can be used to identify the overall trend, time turning points and filter price movements.
VHF:
Vertical Horizontal Filter (VHF) was created by Adam White to identify trending and ranging markets. VHF measures the level of trend activity, similar to ADX DI. Vertical Horizontal Filter does not, itself, generate trading signals, but determines whether signals are taken from trend or momentum indicators. Using this trend information, one is then able to derive an average cycle length.
Linear Regression Curve:
A line that best fits the prices specified over a user-defined time period.
This is very good to eliminate bad crosses of KAMA and the pric.
Usage
You can use this indicator on every timeframe I think. I mostly tested it on 1 min, 5 min and 15 min.
Signals
Enter Long -> crossover(close, kama) and crossover(kama, kama )
Enter Short -> crossunder(close, kama) and crossunder(kama, kama )
Thanks for checking this out!
--
Credits to
▪️@cheatcountry – Hann Window Smoohing
▪️@loxx – VHF and T3
▪️@LucF – Gradient
ER-Adaptive ATR Limit Channels w/ States [Loxx]As simple as it gets, channels based on high, low and ATR distances, Shows possible short term support / resistance or can be used as a take profit/stop-loss in some trading systems. It does this by comparing high/low values of price to multiplied by a multiple of ATR to determine when the trend changes. States are included to change the sensitivity to trend changes. 1 is very sensitive, 3 is least sensitive.
This uses Loxx's Expanded Source Types. You can read about them here:
What is ER Adaptive ATR?
Average True Range (ATR) is widely used indicator in many occasions for technical analysis . It is calculated as the RMA of true range. This version adds a "twist": it uses Perry Kaufman's Efficiency Ratio to calculate adaptive true range
Hull Kaufman SuperTrend Cloud (HKST Cloud)TLDR: This is a long only trend following system that uses highest and lowest values of three trend following indicators to form a "cloud". Enter when the candle high crosses above the highest band. Close if the low or close crosses below the lowest band.
3 indicators
1. Kaufman Adaptive moving Average - set at 20
2. Hull Moving Average (of the Kaufman Adaptive moving average) - set at 20
3. SuperTrend - I believe this is set at 5 periods and 3*atr but this can be changed
Cloud
the upper band is the highest of the 3 indicators
the lower band is the lowest of the 3 indicators
Entry and Exit:
Enter when the high crosses above the upper band of the cloud.
(This means you will only get a long signal if the high was previously below the upper band of the cloud and then crosses over.)
Exit when the low crosses below the lower band of the cloud .
(This means that this rule will only close if the low was previously above the upper band and then crosses under)
The "Exit" may not trigger if the low (the wick) never gets above the band. In this case the long order will close if the closing price is below the cloud.
Logic
Kaufamn is the best moving average i have found at responding to changes in volatility. This means it moves up or down quickly during expansive moves but becoming very flat during relative choppiness. However, getting flat causes the the Kaufman AMA to trigger a lot of false signals when volatility is transitioning from high to low. This is why the Hull moving average (with its rounded turns) keeps a lot of the false continuations contained because usually prices need to decisively move higher in order to over come the Hull moving average which continues to increase/decrease during the candles after an expansive move.
The super trend places a stagnant floor and ceiling which acts as a great stoploss or trigger as price action attempts to trend in a certain direction. The super trend allows for the user to adjust the likely hood of this cloud indicator changing from bullish to bearish based on the volatility of the asset that is being analyzed.
individually all of these are great. Together the trader can use this cloud to create a trend following or anlysis system that captures the bulk of moves.
Not my best explanation but this indicator is actually pretty simple.
Hope this helps. Happy Trades
-Snarky Puppy
JFD-Adaptive, GKYZ-Filtered KAMA [Loxx]JFD-Adaptive, GKYZ-Filtered KAMA is a Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average with the option to make it Jurik Fractal Dimension Adaptive. This also includes a Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility Filter to reduce noise.
What is KAMA?
Developed by Perry Kaufman, Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average ( KAMA ) is a moving average designed to account for market noise or volatility . KAMA will closely follow prices when the price swings are relatively small and the noise is low. KAMA will adjust when the price swings widen and follow prices from a greater distance. This trend-following indicator can be used to identify the overall trend, time turning points and filter price movements.
What is Jurik Fractal Dimension?
There is a weak and a strong way to measure the random quality of a time series.
The weak way is to use the random walk index ( RWI ). You can download it from the Omega web site. It makes the assumption that the market is moving randomly with an average distance D per move and proposes an amount the market should have changed over N bars of time. If the market has traveled less, then the action is considered random, otherwise it's considered trending.
The problem with this method is that taking the average distance is valid for a Normal (Gaussian) distribution of price activity. However, price action is rarely Normal, with large price jumps occuring much more frequently than a Normal distribution would expect. Consequently, big jumps throw the RWI way off, producing invalid results.
The strong way is to not make any assumption regarding the distribution of price changes and, instead, measure the fractal dimension of the time series. Fractal Dimension requires a lot of data to be accurate. If you are trading 30 minute bars, use a multi-chart where this indicator is running on 5 minute bars and you are trading on 30 minute bars.
What is Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility?
Yang and Zhang derived an extension to the Garman Klass historical volatility estimator that allows for opening jumps. It assumes Brownian motion with zero drift. This is currently the preferred version of open-high-low-close volatility estimator for zero drift and has an efficiency of 8 times the classic close-to-close estimator. Note that when the drift is nonzero, but instead relative large to the volatility , this estimator will tend to overestimate the volatility . The Garman-Klass-Yang-Zhang Historical Volatility calculation is as follows:
GKYZHV = sqrt((Z/n) * sum((log(open(k)/close( k-1 )))^2 + (0.5*(log(high(k)/low(k)))^2) - (2*log(2) - 1)*(log(close(k)/open(2:end)))^2))
Included
Alerts
Signals
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Bar coloring
Z.A.H.It's a scalping script, which can be used using Heikin Ashi candle on 5min time frame (I personally use it for BINANCE:BTCUSDT and BINANCE:ETHUSDT scalping).
We've tried to include SL and target (1.5R and 2R) in this as well, and it works well but sometimes (please note SOMETIMES..SOMETIMES, it can be few..few pips here and there)
Idea is simple, you take the trade based on the signal given by the script and place your SL as per the script and then target 1.5R for 80% of your position and 20% for the remaining 20% of your position.
One extra thing which I've found useful is, you can use Awesome Oscillator (default setting) as well for placing SLs. If you use this method for placing SL, then just place your SL at the last green awesome oscillator candle for shorts and at the last red awesome oscillator candle for longs. From there target 1.5R and 2R.
Overall results are same for either, so you can use it as per your convenience. For any query, you can send me a DM on discord or twitter.
