VIX Crossing# VIX Crossing Strategy
## Overview
VIX Crossing is a quantitative trading strategy that combines volatility signals from the VIX index with trend confirmation from the Nasdaq-100 (NDX) to generate long entry signals. The strategy employs multiple exit conditions to manage risk and lock in profits systematically.
## Strategy Logic
### Entry Condition
The strategy initiates a long position when:
- **VIX Crossunder**: The VIX closing price crosses below its 5-bar simple moving average (SMA), signaling a decrease in implied volatility
- **AND NDX Confirmation**: The Nasdaq-100 closes above its 21-bar exponential moving average (EMA), confirming uptrend strength
This dual-signal approach reduces false entries by requiring both volatility normalization and positive market momentum.
### Exit Conditions
The strategy automatically closes positions when any of the following conditions are met:
1. **VIX Crossover (Volatility Exit)**: VIX closes above its SMA, indicating rising volatility
2. **Time-Based Exit**: Position is force-closed after 10 bars from entry, preventing prolonged drawdowns
3. **Take-Profit Exit**: Position closes when unrealized profit exceeds $3,000 per contract
4. **Stop-Loss Exit**: Position closes when unrealized loss exceeds $1,500 per contract
Exit conditions are evaluated each bar while the position is open, with explicit logging of the exit reason for trade analysis.
## Configuration Parameters
| Parameter | Default | Purpose |
|-----------|---------|---------|
| VIX SMA Length | 5 | Smoothing period for VIX volatility baseline |
| NDX EMA Length | 21 | Smoothing period for Nasdaq-100 trend confirmation |
| Force Close After X Bars | 10 | Maximum holding period in bars |
| TP Amount per Contract | $3,000 | Profit target per contract |
| SL Amount per Contract | $1,500 | Loss limit per contract |
## Risk Management Features
- **Position Sizing**: Capital allocation based on profit/loss per contract rather than fixed units, allowing for scalable risk
- **Dual Risk Controls**: Combined time-based and price-based exits prevent extended exposure
- **Profit Asymmetry**: 2:1 profit-to-loss ratio encourages risk/reward discipline
- **Contract-Based Accounting**: Profit targets and stop losses scale with position size
## Capital Requirements
- **Initial Capital**: $50,000
- **Commission**: $3 per contract (cash-based)
- **Instrument**: Designed for index-based derivatives or equities with liquid options markets
## Technical Indicators Used
- Simple Moving Average (SMA) for VIX smoothing
- Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for NDX trend detection
- Crossover/Crossunder detection for signal generation
## Underlying Assumptions
1. VIX crossunder events represent mean-reversion opportunities in Nasdaq-heavy portfolios
2. NDX EMA confirmation filters out uncorrelated volatility spikes
3. 10-bar holding period aligns with typical mean-reversion timeframes
4. Contract-based profit targets accommodate varying leverage levels
MNQ1!
NQ 300+ Point Day Checklist (Bias + Alerts + Markers)This indicator helps identify high-range (≥300-point) days on Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ / MNQ) using a clear, rule-based checklist.
It evaluates volatility, compression, price displacement, prior-day structure, and overnight activity to generate a daily expansion score (0–6). Higher scores signal an increased likelihood of a strong trending or expansion day.
The script also provides:
Expansion probability levels (Normal / Watch / High-Prob)
Bullish, bearish, or neutral bias
On-chart markers and background highlights
Optional alerts for early awareness
Best used on the Daily timeframe to help traders focus on high-opportunity days and avoid overtrading during consolidation.
This is a context and probability tool — not a trade signal.
QQQ Ladder → Adjusted to Active Ticker (5s & 10s)This indicator allows you to a grid of QQQ levels directly on futures chart like NQ, MNQ, ES and MES, automatically adjusting for the spread between the displayed symbol and QQQ. This is particularly useful for traders who perform technical analysis on QQQ but execute trades on Futures.
Features:
Renders every 5 and 10 points steps of QQQ in your current chart.
The script adjusts these levels in real-time based on the current spread between QQQ and the displayed symbol!
Plots updated horizontal lines that move with the spread
Supports Multiple Tickers, ES1!, MES1!, NQ1!, MNQ1! SPY and SPX500USD.
NDX Ladder → Adjusted to Active Ticker (5s & 10s)This indicator allows you to a grid of NDX levels directly on the NQ! (E-mini NASDAQ 100 Futures) chart, automatically adjusting for the spread between NDX and NQ1!. This is particularly useful for traders who perform technical analysis on SPX but execute trades on NQ1!.
Features:
Renders every 5 and 10 points steps of the NDX in your current chart.
The script adjusts these levels in real-time based on the current spread between NDX and NQ / MNQ
Plots updated horizontal lines that move with the spread
Circuit Breaker - MFFUThis Indicator Is Used To Protect User From Over Trading After Market Hit The Circuit Breakers.
The CME Exchange Usually Halts Trading If Market Hit + or - 7%.
To Protect Users From Extreme Volatile Condition MFFU, Halts Trading If Market Hits + or - 5%.
This Indicator helps us to plot the circuit breaking lines helping us to when to stop trading.
