CyclesThis is a modified Stochastic indicator. Modifications include:
1. The output is now centered on "0" and the scale is from -50 to +50, so that histograms and columns can be used to plot the output.
2. Added visual trade setup triggers. A trigger to the up side is a cycle high and indicates a "sell signal". A trigger to the down side is a cycle low and indicates a "buy" signal.
3. Added an alert trigger to be used to setup alerts. Selecting "Alert" to be Greater Than (>) Value = 0.00 will trigger an alert if either the buy or sell triggers occur.
4. Added a force indicator output. This indicates the rate of change in "D", or mathematically "dD/dt", as was done in the Power Analyzer indicator. When Force and D are in-phase, the maximum power is achieved.
5. Added "Slow Average Momentum" and "Slow Average Force" as was done in the Power Analyzer indicator.
6. Added an internal MACD and EMA as part of the trade setup trigger equation. There is a new input variable for the EMA length.
7. Added an input variable for the "Trigger Threshold", which ranges from -50 to 50, to be used as a screening filter.
חפש סקריפטים עבור "日元美元汇率50年曲线图"
BTC Volume Contango IndexBased on my previous script "BTC Contango Index" which was inspired by a Twitter post by Byzantine General:
This is a script that shows the contango between spot and futures volumes of Bitcoin to identify overbought and oversold conditions. When a market is in contango, the volume of a futures contract is higher than the spot volume. Conversely, when a market is in backwardation, the volume of the futures contract is lower than the spot volume.
The aggregate daily volumes on top exchanges are taken to obtain Total Spot Volume and Total Futures Volume. The script then plots (Total Futures Volume/Total Spot Volume) - 1 to illustrate the percent difference (contango) between spot and futures volumes of Bitcoin. This data by itself is useful, but because aggregate futures volumes are so much larger than spot volumes, no negative values are produced. To correct for this, the Z-score of contango is taken. The Z-score (z) of a data item x measures the distance (in standard deviations StdDev) and direction of the item from its mean (U):
Z-score = (x - U) / StDev
A value of zero indicates that the data item x is equal to the mean U, while positive or negative values show that the data item is above or below the mean (x Values of +2 and -2 show that the data item is two standard deviations above or below the chosen mean, respectively, and over 95.5% of all data items are contained within these two horizontal references). We substitute x with volume contango C, the mean U with simple moving average ( SMA ) of n periods (50), and StdDev with the standard deviation of closing contango for n periods (50), so the above formula becomes: Z-score = (C - SMA (50)) / StdDev(C,50).
When in contango, Bitcoin may be overbought.
When in backwardation, Bitcoin may be oversold.
The current bar calculation will always look incorrect due to TV plotting the Z-score before the bar closes.
Bank Nifty VolumeWhy this Script : Nifty 50 does not provide volume and some time it is really useful to understand the volume .
This is the pine script which calculate the nifty 50 volume .
Logic :
Take each stock contribute to nifty 50 and find it's volume .
Multiply the same with contribution percentage of the same on Nifty 50
Add up all of them and find the total volume .
I took the open source code from @daytraderph script called, Custom Volume
I will make sure I will update the contribution percentage of all stocks my self instead o you update using input methods. This is the difference. Some people don't know where to look at this to update the value, so for them this script might be useful. And this is the only difference comparing to Custom Volume script.
Probability: Bull/Bear Dominance | Ratio | Bar CountIntro
What's the probability of the next bar being red? How about green? Well, there are many ways to quantify the probability but I am presenting just one stupidly simple (but generally accurate) way to measure it.
Strangely... no one has done this before that I can find. I try to check if someone else has done it first (Pro Tip: Plz do this. We honestly don't need the 5 trillionth "MTF MAs" script.)
Indicator
Its a basic counting script, but the nice thing about this script is you choose the time range. It starts counting from a specified point of your choosing. It counts up the bull bars and bear bars separately.
Bull Bar = Close > Open
Bear Bar = Open > Close
You can look at them in sum or as a ratio of Green Bars : Red Bars
I know, it's almost too simple. But, here's some interesting food for thought from a layman to fellow laymen.
Analysis/Edge
Between the time of candle open and candle close, the price can do one of three things, close higher, close lower, or close equal to.
'Equal to' is rare on higher timeframes in liquid markets and it provides no useful information. Thus, we'll nix it for purposes of this conversation.
So boil it down. The next candle is going to be a red candle or a green candle.
It is popular to refer to the general probability of most candles as 50/50, with trader's mission in life being to seek an edge that tilts the probabilities slightly in their favor.
The truth is the odds are probably never actually 50/50, but knowing the precisely correct probability is unknowable, just like the accuracy of a weather forecast is inherently unknowable. What we're trying to do as traders is develop systems that give us predictive probabilistic outcomes that correspond with future realities based on various ways of measuring the market (most often heavily dependent on the past).
The reality is that the market can be measured in many, many different ways. The important thing is that you measure it in a way that is accurate, relevant, and universally applicable.
So look at this indicator here:
You start from a point in time on a chosen timeframe and you put red bars in the red column, green in the green column, and count them all up.
Then you make a ratio, in this case, Green : Red.
What the ratio shows you is the percentage of green bars compared to red bars . At the time of this screenshot, the 4h on the SPX starting from the 2020 bottom is showing a ratio of 1.2.
This means there have been 20% more green bars than there have been red bars.
Now there are 1,000 directions you can take this discussion. What is the overall volatility picture, the size of the red bars vs the green bars, what happens if you miss out on the 5 biggest green bars... so many more variables that you would need to take into account to develop a true edge from this idea. But, the bottom line fact (which is what I like about this) is that we can take this data and say with a certain level of confidence that on the SPX you have a 20% better shot at making money (otherwise stated there's a 60/40 chance) if you open a LONG trade at the beginning of a 4h candle than if you open a short.
That's useful information. One could argue that it's not a complete strategy in and of itself (although I bet it could be with a couple of additional parameters). But I can tell you, based on the 4h candles in the 2020 rally if you open a short, the deck is stacked against you from this perspective. And we can actually somewhat demonstrate this to be true for our dataset because we can look at the price history and see who likely made more money. The SPX is up 1000pts off the bottom. So, thus far, for this dataset, it rings true; Bulls have been doing way better in the latter part of 2020 than the bears.
Conclusion
Predictive systems with a small number of variables tend to be more robust than a system with many variables when applied to a complex system. I may keep updating this script if people like it and determine aspects like population vs sample size, confidence intervals, volatility, and exclusion of outliers. For now, this is just an opening foray into the basic idea of how we can establish an edge in the markets. It really can be this simple.
Thanks for Reading.
WR% VARIATIONThis indicator plot the change of the William R%.
We have 3 hlines, 50, 0, -50
You can use this as a confirmation indicator for different entries:
ENTRIES
When change is higher than 50 we have a strong LONG signal
When change is lower than -50 we have a strong SHORT signal
CONTINUATION TRADES
When we are in a Bull Market, candle is red and change crossover the 0 line, we have a LONG continuation trade
When we are in a Bear Market, candle is green and change crossunder the 0 line, we have a SHORT continuation trade
EXITS
When we are in a Bull Market, candle is green and change crossunder the 0 line, we have an Exit, or a Reversal
When we are in a Bear Market, candle is read and change crossover the 0 line, we have an Exit, or a Reversal
RISK-OFF.RISK.ON-ppxdf.v3======================================= RISK-OFF & RISK ON INDEX ================================================
1. Stock Price Momentum: Measuring the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ( S&P 500 ) versus its 125-day moving average (MA)
2. Stock Price Strength: Calculating the number of stocks hitting 52-week highs versus those hitting 52-week lows on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
3. Stock Price Breadth: Analyzing trading volumes in rising stocks against declining stocks
4. Put and Call Options: How much do put options lag behind call options, signifying greed, or surpass them, indicating fear
5. Junk Bond Demand: Gauging appetite for higher risk strategies by measuring the spread between yields on investment-grade bonds and junk bonds
6. Market Volatility: CNN measures the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index ( VIX ), concentrating on a 50-day MA
7. Safe Haven Demand: The difference in returns for stocks versus treasuries
Each of these seven indicators is measured on a scale from 0 to 100, with the index being computed by taking an equal-weighted average of each of them.
A reading of 50 is deemed NEUTRAL.
Above 50 signals the market with RISK-ON. (GREED)
Below 50, Signals the market with RISK-OFF (FEAR)
8
Ultimate Moving Average Package (17 MA's)Included is the:
VWAP
Current time frame 10 EMA
Current time frame 20 EMA
Current time frame 50 EMA
Current time frame 10 SMA
Current time frame 20 SMA
Current time frame 50 SMA
Daily 10 EMA
Daily 20 EMA
Daily 50 EMA
Daily 50 SMA
Daily 100 SMA
Daily 200 SMA
Weekly 100 SMA
Weekly 200 SMA
Monthly 100 SMA
Monthly 200 SMA
All Daily/Weekly/Monthly MA's can be seen on intraday charts. Current time frame MA's change depending on your time frame. Obviously you dont need all 17 on your chart but you can pick the ones you like and disable the rest.
OVL_Kikoocycle Beta_Pine3This script use :
- A custom Chande Kroll Stop for generate the channel
- Some custom Parabolic S.A.R for generate cycles
This script can be separated into 3 categories:
- Channel Kroll generator : one layer for the actual interval and a layer for a Large Timeframe .(with ratio)
- "Range" generator : one layer for actual Interval and a layer for a Large Timeframe.(with automique ratio)
-Targets generator : one layer for actual interval with different trend.
"Channel Kroll" :
- I "hijack" the Chande Kroll Stop formula with custom parameters for generate this channel. Overall, it works like other types of channels like BB, etc... A midline and two borders. The thickness of the borders are relatively important here. A thick border shows some resistance of the area. And so the probability of seeing the market return to its first contact is stronger. While a very thin and vertical border would rather play the role of a breach, a bit like the idea of gaps. Often the market seems to want to go after several cycles.
You can activate its Large TimeFrame version, its midline is strong and fine borders helps to judge the risk.
SARget + "SAR Limited" :
- (S.A.R + targets) The philosophy of this function is simple... When a small cycle is broken, it creates a mark on a higher cycle. So on until the SAR called "SAR Limited". For simplicity, imagine a fractal image but inverted ... Break the small figure, it will mark the larger figure at this time but to get there you still have to make the way to the small figure.
Targets are : cross ("+") for fast targets(hidden by default because, theire work only on lower interval), squares (for medium trend), Xcross(for large trend) and red cross(they try to find a large contexte). When a target proc, it is for later (market need some cycles for going to, but it is relative to your interval). This gives you speculative goals.
Why 2 targets for a same type and a triangle with a 90deg angle : This give a potential area for management.The triangle help to visualize the SAR and to juge the market reaction. You need to adapte your trade with that...
Targets may be slightly too far because I am a bad coder... Currently the targets appear at the moment of rupture but it would be necessary to wait for the end of the breaking movement. Which can bring a positional error if the break is violent.
RnG and LTF RnG :
- Attempt to generate a Fibo range for each cycle and see interressing areas to enter or exit. This is played with the same philosophy as the Fibo extensions and retracement.
When a new RnG is generated, do not rush. It appears showing 50/50 for both sides. When a new RnG is generated, do not rush. It appears showing 50/50 for both sides. As long as the market is out of the middle zone (the 3 lines) keep in mind the past RnG.
When the market is out of range, you can use the FibRetracement tool for have extensions. One point at each end, as on the presentation graph. (Values 1.14, 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, 1.786, 2, 2.4 and 4 work well.) If too extrem you can active the LTF version.
Never fomo a break, market like to pull a level... Observe and be patient.
It's easier to use than to explain xD
NB : Do not use the LTF as context. For this, it is better to look at a higher interval.
I invite you to look in the style tab of the script and deselect the plots named UNCHECKEME, this will ease your browser.
Amazing Crossover System - 100+ pips per day!I got the main concept for this system on another site. While I have made one important change, I must stress that the heart of this system was created by someone else! We must give credit where credit is due!
Y'all know baby pips. @ForexPhantom published about this system and did both back and forward test around 10 years ago.
I found it on the sit and now I put it to code to see how it performs. I assume 10 points spread for every trade. I use Renesource or AxiTrader to get the low spreads.
There are 2 mods, the single trades and constant trading on the direction.
Main concept
Indicators
5 EMA -- YELLOW
10 EMA -- RED
RSI (10 - Apply to Median Price: HL/2) -- One level at 50.
TIME FRAME
1 Hour Only (very important!)
PAIRS
Virtually any pair seems to work as this is strictly technical analysis.
I recommend sticking to the main currencies and avoiding cross currencies (just his preference).
WHEN TO ENTER A TRADE
Enter LONG when the Yellow EMA crosses the Red EMA from underneath.
RSI must be approaching 50 from the BOTTOM and cross 50 to warrant entry.
Enter SHORT when the Yellow EMA crosses the Red EMA from the top.
RSI must be approaching 50 from the TOP and cross 50 to warrant entry.
I've attached a picture which demonstrates all these conditions.
That's it!
f.bpcdn.co
MFIww MFI/RSI_v2[wozdux]A new version of the indicator Mfi_v2. Added new control parameters.
tt - the averaging period of the volume.
Len - the period for calculating the MPI.
nn-averaging period MFI (blue line). level-critical levels from below and above (black horizontal lines).
Level 0 or 50 - switch between different histogram views with the middle at either level 50 or level 0.
key level-key to remove black critical levels.
key ema (MFI, nn) - key to remove mfi averaging (blue line).
key color-key to remove histogram coloring.
key colomns a-line - key switching modes represent the mfi histrogram or line.
---------------------------
Новая версия индикатора MFIww_v2. Добавлены новые управляющие параметры.
tt- период усреднения объема.
Len - период вычисления MFI.
nn- период усреднения MFI (голубая линия).
level- критические уровни снизу и сверху (черные горизонтальные линии).
Level 0 or 50 - переключение между разными представлениями гистрограммы с серединой либо на уровне 50 , либо на уровне 0.
key level- ключ убрать черные критические уровни.
key ema(mfi,nn) - ключ убрать усреднение mfi (голубая линия).
key color- ключ убрать расцветку гистрограммы.
key colomns-line - ключ переключения режимов представления mfi гистрограммой или линией.
GoTiT|Simple Auto Fib v1.0Simple Auto Fib!
Notes:
1. Always set the trend manually! Don't rely on the auto trend detection.
2. The first parameter Length sets the number of candles back (left) to search for highs and lows from the current candle.
3. The High Offset parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to ignore/skip before searching for highs.
4. The Low Offset parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to ignore/skip before searching for lows.
5. The offset parameters change the behavior of the Length parameter.
Example 1:
Length = 100
High Offset = 0
Low Offset = 0
This is the default behavior, and the search for highs and lows occurs on the last 100 candles.
Example 2:
Length = 50
High Offset = 20 (Ignore the last 20 candles, and search for highs starting at candle 21 to 71 (or 50 candles back)
Low Offset = 15 (Ignore the last 15 candles, and search for lows starting at candle 16 to 66 (or 50 candles back)
In example 2, search starts on candle 21 for highs, and candle 16 for lows and extends 50 candles further back from there.
6. The Trend Detection parameter sets the number of candles back (left) to use in the trend calculations. Larger values give better "marco trend" detection. Smaller values give better "micro trend" detection. See note #1.
7. The white fib line is fib0. Assuming you correctly set the trend manually (or the trend is auto detected correctly), in a downtrend fib0 should be bellow the red fib line, and in an uptrend fib0 should be above the red fib line.
MACD + Stochastic + RSI (Long + Short)My strategy uses a combination of three indicators MACD Stochastic RSI .
The Idea is to GO LONG when ( MACD > Signal and RSI > 50 and Stochastic > 50) occures at the same time
and GO SHORT when ( MACD < Signal and RSI < 50 and Stochastic < 50)
This strategy works well on futures and stocks especially during market breaking up after consolidation
The best results are on Daily charts , so its NOT a scalping strategy. But it can work also on 1H charts.
The strategy does not have any stops and profit targets, so we can take all the market can give us at the moment.
The exit point only when MACD goes under/over Signal line
Its Preformance is quite stable.
So, use it, trade it.
If it will help you to imprive your trading results, please donate me
BTC: 12kd1F8buWisUBdq27BBwRkUvzW7Ey3og5
Trend Lines and MoreMulti-Indicator consisting of several useful indicators in a single package.
TREND LINES
-By default the 20 SMA and 50 SMA are shown.
-Use "MOVING AVERAGE TYPE" to select SMA, EMA, Double-EMA, Triple-EMA, or Hull.
-Use "50 MA TREND COLOR" to have the 50 turn green/red for uptrend/downtrend.
-Use "DAILY SOURCE ONLY" to always show daily averages regardless of timeframe.
-Use "SHOW LONG MA" to also include 100, 150, and 200 moving averages.
-Use "SHOW MARKERS" to show a small colored marker identifying which line is which.
OTHER INDICATORS
-You can show Bollinger Bands and Parabolic SAR.
-You can highlight key reversal times (9:50-10:10 and 14:40-15:00).
-You can show price offset markers, where was the price "n" periods ago.
That last one is useful to show the level of prices which are about to "fall off" the moving average
and be replaced with current price. So for example, if current price is significantly below the
200-days-ago price, you can gauge the difficulty for the 200 MA to start climbing again.
Multi SMA EMA WMA HMA BB (4x3 MAs Bollinger Bands) Pro MTF - RRBMulti SMA EMA WMA HMA 4x3 Moving Averages with Bollinger Bands Pro MTF by RagingRocketBull 2018
Version 1.0
This indicator shows multiple MAs of any type SMA EMA WMA HMA etc with BB and MTF support, can show MAs as dynamically moving levels.
There are 4 MA groups + 1 BB group. You can assign any type/timeframe combo to a group, for example:
- EMAs 50,100,200 x H1, H4, D1, W1 (4 TFs x 3 MAs x 1 type)
- EMAs 8,13,21,55,100,200 x M15, H1 (2 TFs x 6 MAs x 1 type)
- D1 EMAs and SMAs 12,26,50,100,200,400 (1 TF x 6 MAs x 2 types)
- H1 WMAs 7,77,231; H4 HMAs 50,100,200; D1 EMAs 144,169,233; W1 SMAs 50,100,200 (4 TFs x 3 MAs x 4 types)
- +1 extra MA type/timeframe for BB
compile time: 25-30 sec
full redraw time after parameter change in UI: 3 sec
There are several versions: Simple, MTF, Pro MTF, Advanced MTF and Ultimate MTF. This is the Pro MTF version. The Differences are listed below. All versions have BB
- Simple: you have 2 groups of MAs that can be assigned any type (5+5)
- MTF: +2 custom Timeframes for each group (2x5 MTF)
- Pro MTF: +4 custom Timeframes for each group (4x3 MTF), MA levels and show max bars back options
- Advanced MTF: +2 extra MAs/group (4x5 MTF), custom Ticker/Symbol, backreferences for type, TF and MA lengths in UI
- Ultimate MTF: +individual settings for each MA, custom Ticker/Symbols
Features:
- 4x3 = 12 MAs of any type including Hull Moving Average (HMA)
- 4x MTF groups with step line smoothing
- BB +1 extra TF/type for BB MAs
- 12 MA levels with adjustable group offsets, indents and shift
- show max bars back
- you can show/hide both groups of MAs/levels and individual MAs
Notes:
1. based on 3EmaBB, uses plot*, barssince and security functions
2. you can't set certain constants from input due to Pinescript limitations - change the code as needed, recompile and use as a private version
3. Levels = trackprice implementation
4. Show Max Bars Back = show_last implementation
5. uses timeframe textbox instead of input resolution to allow for 120 240 and other custom TFs. Also supports TFs in hours: 2H or H2
6. swma has a fixed length = 4, alma and linreg have additional offset and smoothing params
7. Smoothing is applied by default for visual aesthetics on MTF. To use exact ma mtf values (lines with stair stepping) - disable it
MTF Notes:
- uses simple timeframe textbox instead of input resolution dropdown to allow for 120, 240 and other custom TFs, also supports timeframes in H: 2H, H2
- Groups that are not assigned a Custom TF will use Current Timeframe (0).
- MTF will work for any MA type assigned to the group
- MTF works both ways: you can display a higher TF MA/BB on a lower TF or a lower TF MA/BB on a higher TF.
- MTF MA values are normally aligned at the boundary of their native timeframe. This produces stair stepping when a higher TF MA is viewed on a lower TF.
Therefore X Y Point Density/Smoothing is applied by default on MA MTF for visual aesthetics. Set both to 0 to disable and see exact ma mtf values (lines with stair stepping and original mtf alignment).
- Smoothing is disabled for BB MTF bands because fill doesn't work with smoothed MAs after duplicate values are replaced with na.
- MTF MA Value fluctuation is possible on the current bar due to default security lookahead
Smoothing:
- X,Y == 0 - X,Y smoothing disabled (stair stepping on high TFs)
- X == 0, Y > 0 - X,Y smoothing applied to all TFs
- Y == 0, X > 0 - X smoothing applied to all TFs < deltaX_max_tf, Y smoothing disabled
- X > 0, Y > 0 - Y smoothing applied to all TFs, then X smoothing applied to all TFs < deltaX_max_tf
X Smoothing with Y == 0 - shows only every deltaX-th point starting from the first bar.
X Smoothing with Y > 0 - shows only every deltaX-th point starting from the last shown Y point, essentially filling huge gaps remaining after Y Smoothing with points and preserving the curve's general shape
X Smoothing on high TFs with already scarce points produces weird curve shapes, it works best only on high density lower TFs
Y Smoothing reduces points on all TFs, removes adjacent points with prices within deltaY, while preserving the smaller curve details.
A combination of X,Y produces the most accurate smoothing. Higher delta value - larger range, more points removed.
Show Max Bars Back:
- can't set plot show_last from input -> implemented using a timenow based range check
- you can't delete/modify history once plotted, so essentially it just sets a start point for plotting (from num_bars bars back) that works only in realtime mode (not in replay)
Levels:
You can plot current MA value using plot trackprice=true or by checking Show Price Line in Style. Problem is:
- you can only change color (not the dashed line style, width), have both ma + price line (not just the line), and it's full screen wide
- you can't set plot trackprice from input => implemented using plotshape/plotchar with fixed text labels serving as levels
- there's no other way of creating a dynamic level: hline, plot, offset - nothing else works.
- you can't plot a text var - all text strings must be constants, so you can't change the style, width and text labels without recompiling.
- from input you can only adjust offset, indent and shift for each level group, and change color
- the dot below each level line is the exact MA value. If you want just the line swap plotshape with plotchar, recompile and save as your private version, adjust Y shift.
To speed up redraw times: reduce last_bars to ~2000, recompile and use as your own private version
Pinescript is a rudimentary language (should be called Painscript instead) that can basically only plot data. You can't do much else. Please see the code for tips and hints.
Certain things just can't be done or require shady workarounds and weeks of testing trying to resolve weird node.js compiler errors.
Feel free to learn from/reuse/change the code as needed and use as your own private version. See comments in code. Good Luck!
Simple_longshort_signalsLong Entry
Criteria:
1) Green candle close above 50MA
2) Green candle close above 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross upward 50
Result: displays green up arrow
Long Exit
Criteria:
1) Three red candles in a row
2) Any candle close bellow 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) cross downward 50
Result: displays green diamond
Short Entry
1) Red candle close bellow 50MA
2) Red candle close bellow 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross downward 50
Result: displays red down arrow
Short Exit
Criteria
1) Three green candles in a row
2) Any candle close above 20MA
3) MA of RSI(14) is cross upward 50
Result: displays red diamond
Noro's Double RSI Strategy 1.0Strategy uses only 2 RSI indicators. Slow and fast.
If slow RSI > 50 and fast RSI < 50 - to open a long-position
If slow RSI < 50 and fast RSI > 50 - to open a short-position
If the long-position is open and a candle green - to close a long-position
if the short-position is open and a candle red - to close a short-position
GoldenCross by PuffyThis is a simple trading strategy that seeks the Golden Cross and Death Cross on the 4HR chart. The fast moving indicator in this strategy is the EMA 50 and the slow moving indicator is the EMA 200. When the EMA 50 crosses over the EMA 200 the strategy indicates a buy. When the EMA 50 crosses below the EMA 200 the strategy indicates a sell. This strategy averages trades in the 40 - 50 day range and as such should not be used with heavy leverage.
Exponential Moving Average (Set of 3) [Krypt] + 13/34 EMAsI took Krypt's script and essentially added on to it.
the 20/50/100/200 EMAs should be used together as support and resistance as normal.
Wait for price to break 200 EMA
Wait for 50 EMA to cross 200 EMA
Wait for pullback to 50 EMA to open position
20 and 100 EMAs are for extra information about moving support and resistance
and 13/34 EMAs should be used in conjunction
When 13 EMA crosses 34 EMA, open position
When price gets far from 13/34, close position (because price will attempt to revert back to mean)
This is better for scalping and swing trades than the 20/50/100/200 setup.
Twitter: @AzorAhai06
MTF EMAExponential Moving Average indicator that can be configured to display different timeframe EMA's.
Timeframe is set in minutes. Max timeframe currently is the daily (1440 minutes). Any value higher than 1440 will result in no plot.
Examples:
Daily 50 EMA plotted on 4H chart
4H 50 EMA and Daily 50 EMA plotted on 1H chart
Can also work in reverse if needed.
Example, Daily 50 EMA plotted on Weekly Chart
Price vs VolImproved version of OBV/price (this one actually works)
Both lines show where price is going relative to volume metrics (one line uses OBV, the other uses accumulation/distribution).
Green and above 50 means price is rising faster then buying volume
Red and below 50 means price is falling faster then selling volume
you can add smoothing in the controls and color will go according to raw (even if smoothing goes above/below 50)
under the hood: changes price, OBV and AD to RSI for comparability, calculates the difference between price and the others, then an RSI on the result to create an <50< style indicator.
this script replaces the previouse from:
ADX MTF mura visionOverview
ADX MTF — mura vision measures trend strength and visualizes a higher-timeframe (HTF) ADX on any chart. The current-TF ADX is drawn as a line; the HTF ADX is rendered as “step” segments to reflect closed HTF bars without repainting. Optional soft fills highlight the 20–25 (trend forming) and 40–50 (strong trend) zones.
How it works
ADX (current TF) : Classic Wilder formulation using DI components and RMA smoothing.
HTF ADX : Requested via request.security(..., lookahead_off, gaps_off).
When a new HTF bar opens, the previous value is frozen as a horizontal segment.
The current HTF bar is shown as a live moving segment.
This staircase look is expected on lower timeframes.
Auto timeframe mapping
If “Auto” is selected, the HTF is derived from the chart TF:
<30m → 60m, 30–<240m → 240m, 240m–<1D → 1D, 1D → 1W, 1W/2W → 1M, ≥1M → same.
Inputs
DI Length and ADX Smoothing — core ADX parameters.
Higher Time Frame — Auto or a fixed TF.
Line colors/widths for current ADX and HTF ADX.
Fill zone 20–25 and Fill zone 40–50 — optional light background fills.
Number of HTF ADX Bars — limits stored HTF segments to control chart load.
Reading the indicator
ADX < 20: typically range-bound conditions; trend setups require extra caution.
20–25: trend emergence; breakouts and continuation structures gain validity.
40–50: strong trend; favor continuation and manage with trailing stops.
>60 and turning down: possible trend exhaustion or transition toward range.
Note: ADX measures strength, not direction. Combine with your directional filter (e.g., price vs. MA, +DI/−DI, structure/levels).
Non-repainting behavior
HTF values use lookahead_off; closed HTF bars are never revised.
The only moving piece is the live segment for the current HTF bar.
Best practices
Use HTF ADX as a regime filter; time entries with the current-TF ADX rising through your threshold.
Pair with ATR-based stops and a MA/structure filter for direction.
Consider higher thresholds on highly volatile altcoins.
Performance notes
The script draws line segments for HTF bars. If your chart becomes heavy, reduce “Number of HTF ADX Bars.”
Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk.
Martingale Strategy Simulator [BackQuant]Martingale Strategy Simulator
Purpose
This indicator lets you study how a martingale-style position sizing rule interacts with a simple long or short trading signal. It computes an equity curve from bar-to-bar returns, adapts position size after losing streaks, caps exposure at a user limit, and summarizes risk with portfolio metrics. An optional Monte Carlo module projects possible future equity paths from your realized daily returns.
What a martingale is
A martingale sizing rule increases stake after losses and resets after a win. In its classical form from gambling, you double the bet after each loss so that a single win recovers all prior losses plus one unit of profit. In markets there is no fixed “even-money” payout and returns are multiplicative, so an exact recovery guarantee does not exist. The core idea is unchanged:
Lose one leg → increase next position size
Lose again → increase again
Win → reset to the base size
The expectation of your strategy still depends on the signal’s edge. Sizing does not create positive expectancy on its own. A martingale raises variance and tail risk by concentrating more capital as a losing streak develops.
What it plots
Equity – simulated portfolio equity including compounding
Buy & Hold – equity from holding the chart symbol for context
Optional helpers – last trade outcome, current streak length, current allocation fraction
Optional diagnostics – daily portfolio return, rolling drawdown, metrics table
Optional Monte Carlo probability cone – p5, p16, p50, p84, p95 aggregate bands
Model assumptions
Bar-close execution with no slippage or commissions
Shorting allowed and frictionless
No margin interest, borrow fees, or position limits
No intrabar moves or gaps within a bar (returns are close-to-close)
Sizing applies to equity fraction only and is capped by your setting
All results are hypothetical and for education only.
How the simulator applies it
1) Directional signal
You pick a simple directional rule that produces +1 for long or −1 for short each bar. Options include 100 HMA slope, RSI above or below 50, EMA or SMA crosses, CCI and other oscillators, ATR move, BB basis, and more. The stance is evaluated bar by bar. When the stance flips, the current trade ends and the next one starts.
2) Sizing after losses and wins
Position size is a fraction of equity:
Initial allocation – the starting fraction, for example 0.15 means 15 percent of equity
Increase after loss – multiply the next allocation by your factor after a losing leg, for example 2.00 to double
Reset after win – return to the initial allocation
Max allocation cap – hard ceiling to prevent runaway growth
At a high level the size after k consecutive losses is
alloc(k) = min( cap , base × factor^k ) .
In practice the simulator changes size only when a leg ends and its PnL is known.
3) Equity update
Let r_t = close_t / close_{t-1} − 1 be the symbol’s bar return, d_{t−1} ∈ {+1, −1} the prior bar stance, and a_{t−1} the prior bar allocation fraction. The simulator compounds:
eq_t = eq_{t−1} × (1 + a_{t−1} × d_{t−1} × r_t) .
This is bar-based and avoids intrabar lookahead. Costs, slippage, and borrowing costs are not modeled.
Why traders experiment with martingale sizing
Mean-reversion contexts – if the signal often snaps back after a string of losses, adding size near the tail of a move can pull the average entry closer to the turn
Behavioral or microstructure edges – some rules have modest edge but frequent small whipsaws; size escalation may shorten time-to-recovery when the edge manifests
Exploration and stress testing – studying the relationship between streaks, caps, and drawdowns is instructive even if you do not deploy martingale sizing live
Why martingale is dangerous
Martingale concentrates capital when the strategy is performing worst. The main risks are structural, not cosmetic:
Loss streaks are inevitable – even with a 55 percent win rate you should expect multi-loss runs. The probability of at least one k-loss streak in N trades rises quickly with N.
Size explodes geometrically – with factor 2.0 and base 10 percent, the sequence is 10, 20, 40, 80, 100 (capped) after five losses. Without a strict cap, required size becomes infeasible.
No fixed payout – in gambling, one win at even odds resets PnL. In markets, there is no guaranteed bounce nor fixed profit multiple. Trends can extend and gaps can skip levels.
Correlation of losses – losses cluster in trends and in volatility bursts. A martingale tends to be largest just when volatility is highest.
Margin and liquidity constraints – leverage limits, margin calls, position limits, and widening spreads can force liquidation before a mean reversion occurs.
Fat tails and regime shifts – assumptions of independent, Gaussian returns can understate tail risk. Structural breaks can keep the signal wrong for much longer than expected.
The simulator exposes these dynamics in the equity curve, Max Drawdown, VaR and CVaR, and via Monte Carlo sketches of forward uncertainty.
Interpreting losing streaks with numbers
A rough intuition: if your per-trade win probability is p and loss probability is q=1−p , the chance of a specific run of k consecutive losses is q^k . Over many trades, the chance that at least one k-loss run occurs grows with the number of opportunities. As a sanity check:
If p=0.55 , then q=0.45 . A 6-loss run has probability q^6 ≈ 0.008 on any six-trade window. Across hundreds of trades, a 6 to 8-loss run is not rare.
If your size factor is 1.5 and your base is 10 percent, after 8 losses the requested size is 10% × 1.5^8 ≈ 25.6% . With factor 2.0 it would try to be 10% × 2^8 = 256% but your cap will stop it. The equity curve will still wear the compounded drawdown from the sequence that led to the cap.
This is why the cap setting is central. It does not remove tail risk, but it prevents the sizing rule from demanding impossible positions
Note: The p and q math is illustrative. In live data the win rate and distribution can drift over time, so real streaks can be longer or shorter than the simple q^k intuition suggests..
Using the simulator productively
Parameter studies
Start with conservative settings. Increase one element at a time and watch how the equity, Max Drawdown, and CVaR respond.
Initial allocation – lower base reduces volatility and drawdowns across the board
Increase factor – set modestly above 1.0 if you want the effect at all; doubling is aggressive
Max cap – the most important brake; many users keep it between 20 and 50 percent
Signal selection
Keep sizing fixed and rotate signals to see how streak patterns differ. Trend-following signals tend to produce long wrong-way streaks in choppy ranges. Mean-reversion signals do the opposite. Martingale sizing interacts very differently with each.
Diagnostics to watch
Use the built-in metrics to quantify risk:
Max Drawdown – worst peak-to-trough equity loss
Sharpe and Sortino – volatility and downside-adjusted return
VaR 95 percent and CVaR – tail risk measures from the realized distribution
Alpha and Beta – relationship to your chosen benchmark
If you would like to check out the original performance metrics script with multiple assets with a better explanation on all metrics please see
Monte Carlo exploration
When enabled, the forecast draws many synthetic paths from your realized daily returns:
Choose a horizon and a number of runs
Review the bands: p5 to p95 for a wide risk envelope; p16 to p84 for a narrower range; p50 as the median path
Use the table to read the expected return over the horizon and the tail outcomes
Remember it is a sketch based on your recent distribution, not a predictor
Concrete examples
Example A: Modest martingale
Base 10 percent, factor 1.25, cap 40 percent, RSI>50 signal. You will see small escalations on 2 to 4 loss runs and frequent resets. The equity curve usually remains smooth unless the signal enters a prolonged wrong-way regime. Max DD may rise moderately versus fixed sizing.
Example B: Aggressive martingale
Base 15 percent, factor 2.0, cap 60 percent, EMA cross signal. The curve can look stellar during favorable regimes, then a single extended streak pushes allocation to the cap, and a few more losses drive deep drawdown. CVaR and Max DD jump sharply. This is a textbook case of high tail risk.
Strengths
Bar-by-bar, transparent computation of equity from stance and size
Explicit handling of wins, losses, streaks, and caps
Portable signal inputs so you can A–B test ideas quickly
Risk diagnostics and forward uncertainty visualization in one place
Example, Rolling Max Drawdown
Limitations and important notes
Martingale sizing can escalate drawdowns rapidly. The cap limits position size but not the possibility of extended adverse runs.
No commissions, slippage, margin interest, borrow costs, or liquidity limits are modeled.
Signals are evaluated on closes. Real execution and fills will differ.
Monte Carlo assumes independent draws from your recent return distribution. Markets often have serial correlation, fat tails, and regime changes.
All results are hypothetical. Use this as an educational tool, not a production risk engine.
Practical tips
Prefer gentle factors such as 1.1 to 1.3. Doubling is usually excessive outside of toy examples.
Keep a strict cap. Many users cap between 20 and 40 percent of equity per leg.
Stress test with different start dates and subperiods. Long flat or trending regimes are where martingale weaknesses appear.
Compare to an anti-martingale (increase after wins, cut after losses) to understand the other side of the trade-off.
If you deploy sizing live, add external guardrails such as a daily loss cut, volatility filters, and a global max drawdown stop.
Settings recap
Backtest start date and initial capital
Initial allocation, increase-after-loss factor, max allocation cap
Signal source selector
Trading days per year and risk-free rate
Benchmark symbol for Alpha and Beta
UI toggles for equity, buy and hold, labels, metrics, PnL, and drawdown
Monte Carlo controls for enable, runs, horizon, and result table
Final thoughts
A martingale is not a free lunch. It is a way to tilt capital allocation toward losing streaks. If the signal has a real edge and mean reversion is common, careful and capped escalation can reduce time-to-recovery. If the signal lacks edge or regimes shift, the same rule can magnify losses at the worst possible moment. This simulator makes those trade-offs visible so you can calibrate parameters, understand tail risk, and decide whether the approach belongs anywhere in your research workflow.
Berdins indicatorMA-POC Momentum System PRO (RSI + MTF + Alerts)EMA-POC Momentum System (RSI + MTF + Alerts)
What it does
• Trend: plots EMA 20 (red), EMA 50 (blue), EMA 238 (orange)
• Key level: simplified POC line = close of the highest-volume bar within a lookback window
• Momentum: Buy/Sell signals when RSI crosses 50 in the direction of the EMA trend
• Filters: optional higher-timeframe trend alignment, EMA slope filter, and minimum distance from POC to avoid chop
• Alerts: separate Buy/Sell alerts or one combined alert (choose in settings)
How to use
1) Add to chart and keep “Confirm on bar close” enabled for non-repainting signals.
2) For intraday, consider enabling MTF Trend (e.g., chart = 5m/15m, HTF = 60m).
3) Optional: set Min distance from POC to ~0.5–1.0% to avoid entries right on the POC.
4) Create alerts via the Alerts panel: choose “Buy Alert”, “Sell Alert”, or “Combined”.
Inputs (quick reference)
• EMA Fast/Mid/Slow = 20/50/238
• POC Lookback (default 200)
• RSI Length (default 14)
• Use Higher Timeframe Trend? (default off) + HTF for Trend
• Require EMA20 & EMA50 slope (default on)
• Min distance from POC (% of price)
• Confirm signals on bar close (default on)
• Use ONE combined alert (default off)
Notes
• POC here is a lightweight approximation and not a full volume profile.
• Signals are informational/educational. Always manage risk and confirm with your own process.
