Stocks Above 5-Day Average (FOMO)Overview
Inspired by Matt Carusos's FOMO indicator, this breadth indicator is designed to provide a visual representation of the percentage of stocks within major indices that are trading above their 5-day moving average.
Functionality
The indicator plots the percentage of stocks trading above their 5-day moving average for the following indices:
S&P 500
Nasdaq
Russell 2000
Dow Jones
All Markets (MMFD)
The indicator includes two horizontal lines:
Upper Threshold: Default at 85%
Lower Threshold: Default at 15%
These lines are used to identify potential overbought (above upper threshold) or oversold (below lower threshold) conditions.
Plot Shapes:
Small circles are plotted at the points where the percentage of stocks crosses the upper or lower thresholds, with colors matching the respective index.
Table:
The current percentage of stocks above the 5-day average for each index.
A warning sign (⚠️) is shown in the table if the percentage crosses the upper or lower threshold, regardless of whether the index plot is enabled or not.
חפש סקריפטים עבור "美股标普500"
Auto Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) [TANHEF]Auto Volume Spread Analysis (visible volume and spread bars auto-scaled): Understanding Market Intentions through the Interpretation of Volume and Price Movements.
All the sections below contain the same descriptions as my other indicator "Volume Spread Analysis" with the exception of 'Auto Scaling'.
█ Auto-Scaling
This indicator auto-scales spread bars to match the visible volume bars, unlike the previous "Volume Spread Analysis " version which limited the number of visible spread bars to a fixed count. The auto-scaling feature allows for easier navigation through historical data, enabling both more historical spread bars to be viewed and more historical VSA pattern labels being displayed without requiring using the bar replay tool. Please note that this indicator’s auto-scaling feature recalculates the visible bars on the chart, causing the indicator to reload whenever the chart is moved.
Auto-scaled spread bars have two display options (set via 'Spread Bars Method' setting):
Lines: a bar lookback limit of 500 bars.
Polylines: no bar lookback limit as only plotted on visible bars on chart, which uses multiple polylines are used.
█ Simple Explanation:
The Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) indicator is a comprehensive tool that helps traders identify key market patterns and trends based on volume and spread data. This indicator highlights significant VSA patterns and provides insights into market behavior through color-coded volume/spread bars and identification of bars indicating strength, weakness, and neutrality between buyers and sellers. It also includes powerful volume and spread forecasting capabilities.
█ Laws of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
The origin of VSA begins with Richard Wyckoff, a pivotal figure in its development. Wyckoff made significant contributions to trading theory, including the formulation of three basic laws:
The Law of Supply and Demand: This fundamental law states that supply and demand balance each other over time. High demand and low supply lead to rising prices until demand falls to a level where supply can meet it. Conversely, low demand and high supply cause prices to fall until demand increases enough to absorb the excess supply.
The Law of Cause and Effect: This law assumes that a 'cause' will result in an 'effect' proportional to the 'cause'. A strong 'cause' will lead to a strong trend (effect), while a weak 'cause' will lead to a weak trend.
The Law of Effort vs. Result: This law asserts that the result should reflect the effort exerted. In trading terms, a large volume should result in a significant price move (spread). If the spread is small, the volume should also be small. Any deviation from this pattern is considered an anomaly.
█ Volume and Spread Analysis Bars:
Display: Volume and spread bars that consist of color coded levels, with the spread bars scaled to match the volume bars. A displayable table (Legend) of bar colors and levels can give context and clarify to each volume/spread bar.
Calculation: Levels are calculated using multipliers applied to moving averages to represent key levels based on historical data: low, normal, high, ultra. This method smooths out short-term fluctuations and focuses on longer-term trends.
Low Level: Indicates reduced volatility and market interest.
Normal Level: Reflects typical market activity and volatility.
High Level: Indicates increased activity and volatility.
Ultra Level: Identifies extreme levels of activity and volatility.
This illustrates the appearance of Volume and Spread bars when scaled and plotted together:
█ Forecasting Capabilities:
Display: Forecasted volume and spread levels using predictive models.
Calculation: Volume and Spread prediction calculations differ as volume is linear and spread is non-linear.
Volume Forecast (Linear Forecasting): Predicts future volume based on current volume rate and bar time till close.
Spread Forecast (Non-Linear Dynamic Forecasting): Predicts future spread using a dynamic multiplier, less near midpoint (consolidation) and more near low or high (trending), reflecting non-linear expansion.
Moving Averages: In forecasting, moving averages utilize forecasted levels instead of actual levels to ensure the correct level is forecasted (low, normal, high, or ultra).
The following compares forecasted volume with actual resulting volume, highlighting the power of early identifying increased volume through forecasted levels:
█ VSA Patterns:
Criteria and descriptions for each VSA pattern are available as tooltips beside them within the indicator’s settings. These tooltips provide explanations of potential developments based on the volume and spread data.
Signs of Strength (🟢): Patterns indicating strong buying pressure and potential market upturns.
Down Thrust
Selling Climax
No Effort ➤ Bearish Result
Bearish Effort ➤ No Result
Inverse Down Thrust
Failed Selling Climax
Bull Outside Reversal
End of Falling Market (Bag Holder)
Pseudo Down Thrust
No Supply
Signs of Weakness (🔴): Patterns indicating strong selling pressure and potential market downturns.
Up Thrust
Buying Climax
No Effort ➤ Bullish Result
Bullish Effort ➤ No Result
Inverse Up Thrust
Failed Buying Climax
Bear Outside Reversal
End of Rising Market (Bag Seller)
Pseudo Up Thrust
No Demand
Neutral Patterns (🔵): Patterns indicating market indecision and potential for continuation or reversal.
Quiet Doji
Balanced Doji
Strong Doji
Quiet Spinning Top
Balanced Spinning Top
Strong Spinning Top
Quiet High Wave
Balanced High Wave
Strong High Wave
Consolidation
Bar Patterns (🟡): Common candlestick patterns that offer insights into market sentiment. These are required in some VSA patterns and can also be displayed independently.
Bull Pin Bar
Bear Pin Bar
Doji
Spinning Top
High Wave
Consolidation
This demonstrates the acronym and descriptive options for displaying bar patterns, with the ability to hover over text to reveal the descriptive text along with what type of pattern:
█ Alerts:
VSA Pattern Alerts: Notifications for identified VSA patterns at bar close.
Volume and Spread Alerts: Alerts for confirmed and forecasted volume/spread levels (Low, High, Ultra).
Forecasted Volume and Spread Alerts: Alerts for forecasted volume/spread levels (High, Ultra) include a minimum percent time elapsed input to reduce false early signals by ensuring sufficient bar time has passed.
█ Inputs and Settings:
Indicator Bar Color: Select color schemes for bars (Normal, Detail, Levels).
Indicator Moving Average Color: Select schemes for bars (Fill, Lines, None).
Price Bar Colors: Options to color price bars based on VSA patterns and volume levels.
Legend: Display a table of bar colors and levels for context and clarity of volume/spread bars.
Forecast: Configure forecast display and prediction details for volume and spread.
Average Multipliers: Define multipliers for different levels (Low, High, Ultra) to refine the analysis.
Moving Average: Set volume and spread moving average settings.
VSA: Select the VSA patterns to be calculated and displayed (Strength, Weakness, Neutral).
Bar Patterns: Criteria for bar patterns used in VSA (Doji, Bull Pin Bar, Bear Pin Bar, Spinning Top, Consolidation, High Wave).
Colors: Set exact colors used for indicator bars, indicator moving averages, and price bars.
More Display Options: Specify how VSA pattern text is displayed (Acronym, Descriptive), positioning, and sizes.
Alerts: Configure alerts for VSA patterns, volume, and spread levels, including forecasted levels.
█ Usage:
The Volume Spread Analysis indicator is a helpful tool for leveraging volume spread analysis to make informed trading decisions. It offers comprehensive visual and textual cues on the chart, making it easier to identify market conditions, potential reversals, and continuations. Whether analyzing historical data or forecasting future trends, this indicator provides insights into the underlying factors driving market movements.
All Divergences with trend / SL - Uncle SamThanks to the main inspiration behind this strategy and the hard work of:
"Divergence for many indicators v4 by LonesomeTheBlue"
The "All Divergence" strategy is a versatile approach for identifying and acting upon various divergences in the market. Divergences occur when price and an indicator move in opposite directions, often signaling potential reversals. This strategy incorporates both regular and hidden divergences across multiple indicators (MACD, Stochastics, CCI, etc.) for a comprehensive analysis.
Key Features:
Comprehensive Divergence Analysis: The strategy scans for regular and hidden divergences across a variety of indicators, increasing the probability of identifying potential trade setups.
Trend Filter: To enhance accuracy, a moving average (MA) trend filter is integrated. This ensures trades align with the overall market trend, reducing the risk of false signals.
Customizable Risk Management: Users can adjust parameters for long/short stop-loss and take-profit levels to match their individual risk tolerance.
Additional Risk Management (Optional): An experimental MA-based risk management feature can be enabled to close positions if the market shows consecutive closes against the trend.
Clear Visuals: The script plots pivot points, divergence lines, and stop-loss levels on the chart for easy reference.
Strategy Settings (Defaults):
Enable Long/Short Strategy: True
Long/Short Stop Loss %: 2%
Long/Short Take Profit %: 5%
Enable MA Trend: True
MA Type: HMA (Hull Moving Average)
MA Length: 500
Use MA Risk Management: False (Experimental)
MA Risk Exit Candles: 2 (If enabled)
Pivot Period: 9
Source for Pivot Points: Close
Backtest Details (Example):
The strategy has been backtested on XAUUSD 1H (Goold/USD 1 hour timeframe) with a starting capital of $1,000. The backtest period covers around 2 years. A commission of 0.02% per trade and a 0.1% slippage per trade were factored in to simulate real-world trading costs.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Backtested results are not indicative of future performance. Use this strategy at your own risk. Always conduct your own analysis and consider consulting a financial professional before making any trading decisions.
Important Notes:
The default settings are a good starting point, but feel free to experiment to find optimal parameters for your specific trading style and market.
The MA-based risk management is an experimental feature. Use it with caution and thoroughly test it before deploying in live trading.
Backtest results can vary depending on the market, timeframe, and specific settings used. Always consider slippage and commission fees when evaluating a strategy's potential profitability.
Macro Risk On/Off SentimentOverview
As an Ichimoku trader, I've always found it crucial to understand the broader market sentiment before entering trades. That's why I developed this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator. It's designed to provide a comprehensive view of global market risk sentiment by analysing multiple factors across different asset classes. By combining nine key market indicators, it produces an overall risk sentiment score, giving me a clearer picture of the market's mood before I apply my Ichimoku strategy.
Rationale
While Ichimoku is powerful for identifying trends and potential entry points, I realised it doesn't always capture the broader market context. Markets don't exist in isolation—they're influenced by a myriad of factors including volatility, economic indicators, and cross-asset relationships. By creating this indicator, I aimed to fill that gap, providing myself with a macro view that complements my Ichimoku analysis.
How It Works
The indicator analyses nine different market factors:
VIX (Volatility Index): Measures market expectations of near-term volatility.
S&P 500 Performance: Represents the overall US stock market performance.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Indicates bond market sentiment and economic outlook.
Gold Price Movement: Often seen as a safe-haven asset.
US Dollar Index: Measures the strength of the USD against a basket of currencies.
Emerging Markets Performance: Represents risk appetite for higher-risk markets.
High Yield Bond Spreads: Indicates credit market risk sentiment.
Copper/Gold Ratio: An economic growth indicator.
Put/Call Ratio: Measures overall market sentiment based on options trading.
Each factor is assigned a score based on its z-score relative to its recent history, then weighted according to its perceived importance. The overall risk score is a weighted average of these individual scores.
How I Use It
Before applying my Ichimoku strategy, I first check this indicator to gauge the overall market sentiment:
I look at the blue line plotted on the chart, which represents the overall risk score.
I note the background colour: green for risk-on (positive score) and red for risk-off (negative score).
I check the label in the lower-left corner, which provides specific FX pair recommendations and market expectations.
In a risk-on environment (positive score):
I focus on long positions in AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, EUR/USD, etc.
I look for short opportunities in USD/CAD, USD/NOK, etc.
I expect commodities and yields to rise
In a risk-off environment (negative score):
I focus on long positions in USD/JPY, USD/CHF, USD/CAD
I look for short opportunities in AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/USD
I expect increased volatility and falling yields
The strength of the sentiment is reflected in how close the score is to either 1 (strong risk-on) or -1 (strong risk-off). This helps me gauge how aggressive or conservative I should be with my Ichimoku trades.
Customisation
I've designed this indicator to be flexible. You can modify it to:
Adjust the lookback period and moving average length (both default to 30)
Change the weighting of different factors in the final score calculation
Include or exclude specific factors based on your analysis needs
By combining this Macro Risk On/Off Sentiment Indicator with my Ichimoku analysis, I've found I can make more informed trading decisions, taking into account both the technical setups I see on the chart and the broader market context.
Groupings [SS]Hey everyone,
Releasing this indicator called groupings.
If you watch/read my analyses on Tradingview, you will have heard me talk about groups. Groups is something I invented. What it is, is just taking the Euclidean Distance (ED) of the previous 5 candles in a specified period (i.e. daily timeframe, weekly, 1 minute, 5 minute, etc.) and rounding the ED up to a whole number.
I have had great success in this approach because the information provided is broad enough to give leniency in interpretation but narrow enough to hone in on potential moves and target prices.
This indicator is a simplified version of how I do groupings in other software, however it is no less powerful!
What do groups tell us?
A "group" takes into account the previous 5 candles, using the ED. This gives Pinescript a general idea of what the short term trend looks like mathematically. From there, Pinescript can look for other groups that looked similar to how this current trend looks. From there, it can offer us insights into what tends to happen in candles subsequent to this group. For example, the ATR range, the close range and whether it is bearish or bullish.
And that is precisely how this indicator operates, Pinescript will calculate the group of the previous 5 canndles in the timeframe period you are looking at. It will then lookback over the designated "train" length and identify previous groups, and what happened in those groups. It looks specifically at:
- What is that average High ATR associated with that group,
- What is the average Low ATR associated with that group,
- What is the average close range associated with that group,
- What is the sentiment associated with that group.
How to use the indicator?
In terms of use, the indicator is relatively simple to use. It will plot three lines, a red for the anticipated low range, a green for the anticipated high range and purple for the opening range (where the current candle opened at).
In addition, it will plot a dot for the anticipated close area. When the dot is green, it expects a bullish close. When the dot is red, it expects a bearish close.
The indicator is going to give you a heads up as to whether we are in a bullish group, what you can anticipate the high and low range to be and where you can anticipate the close.
Of course, its not always exact, as in the image above you can see it underestimated the high range and over-estimated the low range; however, we did close within the anticipate range.
The indicator is meant to help you with your bias. I will reference this indicator on the daily timeframe at open to see what the expectations are for the day.
However, you can use it on any timeframe you wish.
Other functions:
The indicator can plot the EMA 9, 21 and 5. These are the 3 indicators I like and I find them helpful for both intraday and swing trading. However, they can be toggled off if you do not wish to view them.
In addition, the EMAs will be green if the ticker is trending above the EMA 21 (which is a critical EMA for me to determine the immediate sentiment). If the ticker is below, they will turn red.
There is also the ability to adjust the train time. The default is 1,000 candles back, but I usually have it on 1500. If you have a lot of indicators and a lot going on, on your chart, you may find that 1500 is too much and it will lag/error. That’s okay, 500 candles is sufficient and will not put a lot of stress on Pinescript.
Concluding remarks
Its overall a fairly simple concept and indicator, but it has been a neat and helpful / insightful invention. I originally developed this using R and happy to have now brought it into Pinescript.
I hope you enjoy!
Safe trades everyone!
Relative Equal Highs/LowsThis Pine script indicator is designed to create a visual representation of the relative equal highs & lows formed and automatically removed mitigated ones. Unlike indicators designed to show exact equal high/lows this indicator allows a small, configurable degree of variance between price to identify areas where price stops.
Relevance:
Relative Equal highs and lows can serve as valuable tools in identifying potential shifts in trend direction. They come into play when the price hits a support or resistance level and can’t advance further, signaling a possible reversal or pivot point. When the price sufficiently retreats from these levels, relative equal highs and lows can also indicate liquidity draws where buy/sell stops might be positioned, in accordance with SMC/ICT concepts.
How It Works:
The indicator tracks all unmitigated highs & lows within the chart’s present timeframe, limited to the user-defined max bars lookback for optimal performance. If the prices are within the configured variance they are marked as relatively equal and at that point are visually identified by a horizontal line, which connects the two (or more) points of price. Depending on configuration of the indicator, a line is rendered from the 1st, last or both values within the relatively equal range of price. A unique feature of this indicator is its ability to remove the line once the price mitigates the relative equal high/low by falling below the lows or rising above highs. This ensures the chart remains uncluttered and highlights only the currently relevant levels, setting it apart from other indicators providing similar functionality.
Configurability:
The indicator offers five style settings for complete customization of the lines that represent equal highs/lows. These settings include line style, color, and width, along with an option to extend the lines to the right of the chart for enhanced visibility of equal high/low levels. To optimize performance, the indicator allows users to configure the lookback length, determining how far back the price history should be examined. In most instances, the default setting of 500 bars proves more than adequate. Additionally, you can set thresholds via separate configs for stocks & indices that will determine if the price is relatively equal and lastly allow you to configure where the indicator line should be drawn, the first, last or all the values.
Additional notes:
This uses a different approach then my “equal highs/lows” indicator to identify price levels and because it focuses specifically on relative as opposed to exact values it is entirely different and may show “weaker”, but still important levels of liquidity. This indicator is more suited for analysis of stocks and indices or higher-timeframes where price-action rarely forms exact equal values instead more frequently forming almost equal values. My other indicator is more suited for smaller (15m or less) timeframe on indices where exact equal prices are often identical. Depending on situation different indicators should be used.
CE_ZLSMA_5MIN_CANDLECHART-- Overview
The "CE_ZLSMA_5MIN_CANDLECHART" strategy, developed by DailyPanda, is a comprehensive trading strategy designed for analyzing trading on 5-minute candlestick charts.
It aims to use some indicators calculated from a Hekin Ashi chart, while running it on a normal candlestick chart, making sure that no price distortion affects the strategy results .
It also brings a feature to show, on the candlestick chart, where the entries would take place on the HA chart, to also be able to study the effect that the price distortion would make on your backtest.
-- Credit
The code in this script is based on open-source indicators originally written by veryfid and everget, I've made significant changes and additions to the scripts but all credit for the idea goes to them, I just built on top of it:
-- Key Features
It incorporate already built indicators (ZLSMA) and CandelierExit (CE)
-- Zero Lag Least Squares Moving Average (ZLSMA) - by veryfid
The ZLSMA is used to detect trends with minimal lag, improving the accuracy of entry and exit signals.
It incorporates a double-smoothed linear regression to minimize lag and enhance trend-following capabilities.
Buy signals are generated when the price closes above the ZLSMA together with the CE signal.
It is calculated based on the HA candlestick pattern.
-- Chandelier Exit (CE) - by everget
The Chandelier Exit indicator is used to dynamically manage stop-loss levels based on the Average True Range (ATR).
It ensures that stop-loss levels are adaptive to market volatility, protecting profits and limiting losses.
The ATR period and multiplier can be customized to fit different trading styles and risk tolerances.
It is calculated based on the HA candlestick pattern.
-- Heikin Ashi Candles
The strategy leverages Heikin Ashi candlesticks to be able identify trends more clearly and leverage this to stay on winning trades longer.
Traders can choose to display Heikin Ashi candlesticks and order fills on the chart for better visualization.
-- Risk Management
The strategy includes multiple risk management options to protect traders' capital.
Maximum intraday loss limit based on a percentage of equity.
Maximum stop-loss in points to filter out entries with excessive risk.
Daily profit target to stop trading once the goal is achieved.
Options to use fixed contract sizes or dynamically adjust based on a percentage of equity.
These features help traders manage risk and ensure sustainable trading practices.
Moving Averages
Several moving averages (EMA 9, EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 72, EMA 200, SMA 200, and SMA 500) are plotted to provide additional context and trend confirmation.
A "Zone of Value" is highlighted between the EMA 200 and SMA 200 to identify potential support and resistance areas.
-- Customizable Inputs
The strategy includes various customizable inputs, allowing traders to tailor it to their specific needs.
Start and stop trading times.
Risk management parameters (e.g., maximum stop-loss, daily drawdown limit, and daily profit target).
Display options for Heikin Ashi candles and moving averages.
ZLSMA length and offset.
-- Usage
-- Setting Up the Strategy
Configure the start year for the strategy and the trading hours using the input fields. The first candle of each day will be filled black for easy identification, while candles that are outside the allowed time range will be filled purple.
Customize the risk management parameters to match your risk tolerance and trading style.
Enable or disable the display of Heikin Ashi candlesticks and moving averages as desired.
-- Interpreting Signals
Buy signals are indicated by a "Buy" label when the Heikin Ashi close price is above the ZLSMA and the Chandelier Exit indicates a long position.
The strategy will automatically enter a long position with a stop-loss level determined the swing low.
Positions are closed when the close price falls below the ZLSMA.
-- Risk Management
The strategy monitors the maximum intraday loss and stops trading if the loss limit is reached.
If enabled, also stops trading once the daily profit target is achieved, helping to lock in gains.
You have the option to filter operations based on a maximum accepted stop-loss level, based on your risk tolerance.
You can also operate with a fixed amount of contracts or dynamically adjust it based on your allowed risk per trade, ensuring optimal protection of capital.
-- Visual Aids
The strategy plots various moving averages to provide additional trend context.
The "Zone of Value" between the EMA 200 and SMA 200 highlights potential support and resistance areas.
Heikin Ashi candlesticks and order fills can be displayed to enhance the difference this strategy would take if you were to backtest it on a Heikin Ashi chart.
-- Table of results
This strategy also breaks down the results on a monthly basis for better understanding of your capital development along the way.
-- Conclusion
The "CE_ZLSMA_5MIN_CANDLECHART" strategy is a tool for intraday traders looking to understand and leaverage the Heikin Ashi chart while still using the normal candle chart. Traders can customize the strategy to fit their specific needs, making it a versatile addition to any trading toolkit.
Growth TrendThis powerful indicator plots the number of growth stocks in an uptrend, providing a comprehensive view of the market's overall direction. By applying a simple moving average, users can quickly gauge the trend and make informed trading decisions.
How does it work?
The script pulls tickers from the S & P 500 Growth ETF. It then plots the number of stocks from the ETF that are trending above a medium-term Moving Average, signaling an uptrend.
A moving average is applied to help understand the trend.
The background is shaded when 3 or more consecutive days are above (green) or below (red) the moving average.
Key Features:
Visual Trend Identification: The indicator shades the background green when three or more consecutive days are above the moving average, indicating a strong uptrend. Conversely, it shades red when three consecutive days are below the moving average, signaling a downtrend.
Breakout Insights: By tracking the trend, traders can identify when breakouts in growth stocks are more likely to occur or fail. This helps traders time their entries and exits more effectively.
Trend Strength Assessment: The indicator provides a quick visual assessment of the trend's strength, enabling traders to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Why is this indicator helpful?
Improved Trading Decisions: By understanding the overall trend and strength of growth stocks, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell.
Enhanced Risk Management: The indicator helps traders identify potential trend reversals, enabling them to adjust their positions and manage risk more effectively.
Market Insights: The Growth Stock Trend Indicator provides a valuable perspective on the market's overall direction, helping traders stay ahead of the curve.
By incorporating this indicator into their trading strategy, traders can gain a competitive edge and make more informed decisions in the growth stock market.
Sharpe and Sortino Ratios█ OVERVIEW
This indicator calculates the Sharpe and Sortino ratios using a chart symbol's periodic price returns, offering insights into the symbol's risk-adjusted performance. It features the option to calculate these ratios by comparing the periodic returns to a fixed annual rate of return or the returns from another selected symbol's context.
█ CONCEPTS
Returns, risk, and volatility
The return on an investment is the relative gain or loss over a period, often expressed as a percentage. Investment returns can originate from several sources, including capital gains, dividends, and interest income. Many investors seek the highest returns possible in the quest for profit. However, prudent investing and trading entails evaluating such returns against the associated risks (i.e., the uncertainty of returns and the potential for financial losses) for a clearer perspective on overall performance and sustainability.
The profitability of an investment typically comes at the cost of enduring market swings, noise, and general uncertainty. To navigate these turbulent waters, investors and portfolio managers often utilize volatility , a measure of the statistical dispersion of historical returns, as a foundational element in their risk assessments because it provides a tangible way to gauge the uncertainty in returns. High volatility suggests increased uncertainty and, consequently, higher risk, whereas low volatility suggests more stable returns with minimal fluctuations, implying lower risk. These concepts are integral components in several risk-adjusted performance metrics, including the Sharpe and Sortino ratios calculated by this indicator.
Risk-free rate
The risk-free rate represents the rate of return on a hypothetical investment carrying no risk of financial loss. This theoretical rate provides a benchmark for comparing the returns on a risky investment and evaluating whether its excess returns justify the risks. If an investment's returns are at or below the theoretical risk-free rate or the risk premium is below a desired amount, it may suggest that the returns do not compensate for the extra risk, which might be a call to reassess the investment.
Since the risk-free rate is a theoretical concept, investors often utilize proxies for the rate in practice, such as Treasury bills and other government bonds. Conventionally, analysts consider such instruments "risk-free" for a domestic holder, as they are a form of government obligation with a low perceived likelihood of default.
The average yield on short-term Treasury bills, influenced by economic conditions, monetary policies, and inflation expectations, has historically hovered around 2-3% over the long term. This range also aligns with central banks' inflation targets. As such, one may interpret a value within this range as a minimum proxy for the risk-free rate, as it may correspond to the minimum rate required to maintain purchasing power over time. This indicator uses a default value of 2% as the risk-free rate in its Sharpe and Sortino ratio calculations. Users can adjust this value from the "Risk-free rate of return" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab.
Sharpe and Sortino ratios
The Sharpe and Sortino ratios are two of the most widely used metrics that offer insight into an investment's risk-adjusted performance . They provide a standardized framework to compare the effectiveness of investments relative to their perceived risks. These metrics can help investors determine whether the returns justify the risks taken to achieve them, promoting more informed investment decisions.
Both metrics measure risk-adjusted performance similarly. However, they have some differences in their formulas and their interpretation:
1. Sharpe ratio
The Sharpe ratio , developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, measures the performance of an investment compared to a theoretically risk-free asset, adjusted for the investment risk. The ratio uses the following formula:
Sharpe Ratio = (𝑅𝑎 − 𝑅𝑓) / 𝜎𝑎
Where:
• 𝑅𝑎 = Average return of the investment
• 𝑅𝑓 = Theoretical risk-free rate of return
• 𝜎𝑎 = Standard deviation of the investment's returns (volatility)
A higher Sharpe ratio indicates a more favorable risk-adjusted return, as it signifies that the investment produced higher excess returns per unit of increase in total perceived risk.
2. Sortino ratio
The Sortino ratio is a modified form of the Sharpe ratio that only considers downside volatility , i.e., the volatility of returns below the theoretical risk-free benchmark. Although it shares close similarities with the Sharpe ratio, it can produce very different values, especially when the returns do not have a symmetrical distribution, since it does not penalize upside and downside volatility equally. The ratio uses the following formula:
Sortino Ratio = (𝑅𝑎 − 𝑅𝑓) / 𝜎𝑑
Where:
• 𝑅𝑎 = Average return of the investment
• 𝑅𝑓 = Theoretical risk-free rate of return
• 𝜎𝑑 = Downside deviation (standard deviation of negative excess returns, or downside volatility)
The Sortino ratio offers an alternative perspective on an investment's return-generating efficiency since it does not consider upside volatility in its calculation. A higher Sortino ratio signifies that the investment produced higher excess returns per unit of increase in perceived downside risk.
The risk-free rate (𝑅𝑓) in the numerator of both ratio formulas acts as a baseline for comparing an investment's performance to a theoretical risk-free alternative. By subtracting the risk-free rate from the expected return (𝑅𝑎−𝑅𝑓), the numerator essentially represents the risk premium of the investment.
Comparison with another symbol
In addition to the conventional Sharpe and Sortino ratios, which compare an instrument's returns to a risk-free rate, this indicator can also compare returns to a user-specified benchmark symbol , allowing the calculation of Information ratios .
An Information ratio is a generalized form of the Sharpe ratio that compares an investment's returns to a risky benchmark , such as SPY, rather than a risk-free rate. It measures the investment's active return (the difference between its returns and the benchmark returns) relative to its tracking error (i.e., the volatility of the active return) using the following formula:
𝐼𝑅 = (𝑅𝑝 − 𝑅𝑏) / 𝑇𝐸
Where:
• 𝑅𝑝 = Average return on the portfolio or investment
• 𝑅𝑏 = Average return from the benchmark instrument
• 𝑇𝐸 = Tracking error (volatility of 𝑅𝑝 − 𝑅𝑏)
Comparing returns to a benchmark instrument rather than a theoretical risk-free rate offers unique insights into risk-adjusted performance. Higher Information ratios signify that the investment produced higher active returns per unit of increase in risk relative to the benchmark. Conventional choices for non-risk-free benchmarks include major composite indices like the S&P 500 and DJIA, as the resulting ratios can provide insight into the effectiveness of an investment relative to the broader market.
Users can enable this generalized calculation for both the Sharpe and Sortino ratios by selecting the "Benchmark symbol returns" option from the "Benchmark type" dropdown in the "Settings/Inputs" tab.
It's crucial to note that this indicator compares the charts symbol's rate of change (return) to the rate of change in the benchmark symbol. Consequently, not all symbols available on TradingView are suitable for use with these ratios due to the nature of what their values represent. For instance, using a bond as a benchmark will produce distorted results since each bar's values represent yields rather than prices, meaning it compares the rate of change in the yield. To maintain consistency and relevance in the calculated ratios, ensure the values from the compared symbols strictly represent price information.
█ FEATURES
This indicator provides traders with two widely used metrics for assessing risk-adjusted performance, generalized to allow users to compare the chart symbol's price returns to a fixed risk-free rate or the returns from another risky symbol. Below are the key features of this indicator:
Timeframe selection
The "Returns timeframe" input determines the timeframe of the calculated price returns. Users can select any value greater than or equal to the chart's timeframe. The default timeframe is "1M".
Periodic returns tracking
This indicator compounds and collects requested price returns from the selected timeframe over monthly or daily periods, similar to how the Broker Emulator works when calculating strategy performance metrics on trade data. It employs the following logic:
• Track returns over monthly periods if the chart's data spans at least two months.
• Track returns over daily periods if the chart's data spans at least two days but not two months.
• Do not track or collect returns if the data spans less than two days, as the amount of data is insufficient for meaningful ratio calculations.
The indicator uses the returns collected from up to a specified number of periods to calculate the Sharpe and Sortino ratios, depending on the available historical data. It also uses these periodic returns to calculate the average returns it displays in the Data Window.
Users can control the maximum number of periods the indicator analyzes with the "Max no. of periods used" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab. The default value is 60 periods.
Benchmark specification
The "Benchmark return type" input specifies the benchmark type the indicator compares to the chart symbol's returns in the ratio calculations. It features the following two options:
• "Risk-free rate of return (%)": Compares the price returns to a user-specified annual rate of return representing a theoretical risk-free rate (e.g., 2%).
• "Benchmark symbol return": Compares the price returns to a selected benchmark symbol (e.g., "AMEX:SPY) to calculate Information ratios.
When comparing a chart symbol's returns to a specified benchmark symbol, this indicator aligns the times of data points from the benchmark with the times of data points from the chart's symbol to facilitate a fair comparison between symbols with different active sessions.
Visualization and display
• The indicator displays the periodic returns requested from the specified "Returns timeframe" in a separate pane. The plot includes dynamic colors to signify positive and negative returns.
• When the "Returns timeframe" value represents a higher timeframe, the indicator displays background highlights on the main chart pane to signify when a new value is available and whether the return is positive or negative.
• When the specified benchmark return type is a benchmark symbol, the indicator displays the requested symbol's returns in the separate pane as a gray line for visual comparison.
• Within the separate pane, the indicator displays a single-cell table that shows the base period it uses for periodic returns, the number of periods it uses in the calculation, the timeframe of the requested data, and the calculated Sharpe and Sortino ratios.
• The Data Window displays the chart symbol and benchmark returns, their periodic averages, and the Sharpe and Sortino ratios.
█ FOR Pine Script™ CODERS
• This script utilizes the functions from our RiskMetrics library to determine the size of the periods, calculate and collect periodic returns, and compute the Sharpe and Sortino ratios.
• The `getAlignedPrices()` function in this script requests price data for the chart's symbol and a benchmark symbol with consistent time alignment by utilizing spread symbols , which helps facilitate a fair comparison between different symbol types. Retrieving prices from spreads avoids potential information loss and data misalignment that can otherwise occur when using separate requests from each symbol's context when those symbols have different sessions or data times.
• For consistency, the `getAlignedPrices()` function includes extended hours and dividend adjustment modifiers in its data requests. Additionally, it includes other settings inherited from the chart's context, such as "settlement-as-close" preferences for fair comparison between futures instruments.
• This script uses the `changePercent()` function from our ta library to calculate the percentage changes of the requested data.
• The newly released `force_overlay` parameter in display-related functions allows indicators to display visuals on the main chart and a separate pane simultaneously. We use the parameter in this script's bgcolor() call to display background highlights on the main chart.
Look first. Then leap.
Volume Distribution (Heat Map)This Pine Script indicator, "Volume Distribution (Heat Map)" is designed to visualize the distribution of volume across different price levels over a specified lookback period. Here's a detailed breakdown of its functionality and features:
Indicator Overview
User Inputs
Length: The lookback period for analysis, defaulting to 500 bars.
Source: The price source used for calculations (default is the close price).
Color Intensity: Adjusts the intensity of the heatmap colors, with a default value of 25.
Lines Width: The width of the plotted lines, with a default value of 10.
Main Color: The main color used for the heatmap (default is lime).
Logic
The script iterates through the number of bins, calculates the volume for each bin between highest and lowest prices for length period, and updates the corresponding bin in the freq array if the current bar is allowed.
If the current bar is the last bar, the script plots lines and labels based on the volume distribution.
Heatmap Lines:
Solid lines colored based on the volume in each bin, using a gradient from no color to the main color based on amount of volume.
Highest Volume Line:
A dashed red line indicating the bin with the highest volume.
Labels:
Labels for the highest and lowest prices and the volume at the highest volume bin.
Plots
Highest Price Plot: Plots the highest price within the lookback period if the current bar is within the allowed range.
Lowest Price Plot: Plots the lowest price within the lookback period if the current bar is within the allowed range.
Summary
This indicator provides a visual representation of where trading volume is concentrated across different price levels, forming a heatmap. The highest volume level is highlighted with a dashed red line and a label indicating the volume at that level. This can help traders identify significant price levels where trading activity is clustered.
The "Volume Distribution (Heat Map)" indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to enhance their technical analysis by incorporating volume data into their price charts. It provides a clear and visual representation of where market participants are most active, aiding in better-informed trading decisions.
Random Entry and ExitStrategy for Researching Whether It Is Possible to Earn Consistently by Opening Random Trades
The essence of the strategy lies in generating random entries and exits based on pseudorandom numbers. The generation of pseudorandom numbers is performed by the function random_number based on the value of the seed variable. The variables entry_threshold and exit_threshold control the frequency of entries and exits. Lower values mean less frequent trades. To increase the number of trades, increase the values of these variables.
The strategy was created as part of research into whether it is possible to earn randomly in financial markets by making chaotic actions of opening and closing trades. However, it adheres to a few rules: open only long positions (in the direction of the global trend) and do not use leverage. Positions are opened with the entire available capital.
100 generations of the strategy on the daily chart of the S&P 500 (seed 1-101) give 100% positive mathematical expectations. Similar results are observed on higher timeframes of assets that are in a global uptrend.
There is also the possibility of opening only short positions for the research. Note that the logic of the strategy is built in such a way that only one trading direction can operate simultaneously (either longs or shorts). On higher timeframes, random shorts show negative results. Positive mathematical expectations for short positions can be found on lower timeframes (1 min, etc.), where a large amount of noise is observed.
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Стратегия для исследования, можно ли стабильно зарабатывать при открытии случайных сделок
Суть стратегии заключается в генерации случайных входов и выходов на основе псевдослучайных чисел. Генерация псевдослучайных чисел происходит функцией random_number на основе значения переменной seed. Переменные entry_threshold и exit_threshold контролируют частоту входов и выходов. Более низкие значения означают менее частые сделки. Для увеличения количества сделок - увеличивайте значения переменных.
Стратегия создавалась в рамках исследования вопроса, можно ли случайным образом зарабатывать на фин. рынках, совершая хаотичные открытия и закрытия сделок. НО, придерживаясь нескольких правил: открывать только длинные позиции (в сторону глобального тренда) и не использовать кредитные плечи. Открытие позиций происходит на весь доступный капитал.
100 генераций стратегии на дневном графике S&P500 (seed 1-101) дают 100% положительных математических ожиданий. Похожие результаты наблюдаются на высоких таймфреймах активов, которые глобально находятся в восходящем тренде.
Также для исследования предусмотрена возможность открытия только коротких позиций. Обратите внимание, что логика стратегии построена таким образом, что одновременно может работать только одно направление торговли (либо лонги, либо шорты). На старших таймфреймах случайные шорты показывают негативные результаты. Положительное математическое ожидание для коротких позиций можно обнаружить на младших таймфреймах (1 min, etc), где наблюдается большое количество шумов.
[EVI]EMA with Volume LevelsThe " EMA with Volume Levels" script calculates the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the closing prices over a specified period and dynamically changes the color of the EMA based on volume levels. This indicator helps traders easily identify the current volume conditions. As the volume increases or decreases, the color of the EMA changes, providing a visual cue that can assist in making better trading decisions.
Features
This script offers the following features:
EMA Calculation: Calculates the Exponential Moving Average of the closing prices over the user-defined period (default is 360).
Volume Threshold Calculation: Computes the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and standard deviation of the volume over the user-defined period (default is 500), classifying the volume levels into extreme, high, medium, and low.
Dynamic EMA Color: Changes the color of the EMA dynamically based on volume levels, displaying it visually on the chart.
Chart Interpretation
EMA Color and Volume:
If the EMA line is red, it indicates very high volume.
If the EMA line is green, it indicates high volume.
If the EMA line is light green, it indicates medium volume.
If the EMA line is gray, it indicates low volume.
If the EMA line is dark gray, it indicates very low volume.
Cross Analysis:
When the EMA line and the candles are about to cross, and the volume is high (causing the EMA line to turn red), the candles are more likely to break through the 360-day EMA line.
Conversely, if the volume is low and the EMA line turns dark, the EMA line will likely act as a resistance or support level, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
Additional Indicator:
Using the 20-day moving average along with this script can be beneficial. Combining these two moving averages can provide a more comprehensive view of market volatility.
Notes
Clean Chart: Ensure your chart is clean when using this script. Avoid including other scripts or unnecessary elements.
Additional Explanation: If further explanation is needed on how to use or understand the script, you can use drawings or images on the chart to provide additional context.
VolCorrBeta [NariCapitalTrading]Indicator Overview: VolCorrBeta
The VolCorrBeta indicator is designed to analyze and interpret intermarket relationships. This indicator combines volatility, correlation, and beta calculations to provide a comprehensive view of how certain assets (BTC, DXY, CL) influence the ES futures contract (I tailored this indicator to the ES contract, but it will work for any symbol).
Functionality
Input Symbols
BTCUSD : Bitcoin to USD
DXY : US Dollar Index
CL1! : Crude Oil Futures
ES1! : S&P 500 Futures
These symbols can be customized according to user preferences. The main focus of the indicator is to analyze how the price movements of these assets correlate with and lead the price movements of the ES futures contract.
Parameters for Calculation
Correlation Length : Number of periods for calculating the correlation.
Standard Deviation Length : Number of periods for calculating the standard deviation.
Lookback Period for Beta : Number of periods for calculating beta.
Volatility Filter Length : Length of the volatility filter.
Volatility Threshold : Threshold for adjusting the lookback period based on volatility.
Key Calculations
Returns Calculation : Computes the daily returns for each input symbol.
Correlation Calculation : Computes the correlation between each input symbol's returns and the ES futures contract returns over the specified correlation length.
Standard Deviation Calculation : Computes the standard deviation for each input symbol's returns and the ES futures contract returns.
Beta Calculation : Computes the beta for each input symbol relative to the ES futures contract.
Weighted Returns Calculation : Computes the weighted returns based on the calculated betas.
Lead-Lag Indicator : Calculates a lead-lag indicator by averaging the weighted returns.
Volatility Filter : Smooths the lead-lag indicator using a simple moving average.
Price Target Estimation : Estimates the ES price target based on the lead-lag indicator (the yellow line on the chart).
Dynamic Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Levels : Calculates dynamic SL and TP levels using volatility bands.
Signal Generation
The indicator generates buy and sell signals based on the filtered lead-lag indicator and confirms them using higher timeframe analysis. Signals are debounced to reduce frequency, ensuring that only significant signals are considered.
Visualization
Background Coloring : The background color changes based on the buy and sell signals for easy visualization (user can toggle this on/off).
Signal Labels : Labels with arrows are plotted on the chart, showing the signal type (buy/sell), the entry price, TP, and SL levels.
Estimated ES Price Target : The estimated price target for ES futures is plotted on the chart.
Correlation and Beta Dashboard : A table displayed in the top right corner shows the current correlation and beta values for relative to the ES futures contract.
Customization
Traders can customize the following parameters to tailor the indicator to their specific needs:
Input Symbols : Change the symbols for BTC, DXY, CL, and ES.
Correlation Length : Adjust the number of periods used for calculating correlation.
Standard Deviation Length : Adjust the number of periods used for calculating standard deviation.
Lookback Period for Beta : Change the lookback period for calculating beta.
Volatility Filter Length : Modify the length of the volatility filter.
Volatility Threshold : Set a threshold for adjusting the lookback period based on volatility.
Plotting Options : Customize the colors and line widths of the plotted elements.
Breadth Indicators NYSE Percent Above Moving AverageBreadth Indicators NYSE - transmits the processed data from the Barchart provider
NYSE - Breadth Indicators
S&P 500 - Breadth Indicators
DOW - Breadth Indicators
RUSSEL 1000 - Breadth Indicators
RUSSEL 2000 - Breadth Indicators
RUSSEL 3000 - Breadth Indicators
Moving Average - 5, 20, 50, 100, 150, 200
The "Percentage above 50-day SMA" indicator measures the percentage of stocks in the index trading above their 50-day moving average. It is a useful tool for assessing the general state of the market and identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
One way to use the "Percentage above 50-day SMA" indicator in a trading strategy is to combine it with a long-term moving average to determine whether the trend is bullish or bearish. Another way to use it is to combine it with a short-term moving average to identify pullbacks and rebounds within the overall trend.
The purpose of using the "Percentage above 50-day SMA" indicator is to participate in a larger trend with a better risk-reward ratio. By using this indicator to identify pullbacks and bounces, you can reduce the risk of entering trades at the wrong time.
Bull Signal Recap:
150-day EMA of $SPXA50R crosses above 52.5 and remains above 47.50 to set the bullish tone.
5-day EMA of $SPXA50R moves below 40 to signal a pullback
5-day EMA of $SPXA50R moves above 50 to signal an upturn
Bear Signal Recap:
150-day EMA of $SPXA50R crosses below 47.50 and remains below 52.50 to set the bearish tone.
5-day EMA of $SPXA50R moves above 60 to signal a bounce
5-day EMA of $SPXA50R moves below 50 to signal a downturn
Tweaking
There are numerous ways to tweak a trading system, but chartists should avoid over-optimizing the indicator settings. In other words, don't attempt to find the perfect moving average period or crossover level. Perfection is unattainable when developing a system or trading the markets. It is important to keep the system logical and focus tweaks on other aspects, such as the actual price chart of the underlying security.
What do levels above and below 50% signify in the long-term moving average?
A move above 52.5% is deemed bullish, and below 47.5% is deemed bearish. These levels help to reduce whipsaws by using buffers for bullish and bearish thresholds.
How does the short-term moving average work to identify pullbacks or bounces?
When using a 5-day EMA, a move below 40 signals a pullback, and a move above 60 signals a bounce.
How is the reversal of pullback or bounce identified?
A move back above 50 after a pullback or below 50 after a bounce signals that the respective trend may be resuming.
How can you ensure that the uptrend has resumed?
It’s important to wait for the surge above 50 to ensure the uptrend has resumed, signaling improved breadth.
Can the system be tweaked to optimize indicator settings?
While there are various ways to tweak the system, seeking perfection through over-optimizing settings is advised against. It's crucial to keep the system logical and focus tweaks on the price chart of the underlying security.
RUSSIAN \ Русская версия.
Индикатор "Процент выше 50-дневной скользящей средней" измеряет процент акций, торгующихся в индексе выше их 50-дневной скользящей средней. Это полезный инструмент для оценки общего состояния рынка и выявления условий перекупленности и перепроданности.
Один из способов использования индикатора "Процент выше 50-дневной скользящей средней" в торговой стратегии - это объединить его с долгосрочной скользящей средней, чтобы определить, является ли тренд бычьим или медвежьим. Другой способ использовать его - объединить с краткосрочной скользящей средней, чтобы выявить откаты и отскоки в рамках общего тренда.
Цель использования индикатора "Процент выше 50-дневной скользящей средней" - участвовать в более широком тренде с лучшим соотношением риска и прибыли. Используя этот индикатор для выявления откатов и отскоков, вы можете снизить риск входа в сделки в неподходящее время.
Краткое описание бычьего сигнала:
150-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R пересекает отметку 52,5 и остается выше 47,50, что задает бычий настрой.
5-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R опускается ниже 40, сигнализируя об откате
5-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R поднимается выше 50, сигнализируя о росте
Обзор медвежьих сигналов:
150-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R пересекает уровень ниже 47,50 и остается ниже 52,50, что указывает на медвежий настрой.
5-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50R поднимается выше 60, сигнализируя о отскоке
5-дневная ЕМА на уровне $SPXA50 опускается ниже 50, что сигнализирует о спаде
Корректировка
Существует множество способов настроить торговую систему, но графологам следует избегать чрезмерной оптимизации настроек индикатора. Другими словами, не пытайтесь найти идеальный период скользящей средней или уровень пересечения. Совершенство недостижимо при разработке системы или торговле на рынках. Важно поддерживать логику системы и уделять особое внимание другим аспектам, таким как график фактической цены базовой ценной бумаги.
Что означают уровни выше и ниже 50% в долгосрочной скользящей средней?
Движение выше 52,5% считается бычьим, а ниже 47,5% - медвежьим. Эти уровни помогают снизить риски, используя буферы для бычьих и медвежьих порогов.
Как краткосрочная скользящая средняя помогает идентифицировать откаты или отскоки?
При использовании 5-дневной ЕМА движение ниже 40 указывает на откат, а движение выше 60 указывает на отскок.
Как определяется разворот отката или отскока?
Движение выше 50 после отката или ниже 50 после отскока сигнализирует о возможном возобновлении соответствующего тренда.
Как вы можете гарантировать, что восходящий тренд возобновился?
Важно дождаться скачка выше 50, чтобы убедиться в возобновлении восходящего тренда, сигнализирующего о расширении диапазона.
Можно ли настроить систему для оптимизации настроек индикатора?
Хотя существуют различные способы настройки системы, не рекомендуется стремиться к совершенству с помощью чрезмерной оптимизации настроек. Крайне важно сохранить логичность системы и сфокусировать изменения на ценовом графике базовой ценной бумаги.
TASC 2024.06 REIT ETF Trading System█ OVERVIEW
This strategy script demonstrates the application of the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) ETF trading system presented in the article by Markos Katsanos titled "Is The Price REIT?" from TASC's June 2024 edition of Traders' Tips .
█ CONCEPTS
REIT stocks and ETFs offer a simplified, diversified approach to real estate investment. They exhibit sensitivity to interest rates, often moving inversely to interest rate and treasury yield changes. Markos Katsanos explores this relationship and the correlation of prices with the broader market to develop a trading strategy for REIT ETFs.
The script employs Bollinger Bands and Donchian channel indicators to identify oversold conditions and trends in REIT ETFs. It incorporates the 10-year treasury yield index (TNX) as a proxy for interest rates and the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as a benchmark for the overall market. The system filters trade entries based on their behavior and correlation with the REIT ETF price.
█ CALCULATIONS
The strategy initiates long entries (buy signals) under two conditions:
1. Oversold condition
The weekly ETF low price dips below the 15-week Bollinger Band bottom, the closing price is above the value by at least 0.2 * ATR ( Average True Range ), and the price exceeds the week's median.
Either of the following:
– The TNX index is down over 15% from its 25-week high, and its correlation with the ETF price is less than 0.3.
– The yield is below 2%.
2. Uptrend
The weekly ETF price crosses above the previous week's 30-week Donchian channel high.
The SPY ETF is above its 20-week moving average.
Either of the following:
– Over ten weeks have passed since the TNX index was at its 30-week high.
– The correlation between the TNX value and the ETF price exceeds 0.3.
– The yield is below 2%.
The strategy also includes three exit (sell) rules:
1. Trailing (Chandelier) stop
The weekly close drops below the highest close over the last five weeks by over 1.5 * ATR.
The TNX value rises over the latest 25 weeks, with a yield exceeding 4%, or its value surges over 15% above the 25-week low.
2. Stop-loss
The ETF's price declines by at least 8% of the previous week's close and falls below the 30-week moving average.
The SPY price is down by at least 8%, or its correlation with the ETF's price is negative.
3. Overbought condition
The ETF's value rises above the 100-week low by over 50%.
The ETF's price falls over 1.5 * ATR below the 3-week high.
The ETF's 10-week Stochastic indicator exceeds 90 within the last three weeks.
█ DISCLAIMER
This strategy script educates users on the system outlined by the TASC article. However, note that its default properties might not fully represent real-world trading conditions for an individual. By default, it uses 10% of equity as the order size and a slippage amount of 5 ticks. Traders should adjust these settings and the commission amount when using this script. Additionally, since this strategy utilizes compound conditions on weekly data to trigger orders, it will generate significantly fewer trades than other, higher-frequency strategies.
Price and Volume Breakout Buy Strategy [TradeDots]The "Price and Volume Breakout Buy Strategy" is a trading strategy designed to identify buying opportunities by detecting concurrent price and volume breakouts over a specified range of candlesticks.
This strategy is optimized for assets demonstrating high volatility and significant momentum spikes.
HOW IT WORKS
The strategy first takes the specific number of candlesticks as the examination window for both price and volume.
These values are used as benchmarks to identify breakout conditions.
A trade is initiated when both the closing price and the trading volume surpass the maximum values observed within the predetermined window.
Price must be above a designated moving average, serving as the trend indicator, ensuring that all trades align with the prevailing market trend.
APPLICATION
This strategy is particularly effective for highly volatile assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum, capitalizing on the cues from sudden price and volume breakouts indicative of significant market movement, often driven by market smart money traders.
However, for broader markets like the S&P 500, this strategy may be less effective due to less pronounced volume and price shifts compared to the cryptocurrency markets.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 70%
Backtest result sometimes gives fewer than 100 trades under certain higher timeframes, as most trades tend to have a long holding period. Entry conditions are also more stringent, which, combined with the relatively brief history of cryptocurrencies, results in fewer trades on longer timeframes.
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Relative Strength Universal
Relative strength is a ratio between two assets, generally it is a stock and a market average (index). RS implementation details are explained here .
This script automatically decides benchmark index for RS calculation based on market cap input values and input benchmark indices values.
Relative strength calculation:
"To calculate the relative strength of a particular stock, divide the percentage change over some time period by the percentage change of a particular index over the same time period". This indicator value oscillates around zero. If the value is greater than zero, the investment has been relatively strong during the selected period; if the value is less than zero, the investment has been relatively weak.
In this script, You can input market cap values and all are editable fields. If company market cap value is grater than 75000(Default value) then stock value will be compared with Nifty index. If company market cap is between 75000 and 25000 then stock value will be compared with midcap 150 to calculate RS. If marketcap is greater than 5000 and less than 25000 then RS will be calculated based on smallcap250. If marketcap is less than 5000 and greater than 500 then it will be compared with NIFTY_MICROCAP250
NYSE TickThe NYSE Tick indicator is a market breadth indicator used to determine short-term bullish or bearish market sentiment. The NYSE Tick index compares the number of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange that are ticking up to the number of stocks ticking down at a specific moment in time. When the NYSE Tick is hovering around the zero line, roughly the same number of stocks are ticking up as are ticking down. When the overall market is rising it will usually present on the NYSE Tick as a rise in value that will generally stay mostly above the zero line for a period of time. The opposite is true when the general market is falling and can be seen as the NYSE Tick staying mostly below the zero line. This information can be very helpful for a short-term day trader who trades a market that also follows many of these same stocks, like the E-Mini S&P 500 Futures (ES), for example. While the index can theoretically rise or fall to over ±2,000 if all stocks on the NYSE are ticking up or down at the same time, it’s generally considered an extreme movement if the NYSE Tick is ±1,000. For this reason, the indicator has default reference lines at ±1,000 and halfway marks at ±500. In order to partially smooth out the movement and make movement trends more easily read, the indicator plots the values using Heikin Ashi candles instead of the standard bars or candlesticks. The price-line value displayed is an accurate live value, however, rather than the OHLC average value of a standard Heikin Ashi candle. Since the standard hours for the NYSE are Monday – Friday, 09:30 – 16:00 EST, the indicator only plots bars during this time.
Trend ChameleonThe Trend Chameleon, originally developed by Alex Cole for the Bloomberg Terminal, is a powerful tool designed to simplify trend identification and illuminate potential trading opportunities. It leverages a clear visual display to decode market movements, making it useful for traders of all experience levels.
🟠 Overview
Here's an illustration of how the indicator performs for ES (S&P 500 E-mini Future) on the daily chart:
Trend Chameleon employs a color-coded candle scheme, with each color corresponding to a specific level of trend strength. Purple candles represent the strongest bearish trends, while teal candles signal the most potent bullish momentum. Between these extremes lie red, yellow, and green candles, providing a spectrum of trend direction. This intuitive color coding allows you to quickly grasp the prevailing market sentiment and identify potential entry and exit points for your trades.
🟠 Algorithm
Under the hood, Trend Chameleon evaluates four conditions to provide a directional strength score:
1. Whether the MACD value is positive.
2. Whether the SMA 50 of open prices is above the SMA 50 of the close prices.
3. Whether the ROC indicator value is positive.
4. Whether the current close price is above the SMA 50.
The total number of fulfilled conditions (0 to 4) determines the trend strength, with 0 indicating the most bearish and 4 signifying the strongest bullish trend. This score is then visually represented by coloring the bars on the chart.
🟠 Note
If you don't see the bars being properly colored after adding this indicator, please ensure Trend Chameleon is positioned on top of all other indicators in your chart. This can be easily achieved by hovering over the indicator's name, clicking the three dots, selecting "Visual Order," and then choosing "Bring to front."
Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) [LuxAlgo]The Swing Failure Pattern indicator highlights Swing Failure Patterns (SFP) on the user chart, a pattern occurring during liquidity generation from significant market participants.
A Confirmation level used to confirm a trend reversal is also included. Users can additionally filter out SFP based on a set Volume % Threshold .
🔶 USAGE
Swing failure patterns occur when candle wicks exceed (above/below) a recent swing level but close back below/above it, and occur from more significant market participants engineering liquidity. This pattern can be indicative of a potential trend reversal.
A label and an accentuated wick line highlight the SFP (both can be disabled).
Using a higher "Swings" period will not return different SFP but will however potentially reduce their detection rate.
🔹 Confirmation Level
The confirmation level is the highest point between the previous swing and SFP for a bullish SFP, and the lowest point for a bearish SFP. This level allows confirming a trend reversal after an SFP once the price breaks it.
A small triangle will be displayed when the price closes beyond the confirmation level.
A more reactive and contrarian approach could use the SFP as an entry point, and the confirmation level for taking (partial) profit, or stop loss. The example below shows a possible scenario:
🔹 Volume % Threshold
During the occurrence of an SFP, the Volume % Threshold option allows comparing the cumulative volume outside the Swing level to the total volume of the candle. The following options are included:
Volume outside swing < Threshold: Volume outside the Swing level needs to be lower than x % of total candle volume. Prevent excessive liquidity generation.
Volume outside swing > Threshold: Volume outside the Swing level needs to be higher than x % of total candle volume. Requires more significant liquidity to be generated.
None: No extra filter is applied
Note that in the above case, the left SFP is no longer highlighted because the volume above the swing level was higher than the 25% threshold of the total volume.
When we change the setting to "Volume outside swing > Threshold", we get the reversed situation.
The "Volume outside Swing level" is obtained using intrabar - Lower TimeFrame (LTF) data.
At the intrabar (LTF) level, there are a maximum of 100K bars available. When using the Volume % Threshold filter, a vertical line will highlight the maximum period during which intrabars are available.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 LTF Settings
When 'Auto' is enabled (Settings, LTF), the LTF will be the nearest possible x times smaller TF than the current TF. When 'Premium' is disabled, the minimum TF will always be 1 minute to ensure TradingView plans lower than Premium don't get an error.
Examples with current Daily TF (when Premium is enabled):
500 : 3-minute LTF
1500 (default): 1-minute LTF
5000: 30 seconds LTF (1 minute if Premium is disabled)
The concerning LTF can be seen at the right-top (default) corner.
🔶 SETTINGS
Swings: Period used for the swing detection, with higher values returning longer-term Swing Levels.
Bullish SFP: enable/disable bullish Swing Failure Patterns.
Bearish SFP: enable/disable bearish Swing Failure Patterns.
🔹 Volume Validation
Validation:
Volume outside swing < Threshold: The volume outside the swing level needs to be lower than x % of the total volume.
Volume outside swing > Threshold: The volume outside the swing level needs to be higher than x % of the total volume.
None: No extra validation is applied.
Volume % Threshold: % of total volume as threshold.
Auto + multiple: Adjusts the initial set LTF
LTF: LTF setting
Premium: Enable when your TradingView plan is Premium or higher
🔹 Dashboard
Show Dashboard: Display applied Lower Timeframe (LTF)
Location: Location of the dashboard
Size: Size of the dashboard
🔹 Style
Swing Lines
Confirmation Lines
Swing Failure Wick
Swing Failure Label
Lines / Labels: Color for lines and labels
SFP Wicks: Color for SFP wick line
Volume Delta Candles [LuxAlgo]Volume Delta Candles provides insights about Intrabar trading activity in an easy-to-interpret manner. Lower timeframe or real-time data is used for displaying Volume Delta percentage against the total volume as a coloured bar part.
The script also highlights the intrabar price with the maximum trading activity, as well as complementary information.
🔶 USAGE
The tool focuses on intrabar volume to provide more information about the trading activity associated with a candle, without having to use an external volume indicator.
Each indicator components is further explained below:
🔹 Volume Delta
The volume delta is obtained by the difference between buy volume and sell volume, where buy volume is the volume associated with a bullish intrabar candle, and sell volume with a bearish intrabar candle.
Positive volume delta is displayed with a green candle area, while negative delta is displayed with a red candle area.
🔹 Bar Coloring
The script displays VD as a percentage of the whole, or from the candle half, depending on the setting ' Display '.
Bars can be coloured as follows:
Full (100%) when Display is set at ' Full Bar '
Half (50% or 100% of half a bar) when Display is set at ' Half Bar '
A negative VD (more bearish than bullish volume) will fill the bar from the top (or centre) of the bar towards the bottom, and a positive VD will fill a bar from the bottom (or centre) of the bar towards the top.
A negative VD on a green candle will show a red-coloured VD against a green-bordered candle. On the other hand, a positive VD on a red candle will show a green-coloured VD against a red-bordered candle.
Colours for VD sentiment opposite to the candle sentiment can be set differently if desired.
🔹 Highest Volume Price Level
The script displays a white (black on light mode) line highlighting the intrabar price level with the highest volume.
When ' Show Previous Max Volume Price ' is checked, a white (black on light mode) dot is displayed 1 bar to the right.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Tick/LTF data
The above example used Lower TimeFrame (LTF) data.
The following example uses real-time tick data ( Settings -> Data From )
Both options, LTF or tick data, will show a vertical dotted line where the data starts.
🔹 LTF settings
When ' Data from ' LTF is chosen and ' Auto ' enabled, the LTF will be the nearest possible x times smaller TF than the current TF. When 'Premium' is disabled, the minimum TF will always be 1 minute to ensure TradingView plans lower than Premium don't get an error.
Examples with current Daily TF (when Premium is enabled):
500 : 3 minute LTF
1500 (default): 1 minute LTF
5000: 30 seconds LTF (1 minute if Premium is disabled)
🔹 Notes
Different LTFs give different data, which means different results; this doesn't mean it isn't correct; they are just different data sets.
(LTF is displayed at the top right corner)
To ensure maximum visibility of values, we recommend using Bars from the Bar's style menu.
🔶 SETTINGS
Data from: Lower TimeFrame or real-time Tick data
Resolution: LTF setting
Auto + multiple: Adjusts the initial set resolution
Premium: Enable when your TradingView plan is Premium or higher
🔹 Intrabar Data
Colours
Display: Full/Half bar
Show previous max volume price: White/black dot, showing previous highest volume price level
🔹 Table
Show TF: Show LTF at the top right corner
Colour + table text size
🔹 Details
Show details: label with 'Volume', 'Delta' (VD) and '%'
See USAGE for more information
Market Structure Volume Distribution [LuxAlgo]The Market Structure Volume Distribution tool allows traders to identify the strength behind breaks of market structure at defined price ranges to measure de correlation of forces between bulls and bears visually and easily.
🔶 USAGE
This tool has three main features: market structure highlighting, grid levels, and volume profile. Each feature is covered more in depth below:
🔹 Market Structure
The basic unit of market structure is a swing point, the period of the swing point is user-defined, so traders can identify longer-term market structures. Price breaking a prior swing point will confirm the occurrence of a market structure.
The tool will plot a line after a market structure is confirmed, by default the lines on bullish MS will be green (indicative of an uptrend), and red in case of bearish MS (indicative of a downtrend).
🔹 Grid Levels
The Grid visually divides the price range contained inside the tool execution window, into equal size rows, the number of rows is user-defined so users can divide the full price range up to 100 rows.
The main objective of this feature is to help identify the execution window and the limits of each row in the volume profile so traders can know in a simple look what BoMS belongs to each row.
There is however another use for the grid, by dividing the range into equal-sized parts, this feature provides automatic support and resistance levels as good as any other.
Grid provides a visual help to know what our execution window is and to associate MS with their rows in the profile. It can provide S/R levels too.
🔹 Volume Profile
The volume profile feature shows in a visually easy way the volume behind each MS aggregated by rows and divided into buy and sell volume to spot the differences in a simple look.
This tool allows users to spot the liquidity associated with the event of a market structure in a specific price range, allowing users to know which price areas where associated with the most trading activity during the occurrence of a market structutre.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Data Gathering
Execute on all visible range: Activate this to use all visible bars on the calculations. This disables the use of the next parameter "Execute on the last N bars". Default false.
Execute on the last N bars: Use last N bars on the calculations. To use this parameter "Execute on all visible range" must be disabled. Values from 20 to 5000, default 500.
Pivot Length: How many bars will be used to confirm a pivot. The bigger this parameter is the fewer breaks of structure will detect. Values from 1, default 2
🔹 Profile
Profile Rows: Number of rows in the volume profile. Values from 2 to 100, default 10.
Profile Width: Maximum width of the volume profile. Values from 25 to 500, default 200.
Profile Mode: How the volume will be displayed on each row. "TOTAL VOLUME" will aggregate buy & sell volume per row, "BUY&SELL VOLUME" will separate the buy volume from the sell volume on each row. Default BUY&SELL VOLUME.
🔹 Style
Buy Color: This is the color for the buy volume on the profile when the "BUY&SELL VOLUME" mode is activated. Default green.
Sell Color: This is the color for the sell volume on the profile when the "BUY&SELL VOLUME" mode is activated. Default red.
Show dotted grid levels: Show dotted inner grid levels. Default true.
Temporal Value Tracker: Inception-to-Present Inflation Lens!What we're looking at here is a chart that does more than just display the price of gold. It offers us a time-traveling perspective on value. The blue line, that's our nominal price—it's the straightforward market price of gold over time. But it's the red line that takes us on a deeper journey. This line adjusts the nominal price for inflation, showing us the real purchasing power of gold.
Now, when we talk about 'real value,' we're not just philosophizing. We're anchoring our prices to a point in time when the journey began—let's say when gold trading started on the markets, or any inception point we choose. By 'shadowing' certain years—say, from the 1970s when the gold standard was abandoned—we can adjust this chart to reflect what the inflation-adjusted price means since that key moment in history.
By doing so, we're effectively isolating our view to start from that pivotal year, giving us insight into how gold, or indeed any asset, has held up against the backdrop of economic changes, policy shifts, and the inevitable rise in the cost of living. If you're analyzing a stock index like the S&P 500, you might begin your inflation-adjusted view from the index's inception date, which allows you to measure the true growth of the market basket from the moment it started.
This adjustment isn't just academic. It influences how we perceive value and growth. Consider a period where the nominal price skyrockets. We might toast to our brilliance in investment! But if the inflation-adjusted line lags, what we're seeing is nominal growth without real gains. On the other hand, if our red line outpaces the blue even during stagnant market periods, we're witnessing real growth—our asset is outperforming the eroding effects of inflation.
Every asset class can be evaluated this way. Stocks, bonds, real estate—they all have their historical narratives, and inflation adjustment tells us if these stories are tales of genuine growth or illusions masked by inflation.
So, as informed traders and investors, we need to keep our eyes on this inflation-adjusted line. It's our measure against the silent thief that is inflation. It ensures we're not just keeping up with the Joneses of the market, but actually outpacing them, building real wealth over time
