DXY COT Commercial Net PositionsThis script was created due to the lack of position of US Dollar Index Futures (DXY).
It is designed to perform a much more liquid and inclusive position analysis.
As the exponential ratios do not mean anything to positions, weights are used as multipliers instead of exponential functions.
Swedish Krona (SEK) Futures are not directly quoted in Quandl, therefore weighted in Euro / dollar parity.
By perceiving these positions as inverse correlations, you can also identify where the world economy is doing well.
COT Commercial Net Positions are calculated as (Short - Long) because of Commercials act according to the reverse of the market.
In this way, you can follow up normally instead of reverse correlation.
Because except in extreme cases, in which case capitals usually shift to Gold.
This is not the case, since there is no capital inflow to other currencies, it is not a strong sell position to the dollar index.
When there is a shift in bonds, we see the effect of the dollar in general.
I created for the Dollar Index in order not to deviate from the concept.
I wanted to share it with everyone as I thought that you have important clues about how investors take positions.
Modified currency weights :
Euro : % 61.8
Japanese Yen : % 13.6
British Pound : %11.9
Canadian Dollar : % 9.1
Swiss Franc : % 3.6
NOTE : You can use it for all instruments except crypto coins, especially US Dollar Index (DXY).
Since the COT data is taken, it will not repaint in 1 week (1W) timeframe.
The log can also be repaint according to the time of data publication.
It will repaint in lower time frames.
I hope it will help your analysis and your scripts,regards.
חפש סקריפטים עבור "Futures"
Open Interest Stochastic Money Flow IndexThis is the improved version of Stochastic Money Flow Index script that uses Open Interest instead of volume in Future markets.
I think it will make a difference especially in Future and CFD markets.
Since the system will pull data from Quandl, CFTC reports may cause repaint when disclosed.
So if you use it during the weekly time frame (1W), it will definitely not repaint.
You can also use the volume by selecting "Others" from the menu.This option applies to each instrument, you can use it on any financial instrument with or without COT data.
Bitcoin is included in the "Futures" option.
In Futures, you can observe the difference of Open Interest's success by comparing, since it counts exchanges between the two parties singularly, it reacts more firmly to speculative movements.
This script also includes alerts and bar color options, you can use from the menu.
It is also suitable for mutable variables.This script was freed from the integer loads.You can modify it in any adaptive or fractional period.
I hope it will help your analyzes, regards .
Open Interest Rank-BuschiEnglish:
One part of the "Commitment of Traders-Report" is the Open Interest which is shown in this indicator (source: Quandl database).
Unlike my also published indicator "Open Interest-Buschi", the values here are not absolute but in a ranking system from 0 to 100 with individual time frames-
The following futures are included:
30-year Bonds (ZB)
10-year Notes ( ZN )
Soybeans (ZS)
Soybean Meal (ZM)
Soybean Oil (ZL)
Corn ( ZC )
Soft Red Winter Wheat (ZW)
Hard Red Winter Wheat (KE)
Lean Hogs (HE)
Live Cattle ( LE )
Gold ( GC )
Silver (SI)
Copper (HG)
Crude Oil ( CL )
Heating Oil (HO)
RBOB Gasoline ( RB )
Natural Gas ( NG )
Australian Dollar (A6)
British Pound (B6)
Canadian Dollar (D6)
Euro (E6)
Japanese Yen (J6)
Swiss Franc (S6)
Sugar ( SB )
Coffee (KC)
Cocoa ( CC )
Cotton ( CT )
S&P 500 E-Mini (ES)
Russell 2000 E-Mini (RTY)
Dow Jones Industrial Mini (YM)
Nasdaq 100 E-Mini (NQ)
Platin (PL)
Palladium (PA)
Aluminium (AUP)
Steel ( HRC )
Ethanol (AEZ)
Brent Crude Oil (J26)
Rice (ZR)
Oat (ZO)
Milk (DL)
Orange Juice (JO)
Lumber (LS)
Feeder Cattle (GF)
S&P 500 ( SP )
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA)
New Zealand Dollar (N6)
Deutsch:
Ein Bestandteil des "Commitment of Traders-Report" ist das Open Interest, das in diesem Indikator dargestellt wird (Quelle: Quandl Datenbank).
Anders als in meinem ebenfalls veröffentlichten Indikator "Open Interest-Buschi" werden hier nicht die absoluten Werte dargestellt, sondern in einem Ranking-System von 0 bis 100 mit individuellen Zeitrahmen.
Folgende Futures sind enthalten:
30-jährige US-Staatsanleihen (ZB)
10-jährige US-Staatsanleihen ( ZN )
Sojabohnen(ZS)
Sojabohnen-Mehl (ZM)
Sojabohnen-Öl (ZL)
Mais( ZC )
Soft Red Winter-Weizen (ZW)
Hard Red Winter-Weizen (KE)
Magerschweine (HE)
Lebendrinder ( LE )
Gold ( GC )
Silber (SI)
Kupfer(HG)
Rohöl ( CL )
Heizöl (HO)
Benzin ( RB )
Erdgas ( NG )
Australischer Dollar (A6)
Britisches Pfund (B6)
Kanadischer Dollar (D6)
Euro (E6)
Japanischer Yen (J6)
Schweizer Franken (S6)
Zucker ( SB )
Kaffee (KC)
Kakao ( CC )
Baumwolle ( CT )
S&P 500 E-Mini (ES)
Russell 2000 E-Mini (RTY)
Dow Jones Industrial Mini (YM)
Nasdaq 100 E-Mini (NQ)
Platin (PL)
Palladium (PA)
Aluminium (AUP)
Stahl ( HRC )
Ethanol (AEZ)
Brent Rohöl (J26)
Reis (ZR)
Hafer (ZO)
Milch (DL)
Orangensaft (JO)
Holz (LS)
Mastrinder (GF)
S&P 500 ( SP )
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA)
Neuseeland Dollar (N6)
Open Interest-Buschi
English:
One part of the "Commitment of Traders-Report" is the Open Interest which is shown in this indicator (source: Quandl database).
The following futures are included:
30-year Bonds (ZB)
10-year Notes (ZN)
Soybeans (ZS)
Soybean Meal (ZM)
Soybean Oil (ZL)
Corn (ZC)
Soft Red Winter Wheat (ZW)
Hard Red Winter Wheat(KE)
Lean Hogs (HE)
Live Cattle (LE)
Gold (GC)
Silver (SI)
Copper (HG)
Crude Oil (CL)
Heating Oil (HO)
RBOB Gasoline (RB)
Natural Gas (NG)
Australian Dollar (A6)
British Pound (B6)
Canadian Dollar (D6)
Euro (E6)
Japanese Yen (J6)
Swiss Franc (S6)
Sugar (SB)
Coffee (KC)
Cocoa (CC)
Cotton (CT)
S&P 500 E-Mini (ES)
Russell 2000 E-Mini (RTY)
Dow Jones Industrial Mini (YM)
Nasdaq 100 E-Mini (NQ)
Platin (PL)
Palladium (PA)
Aluminium (AUP)
Steel (HRC)
Ethanol (AEZ)
Brent Crude Oil (J26)
Rice (ZR)
Oat (ZO)
Milk (DL)
Orange Juice (JO)
Lumber (LS)
Feeder Cattle (GF)
S&P 500 (SP)
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA)
New Zealand Dollar (N6)
Deutsch:
Ein Bestandteil des "Commitment of Traders-Report" ist das Open Interest, das in diesem Indikator dargestellt wird (Quelle: Quandl Datenbank).
Folgende Futures sind enthalten:
30-jährige US-Staatsanleihen (ZB)
10-jährige US-Staatsanleihen (ZN)
Sojabohnen(ZS)
Sojabohnen-Mehl (ZM)
Sojabohnen-Öl (ZL)
Mais(ZC)
Soft Red Winter-Weizen (ZW)
Hard Red Winter-Weizen (KE)
Magerschweine (HE)
Lebendrinder (LE)
Gold (GC)
Silber (SI)
Kupfer(HG)
Rohöl (CL)
Heizöl (HO)
Benzin (RB)
Erdgas (NG)
Australischer Dollar (A6)
Britisches Pfund (B6)
Kanadischer Dollar (D6)
Euro (E6)
Japanischer Yen (J6)
Schweizer Franken (S6)
Zucker (SB)
Kaffee (KC)
Kakao (CC)
Baumwolle (CT)
S&P 500 E-Mini (ES)
Russell 2000 E-Mini (RTY)
Dow Jones Industrial Mini (YM)
Nasdaq 100 E-Mini (NQ)
Platin (PL)
Palladium (PA)
Aluminium (AUP)
Stahl (HRC)
Ethanol (AEZ)
Brent Rohöl (J26)
Reis (ZR)
Hafer (ZO)
Milch (DL)
Orangensaft (JO)
Holz (LS)
Mastrinder (GF)
S&P 500 (SP)
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA)
Neuseeland Dollar (N6)
CME Gap Finder - BitcoinOnly for Bitcoin!
This indicator locates weekly gaps created by the CME Futures market for Bitcoin.
As you can see, Bitcoin tends to close the weekly gaps created in the futures market so I thought this could be a very useful tool.
Instead of having to look between multiple charts, this simply overlays the past weeks open and close should a gap appear.
I hope you find this indicator useful!
Cheers!
COT total by categoriesWill plot the sum of all positions (total) for selected categories
Configure&select:
-futures/futures+options
-plot sum by num_contracts/percent
-plot sum of all spreads positions across all categories
COT disaggregatedCFTC COT data is exported by quandl.com to tradingview
COT@quandl:
www.quandl.com
COT@tradingview
www.tradingview.com
How to use this script:
Select and load CFTC COT data for the commodity ticker in the chart
Will by default take current ticker, or allow to avvverride it with another
Traders' categories are those for commodities , not financial futs
Select And Configure :
-categories to be plotted
-Futures/Futures+Options
-by num_contracts/percent
-plot "Tot Spreads %" selection (only when also "Show as % of OI" selected)
will plot the total of spreads positions across all categories
This script supercedes my other "MY_ CFTC GC/SI/CL (Disaggregated)" script
Just changed name
Open Interest:CME e-o-d vs CFTC e-o-wCFTC only publishes total OI on fridays, related to last Tuesday.
But what happened since last Tuesday?
CME Vol & Open Interest data is recorded&exported daily by quandl.com to tradingview
via the che CHRIS/CME datasets
www.quandl.com
Eg. Nat Gas next outstanding cntract n. 20, field n. 7(OI)
@quandl.com:
www.quandl.com
is exported @tradingview:
www.tradingview.com
Every outstanding contract's OI & vol is exported (black column), but not the total (yellow line):
tiny.cc
This script sums up all the existing outstanding contract's OI for the future (the black column), so one can have an idea of the total OI for the day (Yellow line).
As numer of outstanding contracts varies from future to future,Eg:
E-mini (ES) has 4 contracts, Gold(GC) 16 cntrcts, NatGas(NG) has 43, WTI(CL) has 38 etc
the scrips tries to guess how many exist for it and sums them up, to have the total OI for tha day
Number ofoutstanding contracts exported by quandl.com to tradingview is taken from
s3.amazonaws.com
There are 2 params you can enter on the script:
* override the ticket symbol on the chart ,if script cannot guessit or you need a different one
* enter the "preliminary" OI that is published by CME early the next day, butb not yet exported by quandl to tradingview
This script is Open so anyone can copy and modifyit for its use.
Please post comments and ideas if you find it useful
I try to keep a log of my work here:
Colored Volume Bars All Markets: Combining Volume SourcesUsing volume in Forex is potentially misleading as we are only provided the broker volume or futures exchange volume for the currency or commodity in a decentralised market. This code combines the volumes from FXCM, Onanda and futures for the instrument being studied. The combination of the volumes could improve the reliability of the volume being considered. Using this approach other volume indicators can also be improved.
Bitmex Bitcoin BasisInspired by the Ugly Old Goat's articles about the Bitcoin basis - medium.com
with the help of @Plumptoiletduck this indicator was created to show the Bitmex futures premium or discount.
Note you need to add in the new futures ticker every 3 months.
ACM22 not repaintedДелал данный скрипт для FORTS.Идеально подойдет тем,кто использует трейлинг стопы.В основе стратегии лежит RSI.Как по мне,хорошая вещь для проверки стратегии и ее оптимизиации.На скрине 50 контрактов,так что не сильно радуйтесь,а просто делите на 50 и получите показатели на 1 контракт.
Script make for futures on MICEX.U can change paramets of RSI,traling stop and stop loss .On a ps 50 futures USDollar-russian ruble.Use for testing and optimisation.
Vertical Horizontal Filter BacktestVertical Horizontal Filter was initiated by Adam White. It was first published
in a magazine called “Issues of Futures” in August, 1991. The Vertical Horizontal
Filter (VHF) is a very common Indicator used by traders to find out the Phase of
a Price Trend. Normally, a price trend can be in a Trending Phase or a Congestion
Phase/Choppy Movement Phase. Adam White created this particular Technical Indicator
to determine whether prices are trending in a particular direction or are they going
through a transitional period. He used it to measure the range of Futures available
in the market.
You can change long to short in the Input Settings
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
Vertical Horizontal Filter Strategy Vertical Horizontal Filter was initiated by Adam White. It was first published
in a magazine called “Issues of Futures” in August, 1991. The Vertical Horizontal
Filter (VHF) is a very common Indicator used by traders to find out the Phase of
a Price Trend. Normally, a price trend can be in a Trending Phase or a Congestion
Phase/Choppy Movement Phase. Adam White created this particular Technical Indicator
to determine whether prices are trending in a particular direction or are they going
through a transitional period. He used it to measure the range of Futures available
in the market.
WARNING:
- This script to change bars colors.
Vertical Horizontal Filter Vertical Horizontal Filter was initiated by Adam White. It was first published
in a magazine called “Issues of Futures” in August, 1991. The Vertical Horizontal
Filter (VHF) is a very common Indicator used by traders to find out the Phase of
a Price Trend. Normally, a price trend can be in a Trending Phase or a Congestion
Phase/Choppy Movement Phase. Adam White created this particular Technical Indicator
to determine whether prices are trending in a particular direction or are they going
through a transitional period. He used it to measure the range of Futures available
in the market.
BKSqueezeThis is a price volatility compression and expansion indicator that uses the ratio of the Bollinger Band and Keltner Ratio.
Red segments indicate extreme price volatility compression that can be ideal entry points for stock/futures/forex and/or options positions.
Aqua segments indicate price volatility is expanding.
Blue segments indicate price volatility is compressing - can be used as an exit point or partial scale out point.
Note that the indicator doesn't indicate direction. One suggestion is to use the DMI indicator for this purpose - really depends on how early you enter the trade.
Suggest using a time period of 15 bars for volatile stocks, such as TSLA for example, otherwise a period of 20 bars suits most stocks/futures/forex symbols.
T7 JNSARJNSAR stands for Just Nifty -0.14% Stop & Reverse. This is a Trend Following Daily Bar Trading System for NIFTY -0.14% . Original idea belongs to ILLANGO @ I coded the pine version of this system based on a request from @stocksonfire. Use it at your own risk after validation at your end. Neither me or my company is responsible for any losses you may incur using this system. Hope you like this system and enjoy trading it !!!
Updated V3 code for the T7 JNSAR system earlier published here V2 and here V1
Following updates made to the code
1. Added a 22 Period Simple moving average filter over and above the standard JNSAR value for generating trading signals. This simple filter reduces the whipsaw trades drastically along with similar improvements in the max draw down and overall profitability of the system. The SMA filter is turned ON by default but can be turned OFF by user through the settings window.
2. Backtest option is now turned ON by default.
Also am republishing the trading rules here again with some modification
1. Go Long when the daily close is above the JNSAR line. Go Short when the daily close is below the JNSAR line. JNSAR line is the varying green line overlayed over the price chart. Once a signal comes at market close enter in the direction of the signal @ market price @ next day market open.
2. Trade only Nifty -0.14% Index. This system was developed and backtested only for NIFTY -0.14% Index. So trade in its Futures or Options, as you may deem fit. My recommendation is to choose futures for simplicity. If you want to reduce the trading cost and go with options, trade with deep in the money options, preferably 2 strikes far from the spot price.
3. Trade all signals. Markets trend only 30-35% of the time and hence the system is only accurate to that extend. But system tends to make enough money, in this small trending window, to keep the overall profitability in good health. But one never knows when a big trend may come and when it comes its absolutely imperative that you take it. To ensure that, trade all signals and don't be choosy about what signals you are going to trade. Also I wouldn't recommend using your own analysis to trade this system. Too many drivers will crash the car.
4. Like all trend following systems, this system will have many whipsaws during flat markets along with large trade and account drawdowns. Also some months and even years may not be profitable. But to trade this system profitably, it is necessary to take these in one's stride and keep trading. As the backtester results from 1990 to 2017 proves, this system is profitable overall thus far. Take confidence from that objective fact.
5. Trade with only that amount of money you can afford to loose. Initial capital that you need to have to trade one lot of NIFTY -0.14% should be atleast - (Margin Money required to take and hold 1 lot position + maximum drawdown amount per lot)*1.2. Be prepared to add more if need be, but the above formula will give a rough idea of what you need to have to start trading and be in the game always.
6. Place an After Market Order @ Market Price with your broker after market close so that you get to execute the trade next trading day @ Market open to capture near similar price as the daily open price seen on the chart. This execution mode will give you the best chance to minimize the slippage and mimic the backtester results as closely as practically possible.
7. Follow all the 6 rules above religiously, as if your life depends on it. If you cant, then don't trade this system; You will certainly loose money.
Happy Trading !!! As always am looking out for your valuable feedback.
T7 JNSARUpdated code for the T7 JNSAR system earlier published here -
Following updates made to the code
1. Buy / Sell arrows now appear when the corresponding conditions are met.
2. Support for Heikin-Ashi Candles added
3. Different Backtesting Position Sizing Algorithms added for evaluation
Also am republishing the trading rules here again with some modification
1. Go Long when the daily close is above the JNSAR line. Go Short when the daily close is below the JNSAR line. JNSAR line is the varying green line overlayed over the price chart. Once a signal comes at market close enter in the direction of the signal @ market price @ next day market open.
2. Trade only Nifty Index. This system was developed and backtested only for NIFTY Index. So trade in its Futures or Options, as you may deem fit. My recommendation is to choose futures for simplicity. If you want to reduce the trading cost and go with options, trade with deep in the money options, preferably 2 strikes far from the spot price.
3. Trade all signals. Markets trend only 30-35% of the time and hence the system is only accurate to that extend. But system tends to make enough money, in this small trending window, to keep the overall profitability in good health. But one never knows when a big trend may come and when it comes its absolutely imperative that you take it. To ensure that, trade all signals and don't be choosy about what signals you are going to trade. Also I wouldn't recommend using your own analysis to trade this system. Too many drivers will crash the car.
4. Like all trend following systems, this system will have many whipsaws during flat markets along with large trade and account drawdowns. Also some months and even years may not be profitable. But to trade this system profitably, it is necessary to take these in one's stride and keep trading. As the backtester results from 1990 to 2016 proves, this system is profitable overall thus far. Take confidence from that objective fact.
5. Trade with only that amount of money you can afford to loose. Initial capital that you need to have to trade one lot of NIFTY should be atleast - (Margin Money required to take and hold 1 lot position + maximum drawdown amount per lot)*1.2. Be prepared to add more if need be, but the above formula will give a rough idea of what you need to have to start trading and be in the game always.
6. Place an After Market Order @ Market Price with your broker after market close so that you get to execute the trade next trading day @ Market open to capture near similar price as the daily open price seen on the chart. This execution mode will give you the best chance to minimise the slippage and mimic the backtester results as closely as practically possible.
7. Follow all the 6 rules above religiously, as if your life depends on it. If you cant, then don't trade this system; You will certainly loose money.
Happy Trading !!! As always am looking out for your valuable feedback.
T7 JNSARJNSAR stands for Just Nifty Stop & Reverse. This is a trend following daily bar trading system for NIFTY. Original idea belongs to ILLANGO @ I coded the pine version of this system based on a request from @stocksonfire. Use it at your own risk after validation at your end. Neither me or my company is responsible for any losses you may incur using this system. Hope you like this system and enjoy trading it !!!
While trading this system you must follow these simple rules.
1. Go Long when the daily close is above the JNSAR line. Go Short when the daily close is below the JNSAR line. JNSAR line is the varying green line overlayed over the price chart. Once a signal comes at market close enter in the direction of the signal @ market price @ next day market open.
2. Trade only Nifty Index. This system was developed and backtested only for NIFTY Index. So trade in its Futures or Options, as you may deem fit. My recommendation is to choose futures for simplicity. If you want to reduce the trading cost and go with options, trade with deep in the money options, preferably 2 strikes far from the spot price.
3. Trade all signals. Markets trend only 30-35% of the time and hence the system is only accurate to that extend. But system tends to make enough money, in this small trending window, to keep the overall profitability in good health. But one never knows when a big trend may come and when it comes its absolutely imperative that you take it. To ensure that, trade all signals and don't be choosy about what signals you are going to trade. Also I wouldn't recommend using your own analysis to trade this system. Too many drivers will crash the car.
4. Like all trend following systems, this system will have many whipsaws during flat markets along with large trade and account drawdowns. Also some months and even years may not be profitable. But to trade this system profitably, it is necessary to take these in one's stride and keep trading. As the backtester results from 1990 to 2016 proves, this system is profitable overall thus far. Take confidence from that objective fact.
5. Initial capital that you need to have to trade one lot of NIFTY should be atleast - (Margin Money required to take and hold 1 lot position + maximum drawdown amount per lot)*1.2. Be prepared to add more if need be, but the above formula will give a rough idea of what you need to have to start trading and be in the game always.
6. Follow all the 5 rules above religiously as if your life depends on it. If you cant, then don't trade this system; You will certainly loose money.
Accumulation Swing Index The Accumulation Swing Index is a cumulative total of the Swing Index.
The Accumulation Swing Index was developed by Welles Wilder.
The SwingIndex function was developed to help cut through the maze of
Open, High, Low and Close prices to indicate the real strength and direction
of the market. The Swing Index function looks at the Open, High, Low and
Close values for a two-bar period. The theory is that there are four cross-bar
and one intra-bar comparisons that are strong indicators of an up or down day.
The Swing Index returns a number between -100 and 100. If the factors point toward
an up day, then the function value will be positive and vice versa. In this way,
the Swing Index gives us definite short-term swing points, and it can be used to
supplement other methods as a breakout indicator. A breakout is indicated when the
value of the Accumulation Swing Index (ASI) exceeds the ASI value on the day when a
previous significant High Swing Point was made. A downside breakout is indicated when
the value of the ASI drops below the ASI value on a day when a previous significant
low swing point was made.
Since only futures have a relative daily limit value, this function only makes sense
when applied to a futures contract. If you use this function and it only plots a zero
flat line, check the Daily Limit value.
Accumulation Swing Index (ASI) The Accumulation Swing Index is a cumulative total of the Swing Index.
The Accumulation Swing Index was developed by Welles Wilder.
The SwingIndex function was developed to help cut through the maze of
Open, High, Low and Close prices to indicate the real strength and direction
of the market. The Swing Index function looks at the Open, High, Low and
Close values for a two-bar period. The theory is that there are four cross-bar
and one intra-bar comparisons that are strong indicators of an up or down day.
The Swing Index returns a number between -100 and 100. If the factors point toward
an up day, then the function value will be positive and vice versa. In this way,
the Swing Index gives us definite short-term swing points, and it can be used to
supplement other methods as a breakout indicator. A breakout is indicated when the
value of the Accumulation Swing Index (ASI) exceeds the ASI value on the day when a
previous significant High Swing Point was made. A downside breakout is indicated when
the value of the ASI drops below the ASI value on a day when a previous significant
low swing point was made.
Since only futures have a relative daily limit value, this function only makes sense
when applied to a futures contract. If you use this function and it only plots a zero
flat line, check the Daily Limit value.
Nexus Momentum Flow [JOAT]
Nexus Momentum Flow - ADX-Based Trend Strength Analysis
Introduction and Purpose
Nexus Momentum Flow is an open-source oscillator indicator that combines the ADX (Average Directional Index) with directional movement indicators (+DI/-DI) to create a comprehensive trend strength and direction analysis tool. The core problem this indicator solves is that ADX alone tells you trend strength but not direction, while +DI/-DI alone tells you direction but not strength. Traders need both pieces of information together.
This indicator addresses that by combining ADX strength classification with directional bias into a single confluence score, making it easy to identify when strong trends exist and which direction they favor.
Why These Components Work Together
1. ADX (Average Directional Index) - Measures trend strength regardless of direction. Values above 25 indicate trending; below 20 indicate ranging.
2. +DI (Positive Directional Indicator) - Measures upward price movement strength.
3. -DI (Negative Directional Indicator) - Measures downward price movement strength.
4. Confluence Score - Combines ADX strength with DI bias to create a single actionable metric.
The combination works because:
ADX filters out ranging markets where DI crossovers produce whipsaws
DI relationship provides direction when ADX confirms trend
Confluence score simplifies the analysis into one number
How the Calculation Works
float directionBias = diPlus - diMinus
float confluenceScore = (adx / 100) * directionBias
The confluence score is positive when +DI > -DI (bullish) and negative when -DI > +DI (bearish), with magnitude scaled by ADX strength.
Trend State Classification
EXTREME - ADX > 50 (very strong trend)
STRONG - ADX 35-50 (strong trend)
TRENDING - ADX 25-35 (moderate trend)
RANGING - ADX < 25 (no clear trend)
Dashboard Information
Status - Current trend state (EXTREME/STRONG/TRENDING/RANGING)
Direction - BULLISH or BEARISH based on DI relationship
ADX - Current ADX value
DI Bias - Difference between +DI and -DI
Confluence - Combined score with directional context
How to Use This Indicator
For Trend Following:
1. Wait for ADX to show TRENDING or higher
2. Check direction matches your trade bias
3. Enter on pullbacks when confluence remains positive/negative
4. Exit when ADX drops to RANGING
For Avoiding Whipsaws:
1. Do not trade DI crossovers when ADX shows RANGING
2. Only trust directional signals when ADX confirms trend
3. Use RANGING periods for mean-reversion strategies instead
For Trend Exhaustion:
1. Watch for EXTREME ADX readings
2. Extreme trends often precede reversals
3. Consider taking profits when ADX reaches extreme levels
Input Parameters
ADX Length (14) - Period for ADX calculation
DI Length (14) - Period for directional indicators
ADX Smoothing (14) - Smoothing period for ADX
Trend Threshold (25) - ADX level for trend confirmation
Strong Threshold (35) - ADX level for strong trend
Extreme Threshold (50) - ADX level for extreme trend
Timeframe Recommendations
Daily/4H: Best for swing trading trend analysis
1H: Good for intraday trend following
15m: More signals but requires faster reaction
Limitations
ADX is a lagging indicator - trends are confirmed after they start
DI crossovers can whipsaw even with ADX filter
Works best in markets that trend clearly
May miss early trend entries due to confirmation requirement
Open-Source and Disclaimer
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 for educational purposes.
This indicator does not constitute financial advice. Trend analysis does not guarantee profitable trades. Always use proper risk management.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
Fractal Wave Hunter [JOAT]
Fractal Wave Hunter - Multi-Method Fractal Detection System
Introduction and Purpose
Fractal Wave Hunter is an open-source overlay indicator that identifies key reversal patterns using multiple fractal detection methods. The core problem this indicator solves is that different fractal methods catch different types of reversals. Williams' classic 5-bar fractal is reliable but slow; Hougaard's 4-bar method is faster but noisier. Using only one method means missing valid signals that the other would catch.
This indicator addresses that by combining both methods plus HOLP/LOHP detection, giving traders a comprehensive view of potential reversal points.
Why These Methods Work Together
Each fractal method has different characteristics:
1. 4-Bar Fractal (Hougaard Method) - Faster detection, identifies momentum shifts when close exceeds recent highs/lows. Best for catching early reversals.
2. Classic 5-Bar Fractal (Williams) - Traditional pivot detection requiring the middle bar to be the highest/lowest of 5 bars. Best for identifying significant swing points.
3. HOLP/LOHP - High of Low Period and Low of High Period signals identify when price makes a new extreme within a defined lookback. Best for trend exhaustion detection.
By combining these methods, traders can:
Use 4-bar fractals for early entry signals
Use 5-bar fractals for confirmation and stop placement
Use HOLP/LOHP for trend exhaustion warnings
How the Detection Works
4-Bar Fractal (Hougaard):
bool fractal4BuyBase = close > high and close > high
bool fractal4SellBase = close < low and close < low
Classic 5-Bar Fractal:
bool fractalHigh = high > high and high > high and high > high and high > high
bool fractalLow = low < low and low < low and low < low and low < low
Signal Types
4B (4-Bar Buy) - Close exceeds high and high - early bullish signal
4S (4-Bar Sell) - Close below low and low - early bearish signal
FH (Fractal High) - Classic 5-bar swing high - confirmed resistance
FL (Fractal Low) - Classic 5-bar swing low - confirmed support
HOLP - High of low period - potential bullish exhaustion
LOHP - Low of high period - potential bearish exhaustion
Dashboard Information
4-Bar Fractal - Count of bullish/bearish 4-bar fractals
Classic Fractal - Count of 5-bar fractal highs/lows
HOLP/LOHP - Reversal signal counts
Total Signals - Combined pattern count
How to Use This Indicator
For Counter-Trend Entries:
1. Wait for 4-bar fractal signal at key support/resistance
2. Confirm with 5-bar fractal forming nearby
3. Enter with stop beyond the fractal point
For Stop Placement:
1. Use 5-bar fractal highs/lows as stop-loss references
2. These represent confirmed swing points that should hold if trend continues
For Trend Analysis:
1. Track swing structure using fractal highs and lows
2. Higher fractal lows = uptrend structure
3. Lower fractal highs = downtrend structure
Input Parameters
Show 4-Bar Fractals (true) - Toggle Hougaard method signals
Show Classic Fractals (true) - Toggle Williams method signals
Show HOLP/LOHP (true) - Toggle exhaustion signals
ATR Filter (false) - Only show signals during volatile conditions
Swing Lines (true) - Connect significant swing points
Timeframe Recommendations
1H-Daily: Best for reliable fractal detection
15m-30m: More signals but higher noise
Weekly: Fewer but more significant fractals
Limitations
5-bar fractals have inherent 2-bar lag (need confirmation)
4-bar fractals can produce false signals in choppy markets
HOLP/LOHP signals work best at trend extremes
Not all fractals lead to significant reversals
Open-Source and Disclaimer
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 for educational purposes.
This indicator does not constitute financial advice. Fractal detection does not guarantee reversals. Always use proper risk management.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades
15-Minute ORB Breakout Strategy with VWAP and Volume Filters# 15-Minute ORB Breakout Strategy with VWAP and Volume Filters
## Overview
This strategy implements the 15-minute Opening Range Breakout (ORB) methodology for NASDAQ futures, enhanced with session-anchored VWAP, volume confirmation, and candle strength analysis. The ORB approach waits for the first 15 minutes of the trading session to establish a range, then trades breakouts with defined risk management.
This implementation is based on rules described in a YouTube tutorial by Bull Barbie: www.youtube.com
The strategy was systematically coded and backtested to evaluate performance over an extended period.
**Backtest Disclosure:** Over 1,354 trades from 2010-2026, this systematic implementation produced negative returns. Discretionary traders may achieve different results through real-time adjustments not captured in systematic rules.
---
## How It Works
### Opening Range Calculation
The strategy identifies the high and low of the first 15 minutes after the New York open (first 3 candles on a 5-minute chart). These levels become the breakout triggers for the session.
### Entry Logic
- **Long Entry:** Price closes above the ORB High while meeting all filter conditions
- **Short Entry:** Price closes below the ORB Low while meeting all filter conditions
### Exit Logic
- **Take Profit:** 1x the ORB range beyond the breakout level (approximately 1:1 risk-reward)
- **Stop Loss:** Opposite side of the ORB range
- **Breakeven:** Stop moves to entry when price reaches 50% of the take profit distance
- **Session Close:** All positions closed at end of trading session
### Filters
All filters are toggleable:
1. **Session VWAP Filter:** Price must be above VWAP with upward slope for longs (below with downward slope for shorts). VWAP is anchored to session open and resets daily.
2. **Volume Filter:** Breakout bar must exceed minimum volume threshold (default: 2,500 contracts) to confirm participation.
3. **Candle Strength Filter:** Close must be in the top 30% of the bar range for longs (bottom 30% for shorts), indicating conviction rather than absorption.
---
## Backtest Results
**Instrument:** MNQ (Micro NASDAQ)
**Timeframe:** 5-minute
**Period:** 2010-2026
**Session:** 09:30 - 12:00 ET (Morning)
| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Total Trades | 1,354 |
| Win Rate | 50.07% |
| Profit Factor | 0.833 |
| Net P&L | -$11,916 (-23.83%) |
| Max Drawdown | $13,119 (26.21%) |
| Avg Win | +0.30% |
| Avg Loss | -0.37% |
| Expected Payoff | -$8.80/trade |
| Long Win Rate | 52.25% (360/689) |
| Short Win Rate | 47.82% (318/665) |
---
## Strategy Properties
These settings match the published backtest:
| Property | Value |
|----------|-------|
| Initial Capital | $50,000 USD |
| Position Size | 1 contract (fixed) |
| Commission | $4.00 per contract (round-trip) |
| Slippage | 2 ticks |
| Margin | 1% (NinjaTrader intraday reference) |
| Pyramiding | Disabled |
**Instrument Note:** MNQ (Micro NASDAQ) was selected because realistic account sizes ($25,000-$50,000) face margin constraints with full NQ contracts during drawdown periods.
---
## Settings Guide
### Main Settings
- **ORB Bars:** Number of bars defining the opening range (3 = 15 minutes on 5-min chart)
- **Trading Session:** Time window for trading (tested: 0930-1200 ET)
- **Take Profit:** Multiple of ORB range for target (1.0 = full range)
- **Breakeven Trigger:** Distance to move stop to entry (0.5 = halfway to TP)
- **Max Trades Per Day:** Daily trade limit (default: 2)
### VWAP Filter
- **Use VWAP Filter:** Enable/disable session VWAP confirmation
- **VWAP Slope Lookback:** Bars to measure VWAP direction (default: 5)
- **Min VWAP Slope:** Minimum slope in points (default: 0.5)
### Volume Filter
- **Use Volume Filter:** Enable/disable volume confirmation
- **Min Breakout Volume:** Minimum contracts required (default: 2,500)
### Candle Strength
- **Use Candle Strength Filter:** Enable/disable close position analysis
- **Min Candle Strength:** Required close position within bar (0.7 = top/bottom 30%)
---
## Visual Elements
- **Orange Background:** ORB forming period (first 15 minutes)
- **Green Background:** Active trading session
- **Green/Red Lines:** ORB High and Low levels
- **VWAP Line:** Color indicates slope direction (green=up, red=down, gray=flat)
- **White Line:** Trade entry price
- **Lime/Red Lines:** Take profit and stop loss levels
- **Orange Line:** Breakeven trigger level
- **Blue Background:** Breakeven activated
- **Triangle Markers:** Candle strength indicators
---
## How to Use
1. Apply to MNQ or NQ on a 5-minute chart
2. Wait for the ORB forming period (orange background) to complete
3. Monitor breakouts above/below ORB levels
4. Check VWAP color for trend alignment
5. Strategy enters automatically when conditions align
---
## Limitations
1. **Systematic vs. Discretionary:** This backtest captures only the mechanical rules. Experienced traders may apply real-time judgment (reading price action, avoiding certain setups, scaling in/out) that improves results but cannot be systematically coded.
2. **Average Loss Exceeds Average Win:** The 0.37% average loss versus 0.30% average win creates negative expectancy even with ~50% win rate.
3. **Commission Impact:** $10,832 in commissions over the test period affects net returns.
4. **Market Regime Variation:** The equity curve shows profitable periods (2023-2025) alongside extended drawdowns, suggesting regime-dependent performance.
5. **Sample Considerations:** While 1,354 trades provides statistical significance, results may vary across different time periods or market conditions.
---
## Research Notes
This strategy was built following rules from Bull Barbie's ORB tutorial video. The systematic backtest could not reproduce the performance figures mentioned in that content. This does not mean the approach is without merit—discretionary execution, trade selection, and real-time adjustments likely play significant roles that systematic backtesting cannot capture.
Traders interested in ORB strategies should consider this as a starting framework for their own research and optimization.
---
## Reference
Original strategy concept: Bull Barbie - "Battle-Tested 15-Minute ORB Trading Strategy for Nasdaq—Rules That Actually Work"
www.youtube.com
