Bitcoin Stock to FlowModeling Bitcoin's Value With Scarcity
The Stock to Flow model for Bitcoin suggests that Bitcoin price is driven by scarcity over time.
Bitcoin is the first scarce digital object the world has ever seen. It is scarce like silver & gold, and can be sent over the internet, radio, satellite etc. Bitcoin includes a mathematical mechanism to restrict its supply over time making it more rare as time goes on. Digital Scarcity.
In 2017 BTC exceeded the market capitalization of Silver. After the next halving in 2024, Bitcoin will become the hardest asset the world has ever seen, rarer than Gold.
There is only enough Bitcoin in the world for each person to own .0023 BTC. Because of this, Bitcoin's value should continue to rise over time.
חפש סקריפטים עבור "GOLD"
BTC 1D Alerts V1This script contains a variety of key indicator for bitcoin all-in-one and they can be activated individually in the menu. These are meant to be used on the 1D chart for Bitcoin.
1457 Day Moving Average: the bottom of the bitcoin price and arguably the rock bottom price target.
Ichimoku Cloud: a common useful indicator for bitcoin support and resistance.
350ma fibs (21 8 5 3 2 and 1.6) : Signify the tops of each logarthmic rise in bitcoin price. They are generally curving higher over the long term. For halvening #3, the predicted market crash would be after hitting the 350ma x3 fib. Also the 350 ma / 111 ma cross signifies bull market top within about 3 days as well. Using the combination of the 350ma fibs and the 350/111 crosses, reasonably identify when market top is about to occur.
50,120,200 ma: Common moving averages that bitcoin retests during bull market runs. Also, the 50/200 golden and death crosses.
1D EMA Superguppy Ribbons: green = bull market, gray is indeterminate, red = bear market. Very high specificity indicator of bull runs, especially for bitcoin. You can change to 3D candle for even more specificity for a bull market start. Use the 1W for even more specificity. 1D Superguppy is recommended for decisionmaking.
1W EMA21: a very good moving average programmed to be shown on both the daily and weekly candle time. Bitcoin commonly corrects to this repeatedly during past bull runs. Acts as support during bull run and resistance during a bear market.
Steps to identifying a bull market:
1. 50/200 golden cross
2. 1D EMA superguppy green
3. 3D EMA superguppy green (if you prefer more certainty than step 2).
4. Hitting the 1W EMA21 and bouncing off during the bull run signifies corrections.
Once a bull market is identified,
Additional recommended buying and selling techniques:
Indicators:
- Fiblines - to determine retracements from peaks (such as all time high or recent highs)
- Stochastic RSI - 1d, 3d, and 1W SRSI are great time to buy, especially the 1W SRSI which comes much less frequently.
- volumen consolidado - for multi exchange volumes compiled into a single line. I prefer buying on the lowest volume days which generally coincide with dips.
- MACD - somewhat dubious utility but many algorithms are programmed to buy or sell based on this.
Check out the Alerts for golden crosses and 350ma Fib crosses which are invaluable for long term buying planning.
I left this open source so that all the formulas can be understood and verified. Much of it hacked together from other sources but all indicators that are fundamental to bitcoin. I apologize in advance for not attributing all the articles and references... but then again I am making no money off of this anyway.
dmw_3SMACross3 SMA set to 5 10 20 used to find the crossing points for pattern reversals or breakouts.
Lysergik's Stochastic SynergyThis indicator shows the average Stochastic RSI output of the 15m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and Daily Stochastic RSI. It will change in its behavior depending on the time-frame you're using, but for many markets it works best on the 30m time-frame and the daily time-frame.
It is best used along with Lysergik's Fib Cross, which will allow you to avoid false signals in the stochastic synergy indicator. If your MA cross (50, 200) indicates a direction change opposite of the stochastic RSI synergy indicator then that is a signal to wait for more price action to determine your entry/exit points.
Using the Lysergik's Fib Cross, the same applies, but remember that a golden cross (white cross symbol) followed directly by a golden ratio cross (gold cross symbol) is even further indication that the stochastic RSI needs more breathing room before reversing.
This indicator is fully adjustable for you to back-test against charts and refine the indicator to your market.
The inputs in respective order are as follows:
RSI Length, Stoch Length, Smooth K, Smooth D, Upper Limit, Lower Limit, Basis
Enjoy and remember only make trades on your own terms.
Happy trading/investing! :)
SynergySynergy
This indicator was developed for use in an investigation/tutorial using Pine Script to analyse Gold and US Dollar Index correlation.
The first indicator shall measure the percentage change between the open and close of each bar and compare it to the same percentage change of an alternative asset. Additionally, we shall color the background when the two assets move in the same direction. This should allow us to more easily see when the two assets move together and spot trends in their moment.
The yellow bars show use the percentage change in the price of gold. The blue bars show the percentage change in the price of the US Dollar index. If the bar is above zero, it means that the asset closed up. Conversely, if it is below zero, it means the asset closed down. Finally, the grey bars show bars in which the two assets closed in the same direction.
It can be used in conjunction with a second indicator (to be published soon) that provides statistics generated from this indicator.
The full free post can be found here: backtest-rookies.com
BO Willians EMA'sBo Williams is a North America/Brazilian trader. He created a trading software called PHI CUBE.
This ema ratios are very used in Brazil. They a based in the Golden Number PHI.
"There is a special ratio that can be used to describe the proportions of everything from nature's smallest building blocks, such as atoms, to the most advanced patterns in the universe, such as unimaginably large celestial bodies. Nature relies on this innate proportion to maintain balance, but the financial markets also seem to conform to this "golden ratio." Here, we take a look at some technical analysis tools that have been developed to take advantage of it.
The Mathematics
Mathematicians, scientists and naturalists have known this ratio for centuries. It's derived from something known as the Fibonacci sequence, named after its Italian founder, Leonardo Fibonacci (whose birth is assumed to be around 1175 A.D. and death around 1250 A.D.). Each term in this sequence is simply the sum of the two preceding terms (1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.).
But this sequence is not all that important; rather, it is the quotient of the adjacent terms that possesses an amazing proportion, roughly 1.618, or its inverse 0.618. This proportion is known by many names: the golden ratio, the golden mean, PHI and the divine proportion, among others. So, why is this number so important? Well, almost everything has dimensional properties that adhere to the ratio of 1.618, so it seems to have a fundamental function for the building blocks of nature. "
More here www.goldennumber.net
EMA 50, 100 and 200Draw a set of 3 EMA: 50, 100 and 200. It highlight with a circle the crossing of EMA(50) with other EMAs
IV/HV ratio 1.0 [dime]This script compares the implied volatility to the historic volatility as a ratio.
The plot indicates how high the current implied volatility for the next 30 days is relative to the actual volatility realized over the set period. This is most useful for options traders as it may show when the premiums paid on options are over valued relative to the historic risk.
The default is set to one year (252 bars) however any number of bars can be set for the lookback period for HV.
The default is set to VIX for the IV on SPX or SPY but other CBOE implied volatility indexes may be used. For /CL you have OVX/HV and for /GC you have GVX/HV.
Note that the CBOE data for these indexes may be delayed and updated EOD
and may not be suitable for intraday information. (Future versions of this script may be developed to provide a realtime intraday study. )
There is a list of many volatility indexes from CBOE listed at:
www.cboe.com
(Some may not yet be available on Tradingview)
RVX Russell 2000
VXN NASDAQ
VXO S&P 100
VXD DJIA
GVX Gold
OVX OIL
VIX3M 3-Month
VIX6M S&P 500 6-Month
VIX1Y 1-Year
VXEFA Cboe EFA ETF
VXEEM Cboe Emerging Markets ETF
VXFXI Cboe China ETF
VXEWZ Cboe Brazil ETF
VXSLV Cboe Silver ETF
VXGDX Cboe Gold Miners ETF
VXXLE Cboe Energy Sector ETF
EUVIX FX Euro
JYVIX FX Yen
BPVIX FX British Pound
EVZ Cboe EuroCurrency ETF Volatility Index
Amazon VXAZN
Apple VXAPL
Goldman Sachs VXGS
Google VXGOG
IBM VXIBM
Moving Average Cross Strategy Simply define your fast and slow M then backtest the strategy.
*First script, work in progress. Will allow you to combine two TV indicators into one.
MA Cross 50/200 - Moving Averageindicates short-term 50-day moving average AND long-term 200-day moving average CROSS
@GateTicker
Multi-Timeframe Probability Zones [DW]This is an experimental study based on multi-timeframe price action and a simple average.
Use it to quickly identify MTF support and resistance, and high probability price levels.
NOTE: Because higher timeframe levels are not certain until the interval is closed, refresh your chart as new levels are drawn.
Line Break StrategyLine Break Strategy
Entry rule:
Long on a bullish line and short on a bearish line.
Backtest:
Profit factors are shown below for three-line break.
Daily time frame, FXCM broker.
EURUSD: 1.267, USDJPY: 1.039, GBPUSD: -0.816, AUDUSD: -0.959
S&P500: -0.783, Nikkei225: 1.099
CrudeOil: 1.03, Gold: 1.196
BTCUSD: -0.883
Reference:
Steve Nison, Beyond Candlesticks - New Japanese Charting Techniques Revealed
Note:
This strategy doesn't work properly on the linebreak chart.
A good example is shown below. The entry prices are not always correct.
If you have signal, but the next candle moves in the opposite direction, the entry price is drawn at the Open of the new candle instead of the Close of the previous candle.
The results of backtest are unreliable due to this reason.
Earnings MultiplesMultiplies Quarterly Earnings x 13, x 21, x 34, x 55, x 89, x 144, x 233.
Yes its a fibonacci sequence.
"Goldilocks zone" seems to be in the 55x - 89x area.
Also when companies become profitable, the indicator looks like a "starburst".
EMA & SMA with FRACTAL DEVIATION BANDS by @XeL_ArjonaEMA & SMA with FRACTAL DEVIATION BANDS
Ver. 1.0.25.08.2015
By Ricardo M Arjona @XeL_Arjona
DISCLAIMER:
DISCLAIMER:
The Following indicator/code IS NOT intended to be a formal investment advice or recommendation by the author, nor should be construed as such. Users will be fully responsible by their use regarding their own trading vehicles/assets. The embedded code and ideas within this work are FREELY AND PUBLICLY available on the Web for NON LUCRATIVE ACTIVITIES and must remain as is.
WHAT IS THIS?
This is the adaptation of the FRACTAL DEVIATION BANDS to be used on Traditional Moving Averages (Simple & Exponential).
ALL NEW IDEAS OR MODIFICATIONS to these indicator(s) are Welcome in favor to deploy a better and more accurate readings. I will be very glad to be notified at Twitter or TradingVew accounts at: @XeL_Arjona
Any important addition to this work MUST REMAIN PUBLIC by means of CreativeCommons CC & TradingView.
2015
Cinematic Session Fade [Pro]🎬 Cinematic Session Fade — A Clean Way to See Market Mood
This indicator is designed to enhance visual clarity, not clutter your chart.
Instead of adding more lines, boxes, or signals, it uses soft cinematic session shading to show how market behavior naturally changes throughout the day.
🌍 Session-Based Market Atmosphere
Asia Session (Calm Blue)
Represents balance, low volatility, and range-building conditions.
London Session (Warm Gold)
Highlights the transition phase where momentum often starts to build.
New York Session (Deep Red)
Emphasizes decision-making hours, volatility, and directional moves.
The session colors fade smoothly in the background, creating a professional and distraction-free viewing experience.
🎨 Why This Indicator Looks Clean & Professional
No indicators stacked on price
No buy/sell arrows or noisy labels
Soft, eye-friendly background shading
Clean candle colors for clear price focus
Optimized for dark mode charts
This makes the chart easy to read, easy on the eyes, and visually attractive for both analysis and screenshots.
🧠 How Traders Use It
Identify which session the market is in at a glance
Adjust expectations for volatility and behavior
Combine with your own strategy (structure, SMC, trend, or price action)
Perfect for education, market commentary, and clean chart presentations
📈 Best Markets
Forex
Gold (XAUUSD)
Bitcoin & Crypto
Indices
🎯 Final Note
This tool does not predict price.
It simply provides context and atmosphere, helping traders stay aligned with market rhythm while keeping charts elegant and professional.
If you value clarity over clutter, this indicator is built for you.
Candle Size Table (Big Font & Colors)Symbols: gold, oil, BTC, silver, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCAD, AUDUSD
Timeframes: 1m and 5m
Size of the previous candle (for each TF)
I’ll assume “size” = candle range (high − low) of the previous closed candle.
Mitigation POI Master: OB + FVG ConfluenceOverview
The Mitigation POI Master is a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) tool designed to identify high-probability Points of Interest (POI). Unlike standard indicators that clutter your chart with every single block, this script focuses on the Confluence of two critical institutional footprints: Order Blocks (OB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG).
Key Features
💎 Automated POI Detection: Finds overlapping areas between OBs and FVGs, marking them as premium Demand or Supply zones.
🧹 Smart Mitigation Engine: Real-time tracking of zone mitigation. Once a zone is touched or broken through (customizable), it is automatically removed to keep your chart clean.
⚡ Liquidity Sweep Filter: Includes an optional filter to only show Order Blocks that have successfully swept previous candle liquidity—a hallmark of true institutional intervention.
📊 Volume Confirmation: Integrated volume filter to ensure the zones are born from high-activity impulsive moves.
Settings
Timeframe Usage: This indicator performs best on higher timeframes (H1, H4, Daily) as institutional moves are more significant there. Using lower TFs (M1, M5) may generate too many low-quality zones.
Sensitivity (ATR Multiplier):
- For volatile assets/lower TFs (Crypto, Gold): Increase the Sensitivity input (e.g., 8-10) to filter out noise.
- For stable assets/higher TFs (Forex Majors, Stocks): Use the default Sensitivity (e.g., 4-6).
Mitigation Mode: The default "Breakthrough" mode is safer for high R:R setups. "Touch" mode offers earlier entries but higher risk.
How to Use
Identify the POI: Look for the ✦ DEMAND or ✦ SUPPLY labels.
Wait for the Return: Wait for price to retrace into the POI (Mitigation).
Execute: Use lower timeframe confirmation (like MSB or CHoCH) within these zones for high R:R entries.
Alerts: Set alerts to get notified the moment a new high-confluence POI is formed.
Visual Pro Trend Master by Herman Sangivera ( Papua )Visual pro Trend Mater by Herman Sangivera ( Papuan Trader )
Overview
Visual Pro Trend Master is a high-precision quantitative trading strategy specifically engineered for scalpers operating on lower timeframes (1m, 3m, 5m). The strategy focuses on execution efficiency with a fixed 1:2 Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio, powered by a multi-layered filtration system designed to eliminate "whipsaws" and fake signals commonly found in sideways markets.
By integrating institutional volume confirmation (VWAP), trend momentum (ADX Slope), and dynamic volatility sensing (Bollinger Band Squeeze), this script ensures that entries are only triggered when the market exhibits high-probability directional intent.
Key Technical Features
Anti-Sideways Engine: Utilizes Bollinger Band Width to calculate market compression. The strategy automatically enters "standby mode" during a Squeeze, filtering out low-volatility traps.
Trend Acceleration Filter: Not only does it check for ADX strength, but it specifically looks for a rising ADX slope. This ensures you enter as momentum is building, not when it is exhausting.
Institutional Alignment (VWAP): Acts as the ultimate trend arbiter. The strategy restricts Long positions to prices above VWAP and Short positions to prices below VWAP.
Dynamic Risk Management (1:2 RR): Stop Loss (SL) is mathematically determined by the Average True Range (ATR) to account for current market noise. The Take Profit (TP) is automatically set at 2x the risk distance.
Professional UI Dashboard: A real-time heads-up display (HUD) in the corner of your chart showing Trend Status, ADX Power, and active Risk Ratios.
Visual Interpretation
Trend Ribbon (Green/Red): Displays the primary trend zone between EMAs. A gray ribbon indicates a transition or a non-trending phase.
Candle Color Coding: Real-time bar coloring provides instant psychological confirmation of trend strength.
Gray Background Shading: Indicates a Bollinger Squeeze. This is a "No-Trade Zone" where fakeouts are most likely to occur.
Fuchsia Line (VWAP): The "Line in the Sand" for institutional sentiment.
Execution Guide
Best Timeframes: 1-Minute, 3-Minute, or 5-Minute.
Recommended Assets: High-liquidity pairs such as Gold (XAUUSD), Major Forex (EURUSD, GBPUSD), and Top-tier Crypto (BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT).
Optimization Tips: * Optimal performance is usually seen during the London and New York session overlaps.
Monitor the Dashboard: If ADX Power is below 25, the market lacks the "fuel" needed to hit a 1:2 TP.
Disclaimer
While this strategy includes advanced risk management and volatility filters, past performance does not guarantee future results. It is highly recommended to paper-trade this strategy first to understand its behavior during high-impact news events.
Scalping Reaper Elite- by Herman Sangivera ( Papua ) Scalping Reaper Elite by Herman Sangivera ( Papuan Trader )
Overview
Scalping Reaper Elite V5 is a high-precision quantitative trading strategy specifically engineered for scalpers operating on lower timeframes (1m, 3m, 5m). The strategy focuses on execution efficiency with a fixed 1:2 Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio, powered by a multi-layered filtration system designed to eliminate "whipsaws" and fake signals commonly found in sideways markets.
By integrating institutional volume confirmation (VWAP), trend momentum (ADX Slope), and dynamic volatility sensing (Bollinger Band Squeeze), this script ensures that entries are only triggered when the market exhibits high-probability directional intent.
Key Technical Features
Anti-Sideways Engine: Utilizes Bollinger Band Width to calculate market compression. The strategy automatically enters "standby mode" during a Squeeze, filtering out low-volatility traps.
Trend Acceleration Filter: Not only does it check for ADX strength, but it specifically looks for a rising ADX slope. This ensures you enter as momentum is building, not when it is exhausting.
Institutional Alignment (VWAP): Acts as the ultimate trend arbiter. The strategy restricts Long positions to prices above VWAP and Short positions to prices below VWAP.
Dynamic Risk Management (1:2 RR): Stop Loss (SL) is mathematically determined by the Average True Range (ATR) to account for current market noise. The Take Profit (TP) is automatically set at 2x the risk distance.
Professional UI Dashboard: A real-time heads-up display (HUD) in the corner of your chart showing Trend Status, ADX Power, and active Risk Ratios.
Visual Interpretation
Trend Ribbon (Green/Red): Displays the primary trend zone between EMAs. A gray ribbon indicates a transition or a non-trending phase.
Candle Color Coding: Real-time bar coloring provides instant psychological confirmation of trend strength.
Gray Background Shading: Indicates a Bollinger Squeeze. This is a "No-Trade Zone" where fakeouts are most likely to occur.
Fuchsia Line (VWAP): The "Line in the Sand" for institutional sentiment.
Execution Guide
Best Timeframes: 1-Minute, 3-Minute, or 5-Minute.
Recommended Assets: High-liquidity pairs such as Gold (XAUUSD), Major Forex (EURUSD, GBPUSD), and Top-tier Crypto (BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT).
Optimization Tips: * Optimal performance is usually seen during the London and New York session overlaps.
Monitor the Dashboard: If ADX Power is below 25, the market lacks the "fuel" needed to hit a 1:2 TP.
Disclaimer
While this strategy includes advanced risk management and volatility filters, past performance does not guarantee future results. It is highly recommended to paper-trade this strategy first to understand its behavior during high-impact news events.
Institutional Alpha Vector | D_QUANT Institutional Alpha Vector | D_QUANT
Overview
The Institutional Alpha Vector (IAV) is an original trend-following framework that replaces single-indicator bias with a Weighted Composite Score . Instead of relying on a simple moving average, this script aggregates four distinct quantitative dimensions—Price, Momentum, Volatility, and Volume—into a normalized value called the "Alpha Vector."
The goal of this tool is to identify "Institutional Consensus"—periods where multiple mathematical models align in the same direction, reducing the likelihood of false breakouts in choppy markets.
How It Works: The Quantitative Engines
The script calculates four independent signals. For each module, a state is stored (1 for Bullish, -1 for Bearish, 0 for Neutral).
1. Price Filter (Hull Moving Average):
The script uses an HMA (a weighted moving average that reduces lag by using the square root of the period). A signal is triggered when the price crosses over/under this "Spine."
2. Volatility Regime (RMA + ATR):
This module uses a Moving Average (RMA) combined with an Average True Range (ATR) offset. It acts as a volatility filter that price must move beyond 1 ATR from the mean to register a trend, ensuring the market isn't just "drifting."
3. Momentum Physics (ADX/DMI):
Based on J. Welles Wilder’s Directional Movement Index. It checks if the is above (or vice versa) but only if the ADX (Average Directional Index) is above a user-defined threshold (default: 10), confirming the presence of a strong trend.
4. Institutional Flow (Chaikin Money Flow):
This confirms price action with volume. It calculates the accumulation/distribution of money flow over a specific period. A signal is only valid if the CMF is positive (Bullish) or negative (Bearish).
The Alpha Vector Calculation
This is the core "originality" of the script. The indicator takes the active modules and calculates a Composite Score :
This results in a value between -1.0 and +1.0 .
* High Confidence Long: When the score exceeds +0.1 (adjustable).
* High Confidence Short: When the score drops below -0.1 (adjustable).
* Neutral Zone: When the score is near 0, the script colors the bars grey, signaling a lack of institutional consensus.
Visual Intelligence: The "Electric Conduit"
The script visualizes market energy through a custom rendering engine:
* The Spine: A central line representing the HMA trend.
* The Conduit (Fill): A dynamic gradient that expands or contracts based on the ATR (Average True Range) . This allows traders to see "volatility expansion" (wide ribbon) vs "compression" (tight ribbon) at a glance.
* Bar Coloring : Automatically aligns the chart candles with the Alpha Vector state to remove cognitive load.
How to Use
1. Define your Strategy: In the settings, you can toggle specific modules. If you are trading a low-volume asset, you might disable the **CMF** module.
2. Identify the Consensus: Look for the ribbon to change from Grey (Neutral) to Cyan/Gold.
3. Monitor the HUD: A small dashboard in the bottom right displays the live Alpha Vector score. A score of 1.0 means all four engines are in 100% bullish agreement.
Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk. This tool is for educational and analytical purposes and does not constitute financial advice.






















