Market Sentiment Suite: PCCE + VIX + Signals📊 Market Sentiment Suite: PCCE + VIX + Signals
Identify fear, greed, and turning points in the market.
This script combines the CBOE Put/Call Ratio (PCCE) with the VIX volatility index percentile to visualize crowd sentiment and highlight potential market tops and bottoms.
🔍 Key Features
Dual-indicator design: PCCE + normalized VIX percentile
Color-coded zones for Greed (<0.6) and Fear (>1.2)
Automatic alert signals when sentiment reaches extremes
Live sentiment table displaying real-time PCCE and VIX data
Works seamlessly on SPX, SPY, QQQ, or any major index
🧠 How to Use
When PCCE > 1.2 and VIX percentile > 80%, fear is extreme → possible market bottom
When PCCE < 0.6 and VIX percentile < 20%, greed is extreme → possible market top
Perfect for contrarian traders, sentiment analysts, and swing traders
✨ Best Timeframe: Daily
⚙️ Markets: SPX / SPY / QQQ / Global Indexes
📈 Type: Contrarian Sentiment Indicator
חפש סקריפטים עבור "spy"
Real Relative Strength Breakout & BreakdownReal Relative Strength Breakout & Breakdown Indicator
What It Does
Identifies high-probability trading setups by combining:
Technical Breakouts/Breakdowns - Price breaking support/resistance zones
Real Relative Strength (RRS) - Volatility-adjusted performance vs benchmark (SPY)
Key Insight: The strongest signals occur when price action contradicts market direction—breakouts during market weakness or breakdowns during market strength show exceptional buying/selling pressure.
Real Relative Strength (RRS) Calculation
RRS measures outperformance/underperformance on a volatility-adjusted basis:
Power Index = (Benchmark Price Move) / (Benchmark ATR)
RRS = (Stock Price Move - Power Index × Stock ATR) / Stock ATR
RRS (smoothed) = 3-period SMA of RRS
Interpretation:
RRS > 0 = Relative Strength (outperforming)
RRS < 0 = Relative Weakness (underperforming)
Signal Types
🟢 Large Green Triangle (Premium Long)
Condition: Breakout + RRS > 0
Meaning: Stock breaking resistance WHILE outperforming benchmark
Best when: Market is weak but stock breaks out anyway = exceptional strength
Use: High-conviction long entries
🔵 Small Blue Triangle (Standard Breakout)
Condition: Breakout + RRS ≤ 0
Meaning: Breaking resistance but underperforming benchmark
Typical: "Rising tide lifts all boats" scenario during market rally
Use: Lower conviction—may just be following market
🟠 Large Orange Triangle (Premium Short)
Condition: Breakdown + RRS < 0
Meaning: Stock breaking support WHILE underperforming benchmark
Best when: Market is strong but stock breaks down anyway = severe weakness
Use: High-conviction short entries
🔴 Small Red Triangle (Standard Breakdown)
Condition: Breakdown + RRS ≥ 0
Meaning: Breaking support but outperforming benchmark
Typical: Stock falling less than market during selloff
Use: Lower conviction—may recover when market does
Why Large Triangles Matter
Large signals show divergence = genuine institutional flow:
Stock breaking out while market falls → Aggressive buying despite headwinds
Stock breaking down while market rallies → Aggressive selling despite tailwinds
These setups reveal where real conviction lies, not just momentum-following behavior.
Quick Settings
RRS: 12-period lookback, 3-bar smoothing, vs SPY
Breakouts: 5-period pivots, 200-bar lookback, 3% zone width, 2 minimum tests
Portfolio Simulator & BacktesterMulti-asset portfolio simulator with different metrics and ratios, DCA modeling, and rebalancing strategies.
Core Features
Portfolio Construction
Up to 5 assets with customizable weights (must total 100%)
Support for any tradable symbol: stocks, ETFs, crypto, indices, commodities
Real-time validation of allocations
Dollar Cost Averaging
Monthly or Quarterly contributions
Applies to both portfolio and benchmark for fair comparison
Model real-world investing behavior
Rebalancing
Four strategies: None, Monthly, Quarterly, Yearly
Automatic rebalancing to target weights
Transaction cost modeling (customizable fee %)
Key Metrics Table
CAGR: Annualized compound return (S&P 500 avg: ~10%)
Alpha: Excess return vs. benchmark (positive = outperformance)
Sharpe Ratio: Return per unit of risk (>1.0 is good, >2.0 excellent)
Sortino Ratio: Like Sharpe but only penalizes downside (better metric)
Calmar Ratio: CAGR / Max Drawdown (>1.0 good, >2.0 excellent)
Max Drawdown: Largest peak-to-trough decline
Win Rate: % of positive days (doesn't indicate profitability)
Visualization
Dual-chart comparison - Portfolio vs. Benchmark
Dollar or percentage view toggle
Customizable colors and line width
Two tables: Statistics + Asset Allocation
Adjustable table position and text size
🚀 Quick Start Guide
Enter 1-5 ticker symbols (e.g., SPY, QQQ, TLT, GLD, BTCUSD)
Make sure percentage weights total 100%
Choose date range (ensure chart shows full period - zoom out!)
Configure DCA and rebalancing (optional)
Select benchmark (default: SPX)
Analyze results in statistics table
💡 Pro Tips
Chart data matters: Load SPY or your longest-history asset as main chart
If you select an asset that was not available for the selected period, the chart will not show up! E.g. BTCUSD data: Only available from ~2017 onwards.
Transaction fees: 0.1% default (adjust to match your broker)
⚠️ Important Notes
Requires visible chart data (zoom out to show full date range)
Limited by each asset's historical data availability
Transaction fees and costs are modeled, but taxes/slippage are not
Past performance ≠ future results
Use for research and education only, not financial advice
Let me know if you have any suggestions to improve this simulator.
Market Sentiment Trend Gauge [LevelUp]Market Sentiment Trend Gauge simplifies technical analysis by mathematically combining momentum, trend direction, volatility position, and comparison against a market benchmark, into a single trend score from -100 to +100. Displayed in a separate pane below your chart, it resolves conflicting signals from RSI, moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and market correlations, providing clear insights into trend direction, strength, and relative performance.
THE PROBLEM MARKET SENTIMENT TREND GAUGE (MSTG) SOLVES
Traditional indicators often produce conflicting signals, such as RSI showing overbought while prices rise or moving averages indicating an uptrend despite market underperformance. MSTG creates a weighted composite score to answer: "What's the overall bias for this asset?"
KEY COMPONENTS AND WEIGHTINGS
The trend score combines
▪ Momentum (25%): Normalized 14-period RSI, capped at ±100.
▪ Trend Direction (35%): 10/21-period EMA relationships,
▪ Volatility Position (20%): Price position, 20-period Bollinger Bands, capped at ±100.
▪ Market Comparison (20%): Daily performance vs. SPY benchmark, capped at ±100.
Final score = Weighted sum, smoothed with 5-period EMA.
INTERPRETING THE MSTG CHART
Trend Score Ranges and Colors
▪ Bright Green (>+30): Strong bullish; ideal for long entries.
▪ Light Green (+10 to +30): Weak bullish; cautiously favorable.
▪ Gray (-10 to +10): Neutral; avoid directional trades.
▪ Light Red (-10 to -30): Weak bearish; exercise caution.
▪ Bright Red (<-30): Strong bearish; high-risk for longs, consider shorts.
Reference Lines
▪ Zero Line (Gray): Separates bullish/bearish; crossovers signal trend changes.
▪ ±30 Lines (Dotted, Green/Red): Thresholds for strong trends.
▪ ±60 Lines (Dashed, Green/Red): Extreme strength zones (not overbought/oversold); manage risk (tighten stops, partial profits) but trends may persist.
Background Colors
▪ Green Tint (>+20): Bullish environment; favorable for longs.
▪ Red Tint (<-20): Bearish environment; caution for longs.
▪ Light Gray Tint (-20 to +20): Neutral/range-bound; wait for signals.
Extreme Readings vs. Traditional Signals
MSTG ±60 indicates maximum alignment of all factors, not reversals (unlike RSI >70/<30). Use for risk management, not automatic exits. Strong trends can sustain extremes; breakdowns occur below +30 or above -30.
INFORMATION TABLE INTERPRETATION
Trend Score Symbols
▲▲ >+30 strong bullish
▲ +10 to +30
● -10 to +10 neutral
▼ -30 to -10
▼▼ <-30 strong bearish
Colors: Green (positive), White (neutral), Red (negative).
Momentum Score
+40 to +100 strong bullish
0 to +40 moderate bullish
-40 to 0 moderate bearish
-100 to -40 strong bearish
Market vs. Stock
▪ Green: Stock outperforming market
▪ Red: Stock underperforming market
Example Interpretations:
-0.45% / +1.23% (Green): Market down, stock up = Strong relative strength
+2.10% / +1.50% (Red): Both rising, but stock lagging = Relative weakness
-1.20% / -0.80% (Green): Both falling, but stock declining less = Defensive strength
UNDERSTANDING EXTREME READINGS VS TRADITIONAL OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD
⚠️ Critical distinctions
Traditional Overbought/Oversold Signals:
▪ Single indicator (like RSI >70 or <30) showing momentum excess
▪ Often suggests immediate reversal or pullback expected
▪ Based on "price moved too far, too fast" concept
MSTG Extreme Readings (±60):
▪ Composite alignment of 4 different factors (momentum, trend, volatility, relative strength)
▪ Indicates maximum strength in current direction
▪ NOT a reversal signal - means "all systems extremely bullish/bearish"
Key Differences:
▪ RSI >70: "Price got ahead of itself, expect pullback"
▪ MSTG >+60: "Everything is extremely bullish right now"
▪ Strong trends can maintain extreme MSTG readings during major moves
▪ Breakdowns happen when MSTG falls below +30, not at +60
Proper Usage of Extreme Readings:
▪ Risk Management: Tighten stops, take partial profits
▪ Position Sizing: Reduce new position sizes at extremes
▪ Trend Continuation: Watch for sustained extreme readings in strong markets
▪ Exit Signals: Look for breakdown below +30, not reversal from +60
TRADING WITH MSTG
Quick Assessment
1. Check trend symbol for direction.
2. Confirm momentum strength.
3. Note relative performance color.
Examples:
▲▲ 55.2 (Green), Momentum +28.4, Outperforming: Strong buy setup.
▼ -18.6 (Red), Momentum -43.2, Underperforming: Defensive positioning.
Entry Conditions
▪ Long: stock outperforming market
- Score >+30 (bright green)
- Sustained green background
- ▲▲ symbol,
▪ Short: stock underperforming market
- Score <-30 (bright red)
- Sustained red background
- ▼▼ symbol
Avoid Trading When:
▪ Gray zone (-10 to +10).
▪ Rapid color changes or frequent zero-line crosses (choppy market).
▪ Gray background (range-bound).
Risk Management:
▪ Stop Loss: Exit on zero-line crossover against position.
▪ Take Profit: Partial at ±60 for risk control.
▪ Position Sizing: Larger when signals align; smaller in extremes or mixed conditions.
KEY ADVANTAGES
▪ Unified View: Weighted composite reduces noise and conflicts.
▪ Visual Clarity: 5-color system with gradients for rapid recognition.
▪ Market Context: Relative strength vs. SPY identifies leaders/laggards.
▪ Flexibility: Works across timeframes (1-min to weekly); customizable table.
▪ Noise Reduction: EMA smoothing minimizes false signals.
EXAMPLES
Strong Bull: Trend Score 71.9, Momentum Score 76.9
Neutral: Trend Score 0.1, Momentum Score -9.2
Strong Bear: Trend Score -51.7, Momentum Score -51.5
PERFORMANCE AND LIMITATIONS
Strengths: Trend identification, noise reduction, relative performance versus market.
Limitations: Lags at turning points, less effective in extreme volatility or non-trending markets.
Recommendations: View on multiple timeframes, combine with price action and fundamentals.
Hosoda’s CloudsMany investors aim to develop trading systems with a high win rate, mistakenly associating it with substantial profits. In reality, high returns are typically achieved through greater exposure to market trends, which inevitably lowers the win rate due to increased risk and more volatile conditions.
The system I present, called “Hosoda’s Clouds” in honor of Goichi Hosoda , the creator of the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator, is likely one of the first profitable systems many traders will encounter. Designed to capture trends, it performs best in markets with clear directional movements and is less suitable for range-bound markets like Forex, which often exhibit lateral price action.
This system is not recommended for low timeframes, such as minute charts, due to the random and emotionally driven nature of price movements in those periods. For a deeper exploration of this topic, I recommend reading my article “Timeframe is Everything”, which discusses the critical importance of selecting the appropriate timeframe.
I suggest testing and applying the “Hosoda’s Clouds” strategy on assets with a strong trending nature and a proven track record of performance. Ideal markets include Tesla (1-hour, 4-hour, and daily), BTC/USDT (daily), SPY (daily), and XAU/USD (daily), as these have consistently shown clear directional trends over time.
Commissions and Configuration
Commissions can be adjusted in the system’s settings to suit individual needs. For evaluating the effectiveness of “Hosoda’s Clouds,” I’ve used a standard commission of $1 per order as a baseline, though this can be modified in the code to accommodate different brokers or preferences.
The margin per trade is set to $1,000 by default, but users are encouraged to experiment with different margin settings in the configuration to match their trading style.
Rules of the “Hosoda’s Clouds” System (Bullish Strategy)
This strategy is designed to capture trending movements in bullish markets using the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator. The rules are as follows:
Long Entry: A long position is triggered when the Tenkan-sen crosses above the Kijun-sen below the Ichimoku cloud, identifying potential reversals or bounces in a bearish context.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed at the low of the candle 12 bars prior to the entry candle. This setting has proven optimal in my tests, but it can be adjusted in the code based on risk tolerance.
Take Profit (TP): The position is closed when the Tenkan-sen crosses below the bottom of the Ichimoku cloud (the minimum of Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B).
Notes on the Code
margin_long=0: Ideal for strategies requiring a fixed position size, particularly useful for manual entries or testing with a constant capital allocation.
margin_long=100: Recommended for high-frequency systems where positions are closed quickly, simulating gradual growth based on realized profits and reflecting real-world broker constraints.
System Performance
The following performance metrics account for $1 per order commissions and were tested on the specified assets and timeframes:
Tesla (H1)
Trades: 148
Win Rate: 29.05%
Period: Jan 2, 2014 – Jan 6, 2020 (+172%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +34.3%
Trades: 130
Win Rate: 30.77%
Period: Jan 2, 2020 – Sep 24, 2025 (+858.90%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +150.7%
Tesla (H4)
Trades: 102
Win Rate: 32.35%
Period: Jun 29, 2010 – Sep 24, 2025 (+11,356.36%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +758.5%
Tesla (Daily)
Trades: 56
Win Rate: 35.71%
Period: Jun 29, 2010 – Sep 24, 2025 (+3,166.64%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +211.5%
BTC/USDT (Daily)
Trades: 44
Win Rate: 31.82%
Period: Sep 30, 2017 – Sep 24, 2025 (+2,592.23%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +324.8%
SPY (Daily)
Trades: 81
Win Rate: 37.04%
Period: Jan 23, 1993 – Sep 24, 2025 (+476.90%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +14.3%
XAU/USD (Daily)
Trades: 216
Win Rate: 32.87%
Period: Jan 6, 1833 – Sep 24, 2025 (+5,241.73%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +27.1%
SPX (Daily)
Trades: 217
Win Rate: 38.25%
Period: Feb 1, 1871 – Sep 24, 2025 (+16,791.02%)
Simple Annual Growth Rate: +108.1%
Conclusion
With the “ Hosoda’s Clouds ” strategy, I aim to showcase the potential of technical analysis to generate consistent profits in trending markets, challenging recent doubts about its effectiveness. My goal is for this system to serve as both a practical tool for traders and a source of inspiration for the trading community I deeply respect. I hope it encourages the creation of new strategies, fosters creativity in technical analysis, and empowers traders to approach the markets with confidence and discipline.
DynamoSent DynamoSent Pro+ — Professional Listing (Preview)
— Adaptive Macro Sentiment (v6)
— Export, Adaptive Lookback, Confidence, Boxes, Heatmap + Dynamic OB/OS
Preview / Experimental build. I’m actively refining this tool—your feedback is gold.
If you spot edge cases, want new presets, or have market-specific ideas, please comment or DM me on TradingView.
⸻
What it is
DynamoSent Pro+ is an adaptive, non-repainting macro sentiment engine that compresses VIX, DXY and a price-based activity proxy (e.g., SPX/sector ETF/your symbol) into a 0–100 sentiment line. It scales context by volatility (ATR%) and can self-calibrate with rolling quantile OB/OS. On top of that, it adds confidence scoring, a plain-English Context Coach, MTF agreement, exportable sentiment for other indicators, and a clean Light/Dark UI.
Why it’s different
• Adaptive lookback tracks regime changes: when volatility rises, we lengthen context; when it falls, we shorten—less whipsaw, more relevance.
• Dynamic OB/OS (quantiles) self-calibrates to each instrument’s distribution—no arbitrary 30/70 lines.
• MTF agreement + Confidence gate reduce false positives by highlighting alignment across timeframes.
• Exportable output: hidden plot “DynamoSent Export” can be selected as input.source in your other Pine scripts.
• Non-repainting rigor: all request.security() calls use lookahead_off + gaps_on; signals wait for bar close.
Key visuals
• Sentiment line (0–100), OB/OS zones (static or dynamic), optional TF1/TF2 overlays.
• Regime boxes (Overbought / Oversold / Neutral) that update live without repaint.
• Info Panel with confidence heat, regime, trend arrow, MTF readout, and Coach sentence.
• Session heat (Asia/EU/US) to match intraday behavior.
• Light/Dark theme switch in Inputs (auto-contrasted labels & headers).
⸻
How to use (examples & recipes)
1) EURUSD (swing / intraday blend)
• Preset: EURUSD 1H Swing
• Chart: 1H; TF1=1H, TF2=4H (default).
• Proxies: Defaults work (VIX=D, DXY=60, Proxy=D).
• Dynamic OB/OS: ON at 20/80; Confidence ≥ 55–60.
• Playbook:
• When sentiment crosses above 50 + margin with Δ ≥ signalK and MTF agreement ≥ 0.5, treat as trend breakout.
• In Oversold with rising Coach & TF agreement, take fade longs back toward mid-range.
• Alerts: Enable Breakout Long/Short and Fade; keep cooldown 8–12 bars.
2) SPY (daytrading)
• Preset: SPY 15m Daytrade; Chart: 15m.
• VIX (D) matters more; preset weights already favor it.
• Start with static 30/70; later try dynamic 25/75 for adaptive thresholds.
• Use Coach: in US session, when it says “Overbought + MTF agree → sell rallies / chase breakouts”, lean momentum-continuation after pullbacks.
3) BTCUSD (crypto, 24/7)
• Preset: BTCUSD 1H; Chart: 1H.
• DXY and BTC.D inform macro tone; keep Carry-forward ON to bridge sparse ticks.
• Prefer Dynamic OB/OS (15/85) for wider swings.
• Fade signals on weekend chop; Breakout when Confidence > 60 and MTF ≥ 1.0.
4) XAUUSD (gold, macro blend)
• Preset: XAUUSD 4H; Chart: 4H.
• Weights tilt to DXY and US10Y (handled by preset).
• Coach + MTF helps separate trend legs from news pops.
⸻
Best practices
• Theme: Switch Light/Dark in Inputs; the panel adapts contrast automatically.
• Export: In another script → Source → DynamoSent Pro+ → DynamoSent Export. Build your own filters/strategies atop the same sentiment.
• Dynamic vs Static OB/OS:
• Static 30/70: fast, universal baseline.
• Dynamic (quantiles): instrument-aware; use 20/80 (default) or 15/85 for choppy markets.
• Confidence gate: Start at 50–60% to filter noise; raise when you want only A-grade setups.
• Adaptive Lookback: Keep ON. For ultra-liquid indices, you can switch it OFF and set a fixed lookback.
⸻
Non-repainting & safety notes
• All request.security() calls use lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off and gaps=barmerge.gaps_on.
• No forward references; signals & regime flips are confirmed on bar close.
• History-dependent funcs (ta.change, ta.percentile_linear_interpolation, etc.) are computed each bar (not conditionally).
• Adaptive lookback is clamped ≥ 1 to avoid lowest/highest errors.
• Missing-data warning triggers only when all proxies are NA for a streak; carry-forward can bridge small gaps without repaint.
⸻
Known limits & tips
• If a proxy symbol isn’t available on your plan/exchange, you’ll see the NA warning: choose a different symbol via Symbol Search, or keep Carry-forward ON (it defaults to neutral where needed).
• Intraday VIX is sparse—using Daily is intentional.
• Dynamic OB/OS needs enough history (see dynLenFloor). On short histories it gracefully falls back to static levels.
Thanks for trying the preview. Your comments drive the roadmap—presets, new proxies, extra alerts, and integrations.
1D Enter AlertsThis is only a remaining of an experiment. I had real swing enter alerts, but it just made more sense to use classic TradingView alerts for horizontal / trendline / SMA breaks.
(Btw you can set up a horizontal alert in TradingView just by hovering the mouse on the chart so it's at the price point you aim for, and pressing "Alt + A").
Once this horizontal alert triggered I would usually wait for confirmation of the move on the 5m. If it's f. e. a break of an SMA and I'm not convinced yet, I might wait until end of the day. For exactly that purpose the following alert comes in handy:
"X Candle Close":
Is triggered 15m before market close - good reminder to check a stock again to see whether a resistance / support break was valid - and the stock should be entered as a swing, or maybe whether it should be closed as a loss.
"Z Trend Change: UP" + "Z Trend Change: DOWN":
Same as on 5m Exit Alert: meant to be only applied on SPY, and to have it set up to never end!
Criteria:
SPY broke through daily EMA 8 or daily SMA today, indicating an important short-term change on the daily chart.
Is triggered 15m before market close
More infos: www.reddit.com
5m Exit AlertsThese can help a lot with Daytrading if you don't have a price target in mind when there's no clear resistance / support nearby, and you don't trust the market enough to hold it as a swing trade.
Keep in mind that its main purpose is to give you a "warning" that it might be good to look at your screen, instead of guaranteeing you "now is the best time to exit". You won't reach high winning stats by blindly following this alert.
"A Exit LONG":
(I'm using letters instead of numbers for all Exit alerts to make sure I don't accidentally confuse Enter and Exit alerts).
There are 4 conditions that might trigger it. The reasons show up in the exit alert message (unfortunately only as a number, since alert messages can't have "dynamic text" in TradingView), and can also be displayed as symbols in the chart (see image above - make sure to enable "Show Signals" in the indicator settings first though).
Here are the conditions sorted from best to worst:
Technical reversal: Bearish Hammer candle with Volume > 2 * avg volume (of last 30 candles), when 5m candle closed. Reversal very likely. This is usually the best time to take your gains for the rest of the day.
EMA 3/8 cross: standard 5m EMA 3/8 cross, indicating a trend reversal, or at least a pullback. Can also be helpful to detect double tops / double bottoms.
Trailing Stop Loss: Crossed below 30m EMA 8, 5m candle closed. This is a "fallback" alert in case EMA 3 was already below EMA 8 before you set up the alert. It's not unlikely that the stock might go further down to VWAP, so depending on the chart and market this might be a good opportunity to save the gains you have left.
"Final" Stop Loss: Crossed below VWAP. Usually not a good sign. If you entered around VWAP your losses shouldn't be big yet, but if you plan on holding the stock the Daily chart and market outlook should better be quite convincing, and you wouldn't have needed to use this alert in the first place.
Keep in mind these work of course best if you picked a "good" stock: clear movement, tidy price action, high volume. Otherwise alerts are more likely to be triggered redundantly.
Always consider how the market and stock looks like, then decide whether to exit or not! Usually it makes sense to wait a bit to see f. e. whether the stock bounces off the 30m EMA 8, and it's just a pullback.
"B Enter SHORT":
Similar, but for shorts...
"C 1m Scalp LONG" + "D 1m Scalp SHORT":
Simple Scalping alert for EMA 3/8 cross on a 1m chart - but without needing to use a 1m chart to set it up!
Unfortunately it's not as accurate as manually setting this alert up on a 1m chart. It might be an advantage though that it sometimes is triggered 1-2 min later, since this means there are less redundant triggerings.
It can be useful esp. on high momentum trades, but I honestly haven't used it in a looong while.
"X Candle Close":
same as in 5m Entry indicator: triggered when 5m candle is confirmed
"Z Trend Change: UP" + "Z Trend Change: DOWN":
This one is meant to be used only on SPY: It alerts you when SPY is changing its trending direction, which might mean entering or closing existing trades.
I have therefore set it up to never end (by setting it to "Once Per Bar Close" in the alert settings).
It's based on DMI positive or negative being > 25. I had it based on VWAP at the beginning, but there were days where it was triggered every 5 minutes...
More infos: www.reddit.com
Same-Direction Candles (Two Symbols)Same-Direction Candles (Two Symbols)
What it does
Highlights bars on your chart when two symbols print the same candle direction on the chosen timeframe:
Both Bullish → one color
Both Bearish → another color
Great for spotting synchronous moves (e.g., NQ & ES, QQQ & SPY), or confirming risk-on/risk-off with an inverse asset (e.g., NQ vs DXY with inversion).
How it works
For each bar, the script checks whether close > open (bullish), close < open (bearish), or equal (doji) for:
The chart’s symbol
A second symbol pulled via request.security() (optionally on a different timeframe)
If both symbols are bullish, it paints Bull color; if both are bearish, it paints Bear color. Dojis can be ignored.
Inputs
Second symbol: Ticker to compare (e.g., CME_MINI:ES1!, NASDAQ:QQQ, TVC:DXY).
Second symbol timeframe: Leave blank to use the chart’s TF, or set a specific one (e.g., 5, 15, D).
Invert second symbol direction?: Flips the second symbol’s candle direction (useful for inversely related assets like DXY vs indices).
Ignore doji candles: Skip highlights when either candle is neutral (open == close).
Coloring options: Toggle bar coloring and/or background shading; pick colors; set background transparency.
Alerts
Three alert conditions:
Both Bullish
Both Bearish
Both Same Direction (bullish or bearish)
Create alerts from the Add Alert dialog after adding the script.
Use cases
Index confluence: NQ & ES moving in lockstep
ETF confirmation: QQQ & SPY agreement
FX/Index risk signals: Invert DXY against NQ/ES to see when equity strength aligns with dollar weakness
Tips
For mixed timeframes (e.g., chart on 1m, ES on 5m), set Second symbol timeframe to the higher TF to reduce noise.
Keep Ignore dojis on for cleaner signals.
Combine with your own entry rules (structure, FVGs, liquidity sweeps).
Notes
Works on any symbol/timeframe supported by TradingView.
Overlay script; no strategy/entries/exits are executed.
Past performance ≠ future results; for education only.
Version: 1.0 – initial release (bar/background highlights, doji filter, inversion, multi-TF support, alerts).
Overnight Gap Dominance Indicator (OGDI)The Overnight Gap Dominance Indicator (OGDI) measures the relative volatility of overnight price gaps versus intraday price movements for a given security, such as SPY or SPX. It uses a rolling standard deviation of absolute overnight percentage changes divided by the standard deviation of absolute intraday percentage changes over a customizable window. This helps traders identify periods where overnight gaps predominate, suggesting potential opportunities for strategies leveraging extended market moves.
Instructions
A
pply the indicator to your TradingView chart for the desired security (e.g., SPY or SPX).
Adjust the "Rolling Window" input to set the lookback period (default: 60 bars).
Modify the "1DTE Threshold" and "2DTE+ Threshold" inputs to tailor the levels at which you switch from 0DTE to 1DTE or multi-DTE strategies (default: 0.5 and 0.6).
Observe the OGDI line: values above the 1DTE threshold suggest favoring 1DTE strategies, while values above the 2DTE+ threshold indicate multi-DTE strategies may be more effective.
Use in conjunction with low VIX environments and uptrend legs for optimal results.
US Macro Cycle (Z-Score Model)US Macro Cycle (Z-Score Model)
This indicator tracks the US economic cycle in real time using a weighted composite of seven macro and market-based indicators, each converted into a rolling Z-score for comparability. The model identifies the current phase of the cycle — Expansion, Peak, Contraction, or Recovery — and suggests sector tilts based on historical performance in each phase.
Core Components:
Yield Curve (10y–2y): Positive & steepening = growth; inverted = slowdown risk.
Credit Spreads (HYG/LQD): Tightening = risk-on; widening = risk-off.
Sector Leadership (Cyclicals vs. Defensives): Measures market leadership regime.
Copper/Gold Ratio: Higher copper = growth signal; higher gold = defensive.
SPY vs. 200-day MA: Equity trend strength.
SPY/IEF Ratio: Stocks vs. bonds relative strength.
VIX (Inverted): Low/falling volatility = supportive; high/rising = risk-off.
Methodology:
Each series is transformed into a rolling Z-score over the selected lookback period (optionally using median/MAD for robustness and winsorization to clip outliers).
Z-scores are combined using user-defined weights and normalized.
The smoothed composite is compared against phase thresholds to classify the macro environment.
Features:
Customizable Weights: Emphasize the indicators most relevant to your strategy.
Adjustable Thresholds: Fine-tune cycle phase definitions.
Background Coloring: Visual cue for the current phase.
Summary Table: Displays composite Z, confidence %, and individual Z-scores.
Alerts: Trigger when the phase changes, with details on the composite score and recommended tilt.
Use Cases:
Align sector rotation or relative strength strategies with the macro backdrop.
Identify favorable or defensive phases for tactical allocation.
Monitor macro turning points to manage portfolio risk.
It's doesn't fill nan gaps so there is quite a bit of zeroes, non-repainting.
Dynamic 5DMA/EMA with Color for Multiple Products🔹 Dynamic 5DMA/EMA with Slope-Based Coloring (All Timeframes)
This indicator plots a dynamic 5-period moving average that adapts intelligently to your chart's timeframe and product type — giving you a clean, slope-sensitive visual edge across intraday, daily, and weekly views.
✅ Key Features:
📈 Dynamic MA Length Scaling:
On intraday timeframes, the MA adjusts for your selected market session (RTH, ETH, VIX, or Futures), calculating a true 5-day average based on actual session length — not just a flat bar count.
🔄 Automatic Timeframe Detection:
Daily Chart: Uses standard 5DMA or 5EMA.
Weekly Chart: Applies a true 5-week MA.
Intraday Charts: Converts 5 days into bar-length equivalent dynamically.
🎨 Color-Coded Slope Logic:
Green = Rising MA (bullish slope)
Red = Falling MA (bearish slope)
Neutral slope = previous color held for visual continuity
No more guessing — direction is instantly clear.
⚠️ Built-In Slope Flip Alerts:
Set alerts when the slope of the MA turns up or down. Ideal for timing pullback entries or exits across any product.
⚙️ Session Settings for Proper Scaling:
Choose your product's market structure to ensure accurate 5-day conversion on intraday charts:
Stocks - RTH: 390 mins/day
Stocks - ETH: 780 mins/day
VIX: 855 mins/day
Futures: 1440 mins/day
This ensures the MA reflects 5 full trading days, regardless of session irregularities or bar interval.
📌 Why Use This Indicator?
Most MAs misrepresent trend direction on intraday charts because they assume static daily bar counts. This tool corrects that, then adds slope-based coloring to give you a fast, visual read on short-term momentum. Whether you’re swing trading SPY, scalping VIX, or position trading futures, this indicator keeps your view aligned with how institutions see moving averages across timeframes.
🔧 Best For:
VIX & volatility traders
Short-term SPY/SPX traders
Swing traders who value clean setups
Anyone wanting a true 5-day trend anchor on any chart
EMA Crossover Visual Setup (RS Clásico Confirmado)Overview
This script is designed to visually highlight classic swing trading setups based on the crossover of exponential moving averages (EMAs), with additional confirmation using Relative Strength (RS) compared to a benchmark asset (e.g., SPY).
The goal is to identify bullish momentum shifts that align both with technical structure (EMA crossover) and relative outperformance, helping traders focus on strong stocks in strong markets.
Logic
A signal is triggered when the following conditions are met:
The fast EMA (e.g., 10) crosses above the slow EMA (e.g., 20).
The closing price is above a third EMA (e.g., 50) to confirm bullish structure.
The asset's Relative Strength (RS) versus a benchmark is confirmed manually, based on an RSI comparison (not calculated inside the script).
The script is meant to be used alongside manual RS confirmation, using a secondary chart or overlay of the RS ratio.
Features
Visual labels and markers for clean charting of valid entry setups
Fully customizable EMA lengths
Optional highlighting of candle patterns near entry
Ideal for use with top-down analysis and watchlist filtering
Suggested Use
Works best on daily and 4H charts for swing trading setups
Combine with volume and price action analysis for higher probability trades
Use manual RS validation: confirm that the RSI of the selected stock is stronger than the RSI of SPY (or any benchmark of your choice)
Notes
This script does not execute trades or include stop loss/take profit logic, as it is intended for discretionary traders who want to visually scan for opportunities.
It also does not calculate RS internally, allowing flexibility in how you define strength (RS line, RSI comparison, or price ratio).
Advanced Correlation Monitor📊 Advanced Correlation Monitor - Pine Script v6
🎯 What does this indicator do?
Monitors real-time correlations between 13 different asset pairs and alerts you when historically strong correlations break, indicating potential trading opportunities or changes in market dynamics.
🚀 Key Features
✨ Multi-Market Monitoring
7 Forex Pairs (GBPUSD/DXY, EURUSD/GBPUSD, etc.)
6 Index/Stock Pairs (SPY/S&P500, DAX/NASDAQ, TSLA/NVDA, etc.)
Fully configurable - change any pair from inputs
📈 Dual Correlation Analysis
Long Period (90 bars): Identifies historically strong correlations
Short Period (6 bars): Detects recent breakdowns
Pearson Correlation using Pine Script v6 native functions
🎨 Intuitive Visualization
Real-time table with 6 information columns
Color coding: Green (correlated), Red (broken), Gray (normal)
Visual states: 🟢 OK, 🔴 BROKEN, ⚫ NORMAL
🚨 Smart Alert System
Only alerts previously correlated pairs (>80% historical)
Detects breakdowns when short correlation <80%
Consolidated alert with all affected pairs
🛠️ Flexible Configuration
Adjustable Parameters:
📅 Periods: Long (30-500), Short (2-50)
🎯 Threshold: 50%-99% (default 80%)
🎨 Table: Configurable position and size
📊 Symbols: All pairs are configurable
Default Pairs:
FOREX: INDICES/STOCKS:
- GBPUSD vs DXY • SPY vs S&P500
- EURUSD vs GBPUSD • DAX vs S&P500
- EURUSD vs DXY • DAX vs NASDAQ
- USDCHF vs DXY • TSLA vs NVDA
- GBPUSD vs USDCHF • MSFT vs NVDA
- EURUSD vs USDCHF • AAPL vs NVDA
- EURUSD vs EURCAD
💡 Practical Use Cases
🔄 Pairs Trading
Detects when strong correlations break for:
Statistical arbitrage
Mean reversion trading
Divergence opportunities
🛡️ Risk Management
Identifies when "safe" assets start moving independently:
Portfolio diversification
Smart hedging
Regime change detection
📊 Market Analysis
Understand underlying market structure:
Forex/DXY correlations
Tech sector rotation
Regional market disconnection
🎓 Results Interpretation
Reading Example:
EURUSD vs DXY: -98.57% → -98.27% | 🟢 OK
└─ Perfect negative correlation maintained (EUR rises when DXY falls)
TSLA vs NVDA: 78.12% → 0% | ⚫ NORMAL
└─ Lost tech correlation (divergence opportunity)
Trading Signals:
🟢 → 🔴: Broken correlation = Possible opportunity
Large difference: Indicates correlation tension
Multiple breaks: Market regime change
Rolling Log Returns [BackQuant]Rolling Log Returns
The Rolling Log Returns indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders, quants, and data-driven analysts evaluate the dynamics of price changes using logarithmic return analysis. Widely adopted in quantitative finance, log returns offer several mathematical and statistical advantages over simple returns, making them ideal for backtesting, portfolio optimization, volatility modeling, and risk management.
What Are Log Returns?
In quantitative finance, logarithmic returns are defined as:
ln(Pₜ / Pₜ₋₁)
or for rolling periods:
ln(Pₜ / Pₜ₋ₙ)
where P represents price and n is the rolling lookback window.
Log returns are preferred because:
They are time additive : returns over multiple periods can be summed.
They allow for easier statistical modeling , especially when assuming normally distributed returns.
They behave symmetrically for gains and losses, unlike arithmetic returns.
They normalize percentage changes, making cross-asset or cross-timeframe comparisons more consistent.
Indicator Overview
The Rolling Log Returns indicator computes log returns either on a standard (1-period) basis or using a rolling lookback period , allowing users to adapt it to short-term trading or long-term trend analysis.
It also supports a comparison series , enabling traders to compare the return structure of the main charted asset to another instrument (e.g., SPY, BTC, etc.).
Core Features
✅ Return Modes :
Normal Log Returns : Measures ln(price / price ), ideal for day-to-day return analysis.
Rolling Log Returns : Measures ln(price / price ), highlighting price drift over longer horizons.
✅ Comparison Support :
Compare log returns of the primary instrument to another symbol (like an index or ETF).
Useful for relative performance and market regime analysis .
✅ Moving Averages of Returns :
Smooth noisy return series with customizable MA types: SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, and Linear Regression.
Applicable to both primary and comparison series.
✅ Conditional Coloring :
Returns > 0 are colored green ; returns < 0 are red .
Comparison series gets its own unique color scheme.
✅ Extreme Return Detection :
Highlight unusually large price moves using upper/lower thresholds.
Visually flags abnormal volatility events such as earnings surprises or macroeconomic shocks.
Quantitative Use Cases
🔍 Return Distribution Analysis :
Gain insight into the statistical properties of asset returns (e.g., skewness, kurtosis, tail behavior).
📉 Risk Management :
Use historical return outliers to define drawdown expectations, stress tests, or VaR simulations.
🔁 Strategy Backtesting :
Apply rolling log returns to momentum or mean-reversion models where compounding and consistent scaling matter.
📊 Market Regime Detection :
Identify periods of consistent overperformance/underperformance relative to a benchmark asset.
📈 Signal Engineering :
Incorporate return deltas, moving average crossover of returns, or threshold-based triggers into machine learning pipelines or rule-based systems.
Recommended Settings
Use Normal mode for high-frequency trading signals.
Use Rolling mode for swing or trend-following strategies.
Compare vs. a broad market index (e.g., SPY or QQQ ) to extract relative strength insights.
Set upper and lower thresholds around ±5% for spotting major volatility days.
Conclusion
The Rolling Log Returns indicator transforms raw price action into a statistically sound return series—equipping traders with a professional-grade lens into market behavior. Whether you're conducting exploratory data analysis, building factor models, or visually scanning for outliers, this indicator integrates seamlessly into a modern quant's toolbox.
Out of the Noise Intraday Strategy with VWAP [YuL]This is my (naive) implementation of "Beat the Market An Effective Intraday Momentum Strategy for S&P500 ETF (SPY)" paper by Carlo Zarattini, Andrew Aziz, Andrea Barbon, so the credit goes to them.
It is supposed to run on SPY on 30-minute timeframe, there may be issues on other timeframes.
I've used settings that were used by the authors in the original paper to keep it close to the publication, but I understand that they are very aggressive and probably shouldn't be used like that.
Results are good, but not as good as they are stated in the paper (unsurprisingly?): returns are smaller and Sharpe is very low (which is actually weird given the returns and drawdown ratio), there are also margin calls if you enable margin check (and you should).
I have my own ideas of improvements which I will probably implement separately to keep this clean.
Failed 2U/2D + 50% Retrace Scanner📈 Multi-Ticker Failed 2U/2D Scanner with Daily Retrace & Market Breadth Table
This TradingView indicator is a multi-symbol price action scanner designed to catch high-probability reversal signals using The Strat’s failed 2U/2D patterns and daily 50% retrace logic, while also displaying market breadth metrics ( USI:TICK and USI:ADD ) for context.
Monitored Symbols:
SPY, SPX, QQQ, IWM, NVDA, AMD, AAPL, META, MSTR
🔍 Detection Logic
1. Failed 2U / Failed 2D Setups
Failed 2U: Price breaks above the previous candle’s high but closes back below the open → Bearish reversal
Failed 2D: Price breaks below the previous candle’s low but closes back above the open → Bullish reversal
Timeframes Monitored:
🕐 1-Hour (1H)
⏰ 4-Hour (4H)
2. Daily 50% Candle Retrace
Checks if price has retraced 50% or more of the previous day’s candle body
Highlights potential trend exhaustion or reversal confluence
3. Market Breadth Metrics (Display Only)
USI:TICK : Measures real-time NYSE up vs. down ticks
USI:ADD : Advance-Decline Line (net advancing stocks)
Not used in signal logic — just displayed in the table for overall market context
🖼️ Visual Elements
✅ Chart Markers
🔺 Red/Green Arrows for 1H Failed 2U/2D
🟨 Yellow Squares for 4H Failed 2U/2D
Visual markers are plotted directly on the relevant candles
📊 Signal Table
Lists all 9 tickers in rows
Columns for:
1H Signal
4H Signal
Daily 50% Retrace
USI:TICK Value
USI:ADD Value
Color-Coded Cells:
🔴 Red = Failed 2U
🟢 Green = Failed 2D
⚠️ Highlight if 50% Daily Retrace condition is true
🟦 Neutral-colored cells for TICK/ADD numeric display
🔔 Alerts
Hardcoded alerts fire when:
A 1H or 4H Failed 2U/2D is detected
The Daily 50% retrace condition is met
Each alert is labeled clearly by symbol and timeframe:
"META 4H Failed 2D"
"AAPL Daily 50% Retrace"
🎯 Use Case
Built for:
Reversal traders using The Strat
Swing or intraday traders watching hourly setups
Traders wanting quick visual context on market breadth without relying on it for confirmation
Monitoring multiple tickers in one clean view
This is scan 2
Add scan 1 for spx, spy, iwm, qqq, aapl
This indicator is not financial advice. Use the alerts to check out chart and when tickers trigger.
Yelober - Intraday ETF Dashboard# How to Read the Yelober Intraday ETF Dashboard
The Intraday ETF Dashboard provides a powerful at-a-glance view of sector performance and trading opportunities. Here's how to interpret and use the information:
## Basic Dashboard Reading
### Color-Coding System
- **Green values**: Positive performance or bullish signals
- **Red values**: Negative performance or bearish signals
- **Symbol colors**: Green = buy signal, Red = sell signal, Gray = neutral
### Example 1: Identifying Strong Sectors
If you see XLF (Financials) with:
- Day % showing +2.65% (green background)
- Symbol in green color
- RSI of 58 (not overbought)
**Interpretation**: Financial sector is showing strength and momentum without being overextended. Consider long positions in top financial stocks like JPM or BAC.
### Example 2: Spotting Weakness
If you see XLK (Technology) with:
- Day % showing -1.20% (red background)
- Week % showing -3.50% (red background)
- Symbol in red color
- RSI of 35 (approaching oversold)
**Interpretation**: Technology sector is showing weakness across multiple timeframes. Consider avoiding tech stocks or taking short positions in names like MSFT or AAPL, but be cautious as the low RSI suggests a bounce may be coming.
## Advanced Interpretations
### Example 3: Sector Rotation Detection
If you observe:
- XLE (Energy) showing +2.10% while XLK (Technology) showing -1.50%
- Both sectors' Week % values showing the opposite trend
**Interpretation**: This suggests money is rotating out of technology into energy stocks. This rotation pattern is actionable - consider reducing tech exposure and increasing energy positions (look at XOM, CVX in the Top Stocks column).
### Example 4: RSI Divergences
If you see XLU (Utilities) with:
- Day % showing +0.50% (small positive)
- RSI showing 72 (overbought, red background)
**Interpretation**: Despite positive performance, the high RSI suggests the sector is overextended. This divergence between price and indicator suggests caution - the rally in utilities may be running out of steam.
### Example 5: Relative Strength in Weak Markets
If SPY shows -1.20% but XLP (Consumer Staples) shows +0.30%:
**Interpretation**: Consumer staples are showing defensive strength during market weakness. This is typical risk-off behavior. Consider defensive positions in stocks like PG, KO, or PEP for protection.
## Practical Application Scenarios
### Day Trading Setup
1. **Morning Market Assessment**:
- Check which sectors are green pre-market
- Focus on sectors with Day % > 1% and RSI between 40-70
- Identify 2-3 stocks from the Top Stocks column of the strongest sector
2. **Midday Reversal Hunting**:
- Look for sectors with symbol color changing from red to green
- Confirm with RSI moving away from extremes
- Trade stocks from that sector showing similar pattern changes
### Swing Trading Application
1. **Trend Following**:
- Identify sectors with positive Day % and Week %
- Look for RSI values in uptrend but not overbought (45-65)
- Enter positions in top stocks from these sectors, using daily charts for confirmation
2. **Contrarian Setups**:
- Find sectors with deeply negative Day % but RSI < 30
- Look for divergence (price making new lows but RSI rising)
- Consider counter-trend positions in the stronger stocks within these oversold sectors
## Reading Special Conditions
### Example 6: Risk-Off Environment
If you observe:
- XLP (Consumer Staples) and XLU (Utilities) both green
- XLK (Technology) and XLY (Consumer Disc) both red
- SPY slightly negative
**Interpretation**: Classic risk-off rotation. Investors are moving to safety. Consider defensive positioning and reducing exposure to growth sectors.
### Example 7: Market Breadth Analysis
Count the number of sectors in green vs. red:
- If 7+ sectors are green: Strong bullish breadth, consider aggressive long positioning
- If 7+ sectors are red: Weak market breadth, consider defensive positioning or shorts
- If evenly split: Market is indecisive, focus on specific sector strength instead of broad market exposure
Remember that this dashboard is most effective when combined with broader market analysis and appropriate risk management strategies.
Multifractal Forecast [ScorsoneEnterprises]Multifractal Forecast Indicator
The Multifractal Forecast is an indicator designed to model and forecast asset price movements using a multifractal framework. It uses concepts from fractal geometry and stochastic processes, specifically the Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (MMAR) and fractional Brownian motion (fBm), to generate price forecasts based on historical price data. The indicator visualizes potential future price paths as colored lines, providing traders with a probabilistic view of price trends over a specified trading time scale. Below is a detailed breakdown of the indicator’s functionality, inputs, calculations, and visualization.
Overview
Purpose: The indicator forecasts future price movements by simulating multiple price paths based on a multifractal model, which accounts for the complex, non-linear behavior of financial markets.
Key Concepts:
Multifractal Model of Asset Returns (MMAR): Models price movements as a multifractal process, capturing varying degrees of volatility and self-similarity across different time scales.
Fractional Brownian Motion (fBm): A generalization of Brownian motion that incorporates long-range dependence and self-similarity, controlled by the Hurst exponent.
Binomial Cascade: Used to model trading time, introducing heterogeneity in time scales to reflect market activity bursts.
Hurst Exponent: Measures the degree of long-term memory in the price series (persistence, randomness, or mean-reversion).
Rescaled Range (R/S) Analysis: Estimates the Hurst exponent to quantify the fractal nature of the price series.
Inputs
The indicator allows users to customize its behavior through several input parameters, each influencing the multifractal model and forecast generation:
Maximum Lag (max_lag):
Type: Integer
Default: 50
Minimum: 5
Purpose: Determines the maximum lag used in the rescaled range (R/S) analysis to calculate the Hurst exponent. A higher lag increases the sample size for Hurst estimation but may smooth out short-term dynamics.
2 to the n values in the Multifractal Model (n):
Type: Integer
Default: 4
Purpose: Defines the resolution of the multifractal model by setting the size of arrays used in calculations (N = 2^n). For example, n=4 results in N=16 data points. Larger n increases computational complexity and detail but may exceed Pine Script’s array size limits (capped at 100,000).
Multiplier for Binomial Cascade (m):
Type: Float
Default: 0.8
Purpose: Controls the asymmetry in the binomial cascade, which models trading time. The multiplier m (and its complement 2.0 - m) determines how mass is distributed across time scales. Values closer to 1 create more balanced cascades, while values further from 1 introduce more variability.
Length Scale for fBm (L):
Type: Float
Default: 100,000.0
Purpose: Scales the fractional Brownian motion output, affecting the amplitude of simulated price paths. Larger values increase the magnitude of forecasted price movements.
Cumulative Sum (cum):
Type: Integer (0 or 1)
Default: 1
Purpose: Toggles whether the fBm output is cumulatively summed (1=On, 0=Off). When enabled, the fBm series is accumulated to simulate a price path with memory, resembling a random walk with long-range dependence.
Trading Time Scale (T):
Type: Integer
Default: 5
Purpose: Defines the forecast horizon in bars (20 bars into the future). It also scales the binomial cascade’s output to align with the desired trading time frame.
Number of Simulations (num_simulations):
Type: Integer
Default: 5
Minimum: 1
Purpose: Specifies how many forecast paths are simulated and plotted. More simulations provide a broader range of possible price outcomes but increase computational load.
Core Calculations
The indicator combines several mathematical and statistical techniques to generate price forecasts. Below is a step-by-step explanation of its calculations:
Log Returns (lgr):
The indicator calculates log returns as math.log(close / close ) when both the current and previous close prices are positive. This measures the relative price change in a logarithmic scale, which is standard for financial time series analysis to stabilize variance.
Hurst Exponent Estimation (get_hurst_exponent):
Purpose: Estimates the Hurst exponent (H) to quantify the degree of long-term memory in the price series.
Method: Uses rescaled range (R/S) analysis:
For each lag from 2 to max_lag, the function calc_rescaled_range computes the rescaled range:
Calculate the mean of the log returns over the lag period.
Compute the cumulative deviation from the mean.
Find the range (max - min) of the cumulative deviation.
Divide the range by the standard deviation of the log returns to get the rescaled range.
The log of the rescaled range (log(R/S)) is regressed against the log of the lag (log(lag)) using the polyfit_slope function.
The slope of this regression is the Hurst exponent (H).
Interpretation:
H = 0.5: Random walk (no memory, like standard Brownian motion).
H > 0.5: Persistent behavior (trends tend to continue).
H < 0.5: Mean-reverting behavior (price tends to revert to the mean).
Fractional Brownian Motion (get_fbm):
Purpose: Generates a fractional Brownian motion series to model price movements with long-range dependence.
Inputs: n (array size 2^n), H (Hurst exponent), L (length scale), cum (cumulative sum toggle).
Method:
Computes covariance for fBm using the formula: 0.5 * (|i+1|^(2H) - 2 * |i|^(2H) + |i-1|^(2H)).
Uses Hosking’s method (referenced from Columbia University’s implementation) to generate fBm:
Initializes arrays for covariance (cov), intermediate calculations (phi, psi), and output.
Iteratively computes the fBm series by incorporating a random term scaled by the variance (v) and covariance structure.
Applies scaling based on L / N^H to adjust the amplitude.
Optionally applies cumulative summation if cum = 1 to produce a path with memory.
Output: An array of 2^n values representing the fBm series.
Binomial Cascade (get_binomial_cascade):
Purpose: Models trading time (theta) to account for non-uniform market activity (e.g., bursts of volatility).
Inputs: n (array size 2^n), m (multiplier), T (trading time scale).
Method:
Initializes an array of size 2^n with values of 1.0.
Iteratively applies a binomial cascade:
For each block (from 0 to n-1), splits the array into segments.
Randomly assigns a multiplier (m or 2.0 - m) to each segment, redistributing mass.
Normalizes the array by dividing by its sum and scales by T.
Checks for array size limits to prevent Pine Script errors.
Output: An array (theta) representing the trading time, which warps the fBm to reflect market activity.
Interpolation (interpolate_fbm):
Purpose: Maps the fBm series to the trading time scale to produce a forecast.
Method:
Computes the cumulative sum of theta and normalizes it to .
Interpolates the fBm series linearly based on the normalized trading time.
Ensures the output aligns with the trading time scale (T).
Output: An array of interpolated fBm values representing log returns over the forecast horizon.
Price Path Generation:
For each simulation (up to num_simulations):
Generates an fBm series using get_fbm.
Interpolates it with the trading time (theta) using interpolate_fbm.
Converts log returns to price levels:
Starts with the current close price.
For each step i in the forecast horizon (T), computes the price as prev_price * exp(log_return).
Output: An array of price levels for each simulation.
Visualization:
Trigger: Updates every T bars when the bar state is confirmed (barstate.isconfirmed).
Process:
Clears previous lines from line_array.
For each simulation, plots a line from the current bar’s close price to the forecasted price at bar_index + T.
Colors the line using a gradient (color.from_gradient) based on the final forecasted price relative to the minimum and maximum forecasted prices across all simulations (red for lower prices, teal for higher prices).
Output: Multiple colored lines on the chart, each representing a possible price path over the next T bars.
How It Works on the Chart
Initialization: On each bar, the indicator calculates the Hurst exponent (H) using historical log returns and prepares the trading time (theta) using the binomial cascade.
Forecast Generation: Every T bars, it generates num_simulations price paths:
Each path starts at the current close price.
Uses fBm to model log returns, warped by the trading time.
Converts log returns to price levels.
Plotting: Draws lines from the current bar to the forecasted price T bars ahead, with colors indicating relative price levels.
Dynamic Updates: The forecast updates every T bars, replacing old lines with new ones based on the latest price data and calculations.
Key Features
Multifractal Modeling: Captures complex market dynamics by combining fBm (long-range dependence) with a binomial cascade (non-uniform time).
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to adjust the forecast horizon, model resolution, scaling, and number of simulations.
Probabilistic Forecast: Multiple simulations provide a range of possible price outcomes, helping traders assess uncertainty.
Visual Clarity: Gradient-colored lines make it easy to distinguish bullish (teal) and bearish (red) forecasts.
Potential Use Cases
Trend Analysis: Identify potential price trends or reversals based on the direction and spread of forecast lines.
Risk Assessment: Evaluate the range of possible price outcomes to gauge market uncertainty.
Volatility Analysis: The Hurst exponent and binomial cascade provide insights into market persistence and volatility clustering.
Limitations
Computational Intensity: Large values of n or num_simulations may slow down execution or hit Pine Script’s array size limits.
Randomness: The binomial cascade and fBm rely on random terms (math.random), which may lead to variability between runs.
Assumptions: The model assumes log-normal price movements and fractal behavior, which may not always hold in extreme market conditions.
Adjusting Inputs:
Set max_lag based on the desired depth of historical analysis.
Adjust n for model resolution (start with 4–6 to avoid performance issues).
Tune m to control trading time variability (0.5–1.5 is typical).
Set L to scale the forecast amplitude (experiment with values like 10,000–1,000,000).
Choose T based on your trading horizon (20 for short-term, 50 for longer-term for example).
Select num_simulations for the number of forecast paths (5–10 is reasonable for visualization).
Interpret Output:
Teal lines suggest bullish scenarios, red lines suggest bearish scenarios.
A wide spread of lines indicates high uncertainty; convergence suggests a stronger trend.
Monitor Updates: Forecasts update every T bars, so check the chart periodically for new projections.
Chart Examples
This is a daily AMEX:SPY chart with default settings. We see the simulations being done every T bars and they provide a range for us to analyze with a few simulations still in the range.
On this intraday PEPPERSTONE:COCOA chart I modified the Length Scale for fBm, L, parameter to be 1000 from 100000. Adjusting the parameter as you switch between timeframes can give you more contextual simulations.
On BITSTAMP:ETHUSD I modified the L to be 1000000 to have a more contextual set of simulations with crypto's volatile nature.
With L at 100000 we see the range for NASDAQ:TLT is correctly simulated. The recent pop stays within the bounds of the highest simulation. Note this is a cherry picked example to show the power and potential of these simulations.
Technical Notes
Error Handling: The script includes checks for array size limits and division by zero (math.abs(denominator) > 1e-10, v := math.max(v, 1e-10)).
External Reference: The fBm implementation is based on Hosking’s method (www.columbia.edu), ensuring a robust algorithm.
Conclusion
The Multifractal Forecast is a powerful tool for traders seeking to model complex market dynamics using a multifractal framework. By combining fBm, binomial cascades, and Hurst exponent analysis, it generates probabilistic price forecasts that account for long-range dependence and non-uniform market activity. Its customizable inputs and clear visualizations make it suitable for both technical analysis and strategy development, though users should be mindful of its computational demands and parameter sensitivity. For optimal use, experiment with input settings and validate forecasts against other technical indicators or market conditions.
CDP - Counter-Directional-Pivot🎯 CDP - Counter-Directional-Pivot
📊 Overview
The Counter-Directional-Pivot (CDP) indicator calculates five critical price levels based on the previous day's OHLC data, specifically designed for multi-timeframe analysis. Unlike standard pivot points, CDP levels are calculated using a unique formula that identifies potential reversal zones where price action often changes direction.
⚡ What Makes This Script Original
This implementation solves several technical challenges that existing pivot indicators face:
🔄 Multi-Timeframe Consistency: Values remain identical across all timeframes (1m, 5m, 1h, daily) - a common problem with many pivot implementations
🔒 Intraday Stability: Uses advanced value-locking technology to prevent the "stepping" effect that occurs when pivot lines shift during the trading session
💪 Robust Data Handling: Optimized for both liquid and illiquid stocks with enhanced data synchronization
🧮 CDP Calculation Formula
The indicator calculates five key levels using the previous day's High (H), Low (L), and Close (C):
CDP = (H + L + C) ÷ 3 (Central Decision Point)
AH = 2×CDP + H – 2×L (Anchor High - Strong Resistance)
NH = 2×CDP – L (Near High - Moderate Resistance)
AL = 2×CDP – 2×H + L (Anchor Low - Strong Support)
NL = 2×CDP – H (Near Low - Moderate Support)
✨ Key Features
🎨 Visual Elements
📈 Five Distinct Price Levels: Each with customizable colors and line styles
🏷️ Smart Label System: Shows exact price values for each level
📋 Optional Value Table: Displays all levels in an organized table format
🎯 Clean Chart Display: Minimal visual clutter while maximizing information
⚙️ Technical Advantages
🔐 Session-Locked Values: Prices are locked at market open, preventing intraday shifts
🔄 Multi-Timeframe Sync: Perfect consistency between daily and intraday charts
✅ Data Validation: Built-in checks ensure reliable calculations
🚀 Performance Optimized: Efficient code structure for fast loading
💼 Trading Applications
🔄 Reversal Zones: AH and AL often act as strong turning points
💥 Breakout Confirmation: Price movement beyond these levels signals trend continuation
🛡️ Risk Management: Use levels for stop-loss and take-profit placement
🏗️ Market Structure: Understand daily ranges and potential price targets
📚 How to Use
🚀 Basic Setup
Add the indicator to your chart (works on any timeframe)
Customize colors for easy identification of support/resistance zones
Enable the value table for quick reference of exact price levels
📈 Trading Strategy Examples
🟢 Long Bias: Look for bounces at NL or AL levels
🔴 Short Bias: Watch for rejections at NH or AH levels
💥 Breakout Trading: Enter positions when price decisively breaks through anchor levels
↔️ Range Trading: Use CDP as the central reference point for range-bound markets
🎯 Advanced Strategy Combinations
RSI Integration for Enhanced Signals: 📊
📉 Oversold Bounces: Combine RSI below 30 with price touching AL/NL levels for high-probability long entries
📈 Overbought Rejections: Look for RSI above 70 with price rejecting AH/NH levels for short opportunities
🔍 Divergence Confirmation: When RSI shows bullish divergence at support levels (AL/NL) or bearish divergence at resistance levels (AH/NH), it often signals stronger reversal potential
⚡ Momentum Confluence: RSI crossing 50 while price breaks through CDP can confirm trend direction changes
⚙️ Configuration Options
🎨 Line Customization: Adjust width, style (solid/dashed/dotted), and colors
👁️ Display Preferences: Toggle individual levels, labels, and value table
📍 Table Position: Place the value table anywhere on your chart
🔔 Alert System: Get notifications when price crosses key levels
🔧 Technical Implementation Details
🎯 Data Reliability
The script uses request.security() with lookahead settings to ensure historical accuracy while maintaining real-time functionality. The value-locking mechanism prevents the common issue where pivot levels shift during the trading day.
🔄 Multi-Timeframe Logic
⏰ Intraday Charts: Display previous day's calculated levels as stable horizontal lines
📅 Daily Charts: Show current day's levels based on yesterday's OHLC
🔍 Consistency Check: All timeframes reference the same source data
🤔 Why CDP vs Standard Pivots?
Counter-Directional Pivots often provide more accurate reversal points than traditional pivot calculations because they incorporate the relationship between high/low ranges and closing prices more effectively. The formula creates levels that better reflect market psychology and institutional trading behaviors.
💡 Best Practices
💧 Use on liquid markets for most reliable results
📊 RSI Combination: Add RSI indicator for overbought/oversold confirmation and divergence analysis
📊 Combine with volume analysis for confirmation
🔍 Consider multiple timeframe analysis (daily levels on hourly charts)
📝 Test thoroughly in paper trading before live implementation
💪 Example Market Applications
NASDAQ:AAPL AAPL - Tech stock breakouts through AH levels
$NYSE:SPY SPY - Index trading with CDP range analysis
NASDAQ:TSLA TSLA - Volatile stock reversals at AL/NL levels
⚠️ This indicator is designed for educational and analytical purposes. Always combine with proper risk management and additional technical analysis tools.
Ergodic Market Divergence (EMD)Ergodic Market Divergence (EMD)
Bridging Statistical Physics and Market Dynamics Through Ensemble Analysis
The Revolutionary Concept: When Physics Meets Trading
After months of research into ergodic theory—a fundamental principle in statistical mechanics—I've developed a trading system that identifies when markets transition between predictable and unpredictable states. This indicator doesn't just follow price; it analyzes whether current market behavior will persist or revert, giving traders a scientific edge in timing entries and exits.
The Core Innovation: Ergodic Theory Applied to Markets
What Makes Markets Ergodic or Non-Ergodic?
In statistical physics, ergodicity determines whether a system's future resembles its past. Applied to trading:
Ergodic Markets (Mean-Reverting)
- Time averages equal ensemble averages
- Historical patterns repeat reliably
- Price oscillates around equilibrium
- Traditional indicators work well
Non-Ergodic Markets (Trending)
- Path dependency dominates
- History doesn't predict future
- Price creates new equilibrium levels
- Momentum strategies excel
The Mathematical Framework
The Ergodic Score combines three critical divergences:
Ergodic Score = (Price Divergence × Market Stress + Return Divergence × 1000 + Volatility Divergence × 50) / 3
Where:
Price Divergence: How far current price deviates from market consensus
Return Divergence: Momentum differential between instrument and market
Volatility Divergence: Volatility regime misalignment
Market Stress: Adaptive multiplier based on current conditions
The Ensemble Analysis Revolution
Beyond Single-Instrument Analysis
Traditional indicators analyze one chart in isolation. EMD monitors multiple correlated markets simultaneously (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA) to detect systemic regime changes. This ensemble approach:
Reveals Hidden Divergences: Individual stocks may diverge from market consensus before major moves
Filters False Signals: Requires broader market confirmation
Identifies Regime Shifts: Detects when entire market structure changes
Provides Context: Shows if moves are isolated or systemic
Dynamic Threshold Adaptation
Unlike fixed-threshold systems, EMD's boundaries evolve with market conditions:
Base Threshold = SMA(Ergodic Score, Lookback × 3)
Adaptive Component = StDev(Ergodic Score, Lookback × 2) × Sensitivity
Final Threshold = Smoothed(Base + Adaptive)
This creates context-aware signals that remain effective across different market environments.
The Confidence Engine: Know Your Signal Quality
Multi-Factor Confidence Scoring
Every signal receives a confidence score based on:
Signal Clarity (0-35%): How decisively the ergodic threshold is crossed
Momentum Strength (0-25%): Rate of ergodic change
Volatility Alignment (0-20%): Whether volatility supports the signal
Market Quality (0-20%): Price convergence and path dependency factors
Real-Time Confidence Updates
The Live Confidence metric continuously updates, showing:
- Current opportunity quality
- Market state clarity
- Historical performance influence
- Signal recency boost
- Visual Intelligence System
Adaptive Ergodic Field Bands
Dynamic bands that expand and contract based on market state:
Primary Color: Ergodic state (mean-reverting)
Danger Color: Non-ergodic state (trending)
Band Width: Expected price movement range
Squeeze Indicators: Volatility compression warnings
Quantum Wave Ribbons
Triple EMA system (8, 21, 55) revealing market flow:
Compressed Ribbons: Consolidation imminent
Expanding Ribbons: Directional move developing
Color Coding: Matches current ergodic state
Phase Transition Signals
Clear entry/exit markers at regime changes:
Bull Signals: Ergodic restoration (mean reversion opportunity)
Bear Signals: Ergodic break (trend following opportunity)
Confidence Labels: Percentage showing signal quality
Visual Intensity: Stronger signals = deeper colors
Professional Dashboard Suite
Main Analytics Panel (Top Right)
Market State Monitor
- Current regime (Ergodic/Non-Ergodic)
- Ergodic score with threshold
- Path dependency strength
- Quantum coherence percentage
Divergence Metrics
- Price divergence with severity
- Volatility regime classification
- Strategy mode recommendation
- Signal strength indicator
Live Intelligence
- Real-time confidence score
- Color-coded risk levels
- Dynamic strategy suggestions
Performance Tracking (Left Panel)
Signal Analytics
- Total historical signals
- Win rate with W/L breakdown
- Current streak tracking
- Closed trade counter
Regime Analysis
- Current market behavior
- Bars since last signal
- Recommended actions
- Average confidence trends
Strategy Command Center (Bottom Right)
Adaptive Recommendations
- Active strategy mode
- Primary approach (mean reversion/momentum)
- Suggested indicators ("weapons")
- Entry/exit methodology
- Risk management guidance
- Comprehensive Input Guide
Core Algorithm Parameters
Analysis Period (10-100 bars)
Scalping (10-15): Ultra-responsive, more signals, higher noise
Day Trading (20-30): Balanced sensitivity and stability
Swing Trading (40-100): Smooth signals, major moves only Default: 20 - optimal for most timeframes
Divergence Threshold (0.5-5.0)
Hair Trigger (0.5-1.0): Catches every wiggle, many false signals
Balanced (1.5-2.5): Good signal-to-noise ratio
Conservative (3.0-5.0): Only extreme divergences Default: 1.5 - best risk/reward balance
Path Memory (20-200 bars)
Short Memory (20-50): Recent behavior focus, quick adaptation
Medium Memory (50-100): Balanced historical context
Long Memory (100-200): Emphasizes established patterns Default: 50 - captures sufficient history without lag
Signal Spacing (5-50 bars)
Aggressive (5-10): Allows rapid-fire signals
Normal (15-25): Prevents clustering, maintains flow
Conservative (30-50): Major setups only Default: 15 - optimal trade frequency
Ensemble Configuration
Select markets for consensus analysis:
SPY: Broad market sentiment
QQQ: Technology leadership
IWM: Small-cap risk appetite
DIA: Blue-chip stability
More instruments = stronger consensus but potentially diluted signals
Visual Customization
Color Themes (6 professional options):
Quantum: Cyan/Pink - Modern trading aesthetic
Matrix: Green/Red - Classic terminal look
Heat: Blue/Red - Temperature metaphor
Neon: Cyan/Magenta - High contrast
Ocean: Turquoise/Coral - Calming palette
Sunset: Red-orange/Teal - Warm gradients
Display Controls:
- Toggle each visual component
- Adjust transparency levels
- Scale dashboard text
- Show/hide confidence scores
- Trading Strategies by Market State
- Ergodic State Strategy (Primary Color Bands)
Market Characteristics
- Price oscillates predictably
- Support/resistance hold
- Volume patterns repeat
- Mean reversion dominates
Optimal Approach
Entry: Fade moves at band extremes
Target: Middle band (equilibrium)
Stop: Just beyond outer bands
Size: Full confidence-based position
Recommended Tools
- RSI for oversold/overbought
- Bollinger Bands for extremes
- Volume profile for levels
- Non-Ergodic State Strategy (Danger Color Bands)
Market Characteristics
- Price trends persistently
- Levels break decisively
- Volume confirms direction
- Momentum accelerates
Optimal Approach
Entry: Breakout from bands
Target: Trail with expanding bands
Stop: Inside opposite band
Size: Scale in with trend
Recommended Tools
- Moving average alignment
- ADX for trend strength
- MACD for momentum
- Advanced Features Explained
Quantum Coherence Metric
Measures phase alignment between individual and ensemble behavior:
80-100%: Perfect sync - strong mean reversion setup
50-80%: Moderate alignment - mixed signals
0-50%: Decoherence - trending behavior likely
Path Dependency Analysis
Quantifies how much history influences current price:
Low (<30%): Technical patterns reliable
Medium (30-50%): Mixed influences
High (>50%): Fundamental shift occurring
Volatility Regime Classification
Contextualizes current volatility:
Normal: Standard strategies apply
Elevated: Widen stops, reduce size
Extreme: Defensive mode required
Signal Strength Indicator
Real-time opportunity quality:
- Distance from threshold
- Momentum acceleration
- Cross-validation factors
Risk Management Framework
Position Sizing by Confidence
90%+ confidence = 100% position size
70-90% confidence = 75% position size
50-70% confidence = 50% position size
<50% confidence = 25% or skip
Dynamic Stop Placement
Ergodic State: ATR × 1.0 from entry
Non-Ergodic State: ATR × 2.0 from entry
Volatility Adjustment: Multiply by current regime
Multi-Timeframe Alignment
- Check higher timeframe regime
- Confirm ensemble consensus
- Verify volume participation
- Align with major levels
What Makes EMD Unique
Original Contributions
First Ergodic Theory Trading Application: Transforms abstract physics into practical signals
Ensemble Market Analysis: Revolutionary multi-market divergence system
Adaptive Confidence Engine: Institutional-grade signal quality metrics
Quantum Coherence: Novel market alignment measurement
Smart Signal Management: Prevents clustering while maintaining responsiveness
Technical Innovations
Dynamic Threshold Adaptation: Self-adjusting sensitivity
Path Memory Integration: Historical dependency weighting
Stress-Adjusted Scoring: Market condition normalization
Real-Time Performance Tracking: Built-in strategy analytics
Optimization Guidelines
By Timeframe
Scalping (1-5 min)
Period: 10-15
Threshold: 0.5-1.0
Memory: 20-30
Spacing: 5-10
Day Trading (5-60 min)
Period: 20-30
Threshold: 1.5-2.5
Memory: 40-60
Spacing: 15-20
Swing Trading (1H-1D)
Period: 40-60
Threshold: 2.0-3.0
Memory: 80-120
Spacing: 25-35
Position Trading (1D-1W)
Period: 60-100
Threshold: 3.0-5.0
Memory: 100-200
Spacing: 40-50
By Market Condition
Trending Markets
- Increase threshold
- Extend memory
- Focus on breaks
Ranging Markets
- Decrease threshold
- Shorten memory
- Focus on restores
Volatile Markets
- Increase spacing
- Raise confidence requirement
- Reduce position size
- Integration with Other Analysis
- Complementary Indicators
For Ergodic States
- RSI divergences
- Bollinger Band squeezes
- Volume profile nodes
- Support/resistance levels
For Non-Ergodic States
- Moving average ribbons
- Trend strength indicators
- Momentum oscillators
- Breakout patterns
- Fundamental Alignment
- Check economic calendar
- Monitor sector rotation
- Consider market themes
- Evaluate risk sentiment
Troubleshooting Guide
Too Many Signals:
- Increase threshold
- Extend signal spacing
- Raise confidence minimum
Missing Opportunities
- Decrease threshold
- Reduce signal spacing
- Check ensemble settings
Poor Win Rate
- Verify timeframe alignment
- Confirm volume participation
- Review risk management
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The ergodic framework provides unique market insights but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Always use proper risk management, conduct your own analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
This tool should complement, not replace, comprehensive trading strategies and sound judgment. Markets remain inherently unpredictable despite advanced analysis techniques.
Transform market chaos into trading clarity with Ergodic Market Divergence.
Created with passion for the TradingView community
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Sector Relative StrengthDescription
This script compares sector performance relative to the S&P 500. Sector price levels or charts alone can mislead, because they tend to move with the broader market. An increase in a sector’s price does not necessarily indicate strength, as it may simply be following the index.
For more a more reliable picture, the script calculates a ratio between each sector ETF and SPY. If the ratio has increased, the sector has outperformed the index. In case it has declined, the sector has underperformed. If the value is near zero, the sector has moved in line with the index. The sectors are presented in a table and sorted on relative performance.
Calculation Method
The performance is expressed as a percentage change in the ratio over a user-defined lookback period. The default lookback is set to 21 bars, which corresponds to one month on a daily chart. This value can be adopted in the settings to match preferred time period.
Z-Score
In addition to the percentage change, the script calculates a Z-score of the ratio, which measures how far the current value deviates from its recent mean. A high positive Z-score indicates that the ratio is significantly above its average, while a negative value indicates it is below. This normalization allows for comparison between sectors with different price levels or volatility profiles.
Table Columns
- Relative %: The sector's performance relative to SPY over the selected lookback period
- Z-Score: Standardized measure of current performance ratio is relative to its average
- Trend Arrow: Indicates the direction of relative performance up down or flat
Example Interpretation
For example, if XLK shows a 3.7% change, it has outperformed SPY over the selected period. Another sector might show a -2.1% change, which indicates underperformance. While both values shows relative strength or weakness, the Z-score is optional and can provide additional context based on how unusual that performance is compared to the sector's own recent behavior.
Use Case
This approach helps evaluate overall market conditions and supports a top-down method. By starting with sector performance, it becomes easier to identify where the market is showing leadership or weakness. This allows the stock selection process to be more deliberate and can help refine or customize screeners based on certain sectors.
Multi-Timeframe Continuity Custom Candle ConfirmationMulti-Timeframe Continuity Custom Candle Confirmation
Overview
The Timeframe Continuity Indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify alignment between their current chart’s candlestick direction and higher timeframes of their choice. By coloring bars on the current chart (e.g., 1-minute) based on the directional alignment with selected higher timeframes (e.g., 10-minute, daily), this indicator provides a visual cue for confirming trends across multiple timeframes—a concept known as Timeframe Continuity. This approach is particularly useful for day traders, swing traders, and scalpers looking to ensure their trades align with broader market trends, reducing the risk of trading against the prevailing momentum.
Originality and Usefulness
This indicator is an original creation, built from scratch to address a common challenge in trading: ensuring that price action on a lower timeframe aligns with the trend on higher timeframes. Unlike many trend-following indicators that rely on moving averages, oscillators, or other lagging metrics, this script directly compares the bullish or bearish direction of candlesticks across timeframes. It introduces the following unique features:
Customizable Timeframes: Users can select from a range of higher timeframes (5m, 10m, 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 1d, 1w, 1M) to check for alignment, making it adaptable to various trading styles.
Neutral Candle Handling: The script accounts for neutral candles (where close == open) on the current timeframe by allowing them to inherit the direction of the higher timeframe, ensuring continuity in trend visualization.
Table: A table displays the direction of each selected timeframe and the current timeframe, helping identify direction in the event you don't want to color bars.
Toggles for Flexibility: Options to disable bar coloring and the debug table allow users to customize the indicator’s visual output for cleaner charts or focused analysis.
This indicator is not a mashup of existing scripts but a purpose-built tool to visualize timeframe alignment directly through candlestick direction, offering traders a straightforward way to confirm trend consistency.
What It Does
The Timeframe Continuity Indicator colors bars on your chart when the direction of the current timeframe’s candlestick (bullish, bearish, or neutral) aligns with the direction of the selected higher timeframes:
Lime: The current bar (e.g., 1m) is bullish or neutral, and all selected higher timeframes (e.g., 10m) are bullish.
Pink: The current bar is bearish or neutral, and all selected higher timeframes are bearish.
Default Color: If the directions don’t align (e.g., 1m bar is bearish but 10m is bullish), the bar remains the default chart color.
The indicator also includes a debug table (toggleable) that shows the direction of each selected timeframe and the current timeframe, helping traders diagnose alignment issues.
How It Works
The script uses the following methodology:
1. Direction Calculation: For each timeframe (current and selected higher timeframes), the script determines the candlestick’s direction:
Bullish (1): close > open / Bearish (-1): close < open / Neutral (0): close == open
Higher timeframe directions are fetched using Pine Script’s request.security function, ensuring accurate data retrieval.
2. Alignment Check: The script checks if all selected higher timeframes are uniformly bullish (full_bullish) or bearish (full_bearish).
o A higher timeframe must have a clear direction (bullish or bearish) to trigger coloring. If any selected timeframe is neutral, alignment fails, and no coloring occurs.
3. Coloring Logic: The current bar is colored only if its direction aligns with the higher timeframes:
Lime if the higher timeframes are bullish and the current bar is bullish or neutral.
Maroon if the higher timeframes are bearish and the current bar is bearish or neutral.
If the current bar’s direction opposes the higher timeframe (e.g., 1m bearish, 10m bullish), the bar remains uncolored.
Users can disable bar coloring entirely via the settings, leaving bars in their default chart color.
4. Direction Table:
A table in the top-right corner (toggleable) displays the direction of each selected timeframe and the current timeframe, using color-coded labels (green for bullish, red for bearish, gray for neutral).
This feature helps traders understand why a bar is or isn’t colored, making the indicator accessible to users unfamiliar with Pine Script.
How to Use
1. Add the Indicator: Add the "Timeframe Continuity Indicator" to your chart in TradingView (e.g., a 1m chart of SPY).
2. Configure Settings:
Timeframe Selection: Check the boxes for the higher timeframes you want to compare against (default: 10m). Options include 5m, 10m, 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 1D, 1W, and 1M. Select multiple timeframes if you want to ensure alignment across all of them (e.g., 10m and 1d).
Enable Bar Coloring: Default: true (bars are colored lime or maroon when aligned). Set to false to disable coloring and keep the default chart colors.
Show Table: Default: true (table is displayed in the top-right corner). Set to false to hide the table for a cleaner chart.
3. Interpret the Output:
Colored Bars: Lime bars indicate the current bar (e.g., 1m) is bullish or neutral, and all selected higher timeframes are bullish. Maroon bars indicate the current bar is bearish or neutral, and all selected higher timeframes are bearish. Uncolored bars (default chart color) indicate a mismatch (e.g., 1m bar is bearish while 10m is bullish) or no coloring if disabled.
Direction Table: Check the table to see the direction of each selected timeframe and the current timeframe.
4. Example Use Case:
On a 1m chart of SPY, select the 10m timeframe.
If the 10m timeframe is bearish, 1m bars that are bearish or neutral will color maroon, confirming you’re trading with the higher timeframe’s trend.
If a 1m bar is bullish while the 10m is bearish, it remains uncolored, signaling a potential misalignment to avoid trading.
Underlying Concepts
The indicator is based on the concept of Timeframe Continuity, a strategy used by traders to ensure that price action on a lower timeframe aligns with the trend on higher timeframes. This reduces the risk of entering trades against the broader market direction. The script directly compares candlestick directions (bullish, bearish, or neutral) rather than relying on lagging indicators like moving averages or RSI, providing a real-time, price-action-based confirmation of trend alignment. The handling of neutral candles ensures that minor indecision on the lower timeframe doesn’t interrupt the visualization of the higher timeframe’s trend.
Why This Indicator?
Simplicity: Directly compares candlestick directions, avoiding complex calculations or lagging indicators.
Flexibility: Customizable timeframes and toggles cater to various trading strategies.
Transparency: The debug table makes the indicator’s logic accessible to all users, not just those who can read Pine Script.
Practicality: Helps traders confirm trend alignment, a key factor in successful trading across timeframes.
