Weighted Moving Average Indicator (WMAI) 50/100/200 SMA + 21 EMAThe Weighted Moving Average Indicator (WMAI) is a custom technical analysis tool that combines the information from three Simple Moving Averages (SMA) and one Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to create a single line on the chart. This line can be used to identify trends, potential entry and exit points, and overall market direction. Here's how to use this indicator:
Identifying trends: When the WMAI line is moving upwards, it signals a bullish trend, meaning that the asset's price is generally increasing. Conversely, when the WMAI line is moving downwards, it signals a bearish trend, indicating that the asset's price is generally decreasing. A flat WMAI line suggests a sideways or consolidating market.
Potential entry and exit points: You can use the WMAI line in combination with the asset's price or other technical indicators to identify potential entry and exit points for trades. For example, when the price crosses above the WMAI line, it might be considered a buy signal, as it suggests a potential upward trend. Conversely, when the price crosses below the WMAI line, it might be considered a sell signal, indicating a potential downward trend. Keep in mind that, like any other indicator, WMAI is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and techniques to increase the chances of successful trades.
Support and resistance levels: The WMAI line can act as a dynamic support and resistance level. When the price is above the WMAI line, the line can act as a support level, making it less likely for the price to drop below the line. Conversely, when the price is below the WMAI line, it can act as a resistance level, making it harder for the price to rise above the line.
Confirming signals from other indicators: You can use the WMAI line to confirm signals from other technical analysis tools. For instance, if you use a momentum oscillator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought or oversold conditions, you can look for confluence with the WMAI line. If the WMAI line is also pointing in the same direction as the RSI signal, it can add confidence to the trade.
חפש סקריפטים עבור "technical"
VWAP Bollinger Band Crossover Breakout with ResistanceCredit to © Jesus_Salvatierra for VWAP script
This script help you find a trend in momentum stock that is about to breakout and shows resistance point. This script utilizes Bollinger bands VWAP and is good for intra day charts.
VWAP, or Volume Weighted Average Price, is a technical analysis tool used to measure the average price a security trades at during a given time period, weighted by the trading volume for each price level. It is commonly used by traders and investors to identify the true average price of a security and to assess whether they are buying or selling at a fair price.
A Bollinger Band is a technical analysis tool that uses standard deviation to measure the volatility of a security. The Bollinger Band is typically composed of three lines: the upper band, the lower band, and the middle band. The middle band is a simple moving average of the security's price, while the upper and lower bands are calculated based on the standard deviation of the security's price.
A Bollinger Band crossover occurs when the price of a security crosses above or below one of the bands. When the price crosses above the upper band, it is considered overbought, while when it crosses below the lower band, it is considered oversold. Traders often use Bollinger Band crossovers as a signal to enter or exit a position, depending on their trading strategy.
The VWAP and Bollinger Band crossover are two separate technical analysis tools that can be used in conjunction with each other. When a security's price crosses above or below the Bollinger Band, traders may look to the VWAP to confirm whether the security is trading at a fair price. If the security is trading above the VWAP, it may be overvalued, while if it is trading below the VWAP, it may be undervalued. Similarly, traders may use the Bollinger Band crossover as a signal to enter or exit a position, while also taking into account the VWAP to assess whether the price is fair.
Leveraged Share Conversion IndicatorHello everyone,
Releasing my leveraged share conversion indicator.
I noticed that the option traders have all the fun and resources but the share traders don't really have many resources in terms of adjusting or profits on leveraged and inverse shares. So, I decided to change that this this indicator!
What it does:
In a nut shell, the calculator converts one share to the price of another through the use of a regression based analysis.
There are multiple pre-stored libraries available in the indicator, including IWM, SPY, BTC and QQQ.
However, if the ticker you want to convert is not in one of the pre-defined libraries, you can select "Use Alternative Ticker" and indicate the stock you wish to convert.
Using Libraries:
If the conversion you want is available in one of the libraries, simply select the conversion you would like. For example, if you want to convert SPY to SPXU, select that conversion. The indicator will then launch up the conversion results which it will display in a dashboard to the right and will also display the plotted conversion on a chart (see imagine below:
In the dashboard, the indicator will show you:
a) The conversion result: This is the most likely price based on the analysis
b) The standard error: This is the degree of error within the conversion. This is the basis of the upper and lower bands. In statistics, we can add and subtract the standard error from the likely result to get the "Upper" and "Lower" Confidence levels of assessment. This is just a fancy way of saying the range in which our predicted result will fall. So, for example, in the image above it shows you the price of SPXU is assessed to be around 16$ based on SPY's price. The standard error range is 15-17. This means that, the majority of the time, based on this SPY close price, SPXU should fall between 15-17$ with the most likely result being the 16$ range.
Why is there error?
Because leveraged shares have an inherent decay in them. The degree of decay can be captured utilizing the standard error. So at any given time, the small changes in price fluctuations caused by the fact that the share is leveraged can be assessed and displayed using standard error measurements.
c) The current correlation: This is important! Because if the stocks are not strongly correlated, it tells you there is a problem. In general, a perfect correlation is 1 or -1 (perfectly negative correlation or inverse correlation) and a bad correlation is anything under 0.5 or -0.5. So, for an INVERSE leveraged share, you would expect the correlation to read a negative value. Ideally -1. Because the inverse share is doing the opposite of the underlying (if the underlying goes up, the inverse goes down and vice versa). For a non-inverse leveraged share, the correlation should read a positive value. As the underlying goes up, so too does the leveraged.
Manual Conversion using Library:
If you are using a pre-defined library but want to convert a manual close price, simply select "Enable manual conversion" at the bottom of the settings and then type in the manual close price. If you are converting SPY to SPXU, type in the manual close price of SPY to get the result in SPXU and vice versa.
Using an Alternative Ticker:
If the ticker you want is not available in a pre-defined library (i.e. UDOW, BOIL, APPU, TSLL, etc.), simply select "Use Alternative Ticker" in the settings menu. When you select this, make sure your chart is set to the dominant chart. The "Dominant chart" is the chart of the underlying. So, if you want TSLA to TSLL, be sure you have the TSLA chart open and then set your Alternative Ticker to TSLL or TSLQ.
The process of using an Alternative Ticker remains the same. If you wish to enter a manual close price, simply select "Enable Manual Conversion".
Special Considerations:
The indicator uses 1 hour candles. Thus, please leave your dominant chart set on the 1 hour time frame to avoid confusing the indicator.
The lookback period of the manual conversion is 10, 1 hour candles. As such, the results should not be used to make longer term predictions (i.e. anything over 6 months is pushing the capabilities of a manual conversion but fair game for the pre-defined library conversions which use more longer-term data).
You can technically use the indicator to make assessments between 2 separate equities. For example, the relationship between QQQ and ARKK, SPY and DIA, IWM and SPY, etc. If there is a good enough correlation, you can use it to make predictions of the opposing ticker. For example, if DIA goes to 340, what would SPY likely do? And vice versa.
As always, I have prepared a tutorial and getting started video for your reference:
As always, let me know your questions and requests/recommendations for the indicator below. This indicator is my final reference indicator in my 3 part reference indicator release. I will be going back over the feedback to make improvements based on the suggestions I have received. So please feel free to leave any suggestions here and I will take them into consideration for improvement!
Thank you for checking this out and as always, safe trades!
Rainbow Collection - BlueSlopes are an increasingly key concept in Technical Analysis. The most basic type is to calculate them on the prices, but also on technical indicators such as moving averages and the RSI.
In technical analysis, you generally use the RSI to detect imminent reversal moves within a range. In the case of the Blue indicator, we are calculating the slope of the market price and then calculating the RSI of that slope in order to detect instances of reversal.
The Blue indicator is therefore used as follows:
* A bullish signal is generated whenever the 21-period RSI of the 21-period market slope surpasses 30 after having been below it but remains below 35.
*A bearish signal is generated whenever the 21-period RSI of the 21-period market slope breaks 70 after having been above it but remains above 65.
The aim of the Blue indicator is to capture reversals as early as possible through a combination of slopes and entry techniques.
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) Refurbished▮Introduction
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) Indicator is a technical indicator used in technical analysis of stocks and other financial instruments.
It was developed by William Blau in 1993 and is considered to be a momentum indicator that can help identify trend reversal points.
Basically, it's a combination of the True Strength Index with a signal line to help identify turning points in the market.
SMI uses the stochastic formula to compare the current closing price of an asset with the maximum and minimum price range over a specific period.
He then compares this ratio to a short-term moving average to create an indicator that oscillates between -100 and +100.
When the SMI is above 0, it is considered positive, indicating that the current price is above the short-term moving average.
When it is below 0, it is considered negative, indicating that the current price is below the short-term moving average.
Traders use the SMI to identify potential trend reversal points.
When the indicator reaches an extreme level above +40 or below -40, a trend reversal is possible.
Furthermore, traders also watch for divergences between the SMI and the asset price to identify potential trading opportunities.
It is important to remember that the SMI is a technical indicator and as such should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to get a complete picture of the market situation.
▮ Improvements
The following features were added:
1. 7 color themes, for TSI, Signal and Histogram.
2. Possibility to customize moving average type for TSI/Signal.
3. Dynamic Zones.
4. Crossing Alerts.
5. Alert points on specific ranges.
5. Coloring of bars according to TSI/Signal/Histogram.
▮ Themes
Examples:
▮ About Dynamic Zones
'Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals.
Here's a concept based on zones that are responsive to the past levels of the indicator.'
The concept of Dynamic Zones was described by Leo Zamansky ( Ph .D.) and David Stendahl, in the magazine of Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310).
Basically, a statistical calculation is made to define the extreme levels, delimiting a possible overbought/oversold region.
Given user-defined probabilities, the percentile is calculated using the method of Nearest Rank.
It is calculated by taking the difference between the data point and the number of data points below it, then dividing by the total number of data points in the set.
The result is expressed as a percentage.
This provides a measure of how a particular value compares to other values in a data set, identifying outliers or values that are significantly higher or lower than the rest of the data.
▮ What to look for
1. Divergences/weakening of a trend/reversal:
2. Supports, resistances, pullbacks:
3. Overbought/Oversold Points:
▮ Thanks and Credits
- TradingView and PineCoders: for SMI and Moving Averages
- allanster: for Dynamic Zones
Advanced VWAP_Pullback Strategy_Trend-Template QualifierGeneral Description and Unique Features of this Script
Introducing the Advanced VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy (long-only) that offers several unique features:
1. Our script/strategy utilizes Mark Minervini's Trend-Template as a qualifier for identifying stocks and other financial securities in confirmed uptrends. Mark Minervini, a 2x US Investment Champion, developed the Trend-Template, which covers eight different and independent characteristics that can be adjusted and optimized in this trend-following strategy to ensure the best results. The strategy will only trigger buy-signals in case the optimized qualifiers are being met.
2. Our strategy is based on the supply/demand balance in the market, making it timeless and effective across all timeframes. Whether you are day trading using 1- or 5-min charts or swing-trading using daily charts, this strategy can be applied and works very well.
3. We have also integrated technical indicators such as the RSI and the MA / VWAP crossover into this strategy to identify low-risk pullback entries in the context of confirmed uptrends. By doing so, the risk profile of this strategy and drawdowns are being reduced to an absolute minimum.
Minervini’s Trend-Template and the ‘Stage-Analysis’ of the Markets
This strategy is a so-called 'long-only' strategy. This means that we only take long positions, short positions are not considered.
The best market environment for such strategies are periods of stable upward trends in the so-called stage 2 - uptrend.
In stable upward trends, we increase our market exposure and risk.
In sideways markets and downward trends or bear markets, we reduce our exposure very quickly or go 100% to cash and wait for the markets to recover and improve. This allows us to avoid major losses and drawdowns.
This simple rule gives us a significant advantage over most undisciplined traders and amateurs!
'The Trend is your Friend'. This is a very old but true quote.
What's behind it???
• 98% of stocks made their biggest gains in a Phase 2 upward trend.
• If a stock is in a stable uptrend, this is evidence that larger institutions are buying the stock sustainably.
• By focusing on stocks that are in a stable uptrend, the chances of profit are significantly increased.
• In a stable uptrend, investors know exactly what to expect from further price developments. This makes it possible to locate low-risk entry points.
The goal is not to buy at the lowest price – the goal is to buy at the right price!
Each stock goes through the same maturity cycle – it starts at stage 1 and ends at stage 4
Stage 1 – Neglect Phase – Consolidation
Stage 2 – Progressive Phase – Accumulation
Stage 3 – Topping Phase – Distribution
Stage 4 – Downtrend – Capitulation
This strategy focuses on identifying stocks in confirmed stage 2 uptrends. This in itself gives us an advantage over long-term investors and less professional traders.
By focusing on stocks in a stage 2 uptrend, we avoid losses in downtrends (stage 4) or less profitable consolidation phases (stages 1 and 3). We are fully invested and put our money to work for us, and we are fully invested when stocks are in their stage 2 uptrends.
But how can we use technical chart analysis to find stocks that are in a stable stage 2 uptrend?
Mark Minervini has developed the so-called 'trend template' for this purpose. This is an essential part of our JS-TechTrading pullback strategy. For our watchlists, only those individual values that meet the tough requirements of Minervini's trend template are eligible.
The Trend Template
• 200d MA increasing over a period of at least 1 month, better 4-5 months or longer
• 150d MA above 200d MA
• 50d MA above 150d MA and 200d MA
• Course above 50d MA, 150d MA and 200d MA
• Ideally, the 50d MA is increasing over at least 1 month
• Price at least 25% above the 52w low
• Price within 25% of 52w high
• High relative strength according to IBD.
NOTE: In this basic version of the script, the Trend-Template has to be used as a separate indicator on TradingView (Public Trend-Template indicators are available in TradingView – community scripts). It is recommended to only execute buy signals in case the stock or financial security is in a stage 2 uptrend, which means that the criteria of the trend-template are fulfilled.
This strategy can be applied to all timeframes from 5 min to daily.
The VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy
For the JS-TechTrading VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy, only stocks and other financial instruments that meet the selected criteria of Mark Minervini's trend template are recommended for algorithmic trading with this startegy.
A further prerequisite for generating a buy signals is that the individual value is in a short-term oversold state (RSI).
When the selling pressure is over and the continuation of the uptrend can be confirmed by the MA / VWAP crossover after reaching a price low, a buy signal is issued by this strategy.
Stop-loss limits and profit targets can be set variably. You also have the option to make use of the trailing stop exit strategy.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical indicator developed by Welles Wilder in 1978. The RSI is used to perform a market value analysis and identify the strength of a trend as well as overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator is calculated on a scale from 0 to 100 and shows how much an asset has risen or fallen relative to its own price in recent periods.
The RSI is calculated as the ratio of average profits to average losses over a certain period of time. A high value of the RSI indicates an overbought situation, while a low value indicates an oversold situation. Typically, a value > 70 is considered an overbought threshold and a value < 30 is considered an oversold threshold. A value above 70 signals that a single value may be overvalued and a decrease in price is likely , while a value below 30 signals that a single value may be undervalued and an increase in price is likely.
For example, let's say you're watching a stock XYZ. After a prolonged falling movement, the RSI value of this stock has fallen to 26. This means that the stock is oversold and that it is time for a potential recovery. Therefore, a trader might decide to buy this stock in the hope that it will rise again soon.
The MA / VWAP Crossover Trading Strategy
This strategy combines two popular technical indicators: the Moving Average (MA) and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). The MA VWAP crossover strategy is used to identify potential trend reversals and entry/exit points in the market.
The VWAP is calculated by taking the average price of an asset for a given period, weighted by the volume traded at each price level. The MA, on the other hand, is calculated by taking the average price of an asset over a specified number of periods. When the MA crosses above the VWAP, it suggests that buying pressure is increasing, and it may be a good time to enter a long position. When the MA crosses below the VWAP, it suggests that selling pressure is increasing, and it may be a good time to exit a long position or enter a short position.
Traders typically use the MA VWAP crossover strategy in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make more informed trading decisions. As with any trading strategy, it is important to carefully consider the risks and potential rewards before making any trades.
This strategy is applicable to all timeframes and the relevant parameters for the underlying indicators (RSI and MA/VWAP) can be adjusted and optimized as needed.
Backtesting
Backtesting gives outstanding results on all timeframes and drawdowns can be reduced to a minimum level. In this example, the hourly chart for MCFT has been used.
Settings for backtesting are:
- Period from Jan 2020 until March 2023
- Starting capital 100k USD
- Position size = 25% of equity
- 0.01% commission = USD 2.50.- per Trade
- Slippage = 2 ticks
Other comments
- This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
- The combination of the Trend-Template and the RSI qualifiers results in a highly selective strategy which only considers the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
- Consequently, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
JS-TechTrading: VWAP Momentum_Pullback StrategyGeneral Description and Unique Features of this Script
Introducing the VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy (long-only) that offers several unique features:
1. Our script/strategy utilizes Mark Minervini's Trend-Template as a qualifier for identifying stocks and other financial securities in confirmed uptrends.
NOTE: In this basic version of the script, the Trend-Template has to be used as a separate indicator on TradingView (Public Trend-Template indicators are available on TradingView – community scripts). It is recommended to only execute buy signals in case the stock or financial security is in a stage 2 uptrend, which means that the criteria of the trend-template are fulfilled.
2. Our strategy is based on the supply/demand balance in the market, making it timeless and effective across all timeframes. Whether you are day trading using 1- or 5-min charts or swing-trading using daily charts, this strategy can be applied and works very well.
3. We have also integrated technical indicators such as the RSI and the MA / VWAP crossover into this strategy to identify low-risk pullback entries in the context of confirmed uptrends. By doing so, the risk profile of this strategy and drawdowns are being reduced to an absolute minimum.
Minervini’s Trend-Template and the ‘Stage-Analysis’ of the Markets
This strategy is a so-called 'long-only' strategy. This means that we only take long positions, short positions are not considered.
The best market environment for such strategies are periods of stable upward trends in the so-called stage 2 - uptrend.
In stable upward trends, we increase our market exposure and risk.
In sideways markets and downward trends or bear markets, we reduce our exposure very quickly or go 100% to cash and wait for the markets to recover and improve. This allows us to avoid major losses and drawdowns.
This simple rule gives us a significant advantage over most undisciplined traders and amateurs!
'The Trend is your Friend'. This is a very old but true quote.
What's behind it???
• 98% of stocks made their biggest gains in a Phase 2 upward trend.
• If a stock is in a stable uptrend, this is evidence that larger institutions are buying the stock sustainably.
• By focusing on stocks that are in a stable uptrend, the chances of profit are significantly increased.
• In a stable uptrend, investors know exactly what to expect from further price developments. This makes it possible to locate low-risk entry points.
The goal is not to buy at the lowest price – the goal is to buy at the right price!
Each stock goes through the same maturity cycle – it starts at stage 1 and ends at stage 4
Stage 1 – Neglect Phase – Consolidation
Stage 2 – Progressive Phase – Accumulation
Stage 3 – Topping Phase – Distribution
Stage 4 – Downtrend – Capitulation
This strategy focuses on identifying stocks in confirmed stage 2 uptrends. This in itself gives us an advantage over long-term investors and less professional traders.
By focusing on stocks in a stage 2 uptrend, we avoid losses in downtrends (stage 4) or less profitable consolidation phases (stages 1 and 3). We are fully invested and put our money to work for us, and we are fully invested when stocks are in their stage 2 uptrends.
But how can we use technical chart analysis to find stocks that are in a stable stage 2 uptrend?
Mark Minervini has developed the so-called 'trend template' for this purpose. This is an essential part of our JS-TechTrading pullback strategy. For our watchlists, only those individual values that meet the tough requirements of Minervini's trend template are eligible.
The Trend Template
• 200d MA increasing over a period of at least 1 month, better 4-5 months or longer
• 150d MA above 200d MA
• 50d MA above 150d MA and 200d MA
• Course above 50d MA, 150d MA and 200d MA
• Ideally, the 50d MA is increasing over at least 1 month
• Price at least 25% above the 52w low
• Price within 25% of 52w high
• High relative strength according to IBD.
NOTE: In this basic version of the script, the Trend-Template has to be used as a separate indicator on TradingView (Public Trend-Template indicators are available in TradingView – community scripts). It is recommended to only execute buy signals in case the stock or financial security is in a stage 2 uptrend, which means that the criteria of the trend-template are fulfilled.
This strategy can be applied to all timeframes from 5 min to daily.
The VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strateg y
For the JS-TechTrading VWAP Momentum-Pullback Strategy, only stocks and other financial instruments that meet the selected criteria of Mark Minervini's trend template are recommended for algorithmic trading with this startegy.
A further prerequisite for generating a buy signals is that the individual value is in a short-term oversold state (RSI).
When the selling pressure is over and the continuation of the uptrend can be confirmed by the MA / VWAP crossover after reaching a price low, a buy signal is issued by this strategy.
Stop-loss limits and profit targets can be set variably.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical indicator developed by Welles Wilder in 1978. The RSI is used to perform a market value analysis and identify the strength of a trend as well as overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator is calculated on a scale from 0 to 100 and shows how much an asset has risen or fallen relative to its own price in recent periods.
The RSI is calculated as the ratio of average profits to average losses over a certain period of time. A high value of the RSI indicates an overbought situation, while a low value indicates an oversold situation. Typically, a value > 70 is considered an overbought threshold and a value < 30 is considered an oversold threshold. A value above 70 signals that a single value may be overvalued and a decrease in price is likely , while a value below 30 signals that a single value may be undervalued and an increase in price is likely.
For example, let's say you're watching a stock XYZ. After a prolonged falling movement, the RSI value of this stock has fallen to 26. This means that the stock is oversold and that it is time for a potential recovery. Therefore, a trader might decide to buy this stock in the hope that it will rise again soon.
The MA / VWAP Crossover Trading Strategy
This strategy combines two popular technical indicators: the Moving Average (MA) and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). The MA VWAP crossover strategy is used to identify potential trend reversals and entry/exit points in the market.
The VWAP is calculated by taking the average price of an asset for a given period, weighted by the volume traded at each price level. The MA, on the other hand, is calculated by taking the average price of an asset over a specified number of periods. When the MA crosses above the VWAP, it suggests that buying pressure is increasing, and it may be a good time to enter a long position. When the MA crosses below the VWAP, it suggests that selling pressure is increasing, and it may be a good time to exit a long position or enter a short position.
Traders typically use the MA VWAP crossover strategy in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make more informed trading decisions. As with any trading strategy, it is important to carefully consider the risks and potential rewards before making any trades.
This strategy is applicable to all timeframes and the relevant parameters for the underlying indicators (RSI and MA/VWAP) can be adjusted and optimized as needed.
Backtesting
Backtesting gives outstanding results on all timeframes and drawdowns can be reduced to a minimum level. In this example, the hourly chart for MCFT has been used.
Settings for backtesting are:
- Period from April 2020 until April 2021 (1 yr)
- Starting capital 100k USD
- Position size = 25% of equity
- 0.01% commission = USD 2.50.- per Trade
- Slippage = 2 ticks
Other comments
• This strategy has been designed to identify the most promising, highest probability entries and trades for each stock or other financial security.
• The RSI qualifier is highly selective and filters out the most promising swing-trading entries. As a result, you will normally only find a low number of trades for each stock or other financial security per year in case you apply this strategy for the daily charts. Shorter timeframes will result in a higher number of trades / year.
• As a result, traders need to apply this strategy for a full watchlist rather than just one financial security.
Extended Price Volume Trend Strategy : EducationalThe Extended Price Volume Trend (EPVT) is a technical indicator that is used to identify potential trend changes and measure the strength of a trend. In this strategy, we combine the EPVT with other indicators to create a trading system that aims to capture trend reversals and momentum shifts.
The EPVT indicator is calculated by taking the cumulative volume and multiplying it by the percentage change in price. We then find the highest and lowest values of this indicator over a certain period of time to determine the baseline. The difference between the EPVT and the baseline is then plotted on a chart to create the EPVT line.
To use this indicator for trading, we look for crossovers of the EPVT line with zero. When the EPVT crosses above zero, it indicates that buying pressure is increasing, and we may consider taking a long position. Conversely, when the EPVT crosses below zero, it indicates that selling pressure is increasing, and we may consider taking a short position.
To further refine our trading signals, we use three take-profit levels, which we set as a percentage of the current EPVT value. We also use a simple moving average to provide additional confirmation of trend changes.
In summary, the EPVT trading strategy is a technical analysis-based approach to trading that aims to identify potential trend reversals and momentum shifts. By combining the EPVT indicator with other technical tools, we can create a comprehensive trading system that provides clear entry and exit signals for both long and short positions. Please note that this strategy is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice.
Trend Line Trendlines are easily recognizable lines that traders draw on charts to connect a series of prices together or show some data's best fit. The resulting line is then used to give the trader a good idea of the direction in which an investment's value might move.
A trendline is a line drawn over pivot highs or under pivot lows to show the prevailing direction of price. Trendlines are a visual representation of support and resistance in any time frame. They show direction and speed of price, and also describe patterns during periods of price contraction.
Key Takeaways
Trendlines indicate the best fit of some data using a single line.
A single trendline can be applied to a chart to give a clearer picture of the trend.
The time period being analyzed and the exact points used to create a trendline vary from trader to trader.
The trendline is among the most important tools used by technical analysts. Instead of looking at past business performance or other fundamentals, technical analysts look for trends in price action. A trendline helps technical analysts determine the current direction in market prices. Technical analysts believe the trend is your friend, and identifying this trend is the first step in the process of making a good trade.
To create a trendline, an analyst must have at least two points on a price chart. Some analysts like to use different time frames such as one minute or five minutes. Others look at daily charts or weekly charts. Some analysts put aside time altogether, choosing to view trends based on tick intervals rather than intervals of time. What makes trendlines so universal in usage and appeal is they can be used to help identify trends regardless of the time period, time frame or interval used.
Flat Market and Low ADX Indicator [CHE]Why use the Flat Market and Low ADX Indicator ?
Flat markets, where prices remain within a narrow range for an extended period, can be both critical and dangerous for traders. In a flat market, the price action becomes less predictable, and traders may struggle to find profitable trading opportunities. As a result, many traders may decide to take a break from the market until a clear trend emerges.
However, flat markets can also be dangerous for traders who continue to trade despite the lack of clear trends. In the absence of a clear direction, traders may be tempted to take larger risks or make impulsive trades in an attempt to capture small profits. Such behavior can quickly lead to significant losses, especially if the market suddenly breaks out of its flat range, causing traders to experience large drawdowns.
Therefore, it is essential to approach flat markets with caution and to have a clear trading plan that incorporates strategies for both trending and flat markets. Traders may also use technical indicators, such as the Flat Market and Low ADX Indicator, to help identify flat markets and determine when it is appropriate to enter or exit a position.
The confluence between flat markets and low ADX readings can further increase the risk of trading during these periods. The ADX (Average Directional Index) is a technical indicator used to measure the strength of a trend. A low ADX reading indicates that the market is in a consolidation phase, which can coincide with a flat market. When a flat market occurs during a period of low ADX, traders should be even more cautious, as there is little to no directional bias in the market. In this situation, traders may want to consider waiting for a clear trend to emerge or using range-bound trading strategies to avoid taking excessive risks.
Introduction:
Pine Script is a programming language used for developing custom technical analysis indicators and trading strategies in TradingView. This particular script is an indicator designed to identify flat markets and low ADX conditions. In this description, we will delve deeper into the functionality of this script and how it can be used to improve trading decisions.
Description:
The first input in the script is the length of the moving average used for calculating the center line. This moving average is used to define the high and low range of the market. The script then calculates the middle value of the range by taking the double exponential moving average (EMA) of the high, low, and close prices.
The script then determines whether the market is flat by comparing the middle value of the range with the high and low values. If the middle value is greater than the high value or less than the low value, the market is not flat. If the middle value is within the high and low range, the script considers the market to be flat. The script also uses RSI filter settings to further confirm if the market is flat or not. If the RSI value is between the RSI min and max values, then the market is considered flat. If the RSI value is outside this range, the market is not considered flat.
The script also calculates the ADX (Average Directional Index) to determine whether it's in a low area. ADX is a technical indicator used to measure the strength of a trend. The script uses the ADX filter settings to define the ADX threshold value. If the ADX value is below the threshold value, the script considers the market to be in a low ADX area.
The script provides various input options to customize the display settings, including the option to show the flat market and low ADX areas. Users can choose their preferred colors for the flat market and low ADX areas and adjust the transparency levels to suit their needs.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, this Pine Script indicator is designed to identify flat market and low ADX conditions, which can help traders make informed trading decisions. The script uses a range of inputs and calculations to determine the market direction, RSI filter, and ADX filter. By customizing the display settings, users can adjust the indicator to suit their preferences and improve their trading strategies. Overall, this script can be a valuable tool for traders looking to gain an edge in the markets.
Acknowledgments:
Thanks to the Pine Script™ v5 User Manual www.tradingview.com
TheATR™: Volatility Extremes (VolEx)Volatility is a crucial aspect of financial markets that is closely monitored by traders and investors alike. The traditional Average True Range (ATR) oscillator is a widely used technical indicator for measuring volatility in financial markets. However, there are limitations to the ATR oscillator, as it does not account for changing market conditions and may not adequately reflect extreme price movements. To address these limitations, TheATR has developed the VolEx indicator, which aims to identify extremes in the ATR oscillator by building dynamic thresholds using either a 'percentage' or 'standard deviation' based comparison with the value of the ATR.
The VolEx indicator utilizes a dynamic approach to measure volatility by considering the current level of the ATR oscillator relative to the dynamically generated thresholds. The dynamic thresholds are calculated based on the current ATR value and the chosen method of comparison (either 'percentage' or 'standard deviation'). If the ATR value exceeds the upper dynamic threshold, the market is experiencing high volatility, while a value below the lower dynamic threshold indicates low volatility.
The VolEx indicator offers several advantages over traditional volatility indicators, such as the ATR oscillator. First, it takes into account the changing market conditions and adjusts the thresholds accordingly. Second, it offers flexibility in the choice of the comparison method, allowing traders to tailor the indicator to their specific trading strategies. Finally, it provides clear signals for identifying extremes in volatility, which can be used to inform trading decisions.
In summary, the VolEx indicator developed by TheATR is a dynamic and flexible technical indicator that offers a robust approach to measuring volatility in financial markets. By utilizing dynamic thresholds and allowing for different comparison methods, the VolEx indicator provides a valuable tool for traders and investors seeking to identify extremes in market volatility..
NOTE: It is important to note that volatility, as measured by the VolEx indicator, does not provide any directional bias for the market movement. Rather, it simply indicates the degree to which the market is moving, regardless of direction. Traders and investors must use other technical or fundamental analysis tools to determine the direction of the market and make informed trading decisions based on their individual strategies and risk tolerance.
Big Bars DetectorIf a big bar with high volume appears during an uptrend, this may indicate strong buying pressure i.e. the bar acts as support. vice versa, if a big bar with high volume appears during a downtrend i.e. the bar acts as resistance.
How to use ?
It is easy to use whenever the label appears on the candle's high (make sure the candle's color is Red for a bear candle, for example). If a Green bar has a label on its low, simply use the candle's low as support, and vice versa. If the candle's high has a label, consider using it as resistance.
The values display in labels on the top / bottom of the bar is the volume on that particular candle
Hope you like and help in your trading !!!
if any have question / suggestion comment below or just message me.
Thanks and Regards,
TradingTail
Overvalued/Undervalued OverlayThis indicator will tell you whether the security you are looking at is overvalued or undervalued using a company's total assets and their market cap. In theory, a company's total assets is everything that they own, which then should technically be how much the company is worth. Therefore, if the company's market cap is higher than their total assets, the indicator will read "Overvalued by X%". However, if the company's market cap is lower than their total assets, the indicator will read "Undervalued by X%". If you have any questions, feel free to let me know. Keep in mind that this indicator should be only used for long-term investing.
Intrabar Analyzer [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This indicator (Intrabar Analyzer) presents intrabar data in various derivative forms.
On-Chart Features
Traditional price data down to 1 min.
Heikin-Ashi price data down to 1 min.
Kagi price data down to 1 min.
Point & Figure price data down to 1 min.
Renko price data down to 1 min.
Linebreak price data down to 1 min.
LinReg channel
SMA
EMA
ALMA
Echomorphic Average (A @kaigouthro special!)
HMA
RMA
WMA
VWMA
VWAP
SWMA
SAR
Supertrend
On-Chart Features
Price x Volume graph
Intrabar technical rating
Positive volume index
Negative volume index
Price volume trend
RSI
%k
ROC
MFI
MFC
OBV
CCI
BBW
CMO
COG
KCW
MOM
RANGE
%r
Let's look at the objects populated by the indicator!
The image above shows what data correlates to the populated graphs!
Let's dial in on the price x volume graph.
The image above provides an example/explanation of the price x volume graph. All data is sourced from a lower timeframe (configurable - default = 1 minute).
Colors are configurable; the plot characters are configurable.
The numbers above show an alternative view of the price x volume graph!
Price graph
The price graph can populate 6 variations of price data: traditional, heikin-ashi, renko, point & figure, line break, and kagi.
The subsequent images will show all available forms of price data, in addition to a randomly selected, on-chart technical indicator!
Kagi + LinReg
Traditional + EMA
Renko + SAR
Point & Figure + ALMA
Heikin-Ashi + Supertrend
Line Break + VWAP
You can display up to three indicators concomitantly - all calculated using intrabar data!
Lastly, the indicator displays the TradingView calculated technical rating for the intrabar.
The technical ratings are multiplied by x100 and oriented left & right of the price box. Left values are negative; right values are positive. The "0" value is not shown; therefore, if the technical rating isn't highlighted then the rating is "0".
The image above shows the technical rating system in action (:
That's it!
This was a fun project and I'm certainly willing to add more - let me know if there's anything you'd like included.
Additionally, a future feature involves compatibility with any custom indicator! Stay tuned; thank you for checking this out (:
Thank you to @kaigouthro, TradingView and @PineCoders for providing some cool libraries to play with!
Dark Energy Divergence OscillatorThe Dark Energy Divergence Oscillator (DEDO)
What makes The Universe grow at an accelerating pace?
Dark Energy.
What makes The Economy grow at an accelerating pace?
Debt.
Debt is the Dark Energy of The Economy.
I pronounce DEDO "Deed-oh", but variations are fine with me.
Note: The Pine Script version of DEDO is improved from the original formula, which used a constant all-time high calculation in the normalization factor. This was technically not as accurate for calculating liquidity pressure in historical data because it meant that historical prices were being tested against future liquidity factors. Now using Pine, the functions can be normalized for the bar at the time of calculation, so the liquidity factors are normalized per candle, not across the entire series, which feels like an improvement to me.
Thought Process:
It's all about the liquidity. What I started with is a correlation between major stock indices such as SPX and WRESBAL , a balance sheet metric on FRED
After September 2008, when QE was initiated, many asset valuations started to follow more closely with liquidity factors. This led me to create a function that could combine asset prices and liquidity in WRESBAL , in order to calculate their divergence and chart the signal in TradingView.
The original formula:
First, we don't want "non-QE" data. we only want data for the market affected by QE .
So, find SPX on the day of pre-QE: 1255.08 and subtract that from the 2022 top 4818.62 = 3563.54
With this post-QE SPX range, now you can normalize the price level simply by dividing by the range = ( SPX -1255.08)/3563.54)
Normalization produces values from 0 to 1 so that they can be compared with other normalized figures.
In order to test the 0 to 1 normalized SPX range measure against the liquidity number, WRESBAL , it's the same idea: normalize it using the max as the denominator and you get a 0 to 1 liquidity index:
( WRESBAL /4276000000000)
Subtract one from the other to get the divergence:
(( WRESBAL /4276000000000)-(( SPX -1255.08)/3563.54))*10
x10 to reduce decimal places, but this option is configurable in DEDO's input settings tab.
Positive values indicate there's ample liquidity to hold up price or even create bullish momentum in some cases. Negative values mean price levels are potentially extended beyond what liquidity levels can support.
Note: many viewers of the charts on social media wanted the values to go down in alignment with price moving down, so inverting the chart is what I do with Option + I. I like the fact that negative values represent a deficit in liquidity to hold up price but that's just me.
Now with Pine Script and some help from other liquidity focused accounts on TradingView , I was able to derive a script that includes central bank liquidity and Reverse Repo liquidity drain, all in one algorithm, with adjustable settings.
Central bank assets included in this version:
-JPY (Japan)
-CNY (China)
-UK (British Pound)
-SNB (Swiss National Bank)
-ECB (European Central Bank )
Central Bank assets can be adjusted to an allocation % so that the formula is adjusted for the market cap of the asset.
A handy table in the lower right corner displays useful information about the asset market cap, and percentage it represents in the liquidity pool.
Reverse repo soak is also an optional addition in the Input settings using the RRPONTSYD value from FRED. This value is subtracted from global liquidity used to determine divergence since it is swept away from markets when residing in the Fed's reverse repo facility.
There is an option to draw a line at the Zero bound. This provides a convenience so that the line doesn't keep having to be redrawn on every chart. The normalized equation produces a value that should oscillate around zero, as price/valuation grows past liquidity support, falls under it, and repeats in cycles.
Crypto McClellan Oscillator (SLN Fix)This is an adaption of the Mcclellan Oscillator for crypto. Instead of tracking the S&P500 it tracks a selection of cryptos to make sure the indicator follows this sector instead.
Full credit goes to the creator of this indicator: Fadior. It has since been fixed by SLN.
The following description explains the standard McClellan Oscillator. Full credit to Investopedia , my fav source of financial explanations.
The same principles applies to its use in the crypto sector, but please be cautious of the last point, the limitations. Since crypto is more volatile, that could amplify choppy behavior.
This is not financial advice, please be extremely cautious. This indicator is only suitable as a confirmation signal and needs support of other signals to be profitable.
This indicator usually produces the best signals on slightly above daily time frame. I personally like 2 or 3 day, but you have to find the settings suitable for your trading style.
What Is the McClellan Oscillator?
The McClellan Oscillator is a market breadth indicator that is based on the difference between the number of advancing and declining issues on a stock exchange, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ.
The indicator is used to show strong shifts in sentiment in the indexes, called breadth thrusts. It also helps in analyzing the strength of an index trend via divergence or confirmation.
The McClellan Oscillator formula can be applied to any stock exchange or group of stocks.
A reading above zero helps confirm a rise in the index, while readings below zero confirm a decline in the index.
When the index is rising but the oscillator is falling, that warns that the index could start declining too. When the index is falling and the oscillator is rising, that indicates the index could start rising soon. This is called divergence.
A significant change, such as moving 100 points or more, from a negative reading to a positive reading is called a breadth thrust. It may indicate a strong reversal from downtrend to uptrend is underway on the stock exchange.
How to Calculate the McClellan Oscillator
To get the calculation started, track Advances - Declines on a stock exchange for 19 and 39 days. Calculate a simple average for these, not exponential moving average (EMA).
Use these simple values as the Prior Day EMA values in the 19- and 39-day EMA formulas.
Calculate the 19- and 39-day EMAs.
Calculate the McClellan Oscillator value.
Now that the value has been calculated, on the next calculation use this value for the Prior Day EMA. Start calculating EMAs for the formula instead of simple averages.
If using the adjusted formula, the steps are the same, except use ANA instead of using Advances - Declines.
What Does the McClellan Oscillator Tell You?
The McClellan Oscillator is an indicator based on market breadth which technical analysts can use in conjunction with other technical tools to determine the overall state of the stock market and assess the strength of its current trend.
Since the indicator is based on all the stocks in an exchange, it is compared to the price movements of indexes that reflect that exchange, or compared to major indexes such as the S&P 500.
Positive and negative values indicate whether more stocks, on average, are advancing or declining. The indicator is positive when the 19-day EMA is above the 39-day EMA, and negative when the 19-day EMA is below the 39-day EMA.
A positive and rising indicator suggests that stocks on the exchange are being accumulated. A negative and falling indicator signals that stocks are being sold. Typically such action confirms the current trend in the index.
Crossovers from positive to negative, or vice versa, may signal the trend has changed in the index or exchange being tracked. When the indicator makes a large move, typically of 100 points or more, from negative to positive territory, that is called a breadth thrust.
It means a large number of stocks moved up after a bearish move. Since the stock market tends to rise over time, this a positive signal and may indicate that a bottom in the index is in and prices are heading higher overall.
When index prices and the indicator are moving in different directions, then the current index trend may lack strength. Bullish divergence occurs when the oscillator is rising while the index is falling. This indicates the index could head higher soon since more stocks are starting to advance.
Bearish divergence is when the index is rising and the indicator is falling. This means fewer stocks are keeping the advance going and prices may start to head lower.
Limitations of Using the McClellan Oscillator
The indicator tends to produce lots of signals. Breadth thrusts, divergence, and crossovers all occur with some frequency, but not all these signals will result in the price/index moving in the expected direction.
The indicator is prone to producing false signals and therefore should be used in conjunction with price action analysis and other technical indicators.
The indicator can also be quite choppy, moving between positive and negative territory rapidly. Such action indicates a choppy market, but this isn't evident until the indicator has made this whipsaw move a few times.
Good luck and a big thanks to Fadior!
Recession Warning Traffic LightThis is an indicator that uses 6 different metrics to determine the combined probability of a recession and compares the high probability warning periods against actual historical periods of recession.
GREEN tells us that the referenced recession indicators are not exhibiting any warning. Observe the long stretches of “all-green” in between recessionary periods in the chart above.
RED will show a full-on warning level for that particular recession indicator, signaling that monitoring of this sector is clearly showing a problem – which has in the past, reliably exhibited itself as a forewarning of recessions.
Adding green and red together can help determine a combined probability of recession.
IMPORTANT: Your chart should be on 1d and set to SPX , DJI ,or NDQ indices
Precious metals: This indicator calculates the relative prices of Gold & rhodium. Gold is a flight-to-quality asset. Rhodium is the rarest of precious industrial metals and prices spike when the economy is heating up. In front of a recession, the upper relative movement of rhodium precedes gold.
Stock markets: This indicator compares closing prices to growth rate curves of the SPX. This indication is the noisiest but tells us very well when the recession has ended. Stock market indices, which respond to “smart money” moving out of markets when the other indicators begin to warn of recession, or when markets become overheated and rise to historically unsustainable levels.
Yield curve: This indicator compares the 3m & 10y treasuries and detects yield curve inversions. Interest rates are controlled by the Federal Reserve and by the purchasers in the Federal Treasury auction markets, which together create the treasury yield curve. This inversion is the most reliable recession indicator. These happen during a flight to quality.
Federal Reserve: This indicator measures GDP and detects contraction which is technically a recession. This is usually one of the last indicators to enter a Warning state, and it could be 6 months delayed simply confirming what may have already been projected.
Money Supply. This indicator measures the M2 money supply, which typically grows about 1% per calendar quarter. When this shrinks, it's tapping the brakes on the economy. This can also lead to yield curve inversion. This is also a measure of inflation and its effects on the aggregate money supply (liquid capital) available for short-term economic activity, or which can be directed into the purchase of long-term, less liquid assets.
Leading Economic factors: There is a whole basket of leading economic indicators that, as collections, reflect overall growth or contraction of economic activity. These indicators include measures of level and growth in productivity, employment, housing, consumer confidence, industrial purchasing confidence, and much more. These indicators may or may not be detached from the broader economy, and often provide up to 6 months of foresight. For more information please visit www.conference-board.org
Actual Recession: Central Bank indicators are published by the Federal Reserve and reflect their own analysis of national and regional economic health, as well as their calculations of the likelihood of a recession. The Federal Reserve has a recession ticker which is used to plot periods of actual recessions on this indicator for comparison.
VolumeFlowVolume & price have a direct correlation with each other. If the fundamental value changes, the price changes and volume follows. If the technicals change, volume changes and price follows.
Because the relationship between volume and price is so connected, I created a script highlighting important volume flow measurements.
The VolumeFlow indicator combines several volume measurements into 1 indicator.
1) Volume net inflow / outflow
2) Volume total flow change
3) Volume cumulation flow
The VolumeFlow indicator uses a scale from 100 high to -100 low, with the zero level being neutral.
The VolumeFlow indicator has 4 inputs:
1) +Volume-
2) VolumeFast
3) VolumeSlow
4) Accum/Dist
Default inputs:
+Volume-
length = 1, color = + green or - red
VolumeFast
length = 2, color = blue
VolumeSlow
length = 3, color = white
Accum/Dist
length = 5, color = brown
Horizontal lines
length = 100, 50, 0, -50, -100, color = white
* The VolumeFlow indicator uses altered pieces of code from my Options360 FibVIP indicator, Tradingview "Up / down volume" indicator and Tradingview "Accumulation/Distribution" indicator. *
Stan Weinstein Trend IndicatorThis indicator is a trend indicator for trading charts based on the method of Stan Weinstein. It uses various technical methods to identify four trend phases on an asset: consolidation, advancement, plateauing, and decline. Users can customize the indicator by modifying parameters such as the periods for various calculations, such as the exponential moving average (EMA), the relative strength index (RSI), and support and resistance levels. The results of these calculations are then used to determine if an asset is in a phase of consolidation, advancement, plateauing, or decline.
The results are displayed as markers on the chart, with the following colors:
White: Consolidation
Green: Advancement
Blue: Plateauing
Red: Decline
According to the method of Stan Weinstein, it is recommended to buy an asset during an advancement phase and sell it during a plateauing phase. Similarly, it is recommended to sell an asset during a decline phase and cut this sale when the consolidation phase starts. It is important to note that this indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be used as investment advice. It is important to conduct fundamental and technical analysis before making an investment decision. It is also recommended to combine this analysis with other methods for optimal results and to consider the risks associated with any investment.
All default parameters of this indicator have been carefully chosen to provide the best possible results, however, it is possible to modify them according to personal preferences. It is important to note that modifying certain parameters may make the indicator less relevant and it is therefore recommended not to deviate too much from default values, unless you have a good understanding of the Stan Weinstein method and the technical indicators used.
It is important to note that this indicator is optimized for 1-week charts. It can be used to look at charts at other timeframes but calculations will always be based on weekly data.
Also, it is noteworthy that this indicator is optimized for cryptocurrencies, except Bitcoin, as it is used to calculate the relative strength of a token. However, you can choose the asset or index you want in the menu to calculate the relative strength. Furthermore, all the default settings are carefully chosen, but users are free to modify them, but doing so may result in less relevant results.
Squeeze Range: Bollinger Bands / Keltner Channels [Whvntr]Presenting Squeeze Range: Bollinger Bands / Keltner Channels
TTMSqueeze method is a volatility and momentum indicator introduced by John Carter of Simpler Trading, which capitalizes on the tendency for price to break out strongly after consolidating in a tight trading range.
How did I make this indicator? The Bollinger Bands & Keltner Channels base scripts are from the standard indicators of their class in the Technicals section... I made this indicator first then noticed there were 3 others with a similar concept, but this differs in it's unique features and application of the TTMSqueeze strategy. This indicator plots the True Range of the Keltner Channel (Customizable in 'Bands Style" in the Inputs Menu) the instances the Bollinger Bands are within the range of the Keltner channel (the market just entered a squeeze).
Featuring: customizable Moving Averages
1. Exponential (Default for both BB & KC)
2. Simple
3. RMA (MA used in RSI )
Keltner channels have a multiplier of 2 & 3 on the Chart (3 being the outer).
How do I use this indicator? Once the teal dots are inside the solid red lines this would indicate that TTMperiod of low market volatility (the market is preparing itself for an explosive move up or down). Do some research and study how to use the TTMSqueeze method by John Carter. Disclaimer: not a guarantee of future favorable results.
Stock Value EUThere are many method of measuring value of stock. However I'm proposing most basic stock valuation based on Book Value, Earnings , Dividends and Money Supply:
SV = (BVPS + EPS + DPS ) * ( M3 /M1)
BVPS = Book Value Per Share (Asset - Liability)
EPS = Earnings Per Share
DPS = Dividends Per Share
M3 = M3 Money Supply (Money Market)
M1 = M1 Money Supply (Base Money)
Fundamental value of a stock should be determine by it's BV which means total asset of a company if were liquidated today and use some of it's asset to pay of the debt. So technically BVPS is the intrinsic value of a stock. However the company is generating an earning which is profit and loss that should be added on top of the fundamental value of company, so thus EPS should be added on top of Book Value Per Share. Aside from earnings , the stock that you purchase give you dividends as your return so DPS also can be included on top of that. So all in all BVPS, EPS and DPS are the primary valuation of the stock. However most of the stock are traded way higher than their fundamental valuation. The main reason of this is the market dynamics which is driven by central banks printing of base money supply M0. The banking credit system then lend out this money to money markets as loan so that peoples can invest and by the company stock. This money supply extension of credit is known as money market M2 which drive the stock inflated price. The ratio between M2 and M0 are the money multiplier effect that drives the stock price higher than it's valuation. So the Stock Value should be the total number of BVPS + EPS + DPS times the M2 money multiplier as shown by this indicator.
If the stock are traded above their SV value, that means it's an overpriced bubble
If the stock are traded below their SV value, that means it's an underpriced burst
This indicator is only applicable for EU based stock chart, because we use EU money supply to do the money multiplier calculation. For other country stocks take a look our other indicator:
- Stock Value EU - applicable for European stocks
- Stock Value CN - applicable for Chinese stocks
- Valuation Rainbow - applicable for all countries
RedK K-MACD : a MACD with some more musclesMoving Averages are probably the most commonly used analysis tools, and MACD is possibly the first charting indicator a trader gets to learn about.
MACD Basic concept
----------------------------
Without repeating all the tons of documentation about what MACD does, let's quickly re-visit the MACD concept from a 10-mile altitude (note we're keen on simplifying here rather than being technically accurate - so please forgive the use of any "common lingos")
- MACD goal is to represent the distance between 2 Moving Averages (MAs) - one fast and one slow, relatively - as an unrestricted zero-based oscillator.
- The value of the main MACD line is the distance, or the displacement between the 2 MA's
- usually a signal line is used (which is another MA of that distance value) to enable better visualization of the change (and rate of change, since this is all depicted on a time axis) of that displacement - this represents price momentum (price movement in the recent period versus movements for a relatively longer period).
- the difference between the main MACD line and its signal is then represented as a histogram above and below the zero line. in this case, that histogram is really redundant, since it shows a value that is already represented visually by the main line and its signal line.
How K-MACD is different
---------------------------------
K-MACD takes that simple concept of the classic MACD and expands around it - the idea is to use the same simple approach to representing price momentum while bringing in more insight to price moves in the short, medium and long terms, ability to represent more than 2 MA's and to enable better identification of tradeable patterns (like Volatility Contraction and others) - while still keeping things simple and visually clean.
K-MACD is an indicator that allows us to view how price moves against 3 moving averages: a fast / slow pair, and a "market" Filter or Baseline (very long) that will be used as a flag for Bear/Bull market mode. Many traders and trading literature use the 200 day (40 week) SMA as that key filter
so in total, there are 4 MA lines in K-MACD (excluding the "orange" signal line):
* Price Proxy: Which is a very fast moving average that will represent the price itself - let's use a WMA(3) or something close to that here - there will be a signal line to enable better visualization of this similar to a classic MACD - that's the orange line
* Fast & Slow MA's : Use whatever represents the "medium term" momentum for your trading - Some traders use 20 and 50, others use 10 and 20 .. if on your price chart, you keep using a pair of MA's for this, use the same settings in K-MACD - these will be represented by the 3-color Momentum Bars that fluctuate above and below the baseline
* Filter/Baseline MA: Should be your long (Bullish/Bearish Mode) MA. so 100 or 200 or any other value you consider your market to be bearish below and bullish above. on K-MACD this is actually the blue zero line - everything else is "relative" to it
Review the sample chart which explains various elements and the "price chart" setup that K-MACD represents. With K-MACD you can clean up your chart from those various Moving Averages - or use a different set than the ones you already have K-MACD represent - or other indicators (like ATR channels..etc)
Other "muscles" in the K-MACD
---------------------------------------------
- Relative vs Classic Calculation Mode
A key issue with the classic MACD is that the displacement between the 2 moving averages is represented as "absolute or direct" values - as the price of the underlying increases with time, you can't really use these values to make useful comparison between the past and now (see below example) - also you can't use them to compare 2 different instruments.
- The "Relative" calculation option in K-MACD addresses that issue by relating all "distances" to the Baseline MA as percentage (above or below) - you can see this clear when you look at the above chart the far left versus the far right and compare K-MACD with the classic MACD - the Classic option is still available
- More MA "type" options for all MA lines: choose between SMA, EMA, WMA, and RSS_WMA (which i use a lot in my trading and is my default for the Price Proxy)
- More Alerts: a total or 9 alerts (in 3 groups) are available with K-MACD (Momentum above or below baseline, Price Proxy crossing signal line, and Price Proxy crossing baseline)
- New 52 week High / Low markers: These will show as Green/red circles on the zero line in K-MACD. this will only work for 1D timeframe and above, i'm just using a simple approach and would like to keep it that way.
- i know i added some more features not covered above :) -- if you have questions about any of the settings, feel free to ask below
Closing thoughts
-------------------------
K-MACD is a combination of couple of indicators i published in the past (xMACD and Mo_Bars) - so you can go back and read about them if needed - I then added improvements to accommodate ideas from swing trading literature and common practices that i plan to focus on in future. So K-MACD is really part of my own trading setup.
I assume here that most traders are familiar with what a MACD is - so kept this post short - if you thing we should expand more about the concepts covered here let me know in the comments - i can make some separate posts with examples and more details.
I hope many fellow traders find this work useful - and feel free let me know in comments below if you do.
Volatility Compression Ratio by M-CarloHello traders. I created this simple indicator to use as a FILTER.
He does not provide any operational signals but tells us if we are in a period of volatility compression or expansion and it can work on all market.
This filter works great for all strategies that work on breakouts
The concept is this: I will enter at breakout of a price level that I consider important, only if there is a volatility compression and not in the case of expansion of volatility.
Technically the calculation is very simple:
Step 1: I calculate the ATR at "x" periods, I set 7 by default because I get better results but you can change it as you like using the "atr length" field. You can also choose whether to calculate the ATR via RMA, SMA or EMA.
Step 2: I Calculate a simple average of the previous ATR over a longer period, longer period than set with the "length multiplier" parameter, which multiplies the "atr length" value by "x" times. Here I set the default 3 but you can change it as you like.
Step 3: I divide the ATR value calculated in step1 by its long-term average calculated in step2, obtaining a value that will oscillate above and below the value of 1
So:
if the indicator is above the value of 1 it means that volatility is expanding
If the indicator is below the value of 1 it means that we are in a period of volatility compression (and as we know volatility explodes sooner or later)
If you have any questions write to me and I hope this filter helps you! Have good Trading!
