Fed Rate ProbabilityFed Rate Probability – Simple & Clean v2.0
Real-time composite score (0–100) for the next Fed move: Rate Cut, Hike or Hold
Overview
A clean, all-in-one indicator that combines the most reliable market signals into two easy-to-read lines:
• Red line → Probability of RATE CUT
• Blue line → Probability of RATE HIKE
• Hold score = 100 – max(cut, hike)
The dominant signal (CUT / HOLD / HIKE) is highlighted in the information table.
Key Features
Automatic daily data from FRED (DFF, 3M/1M/2Y/10Y yields)
Smart fallback to TradingView native symbols (US01MY, US03MY, US02Y, US10Y) when FRED is unavailable
Manual CME FedWatch probability override (perfect for weekends/holidays)
Historical Fed rate cut/hike markers with background shading and labels
Colored probability zones + customizable threshold lines
Threshold-crossing labels and full alert suite
Special alert on 2Y-10Y yield curve un-inversion (strong historical precursor to rate cuts)
Detailed summary table with current spreads, scores and dominant signal
Fully customizable: enable/disable each component, adjust weights indirectly via toggles, change smoothing, thresholds, colors, etc.
Score Composition (0–100 points)
T-bills vs Fed Funds spread – max 50 pts (with persistence & 1M confirmation bonus)
2-Year Treasury vs Fed Funds spread – max 30 pts (or direct CME probability input)
2Y-10Y yield curve behavior – max 20 pts (inversion depth + large bonus on steepening after un-inversion)
Interpretation
0–40 → Low probability
40–60 → Moderate
60–75 → High
75–100 → Very High / Almost certain
Why this indicator?
Instead of checking FRED, CME FedWatch, yield curves and T-bill spreads separately, get everything in one pane with a clear, smoothed composite score and instant alerts when the market starts pricing a Fed move aggressively.
Disclaimer
This is a decision-support tool based on historical relationships and current market pricing. It is not financial advice and past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Enjoy and trade safe! 🚀
חפש סקריפטים עבור "墨尔本城vs西部联"
Luxy VWAP Magic - MTF Projection EngineThis indicator transforms the classic VWAP into a comprehensive trading system. Instead of switching between multiple indicators, you get everything in one place: multi-timeframe analysis, statistical bands, momentum detection, volume profiling, session tracking, and divergence signals.
What Makes This Different
Traditional VWAP indicators show a single line. This tool treats VWAP as a foundation for complete market analysis. The indicator automatically detects your asset type (stocks, crypto, forex, futures) and adjusts its behavior accordingly. Crypto traders get 24/7 session tracking. Stock traders get proper market hours handling. Everyone gets institutional-grade analytics.
Anchor Period Options
The anchor period determines when VWAP resets and recalculates. You have three categories of options:
Time-Based Anchors:
Session - Resets at market open. Best for intraday stock trading where you want fresh VWAP each day.
Day - Resets at midnight UTC. Standard option for most traders.
Week / Month / Quarter / Year - Longer reset periods for swing traders and position traders who want broader context.
Rolling Window Anchors:
Rolling 5D - A sliding 5-day window that never resets. Solves the Monday problem where weekly VWAP equals daily VWAP on first day of week.
Rolling 21D - Approximately one month of trading data in continuous calculation. Excellent for crypto and forex markets that trade 24/7 without clear session breaks.
Event-Based Anchors:
Dividends - Resets on ex-dividend dates. Track institutional cost basis from dividend events.
Splits - Resets on stock split dates. Useful for analyzing post-split trading behavior.
Earnings - Resets on earnings report dates. See where volume-weighted trading occurred since last quarterly report.
Standard Deviation Bands
Three sets of bands surround the main VWAP line:
Band 1 (Aqua) - Plus and minus one standard deviation. Approximately 68% of price action occurs within this range under normal distribution. Touches suggest minor extension.
Band 2 (Fuchsia) - Plus and minus two standard deviations. Only 5% of trading should occur outside this range statistically. Touches here indicate significant overextension and high probability of mean reversion.
Band 3 (Purple) - Plus and minus three standard deviations. Touches are rare (0.3% probability) and represent extreme conditions. Often marks climax moves or panic selling/buying.
Each band can be toggled independently. Most traders show Band 1 by default and add Band 2 and 3 for specific setups or volatile instruments.
Multi-Timeframe VWAP System
The MTF section plots previous period VWAPs as horizontal support and resistance levels:
Daily VWAP - Previous day's final VWAP value. Key intraday reference level.
Weekly VWAP - Previous week's final VWAP. Important for swing traders.
Monthly VWAP - Previous month's final VWAP. Institutional benchmark level.
Quarterly VWAP - Previous quarter's final VWAP. Major support/resistance for position traders.
Previous Day VWAP - Yesterday's closing VWAP specifically, separate from current daily calculation.
The Confluence Zone percentage setting determines how close multiple VWAPs must be to trigger a confluence alert. When two or more timeframe VWAPs converge within this threshold, you get a high-probability support/resistance zone.
Session VWAPs for Global Markets
For forex, crypto, and futures traders who operate in 24/7 markets, the indicator tracks three major global sessions:
Asia Session - UTC 21:00 to 08:00. Gold colored line. Typically lower volatility, range-bound action that sets overnight levels.
London Session - UTC 08:00 to 17:00. Orange colored line. Often determines daily direction with high volume European participation.
New York Session - UTC 13:00 to 22:00. Blue colored line. Highest volume session globally. Sharp directional moves common.
Previous session VWAP values display as horizontal lines when each session closes, acting as intraday support and resistance. The table shows which sessions are currently active with checkmarks.
On-Chart Labels and Signals
The indicator plots several types of labels directly on price action when significant events occur:
Volume Spike Labels
Fire when current bar volume exceeds configurable thresholds relative to both the previous bar and the 20-bar average. Default settings require 300% of previous bar AND 200% of average volume. Green labels indicate bullish candles. Red labels indicate bearish candles. These spikes often mark institutional entry points.
Momentum Shift Labels
Appear when VWAP acceleration changes direction. The Slowing label warns when an active trend loses steam, often preceding reversal. The Accelerating label confirms trend continuation or potential bottom during downtrends. Filters available to show only reversal signals in existing trends.
VWAP Squeeze Labels
Detect when standard deviation bands contract relative to ATR (Average True Range). Low volatility compression often precedes explosive breakout moves. When the squeeze fires (releases), a label appears with directional prediction based on VWAP slope.
Divergence Labels
Mark price/volume divergences using CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) analysis:
Bullish divergence: Price makes lower low, but CVD makes higher low. Hidden accumulation despite price weakness.
Bearish divergence: Price makes higher high, but CVD makes lower high. Hidden distribution despite price strength.
Dynamic VWAP Coloring
The main VWAP line changes color based on its slope direction:
Green - VWAP is rising. Institutional buying pressure. Volume-weighted price increasing.
Red - VWAP is falling. Institutional selling pressure. Volume-weighted price decreasing.
Gray - VWAP is flat. Consolidation or balance between buyers and sellers.
This coloring can be disabled for a static blue line if you prefer cleaner visuals. The VWAP label next to the line shows the current trend direction and delta percentage.
Calculated Projection Cone
One of the most powerful features is the Calculated Projection Cone. Unlike traditional extrapolation methods that simply extend a trend line forward, this system analyzes what actually happened in similar market conditions throughout the chart's history.
How It Works:
The system classifies each bar into one of 27 unique market states:
Z-Score Level - LOW (oversold), MID (fair value), or HIGH (overbought) based on configurable thresholds
Trend Direction - DOWN, FLAT, or UP based on VWAP slope
Volume Profile - LOW (below 80%), NORMAL (80-150%), or HIGH (above 150%) relative volume
When you look at the current bar, the indicator:
1. Identifies the current market state (e.g., LOW Z-Score + UP Trend + HIGH Volume)
2. Searches through all historical bars on the chart that had the same state
3. Calculates what happened in those bars X bars later (where X is your projection horizon)
4. Shows you the probability of up/down and the average move size
Visual Elements:
Probability Cone - Colored green (bullish probability above 55%), red (bearish below 45%), or gold (neutral). The cone width represents the historical range of outcomes (roughly the 20th to 80th percentile).
Center Line - Shows the average expected price based on historical outcomes in similar conditions.
Probability Label - Displays direction probability and average move. Example: "67% UP (+0.8%)" means 67% of similar past cases moved up, averaging 0.8% gain.
Fallback System:
When the exact 27-state match has insufficient historical data:
First fallback: Uses Z-Score plus Trend only (9 broader states, ignoring volume)
Second fallback: Uses Z-Score only (3 states)
When fallback is active, confidence automatically adjusts
Settings:
Projection Horizon - How many bars forward to analyze outcomes (5, 10, 15, or 20 bars, default 10)
Lookback Period - Historical data window in days (30-252, default 60)
Minimum Samples - Cases needed before using fallback (5-30, default 10)
Z-Score Threshold - Bucket boundary for LOW/MID/HIGH classification (1.0, 1.5, or 2.0 sigma)
Cloud Transparency - Adjust visibility (50-95%)
Colors - Customize bullish, bearish, and neutral cone colors
Confidence Levels:
HIGH - 30 or more similar historical cases found
MEDIUM - 15-29 similar cases
LOW - Fewer than 15 cases (more uncertainty)
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER:
The Calculated Projection is based on past patterns only. It is NOT a price prediction or financial advice. Similar market states in the past do not guarantee similar outcomes in the future. The probability shown is historical frequency, not a guarantee. Always combine with other analysis and never rely solely on projections for trading decisions.
Alert Conditions
The indicator includes over 20 pre-built alert conditions:
Price vs VWAP:
Price crosses above VWAP
Price crosses below VWAP
Band Touches:
Price touches plus or minus one sigma band
Price touches plus or minus two sigma band (extreme)
Price touches plus or minus three sigma band (very extreme)
Z-Score Extremes:
Z-Score crosses above plus two (overbought extreme)
Z-Score crosses below minus two (oversold extreme)
Momentum and Trend:
Momentum slowing
Momentum accelerating
Trend turns bullish/bearish/neutral
Volume:
Volume spike detected
CVD Direction:
Buyers take control
Sellers take control
High Probability Signals:
Bullish reversal signal (oversold plus accelerating momentum)
Bearish reversal signal (overbought plus slowing momentum)
MTF and Special:
MTF confluence zone entry
VWAP squeeze fired
Bullish/Bearish divergence detected
Any significant signal (catch-all)
All signals use confirmed bar data to prevent false alerts from incomplete candles.
Settings Overview
Settings are organized into logical groups:
VWAP Settings
Anchor Period selection
Show/Hide VWAP line
Dynamic coloring toggle
VWAP label visibility
Bands Visibility
Toggle each of three bands independently
Info Table
Show/Hide table
Table position (9 options)
Text size
Volume spike label settings with adjustable thresholds
Momentum label settings with filters
Signal labels limited to 5 most recent (auto-managed)
Probability engine lookback period
Multi-Timeframe VWAP
Enable/Disable MTF system
Show MTF in table
Show MTF lines on chart
Individual timeframe toggles
Confluence zone threshold
Squeeze detection toggle
Session VWAPs
Enable/Disable session tracking
Apply to all assets option
Show session labels
Divergence Detection
Enable/Disable divergence
Pivot lookback period
Show divergence labels
Calculated Projection
Enable/Disable projection cone
Projection horizon (5, 10, 15, or 20 bars)
Lookback period in days (30-252)
Minimum samples threshold
Z-Score classification threshold (1.0, 1.5, or 2.0 sigma)
Cloud transparency adjustment
Bullish, bearish, and neutral colors
The Info Table - Your Trading Dashboard
The right side of your chart displays a compact table with up to twelve metrics.
Row-by-Row Breakdown:
Asset and Period - Shows what the indicator detected (US Stock, Crypto, Forex, etc.) and your selected anchor period. The detection happens automatically based on exchange data, so VWAP resets and calculations match your actual trading instrument.
Delta Percentage - How far current price sits from VWAP, expressed as a percentage. Positive means price trades above fair value. Negative means below. Large delta values (beyond 1-2%) often precede mean reversion moves. Day traders watch this for overextension.
Z-Score - Statistical deviation from VWAP measured in standard deviations. Unlike raw delta, Z-Score accounts for volatility. A 2% move in a volatile biotech stock differs from 2% in a stable utility. Z-Score normalizes this. Values beyond plus or minus two sigma occur only 5% of the time statistically.
Trend Direction - Whether VWAP itself is rising, falling, or flat. Rising VWAP means the volume-weighted average price is increasing, which indicates institutional accumulation. Falling VWAP suggests distribution. This differs from price trend since it weights by volume.
Momentum State - Is the trend accelerating or slowing down? This measures the rate of change in VWAP slope. When an uptrend shows slowing momentum, it often precedes reversal. Accelerating momentum in a downtrend can signal capitulation and potential bottom.
Relative Volume - Current bar volume compared to the 20-bar average, shown as percentage. Values above 150% indicate above-average activity. Spikes above 200-300% often mark institutional involvement. Low volume (below 80%) warns of potential fake moves.
MTF Bias - Four checkmarks or X marks showing whether price sits above or below Daily, Weekly, Monthly, and Quarterly VWAP. Four checkmarks means strong bullish alignment across all timeframes. Four X marks indicates bearish alignment. Mixed readings suggest consolidation or transition.
Band Probabilities - Historical statistics showing how often price touched each standard deviation band over your lookback period. This helps you understand if mean reversion or trend following works better for your specific instrument.
Session Status - Which global trading sessions are currently active (Asia, London, New York). Shows checkmarks for active sessions. Important for forex and crypto traders who need to know when major liquidity windows open and close.
Divergence State - Whether the indicator detects bullish or bearish divergence between price and cumulative volume delta. Bullish divergence occurs when price makes lower lows but buying pressure (CVD) makes higher lows, suggesting hidden accumulation.
Confidence Score - A weighted composite of all factors displayed as a progress bar and percentage. Combines MTF alignment, Z-Score, trend direction, volume delta, momentum, and relative volume into a single 0-100 score. Higher scores indicate stronger conviction setups.
Calculated Projection - When the Projection Cone is enabled, shows the historical probability of price direction and expected move. For example: "▲ 67% (+0.8%)" means in similar market states historically, price moved up 67% of the time with an average gain of 0.8%. The system analyzes 27 unique market states based on Z-Score, Trend, and Volume conditions.
Recommended Use Cases
Day Trading Stocks:
Use Session anchor with Band 1 visible. Watch for price returning to VWAP after morning move. Volume spikes near VWAP often mark institutional accumulation zones.
Swing Trading:
Use Weekly or Rolling 21D anchor. Enable MTF lines for Daily and Weekly levels. Trade pullbacks to these levels in direction of MTF bias.
Crypto and Forex:
Enable Session VWAPs. Use Rolling anchors to avoid artificial resets. Monitor session transitions for breakout opportunities.
Mean Reversion:
Focus on Z-Score reaching plus or minus two. Add Band 2 visibility. Combine with slowing momentum for highest probability reversals.
Trend Following:
Watch MTF bias alignment. Four checkmarks plus accelerating momentum plus high volume confirms trend continuation setups.
Projection Planning:
Enable the Calculated Projection to see what happened historically in similar market conditions. Use 5-10 bars for intraday setups, 15-20 bars for swing trade planning. Focus on high probability readings (above 60%) with HIGH confidence (30 or more samples). The cone shows the probable range of outcomes based on actual historical data. Combine with other factors like MTF alignment and volume for higher conviction setups.
Important Notes
The indicator does not repaint. MTF values use previous period's confirmed data.
Rolling VWAP works best on 15-minute timeframes and above due to bar lookback requirements.
Session VWAPs apply to global markets by default (forex, crypto, futures). Enable the all-assets option for stocks if desired.
Volume data for forex represents tick volume, not actual traded volume.
All alert conditions fire only on confirmed (closed) bars to prevent false signals.
The Calculated Projection updates each bar as market state changes. This is expected behavior. The projection shows probabilities based on similar past conditions, not a fixed prediction.
Q AND A
Q: Does this indicator repaint?
A: No. The main VWAP calculation uses standard TradingView VWAP methodology. Multi-timeframe values use previous period's confirmed data with appropriate lookahead settings. All alert signals require bar confirmation.
Q: Why does my Rolling VWAP look different on 1-minute versus 15-minute charts?
A: Rolling VWAP calculates across a fixed number of trading days. On very short timeframes, the bar lookback may hit TradingView limits. For best Rolling VWAP accuracy, use 15-minute or higher timeframes.
Q: Can I use this on any instrument?
A: Yes. The indicator automatically detects asset type and adjusts behavior. Stocks use standard market hours. Crypto uses 24/7 calculations. Forex uses tick volume. Everything adapts automatically.
Q: What does the Confidence Score actually measure?
A: The score combines six weighted factors: MTF alignment (25%), Z-Score position (20%), Trend direction (20%), CVD pressure (15%), Momentum state (10%), and Relative volume (10%). Higher scores indicate more factors aligned in one direction.
Q: Why are Session VWAPs not showing on my stock chart?
A: Session VWAPs apply to 24-hour markets by default (forex, crypto, futures). For stocks, enable the Use for All Assets option in Session VWAP settings.
Q: The Divergence labels appear delayed. Is this a bug?
A: Divergence detection requires pivot confirmation, which needs bars on both sides of the pivot point. The label appears at the actual pivot location (several bars back) once confirmed. This is intentional and prevents false signals.
Q: Can I change the band colors?
A: Yes. Each of the three bands has its own color input setting. You can customize Band 1, Band 2, and Band 3 colors to match your preferences. The defaults are Aqua, Fuchsia, and Purple. The main VWAP line color adapts dynamically based on slope direction or can be set to static blue.
Q: How do I set up alerts?
A: Right-click on the chart, select Add Alert, choose this indicator, and select your desired condition from the dropdown. All conditions include descriptive alert messages with relevant data.
Q: What is the Probability Engine lookback period?
A: This setting determines how many trading days the indicator analyzes to calculate band touch rates and mean reversion statistics. Default is 60 days (approximately 3 months). Longer periods provide more stable statistics but may miss recent behavior changes.
Q: Why do I see fewer labels than expected?
A: Signal labels (Volume, Momentum, Squeeze, Divergence) are limited to 5 most recent labels on the chart to keep it clean. When a new label appears, the oldest one is automatically removed. Additionally, momentum labels have several filters: check the slope multiplier setting (higher values require stronger trends) and the Only Reversal Signals option (when enabled, labels only appear for potential reversals, not trend confirmations).
Q: What is the Calculated Projection and how accurate is it?
A: The Calculated Projection analyzes what happened in past market conditions similar to the current state. It classifies each bar by Z-Score level, Trend direction, and Volume profile (27 unique states), then shows the historical probability of up vs down and the average move size. It is NOT a price prediction or guarantee. The probability shown is how often similar conditions led to up/down moves historically, not a future guarantee. Always use it as one input among many.
Q: Why does the Projection probability change?
A: The projection updates on each bar as market state changes. If Z-Score moves from LOW to MID, or trend shifts from UP to FLAT, the system looks up a different historical category. This is expected behavior. The projection shows what happened in similar past conditions to the current bar's state.
Q: The Projection shows LOW confidence. What does that mean?
A: Confidence levels indicate sample size: HIGH means 30 or more historical cases found, MEDIUM means 15-29 cases, LOW means fewer than 15 cases. When sample size is low, the system uses a fallback: first aggregating by Z-Score plus Trend only (ignoring volume), then by Z-Score only. LOW confidence means less statistical reliability, so weight other factors more heavily in your decision.
Q: Why does the cone sometimes show 50/50 probability?
A: A 50/50 reading means that in similar past market states, price moved up roughly half the time and down half the time. This indicates a neutral or balanced condition where historical patterns provide no directional edge. Consider waiting for a higher probability setup or using other analysis methods.
CREDITS AND ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Methodology Foundation:
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) - Standard institutional benchmark calculation, widely used since the 1980s for algorithmic execution and fair value assessment
Standard Deviation Bands - Statistical volatility measurement applying normal distribution principles to price deviation from mean
Z-Score Analysis - Classic statistical normalization technique for comparing values across different volatility regimes
Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) - Order flow analysis concept measuring aggressive buying versus selling pressure
Concept Integration:
Mean reversion probability engine - Custom historical statistics tracking for band touch rates
Momentum acceleration detection - Second derivative analysis of VWAP slope changes
VWAP Squeeze - Volatility compression concept adapted from TTM Squeeze methodology applied to VWAP bands versus ATR
Confidence scoring system - Weighted composite scoring combining multiple technical factors
Calculated Projection Cone - Probability-based projection using 27-state market classification (Z-Score, Trend, Volume) with historical outcome analysis and weighted fallback system
All calculations use standard public domain formulas and TradingView built-in functions. No proprietary third-party code was used.
For questions, feedback, or feature requests, please comment below or send a private message.
Happy Trading!
RiskCraft - Advanced Risk Management SystemRiskCraft – Risk Intelligence Dashboard
Trade like you actually respect risk
"I know the setup looks good… but how much am I actually risking right now?"
RiskCraft is an open-source Pine Script v6 indicator that keeps risk transparent directly on the chart. It is not a signal generator; it is a risk desk that calculates size, frames volatility, and reminds you when your behaviour drifts away from the plan.
Core utilities
Calculates professional-style position sizing in real time.
Reads volatility and market regime before position size is confirmed.
Adjusts risk based on the trader’s emotional state and confidence inputs.
Maps session risk across Asian, London, and New York hours.
Draws exactly one stop line and one target line in the preferred direction.
Provides rotating education tips plus contextual warnings when risk escalates.
It is intentionally conservative and keeps you in the game long enough for any separate entry logic to matter.
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Chart layout checklist
Use a clean chart on a liquid symbol (e.g., AMEX:SPY or major FX pairs).
Main RiskCraft dashboard placed on the right edge.
Session Risk box on the left with UTC time visible.
Floating risk badge above price.
Stop/target guide lines enabled.
Education panel visible in the bottom-right corner.
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1. On-chart components
Right-side dashboard : account risk %, position size/value, stop, target, risk/reward, regime, trend strength, emotional state, behavioural score, correlation, and preferred trade direction.
Session Risk box : highlights active session (Asian, London, NY), current UTC time, and risk label (High/Med/Low) per session.
Floating risk badge : keeps actual account risk percent visible with colour-coded wording from Ultra Cautious to Very Aggressive.
Stop/target lines : exactly one dashed stop and one dashed target aligned with the preferred bias.
Education panel : rotates core principles and AI-style warnings tied to volatility, risk %, and behaviour flags.
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2. Volatility engine – ATR with context 📈
atr = ta.atr(atrLength)
atrPercent = (atr / close) * 100
atrSMA = ta.sma(atr, atrLength)
volatilityRatio = atr / atrSMA
isHighVol = volatilityRatio > volThreshold
ATR vs ATR SMA shows how wild price is relative to recent history.
Volatility ratio above the threshold flips isHighVol , which immediately trims risk.
An ATR percentile rank over the last 100 bars indicates calm versus chaotic regimes.
Daily ATR sampling via request.security() gives higher time-frame context for intraday sessions.
When volatility spikes the script dials position size down automatically instead of cheering for maximum exposure.
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3. Market regime radar – Danger or Drift 🌊
ema20 = ta.ema(close, 20)
ema50 = ta.ema(close, 50)
ema200 = ta.ema(close, 200)
trendScore = (close > ema20 ? 1 : -1) +
(ema20 > ema50 ? 1 : -1) +
(ema50 > ema200 ? 1 : -1)
= ta.dmi(14, 14)
Regimes covered:
Danger : high volatility with weak trend.
Volatile : volatility elevated but structure still directional.
Choppy : low ADX and noisy action.
Trending : directional flows without extreme volatility.
Mixed : anything between.
Each regime maps to a 1–10 risk score and a multiplier that feeds the final position size. Danger and Choppy clamp size; Trending restores normal risk.
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4. Behaviour engine – trader inputs matter 🧠
You provide:
Emotional state : Confident, Neutral, FOMO, Revenge, Fearful.
Confidence : slider from 1 to 10.
Toggle for behavioural adjustment on/off.
Behind the scenes:
Each state triggers an emotional multiplier .
Confidence produces a confidence multiplier .
Combined they form behavioralFactor and a 0–100 Behavioural Score .
High-risk emotions or low conviction clamp the final risk. Calm inputs allow normal size. The dashboard prints both fields to keep accountability on-screen.
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5. Correlation guardrail – avoid stacking identical risk 📊
Optional correlation mode compares the active symbol to a reference (default AMEX:SPY ):
corrClose = request.security(correlationSymbol, timeframe.period, close)
priceReturn = ta.change(close) / close
corrReturn = ta.change(corrClose) / corrClose
correlation = calcCorrelation()
Absolute correlation above the threshold applies a correlation multiplier (< 1) to reduce size.
Dashboard row shows the live correlation and reference ticker.
When disabled, the row simply echoes the current symbol, keeping the table readable.
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6. Position sizing engine – heart of the script 💰
baseRiskAmount = accountSize * (baseRiskPercent / 100)
adjustedRisk = baseRiskAmount * behavioralFactor *
regimeAdjustment * volAdjustment *
correlationAdjustment
finalRiskAmount = math.min(adjustedRisk,
accountSize * (maxRiskCap / 100))
stopDistance = atr * atrStopMultiplier
takeProfit = atr * atrTargetMultiplier
positionSize = stopDistance > 0 ? finalRiskAmount / stopDistance : 0
positionValue = positionSize * close
Outputs shown on the dashboard:
Position size in units and value in currency.
Actual risk % back on account after adjustments.
Risk/Reward derived from ATR-based stop and target.
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7. Intelligent trade direction – bias without signals 🎯
Direction score ingredients:
EMA stack alignment.
Price versus EMA20.
RSI momentum relative to 50.
MACD line vs signal.
Directional Movement (DI+/DI–).
The resulting Trade Direction row prints LONG, SHORT, or NEUTRAL. No orders are generated—this is guidance so you only risk capital when the structure supports it.
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8. Stop/target guide lines – two lines only ✂️
if showStopLines
if preferLong
// long stop below, target above
else if preferShort
// short stop above, target below
Lines refresh each bar to keep clutter low.
When the direction score is neutral, no lines appear.
Use them as visual anchors, not auto-orders.
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9. Session Risk map – global volatility clock 🌍
Tracks Asian, London, and New York windows via UTC.
Computes average ATR per session versus global ATR SMA.
Labels each session High/Med/Low and colours the cells accordingly.
Top row shows the active session plus current UTC time so you always know the regime you are trading.
One glance tells you whether you are trading quiet drift or the part of the day that hunts stops.
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10. Floating risk badge – honesty above price 🪪
Text ranges from Ultra Cautious through Very Aggressive.
Colour matches the risk palette inputs (High/Med/Low).
Updates on the last bar only, keeping historical clutter off the chart.
Account risk becomes impossible to ignore while you stare at price.
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11. Education engine & warnings 📚
Rotates evergreen principles (risk 1–2%, journal trades, respect plan).
Triggers contextual warnings when volatility and risk % conflict.
Flags when emotional state = FOMO or Revenge.
Highlights sub-standard risk/reward setups.
When multiple danger flags stack, an AI-style warning overrides the tip text so you can course-correct before capital is exposed.
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12. Alerts – hard guard rails 🚨
Excessive Risk Alert : actual risk % crosses custom threshold.
High Volatility Alert : ATR behaviour signals danger regime.
Emotional State Warning : FOMO or Revenge selected.
Poor Risk/Reward Alert : risk/reward drops below your standard.
All alerts reinforce discipline; none suggest entries or exits.
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13. Multi-market behaviour 🕒
Intraday (1m–1h): session box and badge react quickly; ideal for scalpers needing constant risk context.
Higher time frames (1D–1W): dashboard shifts slowly, supporting swing planning.
Asset classes confirmed in validation: crypto majors, large-cap equities, indices, major FX pairs, and liquid commodities.
Risk logic is price-based, so it adapts across markets without bespoke tuning.
15. Key inputs & recommended defaults
Account Size : 10,000 (modify to match actual account; min 100).
Base Risk % : 1.0 with a Maximum Risk Cap of 2.5%.
ATR Period : 14, Stop Multiplier 2.0, Target Multiplier 3.0.
High Vol Threshold : 1.5 for ATR ratio.
Behavioural Adjustment : enabled by default; disable for fixed risk.
Correlation Check : optional; default symbol AMEX:SPY , threshold 0.7.
Display toggles : main dashboard, risk badge, session map, education panel, and stop lines can be individually disabled to reduce clutter.
16. Usage notes & limits
Indicator mode only; no automated entries or exits.
Trade history panel intentionally disabled (requires strategy context).
Correlation analysis depends on additional data requests and may lag slightly on illiquid symbols.
Session timing uses UTC; adjust expectations if you trade localized instruments.
HTF ATR sampling uses daily data, so bar replay on lower charts may show brief data gaps while HTF loads.
What does everyone think RISK really means?
🟡 GOLD 4H HUD v12 — Time-Safe Nuclear Edition🟡 GOLD 4H HUD v12 — Time-Safe Nuclear Edition
A full–scale Smart Money Concepts (SMC) analytics engine designed exclusively for XAUUSD on the 4-Hour timeframe.
This script combines market structure, liquidity, displacement, order blocks, imbalance, volume profile, SMT divergence, and institutional behavior modeling into a single unified HUD.
Built with a time-safe architecture, all structural elements (OB/FVG/Sweep) are stored by timestamp to minimize repainting and preserve event integrity.
📌 Core Features (12 Modules + Full HUD)
1 — Market Structure Engine
Automatically detects:
HH / HL / LH / LL
BOS (Break of Structure)
MSS (Market Structure Shift)
CHOCH (Change of Character)
Real swing pivots & trend state
2 — Sweep Engine (Liquidity Grab Detection)
Identifies institutional liquidity grabs:
Break + reclaim of highs/lows
ATR-filtered invalidation
Displacement-backed sweeps
3 — Time-Safe FVG Engine
Detects Bullish/Bearish Fair Value Gaps
ATR-tolerant FVG logic
Automatic right-extension
Auto-delete when filled or invalid
4 — Time-Safe Order Block Engine
Demand & Supply OB detection
Strength classification (Weak vs Strong)
FVG-overlap confirmation
Timestamp-locked (non-repainting)
5 — Volume Profile Engine (HVN / LVN / POC)
Real-time micro-profile:
High Volume Node (HVN)
Low Volume Node (LVN)
Point of Control (POC)
6 — SMT Engine (Gold vs DXY Divergence)
Smart Money Divergence built-in:
Bullish SMT
Bearish SMT
Directional confirmation with zero lag
7 — Displacement Engine
Measures institutional impulse:
Body-based impulse detection
Multi-leg continuation signals
FVG continuation moves
Generates displacement score
8 — Premium / Discount Model
Auto-classifies price into:
Discount (Buy zone)
Premium (Sell zone)
9 — SMC Trend Engine (Score-Based)
Combines 10+ factors:
Structure
FVG
OB power
Displacement
POC positioning
SMT conditions
Outputs:
BULL / BEAR / RANGE
Full scoring system
10 — Institutional Imbalance Model (IMB Engine)
Combines:
PD zones
Sweep direction
Displacement
SMT
OB strength
CHOCH/MSS
A complete institutional bias filter.
11 — Entry Engine (Signal Fusion Model)
Entry conditions fuse:
Sweep
CHOCH
Displacement
OB strength
FVG alignment
SMT confirmation
Also outputs:
Suggested SL/TP
Entry score
12 — Trendline Engine
Auto-draws:
HL → HL bullish trendlines
LH → LH bearish trendlines
+ Full Nuclear HUD
Displays:
Market structure
Trend direction
SMT / CHOCH / MSS
FVG / OB zones
HVN / LVN / POC
Liquidity strength
Entry model
Liquidity Magnet direction
SL/TP map
A complete institutional dashboard in one place.
⚠ Usage Requirement
This script is designed ONLY for the 4H timeframe.
✨ Summary
GOLD 4H HUD v12 — Time-Safe Nuclear Edition
is not just an indicator.
It is a full institutional-grade SMC analysis system, built specifically for Gold.
If you trade XAUUSD on the 4H timeframe —
this is your complete market intelligence HUD
Execution Heatmap v4.1 — AI EnhancedThis indicator is an AI‑style execution dashboard that compresses structure, momentum, volume, volatility, and risk into a compact heatmap panel plus BUY/SELL signals on the chart. It is specifically tuned for gold and silver, automatically adapting its thresholds to the volatility profile of XAU/GC and XAG/SI symbols.
Core architecture
The system builds a multi‑factor model in layers:
Adaptive structure engine: Tracks dynamic higher‑high / lower‑low progression using rolling reference highs and lows, classifying price as structural UP, DOWN, or NEUTRAL.
Precision VWAP bias: Uses VWAP with a small threshold band to filter out noise and label price as ABOVE, BELOW, or neutral relative to value.
Impulse & angle: Combines short‑term rate of change and normalized slope (price vs ATR over 5 bars) to detect directional thrust, then clamps values into
for stable scoring.
Volume, wicks, and patterns
Adaptive volume tiers: Uses a 20‑bar volume average with gold/silver‑specific multipliers to tag candles as SURGE, HIGH, NORMAL, or LOW volume, with distinct coloring for extremes.
Wick analytics: Measures upper/lower wick size vs total range to detect demand/supply style rejections and encode them as bullish or bearish wick signals.
AI pattern score: Blends structure, VWAP, impulse, wicks, and angle into a normalized pattern score, then classifies it as STRONG↑, NEU↑, NEU, NEU↓, or STRONG↓ with color‑coded emphasis.
AI scoring and prediction layer
Predictive engine: Uses a neural‑network‑style weighted sum of structure, VWAP, impulse, wicks, angle, volume, and pattern to generate a prediction score in
, then converts it into a percentage and arrow (↑, ↑↑, ↓, ↓↓, →) for intuitive directional bias.
Execution score: Aggregates key factors into an EXEC score (0–200+ style scale), color‑graded from weak (red) through medium (orange) to strong (green) execution context.
Uncertainty & risk: Separately models uncertainty (low impulse/angle or low conviction) and risk (fake breaks, VWAP position, uncertainty tier, low volume), then feeds them into a combined confidence calculation.
Final signal & confidence
Final classification:
BUY: High exec score, high confidence, and controlled risk.
SELL: Very low exec score, low confidence in upside, and acceptable risk.
WAIT: All other conditions where edge or clarity is insufficient.
Confidence bar: A textual mini‑bar (🟩 blocks) plus percentage shows how strong the current signal environment is, making it easy to visually gauge setup quality at a glance.
Professional heatmap panel
A two‑column table in the top‑right of the chart organizes the logic into layers:
Base layer: STRUCT, VWAP, IMPULSE, VOLUME.
AI layer: FAKE, REGIME (Trend/Pullback/Reverse/Chop), ANGLE.
Decision layer: PATTERN, PREDICT, EXEC, RISK, CONF, and FINAL direction.
Momentum Reversal / Dip Buyer [Score Based]Strategy Overview
Momentum Reversal / Dip Buyer is a quantitative reversal engine designed to fade stretched moves and buy dips / sell rallies when multiple momentum and context factors line up. It’s built for liquid instruments especially for ticker CME_MINI:ES1! and works best on intraday timeframes like the 5-minute or 1-minute chart.
Core Logic
This strategy builds a composite Momentum Score by combining:
Price Location: Relative to 100 SMA, 1000 EMA, and VWAP (trend / regime filter).
RSI: Overbought/oversold and mid-zone strength.
VWMO (Volume-Weighted Momentum): Direction and strength of volume-weighted price drift.
ADX: Trend strength filter (high vs low trend environment).
Full Stoch (%K): Short-term exhaustion and mean-reversion context.
CCI: Overbought/oversold turns (key trigger).
MFI: Volume-confirmed buying/selling pressure.
ATR Regime: High vs low volatility environment.
Cumulative Delta: Whether net aggressor flow is rising or falling.
From this, a single Momentum Score is computed each bar:
Longs: Taken when the score is depressed (scoreLow) and CCI crosses up from oversold.
Shorts: Taken when the score is elevated (scoreHigh) and CCI crosses down from overbought.
Risk Management & Trade Logic
Max Daily Trades: Hard cap on entries per day.
Hard Stop: Fixed % stop based on entry price.
Profit Target: Target ATR Multiplier × main ATR from entry.
Breakeven Logic: Optional; moves stop to breakeven (plus optional offset) after price moves a configurable multiple of the main ATR in your favor.
Trailing Stop (Separate ATR): Optional; uses its own ATR length and ATR-based trigger and distance. This lets you run slower ATR for targets while using a tighter, more reactive ATR for the trail.
Session Control
Trading Window: Optional session filter (e.g., 09:30–16:00). Entries are only allowed inside the defined window.
Force Flat at Session End: Option to automatically close all open positions when the session ends.
Visuals
The script plots entry arrows and a compact dashboard displaying: current Momentum Score, daily trade usage, and CCI status.
Disclaimer:
This script is for educational and research purposes only and is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always forward-test and adjust parameters to your own risk tolerance and market.
Shoutout and all credit goes to AuclairsCapital for building the base foundation of this strategy on ThinkScript
⚪ SILVER — RISK MATRIX + UQ vC (Final HUD)Silver RISK MATRIX + UQ vC is an advanced Pine Script v5 indicator for silver futures (SIL) trading, featuring a 3-column bottom-right HUD combining a 7-factor risk matrix with UQ predictive scoring. It quantifies position, structure, trend conflicts, impulse, volume, fake breaks, and VWAP deviation into total risk levels (LOW/MEDIUM/HIGH) while fusing predictive BUY/SELL probabilities with directional risk and multi-timeframe trend boosts.
Risk Matrix Breakdown
Position Risk
Measures % distance to 18-period support/resistance: <0.10% resistance = high risk (🟥🟥), <0.25% = medium (🟧⬜), <0.10% support = safe (🟩⬜). Silver-tuned for tight proximity sensitivity.
Structure Risk
Detects pivot-based CHoCH conflicts (close breaks prior HH/HL but structure opposes) or fake breaks, scoring 2 for conflicts using tight 2-left/2-right pivots suited to silver's volatility.
Other Factors
Trend Conf: 5m vs 30m EMA40 mismatch (2 points).
Impulse: Body >1.2x 4-period EMA abs body (exhaustion).
Volume: >3.2x/2.2x 20-SMA thresholds for extreme/obvious surges.
Fake Break: Wick >1.2x body (top/bottom).
VWAP: >1.2%/0.6% deviation. Total ≥6=HIGH (red), ≥3=MEDIUM (orange).
UQ Predictive Engine
Base Prediction
Averages flow (OBV+price), momentum (RSI/MFI), VWAP, trend (EMA20/50), turbo (BB width expansion) into pred_buy/sell (0-1 normalized).
Directional Risk
BUY risk weights fakeUp wicks, impulse, bear vol, low position; SELL mirrors. Clamped 0-1.
Trend Boost
Adds 15% for 2H alignment, 10% for 30m, 5% for VWAP (directional).
Final Fusion
BUY_FINAL = 55% pred + 25% risk + 20% boost; normalized vs SELL counterpart. Displays blocks (🟩🟩🟩🟩=≥80%) and stars (⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐=≥85%).
HUD Layout & Usage
20-row table separates RISK MATRIX (rows 1-10) from UQ (11-18): metric | visual box/block | Chinese explanation. Perfect for silver's high-volatility scalping, balancing exhaustive risk scanning with probabilistic edge quantification. Ready in both English and Chinese
Buyer-Seller Locomotive IndexBuyer-Seller Locomotive Index (BSLI)
An original indicator that measures buyer and seller pressure, momentum shifts, and structural control in the market.
Overview
The Buyer-Seller Locomotive Index evaluates candle-level positioning relative to an adaptive EMA-based reference price. It calculates bull vs bear strength percentages and Total Power momentum using fast and slow EMAs, providing insight into which side currently dominates market structure. By combining pressure analysis with momentum smoothing, BSLI highlights both the intensity and direction of market control.
Features
Bull/Bear Strength Percentages: Normalized 0–100 values showing current dominance and threshold-based high-strength alerts.
Total Power Momentum: Fast and slow EMA crossover signals with a histogram to visualize expansion or contraction of pressure.
Visual Markers: Optional fight diamonds highlight candles intersecting the reference price, while dynamic labels show the exact strength percentages.
Crossover Signals: Circles mark potential shifts in momentum, helping to identify early transitions in market control.
Customizable Display: Users can toggle labels, markers, and histogram visibility for a clean or detailed chart view.
How to Use
BSLI provides traders with a multi-layered view of market structure:
Observe shifts in buyer vs seller dominance.
Spot early momentum transitions before trends become obvious.
Confirm price structure with Total Power and strength percentages.
Highlight periods of compression, conflict, or indecision for additional context.
This indicator is intended as a supportive analysis tool. Traders should combine it with personal methodology, risk management, and other analysis techniques. It is not a standalone trade signal.
Important Notes
Measures relative pressure, not absolute volume.
Percentages reflect current structure, not predicted price direction.
Signals are contextual; do not rely solely on crossovers for trading decisions.
Uses no lookahead; all calculations are based on completed bars.
Results may vary by asset, timeframe, and market volatility.
Originality
BSLI uniquely combines adaptive pressure extraction, normalized strength percentages, dual-EMA power momentum, conflict detection, and integrated labeling. This multi-component approach provides a clear and actionable view of the evolving balance between buyers and sellers, supporting both short-term and structural analysis.
Momentum Structural AnalysisMomentum Structural Analysis (MSA‑style Oscillator)
This indicator implements a simple, MSA‑style momentum oscillator that measures how far price has moved above or below its own long‑term trend on the active timeframe, expressed in percentage terms. Instead of looking at raw price, it "oscillates" price around a timeframe‑appropriate simple moving average (SMA) and plots the percentage distance from that SMA as an orange line around a zero baseline. Zero means price is exactly at its structural trend; positive values mean price is extended above trend; negative values mean it is trading below trend.
The script automatically selects the SMA length based on the chart timeframe:
On daily charts it uses the configurable Daily SMA Length (default 252 trading days, roughly 1 year).
On weekly charts it uses Weekly SMA Length (default 208 weeks).
On monthly charts it uses Monthly SMA Length (default 120 months).
This approach is inspired by the ideas behind Momentum Structural Analysis (MSA), which studies where a market trades relative to long‑term moving averages and then treats the momentum line (the oscillator) as the primary object of analysis. The goal is to highlight structural overbought/oversold conditions and regime changes that are often clearer on momentum than on the raw price chart.
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What the script computes and how it works
For each bar, the indicator:
Chooses an SMA length based on the current timeframe (daily/weekly/monthly).
Calculates the SMA of the close.
Computes the percentage distance:
\text{Diff %} = \frac{\text{Close} - \text{SMA}}{\text{SMA}} \times 100
Plots this Diff % as an orange line, with a dashed horizontal zero line as the base.
This produces a momentum oscillator that oscillates around zero and reflects the "structural" position of price versus its own long‑term mean.
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How to use it on index charts (e.g., NIFTY50)
On indices like NIFTY50, use the indicator to see how stretched the index is versus its structural trend.
Typical uses:
Identify extremes: a). Historically high positive readings can signal euphoric, late‑stage conditions where risk is elevated. b). Deep negative readings can highlight panic/capitulation zones where downside may be exhausted.
Draw structural levels: a). Mark horizontal bands on the oscillator where past turns have occurred (e.g., +15%, −10%, etc. specific to NIFTY50). b). Watch how price behaves when the oscillator revisits these zones: repeated rejections can validate them as structural bounds; clean breaks can indicate a change of regime.
This is not a buy/sell signal generator by itself; it is a framework to understand where the index sits within its long‑term momentum structure and to support risk‑management decisions.
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How to use it on ratio charts
Apply the same indicator to ratio symbols such as NIFTY50/GOLD, BANKNIFTY/NIFTY50, sector vs index, or any spread you plot as a ratio.
On a ratio chart:
The oscillator now measures relative momentum: how far that ratio is above or below its own long‑term mean.
High positive readings = strong outperformance of the numerator vs the denominator (e.g., equities strongly outperforming gold).
Deep negative readings = strong underperformance (e.g., equities structurally lagging gold).
This is very much in the spirit of MSA’s work on spreads between asset classes: it helps visualize major rotations (equities → gold, financials → commodities, etc.) and whether a relative‑performance trend is stretched, reverting, or breaking into a new phase.
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Using multiple timeframes for better decisions
You can stack information across timeframes to get a more robust view:
Monthly : a). Use monthly charts to see secular/structural phases. b). Long multi‑year stretches above or below zero, and large bases or trendline breaks on the monthly oscillator, can mark major bull or bear cycles and big rotations between asset classes.
Weekly : a). Use weekly charts for the primary trend. b). Weekly structures (multi‑month highs/lows, channels, or trendlines on the oscillator) are useful for medium‑term positioning and for confirming or rejecting signals seen on the monthly view.
Daily : a). Use daily charts mainly for timing entries/exits once the higher‑timeframe direction is clear. b). Short‑term extremes on the daily oscillator that align with the larger weekly/monthly structure can offer better‑timed opportunities, while signals that contradict higher‑timeframe momentum are more likely to be noise.
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Market Internals Dashboard: Trend, Breadth, Volume PressureOverview
The Market Internals Dashboard Pro is a professional-grade toolkit modeled after what prop firms and institutional desks use to understand real intraday market conditions.
Instead of relying solely on price, this indicator analyzes three critical internal forces:
USI:TICK : Microstructure buying/selling pressure
USI:ADD : Market breadth participation (advancers vs decliners proxy)
USI:VOLD : Volume pressure (buying vs selling volume)
These internals determine whether the market is:
Trending or ranging
Bullish or bearish
Likely to follow through or mean-revert
Favoring continuation trades or fade setups
The script also produces a Market Environment Score (–3 to +3) and a real-time Trade Recommendation Table that updates every bar. This helps answer the single most important question in intraday trading: “What type of trades should I be taking right now given current market conditions?”
1. TICK Proxy: Microstructure Pressure
Measures buying vs. selling aggressiveness across the market This proxy simulates the NYSE TICK index by evaluating whether bars close above or below the prior bar.
Positive TICK → Buyers lifting offers
Negative TICK → Sellers hitting bids
Neutral TICK → No microstructure conviction
Why it matters:
Strong TICK is often the earliest sign of:
Trend initiation
Algorithmic buy/sell programs
Shifts in short‑term sentiment
Weak or choppy TICK often signals:
Range conditions
Failed breakouts
Low‑quality trend attempts
2. ADD Proxy: Market Breadth Strength
Shows how many stocks are participating in a move Because real USI:ADD data isn't available for all users, this script uses a self-contained breadth approximation built from:
Price slope
Volatility expansion
Volume‑weighted directional pressure
Why it matters? Breadth reveals whether the move is:
Broad and healthy → likely to continue
Narrow and weak → vulnerable to reversal
Strong trends require strong breadth. Weak breadth often precedes:
Failed breakouts
Reversal setups
Chop (ewww)
3. VOLD Proxy: Volume Pressure
The most important internal of all. This proxy measures whether trading volume is flowing into up bars or down bars.
Positive VOLD → Net buying pressure
Negative VOLD → Net selling pressure
Why it matters:
VOLD is considered the "truth serum" of the tape:
Strong VOLD drives trend days
Negative VOLD kills long setups
Mixed VOLD creates chop
You should rarely trend trade against VOLD.
4. Market Environment Score (–3 to +3)
The Environment Score combines the three internals into a single view:
|| Score || Interpretation || Market Type ||
| +3 | Strong Bull | Trend Day (Long) |
| +2 | Bull | Pullback Buys / Breakout Continuation |
| +1 | Mild Bull | Conservative Long Scalps |
| 0 | Neutral | CHOP – VWAP Reversions / Fades |
| -1 | Mild Bear | Short Failed Breakouts |
| -2 | Bear | Trend Shorts / Breakdown Continuation |
| -3 | Strong Bear | Trend Day (Short) |
Why it matters:
The market behaves differently depending on internal alignment. This score prevents traders from:
Forcing trend trades on chop days
Chasing breakouts when breadth is weak
Fading strong directional days
It tells you in real time whether conditions favor:
Trend following
Mean reversion
Breakout continuation
Liquidity grabs
Or sitting out
5. Trade Recommendation Engine
Based on the Environment Score, the indicator outputs a real-time playbook recommending which trade types have the highest probability of success right now.
Examples:
Score = 0 (Neutral)
VWAP Reversions
Liquidity Grabs
Failed Breakouts
Quick Scalps
Score = +2/+3 (Strong Bull)
Pullback Buys
Breakout Continuation
Trend Longs
Score = -2/-3 (Strong Bear)
Pullback Shorts
Breakdown Continuation
Trend Shorts Only
This turns the internals into a trade selection engine, not just a data display.
Why Market Internals Matter
Most indicators look only at price, but price is the result, not the cause.
Market internals show:
Where volume is flowing
Whether buying is aggressive or passive
How many stocks are participating
Whether algorithms are supporting or fighting the move
This dashboard helps traders:
Avoid chop
Stay out of low‑quality setups
Time entries with institutional flows
Improve win rate by trading the right setups at the right times
Final Notes
Works on any symbol or timeframe
Fully customizable colors
Two clean visual tables: Internals + Trade Playbook
Ideal for futures, ETFs, and options day traders
If you enjoy this tool, please like, comment, or follow. More enhancements are coming.
Trade smart.
XAU Macro Regime + Mispricing OscillatorThis indicator is designed to measure the true macro environment behind gold (XAUUSD) and identify when price is aligned with macro flows or mispriced relative to them.
It combines a macro composite index, a mispricing spread oscillator, and automatic divergence detection into one tool.
1. Macro Composite Index (Regime Filter)
The top layer of the indicator constructs a macro regime score derived from:
A basket of gold FX pairs (XAUJPY, XAUAUD, XAUCHF, XAUNZD, XAUSGD)
The inverted DXY (to represent USD pressure on gold)
US30 (to capture global risk appetite and macro sentiment)
Each component is normalized and weighted, then combined into a composite macro index.
A smoothed baseline (SMA) is subtracted from this composite to form the Regime Line.
Interpretation
Regime > 0 (Green background):
Macro environment is supportive for gold.
XAUUSD is more likely to rise, consolidate, or mean revert upward.
Regime < 0 (Red background):
Macro environment is hostile for gold.
XAUUSD is more likely to fall, struggle, or mean revert downward.
This creates a macro trend filter that tells you when it is safer to prefer longs, shorts, or stay out.
2. Mispricing Spread Oscillator (Spread MACD)
The second layer measures the difference between XAUUSD and the macro composite index:
Spread = (Macro Composite) – (Normalized XAUUSD)
This spread is then smoothed into a signal line, and a histogram is plotted from their difference (MACD-style).
Interpretation
Spread > 0:
Gold is undervalued relative to macro conditions.
Macro strength > price strength.
Spread < 0:
Gold is overvalued relative to macro conditions.
Price strength > macro strength.
Spread crossing above signal:
Macro momentum turning bullish relative to price.
Spread crossing below signal:
Macro momentum turning bearish relative to price.
Green histogram: acceleration upward
Red histogram: acceleration downward
This oscillator captures mispricing, momentum shifts, and macro-pressure reversals.
3. Automatic Divergence Detection
The indicator automatically detects:
-Bullish Divergence-
XAUUSD makes a lower low
Spread makes a higher low
→ Price is weaker than macro reality → potential bullish reversal or mispricing reversion.
-Bearish Divergence-
XAUUSD makes a higher high
Spread makes a lower high
→ Price is stronger than macro reality → potential bearish reversal or exhaustion.
Labels (“Bull div” / “Bear div”) appear directly on the oscillator for clarity.
4. What The Indicator Seeks To Do
This indicator aims to answer the question:
“Is gold moving with the true macro pressure behind it, or diverging from it?”
Most gold indicators only watch XAUUSD price.
This one watches:
-gold cross-currency flows
-USD strength
-global risk sentiment
-gold’s relative position vs macro
-mispricing momentum
-divergence between price and macro reality
This creates a unique tool that:
-Detects when gold is overextended
-Detects when gold is undervalued
-Reveals hidden macro strength or weakness
-Highlights turning points and exhaustion
-Shows when a pullback is likely to end
-Shows when a rally is likely to fail
-Gives regime-aware trade direction (long vs short bias)
-Adds divergence labels for precision entries
FPT - DCA ModelFPT - DCA Model is a simple but powerful tool to backtest a weekly “buy the dip” DCA plan with dynamic position sizing and partial profit-taking.
🔹 Core Idea
- Invest a fixed amount every week (on Friday closes)
- Buy more aggressively when price trades at a discount from its 52-week high
- Take partial profits when price stretches too far above the daily EMA50
- Track the performance of your DCA plan vs a simple buy-and-hold from the same start date
⚙ How it works
1. Weekly DCA (on Daily timeframe)
- On each Friday after the Start Date:
- Add the “Weekly contribution” to the cash pool.
- If the close is below the “Discount from 52W high” level:
→ FULL DCA: use the full weekly contribution + an extra booster from your stash (up to “Max extra stash used on dip”).
→ Marked on the chart with a small green triangle under the bar.
- Otherwise:
→ HALF DCA: invest only 50% of the weekly contribution and keep the other 50% as stash (uninvested cash).
→ Marked with a small blue triangle under the bar.
2. 52-Week High Discount Logic
- The script computes the 52-week high as the highest daily high of the last 252 trading days.
- The “discount level” is: 52W high × (1 – Discount%).
- When price is at or below this level, dips are treated as buying opportunities and the model allocates more.
3. Selling Logic (Partial Take Profit)
- When the close is above the daily EMA50 by the selected percentage:
→ Sell the given “Sell portion of qty (%)” of your current holdings.
→ Marked with a small red triangle above the bar.
- This behaves like a gradual profit-taking system: if price stays extended above EMA50, multiple partial sells can occur over time.
📊 Panel (top-right)
The panel summarizes the state of your DCA plan:
- Weeks: number of DCA weeks since Start Date
- Total deposit: total money contributed (sum of all weekly contributions)
- Shares qty: total number of shares accumulated
- Avg price: volume-weighted average entry price
- Shares value: current market value of all shares (qty × close)
- Cash: uninvested cash (including saved stash)
- Total equity: Shares value + Cash
- DCA % PnL: performance of the DCA plan vs total deposits
- Stock % since start: performance of the underlying asset since the Start Date
✅ Recommended Use
- Timeframe: Daily (the DCA engine is designed to run on daily bars and Friday closes).
- Works best on stocks, ETFs or indices where a 52-week high is a meaningful reference.
- You can tune:
- Weekly contribution
- Discount from 52W high
- Booster amount
- EMA50 extension threshold and sell portion
⚠ Notes & Disclaimer
- This script is a backtesting and educational tool. It does not place real orders.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results.
- Always combine DCA and risk management with your own research and judgment.
Built by FPT (Funded Pips Trading) for long-term, rules-based DCA planning.
Rakesh's Ultimate Trading SystemKey Features:
1. Multi-Confirmation System
5 total signals working together:
MTF Supertrend (Monthly + Weekly + Daily alignment)
Ichimoku Cloud (Price vs Cloud + Tenkan/Kijun cross)
Gann HiLo Activator (Trend direction)
Darvas Box (Breakout/Breakdown)
Current timeframe Supertrend
2. Smart Signal Generation
You set minimum confirmations (1-5) needed for a signal
STRONG BUY = When X out of 5 indicators confirm bullish
STRONG SELL = When X out of 5 indicators confirm bearish
Shows confirmation count on each signal label (e.g., "4/5")
3. Comprehensive Dashboard
Shows real-time status of:
✓ Each indicator's current signal
✓ Overall market direction
✓ Bullish vs Bearish confirmation count
✓ Color-coded for quick decision making
4. All Indicators Plotted
Ichimoku Cloud - Green/Red cloud with Tenkan/Kijun lines
Gann HiLo - Dynamic support/resistance line
Darvas Box - Top and bottom box levels
Background colors - Show breakouts and overall trend
5. Built-in Alerts
Automatic alerts when strong buy/sell signals trigger
Shows how many confirmations fired
How to Use:
Conservative Trading (Recommended):
Set "Minimum Confirmations" to 4 or 5
Only trade when almost all indicators align
Fewer signals but higher probability
Moderate Trading:
Set to 3 confirmations
Balanced approach - good signals, not too rare
Aggressive Trading:
Set to 2 confirmations
More signals but require your own filtering
Customization Options:
All indicators can be toggled on/off:
Show/hide individual Supertrend timeframes
Show/hide Ichimoku Cloud
Show/hide Gann HiLo
Show/hide Darvas Box
Show/hide Dashboard
Adjustable parameters for each indicator:
Supertrend: ATR period, Factor
Ichimoku: Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou periods
Gann: HiLo period
Darvas: Box length
Trading Strategy Examples:
1. Ultra-Safe Entry:
Wait for 5/5 confirmations
Enter on next candle
Use Gann line as stop-loss
2. Breakout Trading:
Watch for Darvas Box breakout
Confirm with 3+ other indicators
Ride the trend
3. Trend Following:
MTF Supertrend shows main trend
Use Ichimoku cloud for support/resistance
Enter on Gann/Darvas confirmations
This is a professional-grade system, Rakesh! It filters out false signals by requiring multiple confirmations. Much more refined than single-indicator systems! 🚀
Want me to adjust anything or add more features?Ris this also for tradingviewYes, absolutely! This is 100% for TradingView, just like the first one!
How to Add This to TradingView:
Same steps as before:
Copy the code from the artifact above
Go to TradingView.com
Open Pine Editor (bottom of chart)
Click "Open" → "New blank indicator"
Paste the code
Click "Save" and name it (e.g., "Advanced MTF System")
Click "Add to Chart"
What You'll See on Your Chart:
✅ Ichimoku Cloud - Green/Red cloud visualization
✅ Gann HiLo Line - Green when bullish, Red when bearish
✅ Darvas Box - Box top and bottom levels
✅ Buy/Sell Labels - "STRONG BUY 4/5" or "STRONG SELL 3/5"
✅ Dashboard Table - Top right corner showing all indicator statuses
✅ Background colors - Subtle green/red when strong signals appear
It Works With:
✅ Stocks (NSE, BSE, US markets)
✅ Forex
✅ Crypto
✅ Commodities
✅ Indices (Nifty, Bank Nifty, etc.)
Settings Panel:
When you add it to chart, click the ⚙️ settings icon to customize:
Toggle indicators on/off
Adjust minimum confirmations (2, 3, 4, or 5)
Fine-tune each indicator's parameters
Regime MapRegime Map — Volatility State Detector
This indicator is a PineScript friendly approximation of a more advanced Python regime-analysis engine.
The original backed identifies market regimes using structural break detection, Hidden-Markov Models, wavelet decomposition, and long-horizon volatility clustering. Since Pine Script cannot execute these statistical models directly, this version implements a lightweight, real-time proxy using realised volatility and statistical thresholds.
The purpose is to provide a clear visual map of evolving volatility conditions without requiring any heavy offline computation.
________________________________________
Mathematical Basis: Python vs Pine
1. Volatility Estimation
Python (Realised Volatility):
RVₜ = √N × stdev( log(Pₜ) − log(Pₜ₋₁) )
Pine Approximation:
RVₜ = stdev( log(Pₜ) − log(Pₜ₋₁), lookback )
Rationale:
Realised volatility captures volatility clustering — a key characteristic of regime transitions.
________________________________________
2. Regime Classification
Python (HMM Volatility States):
Volatility is modelled as belonging to hidden states with different means and variances:
State μ₁, σ₁
State μ₂, σ₂
State μ₃, σ₃
with state transitions determined by a probability matrix.
Pine Approximation (Z-Score Regimes):
Zₜ = ( RVₜ − mean(RV) ) / stdev(RV)
Regime assignment:
• Regime 0 (Low Vol): Zₜ < Zₗₒw
• Regime 1 (Normal): Zₗₒw ≤ Zₜ ≤ Zₕᵢgh
• Regime 2 (High Vol): Zₜ > Zₕᵢgh
Rationale:
Z-scores provide clean statistical boundaries that behave similarly to HMM state separation but are computable in real time.
________________________________________
3. Structural Break Detection vs Rolling Windows
Python (Bai–Perron Structural Breaks):
Segments the volatility series into periods with distinct statistical properties by minimising squared error over multiple regimes.
Pine Approximation:
Rolling mean and rolling standard deviation of volatility over a long window.
Rationale:
When structural breaks are not available, long-window smoothing approximates slow regime changes effectively.
________________________________________
4. Multi-Scale Cycles
Python (Wavelet Decomposition):
Volatility decomposed into long-cycle (A₄) and short-cycle components (D bands).
Pine Approximation:
Single-scale smoothing using long-horizon averages of RV.
Rationale:
Wavelets reveal multi-frequency behaviour; Pine captures the dominant low-frequency component.
________________________________________
Indicator Output
The background colour reflects the active volatility regime:
• Low Volatility (Green): trending behaviour, cleaner directional movement
• Normal Volatility (Yellow): balanced environment
• High Volatility (Red): sharp swings, traps, mean-reversion phases
Regime labels appear on the chart, with a status panel displaying the current regime.
________________________________________
Operational Logic
1. Compute log returns
2. Calculate short-horizon realised volatility
3. Compute long-horizon mean and standard deviation
4. Derive volatility Z-score
5. Assign regime classification
6. Update background colour and labels
This provides a stable, real-time map of market state transitions.
________________________________________
Practical Applications
Intraday Trading
• Low-volatility regimes favour trend and breakout continuation
• High-volatility regimes favour mean reversion and wide stop placement
Swing Trading
• Compression phases often precede multi-day trending moves
• Volatility expansions accompany distribution or panic events
Risk Management
• Enables volatility-adjusted position sizing
• Helps avoid leverage during expansion regimes
________________________________________
Notes
• Does not repaint
• Fully configurable thresholds and lookbacks
• Works across indices, stocks, FX, crypto
• Designed for real-time volatility regime identification
________________________________________
Disclaimer
This script is intended solely for educational and research purposes.
It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.
Trading involves risk, and past volatility patterns do not guarantee future outcomes.
Users are responsible for their own trading decisions, and the author assumes no liability for financial loss.
Extended SOPR Indicator - SSOPR Tops (A/B toggle)Extended SOPR Indicator — SSOPR Tops and Lows (A/B toggle)
Observation-only. Data: Glassnode SOPR.
Overview
This indicator extends the classical SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) to improve readability and reduce noise on charts. SOPR measures whether coins moved on-chain were spent at a profit or at a loss. In brief: SOPR > 1 → spending at profit; SOPR < 1 → spending at loss. SSOPR (from "Smoothed SOPR") applies optional log transform (centers baseline at 0), smoothing (standard or adaptive), and adds structured signals: Z‑score lows (capitulation), buy zones , and top detection after prolonged elevation.
Why extend SOPR? (SSOPR vs classical SOPR)
• Noise reduction: Raw daily SOPR can whipsaw around its baseline. SSOPR uses smoothing and (optionally) adaptive smoothing so regimes are visible without overfitting.
• Better readability: The log transform shifts the break-even line to 0, making “profit territory” (above 0) and “loss territory” (below 0) visually intuitive on oscillators.
• Actionable context: Z‑score highlights extreme lows (capitulation risk), a simple buy-zone threshold marks potential accumulation, and a structured top pattern (with a time factor) helps frame distribution phases after sustained elevation.
What the script plots
• Smoothed SOPR (SSOPR): An orange line representing the smoothed SOPR (with optional log transform and optional adaptive smoothing).
• Top markers: A red triangle appears once at the onset of a confirmed top pattern.
• Background shading:
– Soft green: Buy zone when SSOPR falls below the “Buy Threshold.” (+ Z‑score capitulation zones (extreme lows)).
– Soft red: Top‑zone shading when the top criteria are met but before the single triangle fires.
Inputs & parameters
• Smoothing Length (default 14): Base window for smoothing SSOPR. Higher values = smoother, slower response.
• Apply Log Transform (default ON): Uses log(SOPR) so the baseline is 0 (log(1)=0). Above 0 → net profit regime; below 0 → net loss regime.
• Adaptive Smoothing (default OFF): Expands smoothing length as volatility rises using a standard deviation proxy; reduces whipsaws while preserving structure.
• Z‑score Threshold for Lows (default −2.5): Highlights capitulation zones when SSOPR deviates far below its rolling mean.
• SSOPR Buy Threshold (default −0.02): Simple rule-of-thumb level for potential accumulation context when below (log scale).
• SSOPR Top Threshold (default +0.005): Minimum elevation required for “profit territory” when assessing tops (log scale).
• Min Bars Above Threshold Before Top (default 50): Ensures prolonged elevation before calling a top.
• Lookback for Peak Detection (default 50): Window used to locate the recent high.
• Drop % from Peak to Confirm Top (default 5%): Confirms the start of distribution from a local high.
• Highlight Background : Toggles shaded zones.
Top detection (indicator-only)
A top fires when ALL of the following are true:
SSOPR spent at least Min Bars Above Threshold above the Top Threshold (sustained elevation).
The rising phase test passes (Option A or B; see below).
A drop from the local peak exceeds Drop % within the Lookback window.
The peak occurred in profit territory (SSOPR > Top Threshold).
To avoid repeated signals during the decline, the script emits the triangle once, at onset.
Rising‑phase switch: Option A vs Option B
• Option A — Up‑step ratio : Over the last A: Bars for Rising Check (default 50), it requires that at least A: Required Up‑Step Ratio (default 60%) of bars were rising (each bar compared to the previous). This favors gradual, persistent advances and filters out “choppy” lifts.
• Option B — Net slope : Compares current SSOPR to its value B: Bars Back for Net Slope ago (default 50). If higher, the series is considered rising. This is simpler and reacts faster in volatile phases but can admit brief pseudo‑trends.
Guidance : Prefer A for conservative confirmation in slow, persistent cycles; use B when trend moves are strong and you need timely detection.
Interpretation guide
• Regimes (log view): Above 0 → spending at profit; below 0 → spending at loss.
• Capitulation lows: When Z‑score < threshold, conditions often reflect forced/liquidity‑driven spending. Treat as context, not signals.
• Buy zone: SSOPR < Buy Threshold flags potential accumulation conditions (combine with price structure).
• Tops: After prolonged elevation, a confirmed top often coincides with profit‑taking/distribution phases.
Recommended timeframes
• Daily : Code optimized for daily timeframe.
Method summary
• SSOPR source: GLASSNODE:BTC_SOPR (via request.security ).
• Optional log transform: sopr → log(sopr) to normalize around 0.
• Smoothing: SMA over Smoothing Length , optionally adaptive using local volatility (std dev).
• Z‑score: (SSOPR − mean) / std dev, highlighting extreme lows.
• Top: Requires long elevation above Top Threshold , rising‑phase (A/B), and a subsequent drop > Drop % from recent high.
Limitations & notes
• SOPR reflects on‑chain movements; some activity occurs off‑chain (exchanges, internal transfers). Not all moves imply sale; aggregation makes it a usable proxy for profit/loss realization.
• Higher smoothing reduces noise but delays signals; adaptive smoothing can help but is still a trade‑off.
• Treat thresholds as context markers. They are not entry/exit signals by themselves.
• Use with price structure, volume, and other on‑chain indicators (e.g., realized price bands, dormancy/CDD) for confluence.
How to use (examples)
• Advance holding above 0 (log view): Retests of 0 from above that hold—while SSOPR remains elevated—often mark absorption; look for Top conditions only after sustained elevation and a confirmed drop from peak.
• Downtrend below 0: Rejections near 0 can align with continued loss realization; extreme Z‑score lows suggest capitulation risk—context for accumulation, not a blind buy.
Recommended settings
• Weekly: Log ON, Smoothing Length 14–30, Adaptive ON, Buy Threshold −0.02, Top Threshold +0.005, Rising Method A, Min Bars 50.
• Daily: Log ON, Smoothing Length 14–20, Adaptive OFF or ON (depending on noise), Rising Method B for timely slope checks.
Credits & references
• SOPR metric: Renato Shirakashi; documentation: Glassnode , CryptoQuant , overview: Bitbo .
Disclaimer
This script is for research/education on market behavior. It is not financial advice. Indicators provide context; decisions remain your responsibility.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, on‑chain, sopr, ssopr, glassnode, oscillator, regime, distribution, capitulation
Trend BG v2Trend BG v2 colors the chart background based on Directional Movement (DM) and DI strength. It provides an easy visual way to identify trending and non-trending conditions on any timeframe.
How It Works
The script calculates:
Upward Directional Movement (DM+)
Downward Directional Movement (DM–)
True Range smoothed with RMA (14-period)
Positive DI and Negative DI values from classic ADX logic
The trend state is determined by comparing +DI vs –DI:
+DI > –DI → Uptrend
–DI > +DI → Downtrend
Otherwise → Neutral / Sideways
The script then applies a background color based on the detected trend.
Color transparency and theme can be adjusted using the input options.
Why This Script Is Useful
Instead of plotting DI lines or ADX curves, this version presents the trend directly on the background, making it ideal for:
Quick trend recognition
Visual filtering of choppy vs trending markets
Enhancing manual or automated setups
Intraday scalping, positional trend following, and multi-timeframe analysis
The background display is subtle, customizable, and does not interfere with other indicators on the chart.
Key Features
Trend-colored chart background (Up / Down / Neutral)
Adjustable color palette and transparency
Built using classic Directional Movement logic
Works on all markets and all timeframes
Lightweight and efficient (no repainting)
How to Use It
Apply the indicator on your chart and use the background colors to:
Align trades with the market trend
Avoid trading during neutral or low-momentum periods
Confirm trend direction before entries
Improve clarity when using your existing indicators
This indicator does not generate buy/sell signals by itself; instead, it helps visualize the underlying trend environment so traders can make more informed decisions.
Low Volatility Profiles [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
Low Volatility Profiles is a market compression and breakout-anticipation tool that identifies phases of low volatility using ADX and then builds a real-time volume profile inside the detected range.
This helps traders spot accumulation/distribution zones and prepare for explosive moves when volatility expands.
When volatility is low ➜ price coils ➜ volume organizes ➜ breakouts become highly actionable.
This tool visualizes that process with dynamic range boxes + volume bins + PoC extension.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Low-Volatility Detection — Uses ADX threshold & cross logic to define volatility contraction regimes.
Range Construction — Draws a price box that expands with highs/lows during the compression phase.
Micro Volume Profile — Builds a volume histogram inside the range using bins (micro volume nodes).
Delta Calculation — Tracks positive vs negative volume to gauge buyer/seller pressure within range.
Point of Control (PoC) — Highlights the price level with max traded volume inside the range.
PoC Extension — Optionally extends PoC into future bars to show potential reaction zone after breakout.
Breakout Validation — Ends the profile zone when price breaks above or below the modeled range.
Noise Removal — Automatically removes invalid or small ranges to prevent chart clutter.
This tool turns consolidation into actionable structure by exposing where smart money accumulates before trending moves.
🔵 FEATURES
ADX-Driven Range Detection — Identify when market transitions into low-volatility compression.
Configurable ADX Threshold — Set sensitivity for contraction zones.
Cross-Type Option — Detect low volatility via cross under / crossover logic.
Dynamic Range Box — Expands live with price as contraction unfolds.
Micro Volume Profile (Bins) — Distributes volume across bins inside range for micro POC mapping.
Volume Delta Visualization — Shows imbalance inside consolidation (accumulation vs distribution).
Real-Time PoC Highlight — Instantly shows most traded price inside the compression.
PoC Extension Mode — Extend PoC forward to project reaction levels post-breakout.
Clean Auto-Reset Logic — Removes boxes if range invalid or breakout occurs too fast.
Optional Filled Boxes — Heatmap-style profile visualization inside range body.
ADX Line + Threshold Plot — Visual assistance for volatility state monitoring.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Identify Accumulation Zones — When price enters low-volatility ADX condition and profile builds.
Watch the PoC — PoC acts as battle zone; move above/below can signal initiator strength.
Breakout Strategy — Trade break above/below the range after compression.
Mean Reversion Inside Range — Fade edges while price remains inside compression box.
Combine With Trend Tools — Use trend confirmation (MA/EMA/Flow indicators) after breakout.
Use Delta Clues — Positive delta tilt suggests accumulation; negative suggests distribution.
Monitor Range Size — Longer build + high PoC volume = stronger potential breakout energy.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Low Volatility Profiles isolates accumulation phases and maps volume concentration before volatility expansion.
By combining ADX compression, micro volume distribution, and PoC tracing, traders gain an edge in anticipating powerful breakout cycles and institutional positioning.
Trade the quiet moment before the storm — where smart money prepares the move, and the real opportunity emerges.
Pure Wyckoff V50R [Region Based]Pure Wyckoff V50R — Regional Wyckoff Volume-Price Structure Scanner
This script implements a semi-automatic Wyckoff volume–price analysis based purely on regional behaviour, not on single candles. Instead of trying to label every bar, it analyses the last N candles (default ≥ 50) and their volume distribution to estimate whether the market is in an accumulation, distribution or trend phase.
Main features:
🔍 Region-based structure detection
Scans the last regLen bars to find the trading range, then attempts to locate key Wyckoff points such as
SC (Selling Climax), AR, ST, Spring, UT, LPSY, and draws the SC–AR band when a structure is active.
⚖️ Supply–demand balance
Uses regional bullish vs bearish volume to show whether Demand > Supply, Supply > Demand, or Balanced for the current range.
🧠 Phase & decision panel
For the current bar the panel summarises:
overall structure (bullish / bearish / ranging),
approximate Wyckoff phase (e.g. “A phase: SC→AR rally”, “B phase: top distribution zone”, “Bottom testing zone”),
VSA-style bar reading (no supply, effort vs result, SOW, etc.),
current key signal (Spring / UT / LPSY / ST / Trend),
one-line short-term and long-term trading bias.
📊 Scoreboard
Simple scores for structure, volume and trend to give a quick “bullish / bearish / neutral” overview.
Recommended use:
Designed mainly for higher timeframes (Daily / 4H) where Wyckoff structures are clearer.
Parameters (window length, volume averages, multipliers) should be tuned to the instrument and timeframe.
This is a structure helper, not an automatic signal provider – always combine it with your own discretion and risk management.
Disclaimer: This script is for educational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Use at your own risk and feel free to share feedback or improvements.
Volume Gaps & Imbalances (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Volume Gaps & Imbalances (Zeiierman) is an advanced market-structure and order-flow visualizer that maps where the market traded, where it did not, and how buyer-vs-seller pressure accumulated across the entire price range.
The core of the indicator is a price-by-price volume profile built from Bullish and Bearish volume assignments. The script highlights:
True zero-volume voids (regions of no traded volume)
Bull/Bear imbalance rows (horizontal volume slices)
A multi-section Delta Panel, showing aggregated Buy–Sell pressure per vertical sector
A clean separation between profile structure, volume efficiency, and delta flows
Together, these components reveal market inefficiencies, displacement zones, and fair-value regions that price tends to revisit — making it an exceptional tool for structural trading, order-flow analysis, and contextual confluence.
Highlights
Identifies true volume voids (untraded price regions), more precisely than standard FVG tools
Plots Bull vs Bear volume at each price row for fine-grained imbalance reading
Includes a sector-based Delta Grid that aggregates Buy–Sell dominance
█ How It Works
⚪ Profile Construction
The indicator scans a user-defined Lookback window and divides the full high–low range into Rows. Each bar's volume is allocated into the correct price bucket:
Bullish volume when close > open
Bearish volume when close <= open
This produces three values per price level:
Bull Volume
Bear Volume
Total Volume & Imbalance Profile
Rows where no volume at all occurred are marked as volume gaps — signaling true untraded zones, often produced by impulsive imbalanced moves.
⚪ Zero-Volume Gaps (True Voids)
Unlike candle-based Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), volume gaps identify the deeper, structural inefficiency: Price moved so fast through a region that no trades occurred at those prices. These areas often attract revisits because liquidity never exchanged hands there.
⚪ Bull/Bear Volume Imbalance
Every price row is drawn using two colored horizontal segments:
Bull segment proportional to bullish volume
Bear segment proportional to bearish volume
This reveals where buyers or sellers dominated individual price levels.
⚪ Delta Panel
The full volume profile is cut into Summary Sections. For each block, the script computes: Δ = (Bull Volume − Bear Volume) ÷ Total Volume × 100%
█ How to Use
⚪ Spot True Voids & Inefficiencies
Zero-volume zones highlight where the price moved without trading. These areas often behave like:
Refill zones during retracements
Targets during displacement
Thin regions price slices through quickly
Ideal for both SMC-style trading and structural mapping.
⚪ Identify Bull/Bear Control at Each Price Level
Broad bullish segments show zones of buyer absorption, while wide bearish slices reveal seller control.
This helps you interpret:
Where buyers supported the price
Where sellers defended a level
Which price levels matter for continuation or reversal
⚪ Use Delta Sectors for Contextual Direction
The delta panel shows where market pressure is accumulating, revealing whether the profile is dominated by:
Bullish flow (positive delta)
Bearish flow (negative delta)
Neutral flow (balanced or minimal delta)
█ Settings
Lookback – Number of bars scanned to build the profile.
Rows – Vertical resolution of price bins.
Source – Price source used to assign volume into rows.
Summary Sections – Number of vertical delta sectors.
Summary Width – Horizontal size of the delta bar panel.
Gap From Profile – Distance between profile and delta grid.
Show Delta Text – Toggle Δ% labels.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Gap & Go Day Trading Tool - Key Levels, Alerts & Setup GradingVisualizes Gap & Go setups with automatic gap detection, pre-market levels, and breakout signals. Shows: ✅ Gap % with quality rating (5%/10%/20%+) ✅ Pre-market high/low ✅ First candle range ✅ 50% gap fill target ✅ VWAP ✅ Relative volume. Includes setup grading system (A+ to C), entry signals on PM high breakouts, and 6 customizable alerts. Perfect for momentum day traders focusing on gapping stocks.
Full Description
█ OVERVIEW
The Gap & Go indicator automatically identifies and visualizes gap trading setups - one of the most popular momentum day trading strategies. When a stock gaps up significantly from the prior close, it often signals strong buying interest and potential for continuation moves.
This indicator displays all the key levels you need to trade gaps effectively, grades setup quality, and alerts you to breakout opportunities.
█ HOW IT WORKS
The indicator calculates the gap percentage between yesterday's close and today's open, then displays critical support/resistance levels that gap traders watch:
Gap Zone → The price range between prior close and gap open
Pre-Market High/Low → Key breakout and support levels from extended hours
First Candle Range → Opening range that often defines intraday direction
50% Gap Fill → Common retracement target and support level
VWAP → Institutional reference point
█ GAP CLASSIFICATION
Gaps are automatically classified by magnitude:
🔥 Qualifying Gap (5%+) → Meets minimum threshold for gap trading
🔥🔥 Strong Gap (10%+) → Ideal gap size for momentum plays
🔥🔥🔥 Monster Gap (20%+) → Exceptional move requiring extra attention
Background color changes based on gap quality for instant visual identification.
█ SETUP GRADING SYSTEM
The indicator grades each setup from A+ to C based on multiple factors:
- Gap magnitude (qualifying vs strong)
- Relative volume (2x+ vs 5x+ average)
- Price position relative to VWAP
A+ Setup (4-5 points) → High probability
A Setup (3 points) → Good setup
B Setup (2 points) → Moderate
C Setup (0-1 points) → Weak/avoid
█ ENTRY SIGNALS
Triangle signals appear when price breaks above key levels:
▲ Lime Triangle → Breaking above Pre-Market High
▲ Aqua Triangle → Breaking above First Candle High
Signals require volume confirmation by default (configurable).
█ KEY LEVELS DISPLAYED
- Prior Close (Orange) → Gap reference point
- Pre-Market High (Lime) → Primary breakout level
- Pre-Market Low (Red) → Support if gap fails
- First Candle Range (Aqua box) → Opening range breakout levels
- 50% Gap Fill (Yellow dotted) → Common support/target
- VWAP (Purple) → Institutional pivot
█ INFO TABLE
Real-time dashboard showing:
- Gap % with quality emoji
- Relative Volume with status
- All key price levels
- Breakout status (✓ if broken)
- Distance from PM High
- Setup Grade
█ ALERTS INCLUDED
6 customizable alerts:
1. Qualifying Gap Detected (5%+)
2. Strong Gap Detected (10%+)
3. Monster Gap Detected (20%+)
4. Pre-Market High Breakout
5. First Candle High Breakout
6. 50% Gap Fill Test
7. Full Gap Fill (setup invalidated)
█ SETTINGS
Gap Settings
- Minimum gap % threshold
- Strong gap % threshold
- Monster gap % threshold
Volume Settings
- Enable/disable relative volume filter
- Minimum RVol requirement
- Strong RVol threshold
- RVol calculation period
Level Settings
- Toggle each level type on/off
- Show/hide gap zone
- Show/hide VWAP
Signal Settings
- Breakout signal type (PM High, First Candle, Both)
- Volume confirmation requirement
Visual Settings
- Info table position
- Color customization for all levels
█ HOW TO USE
1. Scan for gapping stocks pre-market (use a scanner or watchlist)
2. Apply this indicator to candidates
3. Check the Setup Grade in the info table
4. Wait for price to consolidate near pre-market high
5. Enter on breakout above PM High with volume confirmation
6. Use 50% gap fill or PM Low as stop loss reference
7. Monitor VWAP - staying above is bullish
█ BEST PRACTICES
✓ Focus on A and A+ setups
✓ Require strong relative volume (5x+)
✓ Trade in the direction of the gap (long for gap ups)
✓ Watch for gap fill as potential support
✓ Be cautious if price falls below VWAP
✓ First 30-60 minutes typically have best momentum
█ TIMEFRAME RECOMMENDATIONS
- 1-minute: Scalping, precise entries
- 5-minute: Most common for gap trading (recommended)
- 15-minute: Swing entries, less noise
█ NOTES
- Pre-market levels require extended hours data enabled
- First candle range is based on the first regular market candle
- Works on stocks, ETFs, and futures
- Gaps down are detected but focus is on gap-up setups
█ DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Gap trading involves significant risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Dynamic Support and Resistance with Trend LinesDynamic Support and Resistance with Trend Lines (DSRTL)
1. Introduction & Methodology
The DSRTL indicator is designed to provide a multidimensional analysis of market structure. Unlike traditional tools that rely solely on price pivots, this script combines Static Volume-based Zones with Dynamic Trend Lines to evaluate the price's position relative to critical market components.
The S/R Identification Technique
Instead of standard pivot points, DSRTL utilizes Volume Analysis to highlight areas of significant trader participation:
- Strategy A:
Matrix Climax: Identifies candles within the lookback period that are near price extremes (Highs/Lows) and coincide with significant buying or selling volume.
- Strategy B:
Volume Extremes: Detects candles with the absolute highest buy/sell volumes within the selected lookback window, creating extreme volume-based S/R zones.
- Result:
This creates Support/Resistance (S/R) zones that are validated by actual market activity, not just price geometry.
Dynamic Trend Lines
To complement the static zones, the indicator employs two adaptive channel methods:
- Pivot Span: Connects recent significant pivots for a fast, reactive trend corridor.
- 5-Point Channel: Segments the lookback period into 5 parts to perform a linear regression analysis, creating a stable and statistically significant channel.
2. Volume Calculation Methodology
Accurate S/R detection requires distinguishing Buy Volume from Sell Volume. DSRTL offers two calculation modes:
- Geometry (Source File): Estimates buy/sell volume based on the Close price's position relative to the High/Low of the candle.
Note: This is an approximation that works on all plan types as it does not require intrabar data.
- Intrabar (Precise): Analyzes historical lower-timeframe data (e.g., 15S) to calculate intrabar-based volume deltas with higher precision compared to the geometric method.
Note: This offers superior accuracy. It requires access to historical intrabar data (depending on your plan limits). For the best analytical results, use this mode if available.
3. The Smart Matrix Engine (3D Analysis)
The core of DSRTL is its dashboard, powered by the "Smart Matrix Engine." This engine evaluates the current price in a multi-layer market structure context (Static Volume Zones + Dynamic Channels + Volume Metrics).:
A. S-State (Static): Where is the price relative to the Volume S/R zones?
B. D-State (Dynamic): Where is the price relative to the Trend Channels?
How to read the Matrix Map:
The dashboard displays a 5x5 grid representing 25 possible market scenarios.
- Rows (S1-S5): Represent the Static State (S1=Breakout, S3=Mid-Range, S5=Breakdown).
- Columns (D1-D5): Represent the Dynamic State (D1=Overextended Up, D3=Neutral, D5=Overextended Down).
- Active Cell: Marked with a dot, indicating the specific intersection of price action and market structure.
4. Matrix Interpretations (The 25 Scenarios)
Below is the detailed logic for every possible state displayed on the dashboard, explaining the Title, Bias, and actionable Signal.
Section I: S1 - Static Breakout (Price > Static Resistance)
The price has cleared the static volume resistance zone.
- S1 / D1: HYPER EXTENSION
Bias: Extreme Bullish
Signal: Caution: Exhaustion Risk. Trail stops tight.
- S1 / D2: RESISTANCE CLASH
Bias: Bullish
Signal: Breakout confirmed but facing immediate dynamic resistance.
- S1 / D3: CHANNEL BREAKOUT
Bias: Strong Bullish
Signal: Ideal Trend Continuation. Look to buy dips.
- S1 / D4: SMART PULLBACK
Bias: Bullish (Pullback)
Signal: A pullback occurring after a breakout. Strong buy opportunity.
- S1 / D5: CONFLICT (DIV)
Bias: Conflict/Reversal
Signal: Major Divergence. Static breakout is failing against dynamic structure. High Risk.
Section II: S2 - Inside Static Resistance
The price is currently testing the overhead resistance zone.
- S2 / D1: WEAK SPIKE
Bias: Neutral/Bullish
Signal: Testing resistance, but short-term overextended.
- S2 / D2: IRON FORTRESS (R)
Bias: Rejection Risk
Signal: Double Resistance (Static + Dynamic). High probability of rejection.
- S2 / D3: TESTING RES
Bias: Neutral
Signal: Consolidating at resistance. Wait for a clear break or rejection.
- S2 / D4: COMPRESSION (UP)
Bias: Conflict (Squeeze)
Signal: Squeezed between Static Resistance and Dynamic Support. Volatility imminent.
- S2 / D5: RES vs DOWN-TREND
Bias: Bearish
Signal: Strong downtrend meeting static resistance. Potential Short entry.
Section III: S3 - Mid-Range
The price is floating between significant Static Support and Resistance.
- S3 / D1: OVERBOUGHT RANGE
Bias: Rejection Risk (OB)
Signal: Overextended within the range. Potential fade (short).
- S3 / D2: RANGE HIGH LIMIT
Bias: Neutral/Bearish
Signal: At the top of the dynamic channel. Look for rejection signs.
- S3 / D3: NEUTRAL / CHOPPY
Bias: Neutral
Signal: Dead Center. Low probability environment. Avoid trading.
- S3 / D4: RANGE DIP BUY
Bias: Neutral/Bullish
Signal: At the bottom of the dynamic channel. Look for bounce signs.
- S3 / D5: WEAK RANGE (OS)
Bias: Bounce Risk (OS)
Signal: Oversold within the range. Potential fade (long).
Section IV: S4 - Inside Static Support
The price is currently testing the floor support zone.
- S4 / D1: SUP vs UP-TREND
Bias: Bullish
Signal: Strong uptrend meeting static support. Potential Long entry.
- S4 / D2: COMPRESSION (DN)
Bias: Conflict (Squeeze)
Signal: Squeezed between Static Support and Dynamic Resistance. Volatility imminent.
- S4 / D3: TESTING SUPPORT
Bias: Neutral
Signal: Consolidating at support. Wait for a bounce or breakdown.
- S4 / D4: IRON FLOOR (S)
Bias: Bounce Risk
Signal: Double Support (Static + Dynamic). High probability of a bounce.
- S4 / D5: WEAK DIP
Bias: Neutral/Bearish
Signal: Testing support, but short-term oversold.
Section V: S5 - Static Breakdown (Price < Static Support)
The price has dropped below the static volume support zone.
- S5 / D1: CONFLICT (DIV)
Bias: Conflict/Reversal
Signal: Major Divergence. Static breakdown is failing. High Risk.
- S5 / D2: BEAR PULLBACK
Bias: Bearish (Pullback)
Signal: A pullback occurring after a breakdown. Strong selling opportunity.
- S5 / D3: CHANNEL BREAKDOWN
Bias: Strong Bearish
Signal: Ideal Trend Continuation (Down). Sell rallies.
- S5 / D4: SUPPORT CLASH
Bias: Bearish
Signal: Breakdown confirmed but facing immediate dynamic support.
- S5 / D5: HYPER DROP (VOID)
Bias: Extreme Bearish
Signal: Caution: Climax risk. Trail stops for shorts.
DISCLAIMER & EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE
This indicator is strictly an educational tool designed to visualize complex market structure concepts. Its primary purpose is to help traders "bridge the gap" between academic theory and real-time market behavior by providing a visual representation of support, resistance, and volume dynamics.
Please Note:
1. Not a Trading Strategy: This script is an analytical assistant, not a standalone "Black Box" trading system. It does not generate buy or sell signals that should be followed blindly.
2. No Financial Advice: The data provided by this tool is for informational purposes only. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
3. Risk Warning: Trading involves significant risk. Always use your own judgment, perform your own technical analysis, and use proper risk management. Do not use this tool as the sole basis for your trading decisions.
4. Data Precision & Platform Limits: The "Intrabar (Precise)" calculation mode relies on high-resolution historical data to provide exact results. Access to this specific data depth depends entirely on your platform's subscription capabilities. If your plan does not support this level of historical intrabar data, the Precise mode may have limited coverage. In that case, you should switch to "Geometry" mode for a fully populated view.
Market Energy & Direction DashboardMarket Energy & Direction Dashboard - Daytrading
Overview
A comprehensive real-time market internals dashboard that combines NYSE TICK, NYSE Advance-Decline (ADD) momentum, VIX direction, and relative volume into a single visual traffic light system with intelligent signal synthesis. Designed for active daytraders who need instant confirmation of market direction and energy based on momentum alignment across all major internals.
What It Does
This indicator synthesizes multiple market internals using directional momentum analysis rather than static thresholds to provide clear, actionable signals:
• Traffic Light System: Single glance confirmation of market state
o Bright Green: Maximum bullish - all internals aligned (TICK + ADD rising + VIX falling + volume)
o Bright Red: Maximum bearish - all internals aligned (TICK + ADD falling + VIX rising + volume)
o Yellow: Exhaustion warning - TICK at extremes, potential reversal imminent
o Moderate Colors: Partial alignment - some confirmation but not complete
o Gray: Choppy, neutral, or conflicting signals
• Real-Time Dashboard displays:
o Current TICK value with exhaustion warnings
o Current ADD with directional momentum indicator (↑ rising = breadth improving, ↓ falling = breadth deteriorating, ± compression)
o VIX level with directional indicator (↓ declining = bullish, ↑ rising = bearish, ± compression = neutral)
o Relative volume (current vs 20-period average)
o Composite status message synthesizing all data into clear directional summary
Key Features
✓ Momentum-based analysis - all indicators show direction/change, not just levels ✓ Intelligent signal hierarchy from "Maximum" to "Moderate" based on internal alignment ✓ ADD directional momentum - catches breadth shifts early, works in all market conditions ✓ VIX directional analysis - shows if fear is increasing, decreasing, or stagnant ✓ Color-coded traffic light for instant decision making ✓ Detects TICK/ADD divergences (conflicting signals = caution) ✓ Exhaustion warnings at extreme TICK levels (±1000+) ✓ Composite status messages - "Maximum Bull", "Strong Bull", "Moderate Bull", etc. ✓ Customizable thresholds for all parameters ✓ Moveable dashboard (9 position options) ✓ Built-in alerts for all signal strengths, exhaustion, and divergences
How To Use
Setup:
1. Add indicator to your main trading chart (SPY, ES, NQ, etc.)
2. Default settings work well for most traders, but you can customize:
o TICK Extreme Level (default 1000)
o ADD Compression Threshold (default 100 - detects when breadth is stagnant)
o VIX Elevated Level (default 20)
o VIX Compression Threshold (default 2% - detects low volatility)
o Volume Threshold (default 1.5x average)
3. Position dashboard wherever convenient on your chart
Reading The Signals:
Signal Hierarchy (Strongest to Weakest):
MAXIMUM SIGNALS ⭐ (Brightest colors - All 4 internals aligned)
• "✓ MAXIMUM BULL": TICK bullish + ADD rising (↑) + VIX falling (↓) + Volume elevated
o This is the holy grail setup - all momentum aligned, highest conviction longs
• "✓ MAXIMUM BEAR": TICK bearish + ADD falling (↓) + VIX rising (↑) + Volume elevated
o Perfect storm bearish - all momentum aligned, highest conviction shorts
STRONG SIGNALS (Bright colors - Core internals aligned)
• "✓ STRONG BULL": TICK bullish + ADD rising (↑)
o Strong confirmation even without VIX/volume - breadth supporting the move
• "✓ STRONG BEAR": TICK bearish + ADD falling (↓)
o Strong confirmation - both momentum and breadth deteriorating
MODERATE SIGNALS (Faded colors - Partial confirmation)
• "MODERATE BULL": TICK bullish but ADD not confirming direction
o Proceed with caution - momentum present but breadth questionable
• "MODERATE BEAR": TICK bearish but ADD not confirming direction
o Proceed with caution - selling but breadth not fully participating
WARNING SIGNALS
• "⚠ EXHAUSTION" (Yellow): TICK at ±1000+ extremes
o Potential reversal zone - prepare to fade or take profits
o Often marks blow-off tops or capitulation bottoms
NEUTRAL/AVOID
• "CHOPPY/NEUTRAL" (Gray): Conflicting signals or low conviction
o Stay out or reduce size significantly
Individual Indicator Interpretation:
TICK:
• Green: Bullish momentum (>+300)
• Red: Bearish momentum (<-300)
• Yellow: Exhaustion (±1000+)
• Gray: Neutral
ADD (Advance-Decline):
• Green (↑): Breadth improving - more stocks participating in the move
• Red (↓): Breadth deteriorating - fewer stocks participating
• Gray (±): Breadth stagnant - no clear participation trend
VIX:
• Green (↓): Fear declining - healthy environment for rallies
• Red (↑): Fear rising - risk-off mode, supports downward moves
• Gray (±): Volatility compression - often precedes explosive moves
Volume:
• Green: High conviction (>1.5x average)
• Gray: Low conviction
Trading Strategy:
1. Wait for "MAXIMUM" or "STRONG" signals for highest probability entries
o Maximum signals = go full size with confidence
o Strong signals = good conviction, normal position sizing
2. Confirm directional alignment:
o For longs: Want ADD ↑ (rising) and VIX ↓ (falling)
o For shorts: Want ADD ↓ (falling) and VIX ↑ (rising)
3. Use exhaustion warnings (yellow) to:
o Take profits on existing positions
o Prepare counter-trend entries
o Tighten stops
4. Avoid "MODERATE" signals unless you have strong conviction from other analysis
o These work best as confirmation for existing setups
o Not strong enough to initiate new positions alone
5. Never trade "CHOPPY/NEUTRAL" signals
o Gray means stay out - preserve capital
o Wait for clear alignment
6. Watch for divergences:
o Price making new highs but ADD ↓ (falling) = distribution warning
o Price making new lows but ADD ↑ (rising) = potential bottom
o Divergence alert will notify you
Best Practices:
• Use on 1-5 minute charts for daytrading
• Combine with your price action or technical setup (support/resistance, trendlines, patterns)
• The dashboard confirms when to take your setup, not what setup to take
• Most effective during regular market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET) when volume is present
• The strongest edge comes from "MAXIMUM" signals - wait for these for best risk/reward
• Pay special attention to ADD direction - it's the most predictive breadth indicator
• VIX compression (gray ±) often signals upcoming volatility expansion - prepare for bigger moves
Customization Option
All thresholds are adjustable in settings:
• TICK Extreme: Higher = fewer exhaustion warnings (try 1200-1500 for less sensitivity)
• ADD Compression Threshold: Change detection sensitivity
o Default 100 = balanced
o Lower (50) = more sensitive to small breadth changes
o Higher (200-300) = only shows major breadth shifts
• VIX Elevated: Adjust for current volatility regime (15-25 typical range)
• VIX Compression Threshold:
o Default 2% = balanced
o Lower (0.5-1%) = catches subtle VIX changes
o Higher (3-5%) = only shows significant VIX moves
• Volume Threshold: Lower for quieter stocks/times, higher for more confirmation
Alerts Available
• Maximum Bullish: All 4 internals aligned bullish (TICK + ADD↑ + VIX↓ + Volume)
• Maximum Bearish: All 4 internals aligned bearish (TICK + ADD↓ + VIX↑ + Volume)
• Strong Bullish: TICK bullish + ADD rising
• Strong Bearish: TICK bearish + ADD falling
• Exhaustion Warning: TICK at extreme levels
• Divergence Warning: TICK and ADD directions conflicting
Understanding the Signal Synthesis
The indicator uses intelligent logic to combine all internals:
"MAXIMUM" Signals require:
• TICK direction (bullish/bearish)
• ADD momentum (rising/falling) in same direction
• VIX direction (falling for bulls, rising for bears)
• Volume elevated (>1.5x average)
"STRONG" Signals require:
• TICK direction (bullish/bearish)
• ADD momentum (rising/falling) in same direction
• (VIX and volume are bonuses but not required)
"MODERATE" Signals:
• TICK showing direction
• But ADD not confirming or contradicting
• Weakest actionable signal
This hierarchy ensures you know exactly how much conviction the market has behind any move.
Technical Details
• Pulls real-time data from NYSE TICK (USI:TICK), NYSE ADD (USI:ADD), and CBOE VIX
• ADD direction calculated using bar-to-bar change with compression detection
• VIX direction calculated using bar-to-bar percentage change
• Volume calculation uses 20-period simple moving average
• Dashboard updates every bar
• No repainting - all calculations based on closed bar data
Who This Is For
• Active daytraders of stocks, futures (ES/NQ), and options
• Scalpers needing quick directional confirmation with multiple internal alignment
• Swing traders looking to time intraday entries with maximum confluence
• Volatility traders who monitor VIX behavior
• Market makers and professionals who trade based on breadth and internals
• Anyone who monitors market internals but wants intelligent synthesis vs raw data
Tips For Success
Trading Philosophy:
• Quality over quantity - wait for "MAXIMUM" signals for best results
• One "MAXIMUM" signal trade is worth five "MODERATE" signal trades
• Gray/neutral is not a sign of missing opportunity - it's protecting your capital
Signal Confidence Levels:
1. MAXIMUM (95%+ confidence) - Trade these aggressively with full size
2. STRONG (80-85% confidence) - Trade these with normal position sizing
3. MODERATE (60-70% confidence) - Only if confirmed by strong technical setup
4. CHOPPY/NEUTRAL - Do not trade, wait for clarity
Advanced Techniques:
• Breadth divergences: Watch for price making new highs while ADD shows ↓ (falling) = major warning
• VIX/Price divergences: Rallies with rising VIX (↑) are usually false moves
• Volume confirmation: "MAXIMUM" signals with 2x+ volume are the absolute best
• Compression zones: When both ADD and VIX show compression (±), expect explosive breakout soon
• Sequential signals: Back-to-back "MAXIMUM" signals in same direction = strong trending day
Common Patterns:
• Opening surge with "MAXIMUM BULL" that shifts to "EXHAUSTION" (yellow) = fade the high
• Selloff with "MAXIMUM BEAR" followed by ADD ↑ (rising) divergence = potential reversal
• Choppy morning followed by "MAXIMUM" signal afternoon = best trending opportunity
Example Scenarios
Perfect Bull Entry:
• Bright green signal box
• TICK: +650
• ADD: +1200 (↑)
• VIX: 18.30 (↓)
• Volume: 2.3x
• Status: "✓ MAXIMUM BULL" → ALL SYSTEMS GO - Take aggressive long positions
Strong Bull (Good Confidence):
• Green signal box (slightly less bright)
• TICK: +500
• ADD: +800 (↑)
• VIX: 19.50 (±)
• Volume: 1.2x
• Status: "✓ STRONG BULL" → Good long setup - breadth confirming even without VIX/volume
Caution Bull (Moderate):
• Faded green signal box
• TICK: +400
• ADD: +900 (↓)
• VIX: 20.10 (↑)
• Volume: 0.9x
• Status: "MODERATE BULL" → CAUTION - TICK bullish but breadth deteriorating and VIX rising = weak rally
Exhaustion Warning:
• Yellow signal box
• TICK: +1350 ⚠
• ADD: +2100 (↑)
• VIX: 17.20 (↓)
• Volume: 1.8x
• Status: "⚠ EXHAUSTION" → Take profits or prepare to fade - TICK overextended despite good internals
Divergence Setup (Potential Reversal):
• Faded green signal
• TICK: +300
• ADD: +1800 (↓)
• VIX: 21.50 (↑)
• Volume: 1.6x
• Status: "MODERATE BULL" → WARNING - Price rallying but breadth collapsing and fear rising = distribution
Perfect Bear Entry:
• Bright red signal box
• TICK: -780
• ADD: -1600 (↓)
• VIX: 24.80 (↑)
• Volume: 2.5x
• Status: "✓ MAXIMUM BEAR" → Perfect short setup - all momentum bearish with conviction
Compression (Wait Mode):
• Gray signal box
• TICK: +50
• ADD: -200 (±)
• VIX: 16.40 (±)
• Volume: 0.7x
• Status: "CHOPPY/NEUTRAL" → STAY OUT - Volatility compression, no conviction, await breakout
Performance Optimization
Best Market Conditions:
• Works excellent in trending markets (up or down)
• Particularly powerful during high-volume sessions (first/last hours)
• "MAXIMUM" signals most reliable during 9:45-11:00 AM and 2:00-3:30 PM ET
Less Effective During:
• Lunch period (11:30 AM - 1:30 PM) - lower volume reduces signal quality
• Low-volatility environments - compression signals dominate
• Major news events in first 5 minutes - wait for internals to stabilize
Recommended Use Cases:
• Scalping: Trade only "MAXIMUM" signals for quick 5-15 minute moves
• Daytrading: Use "MAXIMUM" and "STRONG" signals for position entries
• Swing entries: Use "MAXIMUM" signals for optimal intraday entry timing
• Exit timing: Use "EXHAUSTION" (yellow) warnings to take profits
________________________________________
Pro Tip: Create a dedicated workspace with this indicator on SPY/ES/NQ charts. Set alerts for "MAXIMUM BULL", "MAXIMUM BEAR", and "EXHAUSTION" signals. Most professional traders only trade the "MAXIMUM" setups and ignore everything else - this alone can dramatically improve win rates.
Kernel Channel [BackQuant]Kernel Channel
A non-parametric, kernel-weighted trend channel that adapts to local structure, smooths noise without lagging like moving averages, and highlights volatility compressions, expansions, and directional bias through a flexible choice of kernels, band types, and squeeze logic.
What this is
This indicator builds a full trend channel using kernel regression rather than classical averaging. Instead of a simple moving average or exponential weighting, the midline is computed as a kernel-weighted expectation of past values. This allows it to adapt to local shape, give more weight to nearby bars, and reduce distortion from outliers.
You can think of it as a sliding local smoother where you define both the “window” of influence (Window Length) and the “locality strength” (Bandwidth). The result is a flexible midline with optional upper and lower bands derived from kernel-weighted ATR or kernel-weighted standard deviation, letting you visualize volatility in a structurally consistent way.
Three plotting modes help demonstrate this difference:
When the midline is shown alone, you get a smooth, adaptive baseline that behaves almost like a regression moving average, as shown in this view:
When full channels are enabled, you see how standard deviation reacts to local structure with dynamically widening and tightening bands, a mode illustrated here:
When ATR mode is chosen instead of StdDev, band width reflects breadth of movement rather than variance, creating a volatility-aware envelope like the example here:
Why kernels
Classical moving averages allocate fixed weights. Kernels let the user define weighting shape:
Epanechnikov — emphasizes bars near the current bar, fades fast, stable and smooth.
Triangular — linear decay, simple and responsive.
Laplacian — exponential decay from the current point, sharper reactivity.
Cosine — gentle periodic decay, balanced smoothness for trend filters.
Using these in combination with a bandwidth parameter gives fine control over smoothness vs responsiveness. Smaller bandwidths give sharper local sensitivity, larger bandwidths give smoother curvature.
How it works (core logic)
The indicator computes three building blocks:
1) Kernel-weighted midline
For every bar, a sliding window looks back Window Length bars. Each bar in this window receives a kernel weight depending on:
its index distance from the present
the chosen kernel shape
the bandwidth parameter (locality)
Weights form the denominator, weighted values form the numerator, and the resulting ratio is the kernel regression mean. This midline is the central trend.
2) Kernel-based width
You choose one of two band types:
Kernel ATR — ATR values are kernel-averaged, producing a smooth, volatility-based width that is not dependent on variance. Ideal for directional trend channels and regime separation.
Kernel StdDev — local variance around the midline is computed through kernel weighting. This produces a true statistical envelope that narrows in quiet periods and widens in noisy areas.
Width is scaled using Band Multiplier , controlling how far the envelope extends.
3) Upper and lower channels
Provided midline and width exist, the channel edges are:
Upper = midline + bandMult × width
Lower = midline − bandMult × width
These create smooth structures around price that adapt continuously.
Plotting modes
The indicator supports multiple visual styles depending on what you want to emphasize.
When only the midline is displayed, you get a pure kernel trend: a smooth regression-like curve that reacts to local structure while filtering noise, demonstrated here: This provides a clean read on direction and slope.
With full channels enabled, the behavior of the bands becomes visible. Standard deviation mode creates elastic boundaries that tighten during compressions and widen during turbulence, which you can see in the band-focused demonstration: This helps identify expansion events, volatility clusters, and breakouts.
ATR mode shifts interpretation from statistical variance to raw movement amplitude. This makes channels less sensitive to outliers and more consistent across trend phases, as shown in this ATR variation example: This mode is particularly useful for breakout systems and bar-range regimes.
Regime detection and bar coloring
The slope of the midline defines directional bias:
Up-slope → green
Down-slope → red
Flat → gray
A secondary regime filter compares close to the channel:
Trend Up Strong — close above upper band and midline rising.
Trend Down Strong — close below lower band and midline falling.
Trend Up Weak — close between midline and upper band with rising slope.
Trend Down Weak — close between lower band and midline with falling slope.
Compression mode — squeeze conditions.
Bar coloring is optional and can be toggled for cleaner charts.
Squeeze logic
The indicator includes non-standard squeeze detection based on relative width , defined as:
width / |midline|
This gives a dimensionless measure of how “tight” or “loose” the channel is, normalized for trend level.
A rolling window evaluates the percentile rank of current width relative to past behavior. If the width is in the lowest X% of its last N observations, the script flags a squeeze environment. This highlights compression regions that may precede breakouts or regime shifts.
Deviation highlighting
When using Kernel StdDev mode, you may enable deviation flags that highlight bars where price moves outside the channel:
Above upper band → bullish momentum overextension
Below lower band → bearish momentum overextension
This is turned off in ATR mode because ATR widths do not represent distributional variance.
Alerts included
Kernel Channel Long — midline turns up.
Kernel Channel Short — midline turns down.
Price Crossed Midline — crossover or crossunder of the midline.
Price Above Upper — early momentum expansion.
Price Below Lower — downward volatility expansion.
These help automate regime changes and breakout detection.
How to use it
Trend identification
The midline acts as a bias filter. Rising midline means trend strength upward, falling midline means downward behavior. The channel width contextualizes confidence.
Breakout anticipation
Kernel StdDev compressions highlight areas where price is coiling. Breakouts often follow narrow relative width. ATR mode provides structural expansion cues that are smooth and robust.
Mean reversion
StdDev mode is suitable for fade setups. Moves to outer bands during low volatility often revert to the midline.
Continuation logic
If price breaks above the upper band while midline is rising, the indicator flags strong directional expansion. Same logic for breakdowns on the lower band.
Volatility characterization
Kernel ATR maps raw bar movements and is excellent for identifying regime shifts in markets where variance is unstable.
Tuning guidance
For smoother long-term trend tracking
Larger window (150–300).
Moderate bandwidth (1.0–2.0).
Epanechnikov or Cosine kernel.
ATR mode for stable envelopes.
For swing trading / short-term structure
Window length around 50–100.
Bandwidth 0.6–1.2.
Triangular for speed, Laplacian for sharper reactions.
StdDev bands for precise volatility compression.
For breakout systems
Smaller bandwidth for sharp local detection.
ATR mode for stable envelopes.
Enable squeeze highlighting for identifying setups early.
For mean-reversion systems
Use StdDev bands.
Moderate window length.
Highlight deviations to locate overextended bars.
Settings overview
Kernel Settings
Source
Window Length
Bandwidth
Kernel Type (Epanechnikov, Triangular, Laplacian, Cosine)
Channel Width
Band Type (Kernel ATR or Kernel StdDev)
Band Multiplier
Visuals
Show Bands
Color Bars By Regime
Highlight Squeeze Periods
Highlight Deviation
Lookback and Percentile settings
Colors for uptrend, downtrend, squeeze, flat
Trading applications
Trend filtering — trade only in direction of the midline slope.
Breakout confirmation — expansion outside the bands while slope agrees.
Squeeze timing — compression periods often precede the next directional leg.
Volatility-aware stops — ATR mode makes channel edges suitable for adaptive stop placement.
Structural swing mapping — StdDev bands help locate midline pullbacks vs distributional extremes.
Bias rotation — bar coloring highlights when regime shifts occur.
Notes
The Kernel Channel is not a signal generator by itself, but a structural map. It helps classify trend direction, volatility environment, distribution shape, and compression cycles. Combine it with your entry and exit framework, risk parameters, and higher-timeframe confirmation.
It is designed to behave consistently across markets, to avoid the bluntness of classical averages, and to reveal subtle curvature in price that traditional channels miss. Adjust kernel type, bandwidth, and band source to match the noise profile of your instrument, then use squeeze logic and deviation highlighting to guide timing.
