🎯 SHORT BAG DETECTOR🎯 SHORT BAG DETECTOR: The Liquidation Squeeze Signal
💡 What This Indicator Does
The SHORT BAG DETECTOR is a powerful volatility and volume-based indicator designed to identify high-probability price areas where trapped short sellers (those holding a "short bag" of losing positions) are most vulnerable to a short squeeze or liquidation event.
It automatically scans for a rare confluence of three critical market conditions, generating a single, high-conviction signal (the large orange marker) for optimal entry timing.
🔎 The 3 Confluence Conditions
The main OLD BAG DETECTED! signal only triggers when all three of the following conditions occur simultaneously:
Old Level Touch: The price returns to a significant, aged historical pivot high or low price (established over the last 150 days). This level represents the average entry price for a large number of short or long positions.
Significant Gap: The current day opens with a meaningful price gap (user-defined percentage) against the direction of the trapped traders. This creates immediate urgency and stress for the "bag holders."
Volume Spike: The signal is confirmed by a massive volume spike (user-defined multiplier over average volume). This confirms that the movement is driven by forced liquidation (short-covering) and aggressive buying/selling, not just minor market noise.
📊 Key Features
High-Conviction Orange Signal: Marks the optimal timing for a potential squeeze/reversal driven by short liquidation.
Gap Markers (Green/Red): Clearly identifies significant bullish and bearish gaps on the chart.
Toggleable Minor Levels (Blue Labels): Shows all historical pivot levels being tracked for full context (can be easily disabled in the settings to reduce chart clutter).
📈 How to Use the Signal
The indicator is best used to identify continuation trades or volatile reversals. When the OLD BAG DETECTED! signal appears:
Bullish Signal (When price gaps up to an old low): Indicates a strong potential reversal as shorts from that low level are forced to cover.
Bearish Signal (When price gaps down to an old high): Indicates a potential reversal as longs from that high level are forced to liquidate.
This tool is perfect for traders looking to capitalize on volatility events and forced liquidations.
Statistics
ES-VIX Expected Daily MoveThis indicator calculates the expected daily price movement for ES futures based on current volatility levels as measured by the VIX (CBOE Volatility Index).
Formula:
Expected Daily Move = (ES Price × VIX Price) / √252 / 100
The calculation converts the annualized VIX volatility into an expected daily move by dividing by the square root of 252 (the approximate number of trading days per year).
Features:
Real-time calculation using current ES futures price and VIX level
Histogram visualization in a separate pane for easy trend analysis
Information table displaying:
Current ES futures price
Current VIX level
Expected daily move in points
Expected daily move as a percentage
RSI os/ob overlay on candle - RichFintech.comRSI os/ob overlay on candle - RichFintech.com reduce the time your eyes must to look two pane, easier to analysis and tired eyes
ETH Upgrades: Exact Price + DateThis indicator places markers on the chart that show you the exact date and price where each Ethereum upgrade occurred.
Bitcoin vs. S&P 500 Performance Comparison**Full Description:**
**Overview**
This indicator provides an intuitive visual comparison of Bitcoin's performance versus the S&P 500 by shading the chart background based on relative strength over a rolling lookback period.
**How It Works**
- Calculates percentage returns for both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 (ES1! futures) over a specified lookback period (default: 75 bars)
- Compares the returns and shades the background accordingly:
- **Green/Teal Background**: Bitcoin is outperforming the S&P 500
- **Red/Maroon Background**: S&P 500 is outperforming Bitcoin
- Displays a real-time performance difference label showing the exact percentage spread
**Key Features**
✓ Rolling performance comparison using customizable lookback period (default 75 bars)
✓ Clean visual representation with adjustable transparency
✓ Works on any timeframe (optimized for daily charts)
✓ Real-time performance differential display
✓ Uses ES1! (E-mini S&P 500 continuous futures) for accurate comparison
✓ Fine-tuning adjustment factor for precise calibration
**Use Cases**
- Identify market regimes where Bitcoin outperforms or underperforms traditional equities
- Spot trend changes in relative performance
- Assess risk-on vs risk-off periods
- Compare Bitcoin's momentum against broader market conditions
- Time entries/exits based on relative strength shifts
**Settings**
- **S&P 500 Symbol**: Default ES1! (can be changed to SPX or other indices)
- **Lookback Period**: Number of bars for performance calculation (default: 75)
- **Adjustment Factor**: Fine-tune calibration to match specific data feeds
- **Transparency Controls**: Customize background shading intensity
- **Show/Hide Label**: Toggle performance difference display
**Best Practices**
- Use on daily timeframe for swing trading and position analysis
- Combine with other momentum indicators for confirmation
- Watch for color transitions as potential regime change signals
- Consider using multiple timeframes for comprehensive analysis
**Technical Details**
The indicator calculates rolling percentage returns using the formula: ((Current Price / Price ) - 1) × 100, then compares Bitcoin's return to the S&P 500's return over the same period. The background color dynamically updates based on which asset is showing stronger performance.
TheGrowth Checklist// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
// TheGrowth Checklist Indicator
// Authors: Prochyy & Filip Moskal (The Growth Elite Mentor) | © 2025
//
// This indicator is provided strictly for personal use.
// You are welcome to use it in your own trading if you find it valuable.
//
// However, you are NOT allowed to:
// – copy or redistribute this script,
// – sell, publish, or otherwise commercialize it,
// – modify and distribute altered versions,
// – claim this work as your own.
//
// This tool was created specifically for the trading strategy used within
// The Growth Elite community:
// filip-moskal.mykajabi.com
//
// Please respect the creators' work. Thank you.
// -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
SIDD Table Volume multiframe (Modified)🚀 SIDD Volume Table – The Most Powerful Multi-Timeframe Volume Dashboard
Designed by Siddhartha Mukherjee (SIDD)
Free for the community.
Get an unfair edge with the cleanest, fastest, and most accurate multi-timeframe volume analyzer available on TradingView. This tool reveals where buyers and sellers are truly active across multiple timeframes—helping you confirm trends, avoid traps, and enter with confidence.
🔥 Why Traders Love This Indicator
✅ 1. Multi-Timeframe Volume Domination
Instantly view Buy% / Sell% / Total Volume for:
1m • 5m • 15m • 1H • 4H • 1D • 1W
Choose any combination you want!
✅ 2. Advanced Buy/Sell Volume Logic
Not simple volume…
This tool breaks it into:
Buy Volume% (green dominance)
Sell Volume% (red dominance)
Using candle structure (H-L-C), giving far more accurate pressure detection.
✅ 3. Realtime Candle Countdown
Never guess when a candle will close again.
Get:
Seconds (1m)
MM:SS (5m/15m/1H)
DD:HH:MM:SS (4H, 1D, 1W)
Perfect for scalpers, swing traders, and index traders.
✅ 4. Beautiful & Customizable Dashboard
Choose position anywhere on screen
Auto size or choose Tiny → Huge
Color-coded Bias (Green Buyers, Red Sellers)
Clean layout built for modern charts
Your chart stays clean while your data stays powerful.
💡 What This Helps You Identify
Where buyers are gaining strength
Where sellers are dominating
Multi-timeframe alignment (the key to big moves)
Real reversal pressure
Volume divergence across timeframes
Trend confirmation before breakouts
Perfect for:
NIFTY / BANKNIFTY / Stocks / Crypto / FX / Commodities
🧠 Who Should Use This?
Intraday traders
Swing traders
Options traders
Futures traders
Crypto scalpers
Professional volume analysts
If volume matters to you → this indicator becomes a must-have.
🛠 Built with Precision
Non-repainting
Multi-TF aligned
Fast + lightweight arrays
Uses BTC/ETH feed to stabilize ticks
Zero chart clutter
❤️ Free for Everyone
This tool is released 100% free to help the community trade with clarity and confidence.
Leave a like ⭐, comment 💬, or follow if you want more such institutional-grade tools.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational/analytical use only.
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Volatility Meter & Entry LineIndicator Name: Volatility Meter & Entry Line
Created by: Texas Trading Strategies
Overview
The "Volatility Meter & Entry Line" is a comprehensive, multi-factor technical analysis tool designed to help traders assess current market conditions and identify potential trading opportunities. It synthesizes three key market dimensions—momentum (RSI), market noise (Choppiness Index), and volatility (ATR)—into a single, easy-to-understand composite score. This score visually informs you whether the market is in a favorable state for trading or if it's better to avoid choppy, low-opportunity environments. Additionally, it plots a dynamic support/resistance line based on recent price wicks to aid in entry and exit planning.
⚠️ IMPORTANT: FINANCIAL RISK & LEGAL DISCLAIMER
PLEASE READ THIS CAREFULLY BEFORE USING THIS INDICATOR.
1. No Financial Advice: I am NOT a licensed financial advisor, broker, or certified financial planner. The indicator I have created and any accompanying descriptions are provided for EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. This is NOT financial advice. You should not construe any information provided here as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument or asset class.
2. High Risk of Loss: Trading in financial markets (including stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, futures, and CFDs) carries a HIGH LEVEL OF RISK and may not be suitable for all investors. There is a possibility you could sustain a loss of some, all, or in some cases (e.g., leveraged products), more than your initial investment. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading and seek advice from an independent, qualified financial advisor if you have any doubts.
3. No Guarantee of Profit or Accuracy: Past performance is NOT indicative of future results. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed. The signals and metrics generated by this indicator are based on historical data and mathematical formulas. They are NOT guarantees of future market behavior and are inherently lagging. The indicator can and will produce losing signals.
4. Your Responsibility: You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions and for evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information from this indicator. It is your responsibility to backtest and forward-test any strategy, understand its limitations, and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agree to this disclaimer and accept full responsibility for your own trading actions.
Detailed Indicator Description & Components
1. The Core Components (Inputs & Calculations)
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures the speed and change of price movements. It identifies overbought (typically above 70) and oversold (typically below 30) conditions. Your indicator allows you to adjust these thresholds.
Choppiness Index (CI): A volatility indicator designed to determine if a market is trending (low CI values) or ranging/choppy (high CI values). A value below 38.2 often suggests a trend, while a value above 61.8 suggests a choppy market. Your Choppy Market Threshold input allows for customization.
ATR-based Volatility Score: The Average True Range (ATR) is normalized as a percentage of the current price (atrPercent). This value is then compared to your High Volatility Threshold to create a VolatilityScore from 0 to 100. Higher scores indicate more volatility, which can be favorable for certain trading strategies.
2. The Composite Trading Signal (The "Meter")
This is the heart of the indicator. It combines the three components above into a single tradeScore (0-100) and categorizes the market condition.
GOOD TO TRADE (Lime Color): Triggered when tradeScore >= 70.
What it means: The market is likely exhibiting a favorable combination of high volatility (opportunity), extreme RSI readings (potential momentum exhaustion for reversals or breakouts), and low choppiness (a trending or clean-moving market).
MODERATE (Yellow Color): Triggered when 40 <= tradeScore < 70.
What it means: Market conditions are mixed. There may be some opportunity, but it's not as clear. This could be a period of consolidation or a weakening trend. Caution is advised.
CHOPPY / AVOID (Red Color): Triggered when tradeScore < 40.
What it means: The market is likely in a low-volatility, highly choppy, or directionless state. Trading in these conditions often leads to whipsaws and small, frustrating losses. The indicator suggests it's best to avoid entering new positions or to be extremely selective.
3. The Wick Line (For Entries & Exits)
What it is: A dynamic line that connects recent swing highs (the tops of candle wicks), effectively acting as a moving resistance line.
How to use it:
In an uptrend, a break above this line can confirm bullish strength.
In a downtrend or during a pullback, this line can act as resistance. A price rejection (e.g., a long wick touching the line) in a "GOOD TO TRADE" market could signal a short entry or a point to exit a long position.
The concept can be mirrored to plot a support line from swing lows (ta.pivotlow) for a more complete picture (this would require additional code).
How to Use This Indicator in Your Trading
Context First: Use the "Meter" for market context. Do not take trades when the meter is red ("CHOPPY/AVOID") unless you have a very high-conviction, proven strategy for such environments.
Signal Confirmation: Wait for the meter to turn green or yellow BEFORE looking for specific entry setups. This filters out low-quality market noise.
Entry Trigger: Use the "Wick Line" (resistance/support) or your own preferred entry method (e.g., candlestick patterns, break of structure) to time your entry, but only when the overall marketCondition is favorable.
Risk Management is Paramount: ALWAYS use a stop-loss. The indicator does not provide stop-loss levels. You must determine your risk management based on the ATR, the Wick Line, or support/resistance levels.
Remember: This indicator is a FILTER, not a crystal ball. Its purpose is to improve the odds of your trades by ensuring you are only trading when market conditions align with the strategy's logic. It should be one component of a complete trading plan that includes rigorous risk management.
Trend Zones This tool helps you quickly understand the market’s direction and the strength of the most recent price move:
It identifies whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or flat/sideways phase and clearly marks these conditions on the chart.
It can notify you when the trend changes, so you don’t have to constantly watch the screen.
Each alert includes:
The current closing price
The previous closing price
The difference between the two closes (how much price has moved in one bar)
This makes it easier to see not only what the trend is, but also how strong the latest price move is when the alert triggers.
ATR Risk Manager v5.2 [Auto-Extrapolate]If you ever had problems knowing how much contracts to use for a particular timeframe to keep your risk within acceptable levels, then this indicator should help. You just have to define your accepted risk based on ATR and also percetage of your drawdown, then the indicator will tell you how many contracts you should use. If the risk is too high, it will also tell you not to trade. This is only for futures NQ MNQ ES MES GC MGC CL MCL MYM and M2K.
Omega Correlation [OmegaTools]Omega Correlation (Ω CRR) is a cross-asset analytics tool designed to quantify both the strength of the relationship between two instruments and the tendency of one to move ahead of the other. It is intended for traders who work with indices, futures, FX, commodities, equities and ETFs, and who require something more robust than a simple linear correlation line.
The indicator operates in two distinct modes, selected via the “Show” parameter: Correlation and Anticipation. In Correlation mode, the script focuses on how tightly the current chart and the chosen second asset move together. In Anticipation mode, it shifts to a lead–lag perspective and estimates whether the second asset tends to behave as a leader or a follower relative to the symbol on the chart.
In both modes, the core inputs are the chart symbol and a user-selected second symbol. Internally, both assets are transformed into normalized log-returns: the script computes logarithmic returns, removes short-term mean and scales by realized volatility, then clips extreme values. This normalisation allows the tool to compare behaviour across assets with different price levels and volatility profiles.
In Correlation mode, the indicator computes a composite correlation score that typically ranges between –1 and +1. Values near +1 indicate strong and persistent positive co-movement, values near zero indicate an unstable or weak link, and values near –1 indicate a stable anti-correlation regime. The composite score is constructed from three components.
The first component is a normalized return co-movement measure. After transforming both instruments into normalized returns, the script evaluates how similar those returns are bar by bar. When the two assets consistently deliver returns of similar sign and magnitude, this component is high and positive. When they frequently diverge or move in opposite directions, it becomes negative. This captures short-term co-movement in a volatility-adjusted way.
The second component focuses on high–low swing alignment. Rather than looking only at closes, it examines the direction of changes in highs and lows for each bar. If both instruments are printing higher highs and higher lows together, or lower highs and lower lows together, the swing structure is considered aligned. Persistent alignment contributes positively to the correlation score, while repeated mismatches between the swing directions reduce it. This helps differentiate between superficial price noise and structural similarity in trend behaviour.
The third component is a classical Pearson correlation on closing prices, computed over a longer lookback. This serves as a stabilising backbone that summarises general co-movement over a broader window. By combining normalized return co-movement, swing alignment and standard price correlation with calibrated weights, the Correlation mode provides a richer view than a single linear measure, capturing both short-term dynamic interaction and longer-term structural linkage.
In Anticipation mode, Omega Correlation estimates whether the second asset tends to lead or lag the current chart. The output is again a continuous score around the range. Positive values suggest that the second asset is acting more as a leader, with its past moves bearing informative value for subsequent moves of the chart symbol. Negative values indicate that the second asset behaves more like a laggard or follower. Values near zero suggest that no stable lead–lag structure can be identified.
The anticipation score is built from four elements inspired by quantitative lead–lag and price discovery analysis. The first element is a residual lead correlation, conceptually similar to Granger-style logic. The script first measures how much of the chart symbol’s normalized returns can be explained by its own lagged values. It then removes that component and studies the correlation between the residuals and lagged returns of the second asset. If the second asset’s past returns consistently explain what the chart symbol does beyond its own autoregressive behaviour, this residual correlation becomes significantly positive.
The second element is an asymmetric lead–lag structure measure. It compares the strength of relationships in both directions across multiple lags: the correlation of the current symbol with lagged versions of the second asset (candidate leader) versus the correlation of lagged values of the current symbol with the present values of the second asset. If the forward direction (second asset leading the first) is systematically stronger than the backward direction, the structure is skewed toward genuine leadership of the second asset.
The third element is a relative price discovery score, constructed by building a dynamic hedge ratio between the two prices and defining a spread. The indicator looks at how changes in each asset contribute to correcting deviations in this spread over time. When the chart symbol tends to do most of the adjustment while the second asset remains relatively stable, it suggests that the second asset is taking a greater role in determining the equilibrium price and the chart symbol is adjusting to it. The difference in adjustment intensity between the two instruments is summarised into a single score.
The fourth element is a breakout follow-through causality component. The script scans for breakout events on the second asset, where its price breaks out of a recent high or low range while the chart symbol has not yet done so. It then evaluates whether the chart symbol subsequently confirms the breakout direction, remains neutral, or moves against it. Events where the second asset breaks and the first asset later follows in the same direction add positive contribution, while failed or contrarian follow-through reduce this component. The contribution is also lightly modulated by the strength of the breakout, via the underlying normalized return.
The four elements of the Anticipation mode are combined into a single leading correlation score, providing a compact and interpretable measure of whether the second asset currently behaves as an effective early signal for the symbol you trade.
To aid interpretation, Omega Correlation builds dynamic bands around the active series (correlation or anticipation). It estimates a long-term central tendency and a typical deviation around it, plotting upper and lower bands that highlight unusually high or low values relative to recent history. These bands can be used to distinguish routine fluctuations from genuinely extreme regimes.
The script also computes percentile-based levels for the correlation series and uses them to track two special price levels on the main chart: lost correlation levels and gained correlation levels. When the correlation drops below an upper percentile threshold, the current price is stored as a lost correlation level and plotted as a horizontal line. When the correlation rises above a lower percentile threshold, the current price is stored as a gained correlation level. These levels mark zones where a historically strong relationship between the two markets broke down or re-emerged, and can be used to frame divergence, convergence and spread opportunities.
An information panel summarises, in real time, whether the second asset is behaving more as a leading, lagging or independent instrument according to the anticipation score, and suggests whether the current environment is more conducive to de-alignment, re-alignment or classic spread behaviour based on the correlation regime. This makes the tool directly interpretable even for users who are not familiar with all the underlying statistical details.
Typical applications for Omega Correlation include intermarket analysis (for example, index vs index, commodity vs related equity sector, FX vs bonds), dynamic hedge sizing, regime detection for algorithmic strategies, and the identification of lead–lag structures where a macro driver or benchmark can be monitored as an early signal for the instrument actually traded. The indicator can be applied across intraday and higher timeframes, with the understanding that the strength and nature of relationships will differ across horizons.
Omega Correlation is designed as an advanced analytical framework, not as a standalone trading system. Correlation and lead–lag relationships are statistical in nature and can change abruptly, especially around macro events, regime shifts or liquidity shocks. A positive anticipation reading does not guarantee that the second asset will always move first, and a high correlation regime can break without warning. All outputs of this tool should be combined with independent analysis, sound risk management and, when appropriate, backtesting or forward testing on the user’s specific instruments and timeframes.
The intention behind Omega Correlation is to bring techniques inspired by quantitative research, such as normalized return analysis, residual correlation, asymmetric lead–lag structure, price discovery logic and breakout event studies, into an accessible TradingView indicator. It is intended for traders who want a structured, professional way to understand how markets interact and to incorporate that information into their discretionary or systematic decision-making processes.
Roshan Dash Ultimate Trading DashboardHas the key moving averages sma (10,20,50,200) in daily and above timeframe. And for lower timeframe it has ema (10,20,50,200) and vwap. Displays key information like marketcap, sector, lod%, atr, atr% and distance of atr from 50sma . All things which help determine whether or not to take trade.
Multi-Ticker Anchored CandlesMulti-Ticker Anchored Candles (MTAC) is a simple tool for overlaying up to 3 tickers onto the same chart. This is achieved by interpreting each symbol's OHLC data as percentages, then plotting their candle points relative to the main chart's open. This allows for a simple comparison of tickers to track performance or locate relationships between them.
> Background
The concept of multi-ticker analysis is not new, this type of analysis can be extremely helpful to get a gauge of the over all market, and it's sentiment. By analyzing more than one ticker at a time, relationships can often be observed between tickers as time progresses.
While seeing multiple charts on top of each other sounds like a good idea...each ticker has its own price scale, with some being only cents while others are thousands of dollars.
Directly overlaying these charts is not possible without modification to their sources.
By using a fixed point in time (Period Open) and percentage performance relative to that point for each ticker, we are able to directly overlay symbols regardless of their price scale differences.
The entire process used to make this indicator can be summed up into 2 keywords, "Scaling & Anchoring".
> Scaling
First, we start by determining a frame of reference for our analysis. The indicator uses timeframe inputs to determine sessions which are used, by default this is set to 1 day.
With this in place, we then determine our point of reference for scaling. While this could be any point in time, the most sensible for our application is the daily (or session) open.
Each symbol shares time, therefore, we can take a price point from a specified time (Opening Price) and use it to sync our analysis over each period.
Over the day, we track the percentage performance of each ticker's OHLC values relative to its daily open (% change from open).
Since each ticker's data is now tracked based on its opening price, all data is now using the same scale.
The scale is simply "% change from open".
> Anchoring
Now that we have our scaled data, we need to put it onto the chart.
Since each point of data is relative to it's daily open (anchor point), relatively speaking, all daily opens are now equal to each other.
By adding the scaled ticker data to the main chart's daily open, each of our resulting series will be properly scaled to the main chart's data based on percentages.
Congratulations, We have now accurately scaled multiple tickers onto one chart.
> Display
The indicator shows each requested ticker as different colored candlesticks plotted on top of the main chart.
Each ticker has an associated label in front of the current bar, each component of this label can be toggled on or off to allow only the desired information to be displayed.
To retain relevance, at the start of each session, a "Session Break" line is drawn, as well as the opening price for the session. These can also be toggled.
Note: The opening price is the opening price for ALL tickers, when a ticker crosses the open on the main chart, it is crossing its own opening price as well.
> Examples
In the chart below, we can see NYSE:MCD NASDAQ:WEN and NASDAQ:JACK overlaid on a NASDAQ:SBUX chart.
From this, we can see NASDAQ:JACK was the top gainer on the day. While this was the case, it also fell roughly 4% from its peak near lunchtime. Unlike the top gainer, we can see the other 3 tickers ended their day near their daily high.
In the explanations above, the daily timeframe is used since it is the default; however, the analysis is not constrained to only days. The anchoring period can be set to any timeframe period.
In the chart below, you can observe the Daily, Weekly, and Monthly anchored charts side-by-side.
This can be used on all tickers, timeframes, and markets. While a typical application may be comparing relevant assets... the script is not limited.
Below we have a chart tracking COMEX:GCV2026 , FX:EURUSD , and COINBASE:DOGEUSD on the AMEX:SPY chart.
While these tickers are not typically compared side-by-side, here it is simply a display of the capabilities of the script.
Enjoy!
Trade Box Position Calculator (Pro-V2)Trade Box Position Calculator (Pro) is a visual risk management and position sizing tool that overlays a clean trade box directly on your chart. Instead of typing numbers in a calculator, you simply click on the chart to set your Entry, Target, and Stop levels, and the script builds a full trade map around them.
You define your Wallet Value and Risk % per trade, then the script automatically calculates:
Position size (Qty) based on distance from Entry to Stop
Total trade value
Monetary risk per trade
Potential profit and Risk:Reward ratio
Live open P&L as price moves
The trade is visualized as:
A green profit box between Entry and Target
A red risk box between Entry and Stop
Colored horizontal lines for Entry (blue), Target (green), and Stop (red)
Professional labels show detailed info:
Center label: P&L, Qty, Trade value, Risk $, R:R
Target label: distance to target, % move, potential profit $
Stop label: distance to stop, % risk, risk $
All label colors, text sizes, background transparency, and box width/offset can be customized from the settings, so you can adapt the tool to any chart style or theme.
The script also includes smart alerts that automatically follow your levels:
Entry Hit – when price touches your entry zone
Target Hit – when price touches your target
Stop Hit (3 closes) – when price has closed beyond your stop level for 3 consecutive bars (to avoid being faked out by a single wick)
You can either create separate alerts from the alertcondition() entries, or enable the “Use single combined alert()” option and set one alert with “Any alert() function call” so a single alert setup covers Entry, Target, and Stop events.
This tool is designed to help discretionary traders quickly plan trades, visualize risk vs reward on the chart, and keep position sizing consistent with their risk management rules.
Relative Strength Matrix [PUCHON]📊 Relative Strength Matrix
The Relative Strength Matrix provides a comprehensive view of how the current asset performs against a basket of other financial instruments (such as Indices, Commodities, or Currencies). By comparing price changes over two distinct timeframes (Short-Term and Long-Term), traders can quickly identify whether the asset is showing relative strength or weakness compared to the broader market or specific sectors.
✨ Features:
- 🌍 Multi-Asset Comparison: Monitor relative performance against up to 7 customizable symbols simultaneously.
- ⏳ Dual Timeframe: Analyze trends using both Short-Term (default 20) and Long-Term (default 60) lookback periods.
- 🎨 Visual Heatmap: Displays relative strength with intuitive colors:
- 🟢 Green (+): Stronger (outperforming)
- 🔴 Red (-): Weaker (underperforming)
- ⚪ Gray: Neutral
- ⚙️ Fully Customizable: Adjust symbols, colors, table position, and text size to fit your trading setup.
🧮 Calculation Logic:
The core of this indicator is the rsCalc function. It normalizes the price changes of both the base asset (current chart) and the comparison asset over a specific length, then calculates the ratio.
rsCalc(series float base, series float comp, int len) =>
nb = base / base // Normalized Base Asset Price
dc = comp / comp // Normalized Comparison Asset Price
na(nb) or na(dc) ? na : nb / dc - 1 // Relative Performance Ratio
💡 Interpretation:
- 📈 Positive Value (> 0): The current asset has appreciated more (or depreciated less) than the comparison asset. This signifies Relative Strength .
- 📉 Negative Value (< 0): The current asset has appreciated less (or depreciated more) than the comparison asset. This signifies Relative Weakness .
- ⚖️ Zero (0): Both assets have performed equally over the period.
Advanced Trading System - Volume Profile + BB + RSI + FVG + FibAdvanced Multi-Indicator Trading System with Volume Profile, Bollinger Bands, RSI, FVG & Fibonacci
Overview
This comprehensive trading indicator combines five powerful technical analysis tools into one unified system, designed to identify high-probability trading opportunities with precision entry and exit signals. The indicator integrates Volume Profile analysis, Bollinger Bands, RSI momentum, Fair Value Gaps (FVG), and Fibonacci retracement levels to provide traders with a complete market analysis framework.
Key Features
1. Volume Profile & Point of Control (POC)
Automatically calculates the Point of Control - the price level with the highest trading volume
Identifies Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL)
Updates dynamically based on customizable lookback periods
Helps identify key support and resistance zones where institutional traders are active
2. Bollinger Bands Integration
Standard 20-period Bollinger Bands with customizable multiplier
Identifies overbought and oversold conditions
Measures market volatility through band width
Signals generated when price approaches extreme levels
3. RSI Momentum Analysis
14-period Relative Strength Index with visual background coloring
Overbought (70) and oversold (30) threshold alerts
Integrated into buy/sell signal logic for confirmation
Real-time momentum tracking in info dashboard
4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Detection
Automatically identifies bullish and bearish fair value gaps
Visual representation with colored boxes
Highlights imbalance zones where price may return
Used for high-probability entry confirmation
5. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Auto-calculated based on recent swing high/low
Key levels: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%
Perfect for identifying profit-taking zones
Dynamic lines that update with market movement
6. Smart Signal Generation
The indicator generates BUY and SELL signals based on multi-condition confluence:
BUY Signal Requirements:
Price near lower Bollinger Band
RSI in oversold territory (< 30)
High volume confirmation (optional)
Bullish FVG or POC alignment
SELL Signal Requirements:
Price near upper Bollinger Band
RSI in overbought territory (> 70)
High volume confirmation (optional)
Bearish FVG or POC alignment
7. Automated Take Profit Levels
Three dynamic profit targets: 1%, 2%, and 3%
Automatically calculated from entry price
Visual markers on chart
Individual alerts for each level
8. Comprehensive Alert System
The indicator includes 10+ alert types:
Buy signal alerts
Sell signal alerts
Take profit level alerts (TP1, TP2, TP3)
Fibonacci level cross alerts
RSI overbought/oversold alerts
Bullish/Bearish FVG detection alerts
9. Real-Time Info Dashboard
Live display of all key metrics
Color-coded for quick visual analysis
Shows RSI, BB Width, Volume ratio, POC, Fib levels
Current signal status (BUY/SELL/WAIT)
How to Use
Setup
Add the indicator to your chart
Adjust parameters based on your trading style and timeframe
Set up alerts by clicking "Create Alert" and selecting desired conditions
Recommended Timeframes
Scalping: 5m - 15m
Day Trading: 15m - 1H
Swing Trading: 4H - Daily
Parameter Customization
Volume Profile Settings:
Length: 100 (adjust for more/less historical data)
Rows: 24 (granularity of volume distribution)
Bollinger Bands:
Length: 20 (standard period)
Multiplier: 2.0 (adjust for tighter/wider bands)
RSI Settings:
Length: 14 (standard momentum period)
Overbought: 70
Oversold: 30
Fibonacci:
Lookback: 50 (swing high/low detection period)
Signal Settings:
Volume Filter: Enable/disable volume confirmation
Volume MA Length: 20 (for volume comparison)
Trading Strategy Examples
Strategy 1: Trend Reversal
Wait for BUY signal at lower Bollinger Band
Confirm with bullish FVG or POC support
Enter position
Take partial profits at Fib 38.2% and 50%
Exit remaining position at TP3 or SELL signal
Strategy 2: Breakout Confirmation
Monitor price approaching POC level
Wait for volume spike
Enter on signal confirmation with FVG alignment
Use Fibonacci levels for scaling out
Strategy 3: Range Trading
Identify POC as range midpoint
Buy at lower BB with oversold RSI
Sell at upper BB with overbought RSI
Use FVG zones for additional confirmation
Best Practices
✅ Do:
Use multiple timeframe analysis
Combine with price action analysis
Set stop losses below/above recent swing points
Scale out at Fibonacci levels
Wait for volume confirmation on signals
❌ Don't:
Trade every signal blindly
Ignore overall market context
Use on extremely low timeframes without testing
Neglect risk management
Trade during low liquidity periods
Risk Management
Always use stop losses
Risk no more than 1-2% per trade
Consider market conditions and volatility
Scale position sizes based on signal strength
Use the volume filter for additional confirmation
Technical Specifications
Pine Script Version: 6
Overlay: Yes (displays on main chart)
Max Boxes: 500 (for FVG visualization)
Max Lines: 500 (for Fibonacci levels)
Alerts: 10+ customizable conditions
Performance Notes
This indicator works best in:
Trending markets with clear momentum
High-volume trading sessions
Assets with good liquidity
When multiple signals align
Less effective in:
Extremely choppy/sideways markets
Low-volume periods
During major news events (high volatility)
Updates & Support
This indicator is actively maintained and updated. Future enhancements may include:
Additional volume profile features
More sophisticated FVG tracking
Enhanced alert customization
Backtesting integration
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making trading decisions. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.
Multivariate Kalman Filter🙏🏻 I see no1 ever posted an open source Multivariate Kalman filter on TV, so here it is, for you. Tested and mathematically correct implementation, with numerical safeties in place that do not affect the final results at all. That’s the main purpose of this drop, just to make the tool available here. Linear algebra everywhere, Neo would approve 4 sure.
...
Personally I haven't found any real use case of it for myself, aside from a very specific one I will explain later, but others usually do…
Almost every1 in the quant industry who uses Kalman is in fact misusing it, because by its real definition, it should be applied to Not the exact known values (e.g as real ticks provided by transparent audited regulated exchange), but “measurements” of those ‘with errors’.
If your measurements don’t have errors or you have real precise data, by its internal formulas Kalman will output the exact inputs. So most who use it come up with some imaginary errors of sorts, like from some kind of imaginary fair price etc. The important easy to miss point, the errors of your measurements have to be symmetric around its mean ‘ at least ’, if errors are biased, Kalman won’t provide.
For most tasks there are better tools, including other state space models , but still Multivariate Kalman is a very powerful instrument, you can make it do all kinds of stuff. Also as a state space model it can also provide confidence & prediction intervals without explicit calculations of dem.
...
In this script I included 2 example use cases, the first one is the classic tho perfectly working misuse, the second one is what I do with it:
One
Naive, estimates “hidden” adaptive moving regression endpoint. The result you can see on the chart above. You can imagine that your real datapoints are in fact non perfect measures of some hidden state, and by defining measurement noise and process noise, and by constructing the input matrixes in certain ways, you can express what that state should be.
Two
Upscaling tick lattice, aka modelling prices as if native tick size would’ve been lower. Kinda very specific task, mostly needed in HFT or just for analytical purposes. Some like ZN have huge tick sizes, they are traded a lot but barely do more than 20 ticks range in a session. The idea is to model raw data as AR2 process , learn the phi1 and phi2, make one point forecasts based on dem, and the process noise would be the variance of errors from these forecasts. The measurement noise here is legit, it’s quantization noise based on tick size, no need in olympic gold in mental gymnastics xd
^^ artificially upscaling ZN futures tick lattice
...
I really made it available there so You guys can take it and some crazy ish with it, just let state space models abduct your conciseness and never look back
∞
Forex Sessions [Fax Academy]Forex Sessions — Precision Session Mapping for Professional Traders
Overview
Highlights the four major FX sessions — Sydney, Tokyo, London, New York — directly on your chart.
Kill Zones: high-impact windows around the session open (default 10 minutes).
Timezone-aware with full DST support — sessions that cross midnight shade correctly.
Engineered for clean intraday context, overlap visibility, and professional session-based execution.
What It Shows
Kill Zones — bold-tinted windows around each session's open.
Full Session Shading — lighter background for the entire active window.
London–New York Overlap highlight for maximum-liquidity hours.
Inputs
Timezone
Exchange • UTC • Europe/London • America/New_York • Asia/Tokyo • Australia/Sydney
Use Exchange to automatically align with instrument time.
Per-Session Controls for Sydney, Tokyo, London, New York:
Kill Zone toggle + custom minutes (default 10)
Full Session toggle
Start/End hour (24h format)
How To Use
Set the Timezone first — regional options auto-adjust for DST (London/New York).
Enable Kill Zones to expose opening-volatility spikes and liquidity sweeps.
Tune session hours to match your broker if schedules differ from the global standard.
Watch the London–NY overlap for directional moves, breakouts, and trend continuation.
Practical Tips
Intraday Bias : Favor setups inside or shortly after Kill Zones that align with higher-timeframe structure.
Overlap Hours : Often produce the day’s key breakout/continuation legs.
Combine with:
EMA — pullback precision inside session windows.
FVG — imbalance-based entries during high-liquidity periods.
Defaults
Kill Zones: 10 minutes at each session open.
Full sessions: standard global FX windows (fully adjustable).
Color scheme: bold tint for Kill Zones, subtle tint for session ranges.
Notes
Non-repainting — all shading is based on confirmed chart bars.
Works on any instrument and any timeframe.
If a session’s opening bar is missing (holiday/limited trading), shading is automatically skipped.
Brand
Built by Fax Academy to elevate timing, clarity, and execution in the FX markets.
For educational and analytical use only — always validate with backtesting and disciplined risk management.
Dimensional Resonance ProtocolDimensional Resonance Protocol
🌀 CORE INNOVATION: PHASE SPACE RECONSTRUCTION & EMERGENCE DETECTION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol represents a paradigm shift from traditional technical analysis to complexity science. Rather than measuring price levels or indicator crossovers, DRP reconstructs the hidden attractor governing market dynamics using Takens' embedding theorem, then detects emergence —the rare moments when multiple dimensions of market behavior spontaneously synchronize into coherent, predictable states.
The Complexity Hypothesis:
Markets are not simple oscillators or random walks—they are complex adaptive systems existing in high-dimensional phase space. Traditional indicators see only shadows (one-dimensional projections) of this higher-dimensional reality. DRP reconstructs the full phase space using time-delay embedding, revealing the true structure of market dynamics.
Takens' Embedding Theorem (1981):
A profound mathematical result from dynamical systems theory: Given a time series from a complex system, we can reconstruct its full phase space by creating delayed copies of the observation.
Mathematical Foundation:
From single observable x(t), create embedding vectors:
X(t) =
Where:
• d = Embedding dimension (default 5)
• τ = Time delay (default 3 bars)
• x(t) = Price or return at time t
Key Insight: If d ≥ 2D+1 (where D is the true attractor dimension), this embedding is topologically equivalent to the actual system dynamics. We've reconstructed the hidden attractor from a single price series.
Why This Matters:
Markets appear random in one dimension (price chart). But in reconstructed phase space, structure emerges—attractors, limit cycles, strange attractors. When we identify these structures, we can detect:
• Stable regions : Predictable behavior (trade opportunities)
• Chaotic regions : Unpredictable behavior (avoid trading)
• Critical transitions : Phase changes between regimes
Phase Space Magnitude Calculation:
phase_magnitude = sqrt(Σ ² for i = 0 to d-1)
This measures the "energy" or "momentum" of the market trajectory through phase space. High magnitude = strong directional move. Low magnitude = consolidation.
📊 RECURRENCE QUANTIFICATION ANALYSIS (RQA)
Once phase space is reconstructed, we analyze its recurrence structure —when does the system return near previous states?
Recurrence Plot Foundation:
A recurrence occurs when two phase space points are closer than threshold ε:
R(i,j) = 1 if ||X(i) - X(j)|| < ε, else 0
This creates a binary matrix showing when the system revisits similar states.
Key RQA Metrics:
1. Recurrence Rate (RR):
RR = (Number of recurrent points) / (Total possible pairs)
• RR near 0: System never repeats (highly stochastic)
• RR = 0.1-0.3: Moderate recurrence (tradeable patterns)
• RR > 0.5: System stuck in attractor (ranging market)
• RR near 1: System frozen (no dynamics)
Interpretation: Moderate recurrence is optimal —patterns exist but market isn't stuck.
2. Determinism (DET):
Measures what fraction of recurrences form diagonal structures in the recurrence plot. Diagonals indicate deterministic evolution (trajectory follows predictable paths).
DET = (Recurrence points on diagonals) / (Total recurrence points)
• DET < 0.3: Random dynamics
• DET = 0.3-0.7: Moderate determinism (patterns with noise)
• DET > 0.7: Strong determinism (technical patterns reliable)
Trading Implication: Signals are prioritized when DET > 0.3 (deterministic state) and RR is moderate (not stuck).
Threshold Selection (ε):
Default ε = 0.10 × std_dev means two states are "recurrent" if within 10% of a standard deviation. This is tight enough to require genuine similarity but loose enough to find patterns.
🔬 PERMUTATION ENTROPY: COMPLEXITY MEASUREMENT
Permutation entropy measures the complexity of a time series by analyzing the distribution of ordinal patterns.
Algorithm (Bandt & Pompe, 2002):
1. Take overlapping windows of length n (default n=4)
2. For each window, record the rank order pattern
Example: → pattern (ranks from lowest to highest)
3. Count frequency of each possible pattern
4. Calculate Shannon entropy of pattern distribution
Mathematical Formula:
H_perm = -Σ p(π) · ln(p(π))
Where π ranges over all n! possible permutations, p(π) is the probability of pattern π.
Normalized to :
H_norm = H_perm / ln(n!)
Interpretation:
• H < 0.3 : Very ordered, crystalline structure (strong trending)
• H = 0.3-0.5 : Ordered regime (tradeable with patterns)
• H = 0.5-0.7 : Moderate complexity (mixed conditions)
• H = 0.7-0.85 : Complex dynamics (challenging to trade)
• H > 0.85 : Maximum entropy (nearly random, avoid)
Entropy Regime Classification:
DRP classifies markets into five entropy regimes:
• CRYSTALLINE (H < 0.3): Maximum order, persistent trends
• ORDERED (H < 0.5): Clear patterns, momentum strategies work
• MODERATE (H < 0.7): Mixed dynamics, adaptive required
• COMPLEX (H < 0.85): High entropy, mean reversion better
• CHAOTIC (H ≥ 0.85): Near-random, minimize trading
Why Permutation Entropy?
Unlike traditional entropy methods requiring binning continuous data (losing information), permutation entropy:
• Works directly on time series
• Robust to monotonic transformations
• Computationally efficient
• Captures temporal structure, not just distribution
• Immune to outliers (uses ranks, not values)
⚡ LYAPUNOV EXPONENT: CHAOS vs STABILITY
The Lyapunov exponent λ measures sensitivity to initial conditions —the hallmark of chaos.
Physical Meaning:
Two trajectories starting infinitely close will diverge at exponential rate e^(λt):
Distance(t) ≈ Distance(0) × e^(λt)
Interpretation:
• λ > 0 : Positive Lyapunov exponent = CHAOS
- Small errors grow exponentially
- Long-term prediction impossible
- System is sensitive, unpredictable
- AVOID TRADING
• λ ≈ 0 : Near-zero = CRITICAL STATE
- Edge of chaos
- Transition zone between order and disorder
- Moderate predictability
- PROCEED WITH CAUTION
• λ < 0 : Negative Lyapunov exponent = STABLE
- Small errors decay
- Trajectories converge
- System is predictable
- OPTIMAL FOR TRADING
Estimation Method:
DRP estimates λ by tracking how quickly nearby states diverge over a rolling window (default 20 bars):
For each bar i in window:
δ₀ = |x - x | (initial separation)
δ₁ = |x - x | (previous separation)
if δ₁ > 0:
ratio = δ₀ / δ₁
log_ratios += ln(ratio)
λ ≈ average(log_ratios)
Stability Classification:
• STABLE : λ < 0 (negative growth rate)
• CRITICAL : |λ| < 0.1 (near neutral)
• CHAOTIC : λ > 0.2 (strong positive growth)
Signal Filtering:
By default, NEXUS requires λ < 0 (stable regime) for signal confirmation. This filters out trades during chaotic periods when technical patterns break down.
📐 HIGUCHI FRACTAL DIMENSION
Fractal dimension measures self-similarity and complexity of the price trajectory.
Theoretical Background:
A curve's fractal dimension D ranges from 1 (smooth line) to 2 (space-filling curve):
• D ≈ 1.0 : Smooth, persistent trending
• D ≈ 1.5 : Random walk (Brownian motion)
• D ≈ 2.0 : Highly irregular, space-filling
Higuchi Method (1988):
For a time series of length N, construct k different curves by taking every k-th point:
L(k) = (1/k) × Σ|x - x | × (N-1)/(⌊(N-m)/k⌋ × k)
For different values of k (1 to k_max), calculate L(k). The fractal dimension is the slope of log(L(k)) vs log(1/k):
D = slope of log(L) vs log(1/k)
Market Interpretation:
• D < 1.35 : Strong trending, persistent (Hurst > 0.5)
- TRENDING regime
- Momentum strategies favored
- Breakouts likely to continue
• D = 1.35-1.45 : Moderate persistence
- PERSISTENT regime
- Trend-following with caution
- Patterns have meaning
• D = 1.45-1.55 : Random walk territory
- RANDOM regime
- Efficiency hypothesis holds
- Technical analysis least reliable
• D = 1.55-1.65 : Anti-persistent (mean-reverting)
- ANTI-PERSISTENT regime
- Oscillator strategies work
- Overbought/oversold meaningful
• D > 1.65 : Highly complex, choppy
- COMPLEX regime
- Avoid directional bets
- Wait for regime change
Signal Filtering:
Resonance signals (secondary signal type) require D < 1.5, indicating trending or persistent dynamics where momentum has meaning.
🔗 TRANSFER ENTROPY: CAUSAL INFORMATION FLOW
Transfer entropy measures directed causal influence between time series—not just correlation, but actual information transfer.
Schreiber's Definition (2000):
Transfer entropy from X to Y measures how much knowing X's past reduces uncertainty about Y's future:
TE(X→Y) = H(Y_future | Y_past) - H(Y_future | Y_past, X_past)
Where H is Shannon entropy.
Key Properties:
1. Directional : TE(X→Y) ≠ TE(Y→X) in general
2. Non-linear : Detects complex causal relationships
3. Model-free : No assumptions about functional form
4. Lag-independent : Captures delayed causal effects
Three Causal Flows Measured:
1. Volume → Price (TE_V→P):
Measures how much volume patterns predict price changes.
• TE > 0 : Volume provides predictive information about price
- Institutional participation driving moves
- Volume confirms direction
- High reliability
• TE ≈ 0 : No causal flow (weak volume/price relationship)
- Volume uninformative
- Caution on signals
• TE < 0 (rare): Suggests price leading volume
- Potentially manipulated or thin market
2. Volatility → Momentum (TE_σ→M):
Does volatility expansion predict momentum changes?
• Positive TE : Volatility precedes momentum shifts
- Breakout dynamics
- Regime transitions
3. Structure → Price (TE_S→P):
Do support/resistance patterns causally influence price?
• Positive TE : Structural levels have causal impact
- Technical levels matter
- Market respects structure
Net Causal Flow:
Net_Flow = TE_V→P + 0.5·TE_σ→M + TE_S→P
• Net > +0.1 : Bullish causal structure
• Net < -0.1 : Bearish causal structure
• |Net| < 0.1 : Neutral/unclear causation
Causal Gate:
For signal confirmation, NEXUS requires:
• Buy signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow > 0.05
• Sell signals : TE_V→P > 0 AND Net_Flow < -0.05
This ensures volume is actually driving price (causal support exists), not just correlated noise.
Implementation Note:
Computing true transfer entropy requires discretizing continuous data into bins (default 6 bins) and estimating joint probability distributions. NEXUS uses a hybrid approach combining TE theory with autocorrelation structure and lagged cross-correlation to approximate information transfer in computationally efficient manner.
🌊 HILBERT PHASE COHERENCE
Phase coherence measures synchronization across market dimensions using Hilbert transform analysis.
Hilbert Transform Theory:
For a signal x(t), the Hilbert transform H (t) creates an analytic signal:
z(t) = x(t) + i·H (t) = A(t)·e^(iφ(t))
Where:
• A(t) = Instantaneous amplitude
• φ(t) = Instantaneous phase
Instantaneous Phase:
φ(t) = arctan(H (t) / x(t))
The phase represents where the signal is in its natural cycle—analogous to position on a unit circle.
Four Dimensions Analyzed:
1. Momentum Phase : Phase of price rate-of-change
2. Volume Phase : Phase of volume intensity
3. Volatility Phase : Phase of ATR cycles
4. Structure Phase : Phase of position within range
Phase Locking Value (PLV):
For two signals with phases φ₁(t) and φ₂(t), PLV measures phase synchronization:
PLV = |⟨e^(i(φ₁(t) - φ₂(t)))⟩|
Where ⟨·⟩ is time average over window.
Interpretation:
• PLV = 0 : Completely random phase relationship (no synchronization)
• PLV = 0.5 : Moderate phase locking
• PLV = 1 : Perfect synchronization (phases locked)
Pairwise PLV Calculations:
• PLV_momentum-volume : Are momentum and volume cycles synchronized?
• PLV_momentum-structure : Are momentum cycles aligned with structure?
• PLV_volume-structure : Are volume and structural patterns in phase?
Overall Phase Coherence:
Coherence = (PLV_mom-vol + PLV_mom-struct + PLV_vol-struct) / 3
Signal Confirmation:
Emergence signals require coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70):
• Below 0.70: Dimensions not synchronized, no coherent market state
• Above 0.70: Dimensions in phase, coherent behavior emerging
Coherence Direction:
The summed phase angles indicate whether synchronized dimensions point bullish or bearish:
Direction = sin(φ_momentum) + 0.5·sin(φ_volume) + 0.5·sin(φ_structure)
• Direction > 0 : Phases pointing upward (bullish synchronization)
• Direction < 0 : Phases pointing downward (bearish synchronization)
🌀 EMERGENCE SCORE: MULTI-DIMENSIONAL ALIGNMENT
The emergence score aggregates all complexity metrics into a single 0-1 value representing market coherence.
Eight Components with Weights:
1. Phase Coherence (20%):
Direct contribution: coherence × 0.20
Measures dimensional synchronization.
2. Entropy Regime (15%):
Contribution: (0.6 - H_perm) / 0.6 × 0.15 if H < 0.6, else 0
Rewards low entropy (ordered, predictable states).
3. Lyapunov Stability (12%):
• λ < 0 (stable): +0.12
• |λ| < 0.1 (critical): +0.08
• λ > 0.2 (chaotic): +0.0
Requires stable, predictable dynamics.
4. Fractal Dimension Trending (12%):
Contribution: (1.45 - D) / 0.45 × 0.12 if D < 1.45, else 0
Rewards trending fractal structure (D < 1.45).
5. Dimensional Resonance (12%):
Contribution: |dimensional_resonance| × 0.12
Measures alignment across momentum, volume, structure, volatility dimensions.
6. Causal Flow Strength (9%):
Contribution: |net_causal_flow| × 0.09
Rewards strong causal relationships.
7. Phase Space Embedding (10%):
Contribution: min(|phase_magnitude_norm|, 3.0) / 3.0 × 0.10 if |magnitude| > 1.0
Rewards strong trajectory in reconstructed phase space.
8. Recurrence Quality (10%):
Contribution: determinism × 0.10 if DET > 0.3 AND 0.1 < RR < 0.8
Rewards deterministic patterns with moderate recurrence.
Total Emergence Score:
E = Σ(components) ∈
Capped at 1.0 maximum.
Emergence Direction:
Separate calculation determining bullish vs bearish:
• Dimensional resonance sign
• Net causal flow sign
• Phase magnitude correlation with momentum
Signal Threshold:
Default emergence_threshold = 0.75 means 75% of maximum possible emergence score required to trigger signals.
Why Emergence Matters:
Traditional indicators measure single dimensions. Emergence detects self-organization —when multiple independent dimensions spontaneously align. This is the market equivalent of a phase transition in physics, where microscopic chaos gives way to macroscopic order.
These are the highest-probability trade opportunities because the entire system is resonating in the same direction.
🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION: EMERGENCE vs RESONANCE
DRP generates two tiers of signals with different requirements:
TIER 1: EMERGENCE SIGNALS (Primary)
Requirements:
1. Emergence score ≥ threshold (default 0.75)
2. Phase coherence ≥ threshold (default 0.70)
3. Emergence direction > 0.2 (bullish) or < -0.2 (bearish)
4. Causal gate passed (if enabled): TE_V→P > 0 and net_flow confirms direction
5. Stability zone (if enabled): λ < 0 or |λ| < 0.1
6. Price confirmation: Close > open (bulls) or close < open (bears)
7. Cooldown satisfied: bars_since_signal ≥ cooldown_period
EMERGENCE BUY:
• All above conditions met with bullish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bullish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized upward
EMERGENCE SELL:
• All above conditions met with bearish direction
• Market has achieved coherent bearish state
• Multiple dimensions synchronized downward
Premium Emergence:
When signal_quality (emergence_score × phase_coherence) > 0.7:
• Displayed as ★ star symbol
• Highest conviction trades
• Maximum dimensional alignment
Standard Emergence:
When signal_quality 0.5-0.7:
• Displayed as ◆ diamond symbol
• Strong signals but not perfect alignment
TIER 2: RESONANCE SIGNALS (Secondary)
Requirements:
1. Dimensional resonance > +0.6 (bullish) or < -0.6 (bearish)
2. Fractal dimension < 1.5 (trending/persistent regime)
3. Price confirmation matches direction
4. NOT in chaotic regime (λ < 0.2)
5. Cooldown satisfied
6. NO emergence signal firing (resonance is fallback)
RESONANCE BUY:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Trending fractal structure
• Moderate conviction
RESONANCE SELL:
• Dimensional alignment without full emergence
• Bearish resonance with trending structure
• Moderate conviction
Displayed as small ▲/▼ triangles with transparency.
Signal Hierarchy:
IF emergence conditions met:
Fire EMERGENCE signal (★ or ◆)
ELSE IF resonance conditions met:
Fire RESONANCE signal (▲ or ▼)
ELSE:
No signal
Cooldown System:
After any signal fires, cooldown_period (default 5 bars) must elapse before next signal. This prevents signal clustering during persistent conditions.
Cooldown tracks using bar_index:
bars_since_signal = current_bar_index - last_signal_bar_index
cooldown_ok = bars_since_signal >= cooldown_period
🎨 VISUAL SYSTEM: MULTI-LAYER COMPLEXITY
DRP provides rich visual feedback across four distinct layers:
LAYER 1: COHERENCE FIELD (Background)
Colored background intensity based on phase coherence:
• No background : Coherence < 0.5 (incoherent state)
• Faint glow : Coherence 0.5-0.7 (building coherence)
• Stronger glow : Coherence > 0.7 (coherent state)
Color:
• Cyan/teal: Bullish coherence (direction > 0)
• Red/magenta: Bearish coherence (direction < 0)
• Blue: Neutral coherence (direction ≈ 0)
Transparency: 98 minus (coherence_intensity × 10), so higher coherence = more visible.
LAYER 2: STABILITY/CHAOS ZONES
Background color indicating Lyapunov regime:
• Green tint (95% transparent): λ < 0, STABLE zone
- Safe to trade
- Patterns meaningful
• Gold tint (90% transparent): |λ| < 0.1, CRITICAL zone
- Edge of chaos
- Moderate risk
• Red tint (85% transparent): λ > 0.2, CHAOTIC zone
- Avoid trading
- Unpredictable behavior
LAYER 3: DIMENSIONAL RIBBONS
Three EMAs representing dimensional structure:
• Fast ribbon : EMA(8) in cyan/teal (fast dynamics)
• Medium ribbon : EMA(21) in blue (intermediate)
• Slow ribbon : EMA(55) in red/magenta (slow dynamics)
Provides visual reference for multi-scale structure without cluttering with raw phase space data.
LAYER 4: CAUSAL FLOW LINE
A thicker line plotted at EMA(13) colored by net causal flow:
• Cyan/teal : Net_flow > +0.1 (bullish causation)
• Red/magenta : Net_flow < -0.1 (bearish causation)
• Gray : |Net_flow| < 0.1 (neutral causation)
Shows real-time direction of information flow.
EMERGENCE FLASH:
Strong background flash when emergence signals fire:
• Cyan flash for emergence buy
• Red flash for emergence sell
• 80% transparency for visibility without obscuring price
📊 COMPREHENSIVE DASHBOARD
Real-time monitoring of all complexity metrics:
HEADER:
• 🌀 DRP branding with gold accent
CORE METRICS:
EMERGENCE:
• Progress bar (█ filled, ░ empty) showing 0-100%
• Percentage value
• Direction arrow (↗ bull, ↘ bear, → neutral)
• Color-coded: Green/gold if active, gray if low
COHERENCE:
• Progress bar showing phase locking value
• Percentage value
• Checkmark ✓ if ≥ threshold, circle ○ if below
• Color-coded: Cyan if coherent, gray if not
COMPLEXITY SECTION:
ENTROPY:
• Regime name (CRYSTALLINE/ORDERED/MODERATE/COMPLEX/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (0.00-1.00)
• Color: Green (ordered), gold (moderate), red (chaotic)
LYAPUNOV:
• State (STABLE/CRITICAL/CHAOTIC)
• Numerical value (typically -0.5 to +0.5)
• Status indicator: ● stable, ◐ critical, ○ chaotic
• Color-coded by state
FRACTAL:
• Regime (TRENDING/PERSISTENT/RANDOM/ANTI-PERSIST/COMPLEX)
• Dimension value (1.0-2.0)
• Color: Cyan (trending), gold (random), red (complex)
PHASE-SPACE:
• State (STRONG/ACTIVE/QUIET)
• Normalized magnitude value
• Parameters display: d=5 τ=3
CAUSAL SECTION:
CAUSAL:
• Direction (BULL/BEAR/NEUTRAL)
• Net flow value
• Flow indicator: →P (to price), P← (from price), ○ (neutral)
V→P:
• Volume-to-price transfer entropy
• Small display showing specific TE value
DIMENSIONAL SECTION:
RESONANCE:
• Progress bar of absolute resonance
• Signed value (-1 to +1)
• Color-coded by direction
RECURRENCE:
• Recurrence rate percentage
• Determinism percentage display
• Color-coded: Green if high quality
STATE SECTION:
STATE:
• Current mode: EMERGENCE / RESONANCE / CHAOS / SCANNING
• Icon: 🚀 (emergence buy), 💫 (emergence sell), ▲ (resonance buy), ▼ (resonance sell), ⚠ (chaos), ◎ (scanning)
• Color-coded by state
SIGNALS:
• E: count of emergence signals
• R: count of resonance signals
⚙️ KEY PARAMETERS EXPLAINED
Phase Space Configuration:
• Embedding Dimension (3-10, default 5): Reconstruction dimension
- Low (3-4): Simple dynamics, faster computation
- Medium (5-6): Balanced (recommended)
- High (7-10): Complex dynamics, more data needed
- Rule: d ≥ 2D+1 where D is true dimension
• Time Delay (τ) (1-10, default 3): Embedding lag
- Fast markets: 1-2
- Normal: 3-4
- Slow markets: 5-10
- Optimal: First minimum of mutual information (often 2-4)
• Recurrence Threshold (ε) (0.01-0.5, default 0.10): Phase space proximity
- Tight (0.01-0.05): Very similar states only
- Medium (0.08-0.15): Balanced
- Loose (0.20-0.50): Liberal matching
Entropy & Complexity:
• Permutation Order (3-7, default 4): Pattern length
- Low (3): 6 patterns, fast but coarse
- Medium (4-5): 24-120 patterns, balanced
- High (6-7): 720-5040 patterns, fine-grained
- Note: Requires window >> order! for stability
• Entropy Window (15-100, default 30): Lookback for entropy
- Short (15-25): Responsive to changes
- Medium (30-50): Stable measure
- Long (60-100): Very smooth, slow adaptation
• Lyapunov Window (10-50, default 20): Stability estimation window
- Short (10-15): Fast chaos detection
- Medium (20-30): Balanced
- Long (40-50): Stable λ estimate
Causal Inference:
• Enable Transfer Entropy (default ON): Causality analysis
- Keep ON for full system functionality
• TE History Length (2-15, default 5): Causal lookback
- Short (2-4): Quick causal detection
- Medium (5-8): Balanced
- Long (10-15): Deep causal analysis
• TE Discretization Bins (4-12, default 6): Binning granularity
- Few (4-5): Coarse, robust, needs less data
- Medium (6-8): Balanced
- Many (9-12): Fine-grained, needs more data
Phase Coherence:
• Enable Phase Coherence (default ON): Synchronization detection
- Keep ON for emergence detection
• Coherence Threshold (0.3-0.95, default 0.70): PLV requirement
- Loose (0.3-0.5): More signals, lower quality
- Balanced (0.6-0.75): Recommended
- Strict (0.8-0.95): Rare, highest quality
• Hilbert Smoothing (3-20, default 8): Phase smoothing
- Low (3-5): Responsive, noisier
- Medium (6-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Smooth, more lag
Fractal Analysis:
• Enable Fractal Dimension (default ON): Complexity measurement
- Keep ON for full analysis
• Fractal K-max (4-20, default 8): Scaling range
- Low (4-6): Faster, less accurate
- Medium (7-10): Balanced
- High (12-20): Accurate, slower
• Fractal Window (30-200, default 50): FD lookback
- Short (30-50): Responsive FD
- Medium (60-100): Stable FD
- Long (120-200): Very smooth FD
Emergence Detection:
• Emergence Threshold (0.5-0.95, default 0.75): Minimum coherence
- Sensitive (0.5-0.65): More signals
- Balanced (0.7-0.8): Recommended
- Strict (0.85-0.95): Rare signals
• Require Causal Gate (default ON): TE confirmation
- ON: Only signal when causality confirms
- OFF: Allow signals without causal support
• Require Stability Zone (default ON): Lyapunov filter
- ON: Only signal when λ < 0 (stable) or |λ| < 0.1 (critical)
- OFF: Allow signals in chaotic regimes (risky)
• Signal Cooldown (1-50, default 5): Minimum bars between signals
- Fast (1-3): Rapid signal generation
- Normal (4-8): Balanced
- Slow (10-20): Very selective
- Ultra (25-50): Only major regime changes
Signal Configuration:
• Momentum Period (5-50, default 14): ROC calculation
• Structure Lookback (10-100, default 20): Support/resistance range
• Volatility Period (5-50, default 14): ATR calculation
• Volume MA Period (10-50, default 20): Volume normalization
Visual Settings:
• Customizable color scheme for all elements
• Toggle visibility for each layer independently
• Dashboard position (4 corners) and size (tiny/small/normal)
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: System Familiarization (Week 1)
Goal: Understand complexity metrics and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Enable all features with default parameters
• Watch dashboard metrics for 500+ bars
• Do NOT trade yet
Actions:
• Observe emergence score patterns relative to price moves
• Note coherence threshold crossings and subsequent price action
• Watch entropy regime transitions (ORDERED → COMPLEX → CHAOTIC)
• Correlate Lyapunov state with signal reliability
• Track which signals appear (emergence vs resonance frequency)
Key Learning:
• When does emergence peak? (usually before major moves)
• What entropy regime produces best signals? (typically ORDERED or MODERATE)
• Does your instrument respect stability zones? (stable λ = better signals)
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to instrument characteristics
Requirements:
• Understand basic dashboard metrics from Phase 1
• Have 1000+ bars of history loaded
Embedding Dimension & Time Delay:
• If signals very rare: Try lower dimension (d=3-4) or shorter delay (τ=2)
• If signals too frequent: Try higher dimension (d=6-7) or longer delay (τ=4-5)
• Sweet spot: 4-8 emergence signals per 100 bars
Coherence Threshold:
• Check dashboard: What's typical coherence range?
• If coherence rarely exceeds 0.70: Lower threshold to 0.60-0.65
• If coherence often >0.80: Can raise threshold to 0.75-0.80
• Goal: Signals fire during top 20-30% of coherence values
Emergence Threshold:
• If too few signals: Lower to 0.65-0.70
• If too many signals: Raise to 0.80-0.85
• Balance with coherence threshold—both must be met
Phase 3: Signal Quality Assessment (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Verify signals have edge via paper trading
Requirements:
• Parameters optimized per Phase 2
• 50+ signals generated
• Detailed notes on each signal
Paper Trading Protocol:
• Take EVERY emergence signal (★ and ◆)
• Optional: Take resonance signals (▲/▼) separately to compare
• Use simple exit: 2R target, 1R stop (ATR-based)
• Track: Win rate, average R-multiple, maximum consecutive losses
Quality Metrics:
• Premium emergence (★) : Should achieve >55% WR
• Standard emergence (◆) : Should achieve >50% WR
• Resonance signals : Should achieve >45% WR
• Overall : If <45% WR, system not suitable for this instrument/timeframe
Red Flags:
• Win rate <40%: Wrong instrument or parameters need major adjustment
• Max consecutive losses >10: System not working in current regime
• Profit factor <1.0: No edge despite complexity analysis
Phase 4: Regime Awareness (Week 5)
Goal: Understand which market conditions produce best signals
Analysis:
• Review Phase 3 trades, segment by:
- Entropy regime at signal (ORDERED vs COMPLEX vs CHAOTIC)
- Lyapunov state (STABLE vs CRITICAL vs CHAOTIC)
- Fractal regime (TRENDING vs RANDOM vs COMPLEX)
Findings (typical patterns):
• Best signals: ORDERED entropy + STABLE lyapunov + TRENDING fractal
• Moderate signals: MODERATE entropy + CRITICAL lyapunov + PERSISTENT fractal
• Avoid: CHAOTIC entropy or CHAOTIC lyapunov (require_stability filter should block these)
Optimization:
• If COMPLEX/CHAOTIC entropy produces losing trades: Consider requiring H < 0.70
• If fractal RANDOM/COMPLEX produces losses: Already filtered by resonance logic
• If certain TE patterns (very negative net_flow) produce losses: Adjust causal_gate logic
Phase 5: Micro Live Testing (Weeks 6-8)
Goal: Validate with minimal capital at risk
Requirements:
• Paper trading shows: WR >48%, PF >1.2, max DD <20%
• Understand complexity metrics intuitively
• Know which regimes work best from Phase 4
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended position size
• Focus on premium emergence signals (★) only initially
• Proper stop placement (1.5-2.0 ATR)
Execution Notes:
• Emergence signals can fire mid-bar as metrics update
• Use alerts for signal detection
• Entry on close of signal bar or next bar open
• DO NOT chase—if price gaps away, skip the trade
Comparison:
• Your live results should track within 10-15% of paper results
• If major divergence: Execution issues (slippage, timing) or parameters changed
Phase 6: Full Deployment (Month 3+)
Goal: Scale to full size over time
Requirements:
• 30+ micro live trades
• Live WR within 10% of paper WR
• Profit factor >1.1 live
• Max drawdown <15%
• Confidence in parameter stability
Progression:
• Months 3-4: 25-40% intended size
• Months 5-6: 40-70% intended size
• Month 7+: 70-100% intended size
Maintenance:
• Weekly dashboard review: Are metrics stable?
• Monthly performance review: Segmented by regime and signal type
• Quarterly parameter check: Has optimal embedding/coherence changed?
Advanced:
• Consider different parameters per session (high vs low volatility)
• Track phase space magnitude patterns before major moves
• Combine with other indicators for confluence
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS & KEY BREAKTHROUGHS
The Phase Space Revelation:
Traditional indicators live in price-time space. The breakthrough: markets exist in much higher dimensions (volume, volatility, structure, momentum all orthogonal dimensions). Reading about Takens' theorem—that you can reconstruct any attractor from a single observation using time delays—unlocked the concept. Implementing embedding and seeing trajectories in 5D space revealed hidden structure invisible in price charts. Regions that looked like random noise in 1D became clear limit cycles in 5D.
The Permutation Entropy Discovery:
Calculating Shannon entropy on binned price data was unstable and parameter-sensitive. Discovering Bandt & Pompe's permutation entropy (which uses ordinal patterns) solved this elegantly. PE is robust, fast, and captures temporal structure (not just distribution). Testing showed PE < 0.5 periods had 18% higher signal win rate than PE > 0.7 periods. Entropy regime classification became the backbone of signal filtering.
The Lyapunov Filter Breakthrough:
Early versions signaled during all regimes. Win rate hovered at 42%—barely better than random. The insight: chaos theory distinguishes predictable from unpredictable dynamics. Implementing Lyapunov exponent estimation and blocking signals when λ > 0 (chaotic) increased win rate to 51%. Simply not trading during chaos was worth 9 percentage points—more than any optimization of the signal logic itself.
The Transfer Entropy Challenge:
Correlation between volume and price is easy to calculate but meaningless (bidirectional, could be spurious). Transfer entropy measures actual causal information flow and is directional. The challenge: true TE calculation is computationally expensive (requires discretizing data and estimating high-dimensional joint distributions). The solution: hybrid approach using TE theory combined with lagged cross-correlation and autocorrelation structure. Testing showed TE > 0 signals had 12% higher win rate than TE ≈ 0 signals, confirming causal support matters.
The Phase Coherence Insight:
Initially tried simple correlation between dimensions. Not predictive. Hilbert phase analysis—measuring instantaneous phase of each dimension and calculating phase locking value—revealed hidden synchronization. When PLV > 0.7 across multiple dimension pairs, the market enters a coherent state where all subsystems resonate. These moments have extraordinary predictability because microscopic noise cancels out and macroscopic pattern dominates. Emergence signals require high PLV for this reason.
The Eight-Component Emergence Formula:
Original emergence score used five components (coherence, entropy, lyapunov, fractal, resonance). Performance was good but not exceptional. The "aha" moment: phase space embedding and recurrence quality were being calculated but not contributing to emergence score. Adding these two components (bringing total to eight) with proper weighting increased emergence signal reliability from 52% WR to 58% WR. All calculated metrics must contribute to the final score. If you compute something, use it.
The Cooldown Necessity:
Without cooldown, signals would cluster—5-10 consecutive bars all qualified during high coherence periods, creating chart pollution and overtrading. Implementing bar_index-based cooldown (not time-based, which has rollover bugs) ensures signals only appear at regime entry, not throughout regime persistence. This single change reduced signal count by 60% while keeping win rate constant—massive improvement in signal efficiency.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What This System IS NOT:
• NOT Predictive : NEXUS doesn't forecast prices. It identifies when the market enters a coherent, predictable state—but doesn't guarantee direction or magnitude.
• NOT Holy Grail : Typical performance is 50-58% win rate with 1.5-2.0 avg R-multiple. This is probabilistic edge from complexity analysis, not certainty.
• NOT Universal : Works best on liquid, electronically-traded instruments with reliable volume. Struggles with illiquid stocks, manipulated crypto, or markets without meaningful volume data.
• NOT Real-Time Optimal : Complexity calculations (especially embedding, RQA, fractal dimension) are computationally intensive. Dashboard updates may lag by 1-2 seconds on slower connections.
• NOT Immune to Regime Breaks : System assumes chaos theory applies—that attractors exist and stability zones are meaningful. During black swan events or fundamental market structure changes (regulatory intervention, flash crashes), all bets are off.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have Attractors : Assumes price dynamics are governed by deterministic chaos with underlying attractors. Violation: Pure random walk (efficient market hypothesis holds perfectly).
2. Embedding Captures Dynamics : Assumes Takens' theorem applies—that time-delay embedding reconstructs true phase space. Violation: System dimension vastly exceeds embedding dimension or delay is wildly wrong.
3. Complexity Metrics Are Meaningful : Assumes permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions actually reflect market state. Violation: Markets driven purely by random external news flow (complexity metrics become noise).
4. Causation Can Be Inferred : Assumes transfer entropy approximates causal information flow. Violation: Volume and price spuriously correlated with no causal relationship (rare but possible in manipulated markets).
5. Phase Coherence Implies Predictability : Assumes synchronized dimensions create exploitable patterns. Violation: Coherence by chance during random period (false positive).
6. Historical Complexity Patterns Persist : Assumes if low-entropy, stable-lyapunov periods were tradeable historically, they remain tradeable. Violation: Fundamental regime change (market structure shifts, e.g., transition from floor trading to HFT).
Performs Best On:
• ES, NQ, RTY (major US index futures - high liquidity, clean volume data)
• Major forex pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY (24hr markets, good for phase analysis)
• Liquid commodities: CL (crude oil), GC (gold), NG (natural gas)
• Large-cap stocks: AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, TSLA (>$10M daily volume, meaningful structure)
• Major crypto on reputable exchanges: BTC, ETH on Coinbase/Kraken (avoid Binance due to manipulation)
Performs Poorly On:
• Low-volume stocks (<$1M daily volume) - insufficient liquidity for complexity analysis
• Exotic forex pairs - erratic spreads, thin volume
• Illiquid altcoins - wash trading, bot manipulation invalidates volume analysis
• Pre-market/after-hours - gappy, thin, different dynamics
• Binary events (earnings, FDA approvals) - discontinuous jumps violate dynamical systems assumptions
• Highly manipulated instruments - spoofing and layering create false coherence
Known Weaknesses:
• Computational Lag : Complexity calculations require iterating over windows. On slow connections, dashboard may update 1-2 seconds after bar close. Signals may appear delayed.
• Parameter Sensitivity : Small changes to embedding dimension or time delay can significantly alter phase space reconstruction. Requires careful calibration per instrument.
• Embedding Window Requirements : Phase space embedding needs sufficient history—minimum (d × τ × 5) bars. If embedding_dimension=5 and time_delay=3, need 75+ bars. Early bars will be unreliable.
• Entropy Estimation Variance : Permutation entropy with small windows can be noisy. Default window (30 bars) is minimum—longer windows (50+) are more stable but less responsive.
• False Coherence : Phase locking can occur by chance during short periods. Coherence threshold filters most of this, but occasional false positives slip through.
• Chaos Detection Lag : Lyapunov exponent requires window (default 20 bars) to estimate. Market can enter chaos and produce bad signal before λ > 0 is detected. Stability filter helps but doesn't eliminate this.
• Computation Overhead : With all features enabled (embedding, RQA, PE, Lyapunov, fractal, TE, Hilbert), indicator is computationally expensive. On very fast timeframes (tick charts, 1-second charts), may cause performance issues.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, forex, stocks, options, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Leveraged instruments can result in losses exceeding your initial investment. Past performance, whether backtested or live, is not indicative of future results.
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol, including its phase space reconstruction, complexity analysis, and emergence detection algorithms, is provided for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument.
The system implements advanced concepts from nonlinear dynamics, chaos theory, and complexity science. These mathematical frameworks assume markets exhibit deterministic chaos—a hypothesis that, while supported by academic research, remains contested. Markets may exhibit purely random behavior (random walk) during certain periods, rendering complexity analysis meaningless.
Phase space embedding via Takens' theorem is a reconstruction technique that assumes sufficient embedding dimension and appropriate time delay. If these parameters are incorrect for a given instrument or timeframe, the reconstructed phase space will not faithfully represent true market dynamics, leading to spurious signals.
Permutation entropy, Lyapunov exponents, fractal dimensions, transfer entropy, and phase coherence are statistical estimates computed over finite windows. All have inherent estimation error. Smaller windows have higher variance (less reliable); larger windows have more lag (less responsive). There is no universally optimal window size.
The stability zone filter (Lyapunov exponent < 0) reduces but does not eliminate risk of signals during unpredictable periods. Lyapunov estimation itself has lag—markets can enter chaos before the indicator detects it.
Emergence detection aggregates eight complexity metrics into a single score. While this multi-dimensional approach is theoretically sound, it introduces parameter sensitivity. Changing any component weight or threshold can significantly alter signal frequency and quality. Users must validate parameter choices on their specific instrument and timeframe.
The causal gate (transfer entropy filter) approximates information flow using discretized data and windowed probability estimates. It cannot guarantee actual causation, only statistical association that resembles causal structure. Causation inference from observational data remains philosophically problematic.
Real trading involves slippage, commissions, latency, partial fills, rejected orders, and liquidity constraints not present in indicator calculations. The indicator provides signals at bar close; actual fills occur with delay and price movement. Signals may appear delayed due to computational overhead of complexity calculations.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, broker execution environment, and market conditions before risking capital. Conduct extensive paper trading (minimum 100 signals) and start with micro position sizing (5-10% intended size) for at least 50 trades before scaling up.
Never risk more capital than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing (0.5-2% risk per trade maximum). Implement stop losses on every trade. Maintain adequate margin/capital reserves. Understand that most retail traders lose money. Sophisticated mathematical frameworks do not change this fundamental reality—they systematize analysis but do not eliminate risk.
The developer makes no warranties regarding profitability, suitability, accuracy, reliability, fitness for any particular purpose, or correctness of the underlying mathematical implementations. Users assume all responsibility for their trading decisions, parameter selections, risk management, and outcomes.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and accepted these risk disclosures and limitations, and you accept full responsibility for all trading activity and potential losses.
📁 DOCUMENTATION
The Dimensional Resonance Protocol is fundamentally a statistical complexity analysis framework . The indicator implements multiple advanced statistical methods from academic research:
Permutation Entropy (Bandt & Pompe, 2002): Measures complexity by analyzing distribution of ordinal patterns. Pure statistical concept from information theory.
Recurrence Quantification Analysis : Statistical framework for analyzing recurrence structures in time series. Computes recurrence rate, determinism, and diagonal line statistics.
Lyapunov Exponent Estimation : Statistical measure of sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Estimates exponential divergence rate from windowed trajectory data.
Transfer Entropy (Schreiber, 2000): Information-theoretic measure of directed information flow. Quantifies causal relationships using conditional entropy calculations with discretized probability distributions.
Higuchi Fractal Dimension : Statistical method for measuring self-similarity and complexity using linear regression on logarithmic length scales.
Phase Locking Value : Circular statistics measure of phase synchronization. Computes complex mean of phase differences using circular statistics theory.
The emergence score aggregates eight independent statistical metrics with weighted averaging. The dashboard displays comprehensive statistical summaries: means, variances, rates, distributions, and ratios. Every signal decision is grounded in rigorous statistical hypothesis testing (is entropy low? is lyapunov negative? is coherence above threshold?).
This is advanced applied statistics—not simple moving averages or oscillators, but genuine complexity science with statistical rigor.
Multiple oscillator-type calculations contribute to dimensional analysis:
Phase Analysis: Hilbert transform extracts instantaneous phase (0 to 2π) of four market dimensions (momentum, volume, volatility, structure). These phases function as circular oscillators with phase locking detection.
Momentum Dimension: Rate-of-change (ROC) calculation creates momentum oscillator that gets phase-analyzed and normalized.
Structure Oscillator: Position within range (close - lowest)/(highest - lowest) creates a 0-1 oscillator showing where price sits in recent range. This gets embedded and phase-analyzed.
Dimensional Resonance: Weighted aggregation of momentum, volume, structure, and volatility dimensions creates a -1 to +1 oscillator showing dimensional alignment. Similar to traditional oscillators but multi-dimensional.
The coherence field (background coloring) visualizes an oscillating coherence metric (0-1 range) that ebbs and flows with phase synchronization. The emergence score itself (0-1 range) oscillates between low-emergence and high-emergence states.
While these aren't traditional RSI or stochastic oscillators, they serve similar purposes—identifying extreme states, mean reversion zones, and momentum conditions—but in higher-dimensional space.
Volatility analysis permeates the system:
ATR-Based Calculations: Volatility period (default 14) computes ATR for the volatility dimension. This dimension gets normalized, phase-analyzed, and contributes to emergence score.
Fractal Dimension & Volatility: Higuchi FD measures how "rough" the price trajectory is. Higher FD (>1.6) correlates with higher volatility/choppiness. FD < 1.4 indicates smooth trends (lower effective volatility).
Phase Space Magnitude: The magnitude of the embedding vector correlates with volatility—large magnitude movements in phase space typically accompany volatility expansion. This is the "energy" of the market trajectory.
Lyapunov & Volatility: Positive Lyapunov (chaos) often coincides with volatility spikes. The stability/chaos zones visually indicate when volatility makes markets unpredictable.
Volatility Dimension Normalization: Raw ATR is normalized by its mean and standard deviation, creating a volatility z-score that feeds into dimensional resonance calculation. High normalized volatility contributes to emergence when aligned with other dimensions.
The system is inherently volatility-aware—it doesn't just measure volatility but uses it as a full dimension in phase space reconstruction and treats changing volatility as a regime indicator.
CLOSING STATEMENT
DRP doesn't trade price—it trades phase space structure . It doesn't chase patterns—it detects emergence . It doesn't guess at trends—it measures coherence .
This is complexity science applied to markets: Takens' theorem reconstructs hidden dimensions. Permutation entropy measures order. Lyapunov exponents detect chaos. Transfer entropy reveals causation. Hilbert phases find synchronization. Fractal dimensions quantify self-similarity.
When all eight components align—when the reconstructed attractor enters a stable region with low entropy, synchronized phases, trending fractal structure, causal support, deterministic recurrence, and strong phase space trajectory—the market has achieved dimensional resonance .
These are the highest-probability moments. Not because an indicator said so. Because the mathematics of complex systems says the market has self-organized into a coherent state.
Most indicators see shadows on the wall. DRP reconstructs the cave.
"In the space between chaos and order, where dimensions resonate and entropy yields to pattern—there, emergence calls." DRP
Taking you to school. — Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Asset Correlation Matrix [PEARSON|BETA|R2]The Market Dilemma: The Liquidity Trap and The Illusion of Diversification
One of the most expensive mistakes in modern trading is the assumption that holding different asset classes—such as Technology Stocks, Crypto, and Commodities—automatically provides safety. In stable economic times, this may be true. However, in environments defined by high liquidity stress or macroeconomic shocks, the correlations between these seemingly distinct assets tend to converge mathematically to 1.0. This phenomenon is known in quantitative finance as "Systemic Coupling." When this occurs, technical analysis on individual charts loses its predictive power because the asset is no longer trading on its own idiosyncratic fundamentals (e.g., earnings or user growth) but is merely acting as a high-beta proxy for global liquidity flows. This toolkit solves this problem by providing an institutional-grade framework to quantify exactly how much "independence" your assets truly possess at any given moment. It objectively separates a "Stock Picker's Market," where individual analysis works, from a "Macro Regime," where only the broader trend matters.
Scientific Foundation: Why Logarithmic Returns Matter
Standard retail indicators often calculate correlation based on simple percentage price changes. This approach is mathematically flawed over longer timeframes due to the compounding effect. This algorithm is grounded in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and utilizes Logarithmic Returns (continuously compounded returns). As established in academic literature by Hudson & Gregoriou (2015), log returns provide time-additivity and numerical stability. This ensures that the statistical relationship measured over a rolling 60-day window is accurate and not distorted by volatility spikes, providing a professional basis for risk modeling.
The Three Pillars of Analysis: Understanding the Metrics
To fully understand market behavior, one must look at the relationship between an asset and a benchmark from three distinct mathematical angles. This indicator allows you to switch between these institutional metrics:
1. Pearson Correlation (Directional Alignment):
This is the classic measure of linear dependence, ranging from -1.0 to +1.0. Its primary value lies in identifying Regime Changes . When the correlation is high (above 0.8), the asset has lost its autonomy and is "locked" with the benchmark. When the correlation drops or turns negative, the asset is "decoupled." This mode is essential for hedging strategies. If you are long Bitcoin and short the Nasdaq to hedge, but their correlation drops to zero, your hedge has mathematically evaporated. This mode warns you of such structural breaks.
2. Beta Sensitivity (Volatility Adjusted Risk):
While Correlation asks "Are they moving together?", Beta asks "How violently are they moving together?". Beta adjusts the correlation by the relative volatility of the asset versus the benchmark. A Beta of 1.5 implies that for every 1% move in the S&P 500, the asset is statistically likely to move 1.5%. This is the single most important metric for Position Sizing . In high-beta regimes, you must reduce position size to maintain constant risk. This mode visualizes when an asset transitions from being a "Defensive Haven" (Beta < 1.0) to a "High Risk Vehicle" (Beta > 1.0).
3. Explained Variance / R-Squared (The Truth Serum):
This is the most advanced metric in the toolkit, rarely found in retail indicators. R-Squared ranges from 0% to 100% and answers the question of causality: "How much of the asset's price movement is purely explained by the movement of the benchmark?" If R2 is 85%, it mathematically proves that 85% of the price action is external noise driven by the market, and only 15% is driven by the asset's own news or chart pattern. Institutional traders use this to filter trades: They seek Low R-Squared environments for alpha generation (breakouts) and avoid High R-Squared environments where they would simply be trading the index with higher fees.
The Theory of "Invisible Gravity" and Macro Benchmarking
While comparing assets to the S&P 500 is standard, the theoretical value of this matrix expands significantly when utilizing Macro Benchmarks like US Treasury Yields (US10Y). According to Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) theory, the value of long-duration assets (like Tech Stocks or Crypto) is inversely related to the risk-free rate. By setting the benchmark to yields, this indicator makes this theoretical concept visible. A strong Negative Correlation confirms that asset appreciation is being driven by "cheap money" (falling yields). However, a sudden flip to Positive Correlation against yields signals a profound shift in market mechanics, often indicating that inflation fears are being replaced by growth fears or monetary debasement. This visualizes the "Denominator Effect" in real-time.
Visualizing Market Breadth and Internal Health
Beyond individual lines, the "Breadth Mode" aggregates the data into a histogram to diagnose the health of a trend. A healthy rally is supported by broad participation, meaning high correlation across risk assets. A dangerous, exhausted rally is characterized by Divergence : Price makes a new high, but the Correlation Breadth (the number of assets participating in the move) collapses. This is often the earliest warning signal of a liquidity withdrawal before a reversal occurs.
References
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance.
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium.
Hudson, R., & Gregoriou, A. (2015). Calculating and Comparing Security Returns: Logarithmic vs Simple Returns.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
