Caterpillar has been leading a rally in industrial stocks, but now some traders may expect a pullback.

Notice the gap to new record levels on August 1 after earnings beat estimates. CAT pushed to another high the following session but failed to hold and closed in the red. That kind of “shooting star” candlestick is a potential reversal pattern.

Second, the surge pushed Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) far into overbought territory. It’s now retreating from that condition.

Third, a narrowing price range since the rally produced a triangle. Prices broke the bottom of that formation yesterday. They also closed below their 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) for the first time this month.

Traders looking to the downside may target the $270 area or lower, which corresponds to the recent gap.

The macro backdrop could also worry some investors, given China’s economic weakness lately.

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