Recap

Yesterday, traders saw the power of simple, classic chart patterns in cutting through the immense amount of noise in the market. On July 10th, we tested the support of a perfect 3-month ascending triangle at 4420, triggering initial longs. Since last Wednesday, we've been squeezing for the best trade of 2023.

The Markets Overnight

🌏 Asia: Mixed
🌍 Europe: Mixed, UK up strongly
🌎 US Index Futures: Up slightly
🛢 Crude Oil: Up
💵 Dollar: Up a bit
🧐 Yields: Down
🔮 Crypto: Up

World Headline

Stubborn UK inflation down, printing below expectations.

Key Structures

Some core big picture structures and levels to watch now (from highest to lowest) are:

4532: This was the area we broke out last Thursday morning, and back-tested it on Sunday evening and Monday morning this week. Key support now and fail there likely starts a sell back to 4490s.

4493: This represents the major June/July resistance and is resistance of the ascending triangle structure. Breakout is fully in play above there, with failure there resulting in a failed breakout and requiring either more time in chop, or a deeper sell leg.

The large rising uptrend channel in white: This connects the March lows and the May lows is the primary medium term channel.

Support Levels

Supports are: 4586, 4575, 4565 (major) 4553, 4542, 4533 (major), 4524, 4515-18 (major), 4509, 4493 (major), 4486, 4473-76 (major), 4456-60 (major), 4447, 4441, 4425-30 (major), 4408-12 (major).

Resistance Levels

Resistances are: 4595-4600 (major), 4613 (major), 4625, 4636 (major), 4647, 4656 (major), 4664-68, 4680, 4691, 4700 (major).

Trading Plan

The trading plan for today is to wait for price discovery and prepare to react. If we defend 4575-65, we could attempt to tag 4600 then 4613, and try a pullback from the low 4600s.

Wrap Up

After the run we've had, it's difficult to predict the market's next move. However, by focusing on key structures and levels, and having a solid trading plan, traders can navigate through the market noise and make informed decisions.

Disclosure: This is not financial advice and is for informational purposes only. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Support and ResistanceTrend AnalysisTrend Lines

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