ETH-USD | Range Decision Point — Model vs. Structure

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ETH-USD | Range Decision Point — Model vs. Structure

Ethereum is consolidating under the 0.786 ($4,347) supply band.

Chart (SMC levels): Daily support sits at $4,108. A clean break below exposes $3,895–$3,700, then the larger Buyer’s Block $3,380–$3,266.

Momentum: RSI at ~40 with selling volume dominance = downside bias until $4,347 is reclaimed.

Model (30-day forecast): Institutional ensemble issues a Strong Sell → target $3,895.5 (−7%), with a wide CI down to $3,193.

Game plan:

Bearish path: Daily close < $4,108 → look for $3,950 → $3,895.

Bullish path: Sweep/reclaim $4,108, then acceptance > $4,347 unlocks $4,520–$4,620.

Key Levels:

Bull trigger: >$4,347

Bear trigger: <$4,108

Near-term target: $3,895 (model alignment)

Long-term channel top: $7,713 (stretch target if buyers regain control)

Not financial advice. Educational mapping for VolanX DSS testing.

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