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שורט

ECONOMIC CRASH (PART 1), anticipatory

MARKET OVERVIEW
Recent data analysis highlights a significant concern regarding the EUR/USD market. With historical precedents and critical market behavior, the possibility of a global economic decline of -16.38% seems probable. This aligns with currency fundamentals where EUR (Financial Capital) and USD (Currency Capital) maintain critical global influence.

The EUR/USD market currently reflects bearish sentiments, with technical and fundamental indicators aligning toward potential downside risks. This is a pivotal time for traders to implement robust strategies, safeguard equity, and leverage automated tools for precision execution.

Key Technical Levels
Pivot High: 1.16164
Resistance: 1.13835
Support: 0.89311
Pivot Low: 0.86321
  • Trend Analysis: The overarching "Big Picture Curve" reflects a long-term downtrend, strongly indicative of a potential market crash.


Oscillators:
  • The oscillators currently show mixed signals, with a bias toward downtrend

Relative Strength Index (RSI): 42.91 (Neutral)
Momentum (10): -0.03028 (Sell)
MACD Level (12,26): -0.00416 (Sell)
Stochastic RSI Fast: 16.42 (Neutral)

Moving Averages:
  • All moving averages point to a downtrend, reinforcing the bearish outlook:

EMA/SMA (10): Sell
EMA/SMA (50): Sell
EMA/SMA (200): Sell
Ichimoku Base Line: Neutral

Anticipated Market Behavior
Given the alignment of bearish technical indicators and economic projections:
  • A break below 0.89311 (Support) could accelerate a larger move downward, potentially confirming a secondary crash scenario or what I like to call a FAMINE (That'll be Part 2).

  • Conservative traders should watch resistance at 1.13835, with invalidation of bearish outlook above 1.16164.

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