Lido DAOלונג
LDO SWING LONG IDEA - A Life-changing opportunity
מעודכן
Narratives:
1) LDO is the strongest ETH-BETA with a massive 35B TVL. We haven't seen an ETH bull run yet, but when it happens, LDO will likely benefit the most.
2)Market Cap = FDV, meaning all tokens are already in circulation, eliminating future unlock-related sell pressure.
3)Undervalued: LDO boasts 35B TVL and a 1.8B market cap, while AAVE has 20B$ TVL and a 3.5B market cap.
4)SEC Administration Change: The current administration has delayed ETH staking approvals for ETFs. A new SEC administration may greenlight this, channeling billions of ETH ETF funds into LDO, the largest ETH liquid staking protocol. This could bring a significant influx of assets to its chain.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the Autumn 2022 EQLs (equal lows)—which I consider "max pain"—but failed to close below, showing resilience. After that, the price reversed upward, breaking the bearish trendline responsible for the bearish trend since January 2024. Following a successful retest of the trendline, we saw strong momentum.
I’ll be targeting 2024 Highs at $4 initially, with a long-term view toward ATH at $7.22.
Invalidation:
This is a 3x leverage swing trade or a spot trade, and I plan to carry it until spring 2025. I’m already in the trade. My invalidation level is a daily close below $0.91. Yes, it’s a wider stop-loss, but as I mentioned, this isn’t just a trade; it’s more of a mid-term investment. I’ll be looking to close the position around May 2025 or earlier if we reach levels close to the previous ATH.
1) LDO is the strongest ETH-BETA with a massive 35B TVL. We haven't seen an ETH bull run yet, but when it happens, LDO will likely benefit the most.
2)Market Cap = FDV, meaning all tokens are already in circulation, eliminating future unlock-related sell pressure.
3)Undervalued: LDO boasts 35B TVL and a 1.8B market cap, while AAVE has 20B$ TVL and a 3.5B market cap.
4)SEC Administration Change: The current administration has delayed ETH staking approvals for ETFs. A new SEC administration may greenlight this, channeling billions of ETH ETF funds into LDO, the largest ETH liquid staking protocol. This could bring a significant influx of assets to its chain.
Technical Analysis:
The price ran the Autumn 2022 EQLs (equal lows)—which I consider "max pain"—but failed to close below, showing resilience. After that, the price reversed upward, breaking the bearish trendline responsible for the bearish trend since January 2024. Following a successful retest of the trendline, we saw strong momentum.
I’ll be targeting 2024 Highs at $4 initially, with a long-term view toward ATH at $7.22.
Invalidation:
This is a 3x leverage swing trade or a spot trade, and I plan to carry it until spring 2025. I’m already in the trade. My invalidation level is a daily close below $0.91. Yes, it’s a wider stop-loss, but as I mentioned, this isn’t just a trade; it’s more of a mid-term investment. I’ll be looking to close the position around May 2025 or earlier if we reach levels close to the previous ATH.
עסקה פעילה
We are on the move
כתב ויתור
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