META | AI Capex Drive vs $754 Decision Point

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Meta’s recent earnings reinforced the AI and ad monetisation story, with revenue growth, margin expansion, and aggressive capex guidance ($64–72B). Deals like the $14B CoreWeave cloud agreement and plans to personalize ads via AI chats keep the structural AI narrative alive. These catalysts provide fuel for investors to stay engaged with the stock despite higher spend.

On the 4H chart, META’s bullish flag structure has retraced toward anchored VWAP support. The $754 anchored VWAP is the key decision point:

  • If price reclaims and holds above → structure remains constructive with scope for continuation.
  • If price stays capped below → flag negation risks deeper correction into VWAP trendline support.


Takeaway: $754 anchored VWAP is the line that separates continuation from correction.

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