📍 Key Levels on Watch
Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5
Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support
Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6
Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7
Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2
🧭 Technical Outlook
Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move.
Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point:
If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6.
If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in.
Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails.
🌍 Macro Context
De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term.
Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand.
US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold.
Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6.
Bearish Case:
Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735).
Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG.
📌 My Plan
Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop.
BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries.
Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5
Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support
Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6
Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7
Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2
🧭 Technical Outlook
Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move.
Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point:
If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6.
If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in.
Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails.
🌍 Macro Context
De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term.
Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand.
US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold.
Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6.
Bearish Case:
Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735).
Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG.
📌 My Plan
Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop.
BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries.
Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
פרסומים קשורים
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.
פרסומים קשורים
כתב ויתור
המידע והפרסומים אינם אמורים להיות, ואינם מהווים, עצות פיננסיות, השקעות, מסחר או סוגים אחרים של עצות או המלצות שסופקו או מאושרים על ידי TradingView. קרא עוד בתנאים וההגבלות.