This is an update to the Island Gap post. I attempted to plot a path to meet my target. I used a rough timeline of events and hypothetical sentiments in the week ahead. Should the house fail to pass a much lower stimulus bill by Friday, I expect a limit down event this week, or early next. These things are very hard to predict, so take it with a grain of salt; but October is notorious for being bearish even without such circumstances.
On the 15min chart it is creepy how well it's been following my plot after the debate!