XLM USD - Forecast on track

Hello Traders and analysts.


Master Key for zones
*Blue = Monthly
*Purple = weekly
*Red = 4 Days
*Yellow = 16 Hours
*Orange = Daily
*Dark Green = 8 Hour
*Grey = 4hour
*Pink = 1 hour


See the previous analysis here:
XLM USD -  Mid/late 2021 forecast


XLM USD Monthly Imbalances
With a small amount of data here, where price creates a new all time high, this is considered a daily, weekly or monthly imbalance so long as price retraces back to a zone e.g. a daily imbalance candle and fills a wick upon an aligning Fibonacci level.

These zones have been highlighted due to the imbalance showing a strong pivotal reversion point where price has set a psychological level of $0.60, this was also a structural level of -0.618 Fibonacci extension .
The monthly wicks also highlight a great opportunity where the imbalance is strongest within the wick zones around $0.60-0.41 established. While this zone is a large trading gap - the best imbalances for price levels to work from here is on the weekly, daily.
Second to this, the monthly test occurring back in January 2021 created a all time high*, whereby $0.43 was structural point where price was, informing to positional buyers that the sellers have taken over the daily and weekly imbalance to create correctional move.

Previous:
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/j/jwWQWyiE.png

Price has now established the monthly imbalance where price will be able to correct and continue to create new all time highs.
Please note - the Monthly imbalance is wide - with respect to $0.20 cents. The reason for this is due to the scope of the imbalance on hand being established* no month thus far has provided a fractal structure to indicate the probability taking over.
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Weekly imbalances
The imbalances are clear here, with two in efficiencies identified.
1. - The upper newly created all time high has provided a correctional move where the 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement is in play.
2. - The imbalance wick between $0.38 - 0.30 needed filling as part of a engineer low for the imbalance to take effect for further longs.

This was my previous analysis: March 14th.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/q/Qq5t0vAm.png

Previous daily imbalances:
The Daily imbalances are showing a rally base rally correctional wave formation for those who look at wave patterns. However the path is a clear indicator of Imbalance, fresh high, imbalance fill, create a new imbalance and create a new fresh wick imbalance for price to fill and hold the market structure.
Currently price is looking to create lower lows while being squeezed out to create a low discounted imbalance change over between the sellers and buyers. Here price will be monitored for additional positions.
https://tradingview.com/snapshots/o/OdHle66e.png

Current Daily imbalances:

This is how the current formation is looking using the flag parallel channel formation.
While this is not a normal tool an imbalance trader would use it is a definitely insightful tool to highlight ranges which provide opportunities to add positions using the daily timeframe - where looking to buy and sell upon a rising range.

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Eight hour imbalances
Here are the two imbalances price is currently ranging between.
Note price is on the upward path to retest the all time high.
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Cross asset comparison using the 2 week time frame
Each asset here has produced the same formation
but with a relative price swing - which is respective to the asset in question.
Swings may be visible to "volatility" however a smaller price from $1 to 0.50 is 50% far
more dramatic than $200 to $170.
The boxed zone is an interesting pathway following ETH. As ETH provides a strong weekly and month imbalance - this will determine great pivot points of reference which align to the imbalance.
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Taking a look at Ethereum and Stellar - understand the correlation pattern the two coins have are very closely correlated. Keep an eye on how the more expensive asset moves affecting Stellar.

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LVPA MMXXI
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