Last week the highest price was just at $14.35 ... just a shy $0.05 away from our bomb shell.
Anyway it was not triggered and it keeps going down after reaching $14.35
The market was closed at the SR Flip area at $14.00 (see on H4), it was doji and so far no buyers sighted in the market (Asian morning session).
Here are the few scenarios:
(1) Market bounce at SR Flip ($14.00), likely it will find the previous level which is at $14.09
If $14.09 is broken, it means the buyer is back in the market.
(2) The price continues going to South, the last buyer defend was at $13.90 level. This is where we can place our Pending Order (Sell Stop); once it broke, the gravity will help to pull the price going even lower.
(3) Certainly, the last scenario is ranging / sideways; this usually happen towards end of the month or a week before WASDE report release. The price may consolidate prior making a big move.
This week, I will go for scenario #2 where I will place a Pending Sell Stop Order.
Stop Loss is at $14.20
Pending Order (Sell Stop) is at $13.90
Take Profit is at $13.22
RRR: 2.27R
If you are well versed in Price Action, we can take the opportunity to scalp during the week.
Have a good weekend ahead, this week is a short week.
If no clear setup, just avoid it, enjoy your Easter holiday.