Supertrend Stats

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Supertrend with Probabilistic Stats and MA Filter
Overview: The Supertrend with Probabilistic Stats and MA Filter is a comprehensive TradingView Pine Script indicator designed to enhance trading strategies by combining the trend-detection capabilities of the Supertrend indicator with the trend-confirmation strength of Moving Averages (MA). Additionally, it offers robust statistical tracking to provide traders with valuable insights into the performance and reliability of their trading signals.

Key Features:

Supertrend Indicator Integration:

Trend Detection: Utilizes the Supertrend algorithm to identify prevailing market trends.
Buy/Sell Signals: Generates clear buy and sell signals based on trend reversals.
Customizable Parameters: Allows adjustment of ATR period and multiplier to suit different trading styles and market conditions.
Visual Aids: Plots Supertrend lines on the chart and highlights trend areas for easy visualization.
Moving Average (MA) Filter:

Trend Confirmation: Filters buy signals to occur only when the open price is above the MA and sell signals only when the open price is below the MA.
Customizable MA Types: Supports various MA types, including SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, and VWMA.
Flexible Configuration: Offers options to enable/disable the MA filter, select MA type, set MA length, and adjust MA source and offset.
Statistical Tracking:

Trimmed Mean Calculation: Computes trimmed means for bullish and bearish movements, removing outliers to provide a more accurate average movement.
Success Rate Metrics: Calculates the success rates (%) for both bullish and bearish signals, indicating the percentage of signals that resulted in favorable price movements.
Candle Count Analysis: Tracks the average number of candles each bullish and bearish move lasts, offering insights into the duration of trends.
Data Visualization: Presents all statistical data in a neatly formatted table on the chart, allowing for quick reference and analysis.
Customizable Statistics Table:

Text Color Customization: Provides an option to change the table text color to match personal preferences or chart aesthetics, enhancing readability.
Comprehensive Metrics: Displays key statistics such as Bullish/Bearish Averages, Counts, Success Rates, and Average Candle Counts.
Optional Pinbar Filtering:

Signal Refinement: Adds an additional layer of signal confirmation by filtering buy and sell signals based on pinbar candlestick patterns.
Adjustable Thresholds: Allows customization of the pinbar wick threshold to fine-tune signal accuracy.
Visual Enhancements:

Markers: Optionally displays markers on the first and last candles of bullish and bearish moves for better trend identification.
Highlighter: Shades the chart background to indicate current trend direction, aiding in visual trend recognition.
How It Works:

Trend Identification with Supertrend:

The indicator calculates the Supertrend based on user-defined ATR periods and multipliers.
It plots the Supertrend lines and generates buy/sell signals when the price crosses these lines, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Filtering Signals with Moving Average:

When the MA filter is enabled, the indicator ensures that buy signals are only considered valid if the candle's open price is above the selected MA, and sell signals only if the open price is below the MA.
This additional confirmation aligns trades with the broader market trend, potentially increasing signal reliability.
Statistical Analysis:

Upon triggering a buy or sell signal, the indicator records the entry price and tracks the subsequent price movements.
It calculates trimmed means to assess average movements while excluding extreme outliers.
Success rates are computed by comparing the closing price against the entry price, indicating how often signals result in favorable outcomes.
The average number of candles per move provides insight into trend duration and volatility.
Visualization and Customization:

All statistical data is presented in a table on the chart, with customizable text colors for enhanced readability.
Optional pinbar filtering and visual markers further refine and illustrate trading signals, aiding in decision-making.
Benefits to Traders:

Enhanced Signal Reliability:

By combining Supertrend with an MA filter, the indicator ensures that only signals aligning with the broader market trend are considered, potentially reducing false signals.
Data-Driven Decision Making:

The comprehensive statistical tracking offers traders insights into the performance of their signals, enabling informed adjustments to their trading strategies based on empirical data.
Trend Confirmation and Alignment:

The MA filter acts as a trend confirmation tool, ensuring that trades are placed in the direction of the prevailing trend, which can enhance the probability of successful trades.
Performance Metrics at a Glance:

The statistics table provides all necessary performance metrics in a single view, allowing traders to quickly assess the effectiveness of their strategy without sifting through extensive data.
Customization and Flexibility:

With options to adjust MA types, lengths, and table text colors, traders can tailor the indicator to fit their specific preferences and trading environments.
Visual Clarity and Aids:

The plotted Supertrend lines, MA line, signal markers, and highlighter enhance visual clarity, making it easier to identify trends and potential trade opportunities on the chart.
Usage Instructions:

Adding the Indicator:

Copy the Script: Select and copy the entire Pine Script provided.
Open TradingView: Navigate to TradingView and open your desired asset's chart.
Access Pine Editor: Click on the Pine Editor tab at the bottom of the TradingView interface.
Paste and Add to Chart: Paste the script into the editor and click "Add to Chart" to apply the indicator.
Configuring Settings:

Supertrend Parameters: Adjust the ATR period and multiplier to suit your trading style and the asset's volatility.
MA Filter Settings:
Enable MA Filter: Toggle "Enable MA Filter?" to ON to activate the filter.
Select MA Type: Choose from SMA, EMA, SMMA (RMA), WMA, or VWMA.
Set MA Length: Define the period for the MA calculation.
MA Source and Offset: Choose the price source (default is close) and set any desired plot offset.
Statistical Tracking:
Trimmed Mean Percentage: Set the percentage to trim outliers in mean calculations.
Show Cross Markers: Toggle to display or hide markers on the first and last candles of bullish and bearish moves.
Table Customization:
Table Text Color: Select your preferred text color for the statistics table to match your chart's theme or enhance readability.
Pinbar Filtering (Optional):
Enable Pinbar Filtering: Toggle to refine signals based on pinbar patterns.
Set Pinbar Wick Threshold: Adjust the threshold to define the characteristics of a valid pinbar.
Interpreting the Indicators:

Buy/Sell Signals: Look for labeled "BUY" and "SELL" signals on the chart that align with Supertrend reversals and MA conditions.
Statistics Table: Refer to the table located at the bottom right of the chart to assess:
Bullish/Bearish Averages: Average price movements following signals.
Counts: Total number of bullish and bearish signals.
Success Rates (%): Percentage of signals that resulted in profitable trades.
Candle Averages: Average duration of bullish and bearish moves in terms of candle counts.
Markers and Highlighter: Utilize visual markers and shaded trend areas to better understand market trends and the context of each signal.
Making Informed Decisions:

Assess Signal Performance: Use the success rates and averages to evaluate the effectiveness of your current settings and make necessary adjustments.
Adjust Parameters: Modify Supertrend and MA parameters based on observed performance and changing market conditions to optimize signal accuracy.
Combine with Other Analysis: Integrate insights from this indicator with other technical analysis tools and fundamental factors to form a holistic trading strategy.
Conclusion: The Supertrend with Probabilistic Stats and MA Filter indicator offers a powerful combination of trend detection, signal filtering, and statistical analysis. By providing detailed performance metrics and ensuring that trades align with the broader market trend, this indicator empowers traders to make more informed, data-driven decisions. Whether you're a novice seeking clarity or an experienced trader aiming to refine your strategy, this tool serves as a valuable asset in your trading toolkit.

If you have any further questions or require additional customizations, feel free to reach out!