Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component (YavuzAkbay)The Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component indicator in Pine Script™ is an advanced tool that helps traders isolate and analyze the cyclical deviations in asset prices from their underlying trend. This script calculates the cycle component of the price series using the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter, allowing traders to observe and interpret the short-term price movements around the long-term trend. By providing two views—Percentage and Price Difference—this indicator gives flexibility in how these cyclical movements are visualized and interpreted.
What This Script Does
This indicator focuses exclusively on the cycle component of the price, which is the deviation of the current price from the long-term trend calculated by the HP filter. This deviation (or "cycle") is what traders analyze for mean-reversion opportunities and overbought/oversold conditions. The script allows users to see this deviation in two ways:
Percentage Difference: Shows the deviation as a percentage of the trend, giving a normalized view of the price’s distance from its trend component.
Price Difference: Shows the deviation in absolute price terms, reflecting how many price units the price is above or below the trend.
How It Works
Trend Component Calculation with the HP Filter: Using the HP filter, the script isolates the trend component of the price. The smoothness of this trend is controlled by the smoothness parameter (λ), which can be adjusted by the user. A higher λ value results in a smoother trend, while a lower λ value makes it more responsive to short-term changes.
Cycle Component Calculation: Percentage Deviation (cycle_pct) calculated as the difference between the current price and the trend, divided by the trend, and then multiplied by 100. This metric shows how far the price deviates from the trend in relative terms. Price Difference (cycle_price) simply the difference between the current price and the trend component, displaying the deviation in absolute price units.
Conditional Plotting: The user can choose to view the cycle component as either a percentage or a price difference by selecting the Display Mode input. The indicator will plot the chosen mode in a separate pane, helping traders focus on the preferred measure of deviation.
How to Use This Indicator
Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions: When the cycle component deviates significantly from the zero line (shown with a dashed horizontal line), it may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. For instance, a high positive cycle component suggests the price may be overbought relative to the trend, while a large negative cycle suggests potential oversold conditions.
Mean-Reversion Strategy: In mean-reverting markets, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversal points. For example, if the cycle component shows an extreme deviation from zero, it could signal that the price is likely to revert to the trend. This can help traders with entry and exit points when the asset is expected to correct back toward its trend.
Trend Strength and Cycle Analysis: By comparing the magnitude and duration of deviations, traders can gauge the strength of cycles and assess if a new trend might be forming. If the cycle component remains consistently positive or negative, it may indicate a persistent market bias, even as prices fluctuate around the trend.
Percentage vs. Price Difference Views: Use the Percentage Difference mode to standardize deviations and compare across assets or different timeframes. This is especially helpful when analyzing assets with varying price levels. Use the Price Difference mode when an absolute deviation (price units) is more intuitive for spotting overbought/oversold levels based on the asset’s actual price.
Using with Hodrick-Prescott: You can also use Hodrick-Prescott, another indicator that I have adapted to the Tradingview platform, to see the trend on the chart, and you can also use this indicator to see how far the price is deviating from the trend. This gives you a multifaceted perspective on your trades.
Practical Tips for Traders
Set the Smoothness Parameter (λ): Adjust the λ parameter to match your trading timeframe and asset characteristics. Lower values make the trend more sensitive, which might suit short-term trading, while higher values smooth out the trend for long-term analysis.
Cycle Component as Confirmation: Combine this indicator with other momentum or trend indicators for confirmation of overbought/oversold signals. For example, use the cycle component with RSI or MACD to validate the likelihood of mean-reversion.
Observe Divergences: Divergences between price movements and the cycle component can indicate potential reversals. If the price hits a new high, but the cycle component shows a smaller deviation than previous highs, it could signal a weakening trend.
חפש סקריפטים עבור "Cycle"
Cycles 90mThe cycles are separated by vertical lines. The first cycle (Q1) is marked with a red line because it is a manipulative cycle where you should not open positions. Other cycles are green (Q2, Q3, Q4).
You can add the time of the current candle, its size and position on the chart in the settings
The time is highlighted in red in the timeframes 9:30-9:40, 10:00-10:10, 11:00-11:30, 15:30-15:40, 16:00-16:10, 17:00-17:10, 17:30-17:40, as price movements are most often expected during these timeframes.
The cycle lines automatically disappear if you open a timeframe above M15
Prime, E & PI Superiority CyclesIf you have been studying the markets long enough you will probably have noticed a certain pattern. Whichever trade entry/exit logic you try to use, it will go through phases of working really well and phases where it doesn't work at all. This is the markets way of ensuring anyone who sticks to an oversimplified, one-dimensional strategy will not profit. Superiority cycles are a method I devised by which code interrogates the nature of where price has been pivoting in relation to three key structures, the Prime Frame, E Frame and Pi Frame which are plotted as horizontal lines at these values:
* Use script on 1 minute chart ONLY
prime numbers up to 100: 2.0,3.0,5.0,7.0,11.0,13.0,17.0,19.0,23.0,27.0,29.0,31.0,37.0,41.0,43.0,47.0,53.0,59.0,61.0,67.0,71.0,73.0,79.0,83.0,89.0,97.0
multiples of e up to 100: 2.71828, 5.43656, 8.15484, 10.87312, 13.5914, 16.30968, 19.02796, 21.74624, 24.46452, 27.1828, 29.90108, 32.61936, 35.33764,
38.05592, 40.7742, 43.49248, 46.21076, 48.92904, 51.64732, 54.3656, 57.08388, 59.80216, 62.52044, 65.23872, 67.957, 70.67528, 73.39356000000001, 76.11184,
78.83012, 81.5484, 84.26668000000001, 86.98496, 89.70324, 92.42152, 95.13980000000001, 97.85808
multiples of pi up to 100: 3.14159, 6.28318, 9.424769999999999, 12.56636, 15.70795, 18.849539999999998, 21.99113, 25.13272, 28.27431, 31.4159, 34.55749,
37.699079999999995, 40.840669999999996, 43.98226, 47.12385, 50.26544, 53.40703, 56.54862, 59.69021, 62.8318, 65.97339, 69.11498, 72.25657, 75.39815999999999,
78.53975, 81.68133999999999, 84.82293, 87.96452, 91.10611, 94.2477, 97.38929
These values are iterated up the chart as seen below:
The script sums the distance of pivots to each of the respective frames (olive lines for Prime Frame, green lines for E Frame and maroon lines for Pi Frame) and determines which frame price has been reacting to in the least significant way. The worst performing frame is the next frame we target reversals at. The table in the bottom right will light up a color that corresponds to the frame color we should target.
Here is an example of Prime Superiority, where we prioritize trading from prime levels:
The table and the background color are both olive which means target prime levels. In an ideal world strong moves should start and finish where the white flags are placed i.e. in this case $17k and $19k. The reason these levels are 17,000 and 19,000 and not just 17 and 19 like in the original prime number sequence is due to the scaling code in the get_scale_func() which allows the code to operate on all assets.
This is E Superiority where we would hope to see major reversals at green lines:
This is Pi Superiority where we would hope to see major reversals at maroon lines:
And finally I would like to show you a market moving from one superiority to another. This can be observed by the bgcolor which tells us what the superiority was at every historical minute
Pi Frame Superiority into E Frame Superiority example:
Prime Frame Superiority into E Frame Superiority example:
Prime Frame Superiority into Pi Frame Superiority example:
By rotating the analysis we use to enter trades in this way we hope to hide our strategy better from market makers and artificial intelligence, and overall make greater profits.
Bitcoin Pi Cycle TrackerThe Bitcoin Pi Cycle Tracker is based on the widely recognized Pi Cycle Top Indicator, a concept used to identify potential market cycle tops in Bitcoin's price. This implementation combines the 111-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 350-day SMA (multiplied by 2) to detect key crossover points. When the 111-day SMA crosses above the 350-day SMA x2, it signals a potential market peak.
Key Features:
Plots the 111-day SMA (blue) and the 350-day SMA x2 (red) for clear visualization.
Displays visual markers and vertical lines at crossover points to highlight key moments.
Sends alerts for crossovers, helping traders stay ahead of market movements.
This tool is an implementation of the Pi Cycle concept originally popularized by Bitcoin market analysts. Use it to analyze historical price cycles and prepare for significant market events. Please note that while the Pi Cycle Indicator has been historically effective, it should be used alongside other tools for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Bitcoin Cycle Master [InvestorUnknown]The "Bitcoin Cycle Master" indicator is designed for in-depth, long-term analysis of Bitcoin's price cycles, using several key metrics to track market behavior and forecast potential price tops and bottoms. The indicator integrates multiple moving averages and on-chain metrics, offering a comprehensive view of Bitcoin’s historical and projected performance. Each of its components plays a crucial role in identifying critical cycle points:
Top Cap: This is a multiple of the Average Cap, which is calculated as the cumulative sum of Bitcoin’s price (price has a longer history than Market Cap) divided by its age in days. Top Cap serves as an upper boundary for speculative price peaks, multiplied by a factor of 35.
Time_dif() =>
date = ta.valuewhen(bar_index == 0, time, 0)
sec_r = math.floor(date / 1000)
min_r = math.floor(sec_r / 60)
h_r = math.floor(min_r / 60)
d_r = math.floor(h_r / 24)
// Launch of BTC
start = timestamp(2009, 1, 3, 00, 00)
sec_rb = math.floor(start / 1000)
min_rb = math.floor(sec_rb / 60)
h_rb = math.floor(min_rb / 60)
d_rb = math.floor(h_rb / 24)
difference = d_r - d_rb
AverageCap() =>
ta.cum(btc_price) / (Time_dif() + btc_age)
TopCap() =>
// To calculate Top Cap, it is first necessary to calculate Average Cap, which is the cumulative sum of Market Cap divided by the age of the market in days.
// This creates a constant time-based moving average of market cap.
// Once Average cap is calculated, those values are multiplied by 35. The result is Top Cap.
// For AverageCap the BTC price was used instead of the MC because it has more history
// (the result should have minimal if any deviation since MC would have to be divided by Supply)
AverageCap() * 35
Delta Top: Defined as the difference between the Realized Cap and the Average Cap, this metric is further multiplied by a factor of 7. Delta Top provides a historically reliable signal for Bitcoin market cycle tops.
DeltaTop() =>
// Delta Cap = Realized Cap - Average Cap
// Average Cap is explained in the Top Cap section above.
// Once Delta Cap is calculated, its values over time are then multiplied by 7. The result is Delta Top.
(RealizedPrice() - AverageCap()) * 7
Terminal Price: Derived from Coin Days Destroyed, Terminal Price normalizes Bitcoin’s historical price behavior by its finite supply (21 million bitcoins), offering an adjusted price forecast as all bitcoins approach being mined. The original formula for Terminal Price didn’t produce expected results, hence the calculation was adjusted slightly.
CVDD() =>
// CVDD stands for Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed.
// Coin Days Destroyed is a term used for bitcoin to identify a value of sorts to UTXO’s (unspent transaction outputs). They can be thought of as coins moving between wallets.
(MCR - TV) / 21000000
TerminalPrice() =>
// Theory:
// Before Terminal price is calculated, it is first necessary to calculate Transferred Price.
// Transferred price takes the sum of > Coin Days Destroyed and divides it by the existing supply of bitcoin and the time it has been in circulation.
// The value of Transferred Price is then multiplied by 21. Remember that there can only ever be 21 million bitcoin mined.
// This creates a 'terminal' value as the supply is all mined, a kind of reverse supply adjustment.
// Instead of heavily weighting later behavior, it normalizes historical behavior to today. By normalizing by 21, a terminal value is created
// Unfortunately the theoretical calculation didn't produce results it should, in pinescript.
// Therefore the calculation was slightly adjusted/improvised
TransferredPrice = CVDD() / (Supply * math.log(btc_age))
tp = TransferredPrice * 210000000 * 3
Realized Price: Calculated as the Market Cap Realized divided by the current supply of Bitcoin, this metric shows the average value of Bitcoin based on the price at which coins last moved, giving a market consensus price for long-term holders.
CVDD (Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed): This on-chain metric analyzes Bitcoin’s UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs) and the velocity of coins moving between wallets. It highlights key market dynamics during prolonged accumulation or distribution phases.
Balanced Price: The Balanced Price is the difference between the Realized Price and the Terminal Price, adjusted by Bitcoin's supply constraints. This metric provides a useful signal for identifying oversold market conditions during bear markets.
BalancedPrice() =>
// It is calculated by subtracting Transferred Price from Realized Price
RealizedPrice() - (TerminalPrice() / (21 * 3))
Each component can be toggled individually, allowing users to focus on specific aspects of Bitcoin’s price cycle and derive meaningful insights from its long-term behavior. The combination of these models provides a well-rounded view of both speculative peaks and long-term value trends.
Important consideration:
Top Cap did historically provide reliable signals for cycle peaks, however it may not be a relevant indication of peaks in the future.
VWAP Breakout Strategy + EMAs + Clean Cycle/TP/SL PlotsHere’s a quick user-guide to get you up and running with your “VWAP Breakout Strategy + EMAs + Clean Cycle/TP/SL Plots” script in TradingView:
⸻
1. Installing the Script
1. Open TradingView, go to Pine Editor (bottom panel).
2. Paste in your full Pine-v6 code and hit Add to chart.
3. Save it (“Save as…”): give it a memorable name (e.g. “VWAP Breakout+EMAs”).
⸻
2. Configuring Your Inputs
Once it’s on the chart, click the ⚙️ Settings icon to tune:
Setting Default What it does
ATR Length 14 Period for average true range (volatility measure)
ATR Multiplier for Stop 1.5 How many ATRs away your stop-loss sits
TP1 / TP2 Multipliers (ATR) 1.0 / 2.0 Distance of TP1 and TP2 in ATR multiples
Show VWAP / EMAs On Toggles the blue VWAP line & EMAs (100/34/5)
Full Cycle Range Points 200 Height of the shaded “cycle zone”
Pivot Lookback 5 How many bars back to detect a pivot low
Round Number Step 500 Spacing of your dotted horizontal lines
Show TP/SL Labels On Toggles all the “ENTRY”, “TP1”, “TP2”, “STOP” tags
Feel free to adjust ATR multipliers and cycle-zone size based on the instrument’s typical range.
⸻
3. Reading the Signals
• Long Entry:
• Trigger: price crosses above VWAP
• You’ll see a green “Buy” tag at the low of the signal bar, plus an “ENTRY (Long)” label at the close.
• Stop is plotted as a red dashed line below (ATR × 1.5), and TP1/TP2 as teal and purple lines above.
• Short Entry:
• Trigger: price crosses below VWAP
• A red “Sell” tag appears at the high, with “ENTRY (Short)” at the close.
• Stop is the green line above; TP1/TP2 are dashed teal/purple lines below.
⸻
4. Full Cycle Zone
Whenever a new pivot low is detected (using your Pivot Lookback), the script deletes the old box and draws a shaded yellow rectangle from that low up by “Full Cycle Range Points.”
• Use this to visualize the “maximum expected swing” from your pivot.
• You can quickly see whether price is still traveling within a normal cycle or has overstretched.
⸻
5. Round-Number Levels
With Show Round Number Levels enabled, you’ll always get horizontal dotted lines at the nearest multiples of your “Round Number Step” (e.g. every 500 points).
• These often act as psychological support/resistance.
• Handy to see confluence with VWAP or cycle-zone edges.
⸻
6. Tips & Best-Practices
• Timeframes: Apply on any intraday chart (5 min, 15 min, H1…), but match your ATR length & cycle-points to the timeframe’s typical range.
• Backtest first: Use the Strategy Tester tab to review performance, tweak ATR multipliers or cycle size, then optimize.
• Combine with context: Don’t trade VWAP breakouts blindly—look for confluence (e.g. support/resistance zones, higher-timeframe trend).
• Label clutter: If too many labels build up, you can toggle Show TP/SL Labels off and rely just on the lines.
⸻
That’s it! Once you’ve added it to your chart and dialed in the inputs, your entries, exits, cycle ranges, and key levels will all be plotted automatically. Feel free to experiment with the ATR multipliers and cycle-zone size until it fits your instrument’s personality. Happy trading!
Buying/Selling Pressure Cycle (PreCy)No lag estimation of the buying/selling pressure for each candle.
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WHY PreCY?
How much bearish pressure is there behind a group of bullish candles ?
Is this bearish pressure increasing?
When might it overcome the bullish pressure?
Those were my questions when I started this indicator. It lead me through the rabbit hole, where I discovered some secrets about the market. So I pushed deeper, and developped it a lot more, in order to understand what is really happening "behind the scene".
There are now 3 ways to read this indicator. It might look complicated at first, but the reward is to be able to anticipate and understand a lot more.
You can show/hide all the plots in the settings. So you can choose the way you prefer to use it.
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FIRST WAY TO READ PreCy : The SIGNAL line
Go in the settings of PreCy, in "DISPLAY", uncheck "The pivot lines of the SIGNAL" and "The CYCLE areas". Make sure "The SIGNAL line" is checked.
The SIGNAL shows an estimation of the buying/selling pressure of each candle, going from 100 (100% bullish candle) to -100 (100% bearish candle). A doji would be shown close to zero.
Formula: Estimated % of buying pressure - Estimated % of selling pressure
It is a very choppy line in general, but its colors help make sense of it.
When this choppiness alternates between the extremes, then there is not much pressure on each candle, and it's very unpredictable.
When the pressure increases, the SIGNAL's amplitude changes. It "compresses", meaning there is some interest in the market. It can compress by alternating above and below zero, or it can stay above zero (bullish), or below zero (bearish) for a while.
When the SIGNAL becomes linear (in opposition to choppy), there is a lot of pressure, and it is directional. The participants agree for a move in a chosen direction.
The trajectory of the SIGNAL can help anticipate when a move is going to happen (directional increase of pressure), or stop (returning to zero) and possibly reverse (crossing zero).
Advanced uses:
The SIGNAL can make more sense on a specific timeframe, that would be aligned with the frequency of the orders at that moment. So it is a good idea to switch between timeframes until it gets less choppy, and more directional.
It is interesting to follow any regular progression of the SIGNAL, as it can reveal the intentions of the market makers to go in a certain direction discretely. There can be almost no volume and no move in the price action, yet the SIGNAL gets linear and moves away from one extreme, slowly crosses the zeroline, and pushes to the other extreme at the same time as the amplitude of the price action increases drastically.
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SECOND WAY TO READ PreCy : The PIVOTS of the SIGNAL line
Go in the settings of PreCy, in "DISPLAY", and uncheck "The CYCLE areas". Make sure "The SIGNAL line" and "The pivot lines of the SIGNAL" are checked.
The PIVOTS help make sense of the apparent chaos of the SIGNAL. They can reveal the overall direction of the choppy moves.
Especially when the 2 PIVOTS lines are parallel and oriented.
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THIRD WAY TO READ PreCy : The CYCLE
Go in the settings of PreCy, in "DISPLAY", and uncheck "The SIGNAL line" and "The pivot lines of the SIGNAL". Make sure "The CYCLE areas" is checked.
The CYCLE is a Moving Average of the SIGNAL in relation to each candle's size.
Formula: 6 periods Moving Average of the SIGNAL * (body of the current candle / 200 periods Moving Average of the candle's bodies)
The result goes from 200 to -200.
The CYCLE shows longer term indications of the pressures of the market.
Analysing the trajectory of the CYCLE can help predict the direction of the price.
When the CYCLE goes above or below the gray low intensity zone, it signals some interest in the move.
When the CYCLE stays above 100 or below -100, it is a sign of strength in the move.
When it stayed out of the gray low intensity zone, then returns inside it, it is a strong signal of a probable change of behavior.
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ALERTS
In the settings, you can pick the alerts you're interested in.
To activate them, right click on the chart (or alt+a), choose "Add alert on Buying/Selling Pressure Cycle (PreCy)" then "Any alert()", then "Create".
Feel free to activate them on different timeframes. The alerts show which timeframe they are from (ex: "TF:15" for the 15 minutes TF).
I have added a lot more conditions to my PreCy, taken from FREMA Trend, for ex. You can do the same with your favorite scripts, to make PreCy more accurate for your style.
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Borrowed scripts:
To estimate the buying and selling pressures, PreCy uses the wicks calculations of "Volume net histogram" by RafaelZioni
To filter the alerts, PreCy uses the calculations of "Amplitude" by Koholintian:
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DO NOT BASE YOUR TRADING DECISIONS ON 1 SINGLE INDICATOR'S SIGNALS.
Always confirm your ideas by other means, like price action and indicators of a different nature.
Pi Cycle MACD Inverse OscillatorPi Cycle MACD Inverse Oscillator with Gradient and Days Since Last Top
This indicator is ideal for Bitcoin traders seeking a robust tool to visualize long-term and short-term trends with enhanced clarity and actionable insights.
This script combines the concept of the Pi Cycle indicator with a unique MACD-based inverse oscillator to analyze Bitcoin market trends. It introduces several features to help traders understand market conditions better:
Inverse Oscillator:
- Oscillator ranges between 1 and -1.
- A value of 1 indicates the two moving averages (350 MA and 111 MA) are equal.
- A value of -1 indicates the maximum observed distance between the moving averages during the selected lookback period.
- The oscillator dynamically adjusts to price changes using a configurable scaling factor.
Gradient Visualization:
The oscillator line transitions smoothly from green (closer to -1) to yellow (at 0) and red (closer to 1).
The color gradient provides a quick visual cue for market momentum.
Days Since Last Pi Cycle Top:
Calculates and displays the number of days since the last "Pi Cycle Top" (defined as a crossover between the two moving averages).
The label updates dynamically and appears only on the most recent bar.
Conditional Fill:
Highlights the area between 0 and 1 with a green gradient when the price is above the long moving average.
Enhances visual understanding of the oscillator's position relative to key thresholds.
Inputs:
- Long Moving Average (350 default): Determines the primary trend.
- Short Moving Average (111 default): Measures shorter-term momentum.
- Oscillator Lookback Period (100 default): Defines the range for normalizing the oscillator.
- Price Scaling Factor (0.01 default): Adjusts the normalization to account for large price fluctuations.
How to Use:
- Use the oscillator to identify potential reversal points and trend momentum.
- Look for transitions in the gradient color and the position relative to 0.
- Monitor the "Days Since Last Top" label for insights into the market's cycle timing.
- Utilize the conditional fill to quickly assess when the market is in a favorable position above the long moving average.
Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) [AlgoAlpha]Introducing the Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle by AlgoAlpha: Elevate Your Trading Strategies 🚀
Discover precision and adaptability with the Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle 🎯, meticulously crafted for traders seeking an edge in the markets. This advanced tool integrates sophisticated algorithms to offer clear insights and real-time analytics 📈.
Key Features:
⚙️Adaptive Signal Processing: Utilizes evolving calculations to adjust to market changes, offering highly responsive signals.
🔍Enhanced MACD Analysis: Innovates on the traditional MACD, providing new insights into market dynamics through an adaptive lens.
🎨Customizable Visual Experience: Features customizable up and down colors for tailored chart analysis.
🔔Real-Time Alerts: Stay informed with instant alerts on indicator changes.
Quick Guide to Using the Adaptive STC Indicator
1. 🔧 Adding the Indicator: Search for "Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) " within TradingView's Indicators & Strategies and apply it to your chart. Customize the settings according to your trading style for optimum results.
2.👀 Market Analysis: Monitor the STC and Histogram values closely. The indicator's color gradients provide a visual representation of momentum shifts, helping you to identify trends more clearly.
3. 🚨 Set Alerts: Enable alerts for specific conditions like significant moves up or down, or when the histogram crosses zero. This feature ensures you never miss a potential trading opportunity.
How It Works:
The Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle by AlgoAlpha introduces a dynamic approach to market analysis, refining traditional indicators through adaptive logic to align with fluctuating market conditions. Here's a concise overview of its operation:
🔄 Adaptive MACD Adjustment: The foundation of the indicator is an enhanced MACD calculation, which dynamically adjusts its parameters based on real-time market trends and momentum. This algorithmic adjustment aims to ensure the MACD's responsiveness to market changes, adapting its sensitivity to offer timely insights .
🌟 Integration of Schaff Trend Cycle (STC): After adjusting the MACD, the indicator calculates STC values to provide a smoothed representation of market trends. By normalizing and smoothing the MACD values on a scale from 0 to 100, the STC method helps in identifying market phases with a clear visualization. The smoothing process is designed to mitigate noise and focus on significant market movements .
📊 Visualization and Alerts: To aid in the interpretation of these insights, the Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle employs color gradients and customizable visual settings to indicate momentum shifts. These visual cues, combined with alert functionalities, are structured to assist traders in monitoring market developments, enabling them to make informed decisions based on the presented data .
🛠️The Adaptive Schaff Trend Cycle thus merges adaptive MACD adjustments with STC methodology, supported by visual and alert features, to create a tool aimed at enhancing market analysis. By focusing on adaptability and current market conditions, it provides a nuanced view of market trends, intended to support traders in their decision-making processes without promising predictive accuracy or reliability .
Pi Cycle Indicators Comparison IndicatorThere are now 3 Pi Cycle Indicators that I am aware of; the original, improved**, and bottom.
This indicator attempts to provide all three indicators in a dingle, easy to view script.
I coded this script to displace the moving averages above and below the price bars for easy viewing. This was accomplished by placing a scaling factor (/# or *#) at the end of the ta.sma or ta.ema functions.
A vertical arrow, purposely posing as a short vertical line, marks the crossing of the long and short MAs for each indicator. These are color coded to match their respective indicators and the long and short MAs are similarly color coded for easy differentiation.
The red colored MAs and arrows above the price line are the Improved Pi-Cycle Top Indicator.
The green colored MAs and arrows below the price line are the Original Pi-Cycle Top Indicator.
The blue colored MAs and arrows below the green lines and price line are the Pi-Cycle Bottom Indicator.
One last feature of the chart is the use of the location function to enable easy comparison of the crossings of each indicator to the indicator itself and to the price. This can be accomplished simply by moving the chart up and down.
**{I should note that while researching this I found that BitcoinMamo turns out to have beat me to the punch on the Improved Indicator Long.Short and Multiplier numbers. He should therefor get the credit for that}
US Macro Cycle (Z-Score Model)US Macro Cycle (Z-Score Model)
This indicator tracks the US economic cycle in real time using a weighted composite of seven macro and market-based indicators, each converted into a rolling Z-score for comparability. The model identifies the current phase of the cycle — Expansion, Peak, Contraction, or Recovery — and suggests sector tilts based on historical performance in each phase.
Core Components:
Yield Curve (10y–2y): Positive & steepening = growth; inverted = slowdown risk.
Credit Spreads (HYG/LQD): Tightening = risk-on; widening = risk-off.
Sector Leadership (Cyclicals vs. Defensives): Measures market leadership regime.
Copper/Gold Ratio: Higher copper = growth signal; higher gold = defensive.
SPY vs. 200-day MA: Equity trend strength.
SPY/IEF Ratio: Stocks vs. bonds relative strength.
VIX (Inverted): Low/falling volatility = supportive; high/rising = risk-off.
Methodology:
Each series is transformed into a rolling Z-score over the selected lookback period (optionally using median/MAD for robustness and winsorization to clip outliers).
Z-scores are combined using user-defined weights and normalized.
The smoothed composite is compared against phase thresholds to classify the macro environment.
Features:
Customizable Weights: Emphasize the indicators most relevant to your strategy.
Adjustable Thresholds: Fine-tune cycle phase definitions.
Background Coloring: Visual cue for the current phase.
Summary Table: Displays composite Z, confidence %, and individual Z-scores.
Alerts: Trigger when the phase changes, with details on the composite score and recommended tilt.
Use Cases:
Align sector rotation or relative strength strategies with the macro backdrop.
Identify favorable or defensive phases for tactical allocation.
Monitor macro turning points to manage portfolio risk.
It's doesn't fill nan gaps so there is quite a bit of zeroes, non-repainting.
Pi Cycle | AlchimistOfCryptoPi Cycle Top Indicator - A Powerful Market Phase Detector
Developed by AlchimistOfCrypto
🧪 The Pi Cycle uses mathematical harmony to identify Bitcoin market cycle tops
with remarkable precision. Just as elements react at specific temperatures,
Bitcoin price behaves predictably when these two moving averages converge! 🧬
⚗️ The formula measures when the 111-day SMA crosses below the 350-day SMA × 2,
creating a perfect alchemical reaction that has successfully identified the
major cycle tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021.
🔬 Like the Golden Ratio in nature, this indicator reveals the hidden
mathematical structure within Bitcoin's chaotic price movements.
🧮 When the reaction occurs, prepare for molecular breakdown! 🔥
Cycle Composite 3.6 WeightedThe Cycle Composite is a multi-factor market cycle model designed to classify long-term market behavior into distinct phases using normalized and weighted data inputs.
It combines ten key on-chain, dominance, volatility, sentiment, and trend-following metrics into a single composite output. The goal is to provide a clearer understanding of where the market may stand in the broader cycle (e.g., accumulation, early bull, late bull, or euphoria).
This version (3.4) introduces flexible weighting, trend strength markers, and additional context-aware signals such as risk-on confirmations and altseason flags.
Phases Identified:
The model categorizes the market into one of five zones:
Euphoria (> 85)
Late Bull (70 – 85)
Mid Bull (50 – 70)
Early Bull (30 – 50)
Fear (< 30)
Each phase is determined by a smoothed EMA of the weighted composite score.
Data Sources and Metrics Used (10 total):
BTC Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D)
Stablecoin Dominance (USDT + USDC average) (inverted for risk-on)
ETH Dominance (CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D)
BBWP (normalized Bollinger Band Width % over 1-year window)
WVF (Williams VIX Fix for volatility spike detection)
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, external source)
CMF (Chaikin Money Flow, smoothed volume accumulation)
CEX Open Interest (custom input from DAO / external source)
Whale Inflows (custom input from whale exchange transfer data)
Google Trends Average (BTC, Crypto, Altcoin terms)
All inputs are normalized over a 200-bar window and combined via weighted averaging, where each weight is user-configurable.
Additional Features:
Phase Labels: Labels are printed only when a new phase is entered.
Bull Continuation Marker: Triangle up when composite makes higher highs and NUPL increases.
Weakening Marker: Triangle down when composite rolls over in Late Bull and NUPL falls.
Risk-On Signal: Green circle appears when CMF and Google Trends are both rising.
Altseason Flag: Orange diamond appears when dominance of "others.d" exceeds BTC.D and ETH.D and composite is above 50.
Background Shading: Each phase is shaded with a semi-transparent background color.
Timeframe-Aware Display: All markers and signals are shown only on weekly timeframe for clarity.
Intended Use:
This script is intended for educational and macro-trend analysis purposes.
It can be used to:
Identify macro cycle position (accumulation, bull phases, euphoria, etc.)
Spot long-term trend continuation or weakening signals
Add context to price action with external on-chain and sentiment data
Time rotation events such as altseason risk
Disclaimer:
This script does not constitute financial advice.
It is intended for informational and research purposes only.
Users should conduct their own due diligence and analysis before making investment decisions.
Seasonality and Presidential cycleAn incredibly useful indicator that shows seasonality and presidential cycles by indices, stocks and industries. Just type in a ticker and trade according to seasonal patterns
Blue line - seasonality excluding presidential cycles
Green line - seasonality taking into account presidential cycles
*Seasonal patterns over the last 10 years
This indicator uses the request.seed() function.
Requests data from a GitHub repository maintained by our team and returns it as a series.
Pine Seeds is a service to import custom data and access it via TradingView.
Use TradingView as frontend and use a GitHub repository as backend.
github.com
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Rus: Невероятно полезный индикатор, который показывает сезонность и президентские циклы по индексам, акциям и отраслям. Просто вбейте тикер и торгуйте согласно сезонным паттернам
Синяя линия - сезонность без учета президентских циклов
Зеленая линия - сезонность с учетом президентских циклов
*Сезонные паттерны за последние 10 лет
Pi Cycle OscillatorThis oscillator combines the Pi Cycle Top indicator with a percentile-based approach to create a more precise and easy to read market timing tool.
Instead of waiting for moving average crossovers, it shows you exactly how close you are to a potential market top.
Orange background means you should start preparing for a potential top and look into taking profits.
Red background means that the crossover has happened on the original Pi Cycle Indicator and that you should have already sold everything. (Crossover of the gray line aka 100)
Thank you
Bollinger Band Width Percentile - The_Caretaker
Pi Cycle Top - megasyl20
Weierstrass Function (Fractal Cycles)THE WEIERSTRASS FUNCTION
f(x) = ∑(n=0)^∞ a^n * cos(b^n * π * x)
The Weierstrass Function is the sum of an infinite series of cosine functions, each with increasing frequency and decreasing amplitude. This creates powerful multi-scale oscillations within the range ⬍(-2;+2), resembling a system of self-repetitive patterns. You can zoom into any part of the output and observe similar proportions, mimicking the hidden order behind the irregularity and unpredictability of financial markets.
IT DOESN’T RELY ON ANY MARKET DATA, AS THE OUTPUT IS BASED PURELY ON A MATHEMATICAL FORMULA!
This script does not provide direct buy or sell signals and should be used as a tool for analyzing the market behavior through fractal geometry. The function is often used to model complex, chaotic systems, including natural phenomena and financial markets.
APPLICATIONS:
Timing Aspect: Identifies the phases of market cycles, helping to keep awareness of frequency of turning points
Price-Modeling features: The Amplitude, frequency, and scaling settings allow the indicator to simulate the trends and oscillations. Its nowhere-differentiable nature aligns with the market's inherent uncertainty. The fractured oscillations resemble sharp jumps, noise, and dips found in volatile markets.
SETTINGS
Amplitude Factor (a): Controls the size of each wave. A higher value makes the waves larger.
Frequency Factor (b): Determines how fast the waves oscillate. A higher value creates more frequent waves.
Ability to Invert the output: Just like any cosine function it starts its journey with a decline, which is not distinctive to the behavior of most assets. The default setting is in "inverted mode".
Scale Factor: Adjusts the speed at which the oscillations grow over time.
Number of Terms (n_terms): Increases the number of waves. More terms add complexity to the pattern.
PCTR - Pi Cycle Top Risk [Logue]Pi-cycle Top Risk (PCTR) - The PCTR indicator uses divergence of the Pi-cycle top indicator display the risk that a macro top in Bitcoin (BTC) is near. The Pi-cycle top indicator is simply the cross of the 111-day moving average above a 2x multiple of the 350-day moving average of the BTC price. While there is no fundamental reasoning behind why this works, it has worked to indicate previous bitcoin tops by taking advantage of the cyclicality of the BTC price and measurement overextension of BTC price. This indicator triggers a top signal when the fast moving average (111-day) crosses above the 2x multiple of the slow moving average (350-day).
What's interesting is the indicator can also signal a bottom when the divergence of the fast moving average is at an extreme versus the slow moving average. The indicator signals a bottom when the fast MA is 66% away from the slow MA value.
Both the top and bottom signals are clearly shown on the chart on a scale from 100 to 0.
Cosmic Pi CycleAn adaptation of the Pi Cycle type indicator that
uses more accurate "pi" moving average periods
allows to adjust the numerator mult
shows cycle bottoms
shows a basis line
can be layered like in the example to create a Pi Cycle Channel
BTC Flow Dashboard : Spot Premium + OI + Funding + Cycle SignalsSpot Premium vs Perpetual Basket (%):
Tracks how aggressively perps are trading relative to spot, a leading indicator of speculative activity and leverage buildup.
Aggregated Open Interest Z-Score:
A normalized view of OI expansion/contraction across major exchanges (Binance, BitMEX, Bybit, Kraken, etc.), highlighting when leverage enters overheated zones.
Composite Funding Rate Analysis:
Calculates a TWAP-smoothed funding composite across major venues, with optional APR scaling, showing where perpetual markets are paying for long or short exposure.
Confluence Signal Engine:
Dynamically flags bullish or bearish market conditions based on premium behavior and leverage environment — including over-leverage warnings that often precede volatility spikes.
Extreme Cycle Tops & Bottoms (Experimental):
Optional signal module that highlights historically significant extremes (e.g., 2020 bottom or 2021 top) based on statistical Z-score thresholds across the three core metrics.
Notes & Tips
Works best on weekly or monthly timeframes for macro cycle analysis.
Daily and 3D views provide short-term leverage context but may produce more frequent signals.
The Extreme Signal Engine is experimental — not a trading signal on its own, but a contextual tool to support macro decision-making.
Pi Cycle Top Indicator - mychaelgoPlots the original Pi Cycle Top moving averages and marks bars where the 111DMA is rising and crosses above the 350DMA×2, often coinciding with Bitcoin cycle peaks. Includes a label with the signal price.
Blockchain Fundamentals: Liquidity Cycle MomentumLiquidity Cycle Momentum Indicator
Overview:
This indicator analyzes global liquidity trends by calculating a unique Liquidity Index and measuring its year-over-year (YoY) percentage change. It then applies a momentum oscillator to the YoY change, providing insights into the cyclical momentum of liquidity. The indicator incorporates a limited historical data workaround to ensure accurate calculations even when the chart’s history is short.
Features Breakdown:
1. Limited Historical Data Workaround
Function: The limit(length) function adjusts the lookback period when there isn’t enough historical data (i.e., near the beginning of the chart), ensuring that calculations do not break due to insufficient data.
2. Global Liquidity Calculation
Data Sources:
TVC:CN10Y (10-year yield from China)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
ECONOMICS:USCBBS (US Central Bank Balance Sheet)
FRED:JPNASSETS (Japanese assets)
ECONOMICS:CNCBBS (Chinese Central Bank Balance Sheet)
FRED:ECBASSETSW (ECB assets)
Calculation Methodology:
A ratio is computed (cn10y / dxy) to adjust for currency influences.
The Liquidity Index is then derived by multiplying this ratio with the sum of the other liquidity components.
3. Year-over-Year (YoY) Percent Change
Computation:
The indicator determines the number of bars that approximately represent one year.
It then compares the current Liquidity Index to its value one year ago, calculating the YoY percentage change.
4. Momentum Oscillator on YoY Change
Oscillator Components:
1. Calculated using the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) applied to the YoY percent change with a user-defined momentum length.
2. A weighted moving average (WMA) that smooths the momentum signal.
3. Overbought and Oversold zones
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the momentum crosses upward from an oversold condition, suggesting a potential upward shift in liquidity momentum.
Sell Signal: Triggered when crosses below an overbought condition, indicating potential downward momentum.
State Management:
The indicator maintains a state variable to avoid repeated signals, ensuring that a new buy or sell signal is only generated when there’s a clear change in momentum.
5. Visual Presentation and Alerts
Plots:
The oscillator value and signalline are plotted for visual analysis.
Overbought and oversold levels are marked with dashed horizontal lines.
Signal Markers:
Buy and sell signals are marked with green and maroon circles, respectively.
Background Coloration:
Optionally, the chart’s background bars are colored (yellow for buy signals and fuchsia for sell signals) to enhance visual cues when signals are triggered.
Conclusion
In summary, the Liquidity Cycle Momentum Indicator provides a robust framework to analyze liquidity trends by combining global liquidity data, YoY changes, and momentum oscillation. This makes it an effective tool for traders and analysts looking to identify cyclical shifts in liquidity conditions and potential turning points in the market.
Pi Cycle Indicator Low and High
The Pi Cycle Indicator is a technical analysis tool used in finance, particularly within cryptocurrency markets, to identify potential market tops or bottoms. It is based on two moving averages: the 111-day moving average and the 350-day moving average of Bitcoin's price. The indicator suggests that when these two moving averages converge or cross each other, it may signal significant market turning points. The name "Pi Cycle" comes from the mathematical relationship between these two moving averages, roughly equivalent to the mathematical constant Pi (3.14). Traders and analysts use this indicator to gauge potential trend reversals and make informed decisions regarding their trading strategies. However, like any technical analysis tool, it should be used in conjunction with other indicators and fundamental analysis for a comprehensive understanding of market conditions.
30MIN CYCLE█ HOW DOES IT WORK?
The known 90 min cycle is used as one killzone. But actually all 18 min are relevant to search for a trade. All 18 min when a new box starts only then is the placement of an order valid. If the entry candle isn't in a box then it will probably fail. The boxes should only be used in the M1 or M5 timeframe. The best hitrate is in the M1 timeframe. Included are the last 48 "Mini-Killzones" für intraday trading and backtesting. These "Mini-Killzones" can be used with the "Liquidity Inducement Strategy".
█ WHAT MAKES IT UNIQUE?
This is the first indicator on tradingview that shows all mini-killzones for trading and backtesting a whole tradingday. The well-known killzones of ICT are from 08:00-11:00 and 14:00 - 17:00 (UTC+1) but with this indicator there is finally a refinement of the ICT Smart Money Concept killzones.
█ HOW TO USE IT?
For a proper use of this indicator we suggest to know already at least SMC or better Liquidity Indcuement Trading. This indicator is a further confluence before placing an order. After you made your setup you will have these mini-killzones as a confluence. We don't suggest to open a trade only according to this indicator.
█ ADDITIONAL INFO
This indicator is free to use for all tradingview users.
█ DISCLAIMER
This is not financial advice.
