True Strength Index with Zones & AlertsKey Features:
True Strength Index (TSI) Calculation
Uses double-smoothed exponential moving averages (EMA) to calculate TSI.
A signal line (EMA of TSI) helps confirm trends.
Dynamic Color Coding for TSI Line
Green: TSI is above the signal line (Bullish).
Red: TSI is below the signal line (Bearish).
Crossover & Crossunder Signals
Bullish Crossover (TSI crosses above Signal Line) → Green Circle.
Bearish Crossunder (TSI crosses below Signal Line) → Red Circle.
Alerts for Trading Signals
Buy Alert: TSI crosses above the signal line.
Sell Alert: TSI crosses below the signal line.
Overbought & Oversold Zones
Overbought: Between 40 and 50 (Red Zone).
Oversold: Between -40 and -50 (Green Zone).
Highlighted Background when TSI enters these zones.
Neutral Line at 0
Helps determine trend direction and momentum shifts.
How to Use These Values:
• TSI Crosses Above Signal Line → Bullish entry.
• TSI Crosses Below Signal Line → Bearish entry.
• Overbought (+40 to +50) & Oversold (-40 to -50) zones → Watch for trend reversals.
• Divergence Signals → If price makes a new high/low but TSI doesn’t, momentum is weakening.
חפש סקריפטים עבור "entry"
DIN: Dynamic Trend NavigatorDIN: Dynamic Trend Navigator
Overview
The Dynamic Trend Navigator script is designed to help traders identify and capitalize on market trends using a combination of Weighted Moving Averages (WMA), Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP), and Anchored VWAP (AVWAP). The script provides customizable settings and flexible alerts for various crossover conditions, enhancing its utility for different trading strategies.
Key Features
- **1st and 2nd WMA**: Allows users to set and visualize two Weighted Moving Averages. These can be customized to any period, providing flexibility in trend identification.
- **VWAP and AVWAP**: Incorporates both VWAP and AVWAP, offering insights into price levels adjusted by volume.
- **ATR and ADX Indicators**: Includes the Average True Range (ATR) and Average Directional Index (ADX) to help assess market volatility and trend strength.
- **Flexible Alerts**: Configurable buy and sell alerts for any crossover condition, making it versatile for various trading strategies.
How to Use the Script
1. **Set the WMA Periods**: Customize the periods for the 1st and 2nd WMAs to suit your trading strategy.
2. **Enable VWAP and AVWAP**: Choose whether to include VWAP and AVWAP in your analysis by enabling the respective settings.
3. **Configure Alerts**: Set up alerts for the desired crossover conditions (WMA, VWAP, AVWAP) to receive notifications for potential trading opportunities.
4. **Monitor Signals**: Watch for buy and sell signals indicated by triangle shapes on the chart, which appear at the selected crossover points.
When to Use
- **Best Time to Use**: The script is most effective in trending markets where price movements are well-defined. It helps traders stay on the right side of the trend and avoid false signals during periods of low volatility.
- **When Not to Use**: Avoid using the script in choppy or sideways markets where price action lacks direction. The script may generate false signals in such conditions, leading to potential losses.
Benefits of VWAP and AVWAP
- **VWAP**: The Volume Weighted Average Price provides a price benchmark that adjusts for volume, helping traders identify fair value levels. It is particularly useful for intraday trading and gauging market sentiment.
- **AVWAP**: The Anchored VWAP allows traders to set a starting point for VWAP calculations, providing flexibility in analyzing price levels over specific periods or events. This helps in identifying key support and resistance levels based on volume.
Unique Aspects
- **Customizability**: The script offers extensive customization options for WMA periods, VWAP, AVWAP, and alert conditions, making it adaptable to various trading strategies.
- **Combining Indicators**: By integrating WMAs, VWAP, AVWAP, ATR, and ADX, the script provides a comprehensive view of market conditions, enhancing decision-making.
- **Real-Time Alerts**: The flexible alert system ensures traders receive timely notifications for potential trade setups, improving responsiveness to market changes.
Examples
- **Example 1**: A trader sets the 1st WMA to 8 and the 2nd WMA to 100, enabling the VWAP. When the 1st WMA crosses above the 2nd WMA or VWAP, a buy signal is triggered, indicating a potential long entry.
- **Example 2**: A trader sets the AVWAP to start 30 bars ago and monitors for crossovers with the 1st WMA. When the 1st WMA crosses below the AVWAP, a sell signal is triggered, suggesting a potential short entry.
Final Notes
The Dynamic Trend Navigator script is a powerful tool for traders looking to enhance their market analysis and trading decisions. Its unique combination of customizable indicators and flexible alert system sets it apart from other scripts, making it a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit.
Disclaimer: Never any financial advice. Just ThisGirl loving experimenting with indicators to help myself, as well as others.
LiquidFusion SignalPro [CHE] LiquidFusion SignalPro – Indicator Overview
The LiquidFusion SignalPro is a powerful and sophisticated TradingView indicator designed to identify high-quality trade entries and exits. By combining seven unique sub-indicators, it provides comprehensive market analysis, ensuring traders can make informed decisions. This tool is suitable for all market conditions and supports customization to fit individual trading strategies.
Key Components (Sub-Indicators):
1. RPM (Relative Price Momentum):
- Measures cumulative price momentum over a specified period.
- Provides insights into price strength and directional bias.
- Input Customization:
- Source: Data for momentum calculation.
- Period: Length for momentum measurement.
- Resolution: Timeframe for data fetching.
2. BBO (Bull-Bear Oscillator):
- Calculates the strength of bullish or bearish momentum based on price movement and RSI conditions.
- Uses a super-smoothing technique for reliable signals.
- Customizable parameters include the oscillator's period and repainting options.
3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
- A classic momentum indicator for trend direction and strength.
- Provides buy/sell signals based on the crossover of the MACD line and signal line.
- Input Customization:
- Fast/Slow EMA Periods.
- Signal Line Period.
- Resolution and Source Data.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- Tracks overbought and oversold conditions.
- A key tool to validate trend continuation or reversals.
- Customizable period, resolution, and source.
5. CCI (Commodity Channel Index):
- Measures the deviation of price from its average.
- Useful for identifying cyclical trends.
- Input Customization includes period, resolution, and source.
6. Stochastic Oscillator:
- Indicates momentum by comparing closing prices to a range of highs and lows.
- Includes smoothing factors for %K and %D lines.
- Customizable parameters:
- %K Length and Smoothing.
- Resolution and Repainting Options.
7. Supertrend:
- A trailing stop-and-reverse system for trend-following strategies.
- Excellent for identifying strong trends and potential reversals.
- Inputs include the multiplier factor and period for ATR-like calculations.
Inputs Overview:
The indicator supports extensive customization for each sub-indicator, grouped under intuitive categories:
- Color Settings: Define bullish and bearish plot colors.
- RPM, BBO, MACD, RSI, CCI, Stochastic, and Supertrend Settings: Tailor each sub-indicator's behavior with adjustable parameters.
- UI Options: Toggle features such as bar coloring, indicator names, and plotted candles.
Trade Signals:
- Long Signal:
- All indicators align in a bullish state:
- RPM > 0, MACD > 0, RSI > 50, Stochastic > 50, CCI > 0, BBO > 0, Supertrend below price.
- Plot: Green triangle below the candle.
- Alert: Notifies the trader of a potential long entry.
- Short Signal:
- All indicators align in a bearish state:
- RPM < 0, MACD < 0, RSI < 50, Stochastic < 50, CCI < 0, BBO < 0, Supertrend above price.
- Plot: Red triangle above the candle.
- Alert: Notifies the trader of a potential short entry.
Features:
- Enhanced Visuals: Plots sub-indicator statuses using labels and color-coded shapes for clarity.
- Alerts: Integrated alert conditions for both long and short trades.
- Bar Coloring: Provides overall trend bias with green (bullish), red (bearish), or gray (neutral) bars.
- Customizable Table: Displays the indicator's status in the chart’s top-right corner.
Trading Benefits:
The LiquidFusion SignalPro excels in generating high-quality entries and exits by:
- Reducing noise through multiple indicator alignment.
- Supporting multiple timeframes and resolutions for flexibility.
- Offering customizable inputs for personalized trading strategies.
Use this tool to enhance your market analysis and improve your trading performance.
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
This indicator is inspired by the Super 6x Indicators: RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Loxxer, CCI, and Velocity . A special thanks to Loxx for their relentless effort, creativity, and contributions to the TradingView community, which served as a foundation for this work.
Happy trading and best regards
Chervolino
Parabolic SAR Crosses_AITIndicator Name: Parabolic SAR Crosses_AIT
Purpose:
This indicator utilizes the Parabolic SAR to track price trends and generate buy (long) and sell (short) signals when the price crosses the Parabolic SAR line. The indicator is designed to help traders identify trend direction and potential trend reversals on the price chart.
Indicator Overview:
Indicator Parameters:
Parabolic SAR: The default settings for the Parabolic SAR are:
Step: 0.02
Maximum: 0.2 These values can be adjusted by the user to control the sensitivity of the SAR.
Signal Conditions:
Buy Signal (Long): A buy signal is generated when the price crosses above the Parabolic SAR line.
Sell Signal (Short): A sell signal is generated when the price crosses below the Parabolic SAR line.
How It Works:
Buy Signal:
When the price crosses above the Parabolic SAR line, it indicates a potential upward trend. A yellow triangle (L) will appear below the price bar, signaling a possible long entry.
Sell Signal:
When the price crosses below the Parabolic SAR line, it indicates a potential downward trend. A fuchsia triangle (S) will appear above the price bar, signaling a possible short entry.
Trend Detection:
Green Line: Indicates that the Parabolic SAR is below the price, suggesting an uptrend.
Red Line: Indicates that the Parabolic SAR is above the price, suggesting a downtrend.
Trend Reversal:
A trend reversal occurs when the Parabolic SAR switches positions relative to the price. This can be used to exit positions or enter positions in the opposite direction.
Customization:
Step Size: The step parameter controls how sensitive the Parabolic SAR is to price changes. A smaller step value (e.g., 0.01) makes the SAR less sensitive, while a larger step value (e.g., 0.05) makes it more sensitive.
Maximum: The maximum value defines the upper limit for the acceleration factor in the SAR calculation. A higher value allows the SAR to track the price more closely, while a lower value smooths the trend.
Visual Representation:
The Parabolic SAR line is plotted directly on the price chart as a solid line, using the appropriate colors (green or red) depending on the trend direction.
Long signals are indicated by small yellow triangles (L) below the price.
Short signals are indicated by small fuchsia triangles (S) above the price.
Usage Tips:
Combining with Other Indicators: While Parabolic SAR is a great tool for identifying trend direction, it may produce false signals in ranging or sideways markets. Combining this indicator with other trend confirmation tools, such as moving averages or the MACD, can improve its reliability.
Adjusting the Step and Maximum Values: In highly volatile markets, it might be useful to reduce the step value to avoid false signals. In more stable, trending markets, increasing the step value can make the SAR more responsive.
Position Management: Parabolic SAR can be used not only to enter trades but also to manage existing positions by acting as a trailing stop-loss. You can use the SAR value as a dynamic stop-loss level, adjusting it as the trend progresses.
Conclusion:
The Parabolic SAR Crosses_AIT indicator helps traders visually identify trend directions and possible trend reversals by plotting the Parabolic SAR directly on the price chart. With customizable settings for sensitivity and signals that indicate long or short positions, this indicator provides a clear and effective method to manage trades based on trend-following strategies.
Enhanced BOS Strategy with SL/TP and EMA TableDescription:
The Enhanced BOS (Break of Structure) Strategy is an advanced open-source trading indicator designed to identify key market structure changes, integrated with dynamic Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels, along with an informative EMA (Exponential Moving Average) table for added trend analysis.
Key Features:
Break of Structure (BOS) Detection:
The script detects bullish and bearish BOS by identifying pivot points using a custom pivot period. When the price crosses above or below these points, it signals a potential market trend reversal or continuation.
Dynamic SL/TP Levels:
Users can toggle static SL/TP settings, which automatically calculate levels based on user-defined points. These levels are visualized on the chart with dotted lines and labeled for clarity.
Volume Filters:
The strategy includes a volume condition filter to ensure that only trades within a specified volume range are considered. This helps in avoiding low-volume trades that might lead to false signals.
EMA Table Display:
An on-chart table displaying the current values of the 13-period, 50-period, and 200-period EMAs. This provides a quick reference for trend identification and confirmation, helping traders to stay aligned with the broader market trend.
How It Works:
The script utilizes a combination of moving averages and pivot points to identify potential breakouts or breakdowns in market structure. When a bullish BOS is detected, and the volume conditions are met, the strategy suggests a long position, marking potential SL/TP levels. Similarly, it suggests short positions for bearish BOS.
The EMA table serves as a visual aid, providing real-time updates of the EMA values, allowing traders to gauge the market’s directional bias quickly.
How to Use:
Setting Parameters:
Adjust the pivot period to fine-tune BOS detection according to your trading style and the asset’s volatility.
Configure the SL/TP settings based on your risk tolerance and target profit levels.
Interpreting Signals:
A “Buy” label on the chart indicates a bullish BOS with volume confirmation, signaling a potential long entry.
A “Sell” label indicates a bearish BOS with volume confirmation, signaling a potential short entry.
The EMA table aids in confirming these signals, where the position of the fast, mid, and slow EMAs can provide additional context to the trend’s strength and direction.
Volume Filtering:
Ensure your trades are filtered through the script’s volume condition, which allows for the exclusion of low-volume periods that might generate unreliable signals.
Unique Value:
Unlike many other BOS strategies, this script integrates volume conditions and a visual EMA table, providing a comprehensive toolkit for traders looking to capture market structure shifts while maintaining an eye on trend direction and trade execution precision.
Additional Information:
This script is designed for use on standard bar or candlestick charts for best results.
It is open-source and free to use, encouraging collaboration and improvement by the TradingView community.
By combining powerful trend-following EMAs with the precision of BOS detection and the safety of volume filtering, the Enhanced BOS Strategy offers a balanced approach to trading market structure changes.
Alxuse Stochastic RSI for tutorial All abilities of Stochastic RSI, moreover :
Drawing upper band and lower band & the ability to change values, change colors, turn on/off show.
Crossing K line and D line in multi timeframe & there are symbols (Circles) with green color (Buy) and red color (Sell) & the ability to change colors, turn on/off show.
Crossing K line and D line in multi timeframe according to the values of upper band and lower band & there are symbols (Triangles) with green color (Long) and red color (Short) & the ability to change colors, turn on/off show.
The ability used in the alert section and create customized alerts.
To receive valid alerts the replay section , the timeframe of the chart must be the same as the timeframe of the indicator.
Stochastic RSI (STOCH RSI)
Definition
The Stochastic RSI indicator (Stoch RSI) is essentially an indicator of an indicator. It is used in technical analysis to provide a stochastic calculation to the RSI indicator. This means that it is a measure of RSI relative to its own high/low range over a user defined period of time. The Stochastic RSI is an oscillator that calculates a value between 0 and 1 which is then plotted as a line. This indicator is primarily used for identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
The basics
It is important to remember that the Stoch RSI is an indicator of an indicator making it two steps away from price. RSI is one step away from price and therefore a stochastic calculation of the RSI is two steps away. This is important because as with any indicator that is multiple steps away from price, Stoch RSI can have brief disconnects from actual price movement. That being said, as a range bound indicator, the Stoch RSI's primary function is identifying crossovers as well as overbought and oversold conditions.
The basics
It is important to remember that the Stoch RSI is an indicator of an indicator making it two steps away from price. RSI is one step away from price and therefore a stochastic calculation of the RSI is two steps away. This is important because as with any indicator that is multiple steps away from price, Stoch RSI can have brief disconnects from actual price movement. That being said, as a range bound indicator, the Stoch RSI's primary function is identifying crossovers as well as overbought and oversold conditions.
Overbought/Oversold
Overbought and Oversold conditions are traditionally different than the RSI. While RSI overbought and oversold conditions are traditionally set at 70 for overbought and 30 for oversold, Stoch RSI are typically .80 and .20 respectively. When using the Stoch RSI, overbought and oversold work best when trading along with the underlying trend.
During an uptrend, look for oversold conditions for points of entry.
During a downtrend, look for overbought conditions for points of entry.
Summary
When using Stoch RSI in technical analysis, a trader should be careful. By adding the Stochastic calculation to RSI, speed is greatly increased. This can generate many more signals and therefore more bad signals as well as the good ones. Stoch RSI needs to be combined with additional tools or indicators in order to be at its most effective. Using trend lines or basic chart pattern analysis can help to identify major, underlying trends and increase the Stoch RSI's accuracy. Using Stoch RSI to make trades that go against the underlying trend is a dangerous proposition.
The added features to the indicator are made for training, it is advisable to use it with caution in tradings.
Stock Tech Bot One ViewTechnical indicators are not limited. Hence, here is another indicator with the combination of OBV, RSI, and MACD along with support, and resistance that follows the price while honoring the moving average of 200, 90 & 50.
The default lookback period of this indicator is 21 though it is changeable as per the user's desire.
The highest high and lowest low for the last 21 days lookback period proven to be the perfect Support & Resistance as the price of particular stock values are decided by market psychology. The support and resistance lines are very important to understand the market psychology which is very well proven with price action patterns and the lines are drawn based on,
Lower Extreme = 0.1 (Changeable)
Maximum Range = 21 days highest high - 21 days lowest low.
Support Line = 21 days lowest low + (Maximum Range * Lower Extreme)
Resistance Line = 21 days highest high - (Maximum Range * Lower Extreme)
RSI - Relative strength indicator is very famous to find the market momentum within the range of 0 - 100. Though the lookback period is changeable, the 14 days lookback period is the perfect match as the momentum of market movement for the last 3 weeks will always assist to identify the market regime. Here the momentum is just to highlight the indication (green up arrow under the candle for long and red down arrow above the candle for short) of market movement though it is not very important to consider if the price of the stock respect the support & resistance lines along with volume indicator (* = violet color).
OBV - Momentum:
The on-balance volume is always going indicator on any kind of tickers, which helps to identify the buying interest. Now, applying momentum on OBV with the positive movement for at least two consecutive days gives perfect confirmation for entry. A combination of the price along with this momentum(OBV) in the chart will help us to know the whipsaw in the price.
The Symbol "*" on top of each bar shows the market interest in that particular stock. If your ticker is fundamentally strong then you can see this "*" even when the market falls.
MACD:
One of the favorites and simple indicators widely used, where the thump of the rule is not to change the length even if it is allowed. It's OK to believe blindly in certain indicator and consider it while trading. That's why the indicator changes the bar color by following the MACD histogram.
Volume:
It may be the OBV works based on the open price and close price along with volume movement, it is wise to have the volume that is plotted along with price movement that should help you to decide whether the market is greedy or fearful.
The symbol "-" on top of each bar tells you a lot and don't ignore it.
Moving Average:
Moving average is a very good trend indicator as everyone considers seeing along with the price in the chart which is not omitted while we gauge the price movement alone with volume in this indicator. The 200, 90 & 50 MA's are everyone's favorite, and the same is plotted on the chart.
As explained above, the combination of all four indicators with price movement will give us very good confidence to take entry.
Candlestick Pattern:
You should admire the techniques of the candlestick pattern as you navigate the chart from right to left. Though there are a lot of patterns that exist, it is easy to enable and disable to view the signal as the label.
Further, last but not least, the exit always depends on individual conviction and how often the individual watch the price movement, if your conviction is strong then follow the down arrow red indication. If not, then exit with a trailing stop that indicates the bar with orange color.
Happy investing
Note: It is just a combination of multiple indicators and patterns to get one holistic view. So, the credit goes to all wise developers who publically published.
+ Donchian ChannelsThis version of Donchian Channels uses two source options so that one can create a channel using highs and lows rather than one or the other or closes. My thinking was that this would create a more accurate portrayal of price action (or at least contain the greatest scope of it) as seen through the lens of a Donchian Channel. This was actually part of the genesis of my idea around my Ultimate Moving Average.
Besides the single top and bottom plot for the DC's extremities, I've enabled the ability to create outer bands with a variable width that the user can adjust to their preference. I think it's quite nice. I use it in the DC in my other non-overlay indicators.
Besides this additional functionality, the indicator has options to plot lines between the basis and the upper and lower bands, so, basically, splitting the upper and lower channel in half.
There is no magic number to the lookback. I chose 233 as default because it's a fibonacci sequence number and I'm more interested in using the DC like a very long period bias indicator, and the longer lookback gives a much wider window (because highs and lows are so spread apart) with which other faster indicators (supertrend, shorter period moving averages, etc.) can work without making the screen a clutter.
The color of the basis may also be made relevant to higher timeframe information. What I mean by this is that you can set it so that the basis of the current timeframe is colored based on the candle close of the higher timeframe of your choosing. If you're looking at an hourly chart, and you set the color to Daily, the basis will be colored based on the candle close (above or below the basis) of the previous day. If the previous daily close was above the basis, that positive color will be reflected in the basis, even if the current hourly candle closes are below the hourly basis. This could potentially be useful for setting a higher timeframe directional bias and reacting off price crossing the lower timeframe basis (or whatever your trigger for entering a trade might be). This is also optional in my Ultimate Moving Average indicator.
You can also set the entire indicator to whatever time frame you want if you want to see where the actual basis, or other levels are on that higher timeframe.
Further additions include fibonacci retracement levels. These are calculated off the high and the low of the Donchian Channels themselves.
You will see that there are only three retracement levels (.786, .705, .382), one of which is not a fib level, but what some people call the 'OTE,' or optimal trade entry. If you want more info on the OTE just web search it. So, why no .618 or .236? Reason being that the .618 overlaps the .382, and the .236 is extremely close to the .786. This sounds confusing, but the retracement levels I'm using are derived from the high and low, so it was unnecessary to have all five levels from each. I could have just calculated from the high, or just from the low, and used all the levels, but I chose to just calculate three levels from the high and three from the low because that gives a sort of mirror image balance, and that appeals to me, and the utility of the indicator is the same.
The plot lines are all colored, and I've filled certain zones between them. There is a center zone filled between both .382 levels, and an upper and lower zone filled between the .786 and either the high or the low.
If you like the colored zones, but don't like the plots because they cause screen compression, turn off the plots under the "style" tab.
There are alerts for candle closes across every line.
I should state that, regarding the fibs, obviously the length of the Channels is going to affect to what levels price retraces to. A shorter lookback means you will see more changes in highs and lows, and therefore retraces are often going to be full retraces within the bands unless price is trending hard. A longer lookback means you will see smaller retraces. Using this in conjunction with key high timeframe levels and/or a moving average can give great confidence in a trade entry. Additionally, if you have a short bias it may help in finding levels or entering a trade on a pullback. It could also be good for trade targets. But again, the lookback you choose for this indicator is going to dictate its use in the system you're building or already have. A 9 EMA and a 200 EMA, while fundamentally the same, are going to be used somewhat differently while doing your chart analysis.
Additional images below.
Same image as main, but with supertrend and my +UMA to help with chart analysis.
Image with the fib stuff turned on.
Zoomed out image with the same.
Shorter lookback period.
Zoomed in image of shorter lookback.
Vortex HeikinThis indicator use macd crossover plus vortex and heikin candle to find the best spot entry.
There a lot to improve if you want, it's only a starting point.
You can change Vortex indicator with ADX indicator to find a better spot, but there could be more false entry.
[JL] High-Low Five LayersI just want to setup alert easily so I made this script.
Display five layers from highest to lowest.
Default length is 120. When on hour chart it is the whole week.
For up trend, always below 40% to entry.
For dn trend, always above 60% to entry.
EBB & Flow: a multi-EMA-based BB cloudIntro
This is an idea evolved out of the market maker method and EMA convergence, divergence, and mean reversion.
The market maker method informs us that the 5, 13, 50 and 200 EMAs are important to regulating price. Those EMA lengths are multiples of the 50 and 200 on lower major timeframes -- the 1 minute, 5, 15, 1H, 4H, 1D. I include the 21 because it is also a multiple and in crypto very often respected.
When market makers are testing price, they set their range and spike in the direction they test for liquidity. This can get chaotic. For instance, in a shorter time frame consolidation inside a bigger timeframe uptrend, it can be too easy to forget where you are in the many trends playing out.
When the EMAs are dragged over each other during normal price movement, you get these crisscrossing tracks of price, and the individual breaks can be hard to trace.
The range is what matters, ultimately, and the range is dynamic. In that case, the Bollinger Band is a great tool for detecting outliers in this case.
The Answer
So the answer this indicator seeks to give, is to look for outliers. This gives you a scalping strategy built on Traders Reality thinking and best put together with the PVSRA indicator, which I may include in this indicator just for the sake of concision, but they can work alongside each other or separately.
The key thing is the different EMA clouds, which are bollinger bands. Tight bands mean imminent breaks, favouring the trend. Vector candles out of a zone, pins to the low/high, etc. are all very relevant alongside this indicator.
You can also use it on its own and scalp the breaks of a cloud.
How it works
Each cloud is a standard deviation from their respective EMA, all in the same colour. The deviation multiple is 1.618 by default. Yes, fibonacci sequences are usually nonsense, but it works better with the BB than 2, 2.5 or 3.
Using just the clouds, you can see where each EMA is headed and how it behaves within the deviation of the others.
But that on its own isn't enough.
The indicator will also print snowflakes above and below the candle for notable outliers. It will be in the colour of the cloud it breaks, but only if that break is also breaking the smaller EMA clouds too.
The most snowflakes will be yellow because that's the 13 EMA. That one is dependent on nothing else and every break will print a snowflake. The 21 will be dependent on the 13. The 50 dependent on the 13 and 21 breaks. The 200 the most important.
For example, if the 200 EMA-BB or EBB is broken at the upper band, deviating by more than 162% of price over a 200 period EMA, and that break is not above the 50 EMA cloud, there will be no snowflake. However, if it exceeds the 13, 21, 50, and 200 clouds, then a purple snowflake will appear above the bar.
Any snowflake is an extreme in price. The purple is an especially good point of entry. That doesn't mean it is a perfect entry. You can build position from it, though, and be relatively certain of a price correction in the near future, because not only was this major EMA cloud violated, but all of the smaller ones too.
Reminder
You still need your PVSRA and candlesticks. This indicator on its own may have a nice hit rate for scalping and building position, as an alternative to the TDI or alongside it, but it is not enough on its own, just like the TDI.
Enjoy!
ScalpyScalpy is made up of a 2 main parts.
- The cloud comprising of a 10 period SMA and a 30 period SMA.
- When the cloud is green you should be looking for long entries.
- When the cloud is red you should be looking for short entries.
- Price is most bullish above a green cloud and most bearish below a red cloud.
- Being within the cloud indicates indecision.
The blue and white lines on the indicator show the relationship between price and momentum.
They can be used to spot reversals in two ways:
- The first is a divergence between price (blue line) and RSI (white line)
- If the price makes a lower low but the RSI makes a higher low this shows the trend is weakening and may be reversing soon (as can be seen by the two yellow lines on the chart).
The second is a simple crossover:
- When the white line crosses the blue line to the upside this signals a long entry.
- When the white line crosses the blue line to the downside this signals a short entry.
Hoffman A/D BreakoutStudy based on Rob Hoffman's Accumulation/Distribution Breakout strategy.
- Green circle on the top wick indicates a "Distribution" wick
- Red circle on the bottom wick indicates an "Accumulation" wick
- A distribution wick in an uptrend gets marked as a Key Resistance. This is marked with green crosses
- An Accumulation wick in a downtrend gets marked as a Key Support. This is marked with red crosses
- Breaking above the Key Resistance indicates a buy entry. This is marked by a green background.
- Breaking below the Key Support indicates a sell entry. This is marked by a red background
Support and Resistance Breakout Signals [MarkitTick]💡 This indicator provides a comprehensive, automated system for identifying, tracking, and trading Support and Resistance (S/R) breakouts. By synthesizing classic Swing High and Swing Low pivot analysis with Multi-Timeframe (HTF) capabilities and Volume confirmation, it transforms raw price action into actionable structural data. It is designed to declutter charts by automatically managing active levels and highlighting significant market structure shifts (Higher Highs, Lower Lows) alongside verified breakout signals.
✨ Originality and Utility
While many indicators draw static pivot points, this tool distinguishes itself through "State Management." It treats Support and Resistance not just as historical markers, but as active zones that evolve.
Dynamic Level Management: Instead of flooding the chart with infinite lines, the script uses arrays to store a specific number of recent levels. As price action progresses, invalid or broken levels are removed or updated, keeping the analysis focused on current relevance.
Multi-Timeframe Confluence: Uniquely, it allows you to overlay higher timeframe support and resistance levels (e.g., Daily levels on a 4-hours chart) without changing your chart view, enabling top-down analysis instantly.
Market Structure Labeling: It automatically tags pivot points with Dow Theory labels (HH, LH, LL, HL), aiding traders in instantly recognizing trend direction without manual charting.
🔬 Methodology and Concepts
The script operates on three core technical pillars:
● Swing Pivot Detection
The foundation is the detection of local extrema using a "Left/Right" bar lookback mechanism. A Swing High is identified when a high is greater than the L bars preceding it and the R bars following it. This confirms a fractal peak or valley.
Note on Confirmation: Because the script waits for R bars to close to confirm a pivot, the lines appear retroactively. However, the extension of these lines and subsequent breakout signals occur in real-time.
● Breakout Logic with Volume Integration
A breakout is triggered when the Close price crosses an active S/R line.
Resistance Break: Current Close > Resistance Level (and Previous Close ≤ Level).
Support Break: Current Close < Support Level (and Previous Close ≥ Level).
Volume Confirmation: An optional filter requires the breakout bar's volume to exceed a Moving Average of volume, ensuring momentum backs the move.
● Time Decay
To mimic the reduced relevance of stale levels, the script includes a "Time Decay" feature. If a level is not interacted with for a user-defined number of bars, it is automatically purged from the system, ensuring the chart reflects only fresh interest levels.
🎨 Visual Guide
The indicator uses a specific color-coding and labeling system to convey information quickly:
● Support & Resistance Lines
Red Lines (Thin): Represent active Resistance levels on the current timeframe.
Green Lines (Thin): Represent active Support levels on the current timeframe.
Fuchsia Lines (Thick): Represent Higher Timeframe (HTF) Resistance levels.
Aqua Lines (Thick): Represent Higher Timeframe (HTF) Support levels.
● Market Structure Labels
Located at the pivot points, these text labels define the trend structure:
HH / LH: Higher High / Lower High (Red Text).
LL / HL: Lower Low / Higher Low (Green/Aqua Text).
HTF-R / HTF-S: Indicates major structural pivots from the higher timeframe.
● Breakout Signals
When a valid break occurs, a label appears above or below the bar:
Blue Triangle Up (▲): Bullish breakout through resistance.
Blue Triangle Down (▼): Bearish breakout through support.
Number in Label: Indicates the cumulative count of breaks for that specific trend sequence (e.g., "1" is the first break, "2" is the second).
The breakout count represents the intensity of the move. A reading greater than 1 signals exceptional market strength, indicating the penetration of multiple Key Levels (Support or Resistance) within a single candle.
📖 How to Use
Trend Continuation: In an uptrend (sequence of HH/HL), wait for a Blue Triangle Up (▲) occurring at a Red Resistance line. This signals the continuation of the trend.
Trend Reversal: Watch for a "Structure Break." If price is making Higher Highs, but then breaks a Green Support line (generating a ▼ signal) and forms a Lower Low (LL), the trend may be reversing.
HTF "Bounce" Plays: Use the thick Fuchsia/Aqua lines as major zones. If price approaches a thick Aqua line (HTF Support) and fails to break it, look for LTF bullish structure (HH/HL) to form for an entry.
Volume Filtering: Enable the "Volume Confirmation" setting to filter out "fakeouts" (breaks on low volume).
⚙️ Inputs and Settings
● Swing Settings
Left/Right Bars: Determines the sensitivity of the pivot detection. Higher numbers = fewer, more significant pivots.
Max Stored Levels: How many S/R lines to keep in memory at once.
Max Break Labels: Limits visual clutter by capping the number of signal labels.
● Usability & HTF
Enable Time Decay: If true, deletes lines that are older than "Decay Period" bars.
Enable HTF Levels: Toggles the display of higher timeframe pivots.
HTF Timeframe: Select the specific timeframe for the macro view (e.g., "D" for Daily).
● Analysis
Volume Confirmation: Toggles the requirement for volume to be above its average for a signal to fire.
Show Market Structure: Toggles the HH/LL text labels.
🔍 Deconstruction of the Underlying Scientific and Academic Framework
The script's logic is rooted in Fractal Geometry and Auction Market Theory .
● Mandelbrot's Fractals: The use of `leftBars` and `rightBars` is a direct application of identifying market fractals. Markets are self-similar across timeframes; a pivot on a 5-minute chart is structurally identical to one on a Weekly chart. This script exploits this property by allowing nested timeframe analysis (LTF inside HTF).
● Memory of Price (Behavioral Finance): Support and resistance lines represent zones where market participants have previously established value (Price Memory). The "Breakout" signal is mathematically significant because it represents a shift in the supply/demand equilibrium. When price closes beyond a stored array value (the pivot price), it signifies that the aggressive limit orders that created the pivot have been exhausted or withdrawn, validating a new search for value.
⚠️ Disclaimer
All provided scripts and indicators are strictly for educational exploration and must not be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to execute trades. I expressly disclaim all liability for any financial losses or damages that may result, directly or indirectly, from the reliance on or application of these tools. Market participation carries inherent risk where past performance never guarantees future returns, leaving all investment decisions and due diligence solely at your own discretion.
RSI Fibonacci Flow [JOAT]RSI Fibonacci Flow - Advanced Fibonacci Retracement with RSI Confluence
Introduction
RSI Fibonacci Flow is an open-source overlay indicator that combines automatic Fibonacci retracement levels with RSI momentum analysis to identify high-probability trading zones. The indicator automatically detects swing highs and lows, draws Fibonacci levels, and generates confluence signals when RSI conditions align with key Fibonacci zones.
This indicator is designed for traders who use Fibonacci retracements but want additional confirmation from momentum analysis before entering trades.
Originality and Purpose
This indicator is NOT a simple mashup of RSI and Fibonacci tools. It is an original implementation that creates a synergistic relationship between two complementary analysis methods:
Why Combine RSI with Fibonacci? Fibonacci retracements identify WHERE price might reverse, but they don't tell you WHEN. RSI provides the timing component by showing momentum exhaustion. When price reaches the Golden Zone (50%-61.8%) AND RSI shows oversold conditions, the probability of a successful bounce increases significantly.
Original Confluence Scoring System: The indicator calculates a 0-5 confluence score that weights multiple factors: Golden Zone presence (+2), entry zone presence (+1), RSI extreme alignment (+1), RSI divergence (+1), and strong RSI momentum (+1). This scoring system is original to this indicator.
Automatic Pivot Detection: Unlike manual Fibonacci tools, this indicator automatically detects swing highs and lows using a configurable pivot algorithm, then draws Fibonacci levels accordingly. The pivot detection uses a center-bar comparison method that checks if a bar's high/low is the highest/lowest within the specified depth on both sides.
Dynamic Trend Awareness: The indicator determines trend direction based on pivot sequence (last pivot was high or low) and adjusts Fibonacci orientation accordingly. In uptrends, 0% is at swing low; in downtrends, 0% is at swing high.
Each component serves a specific purpose:
Fibonacci levels identify potential reversal zones based on natural price ratios
RSI provides momentum context to filter out low-probability setups
Confluence scoring quantifies setup quality for position sizing decisions
Automatic pivot detection removes subjectivity from level placement
Core Concept: RSI-Fibonacci Confluence
The most powerful trading setups occur when multiple factors align. RSI Fibonacci Flow identifies these moments by:
Automatically detecting price pivots and drawing Fibonacci levels
Tracking which Fibonacci zone the current price occupies
Monitoring RSI for overbought/oversold conditions
Generating signals when RSI extremes coincide with key Fibonacci levels
Scoring confluence strength on a 0-5 scale
When price reaches the Golden Zone (50%-61.8%) while RSI shows oversold conditions in an uptrend, the probability of a bounce increases significantly.
Fibonacci Levels Explained
The indicator draws nine Fibonacci levels based on the most recent swing:
0% (Swing Low/High): The starting point of the move
23.6%: Shallow retracement - often seen in strong trends
38.2%: First significant support/resistance level
50%: Psychological midpoint of the move
61.8% (Golden Ratio): The most important Fibonacci level
78.6%: Deep retracement - last defense before trend failure
100% (Swing High/Low): The end point of the move
127.2% (TP1): First extension target for take profit
161.8% (TP2): Second extension target for take profit
The Golden Zone
The area between 50% and 61.8% is highlighted as the "Golden Zone" because:
It represents the optimal retracement depth for trend continuation
Institutional traders often place orders in this zone
It offers favorable risk-to-reward ratios
Price frequently bounces from this area in healthy trends
When price enters the Golden Zone, the indicator highlights it with a semi-transparent box and optional background coloring.
Pivot Detection System
The indicator uses a configurable pivot detection algorithm:
pivotDetect(float src, int len, bool isHigh) =>
int halfLen = len / 2
float centerVal = nz(src , src)
bool isPivot = true
for i = 0 to len - 1
if isHigh
if nz(src , src) > centerVal
isPivot := false
break
else
if nz(src , src) < centerVal
isPivot := false
break
isPivot ? centerVal : float(na)
This identifies swing highs and lows by checking if a bar's high/low is the highest/lowest within the specified depth on both sides.
Visual Components
1. Fibonacci Lines
Horizontal lines at each Fibonacci level:
Solid lines for major levels (0%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%)
Dashed lines for secondary levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 78.6%)
Dotted lines for extension levels (127.2%, 161.8%)
Color-coded for easy identification
Configurable line width
2. Fibonacci Labels
Price labels at each level showing:
Fibonacci percentage
Actual price at that level
Golden Zone label highlighted
TP1 and TP2 labels for targets
3. Golden Zone Box
A semi-transparent box highlighting the 50%-61.8% zone:
Gold colored border and fill
Extends from swing start to current bar (or beyond if extended)
Provides clear visual of the optimal entry zone
4. ZigZag Lines
Connecting lines between detected pivots:
Cyan for moves from low to high
Orange for moves from high to low
Helps visualize market structure
Configurable line width
5. Pivot Markers
Small labels at detected swing points:
"HH" (Higher High) at swing highs
"LL" (Lower Low) at swing lows
Helps track market structure
6. Entry Signals
BUY and SELL labels when confluence conditions are met:
BUY: RSI oversold + price in entry zone + uptrend + positive momentum
SELL: RSI overbought + price in entry zone + downtrend + negative momentum
Labels include "RSI+FIB" to indicate confluence
Confluence Scoring System
The indicator calculates a confluence score from 0 to 5:
+2 points: Price is in the Golden Zone (50%-61.8%)
+1 point: Price is in the entry zone (38.2%-61.8%)
+1 point: RSI is oversold in uptrend OR overbought in downtrend
+1 point: RSI divergence detected (bullish or bearish)
+1 point: Strong RSI momentum (change > 2 points)
Confluence ratings:
STRONG (4-5): Multiple factors align - high probability setup
MODERATE (2-3): Some factors align - proceed with caution
WEAK (0-1): Few factors align - wait for better setup
Dashboard Panel
The 10-row dashboard provides comprehensive analysis:
RSI Value: Current RSI reading (large text)
RSI State: OVERBOUGHT, OVERSOLD, BULLISH, BEARISH, or NEUTRAL
Fib Trend: UPTREND or DOWNTREND based on last pivot sequence
Price Zone: Current Fibonacci zone (e.g., "GOLDEN ZONE", "38.2% - 50%")
Price: Current close price (large text)
Confluence: Score rating with numeric value (e.g., "STRONG (4/5)")
Nearest Fib: Closest key Fibonacci level with price
TP1 (127.2%): First take profit target price
TP2 (161.8%): Second take profit target price
Input Parameters
Pivot Detection:
Pivot Depth: Bars to look back for swing detection (default: 10)
Min Deviation %: Minimum price move to confirm pivot (default: 1.0)
RSI Settings:
RSI Length: Period for RSI calculation (default: 14)
Source: Price source (default: close)
Overbought: Upper threshold (default: 70)
Oversold: Lower threshold (default: 30)
Fibonacci Display:
Show Fib Lines: Toggle Fibonacci lines (default: enabled)
Show Fib Labels: Toggle price labels (default: enabled)
Show Golden Zone Box: Toggle zone highlight (default: enabled)
Line Width: Thickness of Fibonacci lines (default: 2)
Extend Fib Lines: Extend lines into future (default: enabled)
ZigZag:
Show ZigZag: Toggle connecting lines (default: enabled)
ZigZag Width: Line thickness (default: 2)
Signals:
Show Entry Signals: Toggle BUY/SELL labels (default: enabled)
Show TP Levels: Toggle take profit in dashboard (default: enabled)
Show RSI-Fib Confluence: Toggle confluence analysis (default: enabled)
Dashboard:
Show Dashboard: Toggle information panel (default: enabled)
Position: Choose corner placement
Colors:
Bullish: Color for bullish elements (default: cyan)
Bearish: Color for bearish elements (default: orange)
Neutral: Color for neutral elements (default: gray)
Golden Zone: Color for Golden Zone highlight (default: gold)
How to Use RSI Fibonacci Flow
Identifying Entry Zones:
Wait for price to retrace to the 38.2%-61.8% zone
Check if RSI is approaching oversold (for longs) or overbought (for shorts)
Look for STRONG confluence rating in the dashboard
Enter when BUY or SELL signal appears
Setting Take Profit Targets:
TP1 at 127.2% extension for conservative target
TP2 at 161.8% extension for aggressive target
Consider scaling out at each level
Using the Price Zone:
"BELOW 23.6%" - Price hasn't retraced much; wait for deeper pullback
"23.6% - 38.2%" - Shallow retracement; strong trend continuation possible
"38.2% - 50%" - Good entry zone for trend trades
"GOLDEN ZONE" - Optimal entry zone; highest probability
"61.8% - 78.6%" - Deep retracement; trend may be weakening
"78.6% - 100%" - Very deep; trend reversal possible
"ABOVE/BELOW 100%" - Trend has likely reversed
Confluence Trading Strategy:
Only take trades with confluence score of 3 or higher
STRONG confluence (4-5) warrants larger position size
MODERATE confluence (2-3) warrants smaller position size
WEAK confluence (0-1) - wait for better setup
Alert Conditions
Ten alert conditions are available:
RSI-Fib BUY Signal: Strong bullish confluence detected
RSI-Fib SELL Signal: Strong bearish confluence detected
Price in Golden Zone: Price enters 50%-61.8% zone
New Pivot High: Swing high detected
New Pivot Low: Swing low detected
RSI Overbought: RSI crosses above overbought threshold
RSI Oversold: RSI crosses below oversold threshold
Bullish Divergence: Potential bullish RSI divergence
Bearish Divergence: Potential bearish RSI divergence
Strong Confluence: Confluence score reaches 4 or higher
Understanding Trend Direction
The indicator determines trend based on pivot sequence:
UPTREND: Last pivot was a low after a high (expecting move up)
DOWNTREND: Last pivot was a high after a low (expecting move down)
Fibonacci levels are drawn accordingly:
In uptrend: 0% at swing low, 100% at swing high
In downtrend: 0% at swing high, 100% at swing low
Bar Coloring
When confluence features are enabled:
Cyan bars on strong bullish signals
Orange bars on strong bearish signals
Gold-tinted bars when price is in Golden Zone
Best Practices
Use on 1H timeframe or higher for more reliable pivots
Adjust Pivot Depth based on timeframe (higher for longer timeframes)
Wait for price to enter Golden Zone before considering entries
Confirm RSI is in favorable territory before trading
Use extension levels (127.2%, 161.8%) for realistic profit targets
Combine with support/resistance and candlestick patterns
Higher confluence scores indicate higher probability setups
Limitations
Pivot detection has inherent lag (must wait for confirmation)
Fibonacci levels are subjective - different swings produce different levels
Works best in trending markets with clear swings
RSI can remain overbought/oversold in strong trends
Not all Golden Zone entries will be successful
The source code is open and available for review and modification.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Fibonacci levels are not guaranteed support/resistance - they are probability zones based on historical price behavior. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management.
- Made with passion by officialjackofalltrades :D
Adaptive Market Wave TheoryAdaptive Market Wave Theory
🌊 CORE INNOVATION: PROBABILISTIC PHASE DETECTION WITH MULTI-AGENT CONSENSUS
Adaptive Market Wave Theory (AMWT) represents a fundamental paradigm shift in how traders approach market phase identification. Rather than counting waves subjectively or drawing static breakout levels, AMWT treats the market as a hidden state machine —using Hidden Markov Models, multi-agent consensus systems, and reinforcement learning algorithms to quantify what traditional methods leave to interpretation.
The Wave Analysis Problem:
Traditional wave counting methodologies (Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, ABC corrections) share fatal weaknesses that AMWT directly addresses:
1. Non-Falsifiability : Invalid wave counts can always be "recounted" or "adjusted." If your Wave 3 fails, it becomes "Wave 3 of a larger degree" or "actually Wave C." There's no objective failure condition.
2. Observer Bias : Two expert wave analysts examining the same chart routinely reach different conclusions. This isn't a feature—it's a fundamental methodology flaw.
3. No Confidence Measure : Traditional analysis says "This IS Wave 3." But with what probability? 51%? 95%? The binary nature prevents proper position sizing and risk management.
4. Static Rules : Fixed Fibonacci ratios and wave guidelines cannot adapt to changing market regimes. What worked in 2019 may fail in 2024.
5. No Accountability : Wave methodologies rarely track their own performance. There's no feedback loop to improve.
The AMWT Solution:
AMWT addresses each limitation through rigorous mathematical frameworks borrowed from speech recognition, machine learning, and reinforcement learning:
• Non-Falsifiability → Hard Invalidation : Wave hypotheses die permanently when price violates calculated invalidation levels. No recounting allowed.
• Observer Bias → Multi-Agent Consensus : Three independent analytical agents must agree. Single-methodology bias is eliminated.
• No Confidence → Probabilistic States : Every market state has a calculated probability from Hidden Markov Model inference. "72% probability of impulse state" replaces "This is Wave 3."
• Static Rules → Adaptive Learning : Thompson Sampling multi-armed bandits learn which agents perform best in current conditions. The system adapts in real-time.
• No Accountability → Performance Tracking : Comprehensive statistics track every signal's outcome. The system knows its own performance.
The Core Insight:
"Traditional wave analysis asks 'What count is this?' AMWT asks 'What is the probability we are in an impulsive state, with what confidence, confirmed by how many independent methodologies, and anchored to what liquidity event?'"
🔬 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS
Why Hidden Markov Models?
Markets exist in hidden states that we cannot directly observe—only their effects on price are visible. When the market is in an "impulse up" state, we see rising prices, expanding volume, and trending indicators. But we don't observe the state itself—we infer it from observables.
This is precisely the problem Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) solve. Originally developed for speech recognition (inferring words from sound waves), HMMs excel at estimating hidden states from noisy observations.
HMM Components:
1. Hidden States (S) : The unobservable market conditions
2. Observations (O) : What we can measure (price, volume, indicators)
3. Transition Matrix (A) : Probability of moving between states
4. Emission Matrix (B) : Probability of observations given each state
5. Initial Distribution (π) : Starting state probabilities
AMWT's Six Market States:
State 0: IMPULSE_UP
• Definition: Strong bullish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Rising prices, expanding volume, RSI >60, price above upper Bollinger Band, MACD histogram positive and rising
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars depending on timeframe
• What It Means: Institutional buying pressure, trend acceleration phase
State 1: IMPULSE_DN
• Definition: Strong bearish momentum with high participation
• Observable Signatures: Falling prices, expanding volume, RSI <40, price below lower Bollinger Band, MACD histogram negative and falling
• Typical Duration: 5-20 bars (often shorter than bullish impulses—markets fall faster)
• What It Means: Institutional selling pressure, panic or distribution acceleration
State 2: CORRECTION
• Definition: Counter-trend consolidation with declining momentum
• Observable Signatures: Sideways or mild counter-trend movement, contracting volume, RSI returning toward 50, Bollinger Bands narrowing
• Typical Duration: 8-30 bars
• What It Means: Profit-taking, digestion of prior move, potential accumulation for next leg
State 3: ACCUMULATION
• Definition: Base-building near lows where informed participants absorb supply
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent lows but not making new lows, volume spikes on up bars, RSI showing positive divergence, tight range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money buying from weak hands, preparing for markup phase
State 4: DISTRIBUTION
• Definition: Top-forming near highs where informed participants distribute holdings
• Observable Signatures: Price near recent highs but struggling to advance, volume spikes on down bars, RSI showing negative divergence, widening range
• Typical Duration: 15-50 bars
• What It Means: Smart money selling to late buyers, preparing for markdown phase
State 5: TRANSITION
• Definition: Regime change period with mixed signals and elevated uncertainty
• Observable Signatures: Conflicting indicators, whipsaw price action, no clear momentum, high volatility without direction
• Typical Duration: 5-15 bars
• What It Means: Market deciding next direction, dangerous for directional trades
The Transition Matrix:
The transition matrix A captures the probability of moving from one state to another. AMWT initializes with empirically-derived values then updates online:
From/To IMP_UP IMP_DN CORR ACCUM DIST TRANS
IMP_UP 0.70 0.02 0.20 0.02 0.04 0.02
IMP_DN 0.02 0.70 0.20 0.04 0.02 0.02
CORR 0.15 0.15 0.50 0.10 0.10 0.00
ACCUM 0.30 0.05 0.15 0.40 0.05 0.05
DIST 0.05 0.30 0.15 0.05 0.40 0.05
TRANS 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.10
Key Insights from Transition Probabilities:
• Impulse states are sticky (70% self-transition): Once trending, markets tend to continue
• Corrections can transition to either impulse direction (15% each): The next move after correction is uncertain
• Accumulation strongly favors IMP_UP transition (30%): Base-building leads to rallies
• Distribution strongly favors IMP_DN transition (30%): Topping leads to declines
The Viterbi Algorithm:
Given a sequence of observations, how do we find the most likely state sequence? This is the Viterbi algorithm—dynamic programming to find the optimal path through the state space.
Mathematical Formulation:
δ_t(j) = max_i × B_j(O_t)
Where:
δ_t(j) = probability of most likely path ending in state j at time t
A_ij = transition probability from state i to state j
B_j(O_t) = emission probability of observation O_t given state j
AMWT Implementation:
AMWT runs Viterbi over a rolling window (default 50 bars), computing the most likely state sequence and extracting:
• Current state estimate
• State confidence (probability of current state vs alternatives)
• State sequence for pattern detection
Online Learning (Baum-Welch Adaptation):
Unlike static HMMs, AMWT continuously updates its transition and emission matrices based on observed market behavior:
f_onlineUpdateHMM(prev_state, curr_state, observation, decay) =>
// Update transition matrix
A *= decay
A += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
// Update emission matrix
B *= decay
B += (1.0 - decay)
// Renormalize row
The decay parameter (default 0.85) controls adaptation speed:
• Higher decay (0.95): Slower adaptation, more stable, better for consistent markets
• Lower decay (0.80): Faster adaptation, more reactive, better for regime changes
Why This Matters for Trading:
Traditional indicators give you a number (RSI = 72). AMWT gives you a probabilistic state assessment :
"There is a 78% probability we are in IMPULSE_UP state, with 15% probability of CORRECTION and 7% distributed among other states. The transition matrix suggests 70% chance of remaining in IMPULSE_UP next bar, 20% chance of transitioning to CORRECTION."
This enables:
• Position sizing by confidence : 90% confidence = full size; 60% confidence = half size
• Risk management by transition probability : High correction probability = tighten stops
• Strategy selection by state : IMPULSE = trend-follow; CORRECTION = wait; ACCUMULATION = scale in
🎰 THE 3-BANDIT CONSENSUS SYSTEM
The Multi-Agent Philosophy:
No single analytical methodology works in all market conditions. Trend-following excels in trending markets but gets chopped in ranges. Mean-reversion excels in ranges but gets crushed in trends. Structure-based analysis works when structure is clear but fails in chaotic markets.
AMWT's solution: employ three independent agents , each analyzing the market from a different perspective, then use Thompson Sampling to learn which agents perform best in current conditions.
Agent 1: TREND AGENT
Philosophy : Markets trend. Follow the trend until it ends.
Analytical Components:
• EMA Alignment: EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50 (bullish) or inverse (bearish)
• MACD Histogram: Direction and rate of change
• Price Momentum: Close relative to ATR-normalized movement
• VWAP Position: Price above/below volume-weighted average price
Signal Generation:
Strong Bull: EMA aligned bull AND MACD histogram > 0 AND momentum > 0.3 AND close > VWAP
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bull: EMA stack bull AND MACD rising AND momentum > 0.1
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
Strong Bear: EMA aligned bear AND MACD histogram < 0 AND momentum < -0.3 AND close < VWAP
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75 + |momentum| × 0.4
Moderate Bear: EMA stack bear AND MACD falling AND momentum < -0.1
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65 + |momentum| × 0.3
When Trend Agent Excels:
• Trend days (IB extension >1.5x)
• Post-breakout continuation
• Institutional accumulation/distribution phases
When Trend Agent Fails:
• Range-bound markets (ADX <20)
• Chop zones after volatility spikes
• Reversal days at major levels
Agent 2: REVERSION AGENT
Philosophy: Markets revert to mean. Extreme readings reverse.
Analytical Components:
• Bollinger Band Position: Distance from bands, percent B
• RSI Extremes: Overbought (>70) and oversold (<30)
• Stochastic: %K/%D crossovers at extremes
• Band Squeeze: Bollinger Band width contraction
Signal Generation:
Oversold Bounce: BB %B < 0.20 AND RSI < 35 AND Stochastic < 25
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + (30 - RSI) × 0.01
Overbought Fade: BB %B > 0.80 AND RSI > 65 AND Stochastic > 75
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + (RSI - 70) × 0.01
Squeeze Fire Bull: Band squeeze ending AND close > upper band
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.65
Squeeze Fire Bear: Band squeeze ending AND close < lower band
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.65
When Reversion Agent Excels:
• Rotation days (price stays within IB)
• Range-bound consolidation
• After extended moves without pullback
When Reversion Agent Fails:
• Strong trend days (RSI can stay overbought for days)
• Breakout moves
• News-driven directional moves
Agent 3: STRUCTURE AGENT
Philosophy: Market structure reveals institutional intent. Follow the smart money.
Analytical Components:
• Break of Structure (BOS): Price breaks prior swing high/low
• Change of Character (CHOCH): First break against prevailing trend
• Higher Highs/Higher Lows: Bullish structure
• Lower Highs/Lower Lows: Bearish structure
• Liquidity Sweeps: Stop runs that reverse
Signal Generation:
BOS Bull: Price breaks above prior swing high with momentum
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bull: First higher low after downtrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.75
BOS Bear: Price breaks below prior swing low with momentum
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.70 + structure_strength × 0.2
CHOCH Bear: First lower high after uptrend, breaking structure
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.75
Liquidity Sweep Long: Price sweeps below swing low then reverses strongly
→ Signal: +1 (Long), Confidence: 0.80
Liquidity Sweep Short: Price sweeps above swing high then reverses strongly
→ Signal: -1 (Short), Confidence: 0.80
When Structure Agent Excels:
• After liquidity grabs (stop runs)
• At major swing points
• During institutional accumulation/distribution
When Structure Agent Fails:
• Choppy, structureless markets
• During news events (structure becomes noise)
• Very low timeframes (noise overwhelms structure)
Thompson Sampling: The Bandit Algorithm
With three agents giving potentially different signals, how do we decide which to trust? This is the multi-armed bandit problem —balancing exploitation (using what works) with exploration (testing alternatives).
Thompson Sampling Solution:
Each agent maintains a Beta distribution representing its success/failure history:
Agent success rate modeled as Beta(α, β)
Where:
α = number of successful signals + 1
β = number of failed signals + 1
On Each Bar:
1. Sample from each agent's Beta distribution
2. Weight agent signals by sampled probabilities
3. Combine weighted signals into consensus
4. Update α/β based on trade outcomes
Mathematical Implementation:
// Beta sampling via Gamma ratio method
f_beta_sample(alpha, beta) =>
g1 = f_gamma_sample(alpha)
g2 = f_gamma_sample(beta)
g1 / (g1 + g2)
// Thompson Sampling selection
for each agent:
sampled_prob = f_beta_sample(agent.alpha, agent.beta)
weight = sampled_prob / sum(all_sampled_probs)
consensus += agent.signal × agent.confidence × weight
Why Thompson Sampling?
• Automatic Exploration : Agents with few samples get occasional chances (high variance in Beta distribution)
• Bayesian Optimal : Mathematically proven optimal solution to exploration-exploitation tradeoff
• Uncertainty-Aware : Small sample size = more exploration; large sample size = more exploitation
• Self-Correcting : Poor performers naturally get lower weights over time
Example Evolution:
Day 1 (Initial):
Trend Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Reversion Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
Structure Agent: Beta(1,1) → samples ~0.50 (high uncertainty)
After 50 Signals:
Trend Agent: Beta(28,23) → samples ~0.55 (moderate confidence)
Reversion Agent: Beta(18,33) → samples ~0.35 (underperforming)
Structure Agent: Beta(32,19) → samples ~0.63 (outperforming)
Result: Structure Agent now receives highest weight in consensus
Consensus Requirements by Mode:
Aggressive Mode:
• Minimum 1/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 45%
• Use case: More signals, higher risk tolerance
Balanced Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 55%
• Use case: Standard trading
Conservative Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 65%
• Use case: Higher quality, fewer signals
Institutional Mode:
• Minimum 2/3 agents agreeing
• Consensus threshold: 75%
• Additional: Session quality >0.65, mode adjustment +0.10
• Use case: Highest quality signals only
🌀 INTELLIGENT CHOP DETECTION ENGINE
The Chop Problem:
Most trading losses occur not from being wrong about direction, but from trading in conditions where direction doesn't exist . Choppy, range-bound markets generate false signals from every methodology—trend-following, mean-reversion, and structure-based alike.
AMWT's chop detection engine identifies these low-probability environments before signals fire, preventing the most damaging trades.
Five-Factor Chop Analysis:
Factor 1: ADX Component (25% weight)
ADX (Average Directional Index) measures trend strength regardless of direction.
ADX < 15: Very weak trend (high chop score)
ADX 15-20: Weak trend (moderate chop score)
ADX 20-25: Developing trend (low chop score)
ADX > 25: Strong trend (minimal chop score)
adx_chop = (i_adxThreshold - adx_val) / i_adxThreshold × 100
Why ADX Works: ADX synthesizes +DI and -DI movements. Low ADX means price is moving but not directionally—the definition of chop.
Factor 2: Choppiness Index (25% weight)
The Choppiness Index measures price efficiency using the ratio of ATR sum to price range:
CI = 100 × LOG10(SUM(ATR, n) / (Highest - Lowest)) / LOG10(n)
CI > 61.8: Choppy (range-bound, inefficient movement)
CI < 38.2: Trending (directional, efficient movement)
CI 38.2-61.8: Transitional
chop_idx_score = (ci_val - 38.2) / (61.8 - 38.2) × 100
Why Choppiness Index Works: In trending markets, price covers distance efficiently (low ATR sum relative to range). In choppy markets, price oscillates wildly but goes nowhere (high ATR sum relative to range).
Factor 3: Range Compression (20% weight)
Compares recent range to longer-term range, detecting volatility squeezes:
recent_range = Highest(20) - Lowest(20)
longer_range = Highest(50) - Lowest(50)
compression = 1 - (recent_range / longer_range)
compression > 0.5: Strong squeeze (potential breakout imminent)
compression < 0.2: No compression (normal volatility)
range_compression_score = compression × 100
Why Range Compression Matters: Compression precedes expansion. High compression = market coiling, preparing for move. Signals during compression often fail because the breakout hasn't occurred yet.
Factor 4: Channel Position (15% weight)
Tracks price position within the macro channel:
channel_position = (close - channel_low) / (channel_high - channel_low)
position 0.4-0.6: Center of channel (indecision zone)
position <0.2 or >0.8: Near extremes (potential reversal or breakout)
channel_chop = abs(0.5 - channel_position) < 0.15 ? high_score : low_score
Why Channel Position Matters: Price in the middle of a range is in "no man's land"—equally likely to go either direction. Signals in the channel center have lower probability.
Factor 5: Volume Quality (15% weight)
Assesses volume relative to average:
vol_ratio = volume / SMA(volume, 20)
vol_ratio < 0.7: Low volume (lack of conviction)
vol_ratio 0.7-1.3: Normal volume
vol_ratio > 1.3: High volume (conviction present)
volume_chop = vol_ratio < 0.8 ? (1 - vol_ratio) × 100 : 0
Why Volume Quality Matters: Low volume moves lack institutional participation. These moves are more likely to reverse or stall.
Combined Chop Intensity:
chopIntensity = (adx_chop × 0.25) + (chop_idx_score × 0.25) +
(range_compression_score × 0.20) + (channel_chop × 0.15) +
(volume_chop × i_volumeChopWeight × 0.15)
Regime Classifications:
Based on chop intensity and component analysis:
• Strong Trend (0-20%): ADX >30, clear directional momentum, trade aggressively
• Trending (20-35%): ADX >20, moderate directional bias, trade normally
• Transitioning (35-50%): Mixed signals, regime change possible, reduce size
• Mid-Range (50-60%): Price trapped in channel center, avoid new positions
• Ranging (60-70%): Low ADX, price oscillating within bounds, fade extremes only
• Compression (70-80%): Volatility squeeze, expansion imminent, wait for breakout
• Strong Chop (80-100%): Multiple chop factors aligned, avoid trading entirely
Signal Suppression:
When chop intensity exceeds the configurable threshold (default 80%), signals are suppressed entirely. The dashboard displays "⚠️ CHOP ZONE" with the current regime classification.
Chop Box Visualization:
When chop is detected, AMWT draws a semi-transparent box on the chart showing the chop zone. This visual reminder helps traders avoid entering positions during unfavorable conditions.
💧 LIQUIDITY ANCHORING SYSTEM
The Liquidity Concept:
Markets move from liquidity pool to liquidity pool. Stop losses cluster at predictable locations—below swing lows (buy stops become sell orders when triggered) and above swing highs (sell stops become buy orders when triggered). Institutions know where these clusters are and often engineer moves to trigger them before reversing.
AMWT identifies and tracks these liquidity events, using them as anchors for signal confidence.
Liquidity Event Types:
Type 1: Volume Spikes
Definition: Volume > SMA(volume, 20) × i_volThreshold (default 2.8x)
Interpretation: Sudden volume surge indicates institutional activity
• Near swing low + reversal: Likely accumulation
• Near swing high + reversal: Likely distribution
• With continuation: Institutional conviction in direction
Type 2: Stop Runs (Liquidity Sweeps)
Definition: Price briefly exceeds swing high/low then reverses within N bars
Detection:
• Price breaks above recent swing high (triggering buy stops)
• Then closes back below that high within 3 bars
• Signal: Bullish stop run complete, reversal likely
Or inverse for bearish:
• Price breaks below recent swing low (triggering sell stops)
• Then closes back above that low within 3 bars
• Signal: Bearish stop run complete, reversal likely
Type 3: Absorption Events
Definition: High volume with small candle body
Detection:
• Volume > 2x average
• Candle body < 30% of candle range
• Interpretation: Large orders being filled without moving price
• Implication: Accumulation (at lows) or distribution (at highs)
Type 4: BSL/SSL Pools (Buy-Side/Sell-Side Liquidity)
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing highs within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from shorts sit above these highs
• Breaking BSL triggers short covering (fuel for rally)
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
• Cluster of swing lows within ATR proximity
• Stop losses from longs sit below these lows
• Breaking SSL triggers long liquidation (fuel for decline)
Liquidity Pool Mapping:
AMWT continuously scans for and maps liquidity pools:
// Detect swing highs/lows using pivot function
swing_high = ta.pivothigh(high, 5, 5)
swing_low = ta.pivotlow(low, 5, 5)
// Track recent swing points
if not na(swing_high)
bsl_levels.push(swing_high)
if not na(swing_low)
ssl_levels.push(swing_low)
// Display on chart with labels
Confluence Scoring Integration:
When signals fire near identified liquidity events, confluence scoring increases:
• Signal near volume spike: +10% confidence
• Signal after liquidity sweep: +15% confidence
• Signal at BSL/SSL pool: +10% confidence
• Signal aligned with absorption zone: +10% confidence
Why Liquidity Anchoring Matters:
Signals "in a vacuum" have lower probability than signals anchored to institutional activity. A long signal after a liquidity sweep below swing lows has trapped shorts providing fuel. A long signal in the middle of nowhere has no such catalyst.
📊 SIGNAL GRADING SYSTEM
The Quality Problem:
Not all signals are created equal. A signal with 6/6 factors aligned is fundamentally different from a signal with 3/6 factors aligned. Traditional indicators treat them the same. AMWT grades every signal based on confluence.
Confluence Components (100 points total):
1. Bandit Consensus Strength (25 points)
consensus_str = weighted average of agent confidences
score = consensus_str × 25
Example:
Trend Agent: +1 signal, 0.80 confidence, 0.35 weight
Reversion Agent: 0 signal, 0.50 confidence, 0.25 weight
Structure Agent: +1 signal, 0.75 confidence, 0.40 weight
Weighted consensus = (0.80×0.35 + 0×0.25 + 0.75×0.40) / (0.35 + 0.40) = 0.77
Score = 0.77 × 25 = 19.25 points
2. HMM State Confidence (15 points)
score = hmm_confidence × 15
Example:
HMM reports 82% probability of IMPULSE_UP
Score = 0.82 × 15 = 12.3 points
3. Session Quality (15 points)
Session quality varies by time:
• London/NY Overlap: 1.0 (15 points)
• New York Session: 0.95 (14.25 points)
• London Session: 0.70 (10.5 points)
• Asian Session: 0.40 (6 points)
• Off-Hours: 0.30 (4.5 points)
• Weekend: 0.10 (1.5 points)
4. Energy/Participation (10 points)
energy = (realized_vol / avg_vol) × 0.4 + (range / ATR) × 0.35 + (volume / avg_volume) × 0.25
score = min(energy, 1.0) × 10
5. Volume Confirmation (10 points)
if volume > SMA(volume, 20) × 1.5:
score = 10
else if volume > SMA(volume, 20):
score = 5
else:
score = 0
6. Structure Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Bullish structure (HH + HL): 10 points
• Higher low only: 6 points
• Neutral structure: 3 points
• Bearish structure: 0 points
Inverse for short signals
7. Trend Alignment (10 points)
For long signals:
• Price > EMA21 > EMA50: 10 points
• Price > EMA21: 6 points
• Neutral: 3 points
• Against trend: 0 points
8. Entry Trigger Quality (5 points)
• Strong trigger (multiple confirmations): 5 points
• Moderate trigger (single confirmation): 3 points
• Weak trigger (marginal): 1 point
Grade Scale:
Total Score → Grade
85-100 → A+ (Exceptional—all factors aligned)
70-84 → A (Strong—high probability)
55-69 → B (Acceptable—proceed with caution)
Below 55 → C (Marginal—filtered by default)
Grade-Based Signal Brightness:
Signal arrows on the chart have transparency based on grade:
• A+: Full brightness (alpha = 0)
• A: Slight fade (alpha = 15)
• B: Moderate fade (alpha = 35)
• C: Significant fade (alpha = 55)
This visual hierarchy helps traders instantly identify signal quality.
Minimum Grade Filter:
Configurable filter (default: C) sets the minimum grade for signal display:
• Set to "A" for only highest-quality signals
• Set to "B" for moderate selectivity
• Set to "C" for all signals (maximum quantity)
🕐 SESSION INTELLIGENCE
Why Sessions Matter:
Markets behave differently at different times. The London open is fundamentally different from the Asian lunch hour. AMWT incorporates session-aware logic to optimize signal quality.
Session Definitions:
Asian Session (18:00-03:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Lower volatility, range-bound tendency, fewer institutional participants
• Quality Score: 0.40 (40% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Fade extremes, expect ranges, smaller position sizes
• Best For: Mean-reversion setups, accumulation/distribution identification
London Session (03:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: European institutional activity, volatility pickup, trend initiation
• Quality Score: 0.70 (70% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Watch for trend development, breakouts more reliable
• Best For: Initial trend identification, structure breaks
New York Session (08:00-17:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Highest liquidity, US institutional activity, major moves
• Quality Score: 0.95 (95% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Best environment for directional trades
• Best For: Trend continuation, momentum plays
London/NY Overlap (08:00-12:00 ET)
• Characteristics: Peak liquidity, both European and US participants active
• Quality Score: 1.0 (100%—maximum quality)
• Strategy Implications: Highest probability for successful breakouts and trends
• Best For: All signal types—this is prime time
Off-Hours
• Characteristics: Thin liquidity, erratic price action, gaps possible
• Quality Score: 0.30 (30% of peak quality)
• Strategy Implications: Avoid new positions, wider stops if holding
• Best For: Waiting
Smart Weekend Detection:
AMWT properly handles the Sunday evening futures open:
// Traditional (broken):
isWeekend = dayofweek == saturday OR dayofweek == sunday
// AMWT (correct):
anySessionActive = not na(asianTime) or not na(londonTime) or not na(nyTime)
isWeekend = calendarWeekend AND NOT anySessionActive
This ensures Sunday 6pm ET (when futures open) correctly shows "Asian Session" rather than "Weekend."
Session Transition Boosts:
Certain session transitions create trading opportunities:
• Asian → London transition: +15% confidence boost (volatility expansion likely)
• London → Overlap transition: +20% confidence boost (peak liquidity approaching)
• Overlap → NY-only transition: -10% confidence adjustment (liquidity declining)
• Any → Off-Hours transition: Signal suppression recommended
📈 TRADE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM
The Signal Spam Problem:
Many indicators generate signal after signal, creating confusion and overtrading. AMWT implements a complete trade lifecycle management system that prevents signal spam and tracks performance.
Trade Lock Mechanism:
Once a signal fires, the system enters a "trade lock" state:
Trade Lock Duration: Configurable (default 30 bars)
Early Exit Conditions:
• TP3 hit (full target reached)
• Stop Loss hit (trade failed)
• Lock expiration (time-based exit)
During lock:
• No new signals of same type displayed
• Opposite signals can override (reversal)
• Trade status tracked in dashboard
Target Levels:
Each signal generates three profit targets based on ATR:
TP1 (Conservative Target)
• Default: 1.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Quick partial profit, reduce risk
• Action: Take 30-40% off position, move stop to breakeven
TP2 (Standard Target)
• Default: 2.5 × ATR
• Purpose: Main profit target
• Action: Take 40-50% off position, trail stop
TP3 (Extended Target)
• Default: 5.0 × ATR
• Purpose: Runner target for trend days
• Action: Close remaining position or continue trailing
Stop Loss:
• Default: 1.9 × ATR from entry
• Purpose: Define maximum risk
• Placement: Below recent swing low (longs) or above recent swing high (shorts)
Invalidation Level:
Beyond stop loss, AMWT calculates an "invalidation" level where the wave hypothesis dies:
invalidation = entry - (ATR × INVALIDATION_MULT × 1.5)
If price reaches invalidation, the current market interpretation is wrong—not just the trade.
Visual Trade Management:
During active trades, AMWT displays:
• Entry arrow with grade label (▲A+, ▼B, etc.)
• TP1, TP2, TP3 horizontal lines in green
• Stop Loss line in red
• Invalidation line in orange (dashed)
• Progress indicator in dashboard
Persistent Execution Markers:
When targets or stops are hit, permanent markers appear:
• TP hit: Green dot with "TP1"/"TP2"/"TP3" label
• SL hit: Red dot with "SL" label
These persist on the chart for review and statistics.
💰 PERFORMANCE TRACKING & STATISTICS
Tracked Metrics:
• Total Trades: Count of all signals that entered trade lock
• Winning Trades: Signals where at least TP1 was reached before SL
• Losing Trades: Signals where SL was hit before any TP
• Win Rate: Winning / Total × 100%
• Total R Profit: Sum of R-multiples from winning trades
• Total R Loss: Sum of R-multiples from losing trades
• Net R: Total R Profit - Total R Loss
Currency Conversion System:
AMWT can display P&L in multiple formats:
R-Multiple (Default)
• Shows risk-normalized returns
• "Net P&L: +4.2R | 78 trades" means 4.2 times initial risk gained over 78 trades
• Best for comparing across different position sizes
Currency Conversion (USD/EUR/GBP/JPY/INR)
• Converts R-multiples to currency based on:
- Dollar Risk Per Trade (user input)
- Tick Value (user input)
- Selected currency
Example Configuration:
Dollar Risk Per Trade: $100
Display Currency: USD
If Net R = +4.2R
Display: Net P&L: +$420.00 | 78 trades
Ticks
• For futures traders who think in ticks
• Converts based on tick value input
Statistics Reset:
Two reset methods:
1. Toggle Reset
• Turn "Reset Statistics" toggle ON then OFF
• Clears all statistics immediately
2. Date-Based Reset
• Set "Reset After Date" (YYYY-MM-DD format)
• Only trades after this date are counted
• Useful for isolating recent performance
🎨 VISUAL FEATURES
Macro Channel:
Dynamic regression-based channel showing market boundaries:
• Upper/lower bounds calculated from swing pivot linear regression
• Adapts to current market structure
• Shows overall trend direction and potential reversal zones
Chop Boxes:
Semi-transparent overlay during high-chop periods:
• Purple/orange coloring indicates dangerous conditions
• Visual reminder to avoid new positions
Confluence Heat Zones:
Background shading indicating setup quality:
• Darker shading = higher confluence
• Lighter shading = lower confluence
• Helps identify optimal entry timing
EMA Ribbon:
Trend visualization via moving average fill:
• EMA 8/21/50 with gradient fill between
• Green fill when bullish aligned
• Red fill when bearish aligned
• Gray when neutral
Absorption Zone Boxes:
Marks potential accumulation/distribution areas:
• High volume + small body = absorption
• Boxes drawn at these levels
• Often act as support/resistance
Liquidity Pool Lines:
BSL/SSL levels with labels:
• Dashed lines at liquidity clusters
• "BSL" label above swing high clusters
• "SSL" label below swing low clusters
Six Professional Themes:
• Quantum: Deep purples and cyans (default)
• Cyberpunk: Neon pinks and blues
• Professional: Muted grays and greens
• Ocean: Blues and teals
• Matrix: Greens and blacks
• Ember: Oranges and reds
🎓 PROFESSIONAL USAGE PROTOCOL
Phase 1: Learning the System (Week 1)
Goal: Understand AMWT concepts and dashboard interpretation
Setup:
• Signal Mode: Balanced
• Display: All features enabled
• Grade Filter: C (see all signals)
Actions:
• Paper trade ONLY—no real money
• Observe HMM state transitions throughout the day
• Note when agents agree vs disagree
• Watch chop detection engage and disengage
• Track which grades produce winners vs losers
Key Learning Questions:
• How often do A+ signals win vs B signals? (Should see clear difference)
• Which agent tends to be right in current market? (Check dashboard)
• When does chop detection save you from bad trades?
• How do signals near liquidity events perform vs signals in vacuum?
Phase 2: Parameter Optimization (Week 2)
Goal: Tune system to your instrument and timeframe
Signal Mode Testing:
• Run 5 days on Aggressive mode (more signals)
• Run 5 days on Conservative mode (fewer signals)
• Compare: Which produces better risk-adjusted returns?
Grade Filter Testing:
• Track A+ only for 20 signals
• Track A and above for 20 signals
• Track B and above for 20 signals
• Compare win rates and expectancy
Chop Threshold Testing:
• Default (80%): Standard filtering
• Try 70%: More aggressive filtering
• Try 90%: Less filtering
• Which produces best results for your instrument?
Phase 3: Strategy Development (Weeks 3-4)
Goal: Develop personal trading rules based on system signals
Position Sizing by Grade:
• A+ grade: 100% position size
• A grade: 75% position size
• B grade: 50% position size
• C grade: 25% position size (or skip)
Session-Based Rules:
• London/NY Overlap: Take all A/A+ signals
• NY Session: Take all A+ signals, selective on A
• Asian Session: Only A+ signals with extra confirmation
• Off-Hours: No new positions
Chop Zone Rules:
• Chop >70%: Reduce position size 50%
• Chop >80%: No new positions
• Chop <50%: Full position size allowed
Phase 4: Live Micro-Sizing (Month 2)
Goal: Validate paper trading results with minimal risk
Setup:
• 10-20% of intended full position size
• Take ONLY A+ signals initially
• Follow trade management religiously
Tracking:
• Log every trade: Entry, Exit, Grade, HMM State, Chop Level, Agent Consensus
• Calculate: Win rate by grade, by session, by chop level
• Compare to paper trading (should be within 15%)
Red Flags:
• Win rate diverges significantly from paper trading: Execution issues
• Consistent losses during certain sessions: Adjust session rules
• Losses cluster when specific agent dominates: Review that agent's logic
Phase 5: Scaling Up (Months 3-6)
Goal: Gradually increase to full position size
Progression:
• Month 3: 25-40% size (if micro-sizing profitable)
• Month 4: 40-60% size
• Month 5: 60-80% size
• Month 6: 80-100% size
Scale-Up Requirements:
• Minimum 30 trades at current size
• Win rate ≥50%
• Net R positive
• No revenge trading incidents
• Emotional control maintained
💡 DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS
Why HMM Over Simple Indicators:
Early versions used standard indicators (RSI >70 = overbought, etc.). Win rates hovered at 52-55%. The problem: indicators don't capture state. RSI can stay "overbought" for weeks in a strong trend.
The insight: markets exist in states, and state persistence matters more than indicator levels. Implementing HMM with state transition probabilities increased signal quality significantly. The system now knows not just "RSI is high" but "we're in IMPULSE_UP state with 70% probability of staying in IMPULSE_UP."
The Multi-Agent Evolution:
Original version used a single analytical methodology—trend-following. Performance was inconsistent: great in trends, destroyed in ranges. Added mean-reversion agent: now it was inconsistent the other way.
The breakthrough: use multiple agents and let the system learn which works . Thompson Sampling wasn't the first attempt—tried simple averaging, voting, even hard-coded regime switching. Thompson Sampling won because it's mathematically optimal and automatically adapts without manual regime detection.
Chop Detection Revelation:
Chop detection was added almost as an afterthought. "Let's filter out obviously bad conditions." Testing revealed it was the most impactful single feature. Filtering chop zones reduced losing trades by 35% while only reducing total signals by 20%. The insight: avoiding bad trades matters more than finding good ones.
Liquidity Anchoring Discovery:
Watched hundreds of trades. Noticed pattern: signals that fired after liquidity events (stop runs, volume spikes) had significantly higher win rates than signals in quiet markets. Implemented liquidity detection and anchoring. Win rate on liquidity-anchored signals: 68% vs 52% on non-anchored signals.
The Grade System Impact:
Early system had binary signals (fire or don't fire). Adding grading transformed it. Traders could finally match position size to signal quality. A+ signals deserved full size; C signals deserved caution. Just implementing grade-based sizing improved portfolio Sharpe ratio by 0.3.
🚨 LIMITATIONS & CRITICAL ASSUMPTIONS
What AMWT Is NOT:
• NOT a Holy Grail : No system wins every trade. AMWT improves probability, not certainty.
• NOT Fully Automated : AMWT provides signals and analysis; execution requires human judgment.
• NOT News-Proof : Exogenous shocks (FOMC surprises, geopolitical events) invalidate all technical analysis.
• NOT for Scalping : HMM state estimation needs time to develop. Sub-minute timeframes are not appropriate.
Core Assumptions:
1. Markets Have States : Assumes markets transition between identifiable regimes. Violation: Random walk markets with no regime structure.
2. States Are Inferable : Assumes observable indicators reveal hidden states. Violation: Market manipulation creating false signals.
3. History Informs Future : Assumes past agent performance predicts future performance. Violation: Regime changes that invalidate historical patterns.
4. Liquidity Events Matter : Assumes institutional activity creates predictable patterns. Violation: Markets with no institutional participation.
Performs Best On:
• Liquid Futures : ES, NQ, MNQ, MES, CL, GC
• Major Forex Pairs : EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
• Large-Cap Stocks : AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA (>$5B market cap)
• Liquid Crypto : BTC, ETH on major exchanges
Performs Poorly On:
• Illiquid Instruments : Low volume stocks, exotic pairs
• Very Low Timeframes : Sub-5-minute charts (noise overwhelms signal)
• Binary Event Days : Earnings, FDA approvals, court rulings
• Manipulated Markets : Penny stocks, low-cap altcoins
Known Weaknesses:
• Warmup Period : HMM needs ~50 bars to initialize properly. Early signals may be unreliable.
• Regime Change Lag : Thompson Sampling adapts over time, not instantly. Sudden regime changes may cause short-term underperformance.
• Complexity : More parameters than simple indicators. Requires understanding to use effectively.
⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
Trading futures, stocks, options, forex, and cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Adaptive Market Wave Theory, while based on rigorous mathematical frameworks including Hidden Markov Models and multi-armed bandit algorithms, does not guarantee profits and can result in significant losses.
AMWT's methodologies—HMM state estimation, Thompson Sampling agent selection, and confluence-based grading—have theoretical foundations but past performance is not indicative of future results.
Hidden Markov Model assumptions may not hold during:
• Major news events disrupting normal market behavior
• Flash crashes or circuit breaker events
• Low liquidity periods with erratic price action
• Algorithmic manipulation or spoofing
Multi-agent consensus assumes independent analytical perspectives provide edge. Market conditions change. Edges that existed historically can diminish or disappear.
Users must independently validate system performance on their specific instruments, timeframes, and broker execution environment. Paper trade extensively before risking capital. Start with micro position sizing.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose completely. Use proper position sizing. Implement stop losses without exception.
By using this indicator, you acknowledge these risks and accept full responsibility for all trading decisions and outcomes.
"Elliott Wave was a first-order approximation of market phase behavior. AMWT is the second—probabilistic, adaptive, and accountable."
Initial Public Release
Core Engine:
• True Hidden Markov Model with online Baum-Welch learning
• Viterbi algorithm for optimal state sequence decoding
• 6-state market regime classification
Agent System:
• 3-Bandit consensus (Trend, Reversion, Structure)
• Thompson Sampling with true Beta distribution sampling
• Adaptive weight learning based on performance
Signal Generation:
• Quality-based confluence grading (A+/A/B/C)
• Four signal modes (Aggressive/Balanced/Conservative/Institutional)
• Grade-based visual brightness
Chop Detection:
• 5-factor analysis (ADX, Choppiness Index, Range Compression, Channel Position, Volume)
• 7 regime classifications
• Configurable signal suppression threshold
Liquidity:
• Volume spike detection
• Stop run (liquidity sweep) identification
• BSL/SSL pool mapping
• Absorption zone detection
Trade Management:
• Trade lock with configurable duration
• TP1/TP2/TP3 targets
• ATR-based stop loss
• Persistent execution markers
Session Intelligence:
• Asian/London/NY/Overlap detection
• Smart weekend handling (Sunday futures open)
• Session quality scoring
Performance:
• Statistics tracking with reset functionality
• 7 currency display modes
• Win rate and Net R calculation
Visuals:
• Macro channel with linear regression
• Chop boxes
• EMA ribbon
• Liquidity pool lines
• 6 professional themes
Dashboards:
• Main Dashboard: Market State, Consensus, Trade Status, Statistics
📋 AMWT vs AMWT-PRO:
This version includes all core AMWT functionality:
✓ Full Hidden Markov Model state estimation
✓ 3-Bandit Thompson Sampling consensus system
✓ Complete 5-factor chop detection engine
✓ All four signal modes
✓ Full trade management with TP/SL tracking
✓ Main dashboard with complete statistics
✓ All visual features (channels, zones, pools)
✓ Identical signal generation to PRO
✓ Six professional themes
✓ Full alert system
The PRO version adds the AMWT Advisor panel—a secondary dashboard providing:
• Real-time Market Pulse situation assessment
• Agent Matrix visualization (individual agent votes)
• Structure analysis breakdown
• "Watch For" upcoming setups
• Action Command coaching
Both versions generate identical signals . The Advisor provides additional guidance for interpreting those signals.
Taking you to school. - Dskyz, Trade with probability. Trade with consensus. Trade with AMWT.
lootle ravimy this indicator we can masor pattern where to entry. we can plan to enter in only commodity . it will show only where are people sitting to buy or sell
The SHIFT - Signal Harmonic Inflection Flow Tracker🔄 THE SHIFT — SIGNAL HARMONIC INFLECTION FLOW TRACKER
Precision reversal detection at the exact moment price shifts direction.
📐 CORE CONCEPT: THE INFLECTION POINT
Every sustained price move begins with a single moment — the instant price crosses from one phase to another. THE SHIFT captures this exact inflection point by combining two essential confirmations:
1. The Phase Cross
Price crossing the EMA ribbon midpoint represents a structural change in market bias. The ribbon midpoint is calculated as the average of EMA 21 and EMA 55, creating a dynamic equilibrium zone. When price decisively crosses this level, it signals a potential phase transition.
2. The Confirming Wick
Not every ribbon cross leads to continuation. THE SHIFT filters for quality by requiring the crossing candle to show directional commitment through its wick structure:
✓ Bullish SHIFT: Lower wick ≥ 25% of bar range (buyers absorbed selling pressure)
✓ Bearish SHIFT: Upper wick ≥ 25% of bar range (sellers absorbed buying pressure)
This dual confirmation eliminates weak crosses that occur during sideways chop.
⚙️ HOW IT WORKS
The EMA Ribbon
Five exponential moving averages (8, 13, 21, 34, 55) form an adaptive ribbon that expands during trends and contracts during consolidation. The ribbon serves multiple purposes:
✓ Visual trend identification through color gradient
✓ Dynamic support/resistance zones
✓ Phase boundary definition via ribbon midpoint
Phase Detection
The indicator tracks three distinct market phases:
✓ VELOCITY BULLISH — Price confirmed above ribbon midpoint
✓ VELOCITY BEARISH — Price confirmed below ribbon midpoint
✓ EQUILIBRIUM — Price oscillating around midpoint without confirmation
Phase confirmation requires price to remain on one side of the ribbon for a user-defined number of bars (default: 2), preventing false signals from single-bar noise.
Market Pressure Index (MPI)
MPI quantifies the balance between buying and selling pressure within each bar by analyzing where price closes relative to its range, weighted by volume. This provides momentum context for phase transitions:
✓ Positive MPI confirms bullish pressure
✓ Negative MPI confirms bearish pressure
✓ Strong readings (above threshold) indicate conviction
Consensus Grading System
Each SHIFT signal receives a quality grade (A+, A, B, C) based on five factors:
✓ Phase Strength — EMA alignment plus MPI strength
✓ Trend Alignment — All EMAs properly stacked
✓ Volume Confirmation — Above-average participation
✓ Momentum Convergence — MPI confirms direction
✓ Structure Respect — Price at value area
Higher grades indicate stronger confluence and potentially higher-probability setups.
📊 VISUAL SYSTEM
SHIFT Labels
✓ ▲ SHIFT — Bullish phase flip detected
✓ ▼ SHIFT — Bearish phase flip detected
Labels appear at the exact bar where the phase transition occurs.
Entry Zones
When a qualified SHIFT fires, a colored box appears showing:
✓ Entry zone boundaries
✓ Signal direction (LONG/SHORT)
✓ Wick percentage that triggered the signal
✓ Quality grade
Dynamic Trade Management
THE SHIFT tracks three profit targets (T1, T2, T3) and stop levels with intelligent visual feedback:
✓ Target Lines — Display as dashed lines during active trade
✓ Target Hit — Line turns GREEN with "✓ T1/T2/T3" label
✓ Target Fade — Hit targets progressively fade and disappear after user-defined bars
✓ Stop Hit — Line turns RED with "❌ STOPPED OUT" label
This visual system keeps your chart clean while providing clear feedback on trade progress.
Background Shading
Subtle background color indicates current phase:
✓ Green tint — Bullish phase
✓ Red tint — Bearish phase
✓ Yellow tint — Equilibrium
🧠 SHIFT ASSISTANT — INTELLIGENT COACHING PANEL
The SHIFT Assistant provides real-time contextual guidance that adapts to market conditions:
MARKET READ
Current market assessment:
✓ "💪 Strong bullish trend in play"
✓ "📈 Bullish momentum building"
✓ "🔥 Compression detected - breakout imminent"
✓ "⚖️ Equilibrium - wait for SHIFT"
ACTION
Specific guidance for current situation:
✓ "🟢 SHIFT LONG - Wick confirmed buyers"
✓ "📊 Halfway to T1 - Hold with conviction"
✓ "✅ T1 Hit - Consider partials, move stop to entry"
✓ "👀 Bullish shift but weak wick - skip"
✓ "⏸️ No setup - Patience pays"
CAUTION
Risk warnings when applicable:
✓ "⚠️ Bearish divergence forming - caution on new longs"
✓ "🌊 Volatility expanding - widen mental stops"
INSIGHT
Additional observations:
✓ "✨ Perfect bullish SHIFT setup"
✓ "📊 EMAs fully stacked - trend mature"
✓ "💎 Grade A+ conditions"
TRADE STATUS
When in an active trade:
✓ Current P&L percentage
✓ Bars in trade
✓ Risk buffer remaining (ATR to stop)
📋 MAIN DASHBOARD
The dashboard displays comprehensive real-time information:
Phase Status
✓ Current phase (Velocity Bullish/Bearish/Equilibrium)
✓ Phase strength (Strong/Moderate/Weak)
✓ MPI reading
Consensus Breakdown
✓ Visual progress bar showing consensus score
✓ Individual check status for all five factors
✓ Current quality grade
Wick & Shift Status
✓ Current wick type and percentage
✓ Whether a SHIFT is occurring on current bar
Three Laws Display
✓ Law 1: Direction (SHIFT BULL/BEAR or No Shift)
✓ Law 2: Confirmation (Wick Confirms or Weak Wick)
✓ Law 3: Quality (Grade passes filter or not)
All three laws must be satisfied for a signal to fire.
⚙️ INPUT PARAMETERS
SHIFT Core Engine
✓ MPI Period (14) — Lookback for Market Pressure Index calculation
✓ MPI Sensitivity (1.5) — Amplification factor for pressure readings
✓ Phase Confirmation Bars (2) — Bars required on one side of ribbon to confirm phase
✓ Strong Momentum Threshold (0.5) — MPI level considered "strong"
EMA Ribbon
✓ Show EMA Ribbon — Toggle ribbon visibility
✓ EMA Fast/2/Core/4/Slow (8/13/21/34/55) — Individual EMA periods
Signal Settings
✓ Show Signals — Toggle signal generation
✓ Minimum Signal Grade (B) — Filter signals below this quality threshold
✓ Min Wick Ratio (0.25) — Minimum wick size as percentage of bar range to confirm shift
✓ Show Entry Zones/Stops/Targets — Toggle visual elements
✓ Stop Loss ATR (1.5) — Stop distance in ATR multiples
✓ Zone Width (15) — How many bars entry zones extend forward
✓ Target Fade Duration (8) — Bars before hit targets disappear
Assistant & Dashboard
✓ Position and size options for both panels
✓ Independent show/hide toggles
Visual
✓ Customizable colors for bullish, bearish, neutral, target hit, and stop hit
✓ Background and label transparency controls
🎯 RECOMMENDED USAGE
Best Timeframes
✓ 5-minute to 1-hour for intraday trading
✓ 4-hour to Daily for swing trading
✓ Adjust Min Wick Ratio lower (0.20) on higher timeframes where wicks tend to be smaller
Best Markets
✓ Liquid instruments with clear trending behavior
✓ Futures, Forex, and large-cap equities
✓ Avoid during major news events when price action becomes erratic
Signal Filtering
✓ Grade A+ and A signals have highest confluence
✓ Grade B signals are acceptable with additional confirmation
✓ Grade C signals should generally be skipped
✓ Use the Assistant's ACTION guidance to understand why signals fire or don't fire
Trade Management
✓ T1 at 1× risk (1:1 R) — Consider taking partials
✓ T2 at 2× risk (2:1 R) — Move stop to breakeven
✓ T3 at 3× risk (3:1 R) — Full target, close remaining position
✓ Watch for phase invalidation (opposite SHIFT) as hard stop signal
🔔 ALERTS
THE SHIFT includes comprehensive alert conditions:
✓ SHIFT Long — Bullish entry signal
✓ SHIFT Short — Bearish entry signal
✓ T1/T2/T3 Hit — Target reached notifications
✓ Stopped Out — Stop level breached
✓ Shift Bullish/Bearish — Phase flip events (with or without trade signal)
Dynamic alerts include grade and wick percentage information for complete context.
📝 DEVELOPMENT NOTES
THE SHIFT emerged from extensive research into what makes reversal signals reliable versus unreliable. The key insight was that most failed reversals lack wick confirmation — the candle crosses a level but shows no evidence that the opposing force actually stepped in.
By requiring both the structural cross (price through ribbon midpoint) AND the wick confirmation (evidence of absorption), THE SHIFT filters out the low-quality signals that plague simpler crossover systems.
The intelligent Assistant panel was designed to function as a trading coach, helping traders understand not just WHEN to trade but WHY conditions are or aren't favorable. This educational component helps develop intuition over time.
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
This indicator is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential trading opportunities. It does not guarantee profits and should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
Always use proper risk management, position sizing appropriate to your account, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Paper trade any new system extensively before committing real capital.
The developer makes no claims about win rates, profit factors, or expected returns. Your results will vary based on market conditions, timeframe selection, and execution.
🎯 SUMMARY
THE SHIFT provides a unified approach to reversal detection:
✓ Simple Logic — Phase cross + wick confirmation = signal
✓ Quality Grading — Consensus scoring filters for best setups
✓ Visual Clarity — Dynamic trade management keeps charts clean
✓ Intelligent Coaching — Assistant explains market conditions in real-time
✓ Complete System — Entry, targets, stops, and management in one indicator
One objective. One system. Catch the shift.
"The market speaks in inflection points. THE SHIFT translates."
Taking you to school. — Dskyz , Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Strategy Battle: Lump Sum vs. DCA vs. Dip BuyingSummary This indicator is a "Strategy Battle" simulator designed to answer the ultimate investing question: Is it better to invest immediately, Dollar Cost Average (DCA), or wait for a market crash?
Unlike standard back-testers, this script simulates a realistic "High-Yield Savings" environment. It acknowledges that cash sitting on the sidelines is not dead money—it earns interest (e.g., 3-5%) while waiting for a buying opportunity. This levels the playing field and allows for a fair comparison between being fully invested vs. keeping "dry powder" for a crash.
The script compares 4 distinct strategies simultaneously on your chart, starting with a fresh yearly budget every January 1st.
he 4 Strategies
🔵 Option 1: Lump Sum (The "Set & Forget")
Takes the entire yearly budget and invests it all on the first trading day of the year.
Pros: Maximizes "time in the market."
Cons: vulnerable to buying at immediate peaks.
🟠 Option 2: DCA (The "Steady Earner")
Splits the yearly budget into 12 equal parts.
Invests monthly regardless of price.
The "Fairness" Twist: The money waiting to be spent sits in the cash pile and accumulates interest until it is deployed.
🟢 Option 3: Regression Sniper (The "Math Hunter")
Keeps the entire budget in cash (earning interest).
Watches a dynamic Linear Regression Channel.
Trigger: If the price drops below the channel, it goes "All-In," deploying all accumulated cash and interest immediately to buy the dip.
🔴 Option 4: Manual Sniper (The "Trend Hunter")
Keeps the entire budget in cash (earning interest).
Watches a User-Defined Growth Line (e.g., a straight line growing at 10% per year).
Trigger: If the price drops below this specific valuation line, it goes "All-In."
Detailed Settings & Options
💰 Money Settings
Yearly Budget ($): The amount of fresh capital injected into the simulation every January 1st.
Cash Interest Rate (%): The annual interest rate earned on uninvested cash (compounded monthly). This is crucial for accurately simulating the "opportunity cost" of holding cash.
⚙️ Sniper Settings (Option 3)
Channel Baseline Length: How far back the math looks to determine the "fair value" curve.
Vertical Shift (%): Move the buy zone up or down. Negative numbers (e.g., -5) make the strategy more conservative, waiting for deeper crashes.
Source: Defaults to Low to catch market wicks and intraday crashes.
📈 Manual Line Settings (Option 4)
Start Price ($): The valuation of the asset at the start of the simulation (Jan 1, Start Year).
Yearly Growth (%): The expected "fair" growth rate of the asset (e.g., S&P 500 average is ~10%).
Vertical Shift (%): Slide the manual line up or down to fine-tune your buy signal.
👁️ Visual Settings
Show Buy Price: Displays the exact dollar amount invested and the stock price at the moment of the buy on the chart labels.
Show Lump Sum Markers: Adds a Blue label at the start of every year to visualize the Lump Sum entry.
Show DCA Markers: Adds small Orange labels for every monthly buy.
Simple Perps Calculator## Simple Perps Calculator (Long & Short)
A lightweight on-chart trade calculator that visualizes **entry, take-profit, and liquidation levels** with leverage-adjusted returns — designed for fast planning and clean charts.
This indicator automatically detects **long or short positions** based on your target price and adjusts calculations accordingly. All key levels are displayed as **colored horizontal price lines** with matching labels positioned near the price scale for easy reference.
---
### Features
- Entry, Take-Profit, and Liquidation price levels
- Automatic **long / short detection**
- Leverage slider up to **1000×**
- Leveraged **percent gain** calculation
- Color-coded horizontal price lines:
- 🟡 Entry
- 🟢 Take-Profit
- 🔴 Liquidation
- Adjustable label positioning (left or right of chart)
- Horizontal offset control to move labels out of the way
- Clean, minimal, non-intrusive design
---
### How to Use
1. Set your **Entry Price**
2. Set your **Target Price**
3. Adjust **Leverage**
4. Move labels using the **horizontal offset** slider if needed
If the target price is above entry, the script assumes a **long** position. If below, it assumes a **short** position and places the liquidation level above entry automatically.
---
### Notes
- Liquidation price uses a simplified isolated-margin model
- Intended for **planning and visualization only**
- Actual exchange liquidation prices may vary due to fees and maintenance margin requirements
Crypto Professional Suite V2.0 [R2D2]Here is the complete professional documentation and strategy guide for your Crypto Pro Suite indicator. This guide is designed to help you install the tool correctly, understand its features, and utilize it to maximize your trading returns.
Crypto Pro Suite: The Professional Crypto Trader's All-In-One Toolkit
1. Introduction
The Crypto Pro Suite is a high-performance TradingView indicator designed to consolidate the five most critical technical analysis tools into a single, clean overlay.
Instead of cluttering your screen with multiple sub-charts (panes), this suite integrates Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci Levels directly onto the price action. It transforms "oscillator" data (RSI and MACD) into actionable Buy/Sell signals on your candles and a real-time Status Dashboard.
Key Features:
Zero Clutter: No bottom panes required; maximizes screen real estate for price analysis.
Real-Time Dashboard: Instant readout of Trend, RSI status, and MACD momentum.
Dynamic Overlay: Indicators move fluidly with your candles.
2. Installation Instructions
Follow these steps precisely to ensure the "Overlay" feature functions correctly.
Clean Slate: If you have any previous version of this script on your chart, remove it now (click the 'X' next to the indicator name).
Open Editor: Click the Pine Editor tab at the bottom of your TradingView screen.
Paste Code: Delete any existing text and paste the Final Polished Script provided in the previous response.
Save & Add: Click Save, then click Add to chart.
Note: By adding it fresh, TradingView forces the script to lock onto the price candles rather than a separate pane.
Verify: You should see colored lines (MAs, Bollinger Bands) directly on top of your candlesticks and a Dashboard in the top right.
3. Using the Script: Settings & Customization
Access the settings by clicking the Gear Icon next to the indicator name.
Dashboard: You can toggle the info panel On/Off or change its size (Tiny to Large) to fit your screen resolution.
Toggle Control: Each of the 5 indicators has a "Show" checkbox. You can turn off noise (e.g., hide Bollinger Bands) when you only want to focus on Trend (MAs).
Inputs:
MAs: Defaults are 50/200 (Classic Golden Cross setup).
RSI: Default is 14 length, 70/30 limits.
Fibs: Default lookback is 200 bars. Increase this number to find Support/Resistance over a longer timeframe.
4. Maximizing Returns: Strategy & Examples
To maximize returns, professionals do not use indicators in isolation. They look for Confluence—where multiple indicators signal the same direction simultaneously.
A. Moving Averages (Trend Filter)
The Setup: The script plots a Fast MA (Yellow) and Slow MA (Blue).
Strategy:
Golden Cross (Buy): When the Yellow line crosses above the Blue line. This signals the start of a long-term bull trend.
Death Cross (Sell): When the Yellow line crosses below the Blue line.
Pro Tip: Never go long (Buy) if price is significantly below the Blue (Slow) MA.
B. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Setup: Instead of a line graph, you will see labels on the candles: "RSI Buy" (Green) or "RSI Sell" (Red).
Strategy:
Mean Reversion: If you see an "RSI Sell" label, the asset is Overbought. This is often a signal to take profit, not necessarily to short.
The Dip Buy: Look for an "RSI Buy" label occurring during a general uptrend (price above Slow MA). This indicates a healthy pullback that is ready to bounce.
C. MACD (Momentum)
The Setup: Green Triangles (Buy) and Red Triangles (Sell) appear above/below candles.
Strategy:
Trend Confirmation: Use MACD to confirm the Moving Average. If price crosses above the MA and you get a Green MACD Triangle, the breakout has high momentum and is likely to succeed.
Exit Signal: If you are in a Long trade and see a Red MACD Triangle, momentum is fading. Consider tightening your stop-loss.
D. Bollinger Bands (Volatility)
The Setup: A shaded teal channel surrounding the price.
Strategy:
The Squeeze: When the bands get very narrow, a massive move is coming. Wait for the breakout.
Walking the Bands: In a strong crypto bull run, price will hug the Upper Band. If price closes outside the band and then immediately closes inside it, it is a reversal signal (Sell).
E. Fibonacci Retracement (Support/Resistance)
The Setup: Dynamic horizontal lines (0%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 100%) based on recent highs/lows.
Strategy:
The Golden Pocket: The most powerful buy zone in crypto is between the 0.5 and 0.618 lines.
Execution: If price falls to the 0.618 line and you see an "RSI Buy" or MACD Green Triangle appear at that exact level, this is a high-probability entry.
5. The "Perfect Trade" Example
Putting it all together for maximum profit.
Context: The Dashboard says "MA Trend: Bullish."
Trigger: Price pulls back down and touches the 0.618 Fibonacci line.
Confirmation 1: Price is also touching the Lower Bollinger Band (acting as dynamic support).
Confirmation 2: An "RSI Buy" label appears on the candle.
Action: BUY.
Stop Loss: Place just below the 100% Fib line.
Take Profit: Sell half at the 0% Fib line (recent high) and let the rest ride.
AMT CVD [hardiman]█ OVERVIEW
AMT CVD is a Cumulative Volume Delta indicator with a unique numeric labeling system designed for the Auction Market Theory (AMT) methodology by Fabio Valentino.
Instead of just showing CVD as a line, this indicator displays numeric labels (+3, +2, +1, 0, -1, -2, -3) and "A" for Absorption, making it easy to identify the current phase of the AMT workflow at a glance.
█ KEY FEATURES
• CVD with numeric aggression labels (+3 to -3)
• "A" label for Absorption detection (high volume + price stagnation)
• Automatic Exhaustion detection (aggression fading)
• Entry signal markers (L for Long, S for Short)
• Real-time workflow dashboard
• Compact Mode for mobile users
• Customizable thresholds and colors
• Built-in alerts for each phase
█ THE NUMERIC LABEL SYSTEM
BUYER AGGRESSION:
• +3 = Extremely aggressive buying (delta > 3.5x average)
• +2 = Strong buying pressure (delta > 2.5x average)
• +1 = Mild buying pressure (delta > 1.5x average)
SELLER AGGRESSION:
• -1 = Mild selling pressure (delta > 1.5x average)
• -2 = Strong selling pressure (delta > 2.5x average)
• -3 = Extremely aggressive selling (delta > 3.5x average)
SPECIAL LABELS:
• 0 = Neutral / Exhaustion (no significant aggression)
• A = Absorption (high volume but price doesn't move)
█ AMT WORKFLOW
The indicator tracks the complete AMT entry workflow:
1️⃣ AGGRESSION → Look for +2/+3 or -2/-3 labels
2️⃣ ABSORPTION → Wait for "A" label (price held despite aggression)
3️⃣ EXHAUSTION → Watch labels decrease toward 0
4️⃣ ENTRY → Reversal label appears (direction change)
SHORT SETUP EXAMPLE (at resistance):
+1 → +2 → +3 → A → A → +1 → 0 → -1 → ENTRY SHORT
LONG SETUP EXAMPLE (at support):
-1 → -2 → -3 → A → A → -1 → 0 → +1 → ENTRY LONG
█ DASHBOARD
The dashboard shows real-time status:
• Stage: Current workflow phase (1-5)
• Aggression: Current numeric level
• Absorption: ✓ NOW / ○ RECENT / ✗ NONE
• Exhaustion: ✓ YES / ○ NO
• Signal: WAIT / WATCH / READY / LONG / SHORT
█ HOW TO USE
1. Add this indicator to a separate pane below your chart
2. Use TradingView's built-in SVP HD for key levels (POC/VAH/VAL)
3. Add AMT VWAP for bias determination
4. Wait for price to reach a key level
5. Watch the CVD labels for the AMT sequence
6. Enter when the dashboard shows "READY" or entry signal appears
█ RECOMMENDED SETUP
Complete AMT toolkit:
• Main Chart: SVP HD (built-in) + AMT VWAP
• Lower Pane: AMT CVD (this indicator)
Timeframes:
• Higher TF (H1/H4): Identify structure and key levels
• Entry TF (15m): Execute using this CVD indicator
█ SETTINGS
Display:
• Compact Mode - Simplified view for mobile
• Show Numeric Labels - Toggle the +3/-3 labels
• Label Size - Adjust for your preference
• Dashboard Position - Move to any corner
CVD Settings:
• Relative Length - Period for threshold calculation (default: 20)
• Threshold 1/2/3 - Multipliers for aggression levels
Absorption:
• Volume Multiplier - How much above average = high volume (default: 1.5x)
• Price Threshold - Max price change % for absorption (default: 0.1%)
Colors:
• Fully customizable for buyer/seller/absorption
█ ALERTS
• Absorption Detected - "A" label appears
• Exhaustion Detected - Aggression fading to 0
• Long Entry Signal - Full sequence complete for long
• Short Entry Signal - Full sequence complete for short
█ IMPORTANT NOTES
⚠️ CVD APPROXIMATION: This indicator approximates volume delta from OHLC data. For more accurate CVD, consider using exchange-native order flow tools or Volume Suite by Leviathan as a reference.
⚠️ CONFIRMATION REQUIRED: Signals should be confirmed with:
• Price at key level (VAH/VAL/POC)
• Visual rejection (wicks)
• Higher timeframe bias alignment
█ METHODOLOGY
Based on Auction Market Theory by Fabio Valentino:
"Don't predict, READ the market. Wait for evidence: Aggression → Absorption → Exhaustion → then Execute."
Core principles:
• Location is more important than technique
• Be wrong immediately (tight stops at invalidation)
• Evidence-based entries only
█ CREDITS
Based on Auction Market Theory methodology by Fabio Valentino.
Designed for traders who want a systematic, evidence-based approach.
If this helps your trading, please leave a like! 👍
Questions? Drop a comment below.
```
---
## TAGS (for TradingView)
```
cvd, cumulative-volume-delta, volume-delta, order-flow, auction-market-theory, amt, fabio-valentino, absorption, exhaustion, aggression, entry-signal, day-trading, intraday, volume-analysis, delta
```
---
## CATEGORY
```
Volume
```
Adaptive Bull Ratio Strategy█ Overview: Why This Strategy
Most option strategies fall into two traps:
They are too rigid: A "Call Ratio Spread" works great in slow markets but gets destroyed if the market rallies hard.
They are too simple: A simple "Buy Call" suffers from time decay (Theta) if the market chops sideways.
The Adaptive Bull Ratio Strategy solves both . It is a living strategy that "shifts gears" based on price action.
It is called "Adaptive" because it morphs its structure three times during a trade. It starts conservative to harvest Time Decay, but if the market explodes upwards, it "uncaps" itself to ride the trend aggressively.
█ The Entry Philosophy: Why Supertrend?
The default setting uses the Supertrend indicator as the trigger. This is intentional:
Volatility Awareness: Supertrend adapts to market noise using ATR. In high volatility, bands widen to prevent false entries.
Trend Confirmation: Since Phase 1 involves selling options, entering "too early" against a falling market is dangerous. Supertrend forces patience, waiting for a confirmed reversal (Close > Trend Line), ensuring the momentum is actually in your favor before you commit capital.
The "Drift" Benefit: This strategy excels in markets that "drift" upwards. Supertrend identifies these trends while filtering out short-term chop.
Flexibility with External Sources:
While Supertrend is the default, the strategy is designed to be flexible. You can enable the 'Enable External Source' option in the settings to plug in any custom indicator (e.g., Moving Averages, Parabolic SAR, or a proprietary trendline).
The Golden Rule for External Sources: The script interprets a Bullish Signal whenever your External Source line is below the Close price (Ext Source < Close).
Compatibility: As long as your custom indicator behaves like a support line in an uptrend (plotting below the candles), it will work seamlessly with this strategy's logic.
█ The "Long Only" Rationale: Avoiding the Volatility Trap
Why not trade this on the short side (Puts) during crashes?
The Volatility Trap (Vega Risk): In Bull markets, Implied Volatility (IV) usually drops, helping your sold options decay faster. In Bear markets, IV explodes (panic). Selling OTM Puts during a crash is dangerous as their value skyrockets, neutralizing gains.
Velocity Risk: Bear markets crash fast ("Elevator Down"). Prices can blow through adjustment levels faster than the strategy can safely roll down, causing slippage.
Structural Skew: OTM Puts are inherently more expensive. Buying expensive ITM Puts and selling expensive OTM Puts shifts the breakeven further away, making V-shape recoveries painful.
█ How It Works & Stands Out
This strategy actively transforms risk profiles based on market movement:
Phase 1: The "Safe" Start (Entry)
Setup: Initiates a Call Ratio Spread (Buy 2 ITM, Sell 4 OTM) + Protective Puts.
Logic: Profits from sideways drift or slow rallies via Time Decay (Theta). The sold options finance the trade.
Phase 2: The "Shift" (Adjustment Level 1)
Trigger: Market moves above Leg 2 (3 OTM Call).
Action: Rolls Up the position. Exits initial legs, enters new higher legs, and adds a Short Put to finance the roll.
Impact: Aggressive. You bet the trend is strong enough to support the added downside risk of the short put.
Phase 3: The "Uncap" (Adjustment Level 2)
Trigger: Market moves above Leg 3 (4 OTM Call).
Action: Exits all Sold Calls.
Impact: Uncaps profit potential. The trade becomes a Net Long position (Long Calls + Short Puts), allowing you to ride a massive rally without a ceiling.
Phase 4: The "Lock-In" (Optional Trail Adjustment)
Trigger: The market goes parabolic (price rises X levels above Leg 3, configurable in settings).
Action (If Enabled):
Call Adj: Exits the Phase 3 calls and buys fresh 1-OTM calls (Rolling Up to lock profits).
Put Adj: Exits all Put legs (Removing downside risk completely).
Impact: Maximum Safety. This phase is about "banking" the windfall from a massive rally and leaving a smaller, risk-free runner to capture any final extension.
█ How to Start: A Quick Setup Guide
Step 1: Map Expiry Dates
Manually input your trading expiry dates in Settings -> Expiry Management.
Format: YYYY-MM-DD (e.g., 2025-12-25). Strict adherence required for DhanHQ.
Step 2: Configure Symbol & Size
Exchange/Symbol: Enter NSE and NIFTY (or your ticker).
Lot Multiplier: Default is 1. Set to 2 to double all quantities (e.g., Buy 2 becomes Buy 4).
Step 3: Understand Visuals
Entry Window (Light Blue): Strategy is scanning for new trades.
Non-Entry Window (Dark Blue): Trading blocked (Day before Expiry & Expiry Day). Only management allowed.
Green Box: Valid Late Entry Zone.
Red Dashed Line: Invalidation Level (if price touches this, no late entry).
Fuchsia Line: Trigger level for Special Trail Adjustments (Phase 4).
IMPORTANT: Broker & Technology Heads-Up:
The alerts generated by this script ({"secret": "...", "alertType": "multi_leg_order"...}) are specifically formatted for the DhanHQ webhook structure.
Dhan Users: Plug-and-play.
Other Brokers: You need middleware (NextLevelBot, Quantiply) to parse the JSON.
█ Risk Disclaimer & Advice
Trading options involves substantial risk.
The Whipsaw Risk: In Phase 2, you are Long Calls and Short Puts. A sharp reversal causes losses on both sides.
Margin: Selling options requires significant margin. Keep a 15-20% cash buffer to handle adjustments instantly.
Testing: This strategy is optimized for NIFTY Weekly Options. Effectiveness on BankNifty or Stocks is untested and may require parameter tuning.
Advice:
Backtest: Use TradingView Replay.
Paper Trade: Run for at least one expiry cycle before live deployment.
Consult: Seek professional financial advice before trading.
Practical Tips for Smooth Execution
For a new trader deploying this system, these operational tips are vital:
Capital Buffer: Do not trade at your limit. Always keep 10-15% free cash in your broker account. Adjustments (specifically Phase 2, where you sell an extra Put) require additional margin instantly. If margin is short, the order fails, and your hedge breaks.
Liquidity Awareness : The script trades "Far Deep OTM" options (Leg 4) to reduce margin. On indices like Nifty/BankNifty, this is fine. On individual stocks, these deep strikes might be illiquid. Check the option chain volume before deploying on stocks.
Trust the Process (but Verify) : While the algo drives, you are the pilot.
Check your API connection every morning.
Ensure the "Entry Window" background color on the chart matches your real-world date.
Verify that your broker executed all legs of a multi-leg order (partial fills are rare but possible).
The "Human" Stop: If major news breaks (e.g., unexpected election results, war announcements), volatility can expand faster than any algo can react. It is acceptable—and smart—to pause the strategy during known "Black Swan" events or earnings releases.
█ Timeframe Selection: The 30-Minute Standard
Critical Requirement: This indicator must be applied to a 30-minute chart.
Why?
Noise Filtering: The Supertrend logic is tuned to capture multi-day trends. Lower timeframes (5m, 15m) are full of "noise"—random fluctuations that look like trend changes but aren't.
Execution Logic (The Hybrid Engine): The script has a built-in "Dual Timeframe" architecture.
Decision Layer (30m): Uses the chart timeframe to decide when to be Bullish or Bearish.
Execution Layer (5m): Internally fetches 5-minute data to manage the how (Adjustments, Late Entries, and precise invalidation).
The Risk of Lower Timeframes: If you run the main chart on 5-minutes, you destroy this hierarchy. You will get too many signals, pay too much brokerage, and the internal logic may behave erratically.
Recommendation: Always keep your TradingView chart interval at 30m. Do not switch to lower timeframes expecting "faster" signals; you will likely just get "false" signals.
█ Testing Scope, Feedback
⚠️ Important Note on Asset Classes:
This strategy logic and the associated strike step calculations have been rigorously tested ONLY on NIFTY Index Options with Weekly Expiry.
BankNifty / Sensex / FinNifty: The volatility characteristics (ATR) and strike intervals of these instruments differ significantly from NIFTY. The effectiveness of this strategy on these other scripts has not been verified and may require different parameter tuning (e.g., strike_step or ATR Length).
Stocks: Individual stock options often lack the liquidity required for the "Deep OTM" legs, leading to potential execution failures.
We encourage traders to backtest this logic on other indices and share their findings! If you find a robust parameter set for BankNifty or observe unique behaviors on other scripts, please let us know in the comments below so we can improve the algorithm for everyone. Your feedback is appriciated.
