Gyspy Bot Trade Engine - V1.2B - Strategy 12-7-25 - SignalLynxGypsy Bot Trade Engine (MK6 V1.2B) - Ultimate Strategy & Backtest
Brought to you by Signal Lynx | Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
1. Executive Summary & Architecture
Gypsy Bot (MK6 V1.2B) is not merely a strategy; it is a massive, modular Trade Engine built specifically for the TradingView Pine Script environment. While most strategies rely on a single dominant indicator (like an RSI cross or a MACD flip) to generate signals, Gypsy Bot functions as a sophisticated Consensus Algorithm.
The engine calculates data from up to 12 distinct Technical Analysis Modules simultaneously on every bar closing. It aggregates these signals into a "Vote Count" and only executes a trade entry when a user-defined threshold of concurring signals is met. This "Voting System" acts as a noise filter, requiring multiple independent mathematical models—ranging from volume flow and momentum to cyclical harmonics and trend strength—to agree on market direction before capital is committed.
Beyond entries, Gypsy Bot features a proprietary Risk Management suite called the Dump Protection Team (DPT). This logic layer operates independently of the entry modules, specifically scanning for "Moon" (Parabolic) or "Nuke" (Crash) volatility events to force-exit positions, overriding standard stops to preserve capital during Black Swan events.
2. ⚠️ The Philosophy of "Curve Fitting" (Must Read)
One must be careful when applying Gypsy Bot to new pairs or charts.
To be fully transparent: Gypsy Bot is, by definition, a very advanced curve-fitting engine. Because it grants the user granular control over 12 modules, dozens of thresholds, and specific voting requirements, it is extremely easy to "over-fit" the data. You can easily toggle switches until the backtest shows a 100% win rate, only to have the strategy fail immediately in live markets because it was tuned to historical noise rather than market structure.
To use this engine successfully, you must adopt a specific optimization mindset:
Ignore Raw Net Profit: Do not tune for the highest dollar amount. A strategy that makes $1M in the backtest but has a 40% drawdown is useless.
Prioritize Stability: Look for a high Profit Factor (1.5+), a high Percent Profitable, and a smooth equity curve.
Regular Maintenance is Mandatory: Markets shift regimes (e.g., from Bull Trend to Crab Range). Parameters that worked perfectly in 2021 may fail in 2024. Gypsy Bot settings should be reviewed and adjusted at regular intervals (e.g., quarterly) to ensure the voting logic remains aligned with current market volatility.
Timeframe Recommendations:
Gypsy Bot is optimized for High Time Frame (HTF) trend following. It generally produces the most reliable results on charts ranging from 1-Hour to 12-Hours, with the 4-Hour timeframe historically serving as the "sweet spot" for most major cryptocurrency assets.
3. The Voting Mechanism: How Entries Are Generated
The heart of the Gypsy Bot engine is the ActivateOrders input (found in the "Order Signal Modifier" settings).
The engine constantly monitors the output of all enabled Modules.
Long Votes: GoLongCount
Short Votes: GoShortCount
If you have 10 Modules enabled, and you set ActivateOrders to 7:
The engine will ONLY trigger a Buy Entry if 7 or more modules return a valid "Buy" signal on the same closed candle.
If only 6 modules agree, the trade is rejected.
This allows you to mix "Leading" indicators (Oscillators) with "Lagging" indicators (Moving Averages) to create a high-probability entry signal that requires momentum, volume, and trend to all be in alignment.
4. Technical Deep Dive: The 12 Modules
Gypsy Bot allows you to toggle the following modules On/Off individually to suit the asset you are trading.
Module 1: Modified Slope Angle (MSA)
Logic: Calculates the geometric angle of a moving average relative to the timeline.
Function: It filters out "lazy" trends. A trend is only considered valid if the slope exceeds a specific steepness threshold. This helps avoid entering trades during weak drifts that often precede a reversal.
Module 2: Correlation Trend Indicator (CTI)
Logic: Based on John Ehlers' work, this measures how closely the current price action correlates to a straight line (a perfect trend).
Function: It outputs a confidence score (-1 to 1). Gypsy Bot uses this to ensure that we are not just moving up, but moving up with high statistical correlation, reducing fake-outs.
Module 3: Ehlers Roofing Filter
Logic: A sophisticated spectral filter that combines a High-Pass filter (to remove long-term drift) with a Super Smoother (to remove high-frequency noise).
Function: It attempts to isolate the "Roof" of the price action. It is excellent at catching cyclical turning points before standard moving averages react.
Module 4: Forecast Oscillator
Logic: Uses Linear Regression forecasting to predict where price "should" be relative to where it is.
Function: When the Forecast Oscillator crosses its zero line, it indicates that the regression trend has flipped. We offer both "Aggressive" and "Conservative" calculation modes for this module.
Module 5: Chandelier ATR Stop
Logic: A volatility-based trend follower that hangs a "leash" (ATR multiple) from the highest high (for longs) or lowest low (for shorts).
Function: Used here as an entry filter. If price is above the Chandelier line, the trend is Bullish. It also includes a "Bull/Bear Qualifier" check to ensure structural support.
Module 6: Crypto Market Breadth (CMB)
Logic: This is a macro-filter. It pulls data from multiple major tickers (BTC, ETH, and Perpetual Contracts) across different exchanges.
Function: It calculates a "Market Health" percentage. If Bitcoin is rising but the rest of the market is dumping, this module can veto a trade, ensuring you don't buy into a "fake" rally driven by a single asset.
Module 7: Directional Index Convergence (DIC)
Logic: Analyzes the convergence/divergence between Fast and Slow Directional Movement indices.
Function: Identifies when trend strength is expanding. A buy signal is generated only when the positive directional movement overpowers the negative movement with expanding momentum.
Module 8: Market Thrust Indicator (MTI)
Logic: A volume-weighted breadth indicator. It uses Advance/Decline data and Up/Down Volume data.
Function: This is one of the most powerful modules. It confirms that price movement is supported by actual volume flow. We recommend using the "SSMA" (Super Smoother) MA Type for the cleanest signals on the 4H chart.
Module 9: Simple Ichimoku Cloud
Logic: Traditional Japanese trend analysis using the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.
Function: Checks for a "Kumo Breakout." Price must be fully above the Cloud (for longs) or below it (for shorts). This is a classic "trend confirmation" module.
Module 10: Simple Harmonic Oscillator
Logic: Analyzes the harmonic wave properties of price action to detect cyclical tops and bottoms.
Function: Serves as a counter-trend or early-reversal detector. It tries to identify when a cycle has bottomed out (for buys) or topped out (for sells) before the main trend indicators catch up.
Module 11: HSRS Compression / Super AO
Logic: Two options in one.
HSRS: Hirashima Sugita Resistance Support. Detects volatility compression (squeezes) relative to dynamic support/resistance bands.
Super AO: A combination of the Awesome Oscillator and SuperTrend logic.
Function: Great for catching explosive moves that result from periods of low volatility (consolidation).
Module 12: Fisher Transform (MTF)
Logic: Converts price data into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Function: Identifies extreme price deviations. This module uses Multi-Timeframe (MTF) logic to look at higher-timeframe trends (e.g., looking at the Daily Fisher while trading the 4H chart) to ensure you aren't trading against the major trend.
5. Global Inhibitors (The Veto Power)
Even if 12 out of 12 modules vote "Buy," Gypsy Bot performs a final safety check using Global Inhibitors. If any of these are triggered, the trade is blocked.
Bitcoin Halving Logic:
Hardcoded dates for past and projected future Bitcoin halvings (up to 2040).
Trading is inhibited or restricted during the chaotic weeks immediately surrounding a Halving event to avoid volatility crushes.
Miner Capitulation:
Uses Hash Rate Ribbons (Moving averages of Hash Rate).
If miners are capitulating (Shutting down rigs due to unprofitability), the engine flags a "Bearish" regime and can flip logic to Short-only or flat.
ADX Filter (Flat Market Protocol):
If the Average Directional Index (ADX) is below a specific threshold (e.g., 20), the market is deemed "Flat/Choppy." The bot will refuse to open trend-following trades in a flat market.
CryptoCap Trend:
Checks the total Crypto Market Cap chart. If the broad market is in a downtrend, it can inhibit Long entries on individual altcoins.
6. Risk Management & The Dump Protection Team (DPT)
Gypsy Bot separates "Entry Logic" from "Risk Management Logic."
Dump Protection Team (DPT)
This is a specialized logic branch designed to save the account during Black Swan events.
Nuke Protection: If the DPT detects a volatility signature consistent with a flash crash, it overrides all other logic and forces an immediate exit.
Moon Protection: If a parabolic pump is detected that violates statistical probability (Bollinger deviations), DPT can force a profit take before the inevitable correction.
Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stop (AATS)
Unlike a static trailing stop (e.g., "trail by 5%"), AATS is dynamic.
Penthouse Level: If price is at the top of the HSRS channel (High Volatility), the stop loosens to allow for wicks.
Dungeon Level: If price is compressed at the bottom, the stop tightens to protect capital.
Staged Take Profits
TP1: Scalp a portion (e.g., 10%) to cover fees and secure a win.
TP2: Take the bulk of profit.
TP3: Leave a "Runner" position with a loose trailing stop to catch "Moon" moves.
7. Recommended Setup Guide
When applying Gypsy Bot to a new chart, follow this sequence:
Set Timeframe: 4 Hours (4H).
Reset: Turn OFF Trailing Stop, Stop Loss, and Take Profits. (We want to see raw entry performance first).
Tune DPT: Adjust "Dump/Moon Protection" inputs first. These have the highest impact on net performance.
Tune Module 8 (MTI): This module is a heavy filter. Experiment with the MA Type (SSMA is recommended).
Select Modules: Enable/Disable modules 1-12 based on the asset's personality (Trending vs. Ranging).
Voting Threshold: Adjust ActivateOrders. A lower number = More Trades (Aggressive). A higher number = Fewer, higher conviction trades (Conservative).
Final Polish: Re-enable Stop Losses, Trailing Stops, and Staged Take Profits to smooth the equity curve and define your max risk per trade.
8. Technical Specs
Engine Version: Pine Script V6
Repainting: This strategy uses Closed Candle data for all Risk Management and Entry decisions. This ensures that Backtest results align closely with real-time behavior (no repainting of historical signals).
Alerts: This script generates Strategy alerts. If you require visual-only alerts, see the source code header for instructions on switching to "Study" (Indicator) mode.
Disclaimer:
This script is a complex algorithmic tool for market analysis. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this tool to assist your own decision-making, not to replace it.
9. About Signal Lynx
Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
Signal Lynx focuses on helping traders and developers bridge the gap between indicator logic and real-world automation. The same RM engine you see here powers multiple internal systems and templates, including other public scripts like the Super-AO Strategy with Advanced Risk Management.
We provide this code open source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0) to:
Demonstrate how Adaptive Logic and structured Risk Management can outperform static, one-layer indicators
Give Pine Script users a battle-tested RM backbone they can reuse, remix, and extend
If you are looking to automate your TradingView strategies, route signals to exchanges, or simply want safer, smarter strategy structures, please keep Signal Lynx in your search.
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (Open Source).
If you make beneficial modifications, please consider releasing them back to the community so everyone can benefit.
Sentiment
Momentum Reversal / Dip Buyer [Score Based]Strategy Overview
Momentum Reversal / Dip Buyer is a quantitative reversal engine designed to fade stretched moves and buy dips / sell rallies when multiple momentum and context factors line up. It’s built for liquid instruments especially for ticker CME_MINI:ES1! and works best on intraday timeframes like the 5-minute or 1-minute chart.
Core Logic
This strategy builds a composite Momentum Score by combining:
Price Location: Relative to 100 SMA, 1000 EMA, and VWAP (trend / regime filter).
RSI: Overbought/oversold and mid-zone strength.
VWMO (Volume-Weighted Momentum): Direction and strength of volume-weighted price drift.
ADX: Trend strength filter (high vs low trend environment).
Full Stoch (%K): Short-term exhaustion and mean-reversion context.
CCI: Overbought/oversold turns (key trigger).
MFI: Volume-confirmed buying/selling pressure.
ATR Regime: High vs low volatility environment.
Cumulative Delta: Whether net aggressor flow is rising or falling.
From this, a single Momentum Score is computed each bar:
Longs: Taken when the score is depressed (scoreLow) and CCI crosses up from oversold.
Shorts: Taken when the score is elevated (scoreHigh) and CCI crosses down from overbought.
Risk Management & Trade Logic
Max Daily Trades: Hard cap on entries per day.
Hard Stop: Fixed % stop based on entry price.
Profit Target: Target ATR Multiplier × main ATR from entry.
Breakeven Logic: Optional; moves stop to breakeven (plus optional offset) after price moves a configurable multiple of the main ATR in your favor.
Trailing Stop (Separate ATR): Optional; uses its own ATR length and ATR-based trigger and distance. This lets you run slower ATR for targets while using a tighter, more reactive ATR for the trail.
Session Control
Trading Window: Optional session filter (e.g., 09:30–16:00). Entries are only allowed inside the defined window.
Force Flat at Session End: Option to automatically close all open positions when the session ends.
Visuals
The script plots entry arrows and a compact dashboard displaying: current Momentum Score, daily trade usage, and CCI status.
Disclaimer:
This script is for educational and research purposes only and is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always forward-test and adjust parameters to your own risk tolerance and market.
Shoutout and all credit goes to AuclairsCapital for building the base foundation of this strategy on ThinkScript
BTC Fear & Greed Incremental StrategyIMPORTANT: READ SETUP GUIDE BELOW OR IT WON'T WORK
# BTC Fear & Greed Incremental Strategy — TradeMaster AI (Pure BTC Stack)
## Strategy Overview
This advanced Bitcoin accumulation strategy is designed for long-term hodlers who want to systematically take profits during greed cycles and accumulate during fear periods, while preserving their core BTC position. Unlike traditional strategies that start with cash, this approach begins with a specified BTC allocation, making it perfect for existing Bitcoin holders who want to optimize their stack management.
## Key Features
### 🎯 **Pure BTC Stack Mode**
- Start with any amount of BTC (configurable)
- Strategy manages your existing stack, not new purchases
- Perfect for hodlers who want to optimize without timing markets
### 📊 **Fear & Greed Integration**
- Uses market sentiment data to drive buy/sell decisions
- Configurable thresholds for greed (selling) and fear (buying) triggers
- Automatic validation to ensure proper 0-100 scale data source
### 🐂 **Bull Year Optimization**
- Smart quarterly selling during bull market years (2017, 2021, 2025)
- Q1: 1% sells, Q2: 2% sells, Q3/Q4: 5% sells (configurable)
- **NO SELLING** during non-bull years - pure accumulation mode
- Preserves BTC during early bull phases, maximizes profits at peaks
### 🐻 **Bear Market Intelligence**
- Multi-regime detection: Bull, Early Bear, Deep Bear, Early Bull
- Different buying strategies based on market conditions
- Enhanced buying during deep bear markets with configurable multipliers
- Visual regime backgrounds for easy market condition identification
### 🛡️ **Risk Management**
- Minimum BTC allocation floor (prevents selling entire stack)
- Configurable position sizing for all trades
- Multiple safety checks and validation
### 📈 **Advanced Visualization**
- Clean 0-100 scale with 2 decimal precision
- Three main indicators: BTC Allocation %, Fear & Greed Index, BTC Holdings
- Real-time portfolio tracking with cash position display
- Enhanced info table showing all key metrics
## How to Use
### **Step 1: Setup**
1. Add the strategy to your BTC/USD chart (daily timeframe recommended)
2. **CRITICAL**: In settings, change the "Fear & Greed Source" from "close" to a proper 0-100 Fear & Greed indicator
---------------
I recommend Crypto Fear & Greed Index by TIA_Technology indicator
When selecting source with this indicator, look for "Crypto Fear and Greed Index:Index"
---------------
3. Set your "Starting BTC Quantity" to match your actual holdings
4. Configure your preferred "Start Date" (when you want the strategy to begin)
### **Step 2: Configure Bull Year Logic**
- Enable "Bull Year Logic" (default: enabled)
- Adjust quarterly sell percentages:
- Q1 (Jan-Mar): 1% (conservative early bull)
- Q2 (Apr-Jun): 2% (moderate mid bull)
- Q3/Q4 (Jul-Dec): 5% (aggressive peak targeting)
- Add future bull years to the list as needed
### **Step 3: Fine-tune Thresholds**
- **Greed Threshold**: 80 (sell when F&G > 80)
- **Fear Threshold**: 20 (buy when F&G < 20 in bull markets)
- **Deep Bear Fear Threshold**: 25 (enhanced buying in bear markets)
- Adjust based on your risk tolerance
### **Step 4: Risk Management**
- Set "Minimum BTC Allocation %" (default 20%) - prevents selling entire stack
- Configure sell/buy percentages based on your position size
- Enable bear market filters for enhanced timing
### **Step 5: Monitor Performance**
- **Orange Line**: Your BTC allocation percentage (target: fluctuate between 20-100%)
- **Blue Line**: Actual BTC holdings (should preserve core position)
- **Pink Line**: Fear & Greed Index (drives all decisions)
- **Table**: Real-time portfolio metrics including cash position
## Reading the Indicators
### **BTC Allocation Percentage (Orange Line)**
- **100%**: All portfolio in BTC, no cash available for buying
- **80%**: 80% BTC, 20% cash ready for fear buying
- **20%**: Minimum allocation, maximum cash position
### **Trading Signals**
- **Green Buy Signals**: Appear during fear periods with available cash
- **Red Sell Signals**: Appear during greed periods in bull years only
- **No Signals**: Either allocation limits reached or non-bull year
## Strategy Logic
### **Bull Years (2017, 2021, 2025)**
- Q1: Conservative 1% sells (preserve stack for later)
- Q2: Moderate 2% sells (gradual profit taking)
- Q3/Q4: Aggressive 5% sells (peak targeting)
- Fear buying active (accumulate on dips)
### **Non-Bull Years**
- **Zero selling** - pure accumulation mode
- Enhanced fear buying during bear markets
- Focus on rebuilding stack for next bull cycle
## Important Notes
- **This is not financial advice** - backtest thoroughly before use
- Designed for **long-term holders** (4+ year cycles)
- **Requires proper Fear & Greed data source** - validate in settings
- Best used on **daily timeframe** for major trend following
- **Cash calculations**: Use allocation % and BTC holdings to calculate available cash: `Cash = (Total Portfolio × (1 - Allocation%/100))`
## Risk Disclaimer
This strategy involves active trading and position management. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose. The strategy is designed for educational purposes and long-term Bitcoin accumulation thesis.
---
*Developed by Sol_Crypto for the Bitcoin community. Happy stacking! 🚀*
Superior-Range Bound Renko - Strategy - 11-29-25 - SignalLynxSuperior-Range Bound Renko Strategy with Advanced Risk Management Template
Signal Lynx | Free Scripts supporting Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
1. Overview
Welcome to Superior-Range Bound Renko (RBR) — a volatility-aware, structure-respecting swing-trading system built on top of a full Risk Management (RM) Template from Signal Lynx.
Instead of relying on static lookbacks (like “14-period RSI”) or plain MA crosses, Superior RBR:
Adapts its range definition to market volatility in real time
Emulates Renko Bricks on a standard, time-based chart (no Renko chart type required)
Uses a stack of Laguerre Filters to detect genuine impulse vs. noise
Adds an Adaptive SuperTrend powered by a small k-means-style clustering routine on volatility
Under the hood, this script also includes the full Signal Lynx Risk Management Engine:
A state machine that separates “Signal” from “Execution”
Layered exit tools: Stop Loss, Trailing Stop, Staged Take Profit, Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stop (AATS), and an RSI-style stop (RSIS)
Designed for non-repainting behavior on closed candles by basing execution-critical logic on previous-bar data
We are publishing this as an open-source template so traders and developers can leverage a professional-grade RM engine while integrating their own signal logic if they wish.
2. Quick Action Guide (TL;DR)
Best Timeframe:
4 Hours (H4) and above. This is a high-conviction swing-trading system, not a scalper.
Best Assets:
Volatile instruments that still respect market structure:
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold (XAUUSD), high-volatility Forex pairs (e.g., GBPJPY), indices with clean ranges.
Strategy Type:
Volatility-Adaptive Trend Following + Impulse Detection.
It hunts for genuine expansion out of ranges, not tiny mean-reversion nibbles.
Key Feature:
Renko Emulation on time-based candles.
We mathematically model Renko Bricks and overlay them on your standard chart to define:
“Equilibrium” zones (inside the brick structure)
“Breakout / impulse” zones (when price AND the impulse line depart from the bricks)
Repainting:
Designed to be non-repainting on closed candles.
All RM execution logic uses confirmed historical data (no future bars, no security() lookahead). Intrabar flicker during formation is allowed, but once a bar closes the engine’s decisions are stable.
Core Toggles & Filters:
Enable Longs and Shorts independently
Optional Weekend filter (block trades on Saturday/Sunday)
Per-module toggles: Stop Loss, Trailing Stop, Staged Take Profits, AATS, RSIS
3. Detailed Report: How It Works
A. The Strategy Logic: Superior RBR
Superior RBR builds its entry signal from multiple mathematical layers working together.
1) Adaptive Lookback (Volatility Normalization)
Instead of a fixed 100-bar or 200-bar range, the script:
Computes ATR-based volatility over a user-defined period.
Normalizes that volatility relative to its recent min/max.
Maps the normalized value into a dynamic lookback window between a minimum and maximum (e.g., 4 to 100 bars).
High Volatility:
The lookback shrinks, so the system reacts faster to explosive moves.
Low Volatility:
The lookback expands, so the system sees a “bigger picture” and filters out chop.
All the core “Range High/Low” and “Range Close High/Low” boundaries are built on top of this adaptive window.
2) Range Construction & Quick Ranges
The engine constructs several nested ranges:
Outer Range:
rangeHighFinal – dynamic highest high
rangeLowFinal – dynamic lowest low
Inner Close Range:
rangeCloseHighFinal – highest close
rangeCloseLowFinal – lowest close
Quick Ranges:
“Half-length” variants of those, used to detect more responsive changes in structure and volatility.
These ranges define:
The macro box price is trading inside
Shorter-term “pressure zones” where price is coiling before expansion
3) Renko Emulation (The Bricks)
Rather than using the Renko chart type (which discards time), this script emulates Renko behavior on your normal candles:
A “brick size” is defined either:
As a standard percentage move, or
As a volatility-driven (ATR) brick, optionally inhibited by a minimum standard size
The engine tracks a base value and derives:
brickUpper – top of the emulated brick
brickLower – bottom of the emulated brick
When price moves sufficiently beyond those levels, the brick “shifts”, and the directional memory (renkoDir) updates:
renkoDir = +2 when bricks are advancing upward
renkoDir = -2 when bricks are stepping downward
You can think of this as a synthetic Renko tape overlaid on time-based candles:
Inside the brick: equilibrium / consolidation
Breaking away from the brick: momentum / expansion
4) Impulse Tracking with Laguerre Filters
The script uses multiple Laguerre Filters to smooth price and brick-derived data without traditional lag.
Key filters include:
LagF_1 / LagF_W: Based on brick upper/lower baselines
LagF_Q: Based on HLCC4 (high + low + 2×close)/4
LagF_Y / LagF_P: Complex averages combining brick structures and range averages
LagF_V (Primary Impulse Line):
A smooth, high-level impulse line derived from a blend of the above plus the outer ranges
Conceptually:
When the impulse line pushes away from the brick structure and continues in one direction, an impulse move is underway.
When its direction flips and begins to roll over, the impulse is fading, hinting at mean reversion back into the range.
5) Fib-Based Structure & Swaps
The system also layers in Fib levels derived from the adaptive ranges:
Standard levels (12%, 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61%, 76.8%, 88%) from the main range
A secondary “swap” set derived from close-range dynamics (fib12Swap, fib23Swap, etc.)
These Fibs are used to:
Bucket price into structural zones (below 12, between 23–38, etc.)
Detect breakouts when price and Laguerre move beyond key Fib thresholds
Drive zSwap logic (where a secondary Fib set becomes the active structure once certain conditions are met)
6) Adaptive SuperTrend with K-Means-Style Volatility Clustering
Under the hood, the script uses a small k-means-style clustering routine on ATR:
ATR is measured over a fixed period
The range of ATR values is split into Low, Medium, High volatility centroids
Current ATR is assigned to the nearest centroid (cluster)
From that, a SuperTrend variant (STK) is computed with dynamic sensitivity:
In quiet markets, SuperTrend can afford to be tighter
In wild markets, it widens appropriately to avoid constant whipsaw
This SuperTrend-based oscillator (LagF_K and its signals) is then combined with the brick and Laguerre stack to confirm valid trend regimes.
7) Final Baseline Signals (+2 / -2)
The “brain” of Superior RBR lives in the Baseline & Signal Generation block:
Two composite signals are built: B1 and B2:
They combine:
Fib breakouts
Renko direction (renkoDir)
Expansion direction (expansionQuickDir)
Multiple Laguerre alignments (LagF_Q, LagF_W, LagF_Y, LagF_Z, LagF_P, LagF_V)
They also factor in whether Fib structures are expanding or contracting.
A user toggle selects the “Baseline” signal:
finalSig = B2 (default) or B1 (alternate baseline)
finalSig is then filtered through the RM state machine and only when everything aligns, we emit:
+2 = Long / Buy signal
-2 = Short / Sell signal
0 = No new trade
Those +2 / -2 values are what feed the Risk Management Engine.
B. The Risk Management (RM) Engine
This script features the Signal Lynx Risk Management Engine, a proprietary state machine built to separate Signal from Execution.
Instead of firing orders directly on indicator conditions, we:
Convert the raw signal into a clean integer (Fin = +2 / -2 / 0)
Feed it into a Trade State Machine that understands:
Are we flat?
Are we in a long or short?
Are we in a closing sequence?
Should we permit re-entry now or wait?
Logic Injection / Template Concept:
The RM engine expects a simple integer:
+2 → Buy
-2 → Sell
Everything else (0) is “no new trade”
This makes the script a template:
You can remove the Superior RBR block
Drop in your own logic (RSI, MACD, price action, etc.)
As long as you output +2 or -2 into the same signal channel, the RM engine can drive all exits and state transitions.
Aggressive vs Conservative Modes:
The input AgressiveRM (Aggressive RM) governs how we interpret signals:
Conservative Mode (Aggressive RM = false):
Uses a more filtered internal signal (AF) to open trades
Effectively waits for a clean trend flip / confirmation before new entries
Minimizes whipsaw at the cost of fewer trades
Aggressive Mode (Aggressive RM = true):
Reacts directly to the fresh alert (AO) pulses
Allows faster re-entries in the same direction after RM-based exits
Still respects your pyramiding setting; this script ships with pyramiding = 0 by default, so it will not stack multiple positions unless you change that parameter in the strategy() call.
The state machine enforces discipline on top of your signal logic, reducing double-fires and signal spam.
C. Advanced Exit Protocols (Layered Defense)
The exit side is where this template really shines. Instead of a single “take profit or stop loss,” it uses multiple, cooperating layers.
1) Hard Stop Loss
A classic percentage-based Stop Loss (SL) relative to the entry price.
Acts as a final “catastrophic protection” layer for unexpected moves.
2) Standard Trailing Stop
A percentage-based Trailing Stop (TS) that:
Activates only after price has moved a certain percentage in your favor (tsActivation)
Then trails price by a configurable percentage (ts)
This is a straightforward, battle-tested trailing mechanism.
3) Staged Take Profits (Three Levels)
The script supports three staged Take Profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3):
Each stage has:
Activation percentage (how far price must move in your favor)
Trailing amount for that stage
Position percentage to close
Example setup:
TP1:
Activate at +10%
Trailing 5%
Close 10% of the position
TP2:
Activate at +20%
Trailing 10%
Close another 10%
TP3:
Activate at +30%
Trailing 5%
Close the remaining 80% (“runner”)
You can tailor these quantities for partial scaling out vs. letting a core position ride.
4) Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stop (AATS)
AATS is a sophisticated volatility- and structure-aware stop:
Uses Hirashima Sugita style levels (HSRS) to model “floors” and “ceilings” of price:
Dungeon → Lower floors → Mid → Upper floors → Penthouse
These levels classify where current price sits within a long-term distribution.
Combines HSRS with Bollinger-style envelopes and EMAs to determine:
Is price extended far into the upper structure?
Is it compressed near the lower ranges?
From this, it computes an adaptive factor that controls how tight or loose the trailing level (aATS / bATS) should be:
High Volatility / Penthouse areas:
Stop loosens to avoid getting wicked out by inevitable spikes.
Low Volatility / compressed structure:
Stop tightens to lock in and protect profit.
AATS is designed to be the “smart last line” that responds to context instead of a single fixed percentage.
5) RSI-Style Stop (RSIS)
On top of AATS, the script includes a RSI-like regime filter:
A McGinley Dynamic mean of price plus ATR bands creates a dynamic channel.
Crosses above the top band and below the lower band change a directional state.
When enabled (UseRSIS):
RSIS can confirm or veto AATS closes:
For longs: A shift to bearish RSIS can force exits sooner.
For shorts: A shift to bullish RSIS can do the same.
This extra layer helps avoid over-reactive stops in strong trends while still respecting a regime change when it happens.
D. Repainting Protection
Many strategies look incredible in the Strategy Tester but fail in live trading because they rely on intrabar values or future-knowledge functions.
This template is built with closed-candle realism in mind:
The Risk Management logic explicitly uses previous bar data (open , high , low , close ) for the key decisions on:
Trailing stop updates
TP triggers
SL hits
RM state transitions
No security() lookahead or future-bar access is used.
This means:
Backtest behavior is designed to match what you can actually get with TradingView alerts and live automation.
Signals may “flicker” intrabar while the candle is forming (as with any strategy), but on closed candles, the RM decisions are stable and non-repainting.
4. For Developers & Modders
We strongly encourage you to mod this script.
To plug your own strategy into the RM engine:
Look for the section titled:
// BASELINE & SIGNAL GENERATION
You will see composite logic building B1 and B2, and then selecting:
baseSig = B2
altSig = B1
finalSig = sigSwap ? baseSig : altSig
You can replace the content used to generate baseSig / altSig with your own logic, for example:
RSI crosses
MACD histogram flips
Candle pattern detectors
External condition flags
Requirements are simple:
Your final logic must output:
2 → Buy signal
-2 → Sell signal
0 → No new trade
That output flows into the RM engine via finalSig → AlertOpen → state machine → Fin.
Once you wire your signals into finalSig, the entire Risk Management system (Stops, TPs, AATS, RSIS, re-entry logic, weekend filters, long/short toggles) becomes available for your custom strategy without re-inventing the wheel.
This makes Superior RBR not just a strategy, but a reference architecture for serious Pine dev work.
5. About Signal Lynx
Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
Signal Lynx focuses on helping traders and developers bridge the gap between indicator logic and real-world automation. The same RM engine you see here powers multiple internal systems and templates, including other public scripts like the Super-AO Strategy with Advanced Risk Management.
We provide this code open source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0) to:
Demonstrate how Adaptive Logic and structured Risk Management can outperform static, one-layer indicators
Give Pine Script users a battle-tested RM backbone they can reuse, remix, and extend
If you are looking to automate your TradingView strategies, route signals to exchanges, or simply want safer, smarter strategy structures, please keep Signal Lynx in your search.
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (Open Source).
If you make beneficial modifications, please consider releasing them back to the community so everyone can benefit.
Super-AO with Risk Management Strategy Template - 11-29-25Super-AO Strategy with Advanced Risk Management Template
Signal Lynx | Free Scripts supporting Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
1. Overview
Welcome to the Super-AO Strategy. This is more than just a buy/sell indicator; it is a complete, open-source Risk Management (RM) Template designed for the Pine Script community.
At its core, this script implements a robust swing-trading strategy combining the SuperTrend (for macro direction) and the Awesome Oscillator (for momentum). However, the real power lies under the hood: a custom-built Risk Management Engine that handles trade states, prevents repainting, and manages complex exit conditions like Staged Take Profits and Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stops (AATS).
We are releasing this code to help traders transition from simple indicators to professional-grade strategy structures.
2. Quick Action Guide (TL;DR)
Best Timeframe: 4 Hours (H4) and above. Designed for Swing Trading.
Best Assets: "Well-behaved" assets with clear liquidity (Major Forex pairs, BTC, ETH, Indices).
Strategy Type: Trend Following + Momentum Confirmation.
Key Feature: The Risk Management Engine is modular. You can strip out the "Super-AO" logic and insert your own strategy logic into the template easily.
Repainting: Strictly Non-Repainting. The engine calculates logic based on confirmed candle closes.
3. Detailed Report: How It Works
A. The Strategy Logic: Super-AO
The entry logic is based on the convergence of two classic indicators:
SuperTrend: Determines the overall trend bias (Green/Red).
Awesome Oscillator (AO): Measures market momentum.
The Signal:
LONG (+2): SuperTrend is Green AND AO is above the Zero Line AND AO is Rising.
SHORT (-2): SuperTrend is Red AND AO is below the Zero Line AND AO is Falling.
By requiring momentum to agree with the trend, this system filters out many false signals found in ranging markets.
B. The Risk Management (RM) Engine
This script features a proprietary State Machine designed by Signal Lynx. Unlike standard strategies that simply fire orders, this engine separates the Signal from the Execution.
Logic Injection: The engine listens for a specific integer signal: +2 (Buy) or -2 (Sell). This makes the code a Template. You can delete the Super-AO section, write your own logic, and simply pass a +2 or -2 to the RM_EngineInput variable. The engine handles the rest.
Trade States: The engine tracks the state of the trade (Entry, In-Trade, Exiting) to prevent signal spamming.
Aggressive vs. Conservative:
Conservative Mode: Waits for a full trend reversal before taking a new trade.
Aggressive Mode: Allows for re-entries if the trend is strong and valid conditions present themselves again (Pyramiding Type 1).
C. Advanced Exit Protocols
The strategy does not rely on a single exit point. It employs a "Layered Defense" approach:
Hard Stop Loss: A fixed percentage safety net.
Staged Take Profits (Scaling Out): The script allows you to set 3 distinct Take Profit levels. For example, you can close 10% of your position at TP1, 10% at TP2, and let the remaining 80% ride the trend.
Trailing Stop: A standard percentage-based trailer.
Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stop (AATS): This is a highly sophisticated volatility stop. It calculates market structure using Hirashima Sugita (HSRS) levels and Bollinger Bands to determine the "floor" and "ceiling" of price action.
If volatility is high: The stop loosens to prevent wicking out.
If volatility is low: The stop tightens to protect profit.
D. Repainting Protection
Many Pine Script strategies look great in backtesting but fail in live trading because they rely on "real-time" price data that disappears when the candle closes.
This Risk Management engine explicitly pulls data from the previous candle close (close , high , low ) for its calculations. This ensures that the backtest results you see match the reality of live execution.
4. For Developers & Modders
We encourage you to tear this code apart!
Look for the section titled // Super-AO Strategy Logic.
Replace that block with your own RSI, MACD, or Price Action logic.
Ensure your logic outputs a 2 for Buy and -2 for Sell.
Connect it to RM_EngineInput.
You now have a fully functioning Risk Management system for your custom strategy.
5. About Signal Lynx
Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
This code has been in action since 2022 and is a known performer in PineScript v5. We provide this open source to help the community build better, safer automated systems.
If you are looking to automate your strategies, please take a look at Signal Lynx in your search.
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (Open Source). If you make beneficial modifications, please release them back to the community!
CNN Fear and Greed StrategyAdaptation of the CNN Fear and Greed Index Indicator (Original by EdgeTools)
The following changes have been implemented:
Put/Call Ratio Data Source: The data source for the Put/Call Ratio has been updated.
Bond Data Source: The data sources for the bond components (Safe Haven Demand and Junk Bond Demand) have been updated.
Normalization Adjustment: The normalization method has been adjusted to allow the CNN Fear and Greed Index to display over a longer historical period, optimizing it for backtesting purposes.
Style Modification: The display style has been modified for a simpler and cleaner appearance.
Strategy Logic Addition: Added a new strategy entry condition: index >= 25 AND index crosses over its 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), and a corresponding exit condition of holding the position for 252 bars (days).
CNN Fear & Greed Backtest Strategy (Adapted)
This script is an adaptation of the popular CNN Fear & Greed Index, originally created by EdgeTools, with significant modifications to optimize it for long-term backtesting on the TradingView platform.
The core function of the Fear & Greed Index is to measure the current emotional state of the stock market, ranging from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). It operates on the principle that excessive fear drives prices too low (a potential buying opportunity), and excessive greed drives them too high (a potential selling opportunity).
Key Components of the Index (7 Factors)
The composite index is calculated as a weighted average of seven market indicators, each normalized to a score between 0 and 100:
Market Momentum: S&P 500's current level vs. its 125-day Moving Average.
Stock Price Strength: Stocks hitting 52-week highs vs. those hitting 52-week lows.
Stock Price Breadth: Measured by the McClellan Volume Summation Index (or similar volume/breadth metric).
Put/Call Ratio: The relationship between volume of put options (bearish bets) and call options (bullish bets).
Market Volatility: The CBOE VIX Index relative to its 50-day Moving Average.
Safe Haven Demand: The relative performance of stocks (S&P 500) vs. bonds.
Junk Bond Demand: The spread between high-yield (junk) bonds and U.S. Treasury yields.
Critical Adaptations for Backtesting
To improve the index's utility for quantitative analysis, the following changes were made:
Long-Term Normalization: The original normalization method (ta.stdev over a short LENGTH) has been replaced or adjusted to use longer historical data. This change ensures the index generates consistent and comparable sentiment scores across decades of market history, which is crucial for reliable backtesting results.
Updated Data Sources: Specific ticker requests for the Put/Call Ratio and Bond components (Safe Haven and Junk Bond Demand) have been updated to use the most reliable and long-running data available on TradingView, reducing data gaps and improving chart continuity.
Simplified Visuals: The chart display is streamlined, focusing only on the final Fear & Greed Index line and key threshold levels (25, 50, 75) for quick visual assessment.
Integrated Trading Strategy
This script also includes a simple, rules-based strategy designed to test the counter-trend philosophy of the index:
Entry Logic (Long Position): A long position is initiated when the market shows increasing fear, specifically when the index score is less than or equal to the configurable FEAR_LEVEL (default 25) and the index crosses above its own short-term 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). This crossover acts as a confirmation that sentiment may be starting to turn around from peak fear.
Exit Logic (Time-Based): All positions are subject to a time-based exit after holding for 252 trading days (approximately one year). This fixed holding period aims to capture the typical duration of a cyclical market recovery following a major panic event.
nOI + Funding + CVD • strategynOI + Funding + CVD Strategy
Overview
This strategy is designed for cryptocurrency trading on platforms like TradingView, focusing on perpetual futures markets. It combines three key indicators—Normalized Open Interest (nOI), Funding Rate, and Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)—to generate buy and sell signals for long and short positions. The strategy aims to capitalize on market imbalances, such as overextended open interest, funding rate extremes, and volume deltas, which often signal potential reversals or continuations in trending markets.
The script supports pyramiding (up to 10 positions), uses percentage-based position sizing (default 10% of equity per trade), and allows customization of trade directions (longs and shorts can be enabled/disabled independently). It includes multiple signal systems for entries, various exit mechanisms (including stop-loss, take-profit, time-based exits, and conditional closes based on indicators), a Martingale add-on system for averaging positions during drawdowns, and handling of opposite signals (ignore, close, or reverse).
This strategy is not financial advice; backtest thoroughly and use at your own risk. It requires data sources for Open Interest (OI) and Funding Rates, which are fetched via TradingView's security functions (e.g., from Binance for funding premiums).
Key Indicators
1. Normalized Open Interest (nOI)
Group: Open Interest
Purpose: Measures the relative level of open interest over a lookback window to identify overbought (high OI) or oversold (low OI) conditions, which can indicate potential exhaustion in trends.
Calculation:
Fetches OI data (close) from the symbol's standard ticker (e.g., "{symbol}_OI").
Normalizes OI within a user-defined window (default: 500 bars) using min-max scaling: (OI - min_OI) / (max_OI - min_OI) * 100.
Upper threshold (default: 70%): Signals potential short opportunities when crossed from above.
Lower threshold (default: 30%): Signals potential long opportunities when crossed from below.
Visualization: Plotted as a line (teal above upper, red below lower, gray in between). Horizontal lines at upper, mid (50%), lower, and a separator at 102%.
Notes: Handles non-crypto symbols by adjusting timeframe to daily if intraday. Errors if no OI data available.
2. Funding Rate
Group: Funding Rate
Purpose: Tracks the average funding rate (premium index) to detect market sentiment extremes. Positive funding suggests bull bias (longs pay shorts), negative suggests bear bias.
Calculation:
Fetches premium index data from Binance (e.g., "binance:{base}usdt_premium").
Supports lower timeframe aggregation (default: enabled, using 1-min TF) for smoother data.
Averages open and close premiums, clamps values, and scales/shifts for plotting (base: 150, scale: 1000x).
Upper threshold (default: 1.0%): Overheat for shorts.
Lower threshold (default: 1.0%): Overcool for longs.
Ultra level (default: 1.8%): Extreme for additional short signals.
Smoothing: Uses inverse weighted moving average (IWMA) or lower-TF aggregation to reduce noise.
Visualization: Shifted plot (green positive, red negative) with filled areas. Horizontal lines for overheat, overcool, base (0%), and ultra.
Notes: Custom ticker option for non-standard symbols.
3. Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)
Group: CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta)
Purpose: Measures net buying/selling pressure via volume delta, normalized to identify divergences or confirmations with price.
Calculation:
Delta: +volume if close > open, -volume if close < open.
Cumulative: Rolling cumsum over a window (default: 500 bars), smoothed with EMA (default: 20).
Normalized: Scaled by absolute max in window (-1 to 1 range).
Scaled/shifted for plotting (base: 300 or 0 if anchored, scale: 120x).
Upper threshold (default: 1.0%): Over for shorts.
Lower threshold (default: 1.0%): Under for longs.
Visualization: Shifted plot (aqua positive, purple negative) with filled areas. Horizontal lines for over, under, and separator (default: 252).
Filter Options (for Signal A):
Enable filter (default: false).
Require sign match (Long ≥0, Short ≤0).
Require extreme zones.
Require momentum (rising/falling over N bars, default: 3).
Signal Logics for Entries
Entries are triggered by buy/sell signals from multiple systems (A, B, C, D), filtered by direction toggles and entry conditions.
Signal System A: OI + Funding (with optional CVD filter)
Enabled: Default true.
Sell (Short): nOI > upper threshold, falling over N bars (default: 3), delta ≥ threshold (default: 3%), funding > overheat, and CVD filter OK.
Buy (Long): nOI < lower threshold, rising over N bars (default: 3), delta ≥ threshold (default: 3%), funding < overcool, and CVD filter OK.
Signal System B: Short - Funding Crossunder + Filters
Enabled: Default true.
Sell (Short): Funding crosses under overheat level, optional: CVD > over, nOI < upper.
Signal System C: Short - Ultra Funding
Enabled: Default false.
Sell (Short): Funding crosses ultra level (up or down, both default true).
Signal System D: Long - Funding Crossover + Filters
Enabled: Default true.
Buy (Long): Funding crosses over overcool level, optional: CVD < under, nOI > lower.
Combined: Sell if A/B/C active; Buy if A/D active.
Entry Filters
Cooldown: Optional pause between entries (default: false, 3 bars).
Max Entries: Limit pyramiding (default: true, 6 max).
Entries only if both filters pass and direction allowed.
Opposite Signal Handling
Mode: Ignore (default), Reverse (close and enter opposite), or Close (exit only).
Processed before regular entries.
Position Management
Martingale (3 Steps):
Enabled per step (default: all true).
Triggers add-ons at loss levels (defaults: 5%, 8%, 11%) by adding % to position (default: 100% each).
Resets on position close.
Break Even:
Enabled (default: true).
Activates at profit threshold (default: 5%), sets SL better by offset (default: 0.1%).
Exit Systems
Multiple exits checked in sequence.
Exit 1: SL/TP
Enabled: Separate for long/short (default: true).
SL: % from avg price (defaults: 1% long/short).
TP: % from avg price (defaults: 2% long/short).
Exit 2: Funding
Enabled: Separate for long (up) / short (down) (default: true).
Long Exit: Funding > upper exit threshold (default: 0.8%).
Short Exit: Funding < lower exit threshold (default: 0.8%).
Exit 3: nOI
Enabled: Separate for long (up) / short (down) (default: true).
Long Exit: nOI > upper exit (default: 85%).
Short Exit: nOI < lower exit (default: 15%).
Exit 4: Global SL
Enabled: Default true.
Exit: If position loss ≥ % (default: 7%).
Exit 5: Break Even (integrated in position block)
Exit 6: Time Limit
Enabled: Separate for long/short (default: true).
Exit: After N bars in trade (defaults: 30 each).
Timer updates on add-ons if enabled (default: true).
Visual Elements
Buy/Sell Labels: Small labels ("BUY"/"SELL") on bars with signals, limited to last 30.
All indicators plotted on a separate pane (overlay=false).
Usage Notes
Backtesting: Adjust parameters based on asset/timeframe. Test on historical data.
Data Requirements: Works best on crypto perps with OI and funding data.
Risk Management: Incorporates SL/TP and global SL; monitor drawdowns with Martingale.
Customization: All thresholds, enables, and scales are inputs for fine-tuning.
Version: Pine Script v6.
For questions or improvements, contact the author. Happy trading!
Ajay R5.41🔻 Ajay Gold 3H Power Indicator 🔻
Precision-Based Smart Sell System for Gold (XAU/USD)
💡 Overview
This indicator is specifically designed for Gold (XAU/USD) and delivers best results on the 3-Hour Timeframe (3H TF).
It is a Smart Money Logic-based Sell Confirmation System, combining institutional structure and candle behavior to generate highly accurate bearish signals.
⚙️ Technical Foundation
The indicator uses multiple advanced confirmations:
📉 EMA Trend Filter → Confirms downtrend
💪 RSI Overbought Rejection → Momentum reversal signal
📊 MACD Bearish Cross → Confirms trend strength
🕯️ Bearish Candle Structure → Price action validation
When all conditions align, a clear 🔻 Sell Signal is plotted on the chart.
💎 Hidden Feature
This indicator includes a hidden feature that activates only when the correct market structure forms.
It helps reduce false signals and increases accuracy without being visible on the chart — fully automated internal logic.
📆 Recommended Settings
Symbol: XAU/USD (Gold)
Timeframe: 3-Hour (3H)
Market: Forex / Commodity
Mode: Sell-Only Confirmation Indicator
Performance: Best precision and consistency on 3H TF
📈 How to Use
Select XAU/USD on chart and set 3H timeframe.
Add the indicator to the chart.
Wait for the 🔻 Sell Signal and confirm the market structure after candle close.
Take entry according to your risk management.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only.
No system is 100% accurate — always backtest and demo trade before using in real trading.
💬 Credits
Developed by Ajay Sahu (India)
Based on Institutional & Smart Money Logic
Best results on 3H TF
Hidden Algorithm for XAU/USD traders
Macro Momentum – 4-Theme, Vol Target, RebalanceMacro Momentum — 4-Theme, Vol Target, Rebalance
Purpose. A macro-aware strategy that blends four economic “themes”—Business Cycle, Trade/USD, Monetary Policy, and Risk Sentiment—into a single, smoothed Composite signal. It then:
gates entries/exits with hysteresis bands,
enforces optional regime filters (200-day bias), and
sizes the position via volatility targeting with caps for long/short exposure.
It’s designed to run on any chart (index, ETF, futures, single stocks) while reading external macro proxies on a chosen Signal Timeframe.
How it works (high level)
Build four theme signals from robust macro proxies:
Business Cycle: XLI/XLU and Copper/Gold momentum, confirmed by the chart’s price vs a long SMA (default 200D).
Trade / USD: DXY momentum (sign-flipped so a rising USD is bearish for risk assets).
Monetary Policy: 10Y–2Y curve slope momentum and 10Y yield trend (steepening & falling 10Y = risk-on; rising 10Y = risk-off).
Risk Sentiment: VIX momentum (bearish if higher) and HYG/IEF momentum (bullish if credit outperforms duration).
Normalize & de-noise.
Optional Winsorization (MAD or stdev) clamps outliers over a lookback window.
Optional Z-score → tanh mapping compresses to ~ for stable weighting.
Theme lines are SMA-smoothed; the final Composite is LSMA-smoothed (linreg).
Decide direction with hysteresis.
Enter/hold long when Composite ≥ Entry Band; enter/hold short when Composite ≤ −Entry Band.
Exit bands are tighter than entry bands to avoid whipsaws.
Apply regime & direction constraints.
Optional Long-only above 200MA (chart symbol) and/or Short-only below 200MA.
Global Direction control (Long / Short / Both) and Invert switch.
Size via volatility targeting.
Realized close-to-close vol is annualized (choose 9-5 or 24/7 market profile).
Target exposure = TargetVol / RealizedVol, capped by Max Long/Max Short multipliers.
Quantity is computed from equity; futures are rounded to whole contracts.
Rebalance cadence & execution.
Trades are placed on Weekly / Monthly / Quarterly rebalance bars or when the sign of exposure flips.
Optional ATR stop/TP for single-stock style risk management.
Inputs you’ll actually tweak
General
Signal Timeframe: Where macro is sampled (e.g., D/W).
Rebalance Frequency: Weekly / Monthly / Quarterly.
ROC & SMA lengths: Defaults for theme momentum and the 200D regime filter.
Normalization: Z-score (tanh) on/off.
Winsorization
Toggle, lookback, multiplier, MAD vs Stdev.
Risk / Sizing
Target Annualized Vol & Realized Vol Lookback.
Direction (Long/Short/Both) and Invert.
Max long/short exposure caps.
Advanced Thresholds
Theme/Composite smoothing lengths.
Entry/Exit bands (hysteresis).
Regime / Execution
Long-only above 200MA, Short-only below 200MA.
Stops/TP (optional)
ATR length and SL/TP multiples.
Theme Weights
Per-theme scalars so you can push/pull emphasis (e.g., overweight Policy during rate cycles).
Macro Proxies
Symbols for each theme (XLI, XLU, HG1!, GC1!, DXY, US10Y, US02Y, VIX, HYG, IEF). Swap to alternatives as needed (e.g., UUP for DXY).
Signals & logic (under the hood)
Business Cycle = ½ ROC(XLI/XLU) + ½ ROC(Copper/Gold), then confirmed by (price > 200SMA ? +1 : −1).
Trade / USD = −ROC(DXY).
Monetary Policy = 0.6·ROC(10Y–2Y) − 0.4·ROC(10Y).
Risk Sentiment = −0.6·ROC(VIX) + 0.4·ROC(HYG/IEF).
Each theme → (optional Winsor) → (robust z or scaled ROC) → tanh → SMA smoothing.
Composite = weighted average → LSMA smoothing → compare to bands → dir ∈ {−1,0,+1}.
Rebalance & flips. Orders fire on your chosen cadence or when the sign of exposure changes.
Position size. exposure = clamp(TargetVol / realizedVol, maxLong/Short) × dir.
Note: The script also exposes Gross Exposure (% equity) and Signed Exposure (× equity) as diagnostics. These can help you audit how vol-targeting and caps translate into sizing over time.
Visuals & alerts
Composite line + columns (color/intensity reflect direction & strength).
Entry/Exit bands with green/red fills for quick polarity reads.
Hidden plots for each Theme if you want to show them.
Optional rebalance labels (direction, gross & signed exposure, σ).
Background heatmap keyed to Composite.
Alerts
Enter/Inc LONG when Composite crosses up (and on rebalance bars).
Enter/Inc SHORT when Composite crosses down (and on rebalance bars).
Exit to FLAT when Composite returns toward neutral (and on rebalance bars).
Practical tips
Start higher timeframes. Daily signals with Monthly rebalance are a good baseline; weekly signals with quarterly rebalances are even cleaner.
Tune Entry/Exit bands before anything else. Wider bands = fewer trades and less noise.
Weights reflect regime. If policy dominates markets, raise Monetary Policy weight; if credit stress drives moves, raise Risk Sentiment.
Proxies are swappable. Use UUP for USD, or futures-continuous symbols that match your data plan.
Futures vs ETFs. Quantity auto-rounds for futures; ETFs accept fractional shares. Check contract multipliers when interpreting exposure.
Caveats
Macro proxies can repaint at the selected signal timeframe as higher-TF bars form; that’s intentional for macro sampling, but test live.
Vol targeting assumes reasonably stationary realized vol over the lookback; if markets regime-shift, revisit volLook and targetVol.
If you disable normalization/winsorization, themes can become spikier; expect more hysteresis band crossings.
What to change first (quick start)
Set Signal Timeframe = D, Rebalance = Monthly, Z-score on, Winsor on (MAD).
Entry/Exit bands: 0.25 / 0.12 (defaults), then nudge until trade count and turnover feel right.
TargetVol: try 10% for diversified indices; lower for single stocks, higher for vol-sell strategies.
Leave weights = 1.0 until you’ve inspected the four theme lines; then tilt deliberately.
顺序三连穿越：2/3先入 + 3/3加仓（仅低波动过滤）策略描述（中文）
本策略基于 顺序三连穿越 原则：当 MA5 依次上穿 MA10、MA30、MA60 时，触发趋势做多信号；反之依次下穿时触发做空信号。
在完成 2/3 穿越时即可先行入场，完成 3/3 穿越时可选择加仓确认。
为减少震荡磨损，策略引入了布林带带宽过滤：当市场波动率过低时禁止入场。同时设有 冷静期，避免刚出场后立即反复进场。
该系统适用于趋势性较强或弱趋势行情，能够较好地捕捉单边走势，但在长时间震荡行情中仍可能遭遇利润侵蚀。
Strategy Description (English)
This strategy is built on the Sequential Triple Crossover principle:
When the 5-period moving average (MA5) sequentially crosses above MA10, MA30, and MA60, a bullish entry is triggered.
Conversely, when MA5 sequentially crosses below MA10, MA30, and MA60, a bearish entry is triggered.
An early entry is allowed once 2 out of 3 crossovers are completed, while the final crossover (3/3) can optionally serve as a confirmation add-on position.
To mitigate losses in choppy conditions, the system uses a Bollinger Bandwidth filter that blocks entries when volatility is too low. A cooldown period is also implemented to avoid immediate re-entries after closing a trade.
This setup performs well in trending or weak-trend environments, capturing directional moves effectively, but may still suffer from profit erosion during prolonged sideways markets.
Energy Advanced Policy StrategyThis trading strategy emphasizes both technical trading as well as sentiment trading. Using news and government policy decisions, it can determine either positive or negative sentiment in the energy sector.
How the Strategy Works
This strategy has two main parts that work together to find good trades:
1. The "Policy & Sentiment Engine "
Policy Event Detection : The script spots potential big news or policy changes by looking for big, sudden price moves and huge trading volume. You can play with the Policy Event Volume Threshold and Policy Event Price Threshold (%) settings to make it more or less sensitive.
Sentiment Score : When the script finds a positive or negative event, it adds to a sentiment score. This score isn't forever, though; it fades over time, so the newest events matter the most.
Manual Override : The Manual News Sentiment setting lets you tell the script exactly what the market's mood is for a set time, which is perfect for when you already know about a big upcoming announcement.
The strategy only looks for a trade if the overall feeling is bullish enough. This makes sure you're trading with the big, fundamental forces of the market, not against them.
2. Technical Confirmation & Precision
After the policy and sentiment part gives a green light, the strategy uses a variety of technical indicators to confirm the trend and ideal entry positions.
Long-Term Trend : The script makes sure the market is in a strong uptrend by checking if the fast and medium-speed moving averages are going up, and if the price is above a long-term moving average.
Momentum : The MACD is used to make sure the price's upward momentum is getting stronger, not weaker.
Oscillator : It also uses the RSI to check if the market has gone up too much, too fast, which could mean it's about to turn around.
How to Use the Script
You can customize this strategy to fit your trading style and how much risk you're comfortable with. The inputs are grouped into logical sections for easy adjustment.
News & Policy Analysis : You can play with the Policy Event thresholds to make the script more or less sensitive to market shocks. And you can always use the Manual News Sentiment to take over when you're watching a specific news event.
Technical Analysis : Feel free to change the settings for things like the moving averages, RSI, and MACD to match what you like to trade and on what timeframe.
Long/Short/Exit/Risk management Strategy # LongShortExit Strategy Documentation
## Overview
The LongShortExit strategy is a versatile trading system for TradingView that provides complete control over entry, exit, and risk management parameters. It features a sophisticated framework for managing long and short positions with customizable profit targets, stop-loss mechanisms, partial profit-taking, and trailing stops. The strategy can be enhanced with continuous position signals for visual feedback on the current trading state.
## Key Features
### General Settings
- **Trading Direction**: Choose to trade long positions only, short positions only, or both.
- **Max Trades Per Day**: Limit the number of trades per day to prevent overtrading.
- **Bars Between Trades**: Enforce a minimum number of bars between consecutive trades.
### Session Management
- **Session Control**: Restrict trading to specific times of the day.
- **Time Zone**: Specify the time zone for session calculations.
- **Expiration**: Optionally set a date when the strategy should stop executing.
### Contract Settings
- **Contract Type**: Select from common futures contracts (MNQ, MES, NQ, ES) or custom values.
- **Point Value**: Define the dollar value per point movement.
- **Tick Size**: Set the minimum price movement for accurate calculations.
### Visual Signals
- **Continuous Position Signals**: Implement 0 to 1 visual signals to track position states.
- **Signal Plotting**: Customize color and appearance of position signals.
- **Clear Visual Feedback**: Instantly see when entry conditions are triggered.
### Risk Management
#### Stop Loss and Take Profit
- **Risk Type**: Choose between percentage-based, ATR-based, or points-based risk management.
- **Percentage Mode**: Set SL/TP as a percentage of entry price.
- **ATR Mode**: Set SL/TP as a multiple of the Average True Range.
- **Points Mode**: Set SL/TP as a fixed number of points from entry.
#### Advanced Exit Features
- **Break-Even**: Automatically move stop-loss to break-even after reaching specified profit threshold.
- **Trailing Stop**: Implement a trailing stop-loss that follows price movement at a defined distance.
- **Partial Profit Taking**: Take partial profits at predetermined price levels:
- Set first partial exit point and percentage of position to close
- Set second partial exit point and percentage of position to close
- **Time-Based Exit**: Automatically exit a position after a specified number of bars.
#### Win/Loss Streak Management
- **Streak Cutoff**: Automatically pause trading after a series of consecutive wins or losses.
- **Daily Reset**: Option to reset streak counters at the start of each day.
### Entry Conditions
- **Source and Value**: Define the exact price source and value that triggers entries.
- **Equals Condition**: Entry signals occur when the source exactly matches the specified value.
### Performance Analytics
- **Real-Time Stats**: Track important performance metrics like win rate, P&L, and largest wins/losses.
- **Visual Feedback**: On-chart markers for entries, exits, and important events.
### External Integration
- **Webhook Support**: Compatible with TradingView's webhook alerts for automated trading.
- **Cross-Platform**: Connect to external trading systems and notification platforms.
- **Custom Order Execution**: Implement advanced order flows through external services.
## How to Use
### Setup Instructions
1. Add the script to your TradingView chart.
2. Configure the general settings based on your trading preferences.
3. Set session trading hours if you only want to trade specific times.
4. Select your contract specifications or customize for your instrument.
5. Configure risk parameters:
- Choose your preferred risk management approach
- Set appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels
- Enable advanced features like break-even, trailing stops, or partial profit taking as needed
6. Define entry conditions:
- Select the price source (such as close, open, high, or an indicator)
- Set the specific value that should trigger entries
### Entry Condition Examples
- **Example 1**: To enter when price closes exactly at a whole number:
- Long Source: close
- Long Value: 4200 (for instance, to enter when price closes exactly at 4200)
- **Example 2**: To enter when an indicator reaches a specific value:
- Long Source: ta.rsi(close, 14)
- Long Value: 30 (triggers when RSI equals exactly 30)
### Best Practices
1. **Always backtest thoroughly** before using in live trading.
2. **Start with conservative risk settings**:
- Small position sizes
- Reasonable stop-loss distances
- Limited trades per day
3. **Monitor and adjust**:
- Use the performance table to track results
- Adjust parameters based on how the strategy performs
4. **Consider market volatility**:
- Use ATR-based stops during volatile periods
- Use fixed points during stable markets
## Continuous Position Signals Implementation
The LongShortExit strategy can be enhanced with continuous position signals to provide visual feedback about the current position state. These signals can help you track when the strategy is in a long or short position.
### Adding Continuous Position Signals
Add the following code to implement continuous position signals (0 to 1):
```pine
// Continuous position signals (0 to 1)
var float longSignal = 0.0
var float shortSignal = 0.0
// Update position signals based on your indicator's conditions
longSignal := longCondition ? 1.0 : 0.0
shortSignal := shortCondition ? 1.0 : 0.0
// Plot continuous signals
plot(longSignal, title="Long Signal", color=#00FF00, linewidth=2, transp=0, style=plot.style_line)
plot(shortSignal, title="Short Signal", color=#FF0000, linewidth=2, transp=0, style=plot.style_line)
```
### Benefits of Continuous Position Signals
- Provides clear visual feedback of current position state (long/short)
- Signal values stay consistent (0 or 1) until condition changes
- Can be used for additional calculations or alert conditions
- Makes it easier to track when entry conditions are triggered
### Using with Custom Indicators
You can adapt the continuous position signals to work with any custom indicator by replacing the condition with your indicator's logic:
```pine
// Example with moving average crossover
longSignal := fastMA > slowMA ? 1.0 : 0.0
shortSignal := fastMA < slowMA ? 1.0 : 0.0
```
## Webhook Integration
The LongShortExit strategy is fully compatible with TradingView's webhook alerts, allowing you to connect your strategy to external trading platforms, brokers, or custom applications for automated trading execution.
### Setting Up Webhooks
1. Create an alert on your chart with the LongShortExit strategy
2. Enable the "Webhook URL" option in the alert dialog
3. Enter your webhook endpoint URL (from your broker or custom trading system)
4. Customize the alert message with relevant information using TradingView variables
### Webhook Message Format Example
```json
{
"strategy": "LongShortExit",
"action": "{{strategy.order.action}}",
"price": "{{strategy.order.price}}",
"quantity": "{{strategy.position_size}}",
"time": "{{time}}",
"ticker": "{{ticker}}",
"position_size": "{{strategy.position_size}}",
"position_value": "{{strategy.position_value}}",
"order_id": "{{strategy.order.id}}",
"order_comment": "{{strategy.order.comment}}"
}
```
### TradingView Alert Condition Examples
For effective webhook automation, set up these alert conditions:
#### Entry Alert
```
{{strategy.position_size}} != {{strategy.position_size}}
```
#### Exit Alert
```
{{strategy.position_size}} < {{strategy.position_size}} or {{strategy.position_size}} > {{strategy.position_size}}
```
#### Partial Take Profit Alert
```
strategy.order.comment contains "Partial TP"
```
### Benefits of Webhook Integration
- **Automated Trading**: Execute trades automatically through supported brokers
- **Cross-Platform**: Connect to custom trading bots and applications
- **Real-Time Notifications**: Receive trade signals on external platforms
- **Data Collection**: Log trade data for further analysis
- **Custom Order Management**: Implement advanced order types not available in TradingView
### Compatible External Applications
- Trading bots and algorithmic trading software
- Custom order execution systems
- Discord, Telegram, or Slack notification systems
- Trade journaling applications
- Risk management platforms
### Implementation Recommendations
- Test webhook delivery using a free service like webhook.site before connecting to your actual trading system
- Include authentication tokens or API keys in your webhook URL or payload when required by your external service
- Consider implementing confirmation mechanisms to verify trade execution
- Log all webhook activities for troubleshooting and performance tracking
## Strategy Customization Tips
### For Scalping
- Set smaller profit targets (1-3 points)
- Use tighter stop-losses
- Enable break-even feature after small profit
- Set higher max trades per day
### For Day Trading
- Use moderate profit targets
- Implement partial profit taking
- Enable trailing stops
- Set reasonable session trading hours
### For Swing Trading
- Use longer-term charts
- Set wider stops (ATR-based often works well)
- Use higher profit targets
- Disable daily streak reset
## Common Troubleshooting
### Low Win Rate
- Consider widening stop-losses
- Verify that entry conditions aren't triggering too frequently
- Check if the equals condition is too restrictive; consider small tolerances
### Missing Obvious Trades
- The equals condition is extremely precise. Price must exactly match the specified value.
- Consider using floating-point precision for more reliable triggers
### Frequent Stop-Outs
- Try ATR-based stops instead of fixed points
- Increase the stop-loss distance
- Enable break-even feature to protect profits
## Important Notes
- The exact equals condition is strict and may result in fewer trade signals compared to other conditions.
- For instruments with decimal prices, exact equality might be rare. Consider the precision of your value.
- Break-even and trailing stop calculations are based on points, not percentage.
- Partial take-profit levels are defined in points distance from entry.
- The continuous position signals (0 to 1) provide valuable visual feedback but don't affect the strategy's trading logic directly.
- When implementing continuous signals, ensure they're aligned with the actual entry conditions used by the strategy.
---
*This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Always test thoroughly before using with real funds.*
15-Min Opening Range Breakout STEP-BY-STEP RULES
1. Define the Opening Range (OR)
Mark the high and low of the first 15-minute candle of the session.
This creates your Opening Range.
Example: London session opens at 08:00 GMT. Use the 08:00–08:15 candle.
2. Set Entry Triggers
Buy Breakout: Place a Buy Stop order 1 pip above the Opening Range high.
Sell Breakout: Place a Sell Stop order 1 pip below the Opening Range low.
⚠️ Only one side should be triggered. Cancel the opposite order once one is active.
3. Set Stop Loss (SL)
For Buy trades:
SL = Opening Range Low - 2 pips
For Sell trades:
SL = Opening Range High + 2 pips
This ensures you give the price enough space, while keeping risk controlled.
4. Set Take Profit (TP)
Use either of these two approaches:
✅ Fixed Risk-Reward (Preferred)
Target 1: TP = 2R (i.e., 2 × SL distance)
Target 2 (optional): Leave runner for 3R or trail stop behind minor S/R
✅ Fixed Pip Target (alternative)
TP = +50 pips
SL = -20 pips
Matches your preferred risk model of 20 SL / 50 TP
5. Trade Management
If no breakout occurs within 1 hour, cancel the pending orders. No trade that day.
If trade triggers but fails to move, consider time-based exit after 2 hours.
Optional: Move SL to breakeven once price moves 1R in your favor.
Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners:
Welcome to the Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners , a strategy and concept that’s your ultimate wingman for trading futures like MNQ, NQ, MES, and ES. This gem combines lightning-fast momentum signals, market sentiment smarts, and bulletproof risk management into a system so intuitive, even newbies can trade like pros. With clean DAFE visuals, preset modes for every vibe, and a revamped dashboard that’s basically a market GPS, this strategy makes futures trading feel like a high-octane sci-fi mission.
Built on the Dskyz (DAFE) legacy of Aurora Divergence, the Quantum Sentiment Flux is designed to empower beginners while giving seasoned traders a lean, sentiment-driven edge. It uses fast/slow EMA crossovers for entries, filters trades with VIX, SPX trends, and sector breadth, and keeps your account safe with adaptive stops and cooldowns. Tuned for more action with faster signals and a slick bottom-left dashboard, this updated version is ready to light up your charts and outsmart institutional traps. Let’s dive into why this strat’s a must-have and break down its brilliance.
Why Traders Need This Strategy
Futures markets are a wild ride—fast moves, volatility spikes (like the April 28, 2025 NQ 1k-point drop), and institutional games that can wreck unprepared traders. Beginners often get lost in complex systems or burned by impulsive trades. The Quantum Sentiment Flux is the antidote, offering:
Dead-Simple Setup: Preset modes (Aggressive, Balanced, Conservative) auto-tune signals, risk, and sizing, so you can trade without a quant degree.
Sentiment Superpower: VIX filter, SPX trend, and sector breadth visuals keep you aligned with market health, dodging chop and riding trends.
Ironclad Safety: Tighter ATR-based stops, 2:1 take-profits, and preset cooldowns protect your capital, even in chaotic sessions.
Next-Level Visuals: Green/red entry triangles, vibrant EMAs, a sector breadth background, and a beefed-up dashboard make signals and context pop.
DAFE Swagger: The clean aesthetics, sleek dashboard—ties it to Dskyz’s elite brand, making your charts a work of art.
Traders need this because it’s a plug-and-play system that blends beginner-friendly simplicity with pro-level market awareness. Whether you’re just starting or scalping 5min MNQ, this strat’s your key to trading with confidence and style.
Strategy Components
1. Core Signal Logic (High-Speed Momentum)
The strategy’s engine is a momentum-based system using fast and slow Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), now tuned for faster, more frequent trades.
How It Works:
Fast/Slow EMAs: Fast EMA (Aggressive: 5, Balanced: 7, Conservative: 9 bars) and slow EMA (12/14/18 bars) track short-term vs. longer-term momentum.
Crossover Signals:
Buy: Fast EMA crosses above slow EMA, and trend_dir = 1 (fast EMA > slow EMA + ATR * strength threshold).
Sell: Fast EMA crosses below slow EMA, and trend_dir = -1 (fast EMA < slow EMA - ATR * strength threshold).
Strength Filter: ma_strength = fast EMA - slow EMA must exceed an ATR-scaled threshold (Aggressive: 0.15, Balanced: 0.18, Conservative: 0.25) for robust signals.
Trend Direction: trend_dir confirms momentum, filtering out weak crossovers in choppy markets.
Evolution:
Faster EMAs (down from 7–10/21–50) catch short-term trends, perfect for active futures markets.
Lower strength thresholds (0.15–0.25 vs. 0.3–0.5) make signals more sensitive, boosting trade frequency without sacrificing quality.
Preset tuning ensures beginners get optimized settings, while pros can tweak via mode selection.
2. Market Sentiment Filters
The strategy leans hard into market sentiment with a VIX filter, SPX trend analysis, and sector breadth visuals, keeping trades aligned with the big picture.
VIX Filter:
Logic: Blocks long entries if VIX > threshold (default: 20, can_long = vix_close < vix_limit). Shorts are always allowed (can_short = true).
Impact: Prevents longs during high-fear markets (e.g., VIX spikes in crashes), while allowing shorts to capitalize on downturns.
SPX Trend Filter:
Logic: Compares S&P 500 (SPX) close to its SMA (Aggressive: 5, Balanced: 8, Conservative: 12 bars). spx_trend = 1 (UP) if close > SMA, -1 (DOWN) if < SMA, 0 (FLAT) if neutral.
Impact: Provides dashboard context, encouraging trades that align with market direction (e.g., longs in UP trend).
Sector Breadth (Visual):
Logic: Tracks 10 sector ETFs (XLK, XLF, XLE, etc.) vs. their SMAs (same lengths as SPX). Each sector scores +1 (bullish), -1 (bearish), or 0 (neutral), summed as breadth (-10 to +10).
Display: Green background if breadth > 4, red if breadth < -4, else neutral. Dashboard shows sector trends (↑/↓/-).
Impact: Faster SMA lengths make breadth more responsive, reflecting sector rotations (e.g., tech surging, energy lagging).
Why It’s Brilliant:
- VIX filter adds pro-level volatility awareness, saving beginners from panic-driven losses.
- SPX and sector breadth give a 360° view of market health, boosting signal confidence (e.g., green BG + buy signal = high-probability trade).
- Shorter SMAs make sentiment visuals react faster, perfect for 5min charts.
3. Risk Management
The risk controls are a fortress, now tighter and more dynamic to support frequent trading while keeping accounts safe.
Preset-Based Risk:
Aggressive: Fast EMAs (5/12), tight stops (1.1x ATR), 1-bar cooldown. High trade frequency, higher risk.
Balanced: EMAs (7/14), 1.2x ATR stops, 1-bar cooldown. Versatile for most traders.
Conservative: EMAs (9/18), 1.3x ATR stops, 2-bar cooldown. Safer, fewer trades.
Impact: Auto-scales risk to match style, making it foolproof for beginners.
Adaptive Stops and Take-Profits:
Logic: Stops = entry ± ATR * atr_mult (1.1–1.3x, down from 1.2–2.0x). Take-profits = entry ± ATR * take_mult (2x stop distance, 2:1 reward/risk). Longs: stop below entry, TP above; shorts: vice versa.
Impact: Tighter stops increase trade turnover while maintaining solid risk/reward, adapting to volatility.
Trade Cooldown:
Logic: Preset-driven (Aggressive/Balanced: 1 bar, Conservative: 2 bars vs. old user-input 2). Ensures bar_index - last_trade_bar >= cooldown.
Impact: Faster cooldowns (especially Aggressive/Balanced) allow more trades, balanced by VIX and strength filters.
Contract Sizing:
Logic: User sets contracts (default: 1, max: 10), no preset cap (unlike old 7/5/3 suggestion).
Impact: Flexible but risks over-leverage; beginners should stick to low contracts.
Built To Be Reliable and Consistent:
- Tighter stops and faster cooldowns make it a high-octane system without blowing up accounts.
- Preset-driven risk removes guesswork, letting newbies trade confidently.
- 2:1 TPs ensure profitable trades outweigh losses, even in volatile sessions like April 27, 2025 ES slippage.
4. Trade Entry and Exit Logic
The entry/exit rules are simple yet razor-sharp, now with VIX filtering and faster signals:
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: buy_signal (fast EMA crosses above slow EMA, trend_dir = 1), no position (strategy.position_size = 0), cooldown passed (can_trade), and VIX < 20 (can_long). Enters with user-defined contracts.
Short Entry: sell_signal (fast EMA crosses below slow EMA, trend_dir = -1), no position, cooldown passed, can_short (always true).
Logic: Tracks last_entry_bar for visuals, last_trade_bar for cooldowns.
Exit Conditions:
Stop-Loss/Take-Profit: ATR-based stops (1.1–1.3x) and TPs (2x stop distance). Longs exit if price hits stop (below) or TP (above); shorts vice versa.
No Other Exits: Keeps it straightforward, relying on stops/TPs.
5. DAFE Visuals
The visuals are pure DAFE magic, blending clean function with informative metrics utilized by professionals, now enhanced by faster signals and a responsive breadth background:
EMA Plots:
Display: Fast EMA (blue, 2px), slow EMA (orange, 2px), using faster lengths (5–9/12–18).
Purpose: Highlights momentum shifts, with crossovers signaling entries.
Sector Breadth Background:
Display: Green (90% transparent) if breadth > 4, red (90%) if breadth < -4, else neutral.
Purpose: Faster breadth_sma_len (5–12 vs. 10–50) reflects sector shifts in real-time, reinforcing signal strength.
- Visuals are intuitive, turning complex signals into clear buy/sell cues.
- Faster breadth background reacts to market rotations (e.g., tech vs. energy), giving a pro-level edge.
6. Sector Breadth Dashboard
The new bottom-left dashboard is a game-changer, a 3x16 table (black/gray theme) that’s your market command center:
Metrics:
VIX: Current VIX (red if > 20, gray if not).
SPX: Trend as “UP” (green), “DOWN” (red), or “FLAT” (gray).
Trade Longs: “OK” (green) if VIX < 20, “BLOCK” (red) if not.
Sector Breadth: 10 sectors (Tech, Financial, etc.) with trend arrows (↑ green, ↓ red, - gray).
Placeholder Row: Empty for future metrics (e.g., ATR, breadth score).
Purpose: Consolidates regime, volatility, market trend, and sector data, making decisions a breeze.
- VIX and SPX metrics add context, helping beginners avoid bad trades (e.g., no longs if “BLOCK”).
Sector arrows show market health at a glance, like a cheat code for sentiment.
Key Features
Beginner-Ready: Preset modes and clear visuals make futures trading a breeze.
Sentiment-Driven: VIX filter, SPX trend, and sector breadth keep you in sync with the market.
High-Frequency: Faster EMAs, tighter stops, and short cooldowns boost trade volume.
Safe and Smart: Adaptive stops/TPs and cooldowns protect capital while maximizing wins.
Visual Mastery: DAFE’s clean flair, EMAs, dashboard—makes trading fun and clear.
Backtestable: Lean code and fixed qty ensure accurate historical testing.
How to Use
Add to Chart: Load on a 5min MNQ/ES chart in TradingView.
Pick Preset: Aggressive (scalping), Balanced (versatile), or Conservative (safe). Balanced is default.
Set Contracts: Default 1, max 10. Stick low for safety.
Check Dashboard: Bottom-left shows preset, VIX, SPX, and sectors. “OK” + green breadth = strong buy.
Backtest: Run in strategy tester to compare modes.
Live Trade: Connect to Tradovate or similar. Watch for slippage (e.g., April 27, 2025 ES issues).
Replay Test: Try April 28, 2025 NQ drop to see VIX filter and stops in action.
Why It’s Brilliant
The Dskyz (DAFE) Quantum Sentiment Flux - Beginners is a masterpiece of simplicity and power. It takes pro-level tools—momentum, VIX, sector breadth—and wraps them in a system anyone can run. Faster signals and tighter stops make it a trading machine, while the VIX filter and dashboard keep you ahead of market chaos. The DAFE visuals and bottom-left command center turn your chart into a futuristic cockpit, guiding you through every trade. For beginners, it’s a safe entry to futures; for pros, it’s a scalping beast with sentiment smarts. This strat doesn’t just trade—it transforms how you see the market.
Final Notes
This is more than a strategy—it’s your launchpad to mastering futures with Dskyz (DAFE) flair. The Quantum Sentiment Flux blends accessibility, speed, and market savvy to help you outsmart the game. Load it, watch those triangles glow, and let’s make the markets your canvas!
Official Statement from Pine Script Team
(see TradingView help docs and forums):
"This warning may appear when you call functions such as ta.sma inside a request.security in a loop. There is no runtime impact. If you need to loop through a dynamic list of tickers, this cannot be avoided in the present version... Values will still be correct. Ignore this warning in such contexts."
(This publishing will most likely be taken down do to some miscellaneous rule about properly displaying charting symbols, or whatever. Once I've identified what part of the publishing they want to pick on, I'll adjust and repost.)
Use it with discipline. Use it with clarity. Trade smarter.
**I will continue to release incredible strategies and indicators until I turn this into a brand or until someone offers me a contract.
Created by Dskyz, powered by DAFE Trading Systems. Trade fast, trade bold.
Weighted Ichimoku StrategyLSE:HSBA
The Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator is a comprehensive tool that combines multiple signals to identify market trends and potential buying/selling opportunities. My weighted variant of this strategy attempts to assign specific weights to each signal, allowing for a more nuanced and customizable approach to trend identification. The intent is to try and make a more informed trading decision based on the cumulative strength of various signals.
I've tried not to make it a mishmash of this and that + MACD + RSI and on and on; most people have their preferred indicator that focuses on just that that they can use in conjunction.
The signals used can be grouped into two groups the 'Core Ichimoku Signals' & the 'Additional Signals' (at the end you will find the signals and their assigned weights followed by the thresholds where they align).
The Core Ichimoku Signals are the primary signals used in Ichimoku analysis, including Kumo Breakout, Chikou Cross, Kijun Cross, Tenkan Cross, and Kumo Twist.
While the Additional Signals provide further insights and confirmations, such as Kijun Confirmation, Tenkan-Kijun Above Cloud, Chikou Above Cloud, Price-Kijun Cross, Chikou Span Signal, and Price Positioning.
Entries are triggered when the cumulative weight of bullish signals exceeds a specified buy threshold, indicating a strong uptrend or potential trend reversal.
Exits are initiated when the cumulative weight of bearish signals surpasses a specified sell threshold, or when additional conditions such as consolidation patterns or ATR-based targets are met.
There are various exit types that you can choose between, which can be used separately or in conjunction with one another. As an example you might want to exit on a different condition during consolidation periods than during other periods or just use ATR with some other backstop.
They are listed in evaluation order i.e. ATR trumps all, Consolidation exit trumps the regular Kumo sell and so on:
**ATR Sell**: Exits trades based on ATR-based profit targets and stop-losses.
**Consolidation Exit**: Exits trades during consolidation periods to reduce drawdown.
**Sell Below Kumo**: Exits trades when the price is below the Kumo, indicating a potential downtrend.
**Sell Threshold**: Exits trades when the cumulative weight of bearish signals surpasses a specified sell threshold.
There are various 'filters' which are really behavior modifiers:
**Kumo Breakout Filter**: Requires price to close above the Kumo for buy signals (essentially a entry delay).
**Whipsaw Filter**: Ensures trend strength over specified days to reduce false signals.
**Buy Cooldown**: Prevents new entries until half the Kijun period passes after an exit (prevents flapping).
**Chikou Filter**: Delays exits unless the previous close is below the Chikou Span.
**Consolidation Trend Filter**: Prevents consolidation exits if the trend is bullish (rare, but happens).
Then there are some debugging options. Ichimoku periods have some presets (personally I like 8/22/44/22) but are freely configurable, preset to the traditional values for purists.
The list of signals and most thresholds follow, play around with them. Thats all.
Cheers,
**Core Ichimoku Signals**
**Kumo Breakout**
- 30 (Bullish) / -30 (Bearish)
- Indicates a strong trend when the price breaks above (bullish) or below (bearish) the Kumo (cloud). This signal suggests a significant shift in market sentiment.
**Chikou Cross**
- 20 (Bullish) / -20 (Bearish)
- Shows the relationship between the Chikou Span (lagging span) and the current price. A bullish signal occurs when the Chikou Span is above the price, indicating a potential uptrend. Conversely, a bearish signal occurs when the Chikou Span is below the price, suggesting a downtrend.
**Kijun Cross**
- 15 (Bullish) / -15 (Bearish)
- Signals trend changes when the Tenkan-sen (conversion line) crosses above (bullish) or below (bearish) the Kijun-sen (base line). This crossover is often used to identify potential trend reversals.
**Tenkan Cross**
- 10 (Bullish) / -10 (Bearish)
- Indicates short-term trend changes when the price crosses above (bullish) or below (bearish) the Tenkan-sen. This signal helps identify minor trend shifts within the broader trend.
**Kumo Twist**
- 5 (Bullish) / -5 (Bearish)
- Shows changes in the Kumo's direction, indicating potential trend shifts. A bullish Kumo Twist occurs when Senkou Span A crosses above Senkou Span B, and a bearish twist occurs when Senkou Span A crosses below Senkou Span B.
**Additional Signals**
**Kijun Confirmation**
- 8 (Bullish) / -8 (Bearish)
- Confirms the trend based on the price's position relative to the Kijun-sen. A bullish signal occurs when the price is above the Kijun-sen, and a bearish signal occurs when the price is below it.
**Tenkan-Kijun Above Cloud**
- 5 (Bullish) / -5 (Bearish)
- Indicates a strong bullish trend when both the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen are above the Kumo. Conversely, a bearish signal occurs when both lines are below the Kumo.
**Chikou Above Cloud**
- 5 (Bullish) / -5 (Bearish)
- Shows the Chikou Span's position relative to the Kumo, indicating trend strength. A bullish signal occurs when the Chikou Span is above the Kumo, and a bearish signal occurs when it is below.
**Price-Kijun Cross**
- 2 (Bullish) / -2 (Bearish)
- Signals short-term trend changes when the price crosses above (bullish) or below (bearish) the Kijun-sen. This signal is similar to the Kijun Cross but focuses on the price's direct interaction with the Kijun-sen.
**Chikou Span Signal**
- 10 (Bullish) / -10 (Bearish)
- Indicates the trend based on the Chikou Span's position relative to past price highs and lows. A bullish signal occurs when the Chikou Span is above the highest high of the past period, and a bearish signal occurs when it is below the lowest low.
**Price Positioning**
- 10 (Bullish) / -10 (Bearish)
- Shows indecision when the price is between the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, indicating a potential consolidation phase. A bullish signal occurs when the price is above both lines, and a bearish signal occurs when the price is below both lines.
**Confidence Level**: Highly Sensitive
- **Buy Threshold**: 50
- **Sell Threshold**: -50
- **Notes / Significance**: ~2–3 signals, very early trend detection. High sensitivity, may capture noise and false signals.
**Confidence Level**: Entry-Level
- **Buy Threshold**: 58
- **Sell Threshold**: -58
- **Notes / Significance**: ~3–4 signals, often Chikou Cross or Kumo Breakout. Very sensitive, risks noise (e.g., false buys in choppy markets).
**Confidence Level**: Entry-Level
- **Buy Threshold**: 60
- **Sell Threshold**: -60
- **Notes / Significance**: ~3–4 signals, Kumo Breakout or Chikou Cross anchors. Entry point for early trends.
**Confidence Level**: Moderate
- **Buy Threshold**: 65
- **Sell Threshold**: -65
- **Notes / Significance**: ~4–5 signals, balances sensitivity and reliability. Suitable for moderate risk tolerance.
**Confidence Level**: Conservative
- **Buy Threshold**: 70
- **Sell Threshold**: -70
- **Notes / Significance**: ~4–5 signals, emphasizes stronger confirmations. Reduces false signals but may miss some opportunities.
**Confidence Level**: Very Conservative
- **Buy Threshold**: 75
- **Sell Threshold**: -75
- **Notes / Significance**: ~5–6 signals, prioritizes high confidence. Minimizes risk but may enter trades late.
**Confidence Level**: High Confidence
- **Buy Threshold**: 80
- **Sell Threshold**: -80
- **Notes / Significance**: ~6–7 signals, very strong confirmations needed. Suitable for cautious traders.
**Confidence Level**: Very High Confidence
- **Buy Threshold**: 85
- **Sell Threshold**: -85
- **Notes / Significance**: ~7–8 signals, extremely high confidence required. Minimizes false signals significantly.
**Confidence Level**: Maximum Confidence
- **Buy Threshold**: 90
- **Sell Threshold**: -90
- **Notes / Significance**: ~8–9 signals, maximum confidence level. Ensures trades are highly reliable but may result in fewer trades.
**Confidence Level**: Ultra Conservative
- **Buy Threshold**: 100
- **Sell Threshold**: -100
- **Notes / Significance**: ~9–10 signals, ultra-high confidence. Trades are extremely reliable but opportunities are rare.
**Confidence Level**: Extreme Confidence
- **Buy Threshold**: 110
- **Sell Threshold**: -110
- **Notes / Significance**: All signals align, extreme confidence. Trades are almost certain but very few opportunities.
Cycle Biologique Strategy // (\_/)
// ( •.•)
// (")_(")
//@fr33domz
Experimental Research: Cycle Biologique Strategy
Overview
The "Cycle Biologique Strategy" is an experimental trading algorithm designed to leverage periodic cycles in price movements by utilizing a sinusoidal function. This strategy aims to identify potential buy and sell signals based on the behavior of a custom-defined biological cycle.
Key Parameters
Cycle Length: This parameter defines the duration of the cycle, set by default to 30 periods. The user can adjust this value to optimize the strategy for different asset classes or market conditions.
Amplitude: The amplitude of the cycle influences the scale of the sinusoidal wave, allowing for customization in the sensitivity of buy and sell signals.
Offset: The offset parameter introduces phase shifts to the cycle, adjustable within a range of -360 to 360 degrees. This flexibility allows the strategy to align with various market rhythms.
Methodology
The core of the strategy lies in the calculation of a periodic cycle using a sinusoidal function.
Trading Signals
Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the cycle value crosses above zero, indicating a potential upward momentum.
Sell Signal: Conversely, a sell signal is triggered when the cycle value crosses below zero, suggesting a potential downtrend.
Execution
The strategy executes trades based on these signals:
Upon receiving a buy signal, the algorithm enters a long position.
When a sell signal occurs, the strategy closes the long position.
Visualization
To enhance user experience, the periodic cycle is plotted visually on the chart in blue, allowing traders to observe the cyclical nature of the strategy and its alignment with market movements.
Volume Block Order AnalyzerCore Concept
The Volume Block Order Analyzer is a sophisticated Pine Script strategy designed to detect and analyze institutional money flow through large block trades. It identifies unusually high volume candles and evaluates their directional bias to provide clear visual signals of potential market movements.
How It Works: The Mathematical Model
1. Volume Anomaly Detection
The strategy first identifies "block trades" using a statistical approach:
```
avgVolume = ta.sma(volume, lookbackPeriod)
isHighVolume = volume > avgVolume * volumeThreshold
```
This means a candle must have volume exceeding the recent average by a user-defined multiplier (default 2.0x) to be considered a significant block trade.
2. Directional Impact Calculation
For each block trade identified, its price action determines direction:
- Bullish candle (close > open): Positive impact
- Bearish candle (close < open): Negative impact
The magnitude of impact is proportional to the volume size:
```
volumeWeight = volume / avgVolume // How many times larger than average
blockImpact = (isBullish ? 1.0 : -1.0) * (volumeWeight / 10)
```
This creates a normalized impact score typically ranging from -1.0 to 1.0, scaled by dividing by 10 to prevent excessive values.
3. Cumulative Impact with Time Decay
The key innovation is the cumulative impact calculation with decay:
```
cumulativeImpact := cumulativeImpact * impactDecay + blockImpact
```
This mathematical model has important properties:
- Recent block trades have stronger influence than older ones
- Impact gradually "fades" at rate determined by decay factor (default 0.95)
- Sustained directional pressure accumulates over time
- Opposing pressure gradually counteracts previous momentum
Trading Logic
Signal Generation
The strategy generates trading signals based on momentum shifts in institutional order flow:
1. Long Entry Signal: When cumulative impact crosses from negative to positive
```
if ta.crossover(cumulativeImpact, 0)
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
```
*Logic: Institutional buying pressure has overcome selling pressure, indicating potential upward movement*
2. Short Entry Signal: When cumulative impact crosses from positive to negative
```
if ta.crossunder(cumulativeImpact, 0)
strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)
```
*Logic: Institutional selling pressure has overcome buying pressure, indicating potential downward movement*
3. Exit Logic: Positions are closed when the cumulative impact moves against the position
```
if cumulativeImpact < 0
strategy.close("Long")
```
*Logic: The original signal is no longer valid as institutional flow has reversed*
Visual Interpretation System
The strategy employs multiple visualization techniques:
1. Color Gradient Bar System:
- Deep green: Strong buying pressure (impact > 0.5)
- Light green: Moderate buying pressure (0.1 < impact ≤ 0.5)
- Yellow-green: Mild buying pressure (0 < impact ≤ 0.1)
- Yellow: Neutral (impact = 0)
- Yellow-orange: Mild selling pressure (-0.1 < impact ≤ 0)
- Orange: Moderate selling pressure (-0.5 < impact ≤ -0.1)
- Red: Strong selling pressure (impact ≤ -0.5)
2. Dynamic Impact Line:
- Plots the cumulative impact as a line
- Line color shifts with impact value
- Line movement shows momentum and trend strength
3. Block Trade Labels:
- Marks significant block trades directly on the chart
- Shows direction and volume amount
- Helps identify key moments of institutional activity
4. Information Dashboard:
- Current impact value and signal direction
- Average volume benchmark
- Count of significant block trades
- Min/Max impact range
Benefits and Use Cases
This strategy provides several advantages:
1. Institutional Flow Detection: Identifies where large players are positioning themselves
2. Early Trend Identification: Often detects institutional accumulation/distribution before major price movements
3. Market Context Enhancement: Provides deeper insight than simple price action alone
4. Objective Decision Framework: Quantifies what might otherwise be subjective observations
5. Adaptive to Market Conditions: Works across different timeframes and instruments by using relative volume rather than absolute thresholds
Customization Options
The strategy allows users to fine-tune its behavior:
- Volume Threshold: How unusual a volume spike must be to qualify
- Lookback Period: How far back to measure average volume
- Impact Decay Factor: How quickly older trades lose influence
- Visual Settings: Labels and line width customization
This sophisticated yet intuitive strategy provides traders with a window into institutional activity, helping identify potential trend changes before they become obvious in price action alone.
Color Code Overlay StrategyColor Code Overlay Strategy
This strategy utilizes a custom color-coded overlay to provide accurate buy and sell signals based on dynamic color changes of the candles. The indicator works by calculating a color shift between bullish (green) and bearish (red) candles, with the color change logic driven by both price movement and volatility.
How the Color Change is Calculated:
The color change is determined by comparing the closing price relative to the opening price of each candle, as is typical with a traditional bullish or bearish candle. However, to make this strategy more adaptive to market conditions, the color change is further refined by incorporating the Average True Range (ATR).
Volatility Adjusted Color Shift: The strategy calculates a dynamic threshold based on the ATR value, which represents market volatility. If the price movement between the open and close of the candle exceeds a specific percentage of the ATR, the color of the candle shifts from red (bearish) to green (bullish) or vice versa.
Threshold Calculation: A fixed percentage (e.g., 1%) of the ATR range is used to define the minimum price movement required for a color change. This ensures that only significant price movements, adjusted for volatility, trigger the color shift. The larger the ATR (higher volatility), the greater the price movement required to cause a change in color.
Bullish to Bearish (Green to Red): When the candle closes lower than the open, and the price movement exceeds the dynamic threshold based on ATR, the candle color changes from green to red, signaling a potential bearish reversal.
Bearish to Bullish (Red to Green): When the candle closes higher than the open, and the price movement exceeds the ATR-based threshold, the candle color shifts from red to green, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Key Features:
Dynamic Color Change: The strategy identifies key color changes from bullish to bearish (green to red) and from bearish to bullish (red to green) based on specific thresholds in candle size.
Customizable Timeframe: You can specify a custom trading window to restrict the strategy’s actions to specific hours of the day.
Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy incorporates risk management features, allowing you to set a stop loss and take profit based on the price in pips.
Flexible Trade Types: Choose between "Both" (long and short), "Long Only," or "Short Only" trading options to suit your preferred trading style.
Visual Alerts: Receive visual alerts with arrows when color changes occur, signaling potential trade opportunities. Green arrows indicate a bullish shift, while red arrows show a bearish shift.
This strategy is ideal for traders who prefer a color-coded overlay to easily visualize price action and make informed decisions based on bullish or bearish trends. Whether you’re looking for quick, short-term opportunities or analyzing market reversals, this strategy offers an intuitive approach to identifying trade signals.
Candle Emotion Index (CEI) StrategyThe Candle Emotion Index (CEI) Strategy is an innovative sentiment-based trading approach designed to help traders identify and capitalize on market psychology. By analyzing candlestick patterns and combining them into a unified metric, the CEI Strategy provides clear entry and exit signals while dynamically managing risk. This strategy is ideal for traders looking to leverage market sentiment to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
How It Works
The CEI Strategy is built around three core oscillators that reflect key emotional states in the market:
Indecision Oscillator . Measures market uncertainty using patterns like Doji and Spinning Tops. High values indicate hesitation, signaling potential turning points.
Fear Oscillator . Tracks bearish sentiment through patterns like Shooting Star, Hanging Man, and Bearish Engulfing. Helps identify moments of intense selling pressure.
Greed Oscillator . Detects bullish sentiment using patterns like Marubozu, Hammer, Bullish Engulfing, and Three White Soldiers. Highlights periods of strong buying interest.
These oscillators are averaged into the Candle Emotion Index (CEI):
CEI = (Indecision + Fear + Greed) / 3
This single value quantifies overall market sentiment and drives the strategy’s trading decisions.
Key Features
Sentiment-Based Trading Signals . Long Entry: Triggered when the CEI crosses above a lower threshold (e.g., 0.1), indicating increasing bullish sentiment. Short Entry: Triggered when the CEI crosses above a higher threshold (e.g., 0.2), signaling rising bearish sentiment.
Volume Confirmation . Trades are validated only if volume exceeds a user-defined multiplier of the average volume over the lookback period. This ensures entries are backed by significant market activity.
Break-Even Recovery Mechanism . If a trade moves into a loss, the strategy attempts to recover to break-even instead of immediately exiting at a loss. This feature provides flexibility, allowing the market to recover while maintaining disciplined risk management.
Dynamic Risk Management . Maximum Holding Period: Trades are closed after a user-defined number of candles to avoid overexposure to prolonged uncertainty. Profit-Taking Conditions: Positions are exited when favorable price moves are confirmed by increased volume, locking in gains. Loss Threshold: Trades are exited early if the price moves unfavorably beyond a set percentage of the entry price, limiting potential losses.
Cooldown Period . After a trade is closed, a cooldown period prevents immediate re-entry, reducing overtrading and improving signal quality.
Why Use This Strategy?
The CEI Strategy combines advanced sentiment analysis with robust trade management, making it a powerful tool for traders seeking to understand market psychology and identify high-probability setups. Its unique features, such as the break-even recovery mechanism and volume confirmation, add an extra layer of discipline and reliability to trading decisions.
Best Practices
Combine with Other Indicators . Use trend-following tools (e.g., moving averages, ADX) and momentum oscillators (e.g., RSI, MACD) to confirm signals.
Align with Key Levels . Incorporate support and resistance levels for refined entries and exits.
Multi-Market Compatibility . Apply this strategy to forex, crypto, stocks, or any asset class with strong volume and price action.
Dynamic Ticks Oscillator Model (DTOM)The Dynamic Ticks Oscillator Model (DTOM) is a systematic trading approach grounded in momentum and volatility analysis, designed to exploit behavioral inefficiencies in the equity markets. It focuses on the NYSE Down Ticks, a metric reflecting the cumulative number of stocks trading at a lower price than their previous trade. As a proxy for market sentiment and selling pressure, this indicator is particularly useful in identifying shifts in investor behavior during periods of heightened uncertainty or volatility (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Theoretical Basis
The DTOM builds on established principles of momentum and mean reversion in financial markets. Momentum strategies, which seek to capitalize on the persistence of price trends, have been shown to deliver significant returns in various asset classes (Carhart, 1997). However, these strategies are also susceptible to periods of drawdown due to sudden reversals. By incorporating volatility as a dynamic component, DTOM adapts to changing market conditions, addressing one of the primary challenges of traditional momentum models (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
Sentiment and Volatility as Core Drivers
The NYSE Down Ticks serve as a proxy for short-term negative sentiment. Sudden increases in Down Ticks often signal panic-driven selling, creating potential opportunities for mean reversion. Behavioral finance studies suggest that investor overreaction to negative news can lead to temporary mispricings, which systematic strategies can exploit (De Bondt & Thaler, 1985). By incorporating a rate-of-change (ROC) oscillator into the model, DTOM tracks the momentum of Down Ticks over a specified lookback period, identifying periods of extreme sentiment.
In addition, the strategy dynamically adjusts entry and exit thresholds based on recent volatility. Research indicates that incorporating volatility into momentum strategies can enhance risk-adjusted returns by improving adaptability to market conditions (Moskowitz, Ooi, & Pedersen, 2012). DTOM uses standard deviations of the ROC as a measure of volatility, allowing thresholds to contract during calm markets and expand during turbulent ones. This approach helps mitigate false signals and aligns with findings that volatility scaling can improve strategy robustness (Barroso & Santa-Clara, 2015).
Practical Implications
The DTOM framework is particularly well-suited for systematic traders seeking to exploit behavioral inefficiencies while maintaining adaptability to varying market environments. By leveraging sentiment metrics such as the NYSE Down Ticks and combining them with a volatility-adjusted momentum oscillator, the strategy addresses key limitations of traditional trend-following models, such as their lagging nature and susceptibility to reversals in volatile conditions.
References
• Barroso, P., & Santa-Clara, P. (2015). Momentum Has Its Moments. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 111–120.
• Carhart, M. M. (1997). On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance. The Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57–82.
• De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? The Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793–805.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65–91.
• Moskowitz, T. J., Ooi, Y. H., & Pedersen, L. H. (2012). Time Series Momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 228–250.
Max Pain StrategyThe Max Pain Strategy uses a combination of volume and price movement thresholds to identify potential "pain zones" in the market. A "pain zone" is considered when the volume exceeds a certain multiple of its average over a defined lookback period, and the price movement exceeds a predefined percentage relative to the price at the beginning of the lookback period.
Here’s how the strategy functions step-by-step:
Inputs:
length: Defines the lookback period used to calculate the moving average of volume and the price change over that period.
volMultiplier: Sets a threshold multiplier for the volume; if the volume exceeds the average volume multiplied by this factor, it triggers the condition for a potential "pain zone."
priceMultiplier: Sets a threshold for the minimum percentage price change that is required for a "pain zone" condition.
Calculations:
averageVolume: The simple moving average (SMA) of volume over the specified lookback period.
priceChange: The absolute difference in price between the current bar's close and the close from the lookback period (length).
Pain Zone Condition:
The condition for entering a position is triggered if both the volume is higher than the average volume by the volMultiplier and the price change exceeds the price at the length-period ago by the priceMultiplier. This is an indication of significant market activity that could result in a price move.
Position Entry:
A long position is entered when the "pain zone" condition is met.
Exit Strategy:
The position is closed after the specified holdPeriods, which defines how many periods the position will be held after being entered.
Visualization:
A small triangle is plotted on the chart where the "pain zone" condition is met.
The background color changes to a semi-transparent red when the "pain zone" is active.
Scientific Explanation of the Components
Volume Analysis and Price Movement: These are two critical factors in trading strategies. Volume often serves as an indicator of market strength (or weakness), and price movement is a direct reflection of market sentiment. Higher volume with significant price movement may suggest that the market is entering a phase of increased volatility or trend formation, which the strategy aims to exploit.
Volume analysis: The study of volume as an indicator of market participation, with increased volume often signaling stronger trends (Murphy, J. J., Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets).
Price movement thresholds: A large price change over a short period may be interpreted as a breakout or a potential reversal point, aligning with volatility and liquidity analysis (Schwager, J. D., Market Wizards).
Repainting Check: This strategy does not involve any repainting because it is based on current and past data, and there is no reference to future values in the decision-making process. However, any strategy that uses lagging indicators or conditions based on historical bars, like close , is inherently a lagging strategy and might not predict real-time price action accurately until after the fact.
Risk Management: The position hold duration is predefined, which adds an element of time-based risk control. This duration ensures that the strategy does not hold a position indefinitely, which could expose it to unnecessary risk.
Potential Issues and Considerations
Repainting:
The strategy does not utilize future data or conditions that depend on future bars, so it does not inherently suffer from repainting issues.
However, since the strategy relies on volume and price change over a set lookback period, the decision to enter or exit a trade is only made after the data for the current bar is complete, meaning the trade decisions are somewhat delayed, which could be seen as a lagging feature rather than a repainting one.
Lagging Nature:
As with many technical analysis-based strategies, this one is based on past data (moving averages, price changes), meaning it reacts to market movements after they have already occurred, rather than predicting future price actions.
Overfitting Risk:
With parameters like the lookback period and multipliers being user-adjustable, there is a risk of overfitting to historical data. Adjusting parameters too much based on past performance can lead to poor out-of-sample results (Gauthier, P., Practical Quantitative Finance).
Conclusion
The Max Pain Strategy is a simple approach to identifying potential market entries based on volume spikes and significant price changes. It avoids repainting by relying solely on historical and current bar data, but it is inherently a lagging strategy that reacts to price and volume patterns after they have occurred. Therefore, the strategy can be effective in trending markets but may struggle in highly volatile, sideways markets.
Global Index Spread RSI StrategyThis strategy leverages the relative strength index (RSI) to monitor the price spread between a global benchmark index (such as AMEX) and the currently opened asset in the chart window. By calculating the spread between these two, the strategy uses RSI to identify oversold and overbought conditions to trigger buy and sell signals.
Key Components:
Global Benchmark Index: The strategy compares the current asset with a predefined global index (e.g., AMEX) to measure relative performance. The choice of a global benchmark allows the trader to analyze the current asset's movement in the context of broader market trends.
Spread Calculation:
The spread is calculated as the percentage difference between the current asset's closing price and the global benchmark index's closing price:
Spread=Current Asset Close−Global Index CloseGlobal Index Close×100
Spread=Global Index CloseCurrent Asset Close−Global Index Close×100
This metric provides a measure of how the current asset is performing relative to the global index. A positive spread indicates the asset is outperforming the benchmark, while a negative spread signals underperformance.
RSI of the Spread: The RSI is then calculated on the spread values. The RSI is a momentum oscillator that ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in asset prices. An RSI below 30 is considered oversold, indicating a potential buying opportunity, while an RSI above 70 is overbought, suggesting that the asset may be due for a pullback.
Strategy Logic:
Entry Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the RSI of the spread falls below the oversold threshold (default 30). This suggests that the asset may have been oversold relative to the global benchmark and might be due for a reversal.
Exit Condition: The strategy exits the long position when the RSI of the spread rises above the overbought threshold (default 70), indicating that the asset may have become overbought and a price correction is likely.
Visual Reference:
The RSI of the spread is plotted on the chart for visual reference, making it easier for traders to monitor the relative strength of the asset in relation to the global benchmark.
Overbought and oversold levels are also drawn as horizontal reference lines (70 and 30), along with a neutral level at 50 to show market equilibrium.
Theoretical Basis:
The strategy is built on the mean reversion principle, which suggests that asset prices tend to revert to a long-term average over time. When prices move too far from this mean—either being overbought or oversold—they are likely to correct back toward equilibrium. By using RSI to identify these extremes, the strategy aims to profit from price reversals.
Mean Reversion: According to financial theory, asset prices oscillate around a long-term average, and any extreme deviation (overbought or oversold conditions) presents opportunities for price corrections (Poterba & Summers, 1988).
Momentum Indicators (RSI): The RSI is widely used in technical analysis to measure the momentum of an asset. Its application to the spread between the asset and a global benchmark allows for a more nuanced view of relative performance and potential turning points in the asset's price trajectory.
Practical Application:
This strategy works best in markets where relative strength is a key factor in decision-making, such as in equity indices, commodities, or forex markets. By assessing the performance of the asset relative to a global benchmark and utilizing RSI to identify extremes in price movements, the strategy helps traders to make more informed decisions based on potential mean reversion points.
While the "Global Index Spread RSI Strategy" offers a method for identifying potential price reversals based on relative strength and oversold/overbought conditions, it is important to recognize that no strategy is foolproof. The strategy assumes that the historical relationship between the asset and the global benchmark will hold in the future, but financial markets are subject to a wide array of unpredictable factors that can lead to sudden changes in price behavior.
Risk of False Signals:
The strategy relies heavily on the RSI to trigger buy and sell signals. However, like any momentum-based indicator, RSI can generate false signals, particularly in highly volatile or trending markets. In such conditions, the strategy may enter positions too early or exit too late, leading to potential losses.
Market Context:
The strategy may not account for macroeconomic events, news, or other market forces that could cause sudden shifts in asset prices. External factors, such as geopolitical developments, monetary policy changes, or financial crises, can cause a divergence between the asset and the global benchmark, leading to incorrect conclusions from the strategy.
Overfitting Risk:
As with any strategy that uses historical data to make decisions, there is a risk of overfitting the model to past performance. This could result in a strategy that works well on historical data but performs poorly in live trading conditions due to changes in market dynamics.
Execution Risks:
The strategy does not account for slippage, transaction costs, or liquidity issues, which can impact the execution of trades in real-market conditions. In fast-moving markets, prices may move significantly between order placement and execution, leading to worse-than-expected entry or exit prices.
No Guarantee of Profit:
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The strategy should be used with caution, and risk management techniques (such as stop losses and position sizing) should always be implemented to protect against significant losses.
Traders should thoroughly test and adapt the strategy in a simulated environment before applying it to live trades, and consider seeking professional advice to ensure that their trading activities align with their risk tolerance and financial goals.
References:
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
