IvanLabrie

VIX: Stocks likely to continue lower for a week at least

לונג
IvanLabrie מעודכן   
TVC:VIX   תנודתיות המדד S&P 500
I'll be looking closely at $SPY, $VIX and $SKEW to get long $SPY at the bottom once more. For now sitting in cash and with a big $TLT long position, as well as my $USDCAD short trade.

Best of luck,

Ivan Labrie.
הערה:
We did call for more downside, didn't we? Now all the doomsday fanatics show up, patently late, I think we could see a bottom soon. Main thing that might keep the market sideways and not trending lower is that a lot of money that was on the sidelines might be released to be invested thanks to the tax cuts, people focus too much on tariffs and trade wars, or interviews to prostitutes and miss that fact.

Overall the best strategy going forward is to buy short term bottoms in $SPY, and also short rallies optionally, from a trading perspective. From a longer term perspective, each of these big drops in $SPY set up nice buy opportunities in cheap value stocks.

$VIX could be in a bigger uptrend, we will watch it closely to buy the bottom in $SPY once signaled by it and sentiment readings.

העסקה בוטלה באופן ידני:

Our timing signal worked, $VIX topped on the day I had estimated it would. Stocks formed a base and bottomed for now, we might retest the top of the range...nice breakout today. Our longs are paying off considerably.
הערה:
#VIX could trend lower as $SPY recovers and approaches the ATH zone again
הערה:
#VIX bottomed at my target zone...
It held the low volume support zone in the spike that happened on May 4th, now since then, it rallied more than $5 from that low, which is the point where I'm getting greedy. Looking to buy the market. Need to see selling get exhausted first, watching...
הערה:
Smart money supported the market again when retesting the peak of their buying spree range. If $VIX falls to 12.9, we will have a new support zone to label on chart I think we might even see new all time highs on this leg up here. But, I suspect afterwards we will correct down again, since the market is likely to remain sideways all year.
הערה:

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