MACD -- Normalized█ OVERVIEW
This indicator is a normalized and scaled version of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) indicator, inspired by the work in "Statistically Sound Indicators" by Timothy Masters. It enhances the traditional MACD by applying statistical normalization and scaling techniques, providing more consistent and reliable signals across different markets and timeframes.
█ CONCEPTS
The traditional MACD measures the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages ( EMAs ) of different lengths to identify momentum changes. However, its raw values are unbounded, making it challenging to compare across different instruments or timeframes.
This normalized MACD addresses this limitation by:
• Normalization : Adjusting the MACD values using the Average True Range ( ATR ) to account for market volatility.
• Scaling : Applying the Cumulative Distribution Function ( CDF ) to constrain the output between -50 and +50.
• Smoothing : Providing a smoothed signal line and histogram to effectively visualize momentum shifts.
█ FEATURES
• Normalized MACD Line : Computes the difference between the short-term and long-term EMAs, normalized by market volatility.
• Signal Line : Applies EMA smoothing to the normalized MACD line over a user-defined period.
• Histogram : Visualizes the difference between the normalized MACD line and the signal line, highlighting momentum changes.
• Customization Options :
• Adjustable lengths for the short-term EMA, long-term EMA, and signal line smoothing.
• Ability to toggle the visibility of the MACD line, signal line, and histogram.
• Statistical Scaling : Utilizes statistical methods from Timothy Masters' work to provide consistent scaling across different instruments.
█ HOW TO USE
1 — Identify Momentum Shifts :
• A crossover of the MACD line above the signal line may indicate a bullish momentum shift.
• A crossover of the MACD line below the signal line may indicate a bearish momentum shift.
2 — Analyze the Histogram :
• A rising histogram suggests strengthening momentum in the current trend direction.
• A falling histogram may signal weakening momentum or a potential reversal.
3 — Customize Parameters :
• Adjust the EMA lengths and smoothing periods to fit the specific instrument or timeframe.
• Use the visibility toggles to focus on the components most relevant to your analysis.
4 — Combine with Other Tools :
• Use in conjunction with support/resistance levels, trend lines, or other indicators to confirm signals.
• Consider the overall market context to enhance decision-making.
█ LIMITATIONS
• The indicator is based on historical price data; it may not predict future market movements accurately.
• May produce false signals during low volatility or ranging market conditions.
• Initial periods may display na values due to insufficient data for calculations.
█ NOTES
• Ensure that the MathHelpers library by HuntGatherTrade is imported for the indicator to function correctly.
• The default parameters are commonly used settings but may require adjustments based on the trading instrument and timeframe.
• The normalization and scaling techniques are designed to make the indicator's outputs more comparable across different markets.
אינדיקטורים ואסטרטגיות
Bayesian Price Projection Model [Pinescriptlabs]📊 Dynamic Price Projection Algorithm 📈
This algorithm combines **statistical calculations**, **technical analysis**, and **Bayesian theory** to forecast a future price while providing **uncertainty ranges** that represent upper and lower bounds. The calculations are designed to adjust projections by considering market **trends**, **volatility**, and the historical probabilities of reaching new highs or lows.
Here’s how it works:
🚀 Future Price Projection
A dynamic calculation estimates the future price based on three key elements:
1. **Trend**: Defines whether the market is predisposed to move up or down.
2. **Volatility**: Quantifies the magnitude of the expected change based on historical fluctuations.
3. **Time Factor**: Uses the logarithm of the projected period (`proyeccion_dias`) to adjust how time impacts the estimate.
🧠 **Bayesian Probabilistic Adjustment**
- Conditional probabilities are calculated using **Bayes' formula**:
\
This models future events using conditional information:
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time high** if the price is trending upward.
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time low** if the price is trending downward.
- These probabilities refine the future price estimate by considering:
- **Higher volatility** increases the likelihood of hitting extreme levels (highs/lows).
- **Market trends** influence the expected price movement direction.
🌟 **Volatility Calculation**
- Volatility is measured using the **ATR (Average True Range)** indicator with a 14-period window. This reflects the average amplitude of price fluctuations.
- To express volatility as a percentage, the ATR is normalized by dividing it by the closing price and multiplying it by 200.
- Volatility is then categorized into descriptive levels (e.g., **Very Low**, **Low**, **Moderate**, etc.) for better interpretation.
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🎯 **Deviation Limits (Upper and Lower)**
- The upper and lower limits form a **projected range** around the estimated future price, providing a framework for uncertainty.
- These limits are calculated by adjusting the ATR using:
- A user-defined **multiplier** (`factor_desviacion`).
- **Bayesian probabilities** calculated earlier.
- The **square root of the projected period** (`proyeccion_dias`), incorporating the principle that uncertainty grows over time.
🔍 **Interpreting the Model**
This can be seen as a **dynamic probabilistic model** that:
- Combines **technical analysis** (trends and ATR).
- Refines probabilities using **Bayesian theory**.
- Provides a **visual projection range** to help you understand potential future price movements and associated uncertainties.
⚡ Whether you're analyzing **volatile markets** or confirming **bullish/bearish scenarios**, this tool equips you with a robust, data-driven approach! 🚀
Español :
📊 Algoritmo de Proyección de Precio Dinámico 📈
Este algoritmo combina **cálculos estadísticos**, **análisis técnico** y **la teoría de Bayes** para proyectar un precio futuro, junto con rangos de **incertidumbre** que representan los límites superior e inferior. Los cálculos están diseñados para ajustar las proyecciones considerando la **tendencia del mercado**, **volatilidad** y las probabilidades históricas de alcanzar nuevos máximos o mínimos.
Aquí se explica su funcionamiento:
🚀 **Proyección de Precio Futuro**
Se realiza un cálculo dinámico del precio futuro estimado basado en tres elementos clave:
1. **Tendencia**: Define si el mercado tiene predisposición a subir o bajar.
2. **Volatilidad**: Determina la magnitud del cambio esperado en función de las fluctuaciones históricas.
3. **Factor de Tiempo**: Usa el logaritmo del período proyectado (`proyeccion_dias`) para ajustar cómo el tiempo afecta la estimación.
🧠 **Ajuste Probabilístico con la Teoría de Bayes**
- Se calculan probabilidades condicionales mediante la fórmula de **Bayes**:
\
Esto permite modelar eventos futuros considerando información condicional:
- **Probabilidad de alcanzar un nuevo máximo histórico** si el precio sube.
- **Probabilidad de alcanzar un nuevo mínimo histórico** si el precio baja.
- Estas probabilidades ajustan la estimación del precio futuro considerando:
- **Mayor volatilidad** aumenta la probabilidad de alcanzar niveles extremos (máximos/mínimos).
- **La tendencia del mercado** afecta la dirección esperada del movimiento del precio.
🌟 **Cálculo de Volatilidad**
- La volatilidad se mide usando el indicador **ATR (Average True Range)** con un período de 14 velas. Este indicador refleja la amplitud promedio de las fluctuaciones del precio.
- Para obtener un valor porcentual, el ATR se normaliza dividiéndolo por el precio de cierre y multiplicándolo por 200.
- Además, se clasifica esta volatilidad en categorías descriptivas (e.g., **Muy Baja**, **Baja**, **Moderada**, etc.) para facilitar su interpretación.
🎯 **Límites de Desviación (Superior e Inferior)**
- Los límites superior e inferior representan un **rango proyectado** en torno al precio futuro estimado, proporcionando un marco para la incertidumbre.
- Estos límites se calculan ajustando el ATR según:
- Un **multiplicador** definido por el usuario (`factor_desviacion`).
- Las **probabilidades condicionales** calculadas previamente.
- La **raíz cuadrada del período proyectado** (`proyeccion_dias`), lo que incorpora el principio de que la incertidumbre aumenta con el tiempo.
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🔍 **Interpretación del Modelo**
Este modelo se puede interpretar como un **modelo probabilístico dinámico** que:
- Integra **análisis técnico** (tendencias y ATR).
- Ajusta probabilidades utilizando **la teoría de Bayes**.
- Proporciona un **rango de proyección visual** para ayudarte a entender los posibles movimientos futuros del precio y su incertidumbre.
⚡ Ya sea que estés analizando **mercados volátiles** o confirmando **escenarios alcistas/bajistas**, ¡esta herramienta te ofrece un enfoque robusto y basado en datos! 🚀
Close Minus Moving Average█ OVERVIEW
The Close Minus Moving Average (CMMA) is a statistically robust mean reversion indicator designed to identify potential reversal points in the market. By analyzing the relationship between the closing price and its moving average, CMMA provides traders with actionable insights to enhance their trading strategies.
Important
This indicator requires the use of the MathHelpers library published by HuntGatherTrade
█ CONCEPTS
The CMMA indicator operates by calculating the logarithmic difference between the current closing price and its simple moving average (SMA). This difference is then normalized using the Average True Range (ATR) to account for market volatility. The resulting value is transformed using the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) to produce a standardized metric that oscillates around zero.
Key Steps :
Logarithmic Calculation: Computes the natural logarithm of the closing prices.
Moving Average: Applies a simple moving average to the logarithmic closing prices.
ATR Normalization: Utilizes ATR to normalize the difference, ensuring the indicator adapts to varying market conditions.
CDF Transformation: Transforms the normalized difference to a scale that highlights mean reversion tendencies.
Mean Reversion
Mean reversion is a financial theory suggesting that asset prices and historical returns eventually return to the long-term mean or average level of the entire dataset. The CMMA leverages this concept to signal potential entry and exit points based on deviations from the moving average.
█ FEATURES
Adaptive Normalization: Utilizes ATR to adjust for market volatility, ensuring consistent performance across different market conditions.
Statistical Robustness: Built upon methodologies from Timothy Masters, ensuring reliable mean reversion signals.
Clear Visuals: Differentiates positive and negative deviations with distinct color coding for easy interpretation.
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to adjust lookback periods and ATR lengths to tailor the indicator to their specific trading needs
.
█ HOW TO USE
Add the Indicator :
Navigate to the Pine Script editor on TradingView.
Paste the CMMA script and add it to your chart.
Adjust Parameters :
Lookback Period: Determines the number of periods for calculating the moving average of the logarithmic close. Default is 1.
ATR Length: Sets the number of periods for ATR calculation. Default is 252.
Interpret Signals :
Green Plot: Indicates that the closing price is above the moving average, suggesting bullish momentum.
Red Plot: Indicates that the closing price is below the moving average, suggesting bearish momentum.
Zero Line: Serves as a reference point for mean reversion signals.
Trading Strategy :
Buy Signal: When CMMA crosses above the zero line, indicating a potential upward reversal.
Sell Signal: When CMMA crosses below the zero line, indicating a potential downward reversal.
█ LIMITATIONS
Lagging Indicator: As with all moving averages, CMMA is based on historical data and may lag during rapid market movements.
Parameter Sensitivity: The effectiveness of CMMA can vary based on the chosen lookback and ATR periods. Users should optimize these parameters based on the specific asset and timeframe.
Market Conditions: Best suited for mean-reverting markets and may underperform in trending or highly volatile environments.
█ NOTES
Version Compatibility: The CMMA script is written in Pine Script™ version 6. Ensure your TradingView environment supports this version.
License: This Pine Script™ code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Read the license here.
Lot Size & Risk Calculator (All Pairs)this indicator is designed to simplify and optimize risk management. It automatically calculates the ideal lot size based on your account balance, risk percentage, and defined entry and exit levels. Additionally, it includes visual tools to represent stop-loss (SL) and take-profit (TP) levels, helping you trade with precision and consistency.
WHAT IS THIS INDICATOR FOR?
This indicator is essential for traders who want to:
Maintain consistent risk in their trades.
Quickly calculate lot sizes for Forex, XAUUSD, BTCUSD, and US100.
Visualize key levels (Entry, SL, and TP) on the chart.
Monitor potential losses and gains in real time.
COMPATIBLE ASSETS
The Lot Size Calculator works with the following assets:
Forex: Standard currency pairs.
XAUUSD: Gold versus the US dollar.
BTCUSD: Bitcoin versus the US dollar.
US100: Nasdaq 100 index.
Calculations adjust automatically based on the selected asset.
TAKE-PROFIT (TP) LEVELS
The indicator allows you to define up to three take-profit levels:
TP1
TP2
TP3
.
Each level is configurable based on your exit strategy.
DASHBOARD
The dashboard is a visual tool that consolidates key information about your trade:
Account balance: Total amount available in your account.
Lot size: Calculated based on your risk and parameters.
Potential loss (SL): Amount you could lose if the price hits your stop-loss.
Potential gain (TP): Expected profit if the take-profit level is reached.
SETTINGS
The indicator offers multiple configurable options to adapt to your trading style:
Levels
Entry: Initial trade price.
Stop-Loss (SL): Maximum allowed loss level.
Take-Profit (TP): Up to three configurable levels.
Risk Management
Account balance ($): Enter your total available balance.
Risk percentage: Define how much you're willing to risk per trade
.
Visual Options
Visualization style: Choose between simple lines or visual fills.
Colors: Customize the colors of lines and labels.
Dashboard Settings
Statistics: Enable or disable key data display.
Size and position: Adjust the dashboard's size and location on the chart.
HOW TO CHANGE AN ENTRY?
Open the indicator settings in TradingView and entering the new data manually
Removing and re-adding the indicator to the chart
LiquidFusion SignalPro [CHE] LiquidFusion SignalPro – Indicator Overview
The LiquidFusion SignalPro is a powerful and sophisticated TradingView indicator designed to identify high-quality trade entries and exits. By combining seven unique sub-indicators, it provides comprehensive market analysis, ensuring traders can make informed decisions. This tool is suitable for all market conditions and supports customization to fit individual trading strategies.
Key Components (Sub-Indicators):
1. RPM (Relative Price Momentum):
- Measures cumulative price momentum over a specified period.
- Provides insights into price strength and directional bias.
- Input Customization:
- Source: Data for momentum calculation.
- Period: Length for momentum measurement.
- Resolution: Timeframe for data fetching.
2. BBO (Bull-Bear Oscillator):
- Calculates the strength of bullish or bearish momentum based on price movement and RSI conditions.
- Uses a super-smoothing technique for reliable signals.
- Customizable parameters include the oscillator's period and repainting options.
3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
- A classic momentum indicator for trend direction and strength.
- Provides buy/sell signals based on the crossover of the MACD line and signal line.
- Input Customization:
- Fast/Slow EMA Periods.
- Signal Line Period.
- Resolution and Source Data.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- Tracks overbought and oversold conditions.
- A key tool to validate trend continuation or reversals.
- Customizable period, resolution, and source.
5. CCI (Commodity Channel Index):
- Measures the deviation of price from its average.
- Useful for identifying cyclical trends.
- Input Customization includes period, resolution, and source.
6. Stochastic Oscillator:
- Indicates momentum by comparing closing prices to a range of highs and lows.
- Includes smoothing factors for %K and %D lines.
- Customizable parameters:
- %K Length and Smoothing.
- Resolution and Repainting Options.
7. Supertrend:
- A trailing stop-and-reverse system for trend-following strategies.
- Excellent for identifying strong trends and potential reversals.
- Inputs include the multiplier factor and period for ATR-like calculations.
Inputs Overview:
The indicator supports extensive customization for each sub-indicator, grouped under intuitive categories:
- Color Settings: Define bullish and bearish plot colors.
- RPM, BBO, MACD, RSI, CCI, Stochastic, and Supertrend Settings: Tailor each sub-indicator's behavior with adjustable parameters.
- UI Options: Toggle features such as bar coloring, indicator names, and plotted candles.
Trade Signals:
- Long Signal:
- All indicators align in a bullish state:
- RPM > 0, MACD > 0, RSI > 50, Stochastic > 50, CCI > 0, BBO > 0, Supertrend below price.
- Plot: Green triangle below the candle.
- Alert: Notifies the trader of a potential long entry.
- Short Signal:
- All indicators align in a bearish state:
- RPM < 0, MACD < 0, RSI < 50, Stochastic < 50, CCI < 0, BBO < 0, Supertrend above price.
- Plot: Red triangle above the candle.
- Alert: Notifies the trader of a potential short entry.
Features:
- Enhanced Visuals: Plots sub-indicator statuses using labels and color-coded shapes for clarity.
- Alerts: Integrated alert conditions for both long and short trades.
- Bar Coloring: Provides overall trend bias with green (bullish), red (bearish), or gray (neutral) bars.
- Customizable Table: Displays the indicator's status in the chart’s top-right corner.
Trading Benefits:
The LiquidFusion SignalPro excels in generating high-quality entries and exits by:
- Reducing noise through multiple indicator alignment.
- Supporting multiple timeframes and resolutions for flexibility.
- Offering customizable inputs for personalized trading strategies.
Use this tool to enhance your market analysis and improve your trading performance.
Disclaimer:
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
This indicator is inspired by the Super 6x Indicators: RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Loxxer, CCI, and Velocity . A special thanks to Loxx for their relentless effort, creativity, and contributions to the TradingView community, which served as a foundation for this work.
Happy trading and best regards
Chervolino
Global vs National Index Spread RSIThe Global vs National Index Spread RSI indicator visualizes the relative strength of national stock indices compared to a global benchmark (e.g., AMEX). It calculates the percentage spread between the closing prices of each national index and the global index, applying the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to each spread.
How It Works
Spread Calculation: The spread represents the percentage difference between a national index and the global index.
RSI Application: RSI is applied to these spreads to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the relative performance of the national indices.
Reference Lines: Overbought (70), oversold (30), and neutral (50) levels help guide interpretation.
Insights from Research
The correlation between global and national indices provides insights into market integration and interdependence. Studies such as Forbes & Rigobon (2002) emphasize the importance of understanding these linkages during periods of financial contagion. Observing spread trends with RSI can aid in identifying shifts in investor sentiment and regional performance anomalies.
Use Cases
- Detect divergences between national and global markets.
- Identify overbought or oversold conditions for specific indices.
- Complement portfolio management strategies by monitoring geographic performance.
References
Forbes, K. J., & Rigobon, R. (2002). "No contagion, only interdependence: Measuring stock market co-movements." Journal of Finance.
Eun, C. S., & Shim, S. (1989). "International transmission of stock market movements." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.
Pearson Analysis TableHere's the English translation:
The main functionality of the script lies in calculating the Pearson correlation coefficient over a given period. This coefficient quantifies the relationship between time and price movements, offering traders an objective measure of market trend linearity and, if applicable, its direction. A smoothing option is included to filter out noise and pressure.
The key parameters include the analysis window length, data source (by default, the closing price), and thresholds for identifying strong correlations. These thresholds allow trends to be classified as "bearish," "bullish," or "neutral," with the script reversing traditional interpretation for a unique perspective. For example, a positive correlation indicates a bearish trend, while a negative correlation-
The visual component of the script is a dynamic statistics table displayed on the chart. This table provides the current Pearson coefficient, correlation strength (classified as Strong, Medium, Weak, or Neutral), the inferred trend, and the analysis period. Values are color-coded for easy identification, thus enhancing trader understanding.
Additionally, the script offers alert conditions to inform traders of important market events, such as when the Pearson coefficient crosses key thresholds or changes direction. These alerts can be used to identify strong bearish or bullish trends or transitions through the neutral zone.
This tool is particularly useful for traders seeking to identify and act on statistically significant trends, providing them with an analytical edge and helping them align their strategies with market dynamics. The combination of real-time calculations, customizable thresholds, and clear visual feedback makes this indicator a robust addition to any technology.
Multiple RSITitle: MultiRSI: A Versatile Multi-Timeframe RSI Indicator
Short Description:
A powerful RSI-based indicator that incorporates three RSI lengths (Fast, Medium, and Slow) to help traders analyze trends, momentum, and potential reversals with clear visual signals.
Full Description:
Overview:
The MultiRSI script provides traders with a dynamic tool to assess market conditions across multiple RSI timeframes. It calculates Fast, Medium, and Slow RSI values, assigns meaningful colors based on trend analysis, and highlights key crossover points for actionable insights.
Key Features:
Triple RSI Display:
Fast RSI (default: 8): Ideal for capturing short-term momentum.
Medium RSI (default: 12): Provides a balanced perspective.
Slow RSI (default: 16): Helps identify longer-term trends.
Trend Analysis:
Color-coded RSI lines:
Green, blue, and aqua for uptrends.
Yellow, orange, and red for potential downtrends.
Visual differentiation for easy interpretation.
Crossover Signals:
Upward Cross (triangle up): Indicates potential bullish momentum.
Downward Cross (triangle down): Suggests possible bearish momentum.
Marked directly on the chart for clarity.
Customizable Inputs:
Adjust RSI lengths to suit your trading strategy.
Grouped input settings for a seamless configuration experience.
Usage Scenarios:
Identify trend strength and reversals in different timeframes.
Spot key momentum shifts with crossover signals.
Combine with other indicators for a comprehensive trading strategy.
How It Works:
The script compares the Fast RSI against the Medium RSI and the Medium RSI against the Slow RSI to determine short-, medium-, and long-term trends. Crossovers between Medium and Slow RSI values signal potential momentum shifts.
Visualization:
Clear, color-coded plots for the three RSI levels.
Highlighted crossovers for quick decision-making.
License:
This script is open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Feel free to use, modify, and share!
BTC CME Futures Divergence TrackerThis script tracks divergences between price action and open interest for the BTC CME Futures contract (symbol "BTC1!") using the following components:
Key Features:
1. Price Analysis: Identifies lower highs in the price over a specified lookback period. Marks these points with red upward-facing triangles above the bars.
2. Open Interest Analysis: Retrieves open interest (OI) data for the BTC CME Futures contract via request.security. Detects lower highs in open interest over the same lookback period. Highlights these points with blue downward-facing triangles below the bars.
3. Divergence Detection: A divergence is identified when both price and open interest form lower highs simultaneously. Highlights such occurrences with a purple background, indicating potential bearish sentiment or weakening momentum.
4. Alerts: If divergences are detected, an alert is triggered (if enabled), notifying the trader to take action.
5. Visualization: Open interest is plotted as a blue line in a separate pane for added context. Red and blue markers highlight significant points in price and open interest trends.
Use Cases:
- Spot Weakening Trends: Divergences between price and open interest may indicate a loss of momentum or bearish sentiment, allowing traders to preemptively adjust their strategies.
- Monitor Institutional Activity: Open interest changes reflect shifts in market participation, especially in derivative markets like CME Futures.
- Set Alerts for Key Signals: With automated alerts, traders can stay informed of potential divergence signals without constant monitoring.
Customization Options:
- Lookback Period: Adjust the number of bars used to detect lower highs.
- Timeframe: Choose the timeframe for fetching open interest data (e.g., daily, hourly).
- Alert Activation: Enable or disable alerts for divergences.
This tool combines price action with open interest dynamics to provide a robust method for identifying market trends and potential reversals in BTC CME Futures.
[SGM VaR Stats VS Empirical]Main Functions
Logarithmic Returns & Historical Data
Calculates logarithmic returns from closing prices.
Stores these returns in a dynamic array with a configurable maximum size.
Approximation of the Inverse Error Function
Uses an approximation of the erfinv function to calculate z-scores for given confidence levels.
Basic Statistics
Mean: Calculates the average of the data in the array.
Standard Deviation: Measures the dispersion of returns.
Median: Provides a more robust measure of central tendency for skewed distributions.
Z-Score: Converts a confidence level into a standard deviation multiplier.
Empirical vs. Statistical Projection
Empirical Projection
Based on the median of cumulative returns for each projected period.
Applies an adjustable confidence filter to exclude extreme values.
Statistical Projection
Relies on the mean and standard deviation of historical returns.
Incorporates a standard deviation multiplier for confidence-adjusted projections.
PolyLines (Graphs)
Generates projections visually through polylines:
Statistical Polyline (Blue): Based on traditional statistical methods.
Empirical Polyline (Orange): Derived from empirical data analysis.
Projection Customization
Maximum Data Size: Configurable limit for the historical data array (max_array_size).
Confidence Level: Adjustable by the user (conf_lvl), affects the width of the confidence bands.
Projection Length: Configurable number of projected periods (length_projection).
Key Steps
Capture logarithmic returns and update the historical data array.
Calculate basic statistics (mean, median, standard deviation).
Perform projections:
Empirical: Based on the median of cumulative returns.
Statistical: Based on the mean and standard deviation.
Visualization:
Compare statistical and empirical projections using polylines.
Utility
This script allows users to compare:
Traditional Statistical Projections: Based on mathematical properties of historical returns.
Empirical Projections: Relying on direct historical observations.
Divergence or convergence of these lines also highlights the presence of skewness or kurtosis in the return distribution.
Ideal for traders and financial analysts looking to assess an asset’s potential future performance using combined statistical and empirical approaches.
Open-Close Upward Difference MarkerThis indicator, called "Open-Close Upward Difference Marker", is designed to help traders quickly spot candles where the price has moved up significantly within a certain percentage. It places a small green dot above any candle where the closing price is higher than the opening price (meaning the price went up) and the percentage difference between the open and close is greater than a set threshold.
Here’s how it works:
You can set a percentage threshold (e.g., 1%) using the input field. This threshold helps filter out small price changes, so the indicator only shows larger movements.
If the price increase from the open to the close is greater than the threshold, a small green dot will appear above the candle, letting you quickly identify upward price movements that meet your criteria.
It ignores downward price movements, so you’ll only see green dots for candles where the price has gone up.
This indicator is helpful for spotting upward trends and significant price increases, making it a simple visual aid for beginner traders.
Hosoda ProjectionsThis script, written in Pine Script v5, introduces a technical analysis tool called "Hosoda Projections." Inspired by Ichimoku Kinkō Hyō and wave-based forecasting methods, this indicator helps traders visualize potential future price levels using a combination of pivot detection and projected price movements. It offers a unique way to anticipate market dynamics and define potential targets, making it particularly useful for those who seek to combine historical price patterns with forward-looking strategies.
The script works by detecting key pivot points in the market using a customizable lookback period and then calculating a ZigZag pattern based on price fluctuations that exceed a specified percentage threshold. These pivots are used to identify three recent swing points, which serve as the foundation for projecting possible future price levels. Using these swings, the script generates levels that correspond to Fibonacci-based extensions and projections, such as 38.2%, 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, and additional extensions like 261.8% and 361.8%. These levels are visualized on the chart as horizontal lines and labeled with their respective values for easy interpretation.
The primary advantage of the Hosoda Projections script is its ability to provide a structured approach to identifying potential price targets. By leveraging the natural rhythm of price movements, it offers insights into where the market might find support or resistance in the future. This can help traders refine their entry and exit points, manage risk more effectively, and gain a deeper understanding of market sentiment. Additionally, the dynamic nature of the projections adapts to new price data, ensuring the tool remains relevant across changing market conditions.
This script is particularly valuable for traders who appreciate the harmony between historical price action and predictive analysis. Whether you are trading forex, stocks, or cryptocurrencies, the Hosoda Projections tool can enhance your trading strategy by providing actionable and visually intuitive forecasts.
Previous Day Percentage LevelsAdds small trend lines at 25%, 50% and 75% levels from the low to the high of the previous day.
Dynamic TestingInput Parameters
`lookbackPeriod` : Number of candles to check for determining the highest high (resistance) and lowest low (support) levels.
`atrPeriod` : The period for calculating the Average True Range (ATR), a measure of market volatility.
`atrMultiplierSL` : Multiplier to calculate the stop-loss distance relative to the ATR.
`atrMultiplierTP1` and `atrMultiplierTP2` : Multipliers to calculate two take-profit levels relative to ATR.
`rewardToRisk` : The ratio between reward (profit) and risk (stop loss) for trade management.
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Core Calculations
ATR (Average True Range)
atr = ta.atr(atrPeriod)
ATR is computed using the specified period to gauge price volatility.
Volume SMA
volumeSMA = ta.sma(volume, atrPeriod)
The script calculates the simple moving average of volume over the same period as ATR. This is used as a threshold for validating high-volume scenarios.
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Support and Resistance Levels
`support` : Lowest price over the last `lookbackPeriod` candles.
`resistance` : Highest price over the same period.
`supportBuffer` and `resistanceBuffer` : These are "buffered" zones around support and resistance, calculated using half of the ATR to prevent false breakouts.
---
Entry Scenarios
Bullish Entry (`isBullishEntry`)
The close is above the buffered support level.
The low of the current candle touches or breaks below the support level.
The trading volume is greater than the `volumeSMA`.
Bearish Entry (`isBearishEntry`)
The close is below the buffered resistance level.
The high of the current candle touches or exceeds the resistance level.
The trading volume is greater than the `volumeSMA`.
---
Box Visualization
Bullish and Bearish Boxes
Bullish Box (`bullishBox`):
- A green, semi-transparent rectangle around the support level to highlight the bullish entry zone.
- Dynamically updates based on recent price action.
Bearish Box (`bearishBox`):
- A red, semi-transparent rectangle around the resistance level to highlight the bearish entry zone.
- Adjusts similarly as price evolves.
---
Stop Loss and Take Profit Calculations
Bullish Trades
Stop Loss (`bullishSL`): Calculated as support - atrMultiplierSL * ATR .
Take Profit 1 (`bullishTP1`): support + rewardToRisk * atrMultiplierTP1 * ATR .
Take Profit 2 (`bullishTP2`): support + rewardToRisk * atrMultiplierTP2 * ATR .
Bearish Trades
Stop Loss (`bearishSL`): resistance + atrMultiplierSL * ATR .
Take Profit 1 (`bearishTP1`): resistance - rewardToRisk * atrMultiplierTP1 * ATR .
Take Profit 2 (`bearishTP2`): resistance - rewardToRisk * atrMultiplierTP2 * ATR .
---
Visualization for Key Levels
Bullish Scenario
Green lines represent `bullishTP1` and `bullishTP2` for profit targets.
A red line indicates the `bullishSL` .
Labels like "TP1," "TP2," and "SL" dynamically appear at respective levels to make the targets and risk visually clear.
Bearish Scenario
Red lines represent `bearishTP1` and `bearishTP2` .
A green line marks the `bearishSL` .
Similar dynamic labeling for `TP1` , `TP2` , and `SL` at corresponding bearish levels.
---
Dynamic Updates
Both the entry boxes and key level visualizations (lines and labels) adjust dynamically based on real-time price and volume data.
---
Purpose
Identify high-probability bullish and bearish trade setups.
Define clear entry zones (using boxes) and exit levels (TP1, TP2, SL).
Incorporate volatility (via ATR) and volume into decision-making.
---
Technical Summary
Dynamically visualize support/resistance levels.
Set risk-managed trades using ATR-based stop-loss and profit levels.
Automate visual trade zones for enhanced chart clarity.
---
GoldenTradz EMA+SMA Insight Multi Timeframe - [TilakBala]GoldenTradz EMA+SMA Insight Multi-Timeframe
📊 Indicator By: TilakBala from GoldenTradz — Revolutionize your trading approach with precision and insight!
Unlock the full potential of moving averages with the GoldenTradz EMA+SMA Insight indicator. This feature-packed tool combines the strength of Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) and Simple Moving Averages (SMA), offering unmatched flexibility and clarity for traders. Whether you're a beginner or a pro, this indicator empowers you to make well-informed trading decisions across multiple timeframes.
Key Features & Advantages:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Seamlessly analyze market trends using EMAs and SMAs from different timeframes on a single chart.
Gain a broader perspective by comparing short-term and long-term trends.
Customizable Settings:
Adjust EMA and SMA lengths, sources, and timeframes to fit your trading strategy perfectly.
Enable or disable specific moving averages for a clutter-free chart view.
Enhanced Trend Detection:
Identify bullish and bearish trends quickly using visually distinct EMAs and SMAs.
Use shorter EMAs for faster signals and longer SMAs for reliable trend confirmation.
Overlay Design:
Plots moving averages directly on the price chart for effortless analysis.
Distinct colors and line thicknesses ensure clear identification of each moving average.
Versatile Applications:
Suitable for scalping, day trading, swing trading, and long-term investments.
Works flawlessly with stocks, forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, indices, and more.
Decision-Making Support:
Crossovers between EMAs and SMAs help identify potential buy or sell opportunities.
Monitor key support and resistance levels dynamically.
Efficiency in Market Noise:
EMAs provide rapid responsiveness in volatile markets.
SMAs help smooth out market noise for clearer long-term trends.
Adaptable to Any Strategy:
Perfect for breakout, trend-following, and mean-reversion strategies.
Combine with other indicators for a comprehensive trading system.
User-Friendly:
Intuitive interface with clear input fields for quick setup.
Suitable for traders of all experience levels.
📊 Indicator By: TilakBala from GoldenTradz — Revolutionize your trading approach with precision and insight!
Transform your trading with GoldenTradz EMA+SMA Insight — the ultimate tool for trend and momentum analysis.
Candle Flip System - CFSCandle Flip System - CFS
The Candle Flip System checklist table is a tool designed for traders seeking a structured approach to decision-making. This indicator provides a visual checklist to validate critical conditions before entering a trade. It includes:
1. Previous D1 Candle Analysis:
Displays whether the previous daily candle closed bullish or bearish, indicated by intuitive markers.
2. 4-Hour Alignment Check:
Confirms if the bias of the previous 4-hour candle aligns with the previous daily candle's bias.
Outputs "YES" in green for alignment or "NO" in red for misalignment.
This indicator simplifies multi-timeframe analysis and ensures a systematic evaluation of key trading conditions, enabling traders to make more confident and disciplined decisions.
How to Use:
1. Apply the indicator to your chart.
2. Observe the table displayed in the top-right corner.
3. Use the information to validate your trading strategy before entering a trade.
Supply and Demand [tambangEA]Supply and Demand Indicator Overview
The Supply and Demand indicator on TradingView is a technical tool designed to help traders identify areas of significant buying and selling pressure in the market. By identifying zones where price is likely to react, it helps traders pinpoint key support and resistance levels based on the concepts of supply and demand. This indicator plots zones using four distinct types of market structures:
1. Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) : This structure represents a bullish continuation zone. It occurs when the price rallies (increases), forms a base (consolidates), and then rallies again. The base represents a period where buying interest builds up before the continuation of the upward movement. This zone can act as support, where buyers may step back in if the price revisits the area.
2. Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) : This structure marks a bullish reversal zone. It forms when the price drops, creates a base, and then rallies. The base indicates a potential exhaustion of selling pressure and a build-up of buying interest. When price revisits this zone, it may act as support, signaling a buying opportunity.
3. Rally-Base-Drop (RBD) : This structure signifies a bearish reversal zone. Here, the price rallies, consolidates into a base, and then drops. The base indicates a temporary balance before sellers overpower buyers. If price returns to this zone, it may act as resistance, with selling interest potentially re-emerging.
4. Drop-Base-Drop (DBD) : This structure is a bearish continuation zone. It occurs when the price drops, forms a base, and then continues dropping. This base reflects a pause before further downward movement. The zone may act as resistance, with sellers possibly stepping back in if the price revisits the area.
Features of Supply and Demand Indicator
Automatic Zone Detection : The indicator automatically identifies and plots RBR, DBR, RBD, and DBD zones on the chart, making it easier to see potential supply and demand areas.
Customizable Settings : Users can typically adjust the color and transparency of the zones, time frames for analysis, and zone persistence to suit different trading styles.
Visual Alerts : Many versions include alert functionalities, notifying users when price approaches a plotted supply or demand zone.
How to Use Supply and Demand in Trading
Identify High-Probability Reversal Zones : Look for DBR and RBD zones to identify potential areas where price may reverse direction.
Trade Continuations with RBR and DBD Zones : These zones can indicate strong trends, suggesting that price may continue in the same direction.
Combine with Other Indicators: Use it alongside trend indicators, volume analysis, or price action strategies to confirm potential trade entries and exits.
This indicator is particularly useful for swing and day traders who rely on price reaction zones for entering and exiting trades.
Chaikin's Money FlowOverview : Chaikin's Money Flow (CMF) is a momentum indicator that measures the buying and selling pressure of a financial instrument over a specified period. By incorporating both price and volume, CMF provides a comprehensive view of market sentiment, helping traders identify potential trend reversals and confirm the strength of existing trends.
Key Features:
Volume-Weighted : Unlike price-only indicators, CMF accounts for trading volume, offering deeper insights into the forces driving price movements.
Oscillatory Nature : CMF oscillates between positive and negative values, typically ranging from -100 to +100, indicating the balance between buying and selling pressure.
Trend Confirmation : Positive CMF values suggest accumulating buying pressure, while negative values indicate distributing selling pressure. This aids in confirming the direction and strength of trends.
Calculation Details :
Intraday Intensity (II) = 100 × (2×Close−High−Low) / (High−Low) × Volume
Condition: If High=Low, II is set to 0 to prevent division by zero.
II_smoothed = SMA(II, lookback)
Applies a Simple Moving Average (SMA) to the Intraday Intensity over the defined lookback period to smooth out short-term fluctuations.
Volume Smoothing:
V_smoothed = EMA(Volume, Volume Smoothing Period)
Utilizes an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to smooth the volume over the specified smoothing period, giving more weight to recent data.
Money Flow Calculation:
Money Flow = II_smoothed / V_smoothed
Condition: If Vsmoothed=0Vsmoothed=0, Money Flow is set to 0 to avoid division by zero.
Usage Instructions:
Parameters Configuration:
Lookback Period: Determines the number of periods over which Intraday Intensity is averaged. A higher value results in a smoother indicator, reducing sensitivity to short-term price movements.
Volume Smoothing Period: Defines the period for the EMA applied to Volume. Adjusting this parameter affects the responsiveness of the Money Flow indicator to changes in trading volume.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Positive Values (>0): Indicate buying pressure. The higher the value, the stronger the buying interest.
Negative Values (<0): Signal selling pressure. The lower the value, the more intense the selling activity.
Crossovers: Watch for Money Flow crossing above the zero line as potential buy signals and crossing below as potential sell signals.
Divergence: Identify divergences between Money Flow and price movements to anticipate possible trend reversals.
Complementary Analysis:
Confluence with Other Indicators: Use CMF in conjunction with trend indicators like Moving Averages or oscillators like RSI to enhance signal reliability.
Volume Confirmation: CMF's volume-weighted approach makes it a powerful tool for confirming the validity of price trends and breakouts.
Acknowledgment: This implementation of Chaikin's Money Flow Indicator is inspired by and derived from the methodologies presented in "Statistically Sound Indicators" by Timothy Masters. The indicator has been meticulously translated to Pine Script to maintain the statistical integrity and effectiveness outlined in the source material.
Disclaimer: The Chaikin's Money Flow Indicator is a tool designed to assist in trading decisions. It does not guarantee profits and should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods. Trading involves risk, and it's essential to perform thorough testing and validation before deploying any indicator in live trading environments.
Volume HighlightVolume Highlight
Description:
This script helps users analyze trading volume by:
1. Highlighting the highest volume bars:
• Trading sessions with volume equal to or exceeding the highest value over the last 20 periods are displayed in purple.
• Other sessions are displayed in light gray.
2. Displaying the 20-period SMA (Simple Moving Average):
• A 20-period SMA line of the volume is included to track the general trend of trading volume.
Key Features:
• Color-coded Highlights:
• Quickly identify trading sessions with significant volume spikes.
• 20-Period SMA Line:
• Observe the overall trend of trading volume.
• Intuitive Volume Bars:
• Volume bars are clearly displayed for easy interpretation.
How to Use:
1. Add the script to your chart on TradingView.
2. Look at the color of the volume bars:
• Purple: Sessions with the highest trading volume in the past 20 periods.
• Light gray: Other sessions.
3. Use the 20-period SMA line to analyze volume trends.
Purpose:
• Analyze market momentum through trading volume.
• Support trading decisions by identifying significant volume spikes.
Illustration:
• A chart showing color-coded volume bars and the 20-period SMA line.
Sessions ny vizScript Purpose
This indicator draws a colored background during the New York trading session. It's useful for traders who want to have a visual overview of when the American (NY) trading session is active.
Main Features
NY Session Visualization - draws a gray bar in the background of the chart during NY trading hours (15:00-19:00 CET)
Customization - allows users to:
Set custom session time range
Adjust background color and transparency
Limit display to only the last 24 hours
Input Parameters
sessionRange - session time range (default 15:00-19:00 CET)
sessionColour - background color (default gray with 90% transparency)
onlyLast24Hours - toggle for showing only the last 24 hours (default false)
Technical Details
Script is written in Pine Script version 5
Uses UNIX timestamp for time period calculations
Runs as an overlay indicator (overlay=true), meaning it displays directly on the price chart
Uses the bgcolor() function for background rendering
Contains logic to check if current time is within defined session
Usage
This indicator is useful for:
Monitoring active NY trading session hours
Planning trades during the most liquid hours of the US market
Visual orientation in the chart during different trading sessions
Sharpe Ratio Indicator (180)Meant to be used on the 1D chart and on BTC.
The Sharpe Ratio Indicator (180 days) is a tool for evaluating risk-adjusted returns, designed for investors who want to assess whether BTC is overvalued, undervalued, or in a neutral state. It plots the Sharpe Ratio over the past 180 days, color-coded to indicate valuation states:
- Red: Overvalued (Sharpe Ratio > 5).
- Green: Undervalued (Sharpe Ratio < -1).
-Blue: Critically Undervalued (Sharpe Ratio <-3).
- Yellow: Neutral (between -1 and 5).
Note that you can change those values yourself in the settings of the indicator.
Strengths:
- Real-time feedback on risk-adjusted returns helps in making timely investment decisions.
- Color-coded signals (red, green, blue and yellow) provide an intuitive, visual indication of the asset's valuation.
- Flexible: Easily adjustable to different subjective valuation levels and risk-free rates.
All hail to Professor Adam and The Real World Community!
Simple Parallel Channel TrackerThis script will automatically draw price channels with two parallel trends lines, the upper trendline and lower trendline. These lines can be changed in terms of appearance at any time.
The Script takes in fractals from local and historic price action points and connects them over a certain period or amount of candles as inputted by the user. It tracks the most recent highs and lows formed and uses this data to determine where the channel begins.
The Script will decide whether to use the most recent high, or low, depending on what comes first.
Why is this useful?
Often, Traders either have no trend lines on their charts, or they draw them incorrectly. Whichever category a trader falls into, there can only be benefits from having Trend lines and Parallel Channels drawn automatically.
Trends naturally occur in all Markets, all the time. These oscillations when tracked allow for a more reliable following of Markets and management of Market cycles.
Gains and Drawdowns with Standard DeviationsThis “Gains and Drawdowns with Standard Deviations” indicator helps in analyzing and visualizing the percentage gains and drawdown phases of a market or asset relative to its historical range. By calculating gains from the lowest low and drawdowns from the highest high over a specified lookback period, this indicator provides deeper insights into price movements and risk.
Key Features and Applications:
1. Gain and Drawdown Calculation:
• Gains: The indicator calculates the percentage gain from the lowest price point within a specific lookback period (e.g., 250 days).
• Drawdowns: Drawdowns are calculated as the percentage change from the highest point in the same period. This helps in identifying the maximum loss phases.
2. Standard Deviation:
• The indicator computes the standard deviation of both gains and drawdowns over a specified period (e.g., 250 days), allowing you to quantify volatility.
• Three bands (1st, 2nd, and 3rd standard deviations) are plotted for both gains and drawdowns, representing the frequency and magnitude of price movements within the normal volatility range.
3. Extreme Movements Highlighting:
• The indicator highlights extreme gains and drawdowns when they exceed user-defined thresholds. This helps in identifying significant market events or turning points.
4. Customizable Thresholds:
• Users can adjust the thresholds for extreme gains and drawdowns, as well as the lookback period for calculating gains, drawdowns, and standard deviations, making the indicator highly adaptable to specific needs.
Application in Portfolio Management:
The use of standard deviation in portfolio management is essential for assessing the risk and volatility of a portfolio. According to Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) by Harry Markowitz, diversification of assets in a portfolio helps to minimize overall risk (especially the standard deviation), while maximizing returns. The standard deviation of a portfolio measures the volatility of its returns, with higher standard deviation indicating higher risk.
Scientific Source: Markowitz, H. M. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Markowitz’s theory suggests that an optimized portfolio, by minimizing the standard deviation of returns and combining a diversified asset allocation, can achieve better risk-adjusted returns.
Conclusion:
This indicator is particularly useful for traders and portfolio managers who want to understand and visualize market risk and extreme events. By using gains, drawdowns, and volatility metrics, it allows for systematic monitoring and evaluation of price movements, leading to more informed decisions in trading or portfolio management. A comprehensive understanding of price behavior and volatility helps in optimizing risk management and making strategic market entries.
Key Features:
• Visualization of Gains and Drawdowns with color-coded highlights for extreme movements.
• Standard Deviation Calculations for detailed volatility analysis.
• Customizable Thresholds for identifying extreme market events.
This indicator is a valuable tool for analyzing market data from a scientific standpoint, improving risk management, and making data-driven decisions based on historical performance.