BTC - NMI: Network Metabolism IndexBTC - Network Metabolism Index (NMI) | RM
Concept & Background
The Network Metabolism Index (NMI) is a fundamental valuation model that treats Bitcoin as a biological organism. While price is the "face" of the asset, the NMI measures its "internal organs"—specifically its physical security and its social circulation.
Computational Logic: The Assembly Line
To arrive at the final NMI score, the indicator follows a rigorous four-step deterministic process:
• Step 1: Metric Selection: We ingest three high-fidelity data streams from Glassnode. Difficulty (Security), Active Addresses (Utility), and Market Cap (Price).
• Step 2: Fair Value Proxy (FVP) Computation: We calculate the network's intrinsic strength using a modified Metcalfe Law. We square the Active Addresses to account for network effect growth and multiply it by the Square Root of Difficulty to weight the value by physical security.
• Step 3: Log-Ratio Normalization: Because the FVP represents astronomical values of physical and social work, we calculate the Natural Logarithm of the Market Cap divided by the FVP . This places the data into a usable, though deep-negative, "dimensionless" territory.
• Step 4: Denoising & Banding: We apply a 14-day Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) to the result to strip away daily volatility. Finally, we wrap the curve in 1.5 Standard Deviation bands to identify statistical "Fever" (Overvalued) and "Starvation" (Undervalued) zones.
The Y-Axis is measured in Nats (Natural Logarithmic Units). Important: Users should treat these units as dimensionless . Because the fundamental proxies for security and utility are so mathematically dominant, the resulting values reside in a negative logarithmic territory . The absolute numerical value is secondary to the morphology of the curve and its position relative to the dynamic Sigma bands.
Core Features / User Inputs
• LSMA Denoising: A linear regression filter to reveal structural trends.
• Dynamic Sigma Bands: 365-day rolling bands that adapt to Bitcoin's maturing market cycle.
• Regime Audit Dashboard: Real-time classification of the network state.
How to Read The Chart
• Metabolic Starvation (Blue Zone): Security and utility are significantly higher than price reflects. A generational value opportunity.
• Metabolic Fever (Red Zone): Price is over-extended relative to the network's biological reality.
• Neutral (Grey): Price and health are in a sustainable balance.
Data Feed Disclaimer
This indicator requires access to the Glassnode professional data feeds (Difficulty, Active Addresses, and Market Cap). Users without a valid subscription to these alternative data sets will not see the oscillator render. This script is intended for macro analysis; it is not financial advice.
General Disclaimer
This indicator is a mathematical model based on historical on-chain data. It is intended for educational purposes and macro analysis. On-chain metrics are lagging by nature and should be used in conjunction with a robust risk management strategy. This is not financial advice.
Tags
Rob Maths, Rob_Maths, robmaths, Bitcoin, OnChain, Glassnode, FundamentalAnalysis, MetcalfeLaw, Quant, Macro, Difficulty, ActiveAddresses, ValuationModel, NetworkMetabolism
אינדיקטורים ואסטרטגיות
PowerGaps - Multi-Timeframe Fair Value GapsPowerGaps — Multi‑Timeframe Fair Value Gap Engine
PowerGaps is a precision‑built, multi‑timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG) engine designed for traders who rely on clean, reliable market structure signals without noise, repainting, or clutter.
It automatically detects and plots institutional FVGs from higher timeframes directly onto your current chart, giving you a clear view of premium/discount imbalances and liquidity inefficiencies that matter most.
What PowerGaps Does
• Scans four customizable timeframes (e.g., M5, M15, H1, H4) for valid bullish and bearish FVGs
• Projects those HTF gaps onto any lower timeframe chart
• Colors and labels each gap by timeframe for instant visual recognition
• Tracks each gap until it is mitigated by wick touch, then automatically closes and removes it
• Ensures no repainting, no duplicates, and no phantom gaps
• Maintains perfect alignment across timeframes using a robust, cross‑TF‑safe architecture
Why It’s Different
PowerGaps is engineered with a strict validation and mitigation system that prevents the common issues seen in many FVG indicators:
• No repeated stacking of the same gap
• No gaps disappearing when switching timeframes
• No false mitigation signals
• No stale or corrupted objects left behind
Every plotted gap is intentional, accurate, and actionable.
Ideal For
• ICT‑style traders
• Liquidity and imbalance‑based strategies
• HTF bias mapping
• Scalpers who rely on HTF inefficiencies
• Swing traders looking for clean continuation or reversal zones
Inputs & Customization
• Enable/disable each timeframe independently
• Choose custom colors for bullish and bearish gaps
• Full control over which timeframes you want projected onto your chart
SMC: Multi-TF Bias & HTF BOS with SessionsOverview
The HTF BOS (Session) - Precision Lines is a comprehensive trading tool designed for Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and price action traders. It identifies Higher Timeframe (HTF) Break of Structure (BOS) levels while filtering them based on specific trading sessions. Additionally, it features a built-in Bias Dashboard that tracks trend alignment across three different timeframes to help you stay on the right side of the market.
Key Features
1. Precision HTF BOS Tracking
Unlike standard indicators that only mark the breakout candle, this script uses high-precision pivot detection to identify the exact origin of a structural high or low.
Tam Yapışık Çizgiler (Precise Lines): The BOS lines are drawn exactly from the pivot point to the breakout point, providing a clean and professional look on your chart.
HTF Integration: You can track structure from a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H) while trading on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15m or 5m).
2. Session Filtering (Time Sensitivity)
Structural breaks are most reliable when they happen during high-volume periods.
The script includes a Session Filter (London & New York).
If enabled, the indicator will only plot BOS levels that occur during your specified trading hours, helping you avoid "fake-outs" or noise during low-liquidity periods (Asian session/After-hours).
3. Multi-Timeframe Bias Dashboard
Stay aware of the "Big Picture" without constantly switching charts. The dashboard monitors three custom timeframes (e.g., Daily, 4H, 1H) and determines if the structure is Bullish or Bearish.
Strong Buy/Sell Signals: When all three timeframes align, the status cell highlights as "BUY" or "SELL."
Wait Status: If timeframes are in conflict, the dashboard suggests "WAIT," encouraging disciplined trading.
How to Use
Define Your Bias: Set your three Bias Timeframes in the settings to match your higher-level strategy.
Set Your BOS TF: Choose the timeframe you want structural breaks to be calculated from (usually one or two steps above your entry chart).
Adjust Sensitivity: Use the "Pivot Sensitivity" setting to filter between minor and major structural points.
Confirm with Session: Enable the session filter to ensure you are only trading breaks that occur during the NY or London sessions.
Settings
Bias Dashboard Settings: Customize the TFs and pivot sensitivity for trend analysis.
BOS & Session Settings: Set your target HTF for drawings and define your trading window (NY Timezone supported).
Visual Settings: Full control over colors (Bullish/Bearish), table positioning, and text sizes.
Darvas 52 Weeks High-Low current priceThe script in an info box has the following values:
* the price of the absolute high within the last 52 weeks and its distance in days
* the price of the absolute low within the last 52 weeks and its increase in % to date
* the current course
Variable are:
- the number of weeks
- the location of the infobox
- the font size of the info box
- the display of the current course
This script is for illustrative purposes only and does not make any trading recommendations.
A+ ORB VWAP EMA Alerts//@version=5
indicator("A+ ORB VWAP EMA Alerts", overlay = true)
// ORB levels (set these from LuxAlgo each morning)
orbHigh = input.float(0.0, "ORB High", step = 0.1)
orbLow = input.float(0.0, "ORB Low", step = 0.1)
// EMAs and VWAP
emaFast = ta.ema(close, 9)
emaSlow = ta.ema(close, 21)
vwapVal = ta.vwap(hlc3)
// Conditions
longCond = (close > orbHigh) and (close > vwapVal) and (emaFast > emaSlow)
shortCond = (close < orbLow) and (close < vwapVal) and (emaFast < emaSlow)
// Alerts (single-line, plain ASCII)
alertcondition(longCond, "A+ LONG SETUP ORB VWAP EMA", "A+ LONG: ORB High accepted, above VWAP, EMA9 > EMA21 (5m close).")
alertcondition(shortCond, "A+ SHORT SETUP ORB VWAP EMA", "A+ SHORT: ORB Low accepted, below VWAP, EMA9 < EMA21 (5m close).")
TSM PCR Auto AlertsPCR Auto Alerts (Bullish · Neutral · Bearish)
🎯 Objective of the Script
This script is designed to:
Calculate the Put–Call Ratio (PCR)
Interpret market sentiment using predefined PCR zones
Automatically generate Bullish, Neutral, and Bearish alerts
Visually display the PCR trend and current market view
📊 What is PCR (Put–Call Ratio)?
PCR = Put Open Interest ÷ Call Open Interest
It reflects market participants’ expectations:
Lower PCR → More calls → Bullish bias
Higher PCR → More puts → Bearish bias
🔧 Inputs Used in the Script
Put Open Interest (Put OI)
Manually entered value
Call Open Interest (Call OI)
Manually entered value
These inputs make the script ideal for:
Learning & teaching
Strategy explanation
Posters & educational content
Custom Extreme Support & Resistance (ORB Framework)//@version=5
indicator("A+ ORB VWAP EMA Master Alerts", overlay=true)
// === USER INPUTS ===
orbHigh = input.float(na, "ORB High (from LuxAlgo)")
orbLow = input.float(na, "ORB Low (from LuxAlgo)")
emaFastLen = 9
emaSlowLen = 21
// === INDICATORS ===
emaFast = ta.ema(close, emaFastLen)
emaSlow = ta.ema(close, emaSlowLen)
vwapVal = ta.vwap(hlc3)
// === CONDITIONS ===
// LONG
longCond =
close > orbHigh and
close > vwapVal and
emaFast > emaSlow
// SHORT
shortCond =
close < orbLow and
close < vwapVal and
emaFast < emaSlow
// === ALERTS ===
alertcondition(
longCond,
title="A+ LONG SETUP – ORB + VWAP + EMA",
message="A+ LONG SETUP CONFIRMED (5m close): ORB High accepted, price above VWAP, EMA 9 > EMA 21. Wait for pullback/continuation."
)
alertcondition(
shortCond,
title="A+ SHORT SETUP – ORB + VWAP + EMA",
message="A+ SHORT SETUP CONFIRMED (5m close): ORB Low accepted, price below VWAP, EMA 9 < EMA 21. Wait for rejection/continuation."
)
Session Volume Profile [KTY] Session Volume Profile
Hi, I'm Kim Thank You 👋
KTY = Kim Thank You (김땡큐)
Analyzes volume by price level for selected periods (Daily/Weekly/Monthly/Quarterly/Yearly) and displays the volume profile.
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📊 FEATURES
- Volume Profile Analysis
- Breaks down volume by price zones
- Separates bullish (green) and bearish (red) volume
- POC (Point of Control)
- Red line showing highest volume price level
- Key support/resistance zone
- HVN (High Volume Node)
- Top 20% volume zones displayed darker
- Areas where price may consolidate
- Session Box
- Displays price range for each session
- Session label shows period type
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✅ HOW TO USE
- Watch for strong S/R reactions near POC
- High volume zones → possible consolidation
- Low volume zones → rapid price movement likely
- Confluence with other levels increases reliability
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💡 TIPS
- Choose session type based on your trading timeframe
- Lower timeframes work better with shorter sessions
- Higher timeframes work better with longer sessions
- Combine with other S/R tools for confirmation
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⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This indicator is for educational purposes only.
Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
Volume Weighted Intra Bar LR KurtosisThis indicator analyzes market character by decomposing total
Excess Kurtosis ("Fat Tails") of a SINGLE BAR into four distinct,
interpretable components based on a Linear Regression model.
Key Features:
1. **Intra-Bar LR Kurtosis Decomposition:** For each bar on the chart,
the indicator analyzes the underlying price action on a smaller
timeframe ('Intra-Bar Timeframe'). It fits a Linear Regression
line through the intra-bar data to decompose the 4th Moment:
- **Trend Kurtosis (Gold):** Peakedness of the regression line
itself. High values indicate the price path within the bar
moves in sudden jumps, steps, or gaps (discontinuous path).
- **Residual Kurtosis (Red):** Excess Kurtosis of the noise
around the regression line. Captures "Hidden Tail Risk" or
extreme outliers within the bar relative to the trend.
- **Within-Bar Kurtosis (Blue):** Fat tails derived from the
microstructure of individual intra-bar candles.
- **Interaction Variance (Dark Grey):** The comovement of variance
and mean deviations (volatility clustering relative to trend).
- **Interaction Skewness (Darker Grey):** The comovement of skewness
and mean deviations (asymmetry relative to trend).
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Excess Kurtosis is the
primary metric displayed. Since statistical moments are additive,
this indicator calculates the *exact* Total Kurtosis and partitions
the columns based on the Law of Total Moments.
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this decomposition:
- **Absolute Mode:** Plots the *total* kurtosis as a
stacked column chart. Stacking logic groups components to
ensure visual clarity of the magnitude.
- **Relative Mode:** Plots the direct *contribution ratio*
(proportion) of each component relative to the total sum,
ideal for identifying the dominant driver (Trend vs. Noise).
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
transforms inputs into logarithmic space, analyzing the
kurtosis of *returns* rather than absolute prices.
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all regression and moment calculations,
emphasizing high-participation moves.
5. **Kurtosis Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (peaks/valleys) in
the *total* kurtosis line. (Note: This is only visible
in 'Absolute Mode').
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Analysis Lines:** The entire intra-bar analysis can be
run on a higher timeframe (using the `Timeframe` input),
with standard options to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and
prevent repainting (`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes comprehensive alerts for:
- Kurtosis magnitude (High Positive / High Negative).
- Character changes (Trend Jumps vs. Noise Outliers).
- Total Kurtosis pivot (High/Low) detection.
**Caution: Real-Time Data Behavior (Intra-Bar Repainting)**
This indicator uses high-resolution intra-bar data. As a result, the
values on the **current, unclosed bar** (the real-time bar) will
update dynamically as new intra-bar data arrives. This behavior is
normal and necessary for this type of analysis. Signals should only
be considered final **after the main chart bar has closed.**
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
Volume Weighted Intra Bar KurtosisThis indicator analyzes market sentiment by providing a detailed
view of Excess Kurtosis ("Fat Tails"). It uses data from a lower,
intra-bar timeframe to separate the total kurtosis of a single bar
into distinct, interpretable components.
Key Features:
1. **Intra-Bar Kurtosis Decomposition:** For each bar on the chart,
the indicator analyzes the underlying price action on a smaller
timeframe ('Intra-Bar Timeframe'). Unlike Variance, the Fourth
Central Moment (Kurtosis) decomposes into three parts:
- **Between-Bar Kurtosis (Gold):** Peakedness of the price
path *between* the intra-bar candles. High values indicate
that the macro movement happened in jumps or gaps rather
than a smooth progression.
- **Within-Bar Kurtosis (Blue):** Fat tails derived from the
microstructure (extreme wicks) *inside* the intra-bar candles.
- **Interaction Variance (Dark Grey):** The comovement of variance
and mean deviations (volatility clustering relative to trend).
- **Interaction Skewness (Darker Grey):** The comovement of skewness
and mean deviations (asymmetry relative to trend).
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Excess Kurtosis is the
primary metric displayed. Since Kurtosis coefficients are not
linearly additive, this indicator calculates the *exact* Total
Kurtosis and partitions the columns based on the additive
Fourth Moment Decomposition (`M4Tot = M4Btw + M4Wtn + M4Int`).
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this information:
- **Absolute Mode:** Plots the *total* kurtosis as a
stacked column chart, showing the *absolute magnitude* of
tail risk and the contribution of each component.
- **Relative Mode:** Plots the components as a 100% stacked
column chart (scaled from 0 to 1), focusing purely on the
*energy ratio* of the components.
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
calculates an **Exponential Regression Curve** (log-space),
making the analysis suitable for comparing assets with
different scales (e.g., BTC vs EURUSD).
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all mean and moment calculations.
5. **Kurtosis Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (peaks/valleys) in
the *total* kurtosis line. (Note: This is only visible
in 'Absolute Mode').
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Analysis Lines:** The entire intra-bar analysis can be
run on a higher timeframe (using the `Timeframe` input),
with standard options to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and
prevent repainting (`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes alerts for:
- Kurtosis magnitude (High Positive / High Negative).
- Kurtosis character changes/emerging/fading.
- Total Kurtosis pivot (High/Low) detection.
**Caution: Real-Time Data Behavior (Intra-Bar Repainting)**
This indicator uses high-resolution intra-bar data. As a result, the
values on the **current, unclosed bar** (the real-time bar) will
update dynamically as new intra-bar data arrives. This behavior is
normal and necessary for this type of analysis. Signals should only
be considered final **after the main chart bar has closed.**
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
Smart SafeZone Stops [MarkitTick]💡 This script represents a sophisticated evolution of volatility-based trailing stop methodologies. It is designed to assist traders in managing trend-following positions by dynamically adjusting stop-loss levels based on market noise, directional momentum, and volume flows. Unlike static trailing stops that move by a fixed percentage or simple ATR multiples, this tool calculates the "safe zone" by analyzing how far price has penetrated against the trend over a specific lookback period, offering a granular approach to risk management that adapts to changing market conditions.
✨ Originality and Utility
The primary utility of this indicator lies in its ability to filter out market noise while remaining tight enough to protect profits during strong trends. While the classic SafeZone concept (popularized by Dr. Alexander Elder) is effective, this script introduces several modern enhancements that increase its robustness:
● Dynamic ADX Integration Standard SafeZone stops use a fixed multiplier. This script integrates the Average Directional Index (ADX) to gauge trend strength. When the trend is strong, the stop tightens (Aggressive Multiplier) to lock in profits rapidly. When the trend is weak or choppy, the stop widens (Conservative Multiplier) to prevent premature shakeouts. ● Volume-Weighted Noise Price movement on low volume is often considered "noise," while high-volume movement signifies conviction. This script optionally weights the noise calculation by Relative Volume. A downward spike on low volume will affect the stop level less than a downward spike on high volume.
● 3-Day Smoothing Mechanism To prevent the stop line from becoming too jagged or reacting to single-bar anomalies, the script applies a 3-day smoothing algorithm. It utilizes the "worst-case" scenario of the last three calculated stop levels, ensuring the stop only moves when the trend structure genuinely shifts.
🔬 Methodology and Concepts
The underlying logic operates on a "Ratchet" mechanism, meaning the stop line can only move in the direction of the trade (up for longs, down for shorts) and never retraces until a trend reversal occurs.
● Directional Noise Calculation The script separates market noise into two components: Downside Penetration (for Longs): The distance the price dips below the previous bar's low. Upside Penetration (for Shorts): The distance the price spikes above the previous bar's high. The average of these penetrations is calculated over the Noise Lookback Period .
● The SafeZone Formula The raw stop level is derived as follows: Long Stop = Previous Low - (Average Downside Noise × Multiplier) Short Stop = Previous High + (Average Upside Noise × Multiplier)
● Adaptive Multiplier Logic If Dynamic ADX is enabled: If ADX > Strong Threshold: Use Aggressive Multiplier (e.g., 1.5x). If ADX < Weak Threshold: Use Conservative Multiplier (e.g., 3.5x). Otherwise: Use the Base Safety Coefficient.
● Exhaustion Detection The script calculates the distance between the current Close price and the Active Stop. If this distance exceeds a specific multiple of the ATR (Average True Range), it flags a "Mean Reversion" or "Exhaustion" warning, suggesting price has extended too far from equilibrium.
🎨 Visual Guide
The indicator plots distinct visual elements to guide decision-making without cluttering the chart excessively.
● Trailing Stop Lines Green Line (Solid): Represents the SafeZone Long Stop. This line appears below price during an uptrend. As long as price closes above this line, the bullish bias is intact. Red Line (Solid): Represents the SafeZone Short Stop. This line appears above price during a downtrend. A close above this line signals a potential short exit or reversal.
● Trend Signals Green Triangle (Below Bar): Marks the "Bull Start." This occurs when the price crosses above the Trend Filter EMA and the trend logic flips to bullish. Red Triangle (Above Bar): Marks the "Bear Start." Indicates the start of a downtrend sequence.
● Exhaustion Warnings Yellow Labels (⚠️): These appear when price has extended significantly away from the stop line (based on the ATR Exhaustion Multiplier). This is not an immediate sell signal but a warning that the trend may be overextended and a pullback is probable.
● MTF Consensus Cloud Background Color: If enabled, the chart background changes color to reflect the Higher Timeframe (HTF) trend. Green Background: Current trend matches HTF Uptrend. Red Background: Current trend matches HTF Downtrend. Gray Background: Trends are mismatched (Consolidation/Conflict).
● Quantitative Dashboard A table located in the top-right corner displays real-time statistics: Trend: Current state (BULLISH/BEARISH). Age: Number of bars since the trend began. Stop Price: Exact price level of the trailing stop. Risk %: The percentage distance from the current Close to the Stop. If this exceeds 3%, the text turns red to highlight elevated risk. Active Mult: The current multiplier being used (Dynamic or Fixed). ADX State: Shows if the trend is Strong, Weak, or Normal.
📖 How to Use
1. Entry Timing Wait for a Trend Switch signal (Triangle). For a long entry (Green Triangle), ensure the price is above the Trend Baseline (EMA). Ideally, look for confluence with the MTF Cloud (Green Background).
2. Position Management Once in a trade, use the Trailing Stop Line as your hard exit or invalidation point. Do not manually move the stop away from price; the script automatically "ratchets" the stop tighter as the trend progresses.
3. Taking Profits Use the "Exhaustion Warnings" (⚠️) as opportunities to scale out of positions. When price moves parabolically away from the stop line, the probability of a snap-back increases.
4. Managing Chop If the dashboard shows "ADX State: WEAK," expect the stop line to remain wider. This allows the asset "room to breathe" without stopping you out on random volatility.
⚙️ Inputs and Settings
The script is highly customizable to fit different asset classes (Crypto, Forex, Stocks).
● Trend Definitions Trend Filter (EMA Length): Determines the baseline trend bias (Default: 22). Price must be above this EMA to initiate a long calculation.
● Noise Calculation Noise Lookback Period: The number of bars used to calculate average penetration (Default: 10). Base Safety Coefficient: The standard multiplier applied to the noise average (Default: 2.5). Higher values = wider stops. Use Volume Weighting: Enables the volume-adjustment logic. Use 3-Day Smoothing: Recommended keeping this TRUE to avoid stop-hunts.
● Dynamic Multiplier (ADX) Enable Dynamic ADX: Toggles the adaptive multiplier. Strong/Weak Thresholds: The ADX levels that trigger aggressive or conservative multipliers.
● Multi-Timeframe Consensus Higher Timeframe: Select the TF for the cloud background (e.g., Daily or Weekly).
● Exhaustion Warning ATR Multiplier: Defines how far price must be from the stop to trigger a warning (Default: 3.0).
🔍 Deconstruction of the Underlying Scientific and Academic Framework
The "Smart SafeZone" indicator is grounded in the statistical analysis of market noise versus signal.
● Theory of Noise Penetration Conventional stops often use Standard Deviation (Bollinger Bands) or Average True Range (Keltner Channels/Chandelier Stops). While effective, these measures assume volatility is symmetrical. This script adopts the view that directional volatility matters more. In an uptrend, upside volatility is "good" signal, while downside volatility is "noise." By explicitly calculating the average downside penetration (Low - Low), the script isolates the specific counter-trend force acting on the asset. ● Volume-Weighted Price Analysis (VWPA) The inclusion of volume weighting draws upon Dow Theory principles, which state that volume must confirm the trend. Math: Penetration × (Volume / AverageVolume) This formula asserts that a price drop on low volume is statistically less significant than a drop on high volume. By dampening the impact of low-volume moves, the stop becomes more resistant to liquidity vacuums and algorithmic stop-hunts.
● Trend Efficiency (ADX) The integration of J. Welles Wilder’s ADX (Average Directional Index) adds a dimension of Trend Efficiency. High ADX values indicate a highly efficient trend with little retracement. Mathematically, this justifies a lower standard deviation (or noise multiplier) for the stop, as the probability of a deep retracement without a trend change is lower in high-momentum environments.
⚠️ Disclaimer
All provided scripts and indicators are strictly for educational exploration and must not be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to execute trades. I expressly disclaim all liability for any financial losses or damages that may result, directly or indirectly, from the reliance on or application of these tools. Market participation carries inherent risk where past performance never guarantees future returns, leaving all investment decisions and due diligence solely at your own discretion.
Volume Weighted LR KurtosisThis indicator analyzes market character by decomposing total
Excess Kurtosis ("Fat Tails") into four distinct, interpretable
components based on a Linear Regression model.
Key Features:
1. **Four-Component Kurtosis Decomposition:** The indicator
separates market tail risk based on the 'Estimate Bar Statistics' option.
It leverages the Law of Total Moments to provide an additive
breakdown of the 4th Statistical Moment:
- **Trend Kurtosis (Gold):** Peakedness of the regression line
itself. High values indicate the trend moves in sudden jumps,
steps, or gaps (discontinuous path).
- **Residual Kurtosis (Red):** Excess Kurtosis of the noise
around the regression line. This captures the "Hidden Tail Risk"
(extreme outliers relative to the trend).
- **Within-Bar Kurtosis (Blue):** Fat tails derived from the
microstructure of individual bars (requires 'Estimate Bar Statistics').
- **Interaction Variance (Dark Grey):** The comovement of variance
and mean deviations (volatility clustering relative to trend).
- **Interaction Skewness (Darker Grey):** The comovement of skewness
and mean deviations (asymmetry relative to trend).
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Excess Kurtosis is the
primary metric displayed. Since statistical moments are additive,
this indicator calculates the *exact* Total Kurtosis and partitions
the area to visualize the contribution (weight) of each
structural source to the overall tail risk.
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this decomposition:
- **Absolute Mode:** Displays the *total* kurtosis as a
stacked area chart, allowing to see the magnitude of tail risk.
Stacking logic groups components to ensure visual clarity.
- **Relative Mode:** Displays the direct *contribution ratio*
(proportion) of each component relative to the total sum,
ideal for identifying the dominant driver of the risk.
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
transforms inputs into logarithmic space, analyzing the
kurtosis of *returns* rather than absolute prices.
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all regression and moment calculations,
emphasizing high-participation moves.
5. **Kurtosis Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (peaks/valleys) in
the *total* kurtosis line. This helps identify extremes in
market fragility or structural changes.
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Kurtosis Lines:** The kurtosis lines can be
calculated on a higher timeframe, with standard options
to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and prevent repainting
(`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes comprehensive alerts for:
- Kurtosis magnitude (High Positive / High Negative).
- Kurtosis character changes/emerging/fading.
- Total Kurtosis pivot (High/Low) detection.
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
[ggarritano] MTF Zones + Context Table + POC.This indicator maps Premium, Equilibrium and Discount zones across up to 8 configurable timeframes, based on the most recent swing range (pivot high/low) and extends the zones forward in real time. It also includes a Context Table that summarizes, per timeframe:
Current Zone (Premium / Equilibrium / Discount + mid areas)
% Position inside the swing range (-100 to +100)
Context (Discount / Neutral / Premium) derived from the % value
Distance to the nearest pivot (Stop (pts))
Distance to the next relevant zone (Target (pts))
Additionally, the script can plot:
Previous period levels: PDH/PDL, PWH/PWL, PMH/PML
Pivot POC (Approx.) per timeframe (optional and independent from zone plotting)
⚠️ POC note: Pine Script does not provide true volume-at-price data. The “Pivot POC” here is an approximation built by accumulating candle volume into price bins inside the active pivot range (HLC3 mode is lighter; Spread mode is more profile-like but heavier).
Use the timeframe toggles to control what you plot and what appears in the table, and adjust Pivot Length + Neutral Band to fit your market and style.
Volume Weighted KurtosisThis indicator analyzes market sentiment by decomposing total
Excess Kurtosis ("Fat Tails") into distinct, interpretable components:
"Between-Bar" (Trend Path) and "Within-Bar" (Microstructure).
Key Features:
1. **Moment-Based Kurtosis Decomposition:** The indicator
separates kurtosis based on the 'Estimate Bar Statistics' option.
It leverages the additive property of the Fourth Central Moment
(Cumulants) to ensure mathematical rigor:
- **Standard Mode (`Estimate Bar Statistics` = OFF):** Calculates
simple kurtosis of the selected `Source`.
- **Decomposition Mode (`Estimate Bar Statistics` = ON):** The
indicator uses a statistical model ('Estimator') to
calculate *within-bar* kurtosis.
This separates the tail risk into:
- **Between-Bar Kurtosis (Gold):** Peakedness of the price
path itself. High values indicate the trend moves in jumps
or gaps rather than a smooth progression.
- **Within-Bar Kurtosis (Blue):** Fat tails within the
microstructure. High values imply significant outliers
inside the bars (e.g., extreme wicks).
- **Interaction Variance (Dark Grey):** The comovement of variance
and mean deviations (volatility clustering relative to trend).
- **Interaction Skewness (Darker Grey):** The comovement of skewness
and mean deviations (asymmetry relative to trend).
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Excess Kurtosis is the
primary metric displayed. Since Kurtosis coefficients are not
linearly additive, this indicator calculates the *exact* Total
Kurtosis and partitions the area/ratios based on the additive
Fourth Moment Decomposition (`M4Tot = M4Btw + M4Wtn + M4Int`). This
ensures the displayed total kurtosis remains mathematically accurate.
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this decomposition:
- **Absolute Mode:** Displays the *Total Kurtosis* as the main
line, with the background filled by the stacked components.
Shows the *magnitude* of the tail risk.
- **Relative Mode:** Displays the **Contribution Ratios**
of each component (-1.0 to 1.0). This isolates the
*structure/quality* of the risk (e.g., "Is the risk
driven by the trend jumps or by the candle instability?").
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
transforms inputs into logarithmic space, analyzing the
kurtosis of *returns* rather than absolute prices.
(Essential for correct statistical properties).
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all moment calculations, emphasizing
high-participation moves.
5. **Kurtosis Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (peaks/valleys) in
the *Total Kurtosis* line. (Note: This is only visible
in 'Absolute Mode').
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Kurtosis Lines:** The kurtosis lines can be
calculated on a higher timeframe, with standard options
to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and prevent repainting
(`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes comprehensive alerts for:
- Kurtosis magnitude (High Positive / High Negative).
- Character changes (Inter-Bar vs. Intra-Bar dominance).
- Total Kurtosis pivot (High/Low) detection.
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
Volume Weighted Intra Bar LR SkewnessThis indicator analyzes market character by decomposing total
skewness (asymmetry) of a SINGLE BAR into four distinct,
interpretable components based on a Linear Regression model.
Key Features:
1. **Intra-Bar LR Skewness Decomposition:** For each bar on the chart,
the indicator analyzes the underlying price action on a smaller
timeframe ('Intra-Bar Timeframe'). It fits a Linear Regression
line through the intra-bar data to decompose the 3rd Moment:
- **Trend Skewness (Green/Red):** Asymmetry originating from
the slope of the intra-bar regression line. Indicates if the
price path within the bar is geometrically trend-driven.
- **Residual Skewness (Yellow):** Asymmetry of the noise
around the regression line. Captures "Tail Risk" or sudden
shocks within the bar that deviate from the main path.
- **Within-Bar Skewness (Blue):** Asymmetry derived from the
microstructure of individual intra-bar candles.
- **Interaction Skewness (Dark Grey):** Asymmetry caused by
the correlation between price levels and volatility within
the bar (e.g., volatility expanding as price drops).
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Skewness is the
primary metric displayed. Since statistical moments are additive,
this indicator calculates the *exact* Total Skewness and partitions
the columns based on the Law of Total Moments.
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this decomposition:
- **Absolute Mode:** Plots the *total* skewness as a
stacked column chart. Stacking logic groups components with
the same sign to ensure visual clarity.
- **Relative Mode:** Plots the direct *contribution ratio*
(proportion) of each component relative to the total sum,
ideal for identifying the dominant driver (Trend vs. Noise).
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
transforms inputs into logarithmic space, analyzing the
skewness of *returns* rather than absolute prices.
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all regression and moment calculations,
emphasizing high-participation moves.
5. **Skewness Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (peaks/valleys) in
the *total* skewness line. (Note: This is only visible
in 'Absolute Mode').
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Analysis Lines:** The entire intra-bar analysis can be
run on a higher timeframe (using the `Timeframe` input),
with standard options to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and
prevent repainting (`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes comprehensive alerts for:
- Skewness magnitude (High Positive / High Negative).
- Character changes (Trend vs. Noise dominance).
- Total Skewness pivot (High/Low) detection.
**Caution: Real-Time Data Behavior (Intra-Bar Repainting)**
This indicator uses high-resolution intra-bar data. As a result, the
values on the **current, unclosed bar** (the real-time bar) will
update dynamically as new intra-bar data arrives. This behavior is
normal and necessary for this type of analysis. Signals should only
be considered final **after the main chart bar has closed.**
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
Volume Weighted Intra Bar SkewnessThis indicator analyzes market sentiment by providing a detailed
view of skewness (asymmetry). It uses data from a lower, intra-bar
timeframe to separate the total skewness of a single bar into
distinct, interpretable components.
Key Features:
1. **Intra-Bar Skewness Decomposition:** For each bar on the chart,
the indicator analyzes the underlying price action on a smaller
timeframe ('Intra-Bar Timeframe'). Unlike Variance, the Third
Central Moment (Skewness) decomposes into three parts:
- **Between-Bar Skewness (Gold):** Asymmetry of the price
path *between* the intra-bar candles. Indicates if the macro
movements within the bar accelerated in one direction.
- **Within-Bar Skewness (Blue):** Asymmetry of the
microstructure (wicks vs. tails) *inside* the intra-bar candles.
- **Interaction Skewness (Grey):** The component arising from
the comovement of local means and local variances (e.g.,
does volatility increase when price drops?).
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Skewness is the
primary metric displayed. Since Skewness coefficients are not
linearly additive, this indicator calculates the *exact* Total
Skewness and partitions the columns based on the additive
Third Moment Decomposition (`M3Tot = M3Btw + M3Wtn + M3Int`).
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this information:
- **Absolute Mode:** Plots the *total* skewness as a
stacked column chart, showing the *absolute magnitude* of
asymmetry and the contribution of each component.
- **Relative Mode:** Plots the components as a 100% stacked
column chart (scaled from 0 to 1), focusing purely on the
*energy ratio* of the components.
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
calculates an **Exponential Regression Curve** (log-space),
making the analysis suitable for comparing assets with
different scales (e.g., BTC vs EURUSD).
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all mean and moment calculations.
5. **Skewness Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (highs and lows) in
the *total* skewness line. (Note: This is only visible
in 'Absolute Mode').
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Analysis Lines:** The entire intra-bar analysis can be
run on a higher timeframe (using the `Timeframe` input),
with standard options to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and
prevent repainting (`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes alerts for:
- Skewness magnitude (High Positive / High Negative).
- Skewness character changes/emerging/fading.
- Total Skewness pivot (High/Low) detection.
**Caution: Real-Time Data Behavior (Intra-Bar Repainting)**
This indicator uses high-resolution intra-bar data. As a result, the
values on the **current, unclosed bar** (the real-time bar) will
update dynamically as new intra-bar data arrives. This behavior is
normal and necessary for this type of analysis. Signals should only
be considered final **after the main chart bar has closed.**
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
Volume Weighted LR SkewnessThis indicator analyzes market character by decomposing total
skewness (asymmetry) into four distinct, interpretable components
based on a Linear Regression model.
Key Features:
1. **Four-Component Skewness Decomposition:** The indicator
separates market asymmetry based on the 'Estimate Bar Statistics' option.
It leverages the Law of Total Moments to provide an additive
breakdown of the 3rd Statistical Moment:
- **Trend Skewness (Green/Red):** Asymmetry originating from
the slope of the regression line itself. Indicates if the
trend path is geometrically skewed.
- **Residual Skewness (Yellow):** Asymmetry of the noise
around the regression line. Captures "Tail Risk" (e.g.,
sudden spikes against the trend).
- **Within-Bar Skewness (Blue):** Asymmetry derived from the
microstructure of individual bars (requires 'Estimate Bar Statistics').
- **Interaction Skewness (Dark Grey):** Asymmetry caused by the
correlation between price levels and volatility (e.g.,
volatility expanding as price moves in one direction).
*Dominance of this component indicates an unstable, emotional market.*
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Skewness is the
primary metric displayed. Since statistical moments are additive,
this indicator calculates the *exact* Total Skewness and partitions
the area to visualize the contribution (weight) of each
structural source to the overall market bias.
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this decomposition:
- **Absolute Mode:** Displays the *total* skewness as a
stacked area chart, allowing to see the magnitude of tail risk.
Stacking logic groups components with the same sign to ensure
visual clarity.
- **Relative Mode:** Displays the direct *contribution ratio*
(proportion) of each component relative to the total sum,
ideal for identifying the dominant driver of asymmetry.
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
transforms inputs into logarithmic space, analyzing the
skewness of *returns* rather than absolute prices.
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all regression and moment calculations,
emphasizing high-participation moves.
5. **Skewness Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (peaks/valleys) in
the *total* skewness line. This helps identify extremes in
market sentiment or structural bias.
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Skewness Lines:** The skewness lines can be
calculated on a higher timeframe, with standard options
to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and prevent repainting
(`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes comprehensive alerts for:
- Skewness magnitude (High Positive / High Negative).
- Skewness character changes/emerging/fading.
- Total Skewness pivot (High/Low) detection.
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
Global Bitcoin ETF Holdings Bitcoin ETF Tracker This indicator visualizes the total physical Bitcoin holdings of all major Spot ETFs globally (USA, Canada, Europe).
Key Features:
Precision: Uses "Shares Outstanding" data instead of AUM. This eliminates price volatility noise and shows actual inflows/outflows.
Smart Zoom: Dynamic scaling zooms into the active range (top 15%), making daily flows clearly visible.
Whale Dashboard: Real-time table showing Net Flows (24h & 7d) in BTC.
Customizable: Ticker symbols can be adjusted in settings to match your data feed (e.g., BATS vs. ARCA).
Volume Weighted SkewnessThis indicator analyzes market sentiment by decomposing total
skewness (asymmetry) into two distinct, interpretable components:
"Between-Bar" (Inter-Bar) and "Within-Bar" (Intra-Bar) skewness.
Key Features:
1. **Moment-Based Skewness decomposition:** The indicator
separates skewness based on the 'Estimate Bar Statistics' option.
It leverages the additive property of the Third Central Moment
to ensure mathematical rigor:
- **Standard Mode (`Estimate Bar Statistics` = OFF):** Calculates
simple skewness of the selected `Source`.
- **Decomposition Mode (`Estimate Bar Statistics` = ON):** The
indicator uses a statistical model ('Estimator') to
calculate *within-bar* skewness.
This separates the asymmetry into:
- **Between-Bar Skewness (Gold):** Asymmetry of the price
path itself. A positive value indicates that the trend
moves more aggressively upwards than downwards.
- **Within-Bar Skewness (Blue):** Asymmetry of the
microstructure (wicks vs. tails). A positive value implies
strong buying pressure within the bars (long tails).
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Skewness is the
primary metric displayed. Since Skewness coefficients are not
linearly additive, this indicator calculates the *exact* Total
Skewness and partitions the area/ratios based on the additive
Third Moment Decomposition (`M3Tot = M3Btw + M3Wtn`). This
ensures the displayed total skewness remains mathematically accurate.
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this decomposition:
- **Absolute Mode:** Displays the *Total Skewness* as the main
line, with the background filled by the stacked components.
Shows the *magnitude* and direction of the tail risk.
- **Relative Mode:** Displays the **Contribution Ratios**
of each component (-1.0 to 1.0). This isolates the
*structure/quality* of the asymmetry (e.g., "Is the skewness
driven by the trend or by the candle shapes?").
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
transforms inputs into logarithmic space, analyzing the
skewness of *returns* rather than absolute prices.
(Essential for correct statistical properties).
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all moment calculations, emphasizing
high-participation moves.
5. **Skewness Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (peaks/valleys) in
the *Total Skewness* line. (Note: This is only visible
in 'Absolute Mode').
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Skewness Lines:** The skewness lines can be
calculated on a higher timeframe, with standard options
to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and prevent repainting
(`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes comprehensive alerts for:
- Skewness magnitude (High Positive / High Negative).
- Character changes (Inter-Bar vs. Intra-Bar dominance).
- Total Skewness pivot (High/Low) detection.
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
SMC Pro: Institutional Bias & Liquidity Sweep EngineOverview This script is a high-confluence technical analysis tool designed for traders following Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Price Action methodologies. Its primary objective is to filter trend-based signals (EMA 9/21 crossovers) by integrating two critical institutional filters: HTF Bias (Higher Timeframe Sentiment) and Directional Liquidity Sweeps.
Key Features & Technical Originality Unlike standard crossover indicators, this script introduces a multi-layered institutional validation logic:
Real-Time HTF Bias Dashboard: The indicator automatically calculates the Daily Bias based on the previous close's position relative to the "Equilibrium" (the 50% mark of the previous day's range). This sentiment is displayed via a clean UI dashboard in the top-right corner, ensuring traders stay aligned with the higher timeframe flow.
Directional Liquidity Sweeps: The engine identifies local highs and lows within a dynamic lookback period. A "BUY" signal is only triggered if the price has first performed a "Sweep Low" (raiding sell-side liquidity), and a "SELL" signal only follows a "Sweep High" (raiding buy-side liquidity). This effectively filters out "Bull/Bear Traps."
Adaptive Memory Logic: The signal engine "remembers" a liquidity raid for a configurable number of bars. This allows for natural price development before confirming the entry with the EMA cross, capturing the expansion phase of the move.
Weekly NWOG Anchor: Includes an automated New Week Opening Gap (NWOG) tracker. Following institutional liquidity principles, this box anchors from Friday’s close to the new week’s open. Per user-defined constraints, the projection is limited strictly to the current trading week to maintain chart clarity and relevance.
How to Use
Confluence: Look for "BUY" signals when the Dashboard displays a "BULLISH" Bias and a recent sweep of lows has occurred.
Context: Use the NWOG levels as institutional magnets; price often gravitates toward or rebalances these gaps before continuing its expansion.
Optimized Timeframes: Best suited for M1, M5, and M15 intraday scalping.
Disclaimer This indicator is a visual aid for technical analysis and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Volume Weighted Intra Bar LR CorrelationThis indicator analyzes market character by providing a detailed
view of correlation. It applies a Linear Regression model to
intra-bar price action, dissecting the total correlation of
each bar into three distinct components.
Key Features:
1. **Three-Component Correlation Decomposition:** The indicator
separates correlation based on the 'Estimate Bar Statistics' option.
- **Standard Mode (`Estimate Bar Statistics` = OFF):** Calculates
correlation based on the selected `Source` (this results
mainly in 'Trend' and 'Residual' correlation).
- **Decomposition Mode (`Estimate Bar Statistics` = ON):** The
indicator uses a statistical model ('Estimator') to
calculate *within-bar* correlation.
(Assumption: In this mode, the `Source` input is
**ignored**, and an estimated mean for each bar is used
instead).
This separates correlation into:
- **Trend Correlation (Green/Red):** Correlation explained by the
regression's slope (Directional Alignment).
- **Residual Correlation (Yellow):** Correlation from price
oscillating around the regression line (Mean-Reversion/Cointegration).
- **Within-Bar Correlation (Blue):** Correlation from the
high-low range of each bar (Microstructure/Noise).
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Correlation is the
primary metric displayed. Since Correlation Coefficients are not
linearly additive, this indicator plots the *exact* Total
Correlation and partitions the area underneath based on the
Covariance Ratio. This ensures the displayed total correlation
remains mathematically accurate while showing relative composition.
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this decomposition:
- **Absolute Mode:** Displays the *total* correlation as a
stacked area chart, partitioned by the ratio of
the three components.
- **Relative Mode:** Displays the direct *energy ratio*
(proportion) of each component relative to the total (0-1),
ideal for identifying the dominant market character.
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
calculates an **Exponential Regression Curve** (log-space),
making the analysis suitable for growth assets.
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all regression and correlation calculations.
5. **Correlation Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (highs and lows) in
the *total* correlation line. (Note: This is only visible
in 'Absolute Mode').
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Correlation Lines:** The correlation lines can be
calculated on a higher timeframe, with standard options
to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and prevent repainting
(`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes comprehensive alerts for:
- Correlation magnitude (High Positive / High Inverse).
- Correlation character changes/emerging/fading.
- Total Correlation pivot (High/Low) detection.
**Caution! Real-Time Data Behavior (Intra-Bar Repainting)**
This indicator uses high-resolution intra-bar data. As a result, the
values on the **current, unclosed bar** (the real-time bar) will
update dynamically as new intra-bar data arrives. This behavior is
normal and necessary for this type of analysis. Signals should only
be considered final **after the main chart bar has closed.**
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
Volume Weighted Intra Bar CorrelationThis indicator analyzes market character by providing a detailed
view of correlation. It uses data from a lower, intra-bar timeframe
to separate the total correlation of a single bar into two distinct
components.
Key Features:
1. **Intra-Bar Correlation Decomposition:** For each bar on the chart,
the indicator analyzes the underlying price action on a smaller
timeframe ('Intra-Bar Timeframe') and quantifies two types of correlation:
- **Between-Bar Correlation (Directional):** Calculated from price
movements *between* the intra-bar candles. This component
represents the **macro-movement** correlation within the main bar.
- **Within-Bar Correlation (Non-Directional):** Calculated from
price fluctuations *inside* each intra-bar candle. This
component represents the **microstructure/noise** correlation.
2. **Visual Decomposition Logic:** Total Correlation is the
primary metric displayed. Since Correlation Coefficients are not
linearly additive, this indicator plots the *exact* Total
Correlation and partitions the area underneath based on the
Covariance Ratio. This ensures the displayed total correlation
remains mathematically accurate while showing relative composition.
3. **Dual Display Modes:** The indicator offers two modes to
visualize this information:
- **Absolute Mode:** Plots the *total* correlation as a
stacked column chart, showing the *absolute magnitude* of
correlation and the contribution of each component.
- **Relative Mode:** Plots the components as a 100% stacked
column chart (scaled from 0 to 1), focusing purely on the
*energy ratio* of 'between-bar' (macro) and 'within-bar' (micro)
correlation.
4. **Calculation Options:**
- **Normalization:** An optional 'Normalize' setting
calculates an **Exponential Regression Curve** (log-space),
making the analysis suitable for comparing assets with
different scales (e.g., BTC vs EURUSD).
- **Volume Weighting:** An option (`Volume weighted`) applies
volume weighting to all mean and covariance calculations.
5. **Correlation Cycle Analysis:**
- **Pivot Detection:** Includes a built-in pivot detector
that identifies significant turning points (highs and lows) in
the *total* correlation line. (Note: This is only visible
in 'Absolute Mode').
- **Flexible Pivot Algorithms:** Supports various underlying
mathematical models for pivot detection provided by the
core library.
6. **Note on Confirmation (Lag):** Pivot signals are confirmed
using a lookback method. A pivot is only plotted *after*
the `Pivot Right Bars` input has passed, which introduces
an inherent lag.
7. **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Capability:**
- **MTF Analysis Lines:** The entire intra-bar analysis can be
run on a higher timeframe (using the `Timeframe` input),
with standard options to handle gaps (`Fill Gaps`) and
prevent repainting (`Wait for...`).
- **Limitation:** The Pivot detection (`Calculate Pivots`) is
**disabled** if a Higher Timeframe (HTF) is selected.
8. **Integrated Alerts:** Includes alerts for:
- Correlation magnitude (High Positive / High Inverse).
- Correlation character changes/emerging/fading.
- Total Correlation pivot (High/Low) detection.
**Caution: Real-Time Data Behavior (Intra-Bar Repainting)**
This indicator uses high-resolution intra-bar data. As a result, the
values on the **current, unclosed bar** (the real-time bar) will
update dynamically as new intra-bar data arrives. This behavior is
normal and necessary for this type of analysis. Signals should only
be considered final **after the main chart bar has closed.**
---
**DISCLAIMER**
1. **For Informational/Educational Use Only:** This indicator is
provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does
not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is
it a recommendation to buy or sell any asset.
2. **Use at Your Own Risk:** All trading decisions you make based on
the information or signals generated by this indicator are made
solely at your own risk.
3. **No Guarantee of Performance:** Past performance is not an
indicator of future results. The author makes no guarantee
regarding the accuracy of the signals or future profitability.
4. **No Liability:** The author shall not be held liable for any
financial losses or damages incurred directly or indirectly from
the use of this indicator.
5. **Signals Are Not Recommendations:** The alerts and visual signals
(e.g., crossovers) generated by this tool are not direct
recommendations to buy or sell. They are technical observations
for your own analysis and consideration.
Universal HVN Volume Nodes DetectorAdvanced multi-timeframe High Volume Nodes (HVN) detector.
Identifies the most significant volume-based price reaction zones.
Designed for Gold, Silver and Crypto markets.
