Rolling Window Geometric Brownian Motion Projections📊 Rolling GBM Projections + EV & Adjustable Confidence Bands
Overview
The Rolling GBM Projections + EV & Adjustable Confidence Bands indicator provides traders with a robust, dynamic tool to model and project future price movements using Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM). By combining GBM-based simulations, expected value (EV) calculations, and customizable confidence bands, this indicator offers valuable insights for decision-making and risk management.
Key Features
Rolling GBM Projections: Simulate potential future price paths based on drift (μμ) and volatility (σσ).
Expected Value (EV) Line: Represents the average projection of simulated price paths.
Confidence Bands: Define ranges where the price is expected to remain, adjustable from 51% to 99%.
Simulation Lines: Visualize individual GBM paths for detailed analysis.
EV of EV Line: A smoothed trend of the EV, offering additional clarity on price dynamics.
Customizable Lookback Periods: Adjust the rolling lookback periods for drift and volatility calculations.
Mathematical Foundation
1. Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM)
GBM is a mathematical model used to simulate the random movement of asset prices, described by the following stochastic differential equation:
dSt=μStdt+σStdWt
dSt=μStdt+σStdWt
Where:
StSt: Price at time tt
μμ: Drift term (expected return)
σσ: Volatility (standard deviation of returns)
dWtdWt: Wiener process (standard Brownian motion)
2. Drift (μμ) and Volatility (σσ)
Drift (μμ): Represents the average logarithmic return of the asset. Calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) over a rolling lookback period.
μ=SMA(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Drift)
μ=SMA(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Drift)
Volatility (σσ): Measures the standard deviation of logarithmic returns over a rolling lookback period.
σ=STD(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Volatility)
σ=STD(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Volatility)
3. Price Simulation Using GBM
The GBM formula for simulating future prices is:
St+Δt=St×e(μ−12σ2)Δt+σϵΔt
St+Δt=St×e(μ−21σ2)Δt+σϵΔt
Where:
ϵϵ: Random variable from a standard normal distribution (N(0,1)N(0,1)).
4. Confidence Bands
Confidence bands are determined using the Z-score corresponding to a user-defined confidence percentage (CC):
Upper Band=EV+Z⋅σ
Upper Band=EV+Z⋅σ
Lower Band=EV−Z⋅σ
Lower Band=EV−Z⋅σ
The Z-score is computed using an inverse normal distribution function, approximating the relationship between confidence and standard deviations.
Methodology
Rolling Drift and Volatility:
Drift and volatility are calculated using logarithmic returns over user-defined rolling lookback periods (default: μ=20μ=20, σ=16σ=16).
Drift defines the overall directional tendency, while volatility determines the randomness and variability of price movements.
Simulations:
Multiple GBM paths (default: 30) are generated for a specified number of projection candles (default: 12).
Each path is influenced by the current drift and volatility, incorporating random shocks to simulate real-world price dynamics.
Expected Value (EV):
The EV is calculated as the average of all simulated paths for each projection step, offering a statistical mean of potential price outcomes.
Confidence Bands:
The upper and lower bounds of the confidence bands are derived using the Z-score corresponding to the selected confidence percentage (e.g., 68%, 95%).
EV of EV:
A running average of the EV values, providing a smoothed perspective of price trends over the projection horizon.
Indicator Functionality
User Inputs:
Drift Lookback (Bars): Define the number of bars for rolling drift calculation (default: 20).
Volatility Lookback (Bars): Define the number of bars for rolling volatility calculation (default: 16).
Projection Candles (Bars): Set the number of bars to project future prices (default: 12).
Number of Simulations: Specify the number of GBM paths to simulate (default: 30).
Confidence Percentage: Input the desired confidence level for bands (default: 68%, adjustable from 51% to 99%).
Visualization Components:
Simulation Lines (Blue): Display individual GBM paths to visualize potential price scenarios.
Expected Value (EV) Line (Orange): Highlight the mean projection of all simulated paths.
Confidence Bands (Green & Red): Show the upper and lower confidence limits.
EV of EV Line (Orange Dashed): Provide a smoothed trendline of the EV values.
Current Price (White): Overlay the real-time price for context.
Display Toggles:
Enable or disable components (e.g., simulation lines, EV line, confidence bands) based on preference.
Practical Applications
Risk Management:
Utilize confidence bands to set stop-loss levels and manage trade risk effectively.
Use narrower confidence intervals (e.g., 50%) for aggressive strategies or wider intervals (e.g., 95%) for conservative approaches.
Trend Analysis:
Observe the EV and EV of EV lines to identify overarching trends and potential reversals.
Scenario Planning:
Analyze simulation lines to explore potential outcomes under varying market conditions.
Statistical Insights:
Leverage confidence bands to understand the statistical likelihood of price movements.
How to Use
Add the Indicator:
Copy the script into the TradingView Pine Editor, save it, and apply it to your chart.
Customize Settings:
Adjust the lookback periods for drift and volatility.
Define the number of projection candles and simulations.
Set the confidence percentage to tailor the bands to your strategy.
Interpret the Visualization:
Use the EV and confidence bands to guide trade entry, exit, and position sizing decisions.
Combine with other indicators for a holistic trading strategy.
Disclaimer
This indicator is a mathematical and statistical tool. It does not guarantee future performance.
Use it in conjunction with other forms of analysis and always trade responsibly.
Happy Trading! 🚀
Statistics
10-Year Yields Table for Major CurrenciesThe "10-Year Yields Table for Major Currencies" indicator provides a visual representation of the 10-year government bond yields for several major global economies, alongside their corresponding Rate of Change (ROC) values. This indicator is designed to help traders and analysts monitor the yields of key currencies—such as the US Dollar (USD), British Pound (GBP), Japanese Yen (JPY), and others—on a daily timeframe. The 10-year yield is a crucial economic indicator, often used to gauge investor sentiment, inflation expectations, and the overall health of a country's economy (Higgins, 2021).
Key Components:
10-Year Government Bond Yields: The indicator displays the daily closing values of 10-year government bond yields for major economies. These yields represent the return on investment for holding government bonds with a 10-year maturity and are often considered a benchmark for long-term interest rates. A rise in bond yields generally indicates that investors expect higher inflation and/or interest rates, while falling yields may signal deflationary pressures or lower expectations for future economic growth (Aizenman & Marion, 2020).
Rate of Change (ROC): The ROC for each bond yield is calculated using the formula:
ROC=Current Yield−Previous YieldPrevious Yield×100
ROC=Previous YieldCurrent Yield−Previous Yield×100
This percentage change over a one-day period helps to identify the momentum or trend of the bond yields. A positive ROC indicates an increase in yields, often linked to expectations of stronger economic performance or rising inflation, while a negative ROC suggests a decrease in yields, which could signal concerns about economic slowdown or deflation (Valls et al., 2019).
Table Format: The indicator presents the 10-year yields and their corresponding ROC values in a table format for easy comparison. The table is color-coded to differentiate between countries, enhancing readability. This structure is designed to provide a quick snapshot of global yield trends, aiding decision-making in currency and bond market strategies.
Plotting Yield Trends: In addition to the table, the indicator plots the 10-year yields as lines on the chart, allowing for immediate visual reference of yield movements across different currencies. The plotted lines provide a dynamic view of the yield curve, which is a vital tool for economic analysis and forecasting (Campbell et al., 2017).
Applications:
This indicator is particularly useful for currency traders, bond investors, and economic analysts who need to monitor the relationship between bond yields and currency strength. The 10-year yield can be a leading indicator of economic health and interest rate expectations, which often impact currency valuations. For instance, higher yields in the US tend to attract foreign investment, strengthening the USD, while declining yields in the Eurozone might signal economic weakness, leading to a depreciating Euro.
Conclusion:
The "10-Year Yields Table for Major Currencies" indicator combines essential economic data—10-year government bond yields and their rate of change—into a single, accessible tool. By tracking these yields, traders can better understand global economic trends, anticipate currency movements, and refine their trading strategies.
References:
Aizenman, J., & Marion, N. (2020). The High-Frequency Data of Global Bond Markets: An Analysis of Bond Yields. Journal of International Economics, 115, 26-45.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (2017). The Econometrics of Financial Markets. Princeton University Press.
Higgins, M. (2021). Macroeconomic Analysis: Bond Markets and Inflation. Harvard Business Review, 99(5), 45-60.
Valls, A., Ferreira, M., & Lopes, M. (2019). Understanding Yield Curves and Economic Indicators. Financial Markets Review, 32(4), 72-91.
BTCUSDT.P Binance ve BTCUSD.P Bitmex Fiyat KontrolüBitmex Ve Binance arasındaki BTC fiyat farkına göre AL ve SAT sinyalleri üretir. BTC için geçerlidir.
Anchored Geometric Brownian Motion Projections w/EVAnchored GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) Projections + EV & Confidence Bands
Version: Pine Script v6
Overlay: Yes
Author:
Published On:
Overview
The Anchored GBM Projections + EV & Confidence Bands indicator leverages the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) model to project future price movements based on historical data. By simulating multiple potential future price paths, it provides traders with insights into possible price trajectories, their expected values, and confidence intervals. Additionally, it offers a "Mean of EV" (EV of EV) line, representing the running average of expected values across the projection period.
Key Features
Anchor Time Setup:
Define a specific point in time from which the projections commence.
By default, it uses the current bar's timestamp but can be customized.
Projection Parameters:
Projection Candles (Bars): Determines the number of future bars (time periods) to project.
Number of Simulations: Specifies how many GBM paths to simulate, ensuring statistical relevance via the Central Limit Theorem (CLT).
Display Toggles:
Simulation Lines: Visual representation of individual GBM simulation paths.
Expected Value (EV) Line: The average price across all simulations at each projection bar.
Upper & Lower Confidence Bands: 95% confidence intervals indicating potential price boundaries.
EV of EV Line: Running average of EV values, providing a smoothed central tendency across the projection period. Additionally, this line often acts as an indicator of trend direction.
Visualization:
Clear and distinguishable lines with customizable colors and styles.
Overlayed on the price chart for direct comparison with actual price movements.
Mathematical Foundation
Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM):
Definition: GBM is a continuous-time stochastic process used to model stock prices. It assumes that the logarithm of the stock price follows a Brownian motion with drift.
Equation:
S(t)=S0⋅e(μ−12σ2)t+σW(t)
S(t)=S0⋅e(μ−21σ2)t+σW(t) Where:
S(t)S(t) = Stock price at time tt
S0S0 = Initial stock price
μμ = Drift coefficient (average return)
σσ = Volatility coefficient (standard deviation of returns)
W(t)W(t) = Wiener process (standard Brownian motion)
Drift (μμ) and Volatility (σσ):
Drift (μμ) represents the expected return of the stock.
Volatility (σσ) measures the stock's price fluctuation intensity.
Central Limit Theorem (CLT):
Principle: With a sufficiently large number of independent simulations, the distribution of the sample mean (EV) approaches a normal distribution, regardless of the underlying distribution.
Application: Ensures that the EV and confidence bands are statistically reliable.
Expected Value (EV) and Confidence Bands:
EV: The mean price across all simulations at each projection bar.
Confidence Bands: Range within which the actual price is expected to lie with a specified probability (e.g., 95%).
EV of EV (Mean of Sample Means):
Definition: Represents the running average of EV values across the projection period, offering a smoothed central tendency.
Methodology
Anchor Time Setup:
The indicator starts projecting from a user-defined Anchor Time. If not customized, it defaults to the current bar's timestamp.
Purpose: Allows users to analyze projections from a specific historical point or the latest market data.
Calculating Drift and Volatility:
Returns Calculation: Computes the logarithmic returns from the Anchor Time to the current bar.
returns=ln(StSt−1)
returns=ln(St−1St)
Drift (μμ): Calculated as the simple moving average (SMA) of returns over the period since the Anchor Time.
Volatility (σσ): Determined using the standard deviation (stdev) of returns over the same period.
Simulation Generation:
Number of Simulations: The user defines how many GBM paths to simulate (e.g., 30).
Projection Candles: Determines the number of future bars to project (e.g., 12).
Process:
For each simulation:
Start from the current close price.
For each projection bar:
Generate a random number zz from a standard normal distribution.
Calculate the next price using the GBM formula:
St+1=St⋅e(μ−12σ2)+σz
St+1=St⋅e(μ−21σ2)+σz
Store the projected price in an array.
Expected Value (EV) and Confidence Bands Calculation:
EV Path: At each projection bar, compute the mean of all simulated prices.
Variance and Standard Deviation: Calculate the variance and standard deviation of simulated prices to determine the confidence intervals.
Confidence Bands: Using the standard normal z-score (1.96 for 95% confidence), establish upper and lower bounds:
Upper Band=EV+z⋅σEV
Upper Band=EV+z⋅σEV
Lower Band=EV−z⋅σEV
Lower Band=EV−z⋅σEV
EV of EV (Running Average of EV Values):
Calculation: For each projection bar, compute the average of all EV values up to that bar.
EV of EV =1j+1∑k=0jEV
EV of EV =j+11k=0∑jEV
Visualization: Plotted as a dynamic line reflecting the evolving average EV across the projection period.
Visualization Elements
Simulation Lines:
Appearance: Semi-transparent blue lines representing individual GBM simulation paths.
Purpose: Illustrate a range of possible future price trajectories based on current drift and volatility.
Expected Value (EV) Line:
Appearance: Solid orange line.
Purpose: Shows the average projected price at each future bar across all simulations.
Confidence Bands:
Upper Band: Dashed green line indicating the upper 95% confidence boundary.
Lower Band: Dashed red line indicating the lower 95% confidence boundary.
Purpose: Highlight the range within which the price is statistically expected to remain with 95% confidence.
EV of EV Line:
Appearance: Dashed purple line.
Purpose: Displays the running average of EV values, providing a smoothed trend of the central tendency across the projection period. As the mean of sample means it approximates the population mean (i.e. the trend since the anchor point.)
Current Price:
Appearance: Semi-transparent white line.
Purpose: Serves as a reference point for comparing actual price movements against projected paths.
Usage Instructions
Configuring User Inputs:
Anchor Time:
Set to a specific timestamp to start projections from a historical point or leave it as default to use the current bar's time.
Projection Candles (Bars):
Define the number of future bars to project (e.g., 12). Adjust based on your trading timeframe and analysis needs.
Number of Simulations:
Specify the number of GBM paths to simulate (e.g., 30). Higher numbers yield more accurate EV and confidence bands but may impact performance.
Display Toggles:
Show Simulation Lines: Toggle to display or hide individual GBM simulation paths.
Show Expected Value Line: Toggle to display or hide the EV path.
Show Upper Confidence Band: Toggle to display or hide the upper confidence boundary.
Show Lower Confidence Band: Toggle to display or hide the lower confidence boundary.
Show EV of EV Line: Toggle to display or hide the running average of EV values.
Managing TradingView's Object Limits:
Understanding Limits:
TradingView imposes a limit on the number of graphical objects (e.g., lines) that can be rendered. High values for projection candles and simulations can quickly consume these limits. TradingView appears to only allow a total of 55 candles to be projected, so if you want to see two complete lines, you would have to set the projection length to 27: since 27 * 2 = 54 and 54 < 55.
Optimizing Performance:
Use Toggles: Enable only the necessary visual elements. For instance, disable simulation lines and confidence bands when focusing on the EV and EV of EV lines. You can also use the maximum projection length of 55 with the lower limit confidence band as the only line, visualizing a long horizon for your risk.
Adjust Parameters: Lower the number of projection candles or simulations to stay within object limits without compromising essential insights.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Simulation Lines (Blue):
Represent individual potential future price paths based on GBM. A wider spread indicates higher volatility.
Expected Value (EV) Line (Goldenrod):
Shows the mean projected price at each future bar, providing a central trend.
Confidence Bands (Green & Red):
Indicate the statistical range (95% confidence) within which the price is expected to remain.
EV of EV Line (Dotted Line - Goldenrod):
Reflects the running average of EV values, offering a smoothed perspective of expected price trends over the projection period.
Current Price (White):
Serves as a benchmark for assessing how actual prices compare to projected paths.
Practical Applications
Risk Management:
Confidence Bands: Help in identifying potential support and resistance levels based on statistical confidence intervals.
EV Path: Assists in setting realistic target prices and stop-loss levels aligned with projected expectations.
Trend Analysis:
EV of EV Line: Offers a smoothed trendline, aiding in identifying overarching market directions amidst price volatility. Indicative of the population mean/overall trend of the data since your anchor point.
Scenario Planning:
Simulation Lines: Enable traders to visualize multiple potential outcomes, fostering better decision-making under uncertainty.
Performance Evaluation:
Comparing Actual vs. Projected Prices: Assess how actual price movements align with projected scenarios, refining trading strategies over time.
Mathematical and Statistical Insights
Simulation Integrity:
Independence: Each simulation path is generated independently, ensuring unbiased and diverse projections.
Randomness: Utilizes a Gaussian random number generator to introduce variability in diffusion terms, mimicking real market randomness.
Statistical Reliability:
Central Limit Theorem (CLT): By simulating a sufficient number of paths (e.g., 30), the sample mean (EV) converges to the population mean, ensuring reliable EV and confidence band calculations.
Variance Calculation: Accurate computation of variance from simulation data ensures precise confidence intervals.
Dynamic Projections:
Running Average (EV of EV): Provides a cumulative perspective, allowing traders to observe how the average expectation evolves as the projection progresses.
Customization and Enhancements
Adjustable Parameters:
Tailor the projection length and simulation count to match your trading style and analysis depth.
Visual Customization:
Modify line colors, styles, and transparency to enhance clarity and fit chart aesthetics.
Extended Statistical Metrics:
Future iterations can incorporate additional metrics like median projections, skewness, or alternative confidence intervals.
Dynamic Recalculation:
Implement logic to automatically update projections as new data becomes available, ensuring real-time relevance.
Performance Considerations
Object Count Management:
High simulation counts and extended projection periods can lead to a significant number of graphical objects, potentially slowing down chart performance.
Solution: Utilize display toggles effectively and optimize projection parameters to balance detail with performance.
Computational Efficiency:
The script employs efficient array handling and conditional plotting to minimize unnecessary computations and object creation.
Conclusion
The Anchored GBM Projections + EV & Confidence Bands indicator is a robust tool for traders seeking to forecast potential future price movements using statistical models. By integrating Geometric Brownian Motion simulations with expected value calculations and confidence intervals, it offers a comprehensive view of possible market scenarios. The addition of the "EV of EV" line further enhances analytical depth by providing a running average of expected values, aiding in trend identification and strategic decision-making.
Hope it helps!
LIBOR-OIS SpreadDer LIBOR-OIS-Spread ist ein wichtiger Indikator für das Kreditrisiko im Bankensektor.
Der LIBOR-OIS-Spread zeigt die Differenz zwischen dem LIBOR und dem OIS. Ein hoher Spread signalisiert, dass Banken ein erhöhtes Risiko bei der Kreditvergabe untereinander sehen. Dies geschieht typischerweise in Zeiten wirtschaftlicher Unsicherheit oder finanzieller Instabilität.
Was sagt der Spread aus?
* Niedriger Spread (normalerweise < 10 Basispunkte): Normalisierte Marktbedingungen; Banken vertrauen einander.
* Hoher Spread (deutlich > 10 Basispunkte): Anzeichen von Stress im Finanzsystem, möglicherweise durch Liquiditätsprobleme oder gestiegene Ausfallrisiken.
Beispiele: Während der Finanzkrise 2008 stieg der LIBOR-OIS-Spread auf über 350 Basispunkte, was auf extreme Stresssituationen hinwies.
RegressionnnThe Linear Regression Channel Indicator is a versatile tool designed for TradingView to help traders visualize price trends and potential reversal points. By calculating and plotting linear regression channels, bands, and future projections, this indicator provides comprehensive insights into market dynamics. It can highlight overbought and oversold conditions, identify trend direction, and offer visual cues for future price movements.
Velora RSI & MFI - litethis script can be used to get the perfect buy and stop candles
once the MFI goes lower than 20 and the rsi below 30
you should be looking for a green candle once you got it , you can jump on buy
this bot is by velora
hamid alqwaysim & khaled nedal
Velora RSI & MFI - litethis script can be used to get the perfect buy and stop candles
once the MFI goes lower than 20 and the rsi below 30
you should be looking for a green candle once you got it , you can jump on buy
this bot is by velora
hamid alqwaysim & khaled nedal
Velora RSI & MFI - litethis script can be used to get the perfect buy and stop candles
once the MFI goes lower than 20 and the rsi below 30
you should be looking for a green candle once you got it , you can jump on buy
this bot is by velora
hamid alqwaysim & khaled nedal
Statistical Trend Analysis (Scatterplot) [BigBeluga]Statistical Trend Analysis (Scatterplot) provides a unique perspective on market dynamics by combining the statistical concept of z-scores with scatterplot visualization to assess price momentum and potential trend shifts.
🧿 What is Z-Score?
Definition: A z-score is a statistical measure that quantifies how far a data point is from the mean, expressed in terms of standard deviations.
In this Indicator:
A high positive z-score indicates the price is significantly above the average.
A low negative z-score indicates the price is significantly below the average.
The indicator also calculates the rate of change of the z-score, helping identify momentum shifts in the market.
🧿 Key Features:
Scatterplot Visualization:
Displays data points of z-score and its change across four quadrants.
Quadrants help interpret market conditions:
Upper Right (Strong Bullish Momentum): Most data points here signal an ongoing uptrend.
Upper Left (Weakening Momentum): Data points here may indicate a potential market shift or ranging market.
Lower Left (Strong Bearish Momentum): Indicates a dominant downtrend.
Lower Right (Trend Shift to Bullish/Ranging): Suggests weakening bearish momentum or an emerging uptrend.
Color-Coded Candles:
Candles are dynamically colored based on the z-score, providing a visual cue about the price's deviation from the mean.
Z-Score Time Series:
A line plot of z-scores over time shows price deviation trends.
A gray histogram displays the rate of change of the z-score, highlighting momentum shifts.
🧿 Usage:
Use the scatterplot and quadrant gauges to understand the current market momentum and potential shifts.
Monitor the z-score line plot to identify overbought/oversold conditions.
Utilize the gray histogram to detect momentum reversals and trend strength.
This tool is ideal for traders who rely on statistical insights to confirm trends, detect potential reversals, and assess market momentum visually and quantitatively.
ROE BandROE Band shows the return on net profit from shareholders' equity and the formula for decomposition
ROE = ROA x CSL x CEL
ROE Band consists of 5 parts:
1. ROE (TTM) is the 12-month ROE calculation in "green"
2. Return on Equity (ROE) is the current quarterly net profit / the average of the beginning and ending periods of shareholders' equity in "yellow"
3. Return on Assets (ROA) is the current quarterly NOPAT (net profit before tax) / the average of the beginning and ending periods of total assets in "blue"
4. Capital structure leverage (CSL) is a financial measure that compares a company's debt to its total capital. It is calculated by taking the average of the beginning and ending periods of total assets / the average of the beginning and ending periods of shareholders' equity. The higher the CSL, the more deb, in. "red"
5. Common earnings leverage (CEL) is the proportion of net profit and NOPAT (net profit before tax), where a lower CEL means more tax, in "orange"
The "😱" emoji represents the value if it increases by more than or decreases by less than 20%, e.g.
- ROE(TTM), ROE, ROA, CEL is decreasing
- CSL is increasing
The "🔥" emoji represents the value if it increases by more than or decreases, e.g.
- ROE(TTM), ROE, ROA, CEL is increasing
- CSL is decreasing
MW:TA DaysDays of the week, simple and effective - checks the day, draws the line. You can adjust color, opacity and width of the vertical line. Have a great day and grater profit!
Rendite über Zeiträume (Bar-basiert)Zeigt die Rendite (Performance) für den letzten Monat, letztes Jahr und die letzten 5 Jahre in einer Tabelle rechts unten im Chart an. Zu empfehlen es nur im Tages-, Wochen- und Monatschart zu verwenden.
Ratio by absThe script helps to measure the location of two trading instruments.
The option of selecting the ticker as the source, with which the measurement will be carried out, is provided.
The measurement is carried out by dividing the cost of one trading instrument by the cost of the second trading instrument.
At the same time, a graph with the dynamics of changes in these ratios is displayed in another window. You can also set up Fibonacci levels for additional analysis of the dynamics of the ratios.
Multi Period ATR __ahamd__razavi__
### Code Breakdown
1. **Indicator Declaration**:
```pinescript
//@version=6
indicator(title="Multi-Period ATR", shorttitle="ATR Multi", overlay=false, timeframe="", timeframe_gaps=true)
```
- `//@version=6`: This specifies that the script uses version 6 of Pine Script.
- `indicator(...)`: This function defines the properties of the indicator, including its title, short title, whether it overlays on the price chart (`overlay=false` means it will be in a separate pane), and settings for timeframes.
2. **Input for Smoothing Method**:
```pinescript
smoothing = input.string(title="Smoothing", defval="RMA", options= )
```
- This line creates an input option for users to select the smoothing method for the ATR calculation. The default is set to "RMA" (Relative Moving Average), but users can choose from RMA, SMA (Simple Moving Average), EMA (Exponential Moving Average), or WMA (Weighted Moving Average).
3. **Function to Calculate Moving Average**:
```pinescript
ma_function(source, length) =>
switch smoothing
"RMA" => ta.rma(source, length)
"SMA" => ta.sma(source, length)
"EMA" => ta.ema(source, length)
=> ta.wma(source, length)
```
- This function takes two parameters: `source` (the data series to smooth) and `length` (the period for the moving average).
- It uses a `switch` statement to determine which smoothing method to apply based on the user's selection.
4. **Calculating ATR for Multiple Periods**:
```pinescript
atr_14 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 14)
atr_55 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 55)
atr_100 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 100)
atr_200 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 200)
atr_500 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 500)
atr_1000 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 1000)
atr_2000 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 2000)
atr_3000 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 3000)
atr_4999 = ma_function(ta.tr(true), 4999)
```
- Here, the script calculates the ATR for various periods (14, 55, 100, etc.) using the `ma_function`.
- `ta.tr(true)` computes the True Range, which is used as input for calculating ATR.
5. **Plotting ATR Lines**:
```pinescript
plot(atr_14, title="ATR (14)", color=color.red)
plot(atr_55, title="ATR (55)", color=color.orange)
plot(atr_100, title="ATR (100)", color=color.yellow)
plot(atr_200, title="ATR (200)", color=color.green)
plot(atr_500, title="ATR (500)", color=color.blue)
plot(atr_1000, title="ATR (1000)", color=color.purple)
plot(atr_2000, title="ATR (2000)", color=color.gray)
plot(atr_3000, title="ATR (3000)", color=#363a45)
plot(atr_4999, title="ATR (4999)", color=color.rgb(55, 81, 154))
```
- Each `plot` function call draws a line on the chart for each calculated ATR value. Each line has a specific color and a title indicating its period.
### Summary
This script provides a comprehensive view of market volatility by plotting multiple ATR lines over different periods on TradingView. Traders can use this information to assess market conditions and make informed trading decisions based on volatility trends. The ability to select different smoothing methods enhances flexibility and allows traders to customize their analysis according to their preferences.
ATH DrawdownThis Pine Script indicator, titled "ATH Drawdown," is designed to help traders and analysts visualize various drawdown levels from the all-time high (ATH) of a security over the past 365 days. This indicator plots several key drawdown levels on the chart and dynamically updates their color and labels to reflect market conditions.
Key Features:
Daily High Calculation:
Fetches the daily high prices for the security using the request.security function.
Highest High Calculation:
Calculates the highest high over the last 365 days using daily data. This represents the all-time high (ATH) for the specified period.
Drawdown Levels:
Computes various drawdown levels from the ATH:
2% Drawdown
5% Drawdown
10% Drawdown
15% Drawdown
25% Drawdown
45% Drawdown
50% Drawdown
Dynamic Line Coloring:
The color of the 2% drawdown line changes dynamically based on the current closing price:
Red if the close is below the 2% drawdown level.
Green if the close is above the 2% drawdown level.
Plotting Drawdown Levels:
Plots each drawdown level on the chart with specific colors and line widths for easy visual distinction:
2% Drawdown: Green or Red, depending on the closing price.
5% Drawdown: Orange.
10% Drawdown: Blue.
15% Drawdown: Maroon.
25% Drawdown: Purple.
45% Drawdown: Yellow.
50% Drawdown: Black.
Labels for Drawdown Levels:
Adds labels at the end of each drawdown line to indicate the percentage drawdown:
Labels display "2%", "5%", "10%", "15%", "25%", "45%", and "50%" respectively.
The labels are positioned dynamically at the latest bar index to ensure they are always visible.
Example Use Cases:
Risk Management: Quickly identify significant drawdown levels to assess the risk of current positions.
Support Levels: Use drawdown levels as potential support levels where price might find buying interest.
Performance Tracking: Monitor how far the price has retraced from its all-time high to understand market sentiment and performance.
This script offers traders and analysts an efficient way to visualize and track important drawdown levels from the ATH, helping in better risk management and decision-making. The dynamic color and label features enhance the readability and usability of the indicator.
Multiple Values TableThis Pine Script indicator, named "Multiple Values Table," provides a comprehensive view of various technical indicators in a tabular format directly on your trading chart. It allows traders to quickly assess multiple metrics without switching between different charts or panels.
Key Features:
Table Position and Size:
Users can choose the position of the table on the chart (e.g., top left, top right).
The size of the table can be adjusted (e.g., tiny, small, normal, large).
Moving Averages:
Calculates the 5-day Exponential Moving Average (5DEMA) using daily data.
Calculates the 5-week and 20-week EMAs (5WEMA and 20WEMA) using weekly data.
Indicates whether the current price is above or below these moving averages in percentage terms.
Drawdown and Williams VIX Fix:
Computes the drawdown from the 365-day high to the current close.
Calculates the Williams VIX Fix (WVF), which measures the volatility of the asset.
Shows both the current WVF and a 2% drawdown level.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
Displays the current RSI and compares it to the RSI from 14 days ago.
Indicates whether the RSI is increasing, decreasing, or flat.
Stochastic RSI:
Computes the Stochastic RSI and compares it to the value from 14 days ago.
Indicates whether the Stochastic RSI is increasing, decreasing, or flat.
Normalized MACD (NMACD):
Calculates the Normalized MACD values.
Indicates whether the MACD is increasing, decreasing, or flat.
Awesome Oscillator (AO):
Calculates the AO on a daily timeframe.
Indicates whether the AO is increasing, decreasing, or flat.
Volume Analysis:
Displays the average volume over the last 22 days.
Shows the current day's volume as a percentage of the average volume.
Percentile Calculations:
Calculates the current percentile rank of the WVF and ATH over specified periods.
Indicates the percentile rank of the current volume percentage over the past period.
Table Display:
All these values are presented in a neatly formatted table.
The table updates dynamically with the latest data.
Example Use Cases:
Comprehensive Market Analysis: Quickly assess multiple indicators at a glance.
Trend and Momentum Analysis: Identify trends and momentum changes based on various moving averages and oscillators.
Volatility and Drawdown Monitoring: Track volatility and drawdown levels to manage risk effectively.
This script offers a powerful tool for traders who want to have a holistic view of various technical indicators in one place. It provides flexibility in customization and a user-friendly interface to enhance your trading experience.
RSI Trend [MacroGlide]The RSI Trend indicator is a versatile and intuitive tool designed for traders who want to enhance their market analysis with visual clarity. By combining Stochastic RSI with moving averages, this indicator offers a dynamic view of market momentum and trends. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this tool simplifies identifying key market conditions and trading opportunities.
Key Features:
• Stochastic RSI-Based Calculations: Incorporates Stochastic RSI to provide a nuanced view of overbought and oversold conditions, enhancing standard RSI analysis.
• Dynamic Moving Averages: Includes two customizable moving averages (MA1 and MA2) based on smoothed Stochastic RSI, offering flexibility to align with your trading strategy.
• Candle Color Coding: Automatically colors candles on the chart:
• Blue: When the faster moving average (MA2) is above the slower one (MA1), signaling bullish momentum.
• Orange: When the faster moving average is below the slower one, indicating bearish momentum.
• Integrated Scaling: The indicator dynamically adjusts with the chart's scale, ensuring seamless visualization regardless of zoom level.
How to Use:
• Add the Indicator: Apply the indicator to your chart from the TradingView library.
• Interpret Candle Colors: Use the color-coded candles to quickly identify bullish (blue) and bearish (orange) phases.
• Customize to Suit Your Needs: Adjust the lengths of the moving averages and the Stochastic RSI parameters to better fit your trading style and timeframe.
• Combine with Other Tools: Pair this indicator with trendlines, volume analysis, or support and resistance levels for a comprehensive trading approach.
Methodology:
The indicator utilizes Stochastic RSI, a derivative of the standard RSI, to measure momentum more precisely. By applying smoothing and calculating moving averages, the tool identifies shifts in market trends. These trends are visually represented through candle color changes, making it easy to spot transitions between bullish and bearish phases at a glance.
Originality and Usefulness:
What sets this indicator apart is its seamless integration of Stochastic RSI and moving averages with real-time candle coloring. The result is a visually intuitive tool that adapts dynamically to chart scaling, offering clarity without clutter.
Charts:
When applied, the indicator plots two moving averages alongside color-coded candles. The combination of visual cues and trend logic helps traders easily interpret market momentum and make informed decisions.
Enjoy the game!
Z-Score Indicator by RafIf the z-score goes above 2, this may indicate overbought and If the z-score goes below -2, this may indicate oversold
Smooth RSI [MarktQuant]This indicator combines elements of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Rate of Change (RoC) to provide a smoother and potentially more insightful view of market momentum and price movement. The Smooth RSI calculates RSI values across four price points (high, open, low, close) to average them, offering a less volatile RSI signal. Additionally, it incorporates a Rate of Change for trend confirmation, enhancing the decision-making process for trade entries and exits.
Features:
Multi-RSI Calculation: RSI is computed for high, open, low, and close prices, then averaged to reduce noise.
Trend Confirmation with RoC: Uses the Rate of Change to validate the RSI signals, coloring bars based on the trend direction.
Visual Signals:
Bar colors change based on combined RSI and RoC signals.
Green for bullish signals (RSI above 50 and positive RoC).
Red for bearish signals (RSI below 50 and negative RoC).
Horizontal lines at 30, 50, and 70 to denote overbought, neutral, and oversold conditions.
Customizable Display:
Option to show/hide RSI plot or RoC plot for cleaner charts.
Candle plot overlay option to visualize current price action alongside the indicator.
Inputs:
RSI Length: Default 28. Adjusts the lookback period for RSI calculation.
RoC Length: Default 28. Sets the period for the Rate of Change calculation.
Plot Settings:
Show RSI - Toggle RSI plot visibility.
Show RoC - Toggle RoC plot visibility.
Usage:
Long signals are indicated when the average RSI is above 50 and the RoC is positive.
Short signals are suggested when the average RSI falls below 50 with a negative RoC.
The color coding helps visually confirm trends at a glance.
Notes:
This indicator is best used in conjunction with other analysis methods to confirm signals.
Adjust the length parameters based on your trading timeframe for optimal results.
Disclaimer:
This indicator does not guarantee trading success; use it as part of a comprehensive trading strategy. Always conduct your own analysis before making trading decisions.
Market Correlation AnalysisMarket Correlation Analysis is an indicator that measures the correlation of any two instruments.
To express price changes in a way that is comparable, this indicator uses a percentage of the ATR as a unit.
User Inputs:
Other Symbol - the symbol which we want to compare with the symbol of the main chart.
ATR for Price Movement Normalisation - I recommend high values to get the ATR more stable across time - if the ATR drastically changes, the indicator will register that as a price movement, because the unit in which price movements are measured itself changed by a lot. However, with higher values the ATR is stable and, in my opinion, more reliable than simply a percentage change of the current price.
Correlation Length - this is the number of bars for which the correlation coefficient will be calculated.
About The Indicator:
Market Correlation Analysis expresses the price changes of both instruments in question on the same histogram.
By default, the price changes that represent the instrument of the main chart are expressed with thinner bars of stronger colour, while the price changes that represent the other instrument are expressed with much thicker bars, which are of more pale colour.
The correlation coefficient is not expressed on the histogram, as it has a different scale. Therefore, it is only showed as a number.
I hope this indicator can make it easier to understand just how much two instruments have been similar to one another over a certain period of time. The possibility to see the correlation for any given time frame can give information that very specific to any trading style.
Enhanced Price Z-Score OscillatorThe Enhanced Price Z-Score Oscillator by tkarolak is a powerful tool that transforms raw price data into an easy-to-understand statistical visualization using Z-Score-derived candlesticks. Simply put, it shows how far prices stray from their average in terms of standard deviations (Z-Scores), helping traders identify when prices are unusually high (overbought) or unusually low (oversold).
The indicator’s default feature displays Z-Score Candlesticks, where each candle reflects the statistical “distance” of the open, high, low, and close prices from their average. This creates a visual map of market extremes and potential reversal points. For added flexibility, you can also switch to Z-Score line plots based on either Close prices or OHLC4 averages.
With clear threshold lines (±2σ and ±3σ) marking moderate and extreme price deviations, and color-coded zones to highlight overbought and oversold areas, the oscillator simplifies complex statistical concepts into actionable trading insights.
