Ticker Correlation Reference IndicatorHello,
I am super excited to be releasing this Ticker Correlation assessment indicator. This is a big one so let us get right into it!
Inspiration:
The inspiration for this indicator came from a similar indicator by Balipour called the Correlation with P-Value and Confidence Interval. It’s a great indicator, you should check it out!
I used it quite a lot when looking for correlations; however, there were some limitations to this indicator’s functionality that I wanted. So I decided to make my own indicator that had the functionality I wanted. I have been using this for some time but decided to actual spruce it up a bit and make it user friendly so that I could share it publically. So let me get into what this indicator does and, most importantly, the expanded functionality of this indicator.
What it does:
This indicator determines the correlation between 2 separate tickers. The user selects the two tickers they wish to compare and it performs a correlation assessment over a defaulted 14 period length and displays the results. However, the indicator takes this much further. The complete functionality of this indicator includes the following:
1. Assesses the correlation of all 4 ticker variables (Open, High, Low and Close) over a user defined period of time (defaulted to 14);
2. Converts both tickers to a Z-Score in order to standardize the data and provide a side by side comparison;
3. Displays areas of high and low correlation between all 4 variables;
4. Looks back over the consistency of the relationship (is correlation consistent among the two tickers or infrequent?);
5. Displays the variance in the correlation (there may be a statistically significant relationship, but if there is a high variance, it means the relationship is unstable);
6. Permits manual conversion between prices; and
7. Determines the degree of statistical significance (be it stable, unstable or non-existent).
I will discuss each of these functions below.
Function 1: Assesses the correlation of all 4 variables.
The only other indicator that does this only determines the correlation of the close price. However, correlation between all 4 variables varies. The correlation between open prices, high prices, low prices and close prices varies in statistically significant ways. As such, this indicator plots the correlation of all 4 ticker variables and displays each correlation.
Assessing this matters because sometimes a stock may not have the same magnitude in highs and lows as another stock (one stock may be more bullish, i.e. attain higher highs in comparison to another stock). Close price is helpful but does not pain the full picture. As such, the indicator displays the correlation relationship between all 4 variables (image below):
Function 2: Converts both tickers to Z-Score
Z-Score is a way of standardizing data. It simply measures how far a stock is trading in relation to its mean. As such, it is a way to express both tickers on a level playing field. Z-Score was also chosen because the Z-Score Values (0 – 4) also provide an appropriate scale to plot correlation lines (which range from 0 to 1).
The primary ticker (Ticker 1) is plotted in blue, the secondary comparison ticker (Ticker 2) is plotted in a colour changing format (which will be discussed below). See the image below:
Function 3: Displays areas of high and low correlation
While Ticker 1 is plotted in a static blue, Ticker 2 (the comparison ticker) is plotted in a dynamic, colour changing format. It will display areas of high correlation (i.e. areas with a P value greater than or equal to 0.9 or less than and equal to -0.9) in green, areas of moderate correlation in white. Areas of low correlation (between 0.4 and 0 or -0.4 and 0) are in red. (see image below):
Function 4: Checks consistency of relationship
While at the time of assessing a stock there very well maybe a high correlation, whether that correlation is consistent or not is the question. The indicator employs the use of the SMA function to plot the average correlation over a defined period of time. If the correlation is consistently high, the SMA should be within an area of statistical significance (over 0.5 or under -0.5). If the relationship is inconsistent, the SMA will read a lower value than the actual correlation.
You can see an example of this when you compare ETH to Tezos in the image below:
You can see that the correlation between ETH and Tezo’s on the high level seems to be inconsistent. While the current correlation is significant, the SMA is showing that the average correlation between the highs is actually less than 0.5.
The indicator also tells the user narratively the degree of consistency in the statistical relationship. This will be discussed later.
Function 5: Displays the variance
When it comes to correlation, variance is important. Variance simply means the distance between the highest and lowest value. The indicator assess the variance. A high degree of variance (i.e. a number surpassing 0.5 or greater) generally means the consistency and stability of the relationship is in issue. If there is a high variance, it means that the two tickers, while seemingly significantly correlated, tend to deviate from each other quite extensively.
The indicator will tell the user the variance in the narrative bar at the bottom of the chart (see image below):
Function 6: Permits manual conversion of price
One thing that I frequently want and like to do is convert prices between tickers. If I am looking at SPX and I want to calculate a price on SPY, I want to be able to do that quickly. This indicator permits you to do that by employing a regression based formula to convert Ticker 1 to Ticker 2.
The user can actually input which variable they would like to convert, whether they want to convert Ticker 1 Close to Ticker 2 Close, or Ticker 1 High to Ticker 2 High, or low or open.
To do this, open the settings and click “Permit Manual Conversion”. This will then take the current Ticker 1 Close price and convert it to Ticker 2 based on the regression calculations.
If you want to know what a specific price on Ticker 1 is on Ticker 2, simply click the “Allow Manual Price Input” variable and type in the price of Ticker 1 you want to know on Ticker 2. It will perform the calculation for you and will also list the standard error of the calculation.
Below is an example of calculating a SPY price using SPX data:
Above, the indicator was asked to convert an SPX price of 4,100 to a SPY price. The result was 408.83 with a standard error of 4.31, meaning we can expect 4,100 to fall within 408.83 +/- 4.31 on SPY.
Function 7: Determines the degree of statistical significance
The indicator will provide the user with a narrative output of the degree of statistical significance. The indicator looks beyond simply what the correlation is at the time of the assessment. It uses the SMA and the highest and lowest function to make an assessment of the stability of the statistical relationship and then indicates this to the user. Below is an example of IWM compared to SPY:
You will see, the indicator indicates that, while there is a statistically significant positive relationship, the relationship is somewhat unstable and inconsistent. Not only does it tell you this, but it indicates the degree of inconsistencies by listing the variance and the range of the inconsistencies.
And below is SPY to DIA:
SPY to BTCUSD:
And finally SPY to USDCAD Currency:
Other functions:
The indicator will also plot the raw or smoothed correlation result for the Open, High, Low or Close price. The default is to close price and smoothed. Smoothed just means it is displaying the SMA over the raw correlation score. Unsmoothing it will show you the raw correlation score.
The user also has the ability to toggle on and off the correlation table and the narrative table so that they can just review the chart (the side by side comparison of the 2 tickers).
Customizability
All of the functions are customizable for the most part. The user can determine the length of lookback, etc. The default parameters for all are 14. The only thing not customizable is the assessment used for determining the stability of a statistical relationship (set at 100 candle lookback) and the regression analysis used to convert price (10 candle lookback).
User Notes and important application tips:
#1: If using the manual calculation function to convert price, it is recommended to use this on the hourly or daily chart.
#2: Leaving pre-market data on can cause some errors. It is recommended to use the indicator with regular market hours enabled and extended market hours disabled.
#3: No ticker is off limits. You can compare anything against anything! Have fun with it and experiment!
Non-Indicator Specific Discussions:
Why does correlation between stocks mater?
This can matter for a number of reasons. For investors, it is good to diversify your portfolio and have a good array of stocks that operate somewhat independently of each other. This will allow you to see how your investments compare to each other and the degree of the relationship.
Another function may be getting exposure to more expensive tickers. I am guilty of trading IWM to gain exposure to SPY at a reduced cost basis :-).
What is a statistically significant correlation?
The rule of thumb is anything 0.5 or greater is considered statistically significant. The ideal setup is 0.9 or more as the effect is almost identical. That said, a lot of factors play into statistical significance. For example, the consistency and variance are 2 important factors most do not consider when ascertaining significance. Perhaps IWM and SPY are significantly correlated today, but is that a reliable relationship and can that be counted on as a rule?
These are things that should be considered when trading one ticker against another and these are things that I have attempted to address with this indicator!
Final notes:
I know I usually do tutorial videos. I have not done one here, but I will. Check back later for this.
I hope you enjoy the indicator and please feel free to share your thoughts and suggestions!
Safe trades all!
Statistics
Price Level Stats (PLS)Hello traders! In today's post, we're going to delve into a powerful custom indicator called Price Level Stats (PLS). This indicator combines the functionalities of Arbitrary Price Point Probability (APPP) and Bar Movement Probability (BMP) to create an easy-to-use tool that displays price levels and their corresponding probabilities based on percentage steps away from the current price. Let's explore how PLS works and how you can effectively utilize it in your trading strategy.
Overview of Price Level Stats (PLS)
The PLS indicator combines the APPP and BMP indicators, leveraging both their strengths to create a more comprehensive and versatile tool. The indicator calculates the probabilities of different price levels being reached, based on historical price data, and displays them on your chart. This tool allows you to analyze various price points with different percentage steps away from the current price, providing valuable insights into potential market movements.
Key Components of PLS
EMA Calculation: The PLS indicator uses the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to calculate the mean of the price data. This calculation is necessary for determining the probabilities associated with various price levels.
Price Movement Probability (T-Dist) Function: This function calculates the price movement probability using the Student's T-distribution. This statistical method is advantageous for small sample sizes and allows for more accurate probability estimations.
Step Size and Steps: The indicator allows you to define the step size (percentage away from the current price) and the number of steps to analyze. This customization enables you to explore various price levels and their associated probabilities.
Drawing Probability Labels: PLS displays the calculated probabilities as labels on your chart, providing you with an easy-to-understand visual representation of the likelihood of specific price levels being reached.
Using PLS in Your Trading Strategy
Setting the Source and Step Size: Start by configuring the source (typically set to open) and the step size. The step size determines the percentage distance between the price levels you want to analyze. For instance, a step size of 0.2 means you will analyze price levels at 0.2%, 0.4%, 0.6%, and so on, away from the current price.
Configuring the Steps: Next, set the number of steps you want the indicator to analyze. This setting determines how many price levels the indicator will evaluate on both the bullish and bearish sides.
Choosing the Style: The PLS indicator offers three different styles: Bar Estimate, Log Bar Estimate, and Student's T. Bar Estimate and Log Bar Estimate utilize the BMP method, while the Student's T style uses the T-distribution function for probability calculations. Choose the style that best suits your trading strategy and preferences.
Interpreting the Probability Labels: Once you have configured the indicator settings, PLS will display the calculated probabilities as labels on your chart. These labels represent the likelihood of the associated price levels being reached. Use these probabilities to make informed trading decisions and manage your trades more effectively.
Benefits of the PLS Indicator
Comprehensive Analysis: By combining the functionalities of APPP and BMP indicators, PLS provides a more comprehensive analysis of potential price movements, helping you to make better-informed trading decisions.
Customization and Flexibility: PLS offers a high level of customization, allowing you to analyze various price levels and choose from different styles to suit your trading strategy and preferences.
Easy-to-Understand Visual Representation: The PLS indicator displays the calculated probabilities as labels on your chart, providing you with an easy-to-understand visual representation of the likelihood of specific price levels being reached. This visual representation allows you to quickly assess the market situation and make more informed decisions.
Versatility: The PLS indicator is versatile and can be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools or as a standalone tool for assessing the probabilities of price movements. This versatility makes it a valuable addition to any trader's toolbox.
Improved Risk Management: By providing insight into the probabilities of various price levels being reached, the PLS indicator helps traders improve their risk management strategies. You can use these probabilities to set more accurate stop-loss and take-profit levels or to better time your entries and exits.
Customizing the PLS Indicator: Controls and Their Effects
The PLS indicator offers several controls that allow you to customize the output to better suit your trading needs. Understanding how these controls affect the output is essential for making the most out of this powerful tool. Below, we will discuss the two main controls - Step and Step Size - and explain their impact on the PLS indicator's output.
Step: The 'Step' control determines the number of steps taken away from the current price when calculating price levels and their associated probabilities. By increasing or decreasing the number of steps, you can adjust the range of price levels considered by the PLS indicator. For example, if you set the step value to 5, the PLS indicator will calculate probabilities for five price levels above and five price levels below the current price. Adjusting the number of steps allows you to focus on price levels that are more relevant to your trading strategy, helping you make better-informed decisions.
Step Size: The 'Step Size' control dictates the percentage distance between each step, which directly impacts the price levels being analyzed. For instance, if you set the step size to 0.5%, each price level considered by the PLS indicator will be 0.5% away from the previous one. A larger step size will result in a broader range of price levels being assessed, while a smaller step size will provide a more granular view of the price levels surrounding the current price. Adjusting the step size enables you to fine-tune the PLS indicator according to your preferred level of detail, allowing you to better analyze the probabilities associated with specific price movements.
By customizing the 'Step' and 'Step Size' controls, you can tailor the PLS indicator to your specific trading needs and preferences. These controls enable you to analyze a wide range of price levels or focus on a narrow range, depending on your strategy and risk tolerance. Experimenting with different combinations of step and step size values will help you find the optimal settings for your trading style and goals.
Conclusion
The Price Level Stats (PLS) indicator is a powerful tool that combines the strengths of the Arbitrary Price Point Probability (APPP) and Bar Movement Probability (BMP) indicators to provide traders with an easy-to-use system for analyzing potential price movements. By offering comprehensive analysis, customization, and easy-to-understand visual representation, PLS is an invaluable tool for traders looking to improve their trading strategies and risk management. Be sure to incorporate this versatile indicator into your trading arsenal to gain valuable insights into the probabilities of price levels being reached and make more informed trading decisions.
Bar Move Probability Price Levels (BMPPL)Hello fellow traders! I am thrilled to present my latest creation, the Bar Move Probability Price Levels (BMPPL) indicator. This powerful tool offers a statistical edge in your trading by helping you understand the likelihood of price movements at multiple levels based on historical data. In this post, I'll provide an overview of the indicator, its features, and how it can enhance your trading experience. Let's dive in!
What is the Bar Move Probability Price Levels Indicator?
The Bar Move Probability Price Levels (BMPPL) indicator is a versatile tool that calculates the probability of a bar's price movement at multiple levels, either up or down, based on past occurrences of similar price movements. This comprehensive approach can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of the market, allowing you to make better-informed trading decisions.
One of the standout features of the BMPPL indicator is its flexibility. You can choose to see the probabilities of reaching various price levels, or you can focus on the highest probability move by adjusting the "Max Number of Elements" and "Step Size" settings. This flexibility ensures that the indicator caters to your specific trading style and requirements.
Max Number of Elements and Step Size: Fine-Tuning Your BMPPL Indicator
The BMPPL indicator allows you to customize its output to suit your trading style and requirements through two key settings: Max Number of Elements and Step Size.
Max Number of Elements: This setting determines the maximum number of price levels displayed by the indicator. By default, it is set to 1000, meaning the indicator will show probabilities for up to 1000 price levels. You can adjust this setting to limit the number of price levels displayed, depending on your preference and trading strategy.
Step Size: The Step Size setting determines the increment between displayed price levels. By default, it is set to 100, which means the indicator will display probabilities for every 100th price level. Adjusting the Step Size allows you to control the granularity of the displayed probabilities, enabling you to focus on specific price movements.
By adjusting the Max Number of Elements and Step Size settings, you can fine-tune the BMPPL indicator to focus on the most relevant price levels for your trading strategy. For example, if you want to concentrate on the highest probability move, you can set the Max Number of Elements to 1 and the Step Size to 1. This will cause the indicator to display only the price level with the highest probability, simplifying your trading decisions.
Probability Calculation: Understanding the Core Concept
The BMPPL indicator calculates the probability of a bar's price movement by analyzing historical price changes and comparing them to the current price change (in percentage). The indicator maintains separate arrays for green (bullish) and red (bearish) price movements and their corresponding counts.
When a new bar is formed, the indicator checks whether the price movement (in percentage) is already present in the respective array. If it is, the corresponding count is updated. Otherwise, a new entry is added to the array, with an initial count of 1.
Once the historical data has been analyzed, the BMPPL indicator calculates the probability of each price movement by dividing the count of each movement by the sum of all counts. These probabilities are then stored in separate arrays for green and red movements.
Utilizing BMPPL Indicator Settings Effectively
To make the most of the BMPPL indicator, it's essential to understand how to use the Max Number of Elements and Step Size settings effectively:
Identify your trading objectives: Before adjusting the settings, it's crucial to know what you want to achieve with your trades. Are you targeting specific price levels or focusing on high-probability moves? Identifying your objectives will help you determine the appropriate settings.
Start with the default settings: The default settings provide a broad overview of price movement probabilities. Start by analyzing these settings to gain a general understanding of the market behavior.
Adjust the settings according to your objectives: Once you have a clear understanding of your trading objectives, adjust the Max Number of Elements and Step Size settings accordingly. For example, if you want to focus on the highest probability move, set both settings to 1.
Experiment and refine: As you gain experience with the BMPPL indicator, continue to experiment with different combinations of Max Number of Elements and Step Size settings. This will help you find the optimal configuration that aligns with your trading strategy and risk tolerance. Remember to continually evaluate your trading results and refine your settings as needed.
Combine with other technical analysis tools: While the BMPPL indicator provides valuable insights on its own, combining it with other technical analysis tools can further enhance your trading strategy. Use additional indicators and chart patterns to confirm your analysis and improve the accuracy of your trades.
Monitor and adjust: Market conditions are constantly changing, and it's crucial to stay adaptive. Keep monitoring the market and adjust your BMPPL settings as necessary to ensure they remain relevant and effective in the current market environment.
By understanding and effectively utilizing the Max Number of Elements and Step Size settings in the BMPPL indicator, you can gain a deeper insight into the potential direction of the market, allowing you to make more informed trading decisions. Experimenting with different settings and combining the BMPPL indicator with other technical analysis tools will ultimately help you develop a robust trading strategy that maximizes your potential profits.
How Can the BMPPL Indicator Benefit Your Trading?
The primary benefit of the BMPPL indicator is its ability to provide you with a statistical edge in your trading by displaying probabilities for various price movements. By analyzing historical price data, the indicator helps you understand the likelihood of certain price movements occurring, allowing you to make more informed decisions about your trades.
The customizable nature of the BMPPL indicator makes it a valuable tool for traders with specific price targets or risk management strategies in mind. By understanding the probability of reaching your target price or the likelihood of encountering a significant price movement, you can better manage your risk and optimize your trading strategy.
Additionally, the BMPPL indicator can be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to further strengthen your trading strategy. For example, you can combine the BMPPL indicator with support and resistance levels, trend lines, and moving averages to better time your entries and exits.
Wrapping Up
In conclusion, the Bar Move Probability Price Levels (BMPPL) indicator is a powerful and customizable tool that can help you gain a statistical edge in your trading. By analyzing historical price data and displaying probabilities for various price movements, the BMPPL indicator allows you to make more informed decisions about your trades, ultimately leading to more successful outcomes.
The customizable settings of the BMPPL indicator make it an adaptable tool for traders with diverse trading styles and risk management preferences. With its ability to provide valuable insights into the potential direction of the market, the BMPPL indicator is an essential addition to any trader's toolbox.
Moreover, when combined with other technical analysis tools and indicators, the BMPPL indicator can further enhance your trading strategy, allowing you to better time your entries and exits and maximize your potential profits. So, if you're looking to gain an edge in your trading and improve your decision-making process, the Bar Move Probability Price Levels (BMPPL) indicator is definitely worth exploring.
Bar Move Probability (BMP)Hello fellow traders! I am excited to share with you my latest creation, the Bar Move Probability (BMP) indicator. This powerful tool is designed to give you a statistical edge in your trading by helping you understand the likelihood of price movements based on historical data. In this blog post, I'll give you an overview of the indicator, its features, and how it can help you make more informed trading decisions. Let's dive in!
What is the Bar Move Probability Indicator?
The Bar Move Probability (BMP) indicator is a unique tool that calculates the probability of a bar's price movement, either up or down, based on past occurrences of similar price movements. This can give you valuable insights into the potential direction of the market, allowing you to make better-informed trading decisions.
One of the key features of the BMP indicator is that it allows you to choose the price you want to determine the probability of. By inputting your desired price, the indicator will analyze historical data and provide you with the likelihood of reaching that price, offering a more personalized approach to trading.
How Does the BMP Indicator Work?
The BMP indicator calculates the probability of a bar's price movement by comparing the current price change (in percentage) to historical price changes. It does this by maintaining separate arrays for green (bullish) and red (bearish) price movements, as well as corresponding arrays for the count of each movement.
Whenever a new bar is formed, the indicator checks whether the price movement (in percentage) is already present in the respective array. If it is, the corresponding count is updated. Otherwise, a new entry is added to the array, with an initial count of 1.
After analyzing the historical data, the BMP indicator calculates the probability of each price movement by dividing the count of each movement by the sum of all counts. These probabilities are then stored in separate arrays for green and red movements.
Finally, the indicator displays the probability of the current price movement as a label on the chart. The label is color-coded, with green indicating a bullish price movement and red indicating a bearish price movement.
How Can the BMP Indicator Benefit Your Trading?
The primary benefit of the BMP indicator is its ability to provide you with a statistical edge in your trading. By analyzing historical price data, the indicator helps you understand the likelihood of a certain price movement occurring, allowing you to make more informed decisions about your trades.
The customizable nature of the BMP indicator, allowing you to input your desired price, makes it a valuable tool for traders with specific price targets in mind. By understanding the probability of reaching your target price, you can better manage your risk and optimize your trading strategy.
For example, suppose the BMP indicator shows a high probability of a bullish price movement towards your target price. In that case, you may consider entering a long position or tightening your stop loss on an existing short position. Conversely, if the indicator displays a high probability of a bearish price movement away from your target price, you may consider entering a short position or taking profit on an existing long position.
The BMP indicator can be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to further strengthen your trading strategy. For example, you can combine the BMP indicator with support and resistance levels, trend lines, and moving averages to better time your entries and exits.
Wrapping Up
In conclusion, the Bar Move Probability (BMP) indicator is a powerful and customizable tool that can help you gain a statistical edge in your trading. By analyzing historical price data and allowing you to input your desired price, the indicator provides valuable insights into the likelihood of price movements, enabling you to make better-informed trading decisions.
I hope you find the BMP indicator useful
Arbitrary Price Point Probability (APPP)The "Arbitrary Price Point Probability" indicator is designed to calculate the probability of a given price point occurring within a certain range of prices. The indicator uses statistical analysis to determine the likelihood of a specific price point appearing based on the market data.
The indicator works by taking the input price, which is the price point for which the probability is being calculated. The indicator then calculates the mean and standard deviation of the prices over a certain period specified by the user. The length of the period for calculating the mean and standard deviation is also specified by the user.
Once the mean and standard deviation have been calculated, the indicator uses them to calculate the probability of the input price point occurring within the range of prices over the specified period. The indicator does this by calculating the z-score, which is the number of standard deviations between the input price point and the mean price. The z-score is then used to calculate the probability using a t-distribution probability density function.
The t-distribution probability density function used by the indicator is a mathematical function that describes the likelihood of obtaining a particular value from a t-distribution. A t-distribution is a statistical distribution used when the sample size is small, and the population standard deviation is unknown.
The indicator also uses a binary search algorithm to find the t-value for a given confidence level. The t-value is the number of standard deviations from the mean at which the confidence interval is set. The confidence level is set by the user, and the default value is 99%.
Overall, the "Arbitrary Price Point Probability" indicator is a useful tool for traders who want to determine the probability of a particular price point occurring within a certain range of prices. The indicator can be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to make more informed trading decisions.
Intrabar Run Count Indicator [tbiktag]• OVERVIEW
Introducing the Intrabar Run Count Indicator , a tool designed to detect potential non-randomness in intrabar price data. It utilizes the statistical runs test to examine the number of sequences ( runs ) of positive and negative returns in the analyzed price series. As deviations from random-walk behavior of returns may indicate market inefficiencies , the Intrabar Run Count Indicator can help traders gain a better understanding of the price dynamics inside each chart bar and make more informed trading decisions.
• USAGE
The indicator line expresses the deviation between the number of runs observed in the dataset and the expected number of runs under the hypothesis of randomness. Thus, it gauges the degree of deviation from random-walk behavior. If, for a given chart bar, it crosses above the critical value or crosses below the negative critical value, this may indicate non-randomness in the underlying intrabar returns. These instances are highlighted by on-chart signals and bar coloring. The confidence level that defines the critical value, as well as the number of intrabars used for analysis, are selected in the input settings.
It is important to note that the readings of the Intrabar Run Count Indicator do not convey directional information and cannot predict future asset performance. Rather, they help distinguish between random and potentially tradable price movements, such as breakouts, reversals, and gap fillings.
• DETAILS
The efficient-market hypothesis implies that the distribution of returns should be random, reflecting the idea that all available information is already priced into the asset. However, in practice, financial markets may not always be perfectly efficient due to factors such as market frictions, information asymmetry, and irrational behavior of market participants. As a result, inefficiency (non-randomness) can occur, potentially creating opportunities for trading strategies.
To search for potential inefficiencies, the Intrabar Run Count Indicator analyzes the distribution of the signs of returns. The central assumption underlying the indicator's logic is that if the asset price follows a random-walk pattern, then the probability of the next return being positive or negative (i.e., the next price value being larger or smaller than the current value) follows a binomial distribution. In this case, the number of runs is also a random variable, and, for a large sample, its conditional distribution is approximately normal with a well-defined mean and variance (see this link for the exact expressions). Thus, the observed number of runs in the price series is indicative of whether or not the time series can be regarded as random. In simple words, if there are too few runs or too many runs, it is unlikely a random time series. A trivial example is a series with all returns of the same sign.
Quantitatively, the deviation from randomness can be gauged by calculating the test statistic of the runs test (that serves as an indicator line ). It is defined as the absolute difference between the observed number of runs and the expected number of runs under the null hypothesis of randomness, divided by the standard deviation of the expected number of runs. If the test statistic is negative and exceeds the negative critical value (at a given confidence level), it suggests that there are fewer runs than expected for a random-walking time series. Likewise, if the test statistic exceeds the positive critical value, it is indicative of more runs than expected for a random series. The sign of the test statistic can also be informative, as too few runs can be sometimes indicative of mean-reverting behavior.
• CONCLUSION
The Intrabar Run Count Indicator can be a useful tool for traders seeking to exploit market inefficiencies and gain a better understanding of price action within each chart bar. However, it is important to note that the runs test only evaluates the distributional properties of the data and does not provide any information on the underlying causes of the non-randomness detected. Additionally, like any statistical test, it can sometimes produce false-positive signals. Therefore, this indicator should be used in conjunction with other analytical techniques as part of a trading strategy.
TradeBee Percent Gap AlertA simple script to enable adding a trigger when a stock reaches 'X' percent, the 'X' can be configured.
The script also displays current tickers gap %, this is particularly helpful when you have 2 or more panels on a chart
COT-index rangeA graph showing the commercials (part of COT-data) positioning in relation to its own range, X periods back. I usually choose the look-back period to equal approximately one year. This will be around 52 on a weekly chart and 250 on a daily chart.
In my opinion a high data-point for the commercials is bullish and vice versa. But instead of only looking att absolute values I now look more at how the commercials are positioned compared to the previous 12 och 6 months.
Example:
a) if COT-index range = 0.8, then the commercials are in the 80th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has only been more bullish 20% of the time and more bearish 80% of the time.
b) a) if COT-index range = 0.5, then the commercials are in the 50th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has been more bullish 50% of the time and more bearish 50% of the time.
c) if COT-index range = 0.2, then the commercials are in the 20th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has been more bullish 80% of the time and more bearish 20% of the time.
In other words, a high reading is bullish and a low reading is bearish.
Global LiquidityThe "Global Liquidity" script is an indicator that calculates and displays the global liquidity value using a formula that takes into account the money supply of several major economies. The script utilizes data from various sources, such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Economics, and FX_IDC.
The indicator plots the global liquidity value as a candlestick chart and breaks it down into two categories: the Euro-Atlantic region (West) and the rest of the world (East). The values are denominated both in inflation-adjusted dollars and in trillions of dollars. The script also calculates the spread between the Euro-Atlantic region and the rest of the world.
Traders and investors can use this indicator to gauge the overall liquidity of the global economy and to identify potential investment opportunities or risks. By breaking down the liquidity value into different regions, traders can also gain insights into regional economic trends and dynamics.
Note that this script is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and was created by rodopacapital.
Days in rangeThis script is a little widget that I made to do some homework on the VIX.
As you can see in the chart I was analyzing the 2008 market crash and the stats that followed it after until the market started to recover.
You can see that theory in my "Ideas" tab.
This is an interactive set of lines that you can use to count the the bars inside and outside of your chosen range, and the percentage outside that range.
You should initially enter the price range of your product in the menu and set some arbitrary dates that you can easily see on your chart.
Drag and drop the lines around to suit what price and the dates you are analyzing.
The table will display the bar count inside and outside of the range, the total bars, and the percentage outside that range.
I personally used this as a tool to study the overall average of the product, compared with the behavior during major market events.
It is currently my opinion that post 2020 analysis needs to take into account the behavior of any given product prior to 2020 when the
VIX was in its comfort zone. Not to say that a price valuation hasn't been set, but that the movement to that price was outside of "Normal Market Conditions,"
and the time factor to return to that value might be skewed. Other factors would need to be considered at that point pertaining to your specific product or corelating indicator.
I could see this tool being useful to Forex and commodities traders. But that isn't my field so that that for what it is. I do think it would perform best on something that is more
pegged to a price range. I personally would use it on product's, like the VIX, that I use as an indicator product. That is what it was designed for.
But I suppose it could be used for Mean price and time related analysis, maybe with a Vwap, SMA or other breakout style indicators.
Volume analysis might be pretty sporty. Possibly time patterns... the possibilities could be endless. Or... limited.
I am publishing this for my trade group so that it can be tinkered with to find other helpful ways to use it.
If anyone finds something interesting with other indicators, please drop a comment below and I could consider creating a script to integrate with this tool.
comm_idxThis script displays information about the components of the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index. The index is based on futures contracts in the categories of agricultural products, softs commodities, livestock, energies, industrial metals, and precious metals. The statistics displayed in the table are:
change: 1-day % change
from ma: the % change from a moving average
corr idx: correlation of the contract to the GSCI
The lengths for the moving average and correlation statistic can be set using the inputs.
See the script source for the symbols used for each commodity. Although most of the symbols correspond to the actual futures contract used to compute the index, LME contracts are not available on tradingview. Hence, corresponding HKEX contracts are used for the industrial metals.
Murder Algo Stats: last portion of Indices closing hour (S&P)Stats regarding the 'murder algo' (last 10mins of the closing hour). Works on all sub-1hr timeframes. Best used on 5min, 10min 15min timeframe. Ideal use on 10min timeframe.
Can be applied to other user input sessions also
What i'm calling the 'Murder Algo' is the tendency of dynamic lower time frame price action in the final 10minutes of the S&P closing hour (or any of the three major US indices: S&P, Nasdaq, Dow).
If there are un-met liquidity targets (i.e. clean highs or lows) as we come into the last portion of the closing hour, price has a tendency to stretch up or down to reach these targets, swiftly.
These statisitics are somewhat experimental/research; trying to quantify this tendency. Please comment below if you think of some additions / modifications that may prove useful.
//Purpose:
-To get statistics of the tendency to 'reach' of the final bar (10minute bar in the above) of the closing hour in Indices (3pm - 4pm NY time).
-Specifically to see how often price reaches for HH or LL in the final bar of the closing hour (most of the time); and to see how far it reaches one way when it does (Mean, median, mode).
//Notes:
-Two sets of historical stats; one is based on the 'solo reach' of the last bar; the other is based on the reach of the last bar from the average price of the preceding bars of the session (purple line in the above)
-Works on any timeframe below hourly. Ideally used on 10min timeframe, but may be interesting to plot on 15min or 5min timeframe also.
-Should also work on custom user-defined session; though this indicator was explicly designed to investigate the 'murder algo': that final rush and/or whipsaw tendency of price in the last few minutes of Regular trading on Indices.
-For S&P, best used on SPX, which gives the longest history of all the S&P variants due to only showing Regular trading hours bars (500 days of history on 10min timeframe, for premium users)
-For most stats, i've rounded to ES1! mintick (i.e. rounded to nearest quarter dollar) =>> This allows more meaningful values for 'mode' statistical measure.
-I trade S&P; but this 'muder algo' phenomenon also obviously presents in Nasdaq and Dow.
//User Inputs:
-Session time input (defaults to closing hour 3pm - 4pm NY time)
-Average method (for the average of all the input session EXCEPT the final bar)
-Toggle on/off Average line.
-other formatting options: text color, table position, line color/style/size.
Example usage with annotations on SPX 500 chart 15m timeframe; using closing hour (3pm-4pm NY time) as our session:
Market Relative Candle Ratio ComparatorIntroducing the Market Relative Candle Ratio Comparator, a visually captivating script that eases the way you compare two financial assets, such as cryptocurrencies and market indices. Leveraging a distinctive calculation method based on percentage changes and their averages, this tool presents a crystal-clear view of how your chosen assets perform in relation to each other, both for individual candles and over a range of previous candles.
Tailoring the script to your preferences is a walk in the park, as it allows you to easily adjust input symbols, moving average lengths, and other parameters to match your analytical approach. The visually arresting column chart it creates employs vivid red and green colors to underscore the differences between the two assets on each candle. Simultaneously, the lower-opacity columns depict the accumulated differences over a specified lookback period. This vibrant blend of colors and opacities results in a dynamic visual experience, enabling you to better grasp market trends relative to each other.
The reverse bool input is a handy feature that lets you invert the effect of the input symbol (DXY by default) in the comparison. When you set the reverse input to true, the script multiplies the calculated DXY percentage change by -1, effectively reversing the comparison. This is particularly useful when examining assets with an inverse relationship or when you'd like to analyze the input symbol's impact in the opposite direction.
For instance, if the input symbol represents a market index that generally moves in the opposite direction of the selected cryptocurrency, enabling the reverse input will help you better visualize and understand the relationship between the two assets by inverting the input symbol's effect on the comparison.
In the accompanying chart, you can observe the comparison of Bitcoin's movement relative to the Dollar, Gold, Bonds, and the S&P 500. The indicator reveals that in the last day, Bitcoin outperformed Bonds, Gold, and the Dollar but not the S&P 500!
Arbitrage SpreadThis indicator helps to find spreads between cryptocurrencies, assess their correlation, spread, z score and atr z score.
The graphs are plotted as a percentage. Because of the limitation in pine tradingview for 5000 bars a period was introduced (after which a new starting point of the graph construction will be started), if you want it can be disabled
The multiplier parameter affects only the construction of the joint diagram on which z score and atr z score are calculated (construction of the diagram is done by dividing one pair by another and multiplying by the multiplier parameter) is shown with a red line
To create a notification you have to specify the data for parameters other than zero which you want to monitor. For parameters z score and atr z score data are counted in both directions
The data can be tracked via the data window
Link to image of the data window prnt.sc
Oscillator: Which follows Normal Distribution?When doing machine learning using oscillators, it would be better if the oscillators were normally distributed.
So I analyzed the distribution of oscillators.
The value of the oscillator was divided into 50 groups each from 0 to 100.
ex) if rsi value is 45.43 -> group_44, 58.23 -> group_58
Ocscillators : RSI, Stoch, MFI, WT, RVI, etc....
Caution: The normal distribution was verified through an empirical formula.
[MiV] MA Screener v1.0In my trading I stick to the following strategy: I buy an asset above the 100/200 moving average and then sell it.
The most problematic thing in all this is to look for assets that are above the 100 or 200 moving average, and to assess how "far" the price is from that moving average.
In fact, to solve this problem I created this indicator.
It works with 30 different assets and displays the state of its two moving averages, whether the price is higher or not, and how much higher the price is from that level.
Multiple Moving Average ToolkitFeatures Overview:
Multiple Moving Averages: The script allows you to plot up to five different Moving Averages (MAs) on your chart at the same time. You can choose the type of MA (EMA, SMA, HMA, WMA, DEMA, VWMA, VWAP) and the length of each one.
Color Ribbon: You can turn the MAs into a color ribbon by selecting the "Turn into Color Ribbon?" option. This will make the area between the MAs colored and can help you identify trends more easily.
MA Value Table: You can draw a table on your chart that displays the current values of each MA, whether the trend is bullish or bearish along with the length of the MAs. The current ATR value is also shown in the last cell of the table. You can choose the location of the table (Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, Bottom Right) and the transparency of the background color.
Crosses: The script can detect when two MAs cross over each other (1st MA crosses 5th MA and vice versa), indicating a potential trend reversal. It will plot crosses on the chart at the point of the crossover and give an alert if the "Bullish Cross Detected" or "Bearish Cross Detected" condition is met.
How to use:
Once the script is added to your chart, you can customize the settings to fit your preferences. You can choose the type and length of each MA, whether to turn them into a color ribbon, whether to plot crosses, and whether to draw the MA Value Table.
The MA Value Table can be moved to a different location on the chart by selecting the "Location of Table" option and choosing Top Left, Top Right, Bottom Left, or Bottom Right.
Watch for MA crossovers and alerts to identify potential trend reversals. The script can help you identify bullish and bearish trends by color-coding the area between the MAs and displaying the current values of each MA in the table.
Breakdown of the script:
User Inputs
The first section of the script defines several user inputs that allows you to customize the indicator. These include options for turning the MAs into a color ribbon, plotting crosses when there is a bullish or bearish cross of the MAs, drawing a table of the MA values, and setting the transparency of the ribbon. You can also select the location of the MA value table and customize the settings for each individual MA.
Moving Average Calculation
The script defines a function called "getMA" that calculates the moving average for a given type and length. The function uses a switch statement to determine which type of moving average to use, such as an exponential moving average (EMA), simple moving average (SMA), Hull moving average (HMA), weighted moving average (WMA), double exponential moving average (DEMA), volume-weighted moving average (VWMA), or volume-weighted average price (VWAP).
The script then calls this function to calculate the values of up to five different MAs, depending on the user input. The ATR (average true range) is also calculated using the TA library.
Color Filter and Cross Detection
The script sets a color filter based on the relationship between the MAs. If the shorter-term MAs are above the longer-term MAs, the filter is set to green to indicate a bullish trend, and if the shorter-term MAs are below the longer-term MAs, the filter is set to red to indicate a bearish trend. You can adjust the transparency of the ribbon to make it more or less visible.
The script also detects when there is a bullish or bearish cross of the MAs and can generate alerts to notify you.
MA Plotting
The script plots up to five MAs on the chart, depending on the user input. The MAs are plotted as lines with different colors and thicknesses, and you can choose to turn them into a color ribbon if desired.
Cross Plotting
The script plots crosses on the chart when there is a bullish or bearish cross of the MAs. The crosses are plotted as X shapes at the location of the cross and are color-coded to indicate the direction of the cross.
MA Value Table
Finally, the script draws a table of the MA values on the chart, displaying the values of each MA as well as the current trend and the ATR. You can customize the location of the table, and the table is colored to match the color filter of the MAs.
Feel free to message me or comment on the post with any questions or issues!
Much more to come!
Thanks for reading, enjoy!
Employees by Population (Per Million)This script measures the number of employees a company has per million people in the US population, either by total or employed population.
Double Candle Trend Counter [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator counts the number of confirmed double candle trend scenarios on any given candlestick chart and displays the statistics in a table, which can be repositioned and resized at the user's discretion.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Upper Candle Trends
• A higher high candle is one that closes with a higher high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A lower high candle is one that closes with a lower high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A double-top candle is one that closes with a high price that is equal to the high price of the preceding candle.
Lower Candle Trends
• A higher low candle is one that closes with a higher low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A lower low candle is one that closes with a lower low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A double-bottom candle is one that closes with a low price that is equal to the low price of the preceding candle.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Candle Trends
• A multi-part higher high trend begins with the formation of a new higher high and continues until a new lower high ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower high trend begins with the formation of a new lower high and continues until a new higher high ends the trend.
• A multi-part higher low trend begins with the formation of a new higher low and continues until a new lower low ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower low trend begins with the formation of a new lower low and continues until a new higher low ends the trend.
Double Candle Trends
• A double uptrend candle trend is formed when a candle closes with both a higher high and a higher low.
• A double downtrend candle trend is formed when a candle closes with both a lower high and a lower low.
Multi-Part Double Candle Trends
• A multi-part double uptrend candle trend begins with the formation of a new double uptrend candle trend and continues until a new lower high or lower low ends the trend.
• A multi-part double downtrend candle trend begins with the formation of a new double downtrend candle trend and continues until a new higher high or higher low ends the trend.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Start Date
• End Date
• Position
• Text Size
• Show Plots
Table
The table is colour coded, consists of seven columns and, as many as, thirty-two rows. Blue cells denote the multi-part trend scenarios, green cells denote the corresponding double uptrend candle trend scenarios and red cells denote the corresponding double downtrend candle trend scenarios.
The multi-part double candle trend scenarios are listed in the first column with their corresponding total counts to the right, in the second and fifth columns. The last row in column one, displays the sample period which can be adjusted or hidden via indicator settings.
The third and sixth columns display the double candle trend scenarios as percentages of total 1-part double candle trends. And columns four and seven display the total double candle trend scenarios as percentages of the last, or preceding double candle trend part. For example 4-part double uptrend candle trends as percentages of 3-part double uptrend candle trends.
Plots
I have added plots as a visual aid to the double candle trend scenarios. Green up-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote double uptrend candle trends. Red down-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote double downtrend candle trends.
█ HOW TO USE
This indicator is intended for research purposes, strategy development and strategy optimisation. I hope it will be useful in helping to gain a better understanding of the underlying dynamics at play on any given market and timeframe.
It can, for example, give you an idea of whether the current double candle trend will continue or fail, based on the current trend scenario and what has happened in the past under similar circumstances. Such information can be useful when conducting top down analysis across multiple timeframes and making strategic decisions.
What you do with these statistics and how far you decide to take your research is entirely up to you, the possibilities are endless.
█ LIMITATIONS
Some higher timeframe candles on tickers with larger lookbacks such as the DXY , do not actually contain all the open, high, low and close (OHLC) data at the beginning of the chart. Instead, they use the close price for open, high and low prices. So, while we can determine whether the close price is higher or lower than the preceding close price, there is no way of knowing what actually happened intra-bar for these candles. And by default candles that close at the same price as the open price, will be counted as green. You can avoid this problem by utilising the sample period filter.
It is also worth noting that the sample size will be limited to your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000. If upgrading is currently not an option, you can always keep a rolling tally of the statistics in an excel spreadsheet or something of the like.
Statistics: High & Low timings of custom session; 1yr historyGet statistics of the Session High and Session Low timings for any custom session; based on around 1yr of data.
//Purpose:
-To get data on the 'time of day' tendencies of an asset.
-Narrow in on a custom defined session and get statistics on that session.
//Notes:
-Input times are always in New York time (but changing the timezone after setting WILL adust both table stats and background highlight correctly.
-For particularly long sessions, make sure text size is set to 'tiny' (very long vertical table), or adjust table to display horizontally.
-You'll notice most assets show higher readings around NY equities open (9:30am NY time). Other assets will have 'hot-spots' at other times too.
-Timings represent the beginning of a 15m candle. i.e. reading for 15:45 represents a high occurring between 15:45 and 1600.
-Premium users should get 20k bars => around 1year's worth of data on a 15minute chart. Days of history is displayed in the top left corner of the table.
//Limitations
-only designed and working on 15minute timeframe (to gather a full year of meaningful/comparable % stats, need 15minute 'buckets' of time.
-sessions cannot cross through midnight, or start at midnight (00:15 is ok). 00:15 >> 23:45 is the max session length. On BTC, same applies but 01:00 instead of midnight (all in NY time).
-if your session crosses through 'dead time' (e.g. 17:00-18:00 S&P NY time); table will correctly omit these non-existent candles, but it will add on the missing hour before the start time.
//Cautionary note:
-Since markets are not uncommonly in a trending state when your defined session starts or ends, the high/low timings % readings for start and end of session may be misleadingly high. Try to look for unusually high readings that are not at the start/end of your session.
Wheat (ZW1!) 15min chart; Table displayed vertically:
Nasdaq (NQ1!) 15m chart; Table displayed horizontally and with smaller text to view a very long custom session:
Upper and Lower Candle Trend Counter [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator counts the number of confirmed upper and lower candle trend scenarios on any given candlestick chart and displays the statistics in a table, which can be repositioned and resized at the user's discretion.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Upper Candle Trends
• A higher high candle is one that closes with a higher high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A lower high candle is one that closes with a lower high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A double-top candle is one that closes with a high price that is equal to the high price of the preceding candle.
Lower Candle Trends
• A higher low candle is one that closes with a higher low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A lower low candle is one that closes with a lower low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A double-bottom candle is one that closes with a low price that is equal to the low price of the preceding candle.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Candle Trends
• A multi-part higher high trend begins with the formation of a new higher high and continues until a new lower high ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower high trend begins with the formation of a new lower high and continues until a new higher high ends the trend.
• A multi-part higher low trend begins with the formation of a new higher low and continues until a new lower low ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower low trend begins with the formation of a new lower low and continues until a new higher low ends the trend.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Start Date
• End Date
• Position
• Text Size
Table
The table is colour coded, consists of seven columns and, as many as, sixty-two rows. Blue cells denote the multi-part trend scenarios, green cells denote the corresponding upper candle trend scenarios and red cells denote the corresponding lower candle trend scenarios.
The multi-part candle trend scenarios are listed in the first column with their corresponding total counts to the right, in the second and fifth columns. The last row in column one, displays the sample period which can be adjusted or hidden via indicator settings.
The third and sixth columns display the candle trend scenarios as percentages of total 1-part candle trends. And columns four and seven display the total candle trend scenarios as percentages of the last, or preceding candle trend part. For example 4-part higher high trends as a percentages of 3-part higher high trends. This offers more insight into what might happen next at any given point in time.
Plots
For a visual aid to this indicator please use in conjunction with my Upper Candle Trends and Lower Candle Trends indicators which can both be found on my profile page under scripts, or in community scripts under the same names.
Green up-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote higher high trends when above bar and higher low trends when below bar. Red down-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote lower high trends when above bar and lower low trends when below bar.
█ HOW TO USE
This is intended for research purposes, strategy development and strategy optimisation. I hope it will be useful in helping to gain a better understanding of the underlying dynamics at play on any given market and timeframe.
It can, for example, give you an idea of whether the current upper or lower candle trend will continue or fail, based on the current trend scenario and what has happened in the past under similar circumstances. Such information can be useful when conducting top down analysis across multiple timeframes and making strategic decisions.
What you do with these statistics and how far you decide to take your research is entirely up to you, the possibilities are endless.
█ LIMITATIONS
Some higher timeframe candles on tickers with larger lookbacks such as the DXY , do not actually contain all the open, high, low and close (OHLC) data at the beginning of the chart. Instead, they use the close price for open, high and low prices. So, while we can determine whether the close price is higher or lower than the preceding close price, there is no way of knowing what actually happened intra-bar for these candles. And by default candles that close at the same price as the open price, will be counted as green. You can avoid this problem by utilising the sample period filter.
It is also worth noting that the sample size will be limited to your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000. If upgrading is currently not an option, you can always keep a rolling tally of the statistics in an excel spreadsheet or something of the like.
Double Trend Counter [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator counts the number of confirmed double trend scenarios on any given candlestick chart and displays the statistics in a table, which can be repositioned and resized at the user's discretion.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Trends
• A multi-part return line uptrend begins with the formation of a new return line uptrend and continues until a new downtrend ends the trend.
• A multi-part downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend and continues until a new return line uptrend ends the trend.
• A multi-part uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend and continues until a new return line downtrend ends the trend.
• A multi-part return line downtrend begins with the formation of a new return line downtrend and continues until a new uptrend ends the trend.
Double Trends
• A double uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price and the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A double downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price and the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Double Trends
• A multi-part double uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend that proceeds a new return line uptrend, and continues until a new downtrend or return line downtrend ends the trend.
• A multi-part double downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend that proceeds a new return line downtrend, and continues until a new uptrend or return line uptrend ends the trend.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Start Date
• End Date
• Position
• Text Size
Table
The table is colour coded, consists of seven columns and, as many as, fifteen rows. Blue cells denote the multi-part trend scenarios, green cells denote the corresponding double uptrend scenarios and red cells denote the corresponding double downtrend scenarios.
The double trend scenarios are listed in the first column with their corresponding total counts to the right, in the second and fifth columns. The last row in column one, displays the sample period which can be adjusted or hidden via indicator settings.
The third and sixth columns display the double trend scenarios as percentages of total 1-part double trends. And columns four and seven display the total double trend scenarios as percentages of the last, or preceding double trend part. For example, 4-part double trends as percentages of 3-part double trends and so on.
Plots
For a visual aid to this indicator please use in conjunction with my Double Trends indicator which can be found on my profile page under scripts, or in community scripts under the same name.
Green up-arrows, with the number of the double trend part, denote double uptrends. Red down-arrows, with the number of the double trend part, denote double downtrends.
█ HOW TO USE
This indicator is intended for research purposes, strategy development and strategy optimisation. I hope it will be useful in helping to gain a better understanding of the underlying dynamics at play on any given market and timeframe.
It can, for example, give you an idea of whether the current double trend will continue or fail, based on the current double trend scenario and what has happened in the past under similar circumstances. Such information can be very useful when conducting top down analysis across multiple timeframes and making strategic decisions.
What you do with these statistics and how far you decide to take your research is entirely up to you, the possibilities are endless.
█ LIMITATIONS
Some higher timeframe candles on tickers with larger lookbacks such as the DXY , do not actually contain all the open, high, low and close (OHLC) data at the beginning of the chart. Instead, they use the close price for open, high and low prices. So, while we can determine whether the close price is higher or lower than the preceding close price, there is no way of knowing what actually happened intra-bar for these candles. And by default candles that close at the same price as the open price, will be counted as green. You can avoid this problem by utilising the sample period filter.
The green and red candle calculations are based solely on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with. Alternatively, you can replace the scenarios with your own logic to account for the gap anomalies, if you are feeling up to the challenge.
It is also worth noting that the sample size will be limited to your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000. If upgrading is currently not an option, you can always keep a rolling tally of the statistics in an excel spreadsheet or something of the like.
Rangemeter [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator simply displays candle and peak to trough ranges in points or pips, depending on the symbol type, in a table, which can be repositioned and resized at the user's discretion.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Open Green and Red Candles
• An open green candle is one that has a close price equal to or above the price it opened, but has not yet closed to confirm the condition.
• An open red candle is one that has a close price lower than the price it opened, but has not yet closed to confirm the condition.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Open Range
An open range is here defined as one that is forming but has not yet completed. For example, a swing low that has an open green candle proceeding a red candle or series of red candles. Or a swing high that has an open red candle proceeding a green candle or series of green candles.
The table will only display the open range under the aforementioned circumstances, otherwise it will display the current, or previous, range.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Show Candle Ranges
• Show Largest and Smallest Candle Ranges
• Average Candle Range Lookback
• Show Ranges
• Show Largest and Smallest Ranges
• Average Range Lookback
• Position
• Text Size
█ HOW TO USE
The indicator can be used for strategy filtering and development, gauging current market conditions versus historic and helping to make more informed discretionary trading decisions. It can also be used like my Wavemeter indicator to objectively set the angle and projection ratio for my Fan Projections and Parallel Projections indicators.
█ LIMITATIONS
Some higher timeframe candles on tickers with larger lookbacks such as the DXY , do not actually contain all the open, high, low and close (OHLC) data at the beginning of the chart. Instead, they use the close price for open, high and low prices. So, while we can determine whether the close price is higher or lower than the preceding close price, there is no way of knowing what actually happened intra-bar for these candles. And by default candles that close at the same price as the open price, will be counted as green. You can avoid this problem by ensuring the lookback for the average range does not reach as far back as the start of the chart. If you are unsure about the candle count you can use my Candle Counter indicator to find out how many candles are displayed on the chart.
The green and red candle calculations are based solely on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with. Alternatively, you can replace the scenarios with your own logic to account for the gap anomalies, if you are feeling up to the challenge.
It is also worth noting that the lookback will be limited to your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000.
